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A Numbers Game — Best of A Numbers Game | January 2, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
The numbers told the story of how he's down swandles 80 to believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with kill I like Xander gone. V sent good Friday morning to this and numbers game at V sent these sports betting that we're V sent dot com game plus I hard radio YouTube TV and of course series X of channel 158 is kill Alexander that right There's my little buddy Kelly Bidley everybody on a Friday morning a football Friday. How you doing man? Do well? How you doing? How are we doing? Very well. How are you doing man? You look auctioneer style right there. Do well. Do well. Do well. What a day of college football yesterday. My goodness. We are we're down at the final four. Semis are set. We'll get in all of that here momentarily on the show today. Steve Fessig makes us a try on from Return to the show after an absence last week. He was sick last week. He will be back. But in a different hour. He's on next hour. He needed an early call this morning. So so Fess on next hour with us for all of his thoughts on the college football
semis and more everything that's on his mind. JVT will join a Zach Cohen who was not with us yesterday will join us talk NBA and NFL week 18. JVT will talk. JVT will be the guy who gets the first crack at the semi final numbers for us. See what his thoughts are on Indiana, Oregon. Oh miss in Miami. Oh boy. Looking forward to it. Hey little tennis on the show today as well. Try a little tennis prop talk. I like it. Let's go tennis. We're back. Not quite yet. But we're almost there. I don't do United Cup. But I was going to say I saw someone playing the United Cup has started by as winds. Is that is that the feels? Is that they're like the official start? Is the official start this United Cup? It's of the season. It's the beginning of the season. Yeah. The real, the real, you know, the break WTA ATP tournament start for reals next week. Looking forward to that. And we'll do every NFL game week 18. We'll do it all. Can we begin to reverse order? Can we talk about the old Miss Georgia game first? Yeah. That's probably a good idea. Just because the other two were more men. Yeah. The most game of the day and not even close. Yeah.
I had a going two and two in my ATS in the in the preflop in the semis. I did not get this one. I had Georgia, which I think so many people did. And in the end, what what a football game. We got to talk about Kirby smart. First of all, all Miss gets on the board first with two Lucas Carnaro field goes one from 55, one from 56 ice man. That was good. Every time there's a great college player. No, I was maybe coming. I was like, you know, I would look good and burgundy and gold. This Lucas Carnaro character would look awesome. Would look awesome. Six. Now they all miss early. But then Georgia would come back with that seven place 75 yard drive gunner stocked in from 12 out. Seven to six. Georgia early third early second quarter. Mississippi response. Eight place 75 yards and 304. Trinidad. Chambles. Just phenomenal in this ball game. 30 for 46 for 362 and two touchdowns. That good enough for you. Yeah. This one was to a 47 year old tight ed Lucas. Lucas from a three out. Check out Lucas. By the way, yeah, it's like it's like they decided to give their old strength coach. You go at it. Three out. Two point try fails 12 to seven Ole Miss 1033 left in the second quarter.
And then Georgia responds immediately 12 plays 75 yards. Stocked in from one 14 to 12 dogs with 405 left in the second quarter. That was after three third down conversions on that drive. The second of which was a third and 13 at their own 35. We're stocked and went to Zachariah branch for 15. We're branch looked. We're a stocked and looked doom or excuse me, branch looked doomed for a loss, but he ducked the defender and somehow got to the sticks. And then the third and 12 of the Ole Miss 27 stocked in side armed into cash Jones for 25 down to the one. Just before he got trucked. Stocked and just got destroyed on that play. It was just a great play by him. Ole Miss second fourth. No 42. Here's where Georgia took a two score lead. Remember that 14 to 12 now. Kiwan Lacey for four fumbles. Scoop and score from Dale and Everett. 46 yards debater. 21 to 12. Georgia 234 left in the second quarter. And then Mississippi just almost just completely botched. First of all, three and out after a huge drop by Dayquan right on the second last drive of the half. And then on the last drive of the half, they just completely botched the clock.
Don't have any time outs left. Thought they could spike it. Then realize, oh, no, it's for now. We got to do the fire drill didn't work disaster. Disaster 21 12. Georgia at the half. And if you're a Georgia backer, I guess you were okay right now. You're like, okay, well, I'm nine, but that shouldn't feel that great, I guess. Ole Miss first time had the ball second half. Fourth and what they're of 49 Lacey stuff by by Rayshawn Dinkins. Georgia then gets a Peyton Woodring 55 yard Villgull try short. Usually he's, he's, if not a short thing, you would expect more on that one. Still 21 12 and then Ole Miss seven play 63 yards. Fourth and three at the Georgia 44. Chambles to Harrison Walsh for 36. 22 of which was Yak two plays later. Lacey and from seven 29 to 21 to 19 Georgia, 451 left third quarter. Then Georgia with a three and out, but a fake punt from their own 30. Landon rolled down to loss and lucky for 16 two plays later. Stockton the Colby Young for 31 another amazing play by Stockton, where he brings in the defender only to hit his receiver before getting destroyed.
It was just taking it. That led to a Woodring 37 yard field. Well, 24 and 19 dogs with the 30 second left in the third quarter. Then Ole Miss with an insane third and seven conversion for their own 28 from Chambles. Scramly for his life gets it to Lacey for seven. Then to Harrison Walsh, third 44 to the Georgia 22 plays later. Lacey and from five 25 24. This time the two point try is good to Wallace. 27 24 Ole Miss with 11 29 left and then well, we got to talk about Kirby smart. Georgia three and out. They run the offensive unit back out after the punt team had lined up. Fourth and two at their own 33. Again, we're talking about like, you know, 11 minutes left in the ball game down three. Were you shocked that they snapped this ball that they actually went for? Of course. Stockton sacked. Ole Miss set up at the Georgia 23 two plays Chambles to Wallace from 14 out 34 24 Ole Miss 902 left. Still plenty of time down two scores now for Georgia.
Man did this get. Did things change in this one? Georgia takes one minute and 59 seconds off the clock to go six play 75 yards. We've seen gutter Stockton do this so many times. Stockton to branch from 18 out 34 31 Ole Miss with 703 left. Georgia needed to do it. He just figured out a way to get Ole Miss off the field for God's sakes. And you know what they figured out? They figured out that if the ref did not call a egregious face mask, that's how you get them off the field. And that's what happened. Ole Miss a three and out after the officials completely miss an egregious face mask on second down. Oh, so bad. Oh, so bad. Just completely missed. There was a few terribly missed calls in this. But that was the worst of the worst. Like how does everybody miss that? So Georgia gets the ball back down three fourth and nine at their own 48. This is it. Stockton to branch for 17 in the Ole Miss 36. A hole then sets them back two plays later second and 20 at the Mississippi 46. Stockton to branch for 11 on a wide receiving screen. Then with two minutes left, third and nine.
A PI on a compete at Gushiken of Ole Miss. Georgia set up at the 20. Ole Miss has two timeouts. Remember, feel going to tie touchdown. Puts the dogs ahead two plays later. Another flag this time a hold on Gushiken. Georgia set up at the Ole Miss eight. Ole Miss eight. Stockton for five. Gets to the three yard line. Ole Miss calls their second time out with 108 left. Then Chauncey Bowens loses three. And now Ole Miss uses their last timeout with 104 left on the clock. Remember, it's third and goal now at the six. What do you do if you're Georgia, right? This is the moment where again Kirby smart already did the terrible four down call in their own territory that eventually puts up Ole Miss up 10. With 104 left, Ole Miss has no way to stop the clock. Remember, you cannot stop Chauncey without the refs missing face mask, right? You got to figure out a way. Ideally, obviously, it's a touchdown.
But if you are going to tie this game, you got to figure out a way to milk the clock. A wide receiver screen perhaps, like a short pass that even if you get tackled then the clock moves because you're still in balance, instead they go to the end zone and complete. They get the wood ring 24-yard field goal 34-34, but 56 seconds left on the clock. Way too much time. For Trinidad Chambliss on this day. Ole Miss from their own 25, five-yard run. Clock moving, then incomplete when Zion Branch crunches catally. But third and five, perfect pass from Chambliss to Dejonce dribbling for 40, field goal range. By the way, then he almost throws a pick on the next pass. Incably and Incably, nine seconds left, Carnaro 47-yard field goal. Perfect. Ole Miss on their way. Oh, one more thing. Pitchy-pitchy-woo-woo results in a safety. And I know at least one person will hill who had plus three live on Georgia. Oh God. What do you even say to him at that point?
As the ball hits the pylon on a terrible lateral attempt. 39-34 Ole Miss on their way to take on Miami in one of the two national semis is going to be Indiana and Oregon and the other, which we'll talk about. But that performance yesterday from Ole Miss, I think when I think now I'm like, okay, of these four teams, how many think can legit win the national championship? My answer is three of the four. I just don't buy into Oregon. I know I'm, I differ from many in that regard. But I think the way that it's, can Ole Miss, is this what's going to happen? Is Ole Miss going to win it all with Lane Kevin's departure? Is that what this is going to be all about? I mean, I would, you know, ask what I'm rooting for. Give me the chaos. I love the chaos in college football. Coach Dips, they still going to win the national championship. I mean, what are we doing here anymore if that's the case? If I did not have the Indiana 10-to-1 ticket to win it all, I'd probably feel the same way. I'd probably feel the same way.
It looked good, man. Like you said, I mean, that is, I think one of the better, one of the better, games I've seen out, Chambers all year from the games that I've caught. I thought he was amazing. The Georgia, the Georgia play call stuff, though, was a disaster. Was a disaster. Disaster. Did you catch smart after the game, too, talking about that fourth now? No, what do you say? So the plan was, because there was an injury on Ole Miss, that's why they ran out the offense. And the whole plan was just to try to draw them off sides, and then they were going to take a delay of game and punt them all. And that the ball was snapped. He wasn't supposed to be snapped? He wasn't supposed to be snapped. One screw up, but you're that far deep in your own territory. You're willing to take a delay of game penalty to punt? Kane's three point favorites against Ole Miss on Thursday night. Fiesta ball. Indiana four point favorites. Peach Bowl following night. Friday night, January 9th. Four point favorites against Oord. C-A Miami two and a half at Fandall Boyd.
Otherwise three is pretty much every one. I think I like the Kane's. I think I like that matchup with that defense. And I like Indiana, of course, once again, all about the hoop. West Reynolds. What a trip. Yeah, what a trip he took. We'll talk about those two games on the other side. It's a numbers game at Visa. These sports betting network. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline. And now, so can you. Visa programs you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit. With Vsyn Pro. The numbers told the story. They always do. It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game. With Gill, I like Xander. Gone Vsyn. Our number three of a numbers game at Visa. These sports betting network. Visa.com. We're gonna talk a little tennis.
Pumped. It's back, baby. Let's go. Did you look at those ahead of time at all? No. I have no idea what's coming. No idea what's coming. I think there's going to be a lot. We're going to go through. It goes. Go say me. And then he's going to be one. There's going to be one. We're going to say. You know me well. This is a bet. Usually how it goes. Yeah. We get tweets beating the book. You got your whip around too. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. You got your whip around too. This is from a tray edge. He says you always take me back with the 90s R&B references. But this third base combo this morning is the best. Can't tell you how many people I've stumped over the years without reference. And the video. The third base was awesome. Tremendous. Again. Kelly pop goes the reason we go, his pop. Buddhist man, way too early, 2026 and numbers game topic power ratings. You ready for this? Number five. self-deprecating Starbucks, Stevie Survivor Strategy segment. A lot of S's right there. Four, Prime Minister and baseball historian and author Pete Nice references.
Three Gatorade flavor rankings. Two common cold radio and number one tax law radio. You got it, buddy. Tax code radio. I want to follow up on tax code radio. Oh, it's the worst. As you can crack and didn't mention it, I was a little surprised over the past 24 hours. So starting yesterday, we have a new hand-paid threshold here in Nevada, $2,000. Instead of the old $1,200. You don't get a W2G tax form anymore at $1,200. Yeah, exactly right. Here's the thing here. All these slot machines and everything. Yeah. I asked a slot attendant about this like a month ago. I was like, hey, do you think like these machines are really going to be ready on January 1 to not lock up when you hit $1,200 or more? And off the record, we'll not name the casino. We'll not name where they work at. She looked at me, looked at me, dead the icegale. She goes, Kelly, if this is figured out within the first four months, I would be shocked. I love that this is your own personal Y2K anxiety.
Well, it's that combined with us getting taxmed more. So it's like that's where it's I'm going to calm down a bit. But literally I was walking out of here yesterday. I was walking out yesterday, saw someone hit for like $1,400 something, locked them up. And then I saw the delivery of just the cash and no W2G. Do you like how I fell asleep in the middle of the tax code? Yeah. Sorry about that. Chance cops got clean up for a phasic and crack. Yeah, mind you. Switch your, they're not going to say it. I got to say it. You know, you're the cleaner upper feathers track. Chance copper pot. My New Year's betting resolution is to use prediction markets. I opened my calcium count yesterday. It was very good for betting live. College football spreads and I love watching the market move real time after you take a position. It's awesome. It's just awesome. You might run any, you might run in trouble with the alive stuff. You up against a lot of Robin Hood traders. Let's just put it down. Yeah. Okay, continue with the whip around because we got to get to, we only did the two Saturday games. Again, I had a, I have a bet on Carolina plus three. We went through the playoff implications
of both that game, Carolina and Tampa and San Francisco Seattle. Also, the games within the games when it comes to NFL awards, will you go over again? So the, the Fort, if the Seahawks win, if the Seahawks win, the Rams game on Sunday matters because then the Rams can get the number five seed. But if the San Francisco 49ers win, it don't matter. It doesn't matter. There's six period. Okay. Yeah. Go see, then you're already locked in. Seahawks five, six, seven are locked. Okay. Correct. Go go. Seahawks five, Rams six, Packers seven. You like that? That was, that was something an hour ago. I meant to ask you. Oh, yeah. Forgot to ask you and didn't look it up off air myself. Really bad job. It's, it's about the clearest of any year heading into the final two weeks of the season. Now the final week about the clearest of pit playoff pictures have ever been. Okay. So Sunday, Packers Vikings didn't want to mention this. You and Steve were talking about it a little bit.
I. S. JJ McCarthy back at practice. Listen, it's probable to play on Sunday. There it is. I'll tell you, man, I'm, it's, it's some, I'm monitoring though. If, if old brosers out there again, I don't care with the Packers. I don't care that it's Clayton tune. I'll be taking seven and a half points. You mean 51 yards passing. Didn't expect you. Exactly. In a, with a game with a 35 and a half total, if I'm catching over a touchdown still, I'll be in on the Packers. I don't care who's going to the Packers, Malik. No, it's going to Clayton to Clayton soon is going. Yeah. Okay. This is just again, from a handicapping standpoint, this would get, we started this with guessing lines on Monday. Some of these games are impossible to figure out unless you know exactly whose play. I'm just, I'm not ruling out yet. Kill that Max Broesmer is the worst quarterback to ever play in the national football. Wow. I'm not ruling that out yet. Wow. He has not proved otherwise. And is what two starts? Yeah. Well, I can't really, I can't really argue. Nathan Peter Middens of the game. I mean, Peter Middens far better is the name I was thinking of it. Why? I just said, no, I'll take Nathan Peter midter right now. Peter didn't Peter mid throw five picks
in a half. Didn't he do that? Probably. I think so. Okay. So that's the Packers and Baikers Packers to get locked in to the number seven. See, they will travel to either play the Bears or the Eagles wild card round next week. Wow. Playoffs next week. Colts at Texans. Texans are 10 and a half point favorites. Texans can still win the AMC South if they were to win and Jacksonville were to somehow lose. That'd be awesome. Very unlikely. Jacksonville's a two touchdown favorite basically in their game. But the Texans, their consolation prize is, hey, we look at the five seed and travel to play either Baltimore Pittsburgh as the four seed. Man, maybe that's not a pleasant thing to think about. But for some, it might be their thinking. I have no play in this game. Texans in a 10 point teaser for me. I am Steve Steve as well. Was that what it is like? This was slightly different legs. We're Houston, New England, Denver. He said, yeah. Okay, rounds at bangles. I will have it there. I will have a three leg 10 point teaser, although I didn't make it yet, but I will have
it here by the end of the show. What are you thinking? Niners? You like the Niners. I like the Niners. I think I do. Yeah. Browns and bangles. This game means nothing to nobody except for draft position. Oh, Miles Garrett can get the sack record. Right. He's a half sack behind TJ Watt and Michael Strayhand for the most sacks in a year. For again, the length of period of time has they've been tracking sack stats 22 and a half for a watt and Strayhand 22 currently for Miles Garrett. But who knows, man, like Deacon Jones and more sacks than that did Reggie. Reggie White have more than that. I'm sure. What's I have no play here? Bangles seven and a half point favorites. I would imagine the bangles will roll here. This might be a survivor play for one of the remaining six, though, on the bangles. Have you seen a number of the bangles have the angles ever knocked out? Anybody in survivor? I'm curious. Is that ever happened? Not this late this season. That's going to say this new ground. Have you seen a price on Garrett for the sack? No, either. I'm going to find that. It's actually not up in draft. That will be large. That will be a large
minus price. Just, just don't do a Brett Farve and sit down. That's all we think so too. The question is like, at what point does it get too big? Great. I don't want to be that guy better. No, better. No, I don't want to be that guy. Yeah, just don't, just don't do the Brett Farve thing and lay down like you did for Strayhand. Next, also in the early window on Sunday. Cowboys at Giants. Nothing to play for here other than the Giants beating the Raiders last week means that the Raiders are in the driver's seat for the number one pick in the draft. If the Raiders lose, the Raiders have number one. Giants are two right now. I don't think the Giants want to ruin this anymore. I think the Cowboys are going to be a millions play for me. I may even have a bed on the Cowboys. It's just that I just don't want to have actual money on a game that doesn't matter. I know. So probably not there's a couple of these. I'm with you there for in this. You know, I can tie this back into the Bengals, too, right? Bengals and Cowboys for whatever reason. They appear that they are going to roll out their, their dudes and play this for I get Dak,
get Dak as many passing yards. Hopefully be the NFL passing yards leader and I don't know what they're doing with these two teams. But yeah, it's looks like they're going to try to finish it out with all their guys, killing Giants. Yes, after last week, they have every, every, he can't win two games in a row to finish the season. That would be bad. Don't do that. You, you're, you're, your dad come back later that you're taking dead probably. Okay, with it next, uh, Saints at Falcons, says at Falcons. Remember if the Buccaneers win on Saturday, this game matters because if the Falcons then win, it's a three way tie at the NFC South, three eight nine teams and the Panthers would be the one in the playoffs. I think the Falcons for this strong here. I know there's Tyler Schuck ticket holders that want him to finish with a flourish or for the rookie of the year campaign. No crystal larvae for the Saints. Falcons, three and a half point favorites. I bet the Falcons on Monday, minus three. One of them that was thinking about this game on the way in. Yeah. Tuesday, morning, by the way, I bet it's three. I think there's two different prop angles here. If you are,
if you are Montessano, brought to some about the all time scrimmage yards with B. John, if you're betting over on B. John props, you better be sprinkling in offensive player of the year. I'm just going to add that and then Tyler Schuck. Again, this, this line goes from two and a half to three and a half based off that Falcons win on Monday and then the the playoff tie in that we have. I think this is jumped a little too much. The playoff tie in should matter because the Falcons exactly doesn't affect the Falcons themselves. This is what I'm talking about. We move from two and a half to three and a half. To me, it's just because I think the Falcons are a vastly superior team that the Saints are. I didn't bet it. I'm just saying that's a big move and it would be Saints or nothing for me. The only one that was going to bring up with Tyler Schuck, where his current rookie of the year number is, I'd probably just look at playing props over on him in this game. I was impressed, by the way, with the how the Falcons have stuck together under Raheem Morris, how they played against the Rams. I will just say this for your Falcons, player, fan, whatever. You have got to be thinking to yourself, how did we botch this division?
Yeah, totally. How are you with me on this though? So what's Schuck now? Like plus 180 or something? He has to win this game and he's got to put up a good performance, right? Yep. I'm same game parlaying Schuck props in the money line with the Saints. And I feel like they're very aware of this too, by the way. His rookie of the year possibility. I feel like the Saints themselves. Oh, yeah, yes. Yes. So in going forward a bit, probably, yeah, I'm with you. Like, hey, let's salvage something out of this. Yeah, it gets you something out of the year. I get it. Yeah, at least we have the price wise, you're getting better price if you do what I'm talking about. Psycho Manasano, the aforementioned Michael Manasano, just, uh, Charlie said, my New Year's resolution is to not bet the NBA defensive player of the year. Oh, wait, forget it. I took case and wallets to have a better 50 to one. Okay, for 2020 70 says, my New Year's resolution is not bet the NBA defensive player of the year market. And here you go, Mike. Yeah, Titans and Jags real quick. Jags my third chicken half. I put them in a 10 point teaser when it was 12 and a half. Jags win. They win the AFC South. If the Jags win and somehow the Broncos and Patriots both lose,
the Jags are the number one seed. Unlikely, but just for the sake of thoroughness, that's the story. We'll continue our whip around tennis next on a numbers game. On FESET, the sports betting network, football meets flavor with VESET and Omaha Stakes, the official sponsor of tailgating. And right now, when you spend $129, you can score two pounds of fully cooked chicken wings plus 50% off-site wide at OmahaStakes.com slash VSIN. Don't wait, spend $129 to get two pounds of wings and save 50% sight wide on stakes and more at OmahaStakes.com slash VSIN. That's a lot of stakes.com slash VSIN. Minimum purchase required. See site for details. I know we were always distracted by the Smashburger graphic, but this one's equally as distracting to me because when it comes to wing's guild, I don't know if you have an opinion on this, but I have a very strong opinion. Give me grilled every time. I want a good grilled wing over too much fried
stuff on there. Yeah, I think I'm with you on that. I see those grill marks and it's looking good. They'll really have strong opinions on wings. Are you a hot guy? Are you a mild guy? My only can't do the hot. I'm not one of these people. If it's too spicy, it just ruins the experience for me. Are you a buffalo guy or a different flavored wing guy? Different flavored wing guy. Interesting. I'm pretty strict buffalo and give it to me pretty hot. But it's not it's not something that enters my life. There's never a time where I'm like, you know what I could really use today's wings. It's never a thing. Especially like the options they have like buffalo wild wings where it's like, yeah, give me the spicy chili garlic Thai wings. I don't really think about that much. Yeah, Auburnist on Twitter. Here's a Pete nice gem. Listen to the Beastie Boys audiobook for the chapter. He reads on the beef between the two. There's a great part with MCA heckling them. Oh, man, I'm all about that. Does he does he read it in Pete nice's voice? Yeah, Jason H 11 is my resolution to get the upside app.
Oh, commercial humor. All right, we got to continue the whip around because we've got to get to Zach. Let's do the tennis. We'll do the tennis when Zach is on with us. We can both chime in on the tennis like that NFL whip around continues. What's next? Next up, we have the dolphins at Patriots. Okay, so Patriots win in Broncos lose into the late window now four to five Easter, late window, just as I planned. Saturday, early window, late window. As we've done this perfectly for two two games on Saturday and one segment, all the early window and another. Here's the late window. Patriots win. Remember, they've already clinched the AFCs, but if they win in the Broncos lose, the Patriots are the number one seed. And this is Drake Bay's final resume point for his MVP candidacy. By the way, you hear Drake May getting off on going off on people who said they face their easy schedule. He's like, look, they're all NFL players, man. Come on. Yeah. Okay. Okay. What else is he supposed to say?
He's not rolling or NFL players. I got no play on that, but it I have decided to stay away from that leg as a 10 point relight teaser. Yeah, you and I had the conversation off air. It's the yeah, one one that I think of the ones that you would consider throwing in a 10 point teaser this week. It concerns me the most. I could just see this being at dolphins. Mike McDaniel stand up for one game. Some of these teams, man, like Cowboys, Bengals, dolphins just to try to get one W at the end of the year. Yeah. Chiefs at Raiders, Chiefs are five and a half point favorites. Ola docket going for the Chiefs. I want to know part of this five and a half, 36 and a half. Raiders lose. They get the number one pick in the draft. Raiders aren't going to mess this up. Raiders remember are like, hey, Brock Bowers, hey, Max Crosby. Why don't you guys sit these last two games out? Yeah, I don't think this is like it's like two. It's two teams I'd ideally like to fade on this final week, right? Like you know, you know, the Raiders made it very clear last week, what they're trying to do. And the Chiefs spots that we pointed out all the last couple of weeks have really come true where it's like they've never been in this situation for like
10 years now. Like just they can start the offseason early for once. Finally. Is that Travis Kelsey's last game? Let's make a market, Calci. I'm going to go with, I'm going to go with no only based off one thing. How little do you feel like you've heard about that from from the Chiefs him just in national media the past week or so? You feel like the Chiefs would have built that up more. Hear that guys getting married. Lions it bears. Bears win. They are the two seed in the NFC playoffs. Bears lose Eagles win. Bears are the three seed. Lions eliminated. Bears by three. Yeah, Lions in that same group I just named of like teams that are going to be too frisky on week 18. Dan Campbell, I can let his guys just lay down. I didn't say this earlier in the week. I said that a little longer. I wonder if Dan Campbell is thinking to himself. He would never admit this. But I wonder if he's thinking to himself. Yeah, this kind of looks bad for me because like we were awesome with Ben Johnson. And now we're not so awesome. Now we're playing
Ben Johnson. It might mean something to him. I'm even trying to think. Gil, that might be on a week 18 where there are plenty of games that mean you want no part of. Yeah. That might be number one for me. Yeah. Jets of bills. Now here's another team again, right? Because the bills. It's only about seeding. There's seven point favorites at the Jets. If there was ever a spread that felt like a placeholder. That's how I approached it on guessing lines. It's this one because what are we going to get? Are we going to get Josh Allen for a drive? Okay. So he can continue his starting streak. And then what? It is Josh Allen from Sean McDermott just a little while ago. Quote good to go. Okay. For Sunday. I don't think why I don't I don't know why we would see anything else other than what we've described all week. And the line has moved though in Buffalo's favorite. From we just showed seven. Yeah. This was at Draft Kings earlier. Draft Kings all the way out to eight and a half on the bills. I think that's a little bit of a ridiculous over adjustment because I think we all kind of know what's going to happen with Josh Allen. I think it's exactly
what you just said. That's still what I expect to happen. It's for him to take one snap, they may be play one series just like you did a year ago in this exact same situation and then get off the field. The number five or in the NFC, we know that the Packers are seven. And we know that some two of the three NFC West teams are going to end up five and six. Whoever is not the number one seat in the AFC, the five, six and sevens are all up for grabs with Jags, Texans, bills and chargers all in the mix, all that. I think another prop one I'll throw out is James Cook. I think he's been pretty vocal about him wanting to be the Russian yards leader this year. So it's probably the Russian yards. It could be a lot of cook just on the ground against the chest. Every Russian yards. I have to check it. See, this is kind of thing is betters that we never pay that I never pay attention to. We're like, what is this lead? Because Bijan has over 1400. How many is James Cook have? 1600 Wow. 1606 Jonathan Taylor's number two. Okay. He's on
this number four. Yeah. Amazing. All right. That's it is fun. We're going to have to do like a weekly bit on that with me and you next year. Like the stats that every fantasy player knows that Gillette Kelley are completely unaware. Who leads the NFL in Russia guys? I don't know of no idea. Commanders and Eagles. Eagles are sitting folks. Again, Eagles are NFC East champs. First back to back NFC East champs. It's 2004 when the Eagles did it. Eagles win. Bears lose. The Eagles are the two seed as is any other combination right Eagles lose or bears win. Then the Eagles are the three seed getting a home game and wild card weekend. I'm changing my answer. This is the game. I want nothing to do with. Yeah. This is also Josh Johnson though. Go for the Commodore's. Against Tanner. That's. That was the. What did JVT say to Tanner McKee believe Tanner McKee truth or he said truth or that's right. Yeah. Cardinals at Rams. Again, this is seven and a half, but we don't know if this game matters yet to the Rams. What I mean by that again. If the
Niners beat the Seahawks on Saturday, the Rams are locked into a six seed. This game won't matter. So can you really play this unless you have like stupid conviction on the Niners and the Seahawks, then you could somehow correlate it. But remember, this might not matter. I don't. I just don't know things that are easy to say on a Friday. I have a feeling by the time we get to kick off like regardless of where the Rams are at. We're going to see them sitting some guys. I'm surprised we haven't heard more of that this week, but we see how McVeigh approaches the preseason. Like this is, you're going to risk guys getting hurt. You already got to volunteer Adam sideline. Oh, beer man. Kirk tells me that on a poly market. They do have a Kelsey market. Kelsey'd retire. Yes, minus 300. Oh, interesting. Interesting. He says. Charges at Broncos. Broncos win. They are the number one seed in the AFC. It's that simple. By the way, the Broncos leg is one of my three team 10 pointers. And I'm a little, I'm a little scared about it. Yeah, we're talking about that off
the air. I like this better than the Patriots one though. That's what you landed on. That's correct. Train lands go over the charge. Yep. I'm on the under, but I bet it on open at 40 and a half. Honestly, I had 37 and a half. I'd probably still bet under. I think we'll uh, Nick Whalen brought that up the other day. Trivia question that Joe Pita posed to me yesterday. What NFL coach? What current NFL coach has more rushing yards than Bo Jackson had in his illustrious NFL career? What? What current NFL coach had more career rushing yards than Bo Jackson? I had no idea how it is. Jim Harball. Fantastic question. Sunday by five yards. Why that job? Why Sunday night? I was going to throw. I mean, we just like, we're just going to throw his name out there just because we've been talking these guys. But I did not think that was going to be the answer. By the way, I went through all 32 coaches and said it had to be him or I was like, Sean Payton get yards and the scab games. No, so it had to be Harball. He's the only guy. And then Sunday night, the game for the AFC North. Whoever wins
is the, is the AFC North title holder and the loser is out. If it's a tie, the Steelers are the AFC North champs and the Ravens are out. Ravens favored by three and a half on the road. Wow. Yeah, I played Ravens at three lightly. What's the TJ Watts status? Do we know yet? I'm not playing it. I wouldn't play it at three and a half. Let me see if I can find before break. Uh, major hint. Questionable from the Steelers defensive coordinator who says great to have him back. Unquote. There you go. Tennis was that code NBA and NFL next as well. It's at Numbers Game at Visa. These sports betting network. Numbers Game live from Circle Resort, Casino, downtown Las Vegas, Kill Alley's and they're Kelly Fiddlin alongside. Uh, we got to get into it was that because we got a bunch to get to.
We got NBA to talk about. We got NFL week 18 to talk about. But we got tennis that you're going to throw at us as well. That's right. You know what else I'm just realizing real quick. Is that me and you are finally feeling better? I'm ready for the week to start. Yeah. Ready to get going this week. Yes. Head's been in a fog for five days. You know what? You know, it's as great as these, these college football games that we talked about endlessly in the first hour. Just so great yesterday and the day before, semi's in front of us. I'm my brain because we have a week 18 has not yet fully grasped the NFL playoffs on next weekend. Next is awesome. Next week's football schedule is crazy. Semifinal Thursday night. Semifinal Friday night. Super wild card weekend. And then we have, don't we have one wild card game on Saturday? Starts on Saturday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, all super wild card games. Oh, it's two on Saturday, three on Sunday, one on Monday. There you go. Wow. Assuming they did the same way they did last year. That's right. Zach Cohen joins us now courtesy the progressive guest line. You can follow him on Twitter
at betting on X here on this day after was a January 2nd. I can't even keep track anymore. Happy New Year, Zach. How you doing, man? Happy New Year. How you guys doing? We're doing very well. We were just talking off air. United cup has started. Zachary beat Osaka. Salana Sierra. Who did she beat again? Somebody. And then we are lose us. Madero. I shouldn't. Yeah. Who's us. Madero. I think you're right. And then the bad guy. Come on. And then already, you know, by his who's not a hardcore got beat some more. It's like, I'm glad I'm sitting out the United Cup. You ready for some tennis questions from Kelly? We can answer them together. Yes. All right, gentlemen. Yeah, absolutely. I'm going fully. I have two picks up. I'm fully in already. He's already it. He's already got two. He's okay, these are all going to be ATP and WTA end of year ranking props. End of 2026. End of 2026. Okay, these are up at draft kings. Go there now. Check these out. So I'm going to start with this is just odds to be the ATP world number one at the end of 2026. Yannick center minus 120.
That's your bet. Carlos Alcras plus 110. It's Vera 15 to one. FAA 18 to one. Novak 30 to one. Moose said you said it right. Correct. You went to correct me. I got it. You were correct. 10 of seasons back. It's center minus 120 for me. Is that? Yeah, I think I'll go with center. I mean, center has more like results to defend, but I do think that he's just the more sturdy player. I think that you know, Alcras also made pretty big coaching change at the end of the year. You know, you wonder how that's going to affect him to start the 2026 season. That is that is the most underrated thing in sports, by the way. For if you're a tennis heart, oh, you know this, but Carlos Alcras broke off from his coach, his longtime coach, Juan Carlos Ferreiro. And if you make that kind of coaching decision, you typically will do it, you know, before the the ATP finals, even or at least after that, he waited until like a minute ago to do it. Very strange. Next. All right. Next up, I'm going to continue with the men here. Okay. Now we have over unders just on where they're
going to finish in the rankings at the end of the season. Right. Exactly. Zach, you get first dims on these. All right. So, Yannick Center, for example, and Carlos Alcras both listed at one and a half over on center, both these over under minus 120, make your jokes about the straddle. Now Carlos Alcras over one and a half minus 155 under one and a half plus 110. Oh, I got, I got definitive thoughts. Yeah, that was the same number. Okay. Good thing. The pricing is right on the under one and a half Shelton over six and a half 120 under six and a half 120 Fritz seven and a half and Tiafo 30 and a half all juiced at minus 120. All right. Let's do it. Let's actually do it together. Zach on account of three for center. One, two, three under under. Yeah. Alcras there for over. Right. Over. Okay. Okay. This will be interesting. Shelton. This is right. One, two. I go over. Oh, I go under. Sorry. I go under. Yes. I think I think this is the year where Shelton gets really,
I mean, his high, his high point, I think he's in the top six. Can you guys please make this like a show side bet so I can randomly bring it up throughout the year? This is interesting. Yeah. Fritz, seven and a half, which way you go on that. I go under on this one. Like I think it's two years in a row. He's been under seven. So I do think that he should finish there. I'm going to go over. So that's where you and I flip flop on Shelton Fritz. That's the difference. Yeah. And then Tiafo, boy, I don't know. This is tough when you get to 30. I don't even know why he's listed. It's because he's popular, but he's listed because Kelly put up there. No, you know what? Usually that would be the case. These were all the men listed. Oh, really? Yes. And I like Francis Tiafo, though. He said go under 30 and a half. I'll go under. I think I heard him recently saying he needs to take, he needs to take tennis more seriously that he hasn't been as focused as he needs to be. Usually, that means he's going to take it a little bit more seriously. So I'd say under. I'll go with that. Can you imagine ever saying something like that? If I just came on, what if what if what if one of my resolutions was I'm going to take this show more serious? That's right. Can you imagine what I figure out? I won't mail it in for mail. Yeah. Kind of thing.
All right, over to the women's side. All right, odds to be the end of year number one, Sabbelenka minus one, 60, Ega, Shfiad and tech plus one, 20, Coco, four to one. Actually, look at all these single digits here. Wow. Coco, four to one, and this emova, six to one, Andreva nine to one, Pagula nine to one, Rebecca nine to one. Is this really just a two-person conversation still? Let me start with that. Is it only two? I still feel it's one, I feel it's two and a half fish-ish-ish, but I'm still going to Ega. I think it's two for world number one, but I think it's completely open-ended if you're talking about who wins a grand slam this year. Well said. I think that Ega will be, I think Ega's a really good bet to be number one, because I do think she'll win the French Open this year. I think she looks like she's much better on grass and hard courts, so I think there's going to only be improvements from what we saw last season, but I do think that multiple, there'll be multiple grad slam winners. Okay, now is the time for the bet that I predicted Gill Alexander would want to make after this
segment. The over-unders for the end of season rankings for the women. Sabbelenka, one and a half, okay, under 155 over plus 110, Ega lied it to and a half, you could get under two and a half or minus 155 Gill Alexander, give me that. Is that not the bet? Give me that. Coco, three and a half, minus 120 both ways, Pagula, six and a half, the under minus 125 and Madison keys, the under minus 120. Here's how I would go, go over arena, under Shvattek, under golf, under Pagula, over Maddie keys. Zachary? Yeah, I got the exact same, not Pagula one stands out, is like a really good bet. Yes, agree, agree. Oh, is that, is so, is that your favorite bet? She's just so consistent. Yeah, on the women side, that's my favorite one. Yeah, well, and you know, when it comes to a story like hers, every dollar that you can pick up throughout the season, you've got to grab Kelly. Kelly's always very worried about her, which is very worried about her finances. Thank you, Kelly. That was fun. Tennis award-torn country club to, I remember, Emma Navarro, only worth 1.5 billion,
just Pagula, worth 7.5 billion. It's a big difference. Yeah. Okay, what are your two tennis plays on the day, Zach, if you could share? I have a rinky hijakata money line against Philip Beeselich and the Brisbane qualifying. That's just the one where Beeselich I think is a little bit of a better clay court player than anything else. And he struggled towards the end of 2025 and hijakata's playing at home. So I kill in that match and then I have a talent Greek sport to win a set against Alexander Zverev in the United Cup. And that's just because those two kind of always play bangers. I think that like five of their last nine have featured Greek sport, at least winning one set, and they play a lot of tie breakers in Zverev is a player that usually starts the year slow. So I think the Greek sport coming off a pretty bad 2025 season will probably be pretty eager to get back out there for 2026. And I think you could serve as way to a set. Greek sport is a gamer. And Sasha Zverev may never win a slam. Can I please get a live shot, a recorded shot of you tomorrow at 530 on a Saturday, Zach, jumping off the couch during that match and be like,
banger, like I call it, banger. NBA today, anything, Zach. Yeah, I have a bunch. So I have like seven plays for the NBA tonight. I'll just do my sides, and you can go forward to Beeselich.com for my player props or listen to Harvard handy capers. That's up as well. I have the Wizards plus one and a half against the nets tonight. It's the second leg of a back-to-back for Brooklyn and Washington has kind of been sneaky good lately. They've won three of their last four games. They're seven and three against the spread over their last 10. And when you look at the season long numbers, they're the worst team in the league. When you look at net rating, we're just a really terrible number. But over the last 10 games, it's only like minus 2.3 or so. So I took the Wizards plus one and a half. I, this team is starting to kind of figure some things out. And I do think the only advantage that that's have when looking at rest, talent, everything is coaching where Jordy Fernandez is one of the best coaches in the league. But I think Washington will get the job done there. And you've got no, okay, I was actually going to check on Igor Demon who's been awesome recently.
He's been upgraded, but no Cam Thomas, no Nick Clacks, no Michael Porter Jr. in that game for the nets. All right. Next slide. So it's all the best players on the nets team are, you know, pretty much out. So it's going to be really tough for them to win this game. What else you got side wise? I took the Hawks plus seven and a half against the Knicks, which I hate myself for doing because I know last week, which is, you know, last year that I wasn't going to take him again for a while. But at the same time, New York's going to be playing without Josh Hart again. I believe they could also be without Mitchell Robinson. And this is a team that looks borderline soft without those two players. Hart is a player that is very good defensively is a very good rebounder. And if they are losing Robinson 2, that's another player that does a really good job on the offensive glass and makes them better defensively. And this Hawks team has been a little bit better lately. They're covered in three straight. They just had a really big win over the Timberwolves in New York. One six and one against the spread over the last eight games. And just really hasn't looked great for the last two weeks or so. So kindness is again the next pie win, but I do think it'll be close. Okay. For the rest of Zach's
picks, you can go to visa.com slash picks. Tennis is here, Zach. We will be all of our picks. Zach's in line at visa.com slash picks for all subscribers for the rest of the calendar year. That's 363 days. Thank you, Zach. Appreciate it. Coming back, we can cap all the bets next.
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