Best of A Numbers Game | January 5, 2026

0:00The numbers told the story and always do swandles idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with kill I like Xander gone decent good Monday morning to you. There's a numbers game with decent these sports betting that was decent calm game plus I hard radio YouTube TV series XM channel 158. However, you're taking a sin. I Appreciate it. So does Kelly. Yeah skill Alexander that right there's my little buddy Kelly Bidley everybody you on this Monday pre-wild card weekend post regular season I just want to say I want to relish every every second every minute of the next two weeks because after that once it gets to You know what college football then clears is down to the final four in the NFL. It kind of feels overrish already at that point. So these next two weeks. I mean if October is the greatest month of sports and sports betting with baseball play Offs and NFL going on the college football if March madness has the best two Four days two or two to four days to begin first weekend Maybe this is the best five game stretch coming up five day stretch coming up Thursday Friday night college football semis

1:07Saturday Sunday Monday NFL playoffs. I mean look I get the greatest. I get crap for every year But like this is my favorite betting time. Yeah right now because we are all about to start back up tennis is already started back up And two dogs last night. Yeah, let's go. Let's go from a betting standpoint I like this more than even October from a sports standpoint October's better Both ways. Yeah on that. Let us begin before we get it So just again the parameters. This is still under the guessing lines umbrella But I don't during the season. I don't allow myself to look at the lines And then I don't bet them until we actually do the show Monday morning Here I do my guesses, but then I actually look to see it I'll tell you what my guesses were because I don't want to I've gone a whole regular season without making bets overnight I figure I'm not going to do that for the playoffs. I don't do it every year. So I'll make bets the previous night Um, but I will tell you what the guesses are and Some surprises to me in this wild car. Yeah, man, you can tell you can tell me where they've moved since yesterday We'll get into that first we we always start this show on Mondays updating survivor survivor now of course comes to a conclusion

2:13Circus survivor six Five entries make it to the end we had six going into this last week Five got there one person had Cincinnati. I hope that person hedged Mm-hmm. I hope they they monetized in other words. I hope they made money on it But that survivor entry survived Kelly 19 quote-unquote weeks 59 minutes and 57 seconds. Yeah brutal Just can't even you can't even make there it is. So that's the six year if you're watching on the screen right here at visa.com Game plus wherever you're watching That's the six year history of circus survivor the first year 35 of 1390 make it made it that year will always be the anomaly At least till now it's been because then from there Five out of four thousand eighty two out of six thousand one hundred thirty three four out of nine thousand two hundred sixty seven eight out of fourteen thousand two hundred sixty six and this year Five out of eighteen thousand seven hundred eighteen

3:16So after the thirty five five two four eight and five Actual value of all of each of those five Kelly in the end three million seven hundred forty three thousand six hundred dollars More than double the entire pool in the first year Whew Good money if you can get a kill. Yeah, good money if you could get you know Kelly what I always say three million seven hundred forty three thousand here three million seven hundred forty Oh the sun you got some real money and there they are Dylan Dylan W 10 Gary A 10 juicy Gucci seven He wins for best uh Winning title winning name kick your knees up a real bro good for y'all Way to go Yeah, no lot. We're in the house here at circuit yesterday So if you're anybody who follows circuit on Twitter or visa and you were seeing all kinds of videos of The parties and celebrations going on and the sweats the sweats that come with this the sweats Yeah, can I just say can I say this? Can I be the guy to say this Does it sully? I'll use that word does it sully the contest at all and no one loves the contest more than I do And I'm gonna say it again. We've talked about it on this show longer than anybody

4:20Is it sully at all that now you have like the uh Folks coming in and having 30 40 entries at a time And they're the ones that end up getting them not all not all people who end up with 30 40 entries get there obviously But mathematically the odds are that one or two will and that's what ends up happening Unfortunately, yes, I think it's a little bit right? It's tough for me to answer no Yes, like I think it does Especially when we're everybody so open about it these days too, right? It's like hey, it's me and this is my entry But here's my whole team that's in the braggadocio of the people who would not their original entry to they invest in it and then act like that you know What they did is a little more in first world great accomplishment great invest in or what great investing, but maybe It's you know what it is. It's the the poker culture of the of the of the where the sports better sort of like pipe it down Right, there's a little bit of a cultural difference there, I think that rubs us a little anyway still the greatest contest in the world

5:21I think it's worth asking the question. Yeah, it's awesome. Um, I think it does. I think it does unfortunately And I know I know those guys. I don't want to say they feel that way But they ideally you would rather have one person and you know one good five individuals that you could honor Listen, the counter to that is hey people who get 30 40 entries Oh, they're they're growing the pool. Mm-hmm And look all these things though. I like we talk about them as their issues or problems or something It's just these type of things happen when you got a contest that because it is so great become so popular and expands year after year You get more more strategy more thought behind how to attack it and that's That's I mean, I think a major compliment to what's done with circa And there's Stevens everything done here with these contests like anything in life, right? We used to say slow and sports analytics conference back in its early days. Oh my god I could talk to Mark Cuban for 30 minutes one on one by year four could you can't get near him Right, it's just flooded with humanity, right? So it's like anything like by way, but let's give a shout out to our buddy

6:24Let's go to millions for a second. Can we shout out our buddy Steve Fessick? Yes Steve Fessick, I believe on the graphic right there. I believe yes. I'm correct He ties for ninth place That is a what seven-way tie for ninth am I looking at six-way tie for no seven seven-way tie for ninth place He ends up 5631 and three. What is that that so he's three games ish behind the winner The is it oh, we had a tie we had a tie a top right coin hop and bison sports cards to Tie for the top of million is that right wow You're looking at me like I'm crazy. Isn't that what that's right? You're right? No, no I was trying to figure out we were discussing off air and no Andy Molotor was in the mix and had flown in town for this our good buddy Andy, we gotta get in. I don't know what his dang team name is so I'm sitting over here trying to figure out if I could If he don't even you can read between the lights wine and cheese is that one of the names? You know what I apologize to Andy well on public because we we have a relationship with Drew and so Andy gets the shaft for us

7:27Which we don't mean to do at all. We love Andy, right? Yeah It also know where you're where you're going with this their Friday pod all year Has been drew with his wine recommendations, and then it's Andy and Minnesota being like wow I'm gonna make a stew this weekend Like they're so different when it comes to that side, but Steve fesick shadow Steve fesick finishes night So when you break that down I thought it was I thought it was a five-way tie There's a five-way tie it ends up in 90,000 exactly, but it's a little more than that's like seven So it's a few thousand below that yeah get it get it together Steve Steve fesick does it again And so let the hateration just wash over from everybody look we're no one no one busses You know what's more than I do sure on a weekly basis, but give the man credit for this he can play a contest. Yeah, yep Yep, potato commission was up there on the screen. We get tweets from him all the time What happened to our boy money gun guzz did he have a bad what last week? Sorry Okay, well there you go I mean, I know we've made yeah, we've questioned Steve on plenty of things this year is

8:31Bed actual betting his come up on this show wait The feast an NBA contest last year. I thought he really flexed his muscles as a contest guy then and once again Circa Millions he's up there. So yeah, all right, so we're gonna go game by game right after after the the breaker But just let me just say at the at the beginning of this How'd first of all had your week 18 go? It was good. I had a few bets. I don't know Yeah, I did a lot of three team 10 lakers. So I had three I did one. I did one. It was it was pretty big though. That got home thankfully. Let me just say it correctly Three team 10 pointers. I don't know why I couldn't say it correctly Uh, I got dead for dead for the chargers under home That was easy and that I was on Ravens last night. So that was exciting that game was off the chains So we uh, I know we're gonna go to the breakdown I heard best game of the year. I think it was up there It's up there. I don't think it's the best game there. If you want to sell me on most most entertaining quarter

9:32Best quarter something like that like that last quarter was ridiculous out of nowhere by the way out of nowhere Out of nowhere, so just macro this before we get into game by game here after great macro this how many of the 14 playoff teams do you legit think can win the Super Bowl How many of the 14 playoff teams you think it'll legit win the Super Bowl can get through the gauntlet of the playoffs All the way to the promised land man. Okay Ready for it. Gil. Let's toss out Steelers in the AFC and I think that's the only team in the AFC. I can toss out and I'll toss out the panthers and the NFC And I think that's really the only two teams I can throw out so 12 of 14. Yeah I think I'm with you. I think it's a boring answer And I think a lot of people would share our answer too I think a lot of people would also add the Niners and the Chargers and maybe there's some that still don't believe in The Jaguars and stuff like that But I think just out of at a respect. I'll say it's 14. I think as well. I mean the the AFC

10:34I don't I don't know how you can add anybody more than than the Steelers agree It's too. I don't agree. It's a lot of good to pretty good teams in there, right? Nobody's great I think the correct answers 14. I really do And I don't think there's ever been another year where we could say that Excuse me 12 out of 14. Why don't keep going to 60 12 out of 14 because we did the 16 last week so much 12 out of 14 I think is the correct answer to that question We've had two coach firings also as well Rahim Morris last night For the Atlanta Falcons the Falcons didn't waste any time. He's out in Atlanta as is the GM font-no gone That didn't work out well and that of course font-nose sort of imprint is the The whole Michael Pennick strafting and then this morning case you missed it kevin's defansky out in Cleveland But as Adam Schefter points out after moving on from Cleveland's defansky now expected to be one of the top candidates in this hiring cycle So we'll see about that but two coaches gone already

11:36And we haven't even been 24 hours gone from the NFL regular season. That's how it starts. We'll get into it game by game on the other side It's a numbers game at visa these sports betting networks You're here because you want an edge that's what separates listeners from winners But let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools the data and the discipline And now so can you visa programs you access to the same real time insights the sharps use no secrets no fluff Just actionable info that moves markets tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with visa and pro You Numbers game on visa these sports betting network head into the new year with a smarter betting strategy powered by visa and pro Join visa and pro get instant access to everything you need to make informed bets every day

12:38Son of now get daily best bets from visa and hosting guests real-time draft kings and circuit betting splits AI powered prop tools and matchup analysis 24-7 video and full show replays on the visa and watch app Plus expert picks and prop data throughout the NFL and college football playoffs get started today for just 999 or say 50% with an annual plan Start betting smarter today at visa.com slash subscribe. That's vsin.com slash subscribe gill alleys and are killing building alongside Man, oh man. What a time of year What a great time we get tweets of beating the book Mike Armstrong incredible The entry parts one Went 19 and one was the only entry to lose yesterday week 18 when the browns one with a last-second heartbreaking feel goal last year He went 19 and one under the entry named tarz and was eliminated in week 18 when the Falcons lost in over time to the panthers Now Mike we saw this in the visa new newsletter, which are which are buddy bill a d writes lovingly every single day And the way that it was phrased in the newsletter it no we it was 19 and one we weren't sure if that just meant oh, I would have gone 19 and one

13:45Versus that he actually lost in the last week as well But what you're telling us is this is two years in a row where my man has lost the last week Because ten entries lost last week a last year in the final week Good god. That's wild. Yeah, that's that's rough. He tweeted about it too Yeah, we started getting this yesterday a little bit. We're trying to confirm was trying to confirm. So yeah, Pete Tarsuit Tarza wits. I'm gonna go with but that Pete Tars that Pete Tars on Twitter T.A. O. R. Z Yeah, yeah, I couldn't really couldn't really figure it out from his tweet either But man, if that is that is wild and you're right If you have Pete Tars on air, what do you say to me like? Oh, so how much of that suck? You know, like how much did it suck last time much money did you lose? Uh, Robert sorry, you know, I'm sorry Pete. Hopefully you hopefully you hopefully you were smart and got something out of it two years in a row So yeah, you're probably now I don't want to say able to laugh about it But hopefully five years from now you'll be a laugh about it. Hope you made out both times five years

14:45Square Bob 2022 is it possible survivor 2020 is the anomaly because 2020 is also the last year that only had 16 games happy new year Yeah, it was um It was I guess 17 weeks of survivor The first year because there was also a thanksgiving right yeah, I mean that's part of it But it was also the fact that you could just you could just pick against the Jets and the Jaguars every single week until you couldn't I Went all the guy I got all the way to week 14 lost on the Rams as a 17 boy favorite against uh the Jets But that was kind of the strategy that year is very simplistic that year Judo Connor I took the 90 to one ticket on the Panthers to win the NFC a few weeks back Look at a hedge out. I don't really see a route unless I take an NFC winner Do I just wait and hope MVP Matt has a repeat performance in Charlotte? Well, wait, I think we can answer this The same way We discussed the wow actually, hopefully those people didn't cash those out. Remember we were talking about the Panthers What was that oh, yeah, the Panthers to win the division right and actually got oh and we were like cash

15:47101 right was 101 and we were like cash out like the next day was that even this year Am I thinking it two years ago? I hope I hope you're right and I'm wrong and that was two years ago because you're right otherwise we gave terrible advice But uh, yeah, I can't get these years. Whatever that ticket is. I'm gonna give the same advice probably cash out some of that Money down bets. I feel like Stofanski should have been gone a long time ago. Why was he given such a long leash? I don't know other than the Dishon Watson thing was such a mess that maybe it prolonged things For him to be honest with you. I mean, I'll throw you in an early are we sure this week? Are we sure Kevin Stofanski's a good coach a bad coach? I have no idea me but apparently Adam Shephard thinks he's going to be highly coveted And John Massey congratulations on finishing the season with as many interception as the Jets this year performance bonus It's incredible the New York Jettropolitans did the impossible zero interceptions in a 17 game schedule First times in 1933 any team has gone through the season without a pick Again, the previous record was the Niners went 14 games in a row without a pick last year

16:49It's just incredible. It's it's almost impossible and then there were some stats suggesting that the Jets defenders were so close to receivers That it was even more impossible than you think it is that they weren't it wasn't like they they didn't have good coverage Let's do it. Let's go to the game guessing lines wild card week No intro All right Saturday afternoon here on the west coast 130 to 70 time for 30 Eastern the Houston Oh wait, it's not the Houston Texas LA Ramsett Carolina Panthers Ramsett Carolina Houston gets spared the five seed Rams the four seed Panthers at Carolina because they won the NFC South With a three-way tie-tie breaker eight and nine as the record Rams get in there at 12 and five Rams case you missed it yesterday Ah real quick six six game Rams go 18 plays 74 yards fourth and goal of the two Stafford to Puka jump ball one-handed snag

17:5613 to six Rams Yeah, and then Arizona second play of the next drive first and Ted the Rams 31 percent picked by a kettle with her spoon Rams from their own 31 with 49 seconds left how many times will we see in the Rams do it this year? We've virtually no time on the clock. They're like no problem. Beavis field goal 16 to six of the half Arizona though would get two consecutive touchdowns on their first two drives of the second half to get it to 16 to 13 and then to take the lead 20 to 16, but then it was all Rams 6 play 70 yard Stafford to Parkinson from 21 out 23 20 Rams late third quarter next time the Rams had the ball six play 66 yards Stafford to Higby from 22 out 30 to 20 Rams And then the next time the Rams had the ball 12 plays 81 yard Stafford to Parkinson from 1 out 37 20 That's how it would end. Nakuwa's final Peace for the offensive player of the year 10 catches 76 yards and touchdown We'll get into that coming up awards little later on the show four Tuddies for Stafford Four Tuddies for Stafford your new and your new favorite in the MVP market once again as he should be as he should be

19:01And then there's the Carolina Panthers Panthers on Saturday Tampa Bay came out 9 play 74 yards Baker to Otten from 18 out 7 and nothing bucks Next time Tampa Bay had the ball after Baker missed a wide open pain Durham on 1st and 10th the Carolina 13 of Glockland 29 yard field goal 10 to nothing late first quarter next time Tampa Bay had the ball This Tampa Bay third and seventh their own 23 Baker picked by Christian Roseboom Carolina set up at the Tampa Bay 19 three plays Bryce to tremble from 8 out 10 to 7 bucks 10 50 left in the second quarter And here's where the shenanigans began Tampa Bay ensuing kickoff fumbled looks like Carolina recovered on the field They ruled Tampa Bay maintains possession Kellyanne never saw a replay telling me that was very strange Was the was the Panther not down by contact nobody said a word Uh, then they punt After Tucker runs into Baker and the ball slips out of Baker's hands on consecutive plays Anyway, still 10 to 7 then Carolina 3rd and 6 of the Tampa Bay 49 Bryce picked by Jacob Parrish that led to a McLaughlin field goal 13 to 7 bucks and a half

20:05Third quarter. Oh my god Carolina fourth and one of their own 44 Hubbard does get for three yards on this drive, but that was after officials Blow blue the whistle love the whistle. Oh whistle. Blue the whistle and ruled an incomplete pass on a first and 10 of the 10 Bay 34 The call was then changed to a backwards pass to doubt all that went out of bounds. They said And Carolina loses seven yards on the play the Panthers by rule Should have had the option to redo the play instead With that drive there were forced to settle for a Fitzgerald 54-yard field goal, which missed wide left Balls by the way was told to put the challenge flag back in his pocket On this sequence. This was insane. You can't do that to a team. It completely destroyed that drive You blew the whistle and then you acted like you can't then take away seven yards from them You got to let them replay it Carolina next time they had the ball after a huge third down pickup to Mcmillan OPI called on him

21:07It looked like hand fighting within five yards play before that Bucks linebacker Sirvache Dennis ripped off the helmet of Tommy Trembl Should have been an unsmortem like conduct penalty and an automatic first down for the Panthers nothing called Anyway, Tampa Bay after a PI called on Carolina then when Otton's feet got tangled with Nick Scott End up with a McLaughlin field low 16 to seven bucks early fourth quarter Carolina first 10 to 10 Bay 20 Dattles slips on attempted pitch back to Bryce What were they doing trying to like a flee flicker at the 20 fumbles recovered by LeBonte David McLaughlin then the 38-yard field low tried blocked after Carolina successfully challenged and Otton would be catch Carolina 4th and 8 to 10 Bay 48 with 3 10 left Bryce Mcmillan for 40 behind the defense down to the 8 Two plays later Bryce the Jalen Coker what a catch 16 14 bucks Panthers within the number But Tampa Bay from their own 29 with 223 left Panthers have all three timeouts two minute warning can't get them off the field in time Tampa bands up with the ball with 18 seconds left but from their own three ballgame Tampa Bay wins by two

22:09But what did I just say four different things that went against the Panthers I am so glad the Falcons won yesterday because that is just deserved Getting the Panthers in the playoffs That was that was Miami versus Jets You remember that Monday Monday night game earlier this year the Dolphins versus the Jets Where every call went against the Jets and for the Dolphins Egregiously so this was the comp to that Where it's like what are what are we doing? Yeah Yeah, I was bad there were a couple games bad officiating this weekend Teteroma Mcmillan four catches for 85 yards In this ballgame for the Panthers his final resume point for the Might have been an offensive rookie of the year there. He's a massive favorite in that anyway I guessed Rams minus eight and a half at Carolina and it is it is ten ten and a half Yeah, I was low on that that was probably the worst guess of the bunch keep keeping that one at a teaser range for us That was the one where I had a bad guess and I was and instead of wanting to bet it I'm like oh yeah, they're probably right

23:11Although remember Carolina beat the Rams earlier this year 31 to 28 week 13. We'll talk about that next game as well next on a numbers game The numbers told the story now he's down It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Kill I like Xander Gone V sent our number two of a numbers game with V sent these sports betting network visa.com game plus I hard radio youtube zvn of course series x and channel one fifty eight Radio's kill I like Xander televisions Kelly Bidlin hell on one little radio program and TV program We get sweets beating the book as we continue through wild car weekend here Johnny Vegas Amazing how the last half dozen people Find a way to come up with half a million plus to hedge on survivor One can some poker players etc find out who doesn't have that kind of jack and stake them for a percentage of the end result Yeah, are they doing a few weeks before anyway as well. It is wild though. It is wild Every time we talk about it. It is like yeah, see it coming up with that much cash is not that easy for everybody

24:15That's for sure. Yeah, so I asked what I asked the first thing Colin Murphy a good hedging strategy for that Miami ticket that the guy was talking about let's take all miss the score first Get a nice plus price and if it hits then you can just sit back and maybe scoop both If not you're getting a nice big number in play with the points and the money line. Yeah, but it's not a perfect hedge, right Goody's saying though, but I got you saying yeah, cuz Miami goes up and then you're just betting back on Ole Miss Brad Payton are betting exchanges subject to the new 90% lost deduction rule as sportsbooks given that they are regulated through the commodities market Best tax law show on radio best to you Kelly and the crew I may let you down here by saying I'm not really sure a hundred percent, but I would assume they are Maybe I shouldn't assume. I don't think so Because it's because it's regulated in our different. Yeah, yeah, because on the commodities exchange right The commodity that's really you and bill are talking about talking last week and carry over the losses here too Yeah, the commodities board oversees the

25:16Polymarket and Kalshi those prediction markets others are applying For licensing other under the commodities exchange So yeah, it could be very different. I don't know with a hundred percent certainty though So let me just be honest about that also. I don't know 100% what's going on with polymarket because they're not I just got added to their waiting list like yesterday. I hopped on there Like they're not fully operational in the US yet That's been going back and forth for like months So I don't really know. I don't really know how many we have up and running Steve Cohen at the Steve Cohen 21 not to be confused with other Steve Cohen's Gill Kelly One my Ravens won't make the playoffs bet, but it was a sweat Was inspired to make the bet after your early December shows pre-Metcalf suspension London Steve Steve listening to us from London down Like Steve. How you doing Steve? What's happening man? Oh, Chris Foster is on polymarket. There we go You got you got early access Chris Foster deep thoughts. You got to have deep thoughts. Though they get on there deep thoughts with Chris Foster Three Jack H3131 have these NFL teams seen how the chiefs offense look this year

26:18Why on earth would anyone go after mad naggy? This is why franchise continue to suck bad decision-making. I'm with you three Jack Harold Irving where the establishments Bob Kraft and Dishon Watson frequented called parlor That's true Although did Dishon and fairness did Dishon actually Um Oh, he did Actually, I know where you're going with that. I think he had On I think yes parlor's private massages. I think he was all over the place with those Yeah, I oh yes s6 9 I would have serious trepidations betting on any football game with any of the rest from the bucks Panthers game I'm not a conspiracy theorist theorist however you have to pause because can you trust this officiating crew Like I said dolphins jets this year on a Monday night and that game Saturday between The Panthers and bucks Those were the only two games right Where I Kelly I I I'm the first guy to be like oh stop with your conspiracy right those the only two games where I have to just sit there and be like I can't even say where to you guys

27:20Michael Burns didn't the Jags take out Trevor after he hit 4,000 yards. Oh is that what happened? I did I was not aware of that. I figured it was part of that's what they do. Okay Branden Webb for the question about who on Post analysts NFL positions. He says West Reynolds head coach Jason Weingarten GM. Oh, no Really Jason Warren Sharpe offensive coordinate. Well, that would be Jason Weingarten be GM GM would definitely be the most interesting It would certainly be I love Jason. I would love to see Jason's face for you For rustic instruction Warren Sharpe OC it troubles me because war would never get the play in on time Maybe like 12 13 11, but these team doesn't do it. It's like them like clock and you get air Rogers will start screaming at them All right next All right next up we have Sunday afternoon 4 30 Eastern 49ers at Eagles six seated Niners third seated Eagles So Niners remember went into the weekend

28:22Could have had the number one seat if they beat the Seahawks that would have pushed the Rams to a six seed Seahawks would have been the fifth, but instead The Rams get the five Seahawks obviously get the one with the win and the Niners end up with the six and they travel Pardon me to number three Philly In case you missed it on Saturday Seahawks got all the way to first and gold the one after a PI in the Enzo from a Diamondor Linoir on JSN This was the weirdest sequence Darnell took a sack He missed Sharpen a wide open in the flat like didn't see him Tatum Bethune sacks Darnell on first down Two Sharpen a rushes in a timeout wasted in between fourth and cold the four Darnell throws way outside looking for Cooper cup No chance turn over on downs. I got a text from Jopie to write in that moment And like you can only read it in Vince Lombardi's voice. What the hell is going on? Oh, no, that was weird Anyway, San Francisco was pinned the three in ounces Seattle got the ball back in San Francisco 35 after a phase mask

29:26Three plays Sharpen a in from 27 on third and two seven and nothing Seahawks Next time Seattle got the ball Myers 47 yard field go wide right But then San Francisco fourth and one of the Seattle 39 perty and complete intended for use check Seattle would turn that into a Myers 45 yard field will tend to nothing Seahawks 519 left in the second quarter And then Pinero we got it to 10 to three Niners would get on the board in the first half that would be the score of the half Second time Seattle got the ball in the second half third and 17 After Darnell fell and Sharpen a recovered the botched handoff seven yards behind the line of scrimmage Kenneth Walker for 19 yards on third and 17 that might have been the play of the game right there Then to Jackson Smith and jigma for 19 to Sharpen a for 12 At this point by the way through three quarters Totally yards in this game 268 to 105 That led to a Myers 31 yard field will 13 to three Seahawks early fourth quarter I mean San Francisco perty to Kittle for 20 to start then

30:27deflect Excuse me then perty for 11 and up second and goal the six perty slightly behind McAffrey on a deflection by boy A mafia bounces off McAffrey to Drake Thomas of the Seahawks and so the Niners had any chance It was snuffed out with that in a goal to go situation Seattle then from their own three got to the San Francisco three they took a delay And then Myers doinked a 26 yard field will try off the right upright But it didn't matter Seahawks win it 13 to three they get the NFC West they get the number one seed Niners all the way down once again two a two a six seed and there was the Eagles by the way We won't go through it but the Eagles lose to the Washington commanders yesterday 24 to 17 It was Tanner McKee as the starting quarterback for the Eagles yesterday They still wanted to win it and they still could have gotten to the two seed because the bears lost But it wasn't to be As Washington beats Washington always the Washington Eagle series always seemed to end to the split feels that way anyway

31:27Um, but it will be the Eagles with everybody. Here's the deal with the Niners So keep in mind so everyone's gonna say all the Niners look so bad on Saturday There was no Ricky Pearson more importantly. There was no Trent Williams Both of those guys will be playing this week and the Trent Williams Factor cannot be underestimated So I guessed on this right because again the Eagles of the Super Bowl champions and that was the last View that the whole nation got to see of the Niners Was this terrible performance against Seattle I said Philly minus four and a half At the time Philly was only a three point favorite It's coming my way. I'm told Yeah, we're three and a half pretty much everywhere. I jumped on a Philly three I like the nine. I jumped on a nine or three and a half. I I don't know this is one of those games if you told me Philly blew them out. I wouldn't be surprised Yeah, I really wouldn't be no, no, no, no, no, you told me the Niners won it in a close game. I wouldn't be surprised I mean like look, it's the Eagles, right? I mean, I've been bashing this team all season

32:29You've got more talent and pretty much anybody in the NFC we think you haven't been able to put it together It's been limited weeks and limited weeks in a row where you've put things together offensively and defensively I think I I completely understand what you're saying of a week of overreaction from what happened Seahawks, but I think this Philadelphia defense Yes, it's worse than Seattle, but it's how much further worse. I don't think it's that much further down So if you have that and then the Niners kind of gaps on defense I think the Eagles might be able to attack better than Seattle. I can't deny any of that. I like it Look, I've got bets this week. Do you know, I'd be lying if any if I told you any of them were big though Like it but the most heavily I'm invested is on the Jacksonville side and sorry Jaguars You've not done much in the history of me betting you to inspire too much money on that That let's put it this way the Jags buffalo spread is the only one that surprised me. All right, that's that's why I wasn't the only one that it wasn't the only one that induced a bet though

33:31Right So yeah, like I thought Philly would be three three and a half. I was prepared to bet him at three Yeah, I bet So far I bet Chicago minus one I took Jacksonville Plus the points. I'll stick them on the money line San Francisco plus three and a half Like I mean, I like all three of them. I really do. You know, it's uh You know, it's a little bizarre to me with like and I like one of them even more coming up Like okay, cool. We've got the the the Texans are out of their Saturday window, right? Yeah, what's the most important? Okay, what's to you? What's the most important game? Where do you put the biggest time matchup of super wild car weekend? What do I think is the most marquee matchup? What's the most marquee time slot the late Sunday late Sunday night, right? I haven't talked about this game. Oh, some people would say late Monday. I mean, somebody would say the Monday game to Know you're right, but I think most people would say Sunday. Yeah You surprised the Sunday night game. I am a little bit

34:33I thought I thought 49ers Eagles or Packers bears you know, I mean, I am to your point although I find that the Sunday night game Which we are about to get to To me is the one I'm looking forward to my bet the most I bet I bet it's the most fascinating We're talking about the chargers in the page. I haven't seen any of Gill's bets I haven't seen any of his accounts. I will book any action out there if you want to tell me uh what Gill's betting on and if you're wrong I will bet every dollar in my pocket right now. I know what Gill's on. That's right. There's not much in all right I wonder what Gill's betting a whole season doesn't tell us what he's betting on this coming back on a numbers game right here at bison You A numbers game on fysand the sports betting network boomers sportsbook Nevada's newest sportsbook offering a first deposit match up to $250 in bonus bets about that all you got to do is put in the offer code v sin 250

35:39Scandi QR code to learn more once again Nevada's newest sportsbook boomers sportsbook first deposit match up to $250 in bonus bets as long as you use the offer code v sin 250 check it out Check it out. We get tweaked speed in the book y'all are the best seriously Jason Stark. I don't understand why you guys are saying the bills are Josh Allen nothing else when James Cook led the league in rushing Okay, sorry. Sorry Josh Allen the offensive line in James Cook and don't concaits back now That's that's everybody Bills bills bills fans do not like it when anything negative set about the bills there is you have worked with me for how many years now Gill I'm gonna keep it real when it comes to the Buffalo bills. I love Josh Allen I do and look We are we set it from midseason right there's no Ravens. There's no chiefs There is no Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson in your way Josh go get it go get it I don't trust any of these teams in the AFC you could easily do it. I would not be shocked at all if it happened

36:41Last name Nash incentives betting is overblown nowadays. It's all about hitting milestones now Josh Allen took one snap and left Lawrence left after hitting the 4,000 yard mark devantesmith left after hitting the 1,000 receiving yards mark What is the ins because you people you think are betting? Oh people are betting incentives. That's their narrative You say or how long people play I guess well on this show. We don't we'll talk about that much Real quick. Can we go to some games? Can we let's before we continue with the with the actual playoff games? I got one more coach out who would be the least the least shocking one to be fired today Gill Alexander least shocking. Yeah the least shocking because he's gone Aaron Glenn and that guy down the road. Be careful. Be careful. Be careful. He's gone. Okay. Wrap sheet in wrap a poor Raiders of fired coach beat Carol officially won and done Tom Brady in the building today And GM John spy tech will run the search for the new head coach Rumored Brian Flores first name in the rumor mill

37:42That'd be a heck of a hire Pete Carol was your favorite moment of the Pete Carol era here in Las Vegas I don't know man him getting kind of excited yesterday was entertaining though. That's probably it Do you think he still has uh, it's okay. He's probably still got his office in Seattle. He can go back to you Remember that weird story. Oh yeah, we're gonna keep an office for him. He's gonna hang out here Really weird like I remember as a savior was him and Sabin right? Sabin they did the same thing with guess what makes a lot more sense for Nick Sabin still have an office in Alabama that Be Carol have a one in Seattle that did do by the way games that have no had no playoff significance yesterday But just a brief note on all them so Dallas at the Giants when the Giants beat Dallas that clinched the number One pick for the Raiders that was interesting by the way they took back out at halftime which I thought was interesting Joe Milton came in So the Raiders got the number one draft pick which meant the Raiders got to actually try to win Willie nilly right against the uh the chiefs

38:43And they did with a pretty exciting finish if you enjoy 14 to 12 games with field goals being traded Butker to put the chiefs up 12 to 11 in the last with 101 left and then Carlson 60 yard field goal to win it for the Raiders and Pete Carol goes out with the win. Thanks Pete. See you later Pete Carol We shouldn't we shouldn't uh We shouldn't in any way belittle the man's coaching career. Yeah, right. Yeah USC say what you will and Seattle Didn't work out of here And then the other the other two games that had no consequence, but we probably should just touch on for a moment Atlanta which did actually have consequence right against New Orleans Atlanta's win created the three-way tie which had let which allowed Carolina to get into the playoffs um That was a game late 16 to 10 Atlanta New Orleans from their own 25 Third and seven at the Atlanta 20 shut got picked by dealford return to 59 yards that up That set up the Gonzalez 38 yard field goal which made it a nine point game

39:49And then when shuck hit Ronnie Bell from 16 out with a one handed catch somebody one handed catches yesterday To make it 19 to 17 That then came down to an onside kick which the Saints of course didn't recover and that was that in that one That put the Panthers in the playoffs at eight and nine So there was that Rahim Morris gets fired after that game Tyler Schuck though in the offensive rookie the year market Kelly 15 to one now so Teterua McMillan Is minus 1000 To win an NFL offensive rookie the year Travion and Jackson Darner both nine to one Shuck is then 15 to one and a mecca Gbukuts like he didn't even exist 120 to one Do you think that this these numbers reflect reality in any way Should tent to Teterua McMillan be minus 1000 and by the way, let me just say Teterua McMillan We were talking about when he was in college how great he was So if you like went back to us and then we'd be like of course he should be minus 1000 Oh my god, it was my biggest draft bet was it was him going on top 10

40:51But based on it should he be that big of a favorite like if Jackson dart won this would you be shocked? Okay, so no Is that who your next guy is though? It's dart well They ended up winning a couple games down the stretch now right so the whole Tyler Schuck thing about oh Well, he won all these games well You didn't win that many more than then Jackson dart would did and Jackson dart stats are way better So forget Shuck they're better Shuck should not even exist in this. I'm sorry I'm sorry the way better is a little bit out the window now. He did catch up a lot I was just looking at those. Yeah, but not when you throw in running stats. No, no the Russian stats Yes, but I don't know this, but you're allowed to rush as a quarterback And so I mean, I think Jackson dart Tyler Schuck should be boxed out by Jackson dart in my opinion But Does that mean that I'm not saying Ted Teterua McMillan isn't gonna win this. He just shouldn't be minus 1000. I agree I just man. I don't see a world I don't know if I see a world or a traviant Henderson is really that live in this. I don't think so either I mean like I don't they so I think it's Teterua McMillan or Jackson dart again

41:54But he watched the game yesterday like the big players were coming from a different running back even like it's I don't know I think it's McMillan. I think it's gonna be McMillan, but I hear you I would not be I would not be listing them in minus 1000 Um real quick since we're on the subject awards can we show the uh the offensive player of the year update as well Offensive player of the year which we did the blind to resume last week and then we threw out the stats of the top four folks in that market Now this is updated. First of all, here's the market Jackson smith is jigba is minus 3000 to win offensive player of the year Here is the we won't make it blind anymore. Here are the final stats for the four top candidates for this award As we just mentioned smith and jigba is minus 3000 Puka Nakuwa's stats are better By a hair, but they are better than that of jsn But jsn plays on the number one seed puka ends up on the team that ends up with the number five seed

42:54Maybe that matters. Maybe they don't but puka had ten more catches Had What's that 78 fewer yards and ended up with one more touchdown It's real like those stats are really even McCaffrey's not going to get this he finished with a whimper He's going to be the comeback player of the year and bjohn have finished with a whimper But bjohn in terms of totally yards from scrimmage crushes everybody right with over 2300 yards from scrimmage So I don't know I think puka right now at current odds might actually be a bet I think it's bad. It's pretty much it was pretty much the same number a week ago Well puka's 13 to one, but I just we just showed the stats right they are the exact same stats So like he was 14 15 one like last night better And then he's he had how many great catches that he have yesterday to go out He was sick yesterday. This is gonna be my point. He was around the same number last week And he had he clearly had a better week than jsn so I I can't argue the the number

43:55I think jsn wins it though and he should win it That's how I feel he's been awesome He's their number one guy. He's their only wide out of any note right so I wouldn't I mean What you're talking about replacing met calf and lock it there this season I know I've said it so many times But like he was the only dude when we were going into the season where you're like well, we got to cover him Yeah, I don't know about anybody else on this roster and you knew that from game one And he went out there every weekend at a massive sea here's my counter dot dot dot but comma puka He's just incredible. He's incredible either one either one. You know, it's an unfair. Here's the reason I say either one can win it And so therefore the value is on the 13 to one. That's all I'm saying. I hear yeah, the unfair pushback to puka is this Matthew Stafford and Devonte Adams Yeah, but Devonte was banged up and Yeah, everything you're saying is correct. Oh, I think I think it's all true right kill ask me Who do I think is the best wide receiver in football? Booker to cool. Yeah, I think it is. That's what I'm saying I also don't know though like are you

44:58If someone tweeted us right now Hey, McCaffrey was what was he last last week of this market like two to one should one game change him from that to 75 to no no, but it's like we already said he wasn't going to get it because a comeback player of the year and he had to do something else to No, the odds are ridiculous. I don't know the comeback's locked in and by the way regular season MVP Matthew Stafford minus 180 drake made plus 150. I think Stafford's going to win it I really do lifetime achievement award I could be wrong. Yeah, this is look we get a lot of these questions a lot all the timegill When this market readjusted I did buy on some bay last night at plus 150. Okay 45 to one. I locked up money. I will it will be a happy award season for me regardless Tell you what we're gonna do We're gonna get Aaron shots in here this week. He's an award's voter. We'll try to glean some info from him He's 150 and maybe we'll try to get Mike Sando in here. He's 150 yet his thoughts See how much they're willing to reveal Tom Pellicero also reporting Tom Brady in the Raiders facility today as he prepares to take on a bigger role in the team's football operation along with his college teammate

46:01GM John spy text of Tom Brady While still doing Fox This is getting weird Still gonna be on broadcast, but apparently bigger role with the Raiders coming back on a numbers game right here at Visa