Best of A Numbers Game | January 16, 2026

0:00The number's told the story to Alex now. Swandals, idiots who believe in athletics. This is a numbers game with Kill I by Xander. Gone V-Syn. Our number three of a numbers game at V-Syn, these sports betting network V-Syn.com, Game Plus, I-Hard Radio, YouTube TV, and of course, Series Second Channel 158. It's Kill I by Xander. Kelly is behind the glass because, ladies and gentlemen, it is time for Fesick Fridays. Let's do it. Whether it's at the sports book or anywhere else in the casino, he's always helping us find an edge. It's time for Fesick Fridays. From the only back-to-back winner of the Hilton Super Contest back in the day. And I know when I say that, he's like, oh, I have one more contestant. Then I know Stevie Fesick. I know. I can just sit here and have a whole conversation with myself. I don't have to involve him. Just me and him arguing. Hey, congratulations. First of all, hello. You got your check the other day? Oh, what a great job. The awards ceremony. You know what? These guys at Circa do it right. So, you know, Derek Stevens, Mike Palm, fantastic on the awards ceremony.

1:00They got the drummers. They did. We go through the casino. How brilliant is it? Everyone's holding up their checks. We got potato commission. We got all the survivors. We got their big checks. Money Guns called you a peach earlier. He said you were a peach with a pretty much. Oh, Money Guns. I met him in his lovely gal. And we had a great conversation from the East Coast. Have you ever been called a peach before? That's pretty good. Is it? Yeah. He was just a great, great gentleman. And how smart is this? We parade through the casino. And all these casino gamblers are like, oh, 70,000, 150,000, 3.3 million. Oh, yeah. These checks. It's like, hey, people, actually, we win here at the Circa. That's all. And you just declared that you were a tie for ninth. Yes. Tied for ninth. Yes. And you pulled in? 70,000. 70,000. And I got. Okay. Okay. So what is this? Five. It's good. You feel like the guy in 7, 5, and the Westgate because I won the

2:01second. Well, God. Steve שהוא. We have so much to talk about. One, he didn't come in here with the Starbucks today, which I was very shocked by because you have been in full extoling the virtues of Starbucks bottomless. But let's go. There's so little history for those who don't know. The rent is really high in the strip. So Starbucks is everywhere on the strip, but they have It's insane Starbucks Starbucks in San Francisco is a is a is like 25 to 40% of what it costs here, right? So I have been somewhat critical about the value not being there was Starbucks and you know what but I've been the vanilla sweet cream Cold brew 110 calories. I'm like Kramer on the Seinfeld app is 100 calories really. Yeah, so Kramer was very critical of Kenny Rogers Roaster's chicken and he put out like this billboard bad chicken outside of his window bad chicken and Then he gets Newman is picking up this chicken order, right with broccoli Newman doesn't eat broccoli. So Jerry discovers. No, it's actually for Kramer's like what the heck is going on and he's like

3:03I'm hooked on the coffee Jerry. I need my vanilla sweet cream cold brew. I'm hooked on the Starbucks Just want to apologize to all our affiliates who were not prepared for that day explosion that just happened It's so good. Let's talk about college. I'm surprised by the calorie count. That's amazing to me I only want to say don't get the foam the foam's like 180 Todd no foam Todd, well, all right. Let's talk. Well, that's no foam. Let's talk about Let's talk about the national championship Miami and Indiana first of all speaking of the bear Chris Volega. He was just on here. You objected to his strategy of the hedge. I don't know what you guys are doing. Let me let you guys. Why are you all you're you're you're you're you're going in there So why in there? So we got we got the bear. Oh explain. Okay, so we got the bear and he needs Miami to win because he's got a big Futures bet so he needs Miami to win like blood. So he's got to monetize it so much. So he's gonna bet Indiana on the money line Now gilly is in the the driver's

4:06Kepperd seat that Kepperd seat because he's got the West Reynolds Hoosers. Yeah to win it all, but I'm doing I'm taking the points on Miami I'll do it fair enough fair enough because it's the only responsible thing to do so so the bear puts he's like I got Admonis is somewhat so he goes ahead and he plays Indiana good with that he puts an in a parlay and I'm like You don't think bear if you ask Gilly or I yeah, he's like so he's lay in my three 30 on that leg of the parlay I know he's getting plus one 30. I don't care. It's he's lay in my three 30 You don't think if you just took his little finger and texted Gilly or I hey Would you like some Miami plus 380 and Yeah, I'll take some I'll take out West Reynolds and I can hang out Miami. Oh, I'll root and I'm sure you would like Hey, okay, you know that monetize in my position nicely with a better than market a better than no big number So the lesson I have is You'll always in a situation like this ask around because usually you've got a future on one side and other

5:08Dude as a future on the other. Hey fiddle in the middle, you know play against each other at at no big or better By the way, I did I ran the numbers of Miami. This is amazing. We talk about the mechanical parlay So they've been basically a three to one dog and two other games close to a pickup if you had the other two games where they were a small favorite Small dog It would have paid like 63 to one if you bet Miami the whole way After the playoffs got announced, but if you bet them if you included I'm gonna go ahead and bet them three to one or a little bit better just to get into the playoffs We're talking 250 to one that you could have gotten so when you hear all these people Oh, I played Miami 150 to one before you know They announced whether they're gonna be in or not. It sounds like oh what the greatest bed ever and mathematically It is not it it turns out well It's just the power of being able to roll it over again and again, but Even though the mechanical parlay is superior to the future. It's still horribly flawed and here's why No one no probates like that's okay. This is exactly what I wanted to ask you

6:09Yeah, who do you know that actually do does this? Well, they don't because they're not dumbos Okay, so we bet one to two percent one for one to two units, right? Yeah, so let's say you love Miami You think they're massively undervalued so you start out bang first round the plane a and M You bet a unit you win a 1.5 years now you got two and a half units. Okay fine You bet against Ohio State plus three ten or whatever it is Well, now you're now you're sitting on you know 13 units, all right Are you gonna bet 13 units that's the thing against Ole Miss? Of course not because like you read Dan Abrams book on On why didn't you come up with a better book title poorly titled? But but but but but but how much did you lose and both pros don't bet 13 units And they certainly after that game wins. They don't bet 25 units on the last game You said this because no person that I know bets that way right the old though Well, if you just bloody line poorly to do this But nobody does that because of exactly what you're talking about people can say well you only risked one unit No, I can't cost like I'd be careful. It's both crap

7:09You I mean you that money's already won. It's already into your bankroll. Yeah, you don't suddenly like oh Every other game. I'm betting I'm betting the University of Dayton flyers for one and a half unit But I've got a bet 25 units of Miami because I've been betting them all along. No, sir. That's not how pros bet There is one thing about the national championship that we haven't brought up enough I think I brought it up once but not enough Which is because I always do it Super Bowl week when I talk about the Super Bowl or two weeks the run up to the Super Bowl That for whatever reason right the public behaves differently on underdogs in the final game of the season Um, we don't really know why but instead of taking the underdog plus the points as as folks do usually during the regular season when it comes to the Super Bowl They take the dog on the money line And so the favorite money line price gets muted in a way that it doesn't the rest of the year This also applies to the national championship Yeah, and it used to be even more powerful So by example like New England was playing Caroline and and New England was a seven point favorite

8:10But you could have bet New England like minus I think 240 that year in the Super Bowl and The same thing's going to happen where normally you have an eight and a half point favorite and you're going to be laying like minus You know 350 right but but I would expect that that number is going to drift downward. It's like Star Trek It's Mr. Scott. I kept them. She's she's bound to drift lower and so if you are going to play the money line of Miami I would bet it now if you're going to play the money line um On Indiana I would wait until post fur bargain. Yeah, makes sense And you were you you spent in your days running around betting from book to book? You know, I had so much fun the other day. So I I like what's this? I'm looking at the screen what's this and I see there's still there's a 10 on the first quarter on the national championship game And the first half has a 24 in town and I can bet on the apps But the apps are with lower limits for a reason books don't want to get hit all ones So I hop in the car boom boom boom and I'm going to different books And I like play the first half under 24 and I play the first quarter under 10

9:11And then I'm playing like the San Francisco Seattle I play first half under 23 and I play the the other game that day the Buffalo first half under 23 even money And I'm just like getting all these old school tickets because so much of her betting now is on apps And it's fun to be out the joy of it right and feeling the pulse of everyone and getting to see the people And I got to tell you and one thing about driving around you really realize How stupid these casinos are that charge for parking because the joy of Every the joy of being everyone in and out you go in and out of the wind bingo a bongo get get down south point if I could bet there You know the M you go to all these different places, but then what's this? I've got to like scan my phone to like to even if even if the parking is free for two hours It's just such a hassle 100% it's best part of doing the podcast of the win I just roll in there. It's free parking. It's easy easy peasy Three hours free parking and not just not just free parking, but the parking garage is laid out that I don't have to be like a world-class Marathon runner like a resorts world to somehow find a way to get from the

10:15The parking lot to the kiss everyone should be fired if you work for resorts world You should have been fired the second you saw the you second you saw that parking garage a quarter of a mile from the casino You should say I refuse to work for a company this incompetent Before before we go to the break because we got a bunch of NFL from Steve because he's got bets to talk about on the other side Any as a life hack by the way, which is what we'll get to at the end Which is his big is big crowd pleaser at the end of his segment here, but before we get to the break here speaking of You know stuff like that Great parking Reno you were talking about this what's your Reno thing? So I used to fly up to Reno and I played parley cards for like 12 hours Okay, go Friday night and then I'd be out Saturday at at noon And so the hack at Reno is all the casinos are within four blocks of each other So when I would arrive at the airport forget the cab forget like this was before Uber And they all had shuttle buses so and they're all close So like like I'd just go over there. There's always be like here here. Here's the silver legacy shuttle bus bang

11:16Are you staying at the legacy? Oh? Absolutely, you know going to meet with my host and and boom I just get on whatever the Harris bus was leaving. I I'm staying in Harris, you know, it's like who cares where I was staying I could walk and like you. I wouldn't have I you know, I have a light bag. I was carried So travel light boom in and out On the other side Steve Fessik is NFL bets for divisional round He's gonna chime in on the college basketball betting scandal and We have a move in baseball New York Mets At least you got somebody next on a numbers game at visa these sports betting Network You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners But let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools the data and the discipline And now so can you visa programs you access to the same real-time insights the sharps use no secrets no fluff Just actionable info that moves markets tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with visa in pro

12:21A Numbers game on fee said these sports betting network. Hey guess what Kelly we get tweets at beating the book Longest we've ever got it a show because winter was down. I think it still is man I think I think I think they're coming in sparingly. Yeah, I don't know if we if we miss your tweet It's because we didn't get it Zachary Cohen who was on the uh the tennis the beating the book australian open Tennis pod of course with Drew and me he said nothing better than talking ball the yellow kind with gill and Drew pumped for the australian open spence Says do I take no scova 100 to one to reach the final or plus 750 to win q3 on draft Kings love the tennis pod with Drew and Zach I'm not a no scova guy. I know those guys were more bullish on her So for me, it's a no d gen southern gent talking about the tennis body So again, I was delighted to hear you remarkably spot on impression of me on the megapod as you asked drew in uh and Zach what about learner tn I was actually thinking of you d gen southern gen. I think I even referenced that I that it was from you on twitter

13:24In gym room fashion. I'm gonna rack it and play it for you all when he wins this first grand slam I think so learner tn's gonna. Oh, he'll win. Maybe he'll win one eventually, but he's not there yet Jettoconner. I don't know what this tweet means non-quarterback 10 to 1 Oh non-quarterback 10 to 1 variable running back jump pass in the playoffs with Henry comes to mind remand rate a Henry exacta So he thinks the uh the non-quarterback touchdown at 10 to 1 is worth it Marco or Roman Ellie. I have futures on the bears 11 to 1 9 to 1 to win the NFC Monday could be really fun a really bad L.O.L Um David shallow for yo wondering the difference between NFL playoff around the horn versus whip around asking for a friend David clearly whip around much quicker Yeah, and on Wednesdays. Obviously. Obviously. Uh, this is from make easy opus the great swamy gator hot condiment talk on A numbers game. It's funny because you will find no more adamant hatred than mayo or mustard guy So I'm getting destroyed right now as expected. I'm getting destroyed JLD 303 I work at a Cuban restaurant. There is a Kubano version called a Medianoche and it has mayo on it pretty tasty

14:30There we go. See why am I not getting any of the positive ones. Yeah, because they don't like to give you credit They just they don't like to tell me like hey, don't like Kelly get his head out of whack But he might be right. That's probably a good idea actually. Josie 714 How much do you think each ticket will sell for if I get lucky and get Spain, Argentina in L.A. for the round of 32 man If you get Spain, Argentina, good God That ticket at that point money gun guzz I spoke with Fez at the Czech ceremony, and he's just a peach Have you ever heard Fez at just grabbed his a peach? Yeah, no, but he is a peach a peach Can you explain guilt? Can you explain guilt? How you can check in at the airport have your bags get on the plane And how do you skip these long lines? I find this incredible. What's this? Gills a magician no check-in bags. That's the first thing. I don't have to do that Though the only again the problem is getting the uber That's the big hurdle and the other one is Is security pack because right now having the uh the TSA stuff. It's not advantage anymore. No Those lines are forever remember peep pull pull the Kelly five people out

15:32What do I need to take out of the bag? What do I not chance cover by that? I blame this no mustard only Mayo thing on mr. Bidley's international upbringing. What's next Kelly? Mayo on french rise as the whole world going crazy. See chance. It's really not a pro Mayo thing It's just nantime mustard and made stuck art Kelly. Do you put ketchup on your scrambled eggs? Spence mayo gross mayo on a Cuban sandwich blocked and reported. He's reporting you. I like that All right, we got more of these we'll get to all of them because we got to we got a twitter backlog Chris Vellique is kind enough to join us for a second segment Could you share with Chris what you said off air when Chris said uh sure Chris said the other storyline here is that the return of Miami football Well, I'll further piss off the south Florida community even more because it's just the idea Chris did such a great job of breaking down the awesome stories that will come out of this championship game And I am rooting very much for the West Reynolds, Indiana Storty out of nowhere instead of the return of the you god. No, that's what he said. That's a please no No, please no, I don't want to see Mike Lurvin running around everything. No, I'm good

16:33Uh, just where we've got your own your own house up there in Tallahassee right now and try to We build a roster and keep people up there in that program right now. I'm gonna make a donation 2000 canes by the way, can we just say this again? 2001 2001 2001 canes pardon me 2000 should have been in the title game against Oklahoma, but they got screwed by the BCS 2001 canes Uh Sean Taylor Kellen Winslow and on an entrial role on kick coverage And Willis McGay he a third string running back behind Clinton Portis and frag Gore so they made him a second string fullback It's most talented roster in history. What are we talking about? Yeah, it's ridiculous. All right Let's go to let's go to soccer since we had Paul Carr on earlier He also his dad was a Miami alum as well. So you guys have that in common. You have a soccer play for us I do I played uh sunday's aftcon final. I played draw plus 190 was the best number that I had access to

17:34It is Senegal and Morocco that get the matches being played the tournaments being played in Morocco So the hostation has reached the final day advanced yesterday and penalties against Nigeria Senegal scored in the 81st minute to be Egypt 1-0 in the semi I think this is going to be another very KG a lot of pressure on Morocco here. They I think they're going to be Not wanting to make a mistake against the Senegal attack led by Saudi Amane They have the potential to to score and really hunker in and maybe win 1-0 I think this is going to head to head to extra time again 190 on the plus side I'm Morocco Senegal aftcon final all right and just to clarify you You were talking about taking Indiana and and Yannick center as a hedge against your Miami bet you betting center straight also I am I am again I wish to get once the the number isn't as good as what I got in the in the hedge parlay But seeing the seeing the draw come out. He's minus 700 down to win the quarter

18:35So he's he's got to get to the semi final and you assume that he's got to get to the final And then you can play around with that but he's so good on hard court and You can easily see him Winning both hard court slams and then one of the other two either the the either Wimbledon or Roland Garros I like your bet there are said or to win three slams this year. Yeah, I dig it plus for 50 watch I'll watch you win the first three and then I'll be like don't win this U.S. Open Is that you'll be Egypt you'll be betting the answer against him. Yeah, it's like a secondary fun All right to the national football league Um, by the way, I don't know if we said this you are sprinkling on Miami on the money line as well Even though you have futures tickets. I am yeah, I would I am not I already got whatever my price is on the future But I would suggest because if you look at the history of these playoff of these title games whether it's bcs CFP It's either been a favorite blowout the last six of all been favorites winning and covering by like a by two touchdowns

19:36Oh, they've been blowoutfully and that will hopefully from Miami backers that won't continue or The 12 times we've seen underdogs cover in the championship game Nine times the dog has won outright So odds percentage is tell you the way these games go down typically the spread hasn't mattered dog either wins or gets blown out You know, it's the best part about that 2001 Miami team that we're talking about earlier Kelly They were so demure they were so they didn't want to call attention to themselves ever In all their career that continued for years to come. Yeah, they were super super And they were extremely motivated and pissed off and getting screwed over in 2000 and that really drove them Over the course of the year. So and that's a little bit of motivation Then the Miami hurricane to see you're a little bit pissed off right now as well with the perception of What they've done so far and being a big underdog here as well. That was soon happens to that as I mean they're gonna win Yeah, I can't wait football league to the national football league Josh Allen over eight and a half rush attempts that we had will hill on earlier in the week

20:39He he talked about this that he's betting this kelly tailed. Are you tailing will or is this yours? I didn't know that that the greatest sports veteran Connecticut will hill was on this as well I missed that segment earlier in the week, but yeah, no, I like I'm glad to see that he is honored as well I like it because any path to Buffalo win involves Josh Allen going out and doing things you can you get maybe some touch push Maybe if they are winning you get victory formation you get some kneel down That counts as rush attempts denver that ferrosis past rush scramble takes off Yeah, the yards are always dangerous, but the attempts are what I like here. I love your next one here John Jennings had a great game of this past week DeMarcus Robinson out of nowhere with a big game for the Niners But there will be no George Kittle right in this one against the Seahawks And so you have decided to play this creatively. Are you doing it? Yeah, I play Kyle used to go over one and a half receptors and I think He had four in the game in Philly on Sunday if memory serves me correct

21:44And yeah, someone is going to have to make up for the for those for those for those catches and those balls in the past game And remember in some of those super balls We've seen Kyle used to be a big part of pouch out of hands offense Catching balls in creative ways. It's certainly in the in the red zone and near the goal line as well So two catches and get away a little bit 136. It was what I found it at fan duel again I don't have a ton of outs here in Connecticut So I got to basically get the best number that I came with the options that I have But I didn't use check over one and a half catches is something that I like yeah for for 49 last week I'll tell you Chris. I haven't bet it yet But that was the first thing I wrote down out of wild car weekend was oh Kyle use check. It's big game time He shows up in there are limited on options. So I like it. How like it might be joining you How are you watching the game on on Monday night Chris? I'm curious. I will be I will be in the press box cover the game Oh you will it'll be yeah, we'll be going I'm going down Sunday. Yep. Wow. Okay, so you don't have to pay for a ticket I don't know how West Reynolds thinks he's getting in there. I don't know if he is The tickets are through the roof. I don't know how people

22:47Can afford this. I would hope that they go down a little bit Buy kickoff and if you are listening and going to the game make sure you get there early Is that stadium is always a pain in the you know what to get it in out of and with President Trump and Marco Rubio going to be there Security is going to be even tighter. It's like a very long time. Yeah Get it out of the park and not out in the stadium. So get there early and ubers are not close to the stadium either If you're trying to get out of there get a public sub on your way Chris Vellique everybody. Thank you. Chris. Appreciate it. You got it guys. Everybody good to coming back Steve Fesick and more on a numbers game A numbers game on FESET these sports betting network back on a numbers game live from circle resort Casito and downtown Las Vegas Gill Alexander Kelly Bidlin alongside Here on this lovely football Friday Steve Fesick still to come on the show a little later on Chris Vellique on the natty and more no Dr. Bob today Dr. Bob He's got what was his comedy. He's like I got nothing

23:50I actually think it's similar to what we were just talking to Paul about off here I think he has a sporting event to attend today. Oh with his kids. Yes. Okay. Well that's that's a viable That's a we'll allow it We'll allow it we'll check the text so he might be making that up ladies and gentlemen speaking of Paul car He makes his triumphant return to the program after spending the holidays In uh to pick a Kansas or they're about. I'm not sure. Maybe he went on a trip He joins us now to talk primarily and more Paul car now ladies and gentlemen courtesy the progressive guest lot you follow him on twitter at Paul car C-A-R-R how you doing Paul happy new year? I know I'm not allowed to say that but there you go Yeah, no a little wait there, but I'll take it. I'll take it. Yeah. I'm doing well. It's fun This is uh one of my favorite sports times of the year the next month or two with NFL playoffs Uh, he's basically starting the last third or so of the Socrates season in Europe Champions League knockout rounds get going soon So baseball is on the horizon. It's a fun time. Yeah By the way, we'll get we'll get to soccer because uh, I was playing uh with Jeff Parles I'm playing tennis with Jeff parlay yesterday The Grover Cleveland of a numbers game producers and he was mentioning how he was trying to get world cup tickets

24:54Around the country and how They claim there's like they have less millions of applications for this stuff So it'll be very interesting to see how that how that works out are you in any capacity? Are you going into the world cup games this this summer? Yes, so I have I did not win the lottery myself, but I have a friend who did And you win the lottery you can buy it's like 32 or 40 tickets total max of four per game So I have eight tickets to games here in Kansas City. Oh, man And then my brother has some games in Dallas. So I may end up down there too So it's one of them decided, you know, which games because they got a sort of Alice in Friends But yeah, I've got eight tickets in my lap It's one of those things where you're you try to you're not going to just apply to what you apply for one game You have to like, you know, it's a numbers game. So you apply for as many games as possible But then there's the worry that you're going to get accepted for all of them And then you're going to be like 20 large in the hole. Yeah, yeah, this last round of round the lottery was different And it was just like that which yeah a little wary on I mean you could resell all those tickets But obviously you start to pay for my front right it would it will be come last round as a little hair

25:57You're the first two. Yeah, and it'll become your full-time job for the next four months try and unload them. Yeah Okay, before we so we before we get into the premier league and I would like to ask you about some World Cup stuff You are you you were listening you said off air to the first segment I was talking about Kyle Tucker and then sort of I drew the line then to this What looks like it's going to be a work stoppage or a lockout whatever it ends up being however It's going to be phrased in the end But it looks like 2026 man right now if I had to put a betting line on will there be baseball At when it's supposed to start in 2027 I would actually put no as a favorite you have some insight to this You you're always negotiating with baseball teams With your analytic stuff over a true media explain Yeah, so we work with almost every team. They use our software for advanced scouting or Self-analysis player development. Whatever it is and so you know, just naturally There's a handful of teams up every offseason and in negotiating this offseason Most of the teams want either you know, I want to make sure this deal ends after the 26 season

27:01So we don't know what 27 will look like or you put appropriate language in to protect both sides etc So and it's more so then the last work stoppage, which is what 22 I think or even COVID I think maybe those things that may teams more aware of this stuff Maybe it's just the business influx that's you know heightening something like that or they just know It's probably gonna happen, but yeah, I would definitely make no a favorite if I'm placing a line as well He's there it is that there's no more stark evidence than that kind of thing right there Where they're like yeah, let's end this contract by the end of this year just you know In case uh, okay back to the World Cup for a second And just remind us because we haven't spoken to you in a long time Give us your sort of broad outlook of of the World Cup both from a US perspective and then just from a general perspective Yeah, I mean the the same teams are favorites as usual So you know if if one of the team from outside those you know six seven eight favorites wins That's gonna be a huge shock on a huge story But it's just it's the biggest World Cup ever is the biggest story I mean literally there's 48 teams it had never been over 32 before

28:05It's obviously in the US it's across a lot of time zones So it's just this massive undertaking. There's 12 groups instead of eight Selflessly from a research perspective. That's a huge pain Yeah, 50% more teams But so yeah, it's just gonna be this this your scope of it There's gonna be three four games a day for almost a month So there's just so much there and if you're the US like Expectation if you don't get out of the group. It's a failure if you Losing the round of 32 it might be a failure depends a little bit on who you run into But I think like par is kind of win one knockout game and reach the round to 16 I like that par is that and then and we if I may say we as the US we We didn't end up with the worst group right? We ended up with a pretty doable group right who's in there See paraguay australia and a european opponent to be determined in Yeah, there's no yeah, right. There's no world power there which is good I mean if I'm looking at downside like all four of those teams are decent like nobody's terrible You can maybe australia

29:06But the US is gonna be a favorite of slight favorite in At least two games maybe three depending on the playoff team that gets there And this is the first ever international tournament in the nine-year history of a numbers game Where Paul card did not select germany as the winner? Is that correct? Well, yeah, I know Yeah, I don't see that change in I bet or sorry Ecuador to win that group that germany is in I think it was a group E Uh plus 400 right after the draw So I'm gonna be fading Germany and it pains me to say that and who are you and who are you backing? I haven't picked the title team yet. Yeah, I'm happy with the odds again Spain is gonna be tough to go against, but they're also I think the favorite So I don't know if there's a ton of value there. So yeah, we'll definitely obviously be something I'm looking into Spain plus 450 England plus 550 France 8 to 1 Brazil 8 to 1 Argentina 8 to 1 and then we dropped a Portugal at 11 to 1 The usual suspects usual suspects um give us one side beyond that usual group that you think might be live To go deep. I like Ecuador. I'm gonna mention them. Okay, you know, I mean to win the title is a lot

30:10Different than just to win the group or something like that But I feel like South American teams tend to be undervalued. So Ecuador Columbia Those are the kind of teams that you know you want to make a bet on them to win a group make a run to the quarter finals Those are things I'm gonna be looking at okay to the prem to the premier league one question before we get to your three pack of picks Which is when we last left the Wolverhampton Side the the wolves Wolverhampton wanderers if you want to be a nice nailed it. There we go They were at two points and they were threatening right to be the worst team in the history of the prem What's this to quote the great Steve Fezig? They're at seven points. What is happening? Yeah I mean, it's shocking a that they got five points in the last three games draw wind draw in the last three And maybe even more impressive like they look like a real team This is not a you know, they didn't win them all one nil and just kind of smash and grab got a point or two or three and got out of there Like they look like a real team They brought a new manager Rob Edwards earlier in the season and seems like his ideas and concepts are finally taking root

31:13So I'm not saying they're gonna get out of relegation because they're still heavy favors to go down But they look legit, but yeah, the problem is of course they still have seven points in their see 17th place the 14 points deep in the relegation zone they're not making that up But it is nice to see them kind of look like a real team for a bit Yeah, they probably will get to 11 which is the the standard bearer for the worst ever of all time. Yeah Yeah Derby County can put that champagne on ice. That's that's right Okay, to the three pack of picks and these are all tomorrow All tomorrow we're gonna start with the big one of the weekend man city and Manchester United This is Apple Trafford. So away from man city This line feels like a trap to me I played this at even money on the man city win and I'm gonna walk right into the trap Three straight draws for city But it could have showed a beat in Brighton in Sunderland in that stretch Nothing's really changed. They're still pretty clearly the second best team in the league and not too far behind Arsenal They brought in Antoine Semenio who joined from Bournemouth. He scored in both games so far

32:14So another dimension for a man city attack They are dealing with a lot of injuries, but so is Manchester United Matthias DeWix still not healthy defensively for them United's a mess. They fired their manager a couple weeks ago. They're in seventh But they just haven't really been that good on the whole so I'm just gonna take the better team even though it's on the road It's a cross-town man city win at even money the old Paul Carr I'm gonna take the better team handicap, which I was a fan of man man city even money at man you the big Game of the weekend and then there are a couple totals. We have here We'll start with leads full on over two and a half plus one fifteen Leeds is newly promoted and they're just about safe from relegation They're plus 700 or so to go down right now. So that's good for them They're looking pretty good Third most goals in their games this season over three per game third most in the league that is Seven of the last eight games have gone over or attacks been in good form including american brinden aronson Folham's up to ninth form hasn't really dipped lately despite some players being gone for Africa cup of nations Real knack for scoring goals late

33:15So if you need one to hit the over late They've had four late goals lately to steer results and half their away games have gone over this season So I'm getting plus money on the over two and a half line I'll take that here leads full of over two to have goes and then the over two and a half in the cinderland crystal palace game as well Yeah, it's a plus 120 you don't see that very often on over two and a half. This is kind of catnip for me Palis is the better team here, but they've been scuffling lately down to 13th Manager announced this morning that he's probably gonna That he's leaving at the end of the season one of the best defenders marty he is likely going to man city and won't play Sonnellan's in 10th place, but they're really not very good at all They tried avalous scoring games, but the defense isn't that good most three home games are out of our two and fxg So over two and a half plus 120 all great use of a smash and grab earlier has it applies to soccer? I enjoyed that as well. Thank you. Give you points for that great to see you man Should we we can't we can't go this long again appreciate it We'll come back next week. There you go. We'll do it. Paul Carr everybody courtesy of the progressive guest learn We'll come back more football and Chris Felica on the natty. It's a numbers game right here at visa

34:32A numbers game on fee said these sports betting network football meets flavor with visa in an Omaha Stakes the official sponsor of till getting it right now when you spend $129 you can score two pounds of fully cooked chicken wings Supposed 50% off-site wide at Omaha stakes.com slash vs. I n don't wait spend $129 get two pounds of wings and save 50% Sightwide on stakes and more at Omaha stakes.com slash vs. I n that's Omaha stakes.com slash visa and minimum purchase required see site full detail Looks good Kelly's back everybody After just taking it all that chin on twitter for his mayo comments. Oh, I die. You know what? Actually have this This works out well someone brought up ranch earlier. Yeah, I like ranch with wings. Where's you doing? I'm not like blue cheese, too. I could go either way there He's lived in so many places and you'd think he'd be more cultured, but doesn't really have a refined palette I'm just getting murdered on Twitter. It's great when Twitter was working. Yeah, yeah, thank good for you that it stopped working again Okay, pretty good odd three cap all the bets once again from the show

35:35I am on the Niners plus seven and a half of the Seahawks made that bet on Monday Texans plus three at the Patriots those are my two plays in the NFL's divisional round No bets pre-flop on the other two might get an in-game, but no no bets pre-flop in the first and last Australia and open once again to win on the lady side just a bagula 31 31 to 1 actually plus 3-1-1-2 so a little more than that. Naomi Osaka to win at 19 to 1 EGA the great EGA to win Australia and EGA's EGA's attack looking for the career slam If she wins this plus five 25 looking for her seventh major title And then on the quarters on the ATP side on the men's side Lorenzo Musetti to win the third quarter. It's plus Jesse Pagula to win the third quarter on the lady side at four to one I have a whole bunch of first round matches to handicap as my Friday homework today after the show Yes You did there are some great ones on the men's side And by the way the my season long tennis futures Yannick sinner to win three grand slams exactly at plus four 50 in the year where Carlos has broken off with his coach

36:40Juan Carlos Ferreiro and then EGA's fiat tech to win two grand slams at plus three 50 what Sorry, sorry this I forgot I was going through things. I had to do back there with Danny. I was making bets Yeah, because I was shopping for physics too. We landed on the pervy bet together I forgot to make tennis bets. Oh, I'm going to tell you on a couple. This is my imitation of Kelly while I was doing that Yeah, yeah, come on All right, you got some basketball. I got a bunch actually 76ers tonight money line minus one 30 Zach Cohen, uh, this was the this was just like our friend Carl Sack yesterday. I was heavy lean Boston Celtics He released it. I was like, I know I'm gonna play it. I'm a luck luck luck. That look touching go for him. Oh my god Oh my god. Oh boy. Oh boy. Oh boy. Oh boy. Oh we and 76ers today This is a very light one for me as well. Same thing. I go to go to do a hardwood handicap or stay I'm like well, I'm the worst podcast in the history of podcasts because I have zero bets Like just nothing I liked on the card a couple of things. I lean towards 76ers is one of them. They're doing that whole Baseball series thing. I don't know. They call it baseball series in them. No, it's not three games

37:43Right? It's like the the game at game at uh at philly than another game at Philly with the calves and sixers. I don't really like playing those. I get in my head about it too much. And I know it's too much, but it's the, I can't help but think of playoff situations and what have you, what did you learn and what did you just see in one game? What that you can take to another? I usually just like to stay away from those, but I mean, was acting. I do did lean to the 76ers NFL this weekend have added a few. All right, Bill Broncos, 146 and a half brought this up on the show earlier. I played that yesterday. Josh out over eight and a half rushing attempts. Tail. Yeah, tail. Tail will hill. And Chris Flick, I guess independently got there. Sharp minds, man. Seahawks laying six bet that on open big and then bought a little back with the 49ers at seven and a half. So let's go Seahawks by seven. Kyle, you check over one and a half receptions minus one 36 added Brock Purdy over a half interception at minus one 55 added

38:43Patriots lay in two and a half with them and Drake made over 35 and a half rushing yards and my FOMO bed of the week bills plus 250 to win the AFC can miss out on that. Can I miss out on that Oh, you'll hate yourself. Mm-hmm. Also on the show today, we had Paul Carr, Premier League bets at three pack man city win, even money over man. You leads full of over two and a half goals at plus one 15 and Sunderland and Crystal Palace over two and a half goals at plus one 20. Don't usually see a plus one 20 on the over in a Prem match. Chris Velika, Afcon final Sunday, Morocco versus Senegal draw plus one 90. I like a good soccer draw bet. Oh, yeah, me too. He's calling it there with Morocco and Senegal plus one 90 and then Yannick center win the Australian open can't argue with that at minus one 20. That's just how good center is. Did Drew use the same line on the pod? He did the last couple right at the top. Okay. We got to it at the start to two weeks. He's in men's side starts. He goes, let me see when the final is again. That on whatever data. He I think it's like the first day of February. I can't even take Drew's laugh otherwise. He always

39:47that was that little sticker after it. Sorry. We had two weeks. Chris has a future on Miami, but he's also on Miami plus the points versus Indian and the national championship on Monday night. And he's sprinkling on the money line with the canes at plus 280 versus the Hoosier sprinkles me main NFL couple props. Josh Allen over eight and a half rushing attempts. Boy, that's popular here. And Kyle used check over one and a half receptions in the Niners game. I think that one hits. I hope the show does well in the NFL this weekend. Yeah, because it could be a lot of similarities. A lot of feast and famine. Steve Fezick just on moments ago. He's on Brock Pertie over a half a pick against the Seahawks on Saturday. He's on Colston, leveling to over five receptions. Let's call it five at minus 162. He had some over four and a half, but just to make it clear he's at over five as well. In the Bears game. And then he is the two sides he played are in the Patriots game. Patriots minus three versus the Texans were up on that. He took the Bears plus the points versus the Rams.

40:47Wow, I missed that. Stevie on the Bears. Okay. Stevie's on the Bears. I added. I said to him, I go, is that your only side of the Patriot? He goes, nah, put me in for the Bears too. Okay. Okay. If you say so, man, you know, I brought it up on Monday. I don't know. I'm getting those Bears vibes too. I think it's just the big sign for me to stay away. I really hope a three doesn't pop in that game. If it drops to three Rams all the way there. My headverse heart are going to have quite a battle this weekend. Boy, could you bottle whiskey's going to probably have to figure it out. I guess we haven't really talked about this all year. And I guess we should do it in our final three and a half minutes of the week. But yeah, as we look forward to NFC championship week, right? Is just imagine, imagine if the Bears Magic carpet ride last another week and they take out the Rams. At that point, we can officially say this is the most bananas NFL season there's ever been in just in terms of anyone can win it. There was never a good team or never an unflawed team who's to say anyone can't win it at that point. What is the what are the two championship

41:47matchups that would qualify as the most bizarre? Well, Bears Niners, Bears Niners. But like, so like first of all, in the NFC, I love this conversation. The NFC we can't lose. I think it's going to be Seahawks Rams. And that's going to be awesome. But I think any combination of these teams is going to be a lot of fun for an NFC championship game. I don't want to hear about NFC championship game that doesn't have Josh Allen. You don't want to hear about it. It's it's it's get ready. But I know I know it might be coming. Like if this is Denver, like Denver Houston, me. I really want Buffalo, New England. Your combinations of the AFC are Buffalo, New England, Buffalo, Houston, Denver, Houston, Denver, New England. None of those would surprise me. None of them surprised me. I'm rooting for a Buffalo, New England rematch. I want the divisional rematches in the in the championship games. Oh, if you want to talk want to see. Yeah, I think a lot of people would say that. Let's just talk wants to see. I have no interest in

42:48a Rams. Seahawks again. No, if I want to see, I'd love to see the Niners and the Bears. Like, that's right. Niners bears would be beyond fascinated game. And in the AFC, to be honest with you, I'd like to see Houston and Josh Allen. Because I'd love to see that Houston defense. Go up against this one man wrecking crew and see if Josh Allen has finally met his kryptonite. Oh, man, you're right. Kryptonite. That's like, it's like one man for it's like a sparta. What was that? What was that movie? It's like the, you know, you got like the 300. Thank you. It's like 300. We like Josh Allen versus these 90 dude elite dudes on Houston, man. To be clear, the Kansas City Chiefs were always this kryptonite, but now that they've been removed, can he find a kryptonite this year? Can he avoid all kryptonite? I mean, if it's Denver and Houston, all the top two defenses we all said in preseason, right? These teams are going to be elite on the defensive side of the ball. Maybe Denver hasn't lived completely up to that, but they're still very, very, very good. Good for everybody who tweeted in or as a couple of people who tweeted in, I won't exaggerate it, but a couple of people who tweeted in about their Super Bowl matchups that

43:50they made before the playoffs. Yeah, I got her still live. It's like, man, I got a big one out there still. Which one? Buffalo over Seattle. Exactly. Oh, an exact 90. The exact is just scared me though, because you could get the matchup and then lose on that, you know, yeah, but I can do something. You can do something with it at that point. But Seattle will be a big favorite. Buffalo over Seattle was what price? 90 to one. Oh, man. Yeah. Okay. You're like, let's go. Josh. I really do think though that earlier when we're talking about, you know, most passing yards, I do think you have to take a flyer on Botanix at 10 to one against that Buffalo defense. He's the longest shot on the board. I think you'd have to again, Matthew Stafford and he, the only two of the remaining quarterbacks that had had as many as four 300 yard passing games this year. Josh Allen had three. Great nugget. Josh Allen had three. Everybody else had two or fewer Brock Birdie, I think at two. He doesn't have any receivers. Yeah. It's full rugby this week, and I really hope they just line up. Six offensive linemen tight ends, push Josh Allen every play.

44:51I think Darnell had zero if I'm not mistaken. It's probably right. Yeah. Could be wrong. Lean on that defense, Sammy. Everybody have a great weekend. Division around games. We'll be back before the nadi on Monday. Australia in open. Let's do it. In the meantime, prop points with John Hansett is next. Enjoy from Beeson. They sports betting network.