An S-Shaped Adventure Part 2 with Theodore Modis

In today's podcast, we're delving deeper into the follow-up to the groundbreaking book, "Predictions: Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future." This sequel takes us on an exciting journey, offering a fresh perspective on understanding society and ourselves by employing scientific principles to forecast social phenomena. But that's not all; we're also tackling the daring task of revisiting the predictions made two decades ago and comparing them to real-world data—a step forecasters typically shy away from. And to sweeten the deal, this book introduces many new, relevant topics that have emerged recently. Stay tuned for an enlightening exploration of these intriguing insights! Find Theodore here: 00:00:00.355 Introduction and Recap of Part One 00:02:00.301 Growth Potential in China and India 00:10:23.649 Synthetic Rubber: Exceptional Growth During the War 00:12:32.440 Anticipating New Product Introductions and Disease Trajectories 00:15:45.440 Cardiovascular vs. Cancer: Competing Diseases 00:17:49.360 Competing Travel Means: Cars, Trains, and Planes 00:20:01.429 Competition for Energy: Fuel and Share Growth 00:22:13.924 The Fuel Conundrum: Fluctuations and Fracking 00:25:08.739 The Succession of S-curves in Energy Consumption 00:27:17.544 Subjective vs Concrete Variables in Econometrics 00:28:49.043 The Breakdown of Data Agreement in Electricity Production