American Support of Israel is Collapsing and Netanyahu Knows It

For the first time in polling history, American sympathy for Palestinians has surpassed sympathy for Israel. AIPAC, once a powerhouse lobbying organization, has become toxic in Democratic politics. Democratic candidates are being pressed to publicly disavow AIPAC and answer directly whether what happened in Gaza constitutes genocide. Many are fumbling that question, and voters are noticing.

Netanyahu and his government appear to understand the timeline clearly. With roughly two and a half years left in Trump's second term, they are working that window as hard as possible, knowing that if Democrats retake the House, Senate, and White House in 2028, the era of unconditional U.S. military funding and political cover is over. The $4 billion a year with no strings attached will not survive a Democratic majority.

AIPAC is already reinventing itself through shell groups with generic American-sounding names to continue funneling money to candidates without the now-toxic AIPAC brand attached. Tim Miller recently called it the worst self-inflicted collapse of a lobbying organization he has ever witnessed.
Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz threatens global trade. Israel is becoming an international pariah. The propaganda cover is gone, and the clock is running.

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