Best Of A Numbers Game | January 22, 2026

0:00This girl on tiktok or Instagram whatever just some girl. She's like, hey, Dr. Pepper, I got a jingle for you. She just came out with a jingle. What I just sang followed by, right, that at the end, what it turned into a commercial. So people on social media started doing their own remixes of it. Some were awesome. And then Dr. Pepper themselves just made an ad, a national ad campaign using this girl's jingle was was on during the national championship. That's pretty cool. It's amazing. Hope she's getting paid kind of inferior to me, but you know, that that because if that was you, it wouldn't happen. No, I'm just jealous. Like I'm really jealous. Like I don't know. Like flex seal. We've given you enough love on this show. You know, why am I not in a commercial? Why? Why is

1:01Kelly not even your spokesman at this point or flex? Look at this boat, Gil. We cut out the bottom of it. We flex sealed some glass on the bottom. And it works just fine. I mean, I do not believe that both thing. I would not go out on a boat that's been flex sealed. Bro, you know, you know how much of an OG he is at this point. I told you this like six months ago, I don't even know if you remember the last flex seal in full commercial. I saw is like, my man's name again. I feel bad. But he goes and sets up like he's like, it's the welcome man. He's got the, you know, he's standing there and he's got flex seal products behind him. And then he just tosses to the old commercial. Yeah. It's just the old commercial. He does. He does what we did with the Barry Bond. Yeah, exactly. It's just like, yeah, just check out what I did eight years ago. It's still awesome. What's his name again? Phil Swift. Thank you, Dave. That's great producer work right there. No relation to Taylor, no relation to Deandra. Ladies and gentlemen, Zachary Cohen joins us now courtesy of the progressive guest line. You can follow him on Twitter and betting on X really what I should do is give out Adam Burke's Twitter. Right. Correct. So we can have equal times. I made that mistake last week. Apologies to Adam again at the end of his

2:04segment. Zach joins us now talking all kinds of sports NBA tennis will get to here. We'll talk NFL. Let's start Zag by the way. Good morning to you, sir. By the way, people should say, good morning. If people want to subscribe to visa and plus plus plus, we had a great off air conversation. That's fantastic. We just can't have on air. So like off off tour tennis comments, we had people do it on the next podcast. Yannis, we left off with this. So we want we want you to chime in on this. Yannis next team odds. Where do you land on all this? It's tough because like it's starting to look more and more like he's going to ask his way. I know that he doesn't want to do it. But the comments after these games are getting kind of more and more skating towards his teammates. And I don't know what he thinks going to is going to change him Milwaukee. And this team is worse than I thought it would be, you know, to start the season. So it might reach a point. So where he asks out the problem with this list is like you, sorry, I don't know for the viewers that are not seeing it or listeners, it's Nick's heat warriors raptors spurs on this odds board. And

3:04it's just there's not a lot of teams on this list that have all of the assets you need to get a player like Yannis. Like he could go on and go to New York. But I don't know how they get him because, you know, that trade would seemingly have to include a Carl Anthony Towns who has been getting booed at Madison Square Garden. I don't know why Milwaukee would want him. So I think that the heat would probably be the best bet of these teams. It's because I do think asset wise. They're probably in the best shape of all of them. But man, I don't think that the list is all that strong. I still think the hawks have the best pathway towards getting him. Yeah. It's a good call. I think he does too. Hey, was that real quick? Just after the comments last night, do you think is this a trend for people? You bet a lot of props. If we're betting player props going forward, is this a trend that it's going to continue with Yannis as far as like, I mean, he kind of just threw his teammates under the bus. Apparently he's not getting the ball enough. So why don't really know why they'd be encouraged to give him the ball more now? Or is this the classic now that it's been brought out into the public? We're going to see Yannis take 27 shots next game. Yeah, I just think it's going to be more of the same from Yannis,

4:07like of what we've seen throughout his career. I think it was just kind of garbage post game talk. I don't think it's going to be a trend that we see moving forward. Like it was a game against OKC. It's not that crazy to think that like they did a better job offending him off the ball. It wasn't as easy for him to get his touches. I mean, that's kind of getting lost in the shuffle a bit. So I just kind of think it's going to be back to normal next game. I don't think there's going to be any freezing out of Yannis. I don't think there's going to be any concerted efforts to get him more touches. I just think it's going to be something that we look back on. And it's just another shot at his teammates. When the trade happens is Tinas is part of a package deal or is it the type of thing we're two weeks later, they see him at the end of the bench and they're like, Oh, we've got to. We got to send him along as well. I'm curious. You have probably you have two plays in the NBA tonight. Zach, what are they? I have the rockets money line against the 76ers. It's a pretty good rest spot for Houston against a Philly team that's playing a third game and four nights. This rockets team, honestly, like they've been a little bit disappointing this year, but you look at some of the numbers. They're still

5:08really strong. When looking at their advanced stats profile, their number two in the league adjusted net rating. They're also the fourth best defensive team in the league. And one of the things that the rockets do very well is they get back on defense. Their number three in the league and points allowed per 100 possessions and transition. That's really big against the 76ers, because Maxi and Edgecomb are so freaking fast that they can just kill teams with their speed. But I don't think that's going to happen against Houston. I do think a men Thompson's going to take one of those two guards kind of out of the play when he is covering them. And I also think that overall while Steven Adams is out for the rockets, they're missing a big offensive readouting presence. I still like the way that Houston's the rest of their lineup is much bigger than Philly's. Okay. And then you are fading the Warriors, the post Jimmy Butler Warriors here. Yeah, I've taken the Mavericks plus five and a half minus one 10 against the Warriors. I think that Golden State's in a really weird spot right now because it's not just that they have to replace Butler's production. It's that they need to do it with very few trade assets.

6:11He's a player that impacts the game on both ends of the floor. And I think just mentally right now, that locker room's got to be in a fragile place because I talked about it with Kelly on Harwood handicapers, which is available wherever you get your podcasts. This is a team that was looking to buy at the trade deadline. They were linked to guys like Michael Porter, Jr. And some of the names that you're hearing that are being floated at this deadline. And now they're just not in a position where they're going to be looking to add anymore because why would you trade good future assets to kind of recoup what you lost in Butler when it's not going to mean anything in the long term? I think this team is probably going to be pretty fragile. And the Mavericks have been very good against the spread at home when playing against teams of winning records. And they've also been very good as underdogs of three and a half to nine and a half at home. We believe they're actually eight know against the spread this season in that situation. Okay. By the way, correction from earlier, I said the thunder had to go 35 and 0 to break the record. I shortchaded 37 and 0 to break the record. So what they have to do. Okay, barely 37 and eight. So there you go. Small task. Okay, to tennis, the Australian open. First of all, how's the tournament gone for you so far, Zach?

7:16I think I'm a little up. I need to go back and look at all my numbers because I do have challenged our stuff as well. And just on one file, I really need to do a better job of separating it. But think up up a little in the Aussie open last night. I did at Bartook of a good free advantage. So that was a small play. But it ended up cashing big because it was plus 860. So that was nice. Wow. That's amazing. You had to read to beat Benchich. That's yes. I had a plus one and a half sets of the bigger play, although not not even a full unit on that. And then I had a smaller play on the money line. I just watched a lot of her like kind of at the lower levels of tennis. And I think she's really crazy talented. And I thought she looked all right in her match against Kassakina. It didn't look like the moment was too big for her and Benchich as good as she is. Just not a player that you could really trust match by now. See, against Kassakina, I had the numbers pointed to Barton Kova. And I didn't have the onions to play it. And I hated myself after that. But not for one second would I have played her against Benchich. So good on you for that. The player I have regret on yesterday was I had my numbers pointing to select Matova. I still like made a pardon me against Badosa. And again, I didn't pull the trigger

8:22on that. So my tournament is there's a lot of regrets so far in my tournament. I had one bad day. So I'm kind of right on even as well. So far through two rounds. All the future still intact. And so because now we're at the third round and it's only like a bit it's a you know, brackets of 32. I was able to actually get ahead of this. And so I've I've just submitted my picks. And you sir and I have matched on two. What are your Australian open picks for everybody? Yes, I'll start with the one that we're not on together. I have Cam Norie against Alexander's Veriv over three and a half sets of minus one thirty seven. That's really because I just haven't been that impressed with Veriv going back to the second half of last season. And the start of this season, I think that he's been struggling to kind of win matches convincingly. I mean, both of the matches he's played in Melbourne so far have gone to four sets. And I think that Norie has pushed him before at this very tournament. He's pushed him before in general. I mean, this is a player that is very, very tough, very competitive. He's got not going to quit on like

9:23anything. And he does kind of have like a forehand that can be really loopy. That can kind of change angles up on his Veriv a little bit. Really just kind of throw him off. And Norie has been serving very well. So just to start of the season. So I could see this being a match with a tiebreaker or two. And those are the types of matches that I generally do think get extended a little bit. I think the tiebreakers, while they favor one player usually, I do also think that they're kind of coin flips. All right. And the ones we match on, uh, let's start with, uh, let's start with Eva Yovic. Yep. I have Yovic plus 122 against Paulini. That's another one where it's like form really shouldn't matter this early in a season. Like there shouldn't be that much tennis. But you know, Yovic has played 11 matches. She's nine and two heading into this match. So you could make a good argument that she's like the hottest player on tour coming into this match. And Paulini is a player that really looks like the worst player in the field at last year's WTA finals and then hasn't looked that great to start this season either. So I think it's a getable, you know, match here for Yovic, who I think's going to be a big factor on the WTA tour for a very,

10:26very long time. Only 17 years old. Very talented. And then Andre Rubello is a favorite against Francisco Cerundolo, but not a not a big enough favorite in my opinion. Yours too. Yeah, I agree. I mean, Cerundolo has better numbers when looking at just last year, but if you kind of break things down to three years and look at a larger sample size, I think Rubello has the stronger player there. Don't let us down. Rubello have get to your, you know, normal quarter final that you normally get to. Andre with why? Well, just lead. Just ruin this one. That's all we ask. NFL was that next on a numbers game. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline. And now so can you. Vincent Pro gives you access to the same real time insights, the sharps use, no secrets, no fluff, just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious betters are turning knowledge into profit with Vs.

11:27I don't forget to check out the sharp plays on mass transparency with records updated daily AI betting analysis real time global betting information and alerts directly from the pros sharp plays. Dot com check them out scan the QR code there for more we get tweets. We get tweets be to the book. Um, Buddha said, oh, Kelly, when in doubt, I was harking back to urban poet slash philosopher, Humpty hump when it comes to deciphering any of life's perplexing conundrums from an unreleased remix alphabetical, parathetical spherical miracle whip. This is from a mortal J a special numbers game investigation reveals the alphabet. Josie 714, can you possibly give a cliff note explanation of how profit x is banned in California, but calcium is legal seems the same to me. Yes, here's the cliff note version. And I will try to make this as exciting as possible. Profit x falls under

12:29the sweepstakes umbrella. And so is its own sort of umbrella that is available in a little just shy of 40 states. The sweepstakes umbrella or loophole some would call it is its own thing. It's a state by state thing. The prediction markets like calcium like polymarket, but let's take calcium specifically. In this case, as you're asking, calcium is under the commodities exchange umbrella umbrellas by word, by the way, CFTC the commodities exchange. And so is legal federally under that auspices. And so it's two different things legalized sportsbooks hate both. I believe this is just my opinion now. I believe that that the sweepstakes loophole of prediction of excuse me, sweepstakes loophole of a profit x will slowly, you know, sort of a road as the years go on. So

13:29California gone, New Jersey gone. I think you will see that as time goes on as a sort of concession to legalized sportsbooks, whereas I don't believe my opinion. I don't believe that the legalized sportsbooks trying to take down prediction markets by saying, hey, this should be under the jurisdiction of states like we are. I don't think that's going to work because Donald Trump Jr. is on the boards of both polymarket and calcium. And so I don't think that umbrella being under the commodities exchange being federally under the federal auspices. I don't think that's going away ever. Quite frankly, that's just my opinion. But those are the differences between calcium and profit x. Ed M has the answer to our question. On February 27th, 1998, Indiana squeaked past Portland 124 to 59 for a double up. So it has happened before. Boyer 1998. Okay. Chris Heath Singh Zach on screen was the biggest shock after only listening since Jeff the Grover Cleveland of producers. What does that mean that you didn't

14:31think Zach looked like Zach looked like. I know that man. Apparently, I don't know what that means. And Richard Rogers, I'm sure you've seen this guy teaching English, but this one made me think of you. Oh, I don't know. He sent me a video of something. I'm doing a show of the s. The it's a guy. I saw this video. There's a guy who's basically explaining to himself. You know, these things on social media where it's the same person, but they're talking to each other explaining how ridiculous ESPN's Australian open coverages, how like you have to buy different levels. A Montreal Max gets upset about this too. Zach, we'll bring in Zach Cohen. By the way, I don't know if you if you're as an irked by this as well, but the ESPN, ESPN treats the Australian open, like the poor stepchild, they can possibly treat it as, but I guess tennis views it as, hey, still more eyeballs than we get any other way. Yeah, I think it's horrible. I think to to like not let people watch the three best matches that are already paying for a product. It might not be the product. I think it's kind of disgusting, but man, I don't want to bash them too much. Yeah, no. But but but but people notice, let's put it that way.

15:34Okay, one more tennis thing. You said you you want to make a Q3 bet on the men's side? Yeah, I think Joe Kavish anywhere up to like minus 120 minus 125 to win quarter three looks like a pretty good bet right now. I know it's always early in the tournament where he kind of looks fresh and healthy and you know, you should look like that after you know, it off season, but I really have been impressed with the way that he's been playing both as a server, you know, from the baseline, I think that the movement looks really good. And I did read a lot over the kind of off season about how he was retooling his body and working, you know, with some of these like bio physicists or whatever they are. I don't know what they what type of biobacadic coaches, whatever they are to try to kind of, you know, reverse his aging clock a little like, you know, as a as a no back joke, I'm it would and I do think that you kind of look at this draw and it's it's like filled with some of like the ghosts of joke, I'm it's just passed like the other way. Like Taylor Fritz has not been able to beat him throughout his career. Musetti has been haunted by joke and it's throughout his career. I admit that men's cheek is the one that can really kind of give him trouble. If they do end up facing one another like we saw that at the Miami Open last year,

16:36he had a lot of trouble with that powerful server. They're just kind of hitting the ball by him, but I do think that in a best of five, I'd give the edge to joke of it. So I do think he's going to come out of here. I don't know what that means in terms of long, you know, long term, I think he probably just gets washed by center eventually, but I do think he could win this quarter. Men's side, not, I mean, ladies side, we've had a few upsets, Benchitch, Kostya, obviously there have been a couple, but Dosa, if you consider that, which I don't, but on the men's side, I mean, who's the best player that's been knocked out or Kots? I mean, it's really there hasn't been any to this point through two rounds as we were not quite at the business end of the tournament, but we move on to the third round starting today. Okay, to the national football league. Let's start with the, uh, the AFC championship where the Broncos are five and, well, settling in right around five, I guess, uh, let's call that consensus right now. We were showing a four and a half at circa here. The Broncos four and a half point home dogs against the Patriots. Of course, it's Jared's did him 42 and a half as the total. Where did

17:38you land on this game? I laid the four and a half at the Patriots. Like, I understand the argument for Stidem. I understand that he's not this big of a drop off from Nix, like what you're kind of looking at the point spread for a normal week, but at the same time, like he has not played a game since 2023. And this isn't just a normal regular season game, like you're throwing him out there against what are the best teams in the league? And you're asking him to go out and kind of keep up with a Patriots team that has number one in the league in EPA per play this season. I just think that it would be a little bit easier if they had a really strong running game, but that running game has been really inconsistent all year. So I'm not getting the normal, like, oh, we have a backup quarterback in. We'll just pound away, you know, between the tackles and, you know, shrink the game a little bit. I think they're going to try to do that. I just don't think they're going to have a lot of success running on that path's D line. And I think at some point, we're going to see a big player to remain. I think that that might be the difference in them covering the number. I think it's a pretty small number. When you're talking about a backup quarterback against a player that has been, you know, statistically, the best passer in the league. Okay. The NFC

18:41championship, you have decided to not only take the points here, you've decided you're taking the Rams on the money line. Forget the points. Yeah, it just kind of feels like a big discount to me. When you kind of look at the full season's body of work, this Los Angeles team is number one in the league in net EPA per play, you know, factoring in both offense and defense. And I kind of look back to both of the regular season games that these teams played. And it really felt like the Rams were the better team to me. I had the COX in that second game. So I was very happy that they ended up winning, but they were down 16 in the fourth quarter. It took a punt return touchdown to even make that game close and then kind of a miraculous finish for them to ultimately win the game. But you look at the two matchups and the Rams were up double digits in both games at some point. I end that this is a bit of an overreaction to what we've seen in Seattle's wins over San Francisco. And I'll just kind of point to the quarterbacks and coaches here as major mismatches in my opinion. I end up what Stafford has done in the postseason throughout his career and what he has accomplished throughout his career is just kind of head and shoulders above above what we've seen from Darnels. I end

19:44Darnels a good quarterback, just not proven at this and also kind of, you know, dealing with that oblique injury that is almost pushed him out of the game last week. And also I like McVay over McDonnell's when we're looking at the coaches, I think McDonnell's a really good coach. But I do think that McVay is just kind of proven himself a bit more. I forgot you wanted to play a game show host here with the stage of eliminations and tennis guy. I want to double back to that here for the last couple of minutes. Yeah, we all, we got everything from Zach on NFL. Yeah, I think so. All right. Yeah, that's all I have. Who will advance further and the women's Australian open? Amanda and this Amova or Mira Andreva, minus 190 for an Isomova plus 135 for Andreva. That's how bad it. I have an Isomova winning this tournament. So I would like to say it's going to be an Isomova. I think that Anderson Mova got a pretty decent draw here, although, you know, a potential matchup with Nozkova definitely a little bit scary. But I do think the American will go a little bit deeper than Andreva. I think it's probably an Isomova as the favorite is properly priced. All right, move on. Who will advance further? A lot of cheese.

20:47Alana Rabakata minus 140 or Coco Gough even money. Gill Alexander will start with you. Coco has to, I think it's what was the prices again, minus 140 for Rabakata even money for Coco. Well, Rabakata just got the benefit of Benchich being knocked out. So that then changes this to Rabakata. We'll probably get to the quarters and face either Shfiateko or Saka, whereas Coco will have to play Mohova in the round of 16 before she plays Andreva in the quarter final. So I will say that that is a Rabakata bet at minus 140. Zach. Yeah, I would have Rabakata. I mean, a lot of this is based on my priors. If I have Rabakata win the tournament too, those are my two picks to win. Anisomova and Rabakata. And I do think that Mohova's got a good shot against Gough when they meet in the fourth round or if they meet in the fourth round. I think there's a really good shot. She wins that match. All right. Last one, Madison Keys or Victoria Mboko minus 310 for keys, plus 225 from Boko. I think there's a chance Mboko could lose to Towson. I will say

21:51Keys is properly priced there. Yeah, I think they're both going to be eliminated in the same round. So I don't really know. I would, I'll give them Boko a better chance just because I don't think that Towson's been playing quite as well as you did last year to start this season. Yeah, I don't think Keys is getting past Pagula and I don't think Mboko's getting past Saba Lake in the round of 16. So I'm with Zach. Thank you, Zach. Appreciate it. Thanks, guys. On a numbers game. We're football next. We always are excited when this gentleman braces us with his presence. He is the host, the co-host. It's not overstate co-host. I've already said bet, which he does with Matt Brown, co-host of the Sharp Money Podcast, which he does with Patrick Mahar. Ladies and gentlemen, you could follow him on Twitter at Somo Bomb 18. It's our friend Mike Somich joining the show at this early hour. How you doing, Mike? Oh, I'm doing good. Had my coffee got up early this morning, big weekend. We got

22:56lot of horse racing. Obviously, the NFL games hockey and full swing here. So I excited to dive into it with you guys. Would you like to field a ground ball from a listener first or someone has a question for you? This is from Yeah, bring it on. Bet a nickel spence. Can you ask Somo Bomb? What he thinks of is this tap in street or tap in state? I'm going to say tap in street this weekend. Only horse to beat sovereignty last year, but dealt with a long-term injury. Rachel was always guys. Thank you, spence. Yeah, it's upon street number seven. She's getting number 13. Come on, Gil. How do you not know that? Race number 13, on Saturdays, the Pegasus World Cup champion chip here, $3 million race for older horses. It is established about four, five, six years ago. Been a fun race every single year. Always an interesting race because you have some of these three year olds who just turned four taking on older horses. Field of 12 with one also eligible. So full field in this one. And I just, I don't like the favorites here. I don't like this go time. The one who is another four year old stepping up, taking on older, but he is a dead speed horse. He'll

23:57try and break from the rail. Go right to the lead. There's a lot of speed signed on. Other favorite is going to be white a barrio, the 11 who just has not been able to reach the levels that he had earlier in his career. Now a seven year old. I actually am going to bet to Pond Street to win here. Six to one on the morning line. The number seven horse in the Pegasus World Cup race 13 at Gulf Stream on Saturday. The reader mentioned it. Look, this is the only horse that beat sovereignty and was improving as a three year old was injured. Came back for a single race to kind of prep for this spot. Now, it's going to need to improve to be able to really get to the winner's winner circle here, but is a very likely horse to take a step forward. And Brad Cox is the trainer to Pond Street. Brad Cox is also the trainer of disco time, who is your morning line favorite at nine to five. He has no reason to enter to Pond Street in this race. If this horse isn't ready to roll, the setup should be perfect. If you go back and watch the Florida Derby, which is a mile and a race over this Gulf Stream Park turf, exactly the same conditions as we have on Saturday. He was able to sit right behind the speed and get first run on sovereignty and then hold him off.

24:58I think you're going to get a very similar street from Pond Street on Saturday, where he will sit fourth, fifth somewhere in that range behind these horses that are going fast early. Get first run around that far turn. I think he's a very good chance to hang on against the closer. So I'll take to Pond Street on top here at six to one in the Pegasus World Cup on Saturday race number 13 from Gulf Stream. I think I'm about to make me a horse bet. We got a tweet asking about that specific horse. So we got a tweet. So Mike tipped us off, right? Yeah, Mike. He's going to be on to Pond Street at six to one. And we happened to get a tweet coincidentally from Spence, Betta Nickel, asking specifically about to Bonds Street. Sometimes it works out that way. And there you go. Spence. Spence saw something. Yeah, saw something. He's on the right track. I'm making up the tweets right there. Uh, speaking of which, I said, I said, Mike is the co-host of ready set bed and of the sharp money podcast. But I always forget to mention that you are, of course, all about V sent at the track as well. When is the next episode drop? Uh, we are recording at nine thirty this morning. Oh, Pacific time. So we are going to have an episode drop today for V sent at the track. We're going to cover four of these seven graded

26:00stakes races at Gulf Stream Park on Saturday as well as two best bets from myself and Aaron Halterman of Racing Dude. So you'll have four best bets on the card plus four graded stakes races. Make sure you check out V sent at the track wherever you get your podcasts or over at YouTube at V sent at the track on its own YouTube channel as well. Okay. Now usually you also come on here and you have a hockey picker to force. But I think it's worth even when you don't have one to just sort of tell people, Hey, I just didn't see anything. And today is one of those days. Yeah, it's a tough day. I mean, a lot of games. So you would think I'd be able to pull something out here. But from a numbers perspective, I'm within a couple of cents of almost every single line as it currently sits. And so it's hard for me to try and force something and one of the beauties of the NHL, one of the beauties of MBAs. I'm sure Kelly could tell you there's games tomorrow. There's games the day after that. There are always more opportunities to be able to bet on these things. And I wanted to come on here and take the senators. They're minus 118. I have them at minus 125. But they're going to miss their starting goalie in this spot. And to me, the edge is not quite big enough to be able to fire at it. So if anything today, I would be playing

27:00the senators, but no official NHL bets for me today. I used to say that when I exclusively bet baseball and was a baseball handicap or there was 2,430 baseball games. And they used to open on a Sunday night. And I was used to be like, you know, you don't have to bet everything tonight. There are there are 2,439 more of these coming up. So I just think that's a worthwhile thing to tell people that just because they're there. I mean, you have to fire on them if you don't see value. Okay, to the national football league. Patriots and Broncos, are we avoiding the side here? What are we doing with this? We're not avoiding the side. We're waiting to get the number I want on whatever team ends up getting to that number first. And it's been frustrating for me. This was a look ahead of one and a half for Denver. The line opened at Patriots minus four. I would have played Patriots minus four. I missed that number. I was looking for Denver plus six. Kind of ticked there in one book for like 10 minutes. I didn't get the plus six. So I still don't have a bet on the side here. I do think there's a little overreaction with this Jared Stedom thing. I look, if Jared Stedom had played quarterback for the Houston Texans last week, they would have

28:04advanced past New England. And I do think there is a world here where this Denver defense is able to do something very similar that Houston was able to do up front. And that is just make Will Campbell's life miserable. You've got an offensive line that now has to go on the road. After struggling at home in two playoff games, that makes a big difference. We're talking silent counts. We're not going to have the same, uh, the same continuity on the offensive side that you had when you were at home. I think Denver may be able to win the turnover battle here. Just purely on strip sacks. Nothing let alone anything else. And Stedom, yes, he hasn't done a pass in a long time. Sean Payton's going to come out here with a game plan that's a lot of short passes and a lot of shots. You're not going to get those intermediate 15, 20 yard passes down the field that result in a lot of intercepts. And so I don't think this is a game where you see Stedom turn the ball over three, four times, which is what some people are talking about. I think this is a pretty clean game from Denver. And that means that the Patriots have to have a clean game as well. I do think it points toward the under because Denver is going to struggle to run the football. This is a very good run defense from the Pats. And this is a Broncos team that is going to try and stop the run as well. We

29:05saw New England be conservative from a play calling perspective, especially early in that game against Houston. I would be surprised if New England just opens it up early in this game as well, because they believe that they have the advantage, especially with Stedom at quarterbacks. I think this tends toward the under so I played under 42 and a half in this game. But no bet on the side yet, if we get a Patriots forward to small bet for me, if we get back to Broncos six, it's a small bet for me. If you told me I had to take a side right now, it would be Broncos money line plus two 15. I'd rather just take a shot at the bigger number there on the money line. You are not required to take a side. I do want to let two things, just two reactions. One, you brought up what we quoted Andy Molotor from the deep dive podcast is saying that the Jared Stidom comparison is really not to bonix. It's to CJ Stroud last week, right? I think that's like an important little handicapping point. And the other thing is you were talking about Sean Peyton here. I've told the story before about my dad who was mechanical engineer in the DC area. And whenever he'd see like a really strangely designed building because that was kind of his thing, he'd be like the

30:06architect built this as a monument to himself, right? Because it was so ugly. That was his line. I think Sean Peyton is going to build this game as a monument to himself game plan wise. Like this is going to be the Sean Peyton playbook explosion, right? And to what extent now that that results in win or loss or cover or not, we shall see. But I definitely think that this is going to be an interesting game from a game planning perspective. You do have a couple props in this game. I do. Yeah. So I like Kishan Bude to go over his longest reception. You get that at 19 and a half. He's going to get a lot of Riley Moss. And we've seen teams pick on Riley Moss consistently when he is lined up across, especially from a deep ball receiver. We've seen booty make plays time in and time out down the field. Drake May throw is a great deep ball. I think he gets three or four shots in this game down the field. So I'll take booty over 19 and a half longest reception. And we don't have a number yet for Harvey. I checked fan dual check draft Kings. I like his reception prop. You mentioned this is basically going to be Sean Peyton's Mona Lisa. This is going to be his ugly building. He loves to run screens. And I was screaming at the television to run screens

31:11last week for Houston. I think you're going to see a similar game plan with the Patriots trying heat up system. If that's the case, Peyton's going to go to the screen game. And Harvey is the running back that is going to be the beneficiary there out of the backfield. So I do like Harvey overs. I'm hoping he's going to be listed in the low 20s high teens. If he is, that's definitely a bet for me. Wouldn't play it over like the 25 and a half number. But do like do like Harvey out of the backfield getting receiving yards. Okay. To the Rams and the Seahawks and the NFC championship. How did you decide to play this? You know, I haven't played a side yet. And it's because I don't know what the deal is with Matthew Stafford's finger. I don't think enough is being made of this. He started out eight for eight in that first playoff game and then went through his stretch after hitting his finger where he wasn't good. I watched that Bears game a couple times. You cannot convince me that he is a hundred percent with that hand right now. He looked, he missed throws that he never misses. Yeah. So I'm going to I want to bet the Rams. But I'm worried about the finger. And that's why I'm not on them right now. I am going to play a prop here and lean into it. Give me Sam Darnellt and Matthew Stafford each to throw an interception. You can get that at two to

32:14one. Darnell thrown six against this Rams team already this year. I think he gets one. The questions to Stafford. If this Seattle defense gets the Stafford from last week, they're going to pick them off at least one. So give me both of them to record an INT at plus 200 and Rashid Jihad. You're doing something with him as well. Love this one. I am. Yeah. Give me over his rushing prop here. Three and a half yards. Since coming to Seattle, he has had at least one run in seven of the 10 games. He's gotten at least one run in both games against the Rams this year, gone over this prop in five of those 10 games. I think she gets involved on the ground. They have to get the ball to him more. He's one of their best playmakers. All right. And you and Patrick do it a full sharp money episode on both of these games. Yes. We we are. That records at 1230 today. So we'll have a new decent at the track. New sharp money. Make sure you check out the YouTube page at sharp money. Make sure you check out your podcast wherever you get them. Apple Spotify will be covering everything we like on both of these games and go deep dive into both of them. So much full day of recording. Thanks for showing up for this one for slumming with us. We appreciate it, man. Thank you. You got it. Mike's so much everybody. Coming back. Are we sure next

33:18continue? Thank you. We're getting ready for big game 60 with the big deal to match saved $60 off at Vesen. All right. I just said off a Vesen pro annual subscription. That's 60 dollars off a Vesen pro annual subscription when you sign up using promo code ANJ ANG as in a nimble gnome. Become a Vesen pro annual subscribe or bet smarter all year long with full access to our daily best bets from Veecin hosts and guests, realtime draft kings and circuit betting splits, AI powered prop tools and matchup analysis 24 7 video and full show replays on the Veecin watch app plus all our betting guides and expert picks for the Superbowl and upcoming March madness. Don't miss out on this big game deal. Visit Veecin.com slash subscribe and use promo code ANG to save $60 off of the simple annual subscription today. That's VSIN dot com slash subscribe. I didn't give you another opportunity because I let you botch the first one. Hmm, I didn't not create it.

34:19Yeah, I was trying to eat an annual nocturnal. I need to work on my options my list. Nocturnal is a good word. Brian, Brian Schaefer 31. Gil, one stays in your fandom. One has to go ego or Steph. Well, you know, since you ask, I'm going to give a very detailed breakdown on this. One, if you're talking about betting, Steph has to go because while Steph has made a me tons of money in the past, particularly on that first warriors play off run. To the championship, he hasn't really the warriors are not a thing anymore. So he's really not a betting vehicle, whereas ego is the gift that keeps on giving a will in the future as well. So from that perspective, Steph has to go, but if you're just asking me about a, a life's in, okay, well, not literal enrichment, because that would be eager to, but I'm just talking about the, the affirmation of life. Like who has provided more joy over time? The answer is Steph Curry has an ego would have to go if that's the nature of the question. People, people love the first exchange we had on the show today. Buddhist man is pointing you to a non alphabetical listing of the names for the NFL awards

35:23finalists and Chuck is them one. LOL. He says Kelly about to dive into the conspiracy of the order of the MVP candidates. Gill quote, Kelly, it's alphabetical order. I'd quote, LOL. Yes. We, you know, sometimes yeah, just break the news gently. Did you, you didn't even look over all of them, right? No, I just saw them on the screen. I saw the one single MVP one. I'm still kind of impressed by it, Gill. I think it's not like you had like I had all of them that I looked at you just saw one. You mean the fact that I could see Josh Allen was the first one and I could sus it out, just like that. Yeah. Yeah. I'm a wildly talented man. I want to do these props first before we get the best you want to do the best first. Let's do the bets. That's yesterday we didn't even get them all in. Oh, yeah, we, we, we shortchanged Nick Whalen. Broncos plus five and a half again is my only NFL bet. I am on three tennis plays today. I already tipped off what two of them are on the show earlier. If you missed it, if you missed it, I am on Andre Rubelev on the men's side.

36:24I am also on the Eva Yovic on the women's side. I have one more women's bet that I will allow for us. We will save for subscribers at Vecen.com slash picks. But again, we're the third round now. So instead of 128 player field, men's and women's is down to 32. And I got a podcast to do so I had to get ahead of it last night. So there you go. Three picks, but those are the two that Zach and I are both on. We'll get to that momentarily. Kelly, for me, nothing tonight in the NBA. However, the trailblazers are back in action after a four, four days off. I believe it is blazers over 39 and a half wins. I've talked about this. I think every day this week, that's how long they've been off. So a number of still available over 39 and a half. And I'm actually leaning towards them in their game tonight. I'm just waiting to see some injury information. They are one and a half point home favorites against the main heat. Uh, yes, I continue to pick on the heat with mixed results. So we'll see how that goes through all day, through all day questionable, well, wear questionable for that game tonight. Nothing else for the NBA though NFL this weekend.

37:26Got that Seahawks six to one to win the NFC ticket. I think I'll just be riding with the only shop. Other notable thing that I noticed today with these lines, man, we've kind of just been sitting on the same numbers. Oh, we go with Patriots Broncos ramp Seahawks little movement on the totals. And 47, 46 and a half out there for that ramp Seahawks total. There was one shop we had here in town, though, kill that was hope that was hanging a juiced three out there on the Seahawks. That that has come down stations was on three for a little bit, but now they are down to two and a half. So yeah, all two and a half on the board. That was the only one I was really considering might be buying off some of my Seahawks position was a Rams plus three. For right now, though, I'm just going to let the six to one ride Rams. Seahawks under 47 and a half. I do like the under in that game. And then I have the hypothetical look at Rams laying three over the Patriots. Yeah, not listed for me. Also on the heels of the 10 to one Hoosier's bet caching to win the Nadi also have that the two few to all of our Australian open futures still alive through two

38:26rounds. Again, Ega, Naomi Osaka. Um, to, uh, to win the, uh, and, uh, Jesse Pagula to win it all on the lady side. Lorenzo Mossetti to win quarter three and Jesse Pagula to win quarter number three on the lady side. Those are all still alive as are the season longs. Obviously Yonic center to win three slams exactly Ega to win two slams exactly on lady side at plus four 50 and plus three 50 respectively. And then basketball, by the way, we don't list because it's a, it's a futures. So we don't list it every day. But again, I have the spurs to win the, the, uh, title in the NBA this year. And I have the spurs to meet to the Celtics at 125 to one. I checked to see what that price was today 40 to one. I was going to guess 50. Yeah, that's great. That's a great spurs at 19 to one to win at all, but spurs Celtics at, uh, 125 to one. So let's go, baby. To make that happen. I mean, I mean, these Celtics are second shot on the board at this point when the east. Yeah. Yeah. Zach Cohen, as I mentioned, uh, he was on earlier rockets tonight in the NBA for

39:27Zach versus the sixers on the money line and the Mavericks plus the points versus the warriors plus five and a half on Dallas NFL this weekend. He's on the Rams money line in the NFC championship. He's laying the points with the Patriots in the AFC championship preceding that lady laying the four and a half on the Patriots. And by the way, his tennis plays, uh, he is as well. He's on Andre Rubelev in tennis on the men's side versus, uh, Francisco Serum de Lowe. Rubelev at minus one 41. He's on Eva Yovic as well, plus one 22 versus Jasmine Paulini. And then he also has himself a, uh, a bet. Noreans Veriv scam, Nory Sasha's Veriv over three and a half sets minus one 37. Zach's tennis plays, uh, as well. So, uh, a three pack from him there, Michael Sommage, Sommal bombing, Pegasus, World Cup, Kelly, race 13, the number seven horse to, to pond street. Is that really called it? Yeah. To pond, so we, we spelled it wrong there. It should be T A P P A N to pond street at six to one coincidentally.

40:30We got a tweet about it right beforehand. So that was that, that worked out well. Once again, Pegasus World Cup, race 13, number seven horse to pond street six to one football. Patriots Broncos under 42 and a half from Mike. He's also got a couple props in that, uh, Patriots Broncos game. K Sean Booty over 19 and a half longest reception, 19 and a half yards. And Jarrett's did him over 196 and a half passing yards of that game. And then in the NFC championship, Sam Darnold and Matt Stafford both to throw a pick each two to one and Rashid Shaheed over three and a half rushing yards. All that takes is one play call. Make it happen. Seahawks Rashid Shaheed over three and a half. I will be betting that too. I brought that up earlier in the week. I hadn't seen anybody post it yet. I looked at draftings. Yes, I didn't see it up like, uh, props get, uh, becoming more widely available. I will be on that one as well on a squeeze in some, uh, props before we, uh, or get out of here. Well, I got trivia for you first. Oh, trivia. Oh, I like trivia. All right, four quarterbacks all time have appeared in the conference championship around seven times or more. Whoa.

41:31Can you name those four quarterbacks, Tom Brady, ding, ding, ding, Patrick, my homes ding, ding, ding, ding, seven times or more in Patrick, my home seven times. He's exactly seven, Joe Montana, ding, ding, ding, and the fourth and toughest one. Perhaps the reason Kelly would have asked this question. Oh, that's interesting. Uh, I was discussed earlier in the show. He was discussed earlier in the show. Yeah, James Garoppolo James Garoppolo. Wow. That crazy three different teams from Jimmy Garoppolo. Now, seventh championship round appearance. He was just in the roster. He was on the roster, like the wording I said, yeah, yeah, yeah. And it's a play. I didn't say play in seven games. Here's the thing about Garoppolo. He's just not going to get enough attention off. Off the field either. It's really not tough life, tough life, tough life. I heard just a few props here. Well, I don't give you these in here. Remember that for the championship games, highest scoring team, um, this makes sense again, just from a, uh, team total perspective.

42:34Again, do the conflation of the, uh, the spread and the total, uh, right now, what you're looking at. Seahawks is plus 145 Rams, plus 225 Patriots, plus 250 Broncos, plus 550. That jibes with the fact that the Seahawks are supposed to score around 25. Patriots are supposed to score around 24 Rams around 22. And then the Broncos at around 19, if you do that. So not exactly a line that can be drawn, but kind of what it should be drawn. I don't have a, uh, this to be comes down to your handicaps of the games, obviously, as it should always, but I don't know that I have a bet. Low scoring team is just going to be the inverse of this. Yeah. Right. Yeah, um, yeah, I guess real quick. I was going to say kind of betting some of those, I think the tails, right? Some of the wild outcomes. I think if you're on the Broncos this week, I don't think it's a bad look at five to one, uh, for them to be the highest scoring team. I, you know, that, that Rams Seahawks game, I think we're getting two good defenses playing each other. I lower scoring game definitely in the realm of possibility. I don't hate that one. Let's do these real quick weekly passing leaders.

43:36Um, I was going to say them for tomorrow. Oh, you're going to say those for tomorrow. Yeah, yeah, the lowest, the lowest scoring team, uh, that's another one where I think there's some, I think there's some potential value on the Rams now. And if you, if you like the Seahawks or vice versa, I, again, I think that's it. I think that's more of a defensive battle. I'm on the under. I think we're good points are going to be tough to come by in that game. We'll do passing. We'll do receiving. We'll do rushing. Yeah, we're going to do those tomorrow boys and girls. Carolyn, we're going to do that. Well, if you want to do McCrack, yeah, that's okay. We'll save him for tomorrow. Crack is next unscripted with Bill Crackenberger on a numbers game. It beats in these sports betting network.