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A Numbers Game | January 23, 2026 | Hour 1

A Numbers Game

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In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon cover all the news around the NFL and preview this weekend's Conference Championship games. Also, Paul Carr from TruMedia Sports joins the show to talk some Premier League. Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. Grab your first month for only $9.99 or take over $60 off an annual subscription when you use promo code: SUPER. Click Here to get started.


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A Numbers Game | January 23, 2026 | Hour 1

A Numbers Game

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A Numbers GameA Numbers Game | January 23, 2026 | Hour 1. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

The numbers told the story now is now swandles idiots who believe in athletics. This is a numbers game with Kill I like Xander gone V sin. Let us do this. Good Friday morning to you. It is a numbers game at V sin these sports betting that we're visa.com game. Plus I hard radio YouTube TV. And of course, series except channel 158 on a football Friday. Exactly all football mostly football. It's got a football skill Alexander. It's Kelly Bidlin. That's the voice of Kelly Bidlin. Everybody say hello to my friend Kelly. Now you say hello back Kelly. Hey, we got some football too. Football in football. We have football and we have football. That's right. We have some UFC 324 little later on with Jordan Sherwood as they shift from pay per view to Paramount. Are you familiar with this is the big. I mean, I'm sort of familiar with it. You still you don't have to pay for it. I think you have to pay for Paramount subscription, right? Don't you? I don't know, but check with Bobby Knuckles after this. I think you do.

Yeah. You get Paramount. You get Paramount plus you get every every I mean that part you do have to pay for. But I'm saying there's no like pay per view massive cost per event. I guess I figured it was going to be the same thing as when ESPN like took it over. Because you had to have like ESPN plus and then you still paid for the event. So you're getting the Australian open people mad. Alrighty. Because there's just levels of that. Anyway, UFC going to a subscription based thing on Paramount plus. And now you have that you've archived fights UFC 324. We'll talk to Jordan Sherwood about that later. We will talk with Chris Felica the bear of course on not only the national football. He but horse racing and soccer. He has that as well. Paul Carr of course on the Prem. And Dr. Bobble join us later as we'll Steve Fezig on a football Friday. So it's Felica. It's Fezig. It's Dr. Bob. It's the normal football Friday routine. Let's enjoy it while we can because obviously as football segues into other sports. Maybe we won't have this pleasure every Friday morning. But Dr. Bob was on the Megapod yesterday. I still think he's doing his capsules on both games, which is fantastic.

It is the most thorough. I'm going to sit here and say this. The most thorough analyses you can find on these two championship games is on the Megapod this week. Nice. I feel like I stand on firm ground and saying that. It's so great that I've asked Dr. Bob to come on today for those who missed that on the Megapod. And give his dissertation on one of these two games later today. The reason I say one of these two games Kelly is we simply don't have time. Time out of the time. It's okay. I like it. We do one game and then yeah, go check out the Megapod. A podcast is open gym. This is like gym class where the where the teacher blows the whistle at some point. So we're going to have him do one game and it is he's got a shot clock. It is. Let's put it this way. I'm going to say if you have his conviction on this game, you will want to bet five times what you're already betting. That's the effect he has. Wow. Okay. I think it's pretty good. Yeah. I got it. And then, it's like Friday is little later on and that man is angry. Dude, I don't, which I shouldn't we shouldn't have talked about it on the air. We got to stop talking about it on the air of how how much he texted us every Friday because now he's just trying to break his own record.

That's what's going on. I know he's just trying to keep sexy. Yes, he's sexy. Yes. Stop. Okay. We'll talk about. He's driving it. I was driving it while he's texting it over like I'm going to need at least three more stop lights if I'm going to be able to catch up on all this. No, it's all it's all great stuff, but he's got he's got opinions the man and we'll have opinions and he'll talk about both championship games as well, because I think he has a bet on one of them coming up for championships Sunday, of course, in the national football league. Before we do anything, by the way, there's the beating the book Megapod where Bob does this thing this week with Will Hill, Todd Wishnevin and me, I should say, we will Todd and I, this is just a spoiler alert, Will Todd and I don't really talk that much. So there you go. We'll never get to talk. Oh, well, he did better this year than last year. He did better this year. And by that, I mean, we've got to put the muzzle on Todd a little more. Yeah, well, that's what it is. All right, so tennis, the Australian Open is going on. I'm not sure if you guys are aware of this, but the first slam of the tennis year yesterday, two and one Kelly. Nice. Andre Rubelev, preventing the

sweep with a horrific performance by him. Lose the Y Andre. Lose the Y. Cut the hair. Stop looking like Justin Timberlake, so much. Oh, yeah, the hair. He loses to Francisco Serendolo, but we hit on Julia Putin, Seva, who was torquing by the end of the match. Okay. To the Australian crowd. Okay, derisively. She didn't like that she went after him. Is this this tournament has gotten phenomenal in terms of the catty this. Oh, there's so much. It's so great. It's so fantastic. You see the Osaka. Yeah, that's who it was. Yeah. Anyway, we hit on Julia Putin, Seva. We hit on Eva Yovic as a dog last night, but we lose on Rubelev. So today, and again, now that we're in the third round, as I mentioned yesterday, since there are fewer matches, it goes from 128 to 64 now to 32. I'm able to wrap my hands around all of it and put out the picks in the morning now. And so there were there were two leans and one play this morning. Nothing on the men's side. I think all the men's prices are right where they ought to be, generally speaking. I will tell you that here's

this. I will tell you the two matches that I lean, but didn't have the onions to play. Okay. I didn't have that. I didn't know the onions. It just didn't quite get to the. That's what I heard. Someone called me up last night. They're like, go don't have the onions. So one of the two that I don't that is not a play, but like I considered was to raise some valentova, believe it or not, against Elena Rabakina. She's a huge dog. But in the end, I just think Rabakina will have enough to take down valentova who has great numbers, by the way, on hard courts, but against much lesser competition. That's where it really comes down to when she faces Rabakina, will those numbers manifest against a elite player of Rabakina status? And I decided, no, it won't. In the end, new name alerts for me to raise a valentova. Yeah. Alan. And then the one you're about to fire on the other one that I considered, but didn't fire on. Wang Zinyu was a Chinese player who's a really good player against Lyndon Noscova. Lyndon Noscova is top 20 player in the world. If you know tennis, you know her. If you don't

know tennis, you probably don't. But Wang Zinyu is like a plus 177 dog that they're about, I should say. She's a really good player who can beat players on her level and below. I came very close to playing her against Noscova, but ultimately I did not. The play that I did make though. Oh, I like this price. Nikola Bartonkova is a 19 year old Chechi in player. 19 years old. She has beaten already in this tournament. Daria Cassett Kina, who I had terrible regrets not playing Bartonkova against after Bartonkova beat her. And then Bartonkova beat Belinda Benjich, who I'd never in a million years would have selected over Belinda Benjich or bet over Belinda Benjich. She beat her. I've got Nikola Bartonkova today at plus 350 versus Elise Mertens. Bartonkova's numbers are, I'll just tell you by the scale that I do at Kelly just to give you a general sense. 100 is a really like, you know, credible tour player.

110 is elite. 110 is eager, right? 90. Not good. That's the scale. Bartonkova right now is about 103s across the board one year six months. Really solid player. Elise Mertens is just a shade below that. Obviously much much more veteran player, but I am taking Nikola Bartonkova as I believe this is the most misprice play on the board today at plus 350. I think she is alive to win this big time and this price should be nowhere near what it is nowhere near. There's one for your Friday night. I like there you go. Is it was this the was this the player that Zach was on yesterday talking about bet beating Benjich. He actually had the the stones just to use another synonym to now he didn't do a full unity set. He said he did a quarter unit. So he didn't he didn't go. If she was a eight dollar dog against Benjich. Oh my gosh. That's what that number was yesterday. I heard you I heard you like freaking out about it with it. I don't know if I ever heard it number dropped eight to

one again. This this from a guy who regretted deeply not playing her against Cassadena, but would never have against Benjich. So Zach did. I think he also did a plus one and a half sets thing which he does. So he cashed a couple ways on that. But he did a he didn't go full full bore on the eight. But he did a quarter. So good on him. Currently the odds to win the Australian open. Nothing has really changed. Besides Benjich's Benjich's Benjich's disappearance Benjich's Benjich's Benjich's elimination. Well, that's a tough one. Yeah. Areenis Abelanka remains the short shot. By the way, she got pushed yesterday by Potapova. Had to win two sets and tiebreakers. But Sabelanka gets through. She's plus 160. She's on to the round of 16. Rebokkenund Shfiadentech tonight at six to one and plus six 50 with Amanda Nisimov also in the mix at eight to one and Nisimovan action against the American Peyton Sterns today. She should have no problem with Peyton Sterns in my humble opinion. But really, the board hasn't really changed. Everybody's still alive. Our girl Jesse Pagula still alive. Jesse Pagula takes on Oksana Selleke Medova. I regretted not playing against Badosa, but Jesse will take

her down tonight. If I told you Sabelanka lost her next match, powering the top three that you got left here. Ega. Ega. Ega. Rebokkenund Nisimov. Okay. Coco still has served problems. Because those odds are kind of, you know, we're used to seeing Sabelanka and Ega at the top. You know, from these indecent separation from the rest of the pack. But it's the packs. But it's draw induced, right? Right. Right. As I said, Ega ends up in a quarter with both Rebokkenund Osaka and that determines a lot. Sabelanka's like, oh, yeah, just cruising. Just cruising. Excellent. Last night she had, she had difficulty. So there you go. There's your, there's your tennis bed of the day for Friday night. How about a plus three? By the way, I just bet it here at Circa at plus three seventy five. There you go. Plus three fifties that get senses. Then the same Dinsick lines, the men's tournament starts next weekend. Yeah. Drew's line is men's tournament starts on February 1st. That's right. Can we talk about the, was it Kerstea? Is that her date? Serana Kerstea. So I love these little tennis beefs. They're so

adorable. But the like, was she not aware that Osaka does this a lot? You know what I mean? Like, she was aware. I guess that, you know, Kelly's talking about, I guess that didn't mean to go deep dive. I was fascinated by this. But in between first serve and second serve, Osaka does this thing always where she like pumps herself up. She pumps her fist and she bangs on her own thighs. Yeah. And she gets a little vociferous about it. She's not the only one. She's not the only one. She does it all the time. I guess between Circa's, Kerstea's first and second serve. Serana was getting a little annoyed by it. I suppose. And so she started talking to the up about it. The ump's like, Hey, look, you're not serving. It's between your serves. Not really a violation of any kind. And at the, in the handshake, it was a very, you know, very cold, quick acknowledgement. And Osaka's like, what's your problem? Kind of thing. Kerstea tells her what a problem is. And you know, Naomi's a sensitive girl. She gets all, she gets all upset about it. I don't know. It's funny because it was like, I don't know. It's like, this is your first time watching a match link. And I know it's not because you played this. Naomi's

like, she couldn't just talk to me. Sure. Great. Oh, man, I felt I was like a little, I don't. Putin's ever torquing at the Aussie audience. No, come on, man. It doesn't beat that. Scope, Julia. Way to get it done for us yesterday. All right. Football on the way. Let's do this. Championship Sunday and so much more on a numbers game. And Feeson, he sports betting network. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools, the data and the discipline. And now so can you. Feeson pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with Feeson pro. A numbers game on Feeson. These sports betting network.

What a bet smarter start with smarter insights right now. You can check out Greg Peterson's college basketball. Best bets. Dave Tuley's NFL takes a Rob Moreno's UFC 324 picks. Here you go. Rob Bobby Knuckles Bobby Knuckles first strike podcast UFC 324 picks by the way. And later day you can check out weekend horse racing picks. Nigel C. Lee's EPL. Best bets. That's the Prem and aFC and NFC championship picks right now. Use promo code A and J and G. And G as an A numbers game to save $60 off of recent bro annual subscription at vson.com slash subscribe. We get tweets to be in the book. I didn't even read any of this. Should I just run burgundy through Oh, go for it. I thought we got a couple good ones pre show actually. Oh, pre show. I can see with the pre show. I'm sorry. Didn't you see that? Scott New York. I'll do some of the pre show ones. Maybe I'll go to Bosch and Chicago. Can we revisit thoughts on NFL offensive player of the year? Seems more times than not. The AP winner mirrors the pro football writers association winner. Do we think JSN is winning or do we strongly believe someone else will win? Also not sure of Kalchee's prediction accuracy on this. Is this one of

them that you're referring to by the way? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I think I do think it's interesting. I think especially when we do have Kalchee in the in those types around or anybody that's still hanging odds on awards. You will see the numbers get influenced when these things get announced. They got announced last week. I believe I saw this come down for the pro football writers association pro football writers of America. Sorry. They're who they decided on vote wise. I staffered one the pro football writers association MVP Jackson Smith and jigma one offensive player of the year. No surprise miles Garrett one defensive player there for a PFWA. And at least when they first came down kill. I like I noticed staffer got a big bomb because obviously I was I was interested in that one selfishly and went to go check it. He got a big bump. I don't I think it's tread lightly. Be careful. I think now that we do have some of these betting options that you know we're not used to this right still being able to bet on awards right now. Usually they shut this stuff down and he kind of just got to live with it. I would say be a little careful. Yes, it usually gives some signal, but I don't I would not say it's a hundred percent. And I will

end about the Cal she's accuracy again. Cal she's markets are just based on the bets that have been taken. So it's a reflection of the actual money that has been bet. You have to determine if it's based on insider information or that kind of thing depending on the market. Scott New York Mess 16. Gil, can you please ask Fezek when he gets here? Who bet the line up on the Pats early? I have heard no one on the Pats and the public is going to be playing them. Then who had the early money since public usually waits until game day. We'll get Steve's breakdown on that whole thing. Yeah, I don't know unless I'm missing some of those guys. I don't know that there was. I don't think so either early movement. It's the quarterback chase. Yeah, it opened at six. Right. Yeah, yeah. No emu Doug talking about owes the medalist on our show back the day since that was one of the best shows I can remember first because Kelly's apparently unreadable and Gil has such a complete and complex memory. No one should be able to read it. Great show. We were we were just wow to buy owes the medalist Brian shape 31 Paramount plus is worth the subscription. You get to watch the Landman top five show all time worth the watch. Wow, top five all time. All right, I've

a landman just brought up a few times. I think Danny and I were talking about a couple weeks ago. I made it halfway through the first episode. It looks great, Gil. I made it halfway through the first episode about a year ago and I haven't I haven't got to the rest of it. I I did watch. Danny Higgins says it's phenomenal. Yeah, I'm sure it is. I love I love Yellowstone all those shows to the one I started a couple weeks ago that I've caught up on his pluribus. Have you seen that? No, sir wacky show on Apple TV. Pretty good. It's pretty good. Prime time Leon Santagio. Hey, man, I hope your studio is comfy enough for a country club and came Michael Biddle in this AM. If not head to the Malibu on the Midwest where we bask in minus 15 Celsius minus 45 wind shield today truth. We told it really only seems like minus 40. So there's that heading out for some ice cream. Peace loving. Yes, by the way, to everybody in the country. Yeah, experience bad weather, man. Be safe. I got no jokes today. Seriously. This is some serious stuff today this weekend. You guys be careful out there. Brett Leedka. You don't know if Dave Ross can be able to get to the studio on Monday. He's very concerned about it. I told him he should have brought a sleeping bag today. Dave Ross also co-host of first strike with Rob Marano. That's right. Brett

Leedka yo driving through Starbucks. Listen day and G thinking about physics while I order all these delicious food items. Love y'all. Let's see. Dan Groeschel. I will defend my girl, Julia Putin Seva. That crowd was very prosan, mes and a bit unruly in my opinion colored by the bed I had on her 1000%. Yeah, me too, Dan. And Josie 714 did Mira Andreva really say, blank you after she won her match to the crowd. It looked like she did if you were lip reading. So the Aussie crowd getting on the nerves. That's great. And then Danny Burmette said get that plus 120 plus one and a half sets on Barton Cove also just in case she gives it a ride. It comes up just short. You can certainly do that. Todd Canarcy born 65. If you gave Tom Brady true serum, do you think he's rooting for the Patriots to win the Super Bowl? It's a great question. I do wonder that sometimes. This Brady's ego say I'd rather them not win this and get to the Super Bowl. And then Corbin, good late night morning fellas. If I could be so selfish and get you guys to ask Paul Carwoody thinks about Canadian, excuse me, Canada's draw in the World Cup, how it fairs for them.

I know he probably hasn't done a lot of research for the team up north, but just curious. We will ask him that. All right, real quick. Now let's get to the games themselves. Or first, even before that. So Jesse Mentors, the new coach, the Baltimore Ravens, the new head coach. Love it. Congratulations to anybody who had Jesse Mentor over there at Calche. He was the favorite for the Baltimore Ravens job. And the bills are including Josh Allen in all of their head coaching interviews. And what were your three words off air when I brought this up? As it should be. As well, that's four words, but is as they should is what she said. Yeah, it'll be as they should be. So five jobs filled five still open. Kevin Stavansky's new head coach of the Falcons, John Harbaugh, the Giants Robert Salo with the Titans. Jeff Halfley goes for the Packers to the Dolphins headman and now Jesse Mentor of the Ravens still open Arizona Cleveland Las Vegas Pittsburgh and Buffalo. And those jobs are starting to feel like especially the Arizona and Cleveland ones and the biggest ones like yeah, whoever's left. Some of these jobs are not like the others. Whoever's left. You're the musical chairs. We got you. Yeah. Open seat with Josh Allen.

And then Shedor Sanders. I guess Cheeto Smith or whoever's in law and maybe Kyler Murray. I don't even know. I don't know if Kyler survives the offseason. And no surprise Fernando Mendoza said, I do declare where they had a failed draft. The only thing that was interesting about that to me was like anybody else like me just assumed this already happened already. Yeah. I think this is pretty kind of a done deal. Pretty late declaration. As long as you say I do declare you're good. Okay. First thing this week, I took the Broncos plus five and a half. Now this was a Malcolm Gladwell blank kind of thing where it's just like you just knew from observing lines for a million years that plus five and a half was a bridge too far. In other words, the change from Bohnix to Jarrett's did him while it should create some of an adjustment. Absolutely. A few points. Right. Instead, the pendulum swung big time. And so just instinctively plus five and a half. And like this is and then forgive me. I don't remember who tweeted

this, but it was the best tweet of the week. I think on the subject where he's like we cannot act like Bohnix is not that good of a quarterback for two years. Yes. Yes. And then all of a sudden decide when he's out. Oh, the line must swing. Yeah. You know, a touchdown or more. It just can't be that way. So I'm on the Broncos. Dr. Bob will be on later. I'll just say that again. You should tune in. I'm telling you you should. I'm on the Broncos. I still like him at four and a half where it is now. Plus four and a half. I just you got five and a half. Yeah. Dead man's land. Right. We always talk about that on key numbers in the NFL. Yeah. I think you better five and a half, absolutely four and a half would still be interesting. I have a Patriots money line. Look, this is my bet on this game as a perfect example of what the playoff betting we've been talking all along really really outside of the Seahawks a week ago. It's all been very, very average mid betting sizes for me throughout the playoffs. And this is I had the Patriots money line just tied in with Indiana on Monday, Monday night. And that's just that's not a bet that you're going to see be sick a

lot of money into. So I'm sticking with that kill. I've got back and forth. You know, one thing I find really fascinating about this game for the amount of crap that we've given the Patriots all year about, hey, you haven't played a schedule, right? Like the schedule is terrible. You haven't really played anybody. If they end up, let's just say they end up winning a Super Bowl, right? The defense is that they will have gone through in this playoff stretch. I have to take back everything that I said about him during the regular season, because you're talking, but I'll just say it again, will Campbell landing on those two fumbles was everything. Oh, yeah, yeah. I mean, look, he's going to have his hands full once again this week, right? I mean, nothing's like the Texans pass rush, but we talk about fumble luck. But then we don't really talk about fumble luck. Fumble luck, right? Mm-hmm. I mean, just just been a magic carbon-ripe Patriots. So you got these defenses that they're going up to against, which I think is a test. The other one that's been, you know, there's been a lot made about the Patriots defense and how great it's been. But think about on the other side of this, the past two offensive lines that they've faced that have maybe,

I mean, we're not even talking worse than the playoffs. We're talking bottom 10 in the NFL with the Houston Texans and the chargers with all the injuries coming in. That is not what they're getting in Denver. They are getting one of the best offensive lines in the NFL that they're going to face. So I'm pretty interested. I'm actually kind of getting interested in the over in this game. And I know I've missed the move. I think it's open for two points already. Yeah, up open 40 and a half, up to 42 and a half. So you've missed kind of the key 41. But I'm leaning a bit that way. I might end up on that. I got more on the other game, Gale, but this one here on the Patriots money line. Money line. Yeah, just in a point. Okay, let me just ask the other question though. Do we know one person as one person come on this show this weekend, taking the Patriots at a late the point. We did have like two yesterday. I think Danny, I was thinking the same thing. Four of the two people is sacks on the Patriots. I can't remember if he was money line or laid the points. And I want to say some it was two. All right, I could be wrong, though. But no, I was thinking the same thing. What driving in to work yesterday? I was thinking,

I haven't heard a single person say I'm laying the points with the Patriots. Yeah. AFC championship preceding the NFC championship. We'll do the Rams to see a good coming up as well. Prem league, the premier league, the Prem with Paul Karnex on a numbers game right here at Visa. A numbers game on FISA, these sports betting network. Back up to numbers gave life from circle resort casino downtown Las Vegas. It's radios, Gill Alexander, everybody. Television is Kelly Bidlin. We cover it all here. That's right. We get tweets, be to the book Chance Copperpot. Been trying to tell my group the line on the Pats is too high and all they have is Stidham Sucks. It's all they say. Does he? I don't know if we know that says Chance splits say over 70% of the money's on the Pats, but this line is going towards the Broncos reverse line movement. Well, yeah, by definition. Yeah, by definition. It's not and we're not seeing a six. No. Paul M,

if you're going to talk great shows on Paramount Plus, you have to bet you're one of the best shows going. Mar of Kingsdown entering its fifth season. Oh, you know what? That's one that I've, I've, it looks great. I'm sure it is great. I haven't gotten into it yet though. Is it mayor of Kingstown or mayor of Kingstown? Kingstown? Kingstown? Yeah, Kingstown. I did watch a couple episodes of like a year ago of Tulsa King. So it's Sylvester Stallone. When do you have time to watch these shows? When you're watching documentaries? I'm watching shows. That's probably right. But those are such a commitment. I mean, you're watching seasons where Kevin Ryan, Gil Rain in the Landman top five show of all time. Wasn't me. It was the tweet. The guy tweeted. Good first season, but second season falls off the cliff. Anyone who hasn't watched mayor of Kingstown is missing the best Taylor Sheridan series, even topping Yellowstone. Wow, two votes for Barrick Kingsdale. This by the way, this by the way comes up because UFC has gone from pay per view to Paramount Plus. By the way, in case y'all wonder, we're giving UFC. It's deserved. That's right. It's back off Dave Ross and Bobby Brown. Larry Bird 33. Larry legend is tweeting and he says, Thomas Gabel over there

at Borgada said he would open the Pats minus one or minus one of one and a half. So the move to four and a half seems like the right move was steady. Well, it might open there. I'm going to close there. I'm telling you that right now. That doesn't seem like hey. Let me just put it this way. Listen to Dr. Bob later. You don't believe me. Listen to Dr. Bob later. It's all I guess. And then Eddie Pronella, Eva gets Putes next round going to be a huge favorite crowd with her to let down spot more torquing. I don't know. We'll get to that day where he's talking about you. Putin seven versus Eva Yovitch. We'll get to that over the weekend. I haven't jumped into that group of numbers yet. Brett Lee could talk me out of the Rams plus eight and a half in Broncos plus ten and a half teaser. I cannot talk you out of that. Yeah. I know it's not a long teaser. I cannot talk you out of that teaser. I can't either. Eric Bennett, what are your thoughts on the Moosetti match today? I'll tell you what my thoughts are that Mahatch is really good. And that that's properly priced. Moosetti is a is a minus one 50ish favorite last I looked. That's about

where it should be. This was always the first sort of hurdle for Moosetti because Mahatch is an excellent player. Um, big hurdle for us in our Moosetti quarterback for sure. Chan's copper pot. Pluribus is a fun show. The breaking bad guy made a virus kind of show with a twist. Here's my problem with it, Kelly. I find myself poking blood holes the entire time I'm watching it and it irritates me, but I can't stop watching it. B plus. Okay. That's, I mean, it's not Paul Cargill. Just for some Paramount plus reviews. Very good. And some Premier League picks. Paul Car courtesy of the progressive guest line. You can follow him on Twitter at Paul Car. Where's for true media networks? How you don't, Paul? I'm good. I'm good. Paramount plus. You can also watch Champions League. Uh, Saria, the Italian League. There's a bunch of other soccer there. Look at you. You need some other sports fix to go with your UFC. I see what you did there. Well done. We did get a question. Uh, earlier for you, uh, Paul, let's start there on, uh, on the old Twitter machine, specifically about team Canada in the US. Um, of course, I can't find the exact wording

on it right now, but just basically had you had a chance to, uh, to take a look at, oh, here it is exactly. It's from Corbin who says, if I could be so selfish, get you guys to ask about Canada's draw and how it fares for them. Yeah, they got a good draw in the sense that like the US, there's no world power traditional power top 18 in the world in it. Uh, they got Switzerland, who's a good European team better than Canada. Uh, they got Qatar, which is worse than Canada. I just not very good lost all their games at the World Cup last year or four years ago. Uh, and then they got a playoff team. And this is where there's a bit of an X factor. That playoff team could be Italy out of Europe. It could be Northern Ireland. So you've got quite the range of possibilities there. Uh, so Canada should definitely get out of this group, especially with third place teams advancing. They're like minus 300 to go through. So there's nothing much, uh, they're to play. So from a betting standpoint, there's nothing I'm jumping on for them, but if they don't get out of the group, this tournament is a massive failure considering they're going to be playing at home. Wow. Okay. There you go. That's about as uh, clear as it gets with Canada.

Let's start at the, because it's kind of been our thing. Well, let's start with the futures. First of all, is there anything here? Arsenal's a five dollar favorite at this point in the Premier? Yeah. We're a little more than half go through the season. Um, Man City's the only other side in, in single digits at plus four 50 than everybody else is a huge long shot. Um, asked in villa 40 to one and it's triple digits from there. Is that, is that reflect what it should be? Yeah. You know, I've been the biggest Man City proponent all season. I've had a future on them at plus three something before the season. It's been floating around there most of the year. And I still want to believe that, but Man City's been really badly. Roderie, their star midfielder got hurt in Champions League midweek. It's getting harder and harder to see Man City making up this deficit because Arsenal has given him a little bit of room and City just has not grabbed it. So, yeah, I mean, I love to still make the case for City at this price, but I'm not sure I can do it anymore. I'm just going to kind of hang out in my future and pray. All right. Then the other thing that I've again been sort of weirdly fascinated by is this, uh, the, the wolves will over,

Wolverhampton were, uh, wanderers who were stuck at two points in a prem that were the record for the lowest amount of points in any season ever was 11. If I'm not mistaken, uh, they are on fire. What is happening? They're up to eight points. What's going on? Four straight unbeaten. I got a draw against Newcastle last week. And like I said, last week, it's not just that they're getting these points. Like they probably deserve maybe a win against Newcastle in some ways. But a draw is probably fair. Uh, so like they're earning these points. This is not stealing them. As I said, last week, not smashing grab to use your favorite phrase. Uh, they look like a real team. Now they're so deep in the hole already. They, like I said, eight points. They're 14 points clout out of safety and they're like minus 3,500 to get relegated. So they're still probably going to go down, but it is, you know, whatever consolation it is, they actually look like, uh, real teams since they got a new manager is it's something. Yeah. They will, it looks like they will not be the, uh, the record holders, the, the record they don't, they'll definitely get three more

points at some point this year. They don't want to get that and it looks like they won't 16 more games left in the Prem this year. So let's get to the plays. You have one tomorrow, Tottenham versus Burnley, which way you go. Uh, we're going to take the better team here and not overthink it to my favorite ways of going about it. Uh, Tottenham win plus 105 at Burnley Saturday. Burnley's, look, they're in next the last place, but their underlying numbers are far worse than Wolverhamptons. And they were even before this little mini-rinosons that Wolves have had over the past month or so. Worst to expect the gold difference in the league, uh, winless and 13 straight games. They've last nine of those and they won't have their captain John Cohen in midfield for this game. So that's obviously not good for them. Tottenham's been struggling a little bit in the league, but they did get a big Champions League win over Dortmund on Tuesday and some of their metrics have been trending upward over the last few games in the Premier League. So give me Tottenham. I can get plus money on this. I got a plus 105 here. All right. Sunday, we got a couple total starting with Crystal Palace in Chelsea. Yeah, Crystal Palace Chelsea over two and a half minus 125, a couple teams in

weird spots in that Crystal Palace manager, Oliver Glazner, I think a reference this last week, because basically said he's not coming back at the end of the season. They just sold one of their best players and best defender, Marguerite to Manchester City. So he won't be there. And they looked a little bit out of sorts at the back last week. They gave up a couple goals to Sunderland. As for Chelsea, they have a new manager as well. Liam Rosignor came in from France. They had four games under him. Two of them went over. Other two easily could have should have. And they haven't been the most buttoned down defensively under him yet. So Chelsea has been an over team all season. The most to expect the goals, total expect the goals in their games and Palace's top half as well. So minus 125 over two and a half. That's not too much juice for me here. All right. And I guess this is the game of the week. I suppose Arsenal and you, and you have a total in this one as well. Yeah, big game. I mean, Arsenal always talked about their lead in the league. Manchester United's up to fifth place. They've been looking a little bit better under new manager Michael Carrick. So they're obviously pressing for the top four. I think they're a point off of Liverpool right now. And they're playing a little differently. You know,

they like to sit back and counter. They're defending better that a good two-no-win over city. They surprised me last week for sure. And Arsenal struggled a little bit breaking down low blocks lately. They drew Liverpool no-no a couple weeks ago. That was a very dull game. Only there were 17 shots, but less than one expected goal. Like pretty much no good chances almost that entire game. So I expect something a little bit similar here where Arsenal have a lot of the ball. They won't do a lot with it. United's going to try to hit him on the counter. And Arsenal's defense is still really good and probably won't give up a lot of opportunities there. So I have the under two and a half at plus one-fifteen. I am going to root against human achievement. Root against human achievement. I love it. Saturday, tomorrow, Tottenham over Burnley. Paul got it at plus 105 always shop around. And then Sunday, a couple totals. Crystal Palace, Chelsea, over two and a half goals. And then Arsenal and Manu game of the week, under two and a half goals, plus 115 rooting against human achievement. Last thing, we got 30 seconds here. Paul, you are Miami Dolphins fan. You have a new head coach. Jeff Haffley, who says in the press conference,

he says, I'm calling the defensive place. Also, I implied some of his answers. He's like, yeah, I had a second interview lined up with the Steelers. He didn't say it in those words, but he kind of implied it. Are you excited what your excitement meter on this? I kind of palm this off to my college roommate who's a Packers fan. He was sad to lose him. Said he's done a good job with their defense and plugging holes and developing young guys. So those all seem like good things. You know, I kind of think you never know what a coordinator is actually going to do as a head coach. But sure, let's go. That's a great answer. How's that for a resounding endorsement? Here's the right answer. Sure. I love it. Sure. Let's go. And I think that's the appropriate reaction, right? Cause who knows? Who knows? Right time will tell. Paul enjoy the games. Good luck with all the bets. Man, appreciate it. You bet. Have a good weekend. Paul Korn, everybody. You too. Coming back, we'll talk Ram Seahawks. And we've got some championship week props to look into, receiving Russian passing neck on a numbers game right here at VISA.

A numbers game on VISA, the sports betting network. If you love the moments that make sports betting unforgettable, don't miss the top 10 most memorable sports betting moments of 2025. Look at forward to this hosted by Tim Murray. This coming Tuesday, January 27th at 1 p.m. Eastern, the biggest swings, the wildest finishes, the most unforgettable tickets. Relive the moments better. Well, stop talking about Tuesday at one Eastern only on VISA. And look at forward to that. See again, Gil, Shadour Sanders is in a suit because we're going to talk about the sports betting moment of him sliding in the draft. Not anything you actually did on the field this year. That's why everybody else is in uniforms. Correct. Shadour Sanders for break that down for everybody, you know, supposed to be at the top of the draft or theirabouts. Right. And we had Drew Dinsick come on 10 days before the draft. I'll never give his Drew Dinsick came on a numbers game. And we fashioned ourselves here on a numbers game. Yeah, that's just being ahead of stuff. And Drew was like, oh, no, dude, the writing's on the wall. He's dropping. What do you mean dropping? Well,

the Saints say they're not going to interview them. All of a sudden the Sanders camp is like, hey, you know, we'll play for anybody. Oh, also, we're not going to be at the draft, right? Like that sort of like soft, evidentiary stuff. And so I was like, where do you think he's dropping to? And he was like, oh, top of the second round, maybe even. And I was like blown away by that. We were shocked by that. Yeah. That was 10 days before the top of the second round. We thought we were like break it news. Yeah, not so much. Second round goes. Third round goes Cleveland drives Dylan Gabriel. Fourth round goes. And the Browns trade four should do in the fifth. And then, you know, what's the, what's the sort of funny part about that? He ends up as we said right afterwards in kind of a good situation for him, because he'll probably play and play. He did the as Flacco got traded and picket got hurt. Dylan Gabriel wasn't anything. The, uh, they're still dropping a quarterback though. It's here of all the bets. Yeah. You know, those bets that you just, you think about because he didn't make. Oh, yeah.

The ones, the ones that kind of hurt more than the losses, whenever we first found that prop of over understarting quarterbacks for the Browns. You two and a half many times. I was so angry. I was like, that's, that's a great bet. I think that's a great bet. Should doors going to see the field at some point. I was an easy cash, man. That one still pisses me off. Didn't bet it did you? No, of course not. By the way, why would I, why would I do something? We do have an official answer to the question of, have we had anybody on the show who took the Patriots laying the points this week? One person did. Zach Cohen did. Mm-hmm. That's the official answer. Zach Cohen did. I believe if we check the tape to Mike said he will bet the Patriots if it gets to four. That could be, but he was waiting on that. Yeah. Okay. Um, by the way, would you like to, Cleveland Browns week one starting quarterback odds up at CalShi? Oh, really? That's awesome. I would be careful with this. Hold off season to go, people. Just don't do nothing about this. Uh, she do her centers 44%. The Sean Watson 30% till a Gabriel 9%. The Sean be ready to play, right? Yeah, allegedly. Who knows?

Allegedly, a word we use often with the Sean Watson. Most passing yards of the conference championship games. Matt Stafford plus 140, Sam Darnold usually spelled with it in at plus 240, Drake May plus 280, and then Jared Stidham, Stiddy, as Sean Payne refers to plus 550. Let me just, so let's go back because with the with the Rams in the Seahawks, they played twice already. If you recall, Rams won the first game 21 to 19. Remember that was when they got the Seahawks got pinned at the one yard line. They ended up with a Jason Meyer 61 yard attempt largely because they started that drive at the one yard line that he missed. Rams hold on for the victory 21 to 19. Seahawks dominated the box score in the stats. Then game two was the classic in Seattle on that Thursday night before Christmas, where Seattle was down 16 in the fourth quarter. They got that Rashid Shaheed put return touchdown and two got the lead in half. Then they get the touchdown to cut it to two and the most controversial two-point

aversion in the history of the NFL happens where even the crowd in Seattle doesn't even know they've tied the game or that they're even reviewing it in the first place. They tied the game. And then in overtime, remember the Rams get the ball first. The score touchdown. Seahawks come back. They score touchdown and they go for two for the win. Yes. And they get it. And that was a game where the Rams dominated in the box score. But just to give you an idea of those two games, as we look at this most passing yards, Matt Stafford threw for 130 yards in their victory, 130 in the victory, and 457 in the loss. I mean, I think that is something that could continue with both these quarterbacks in this game. I like, whatever team is winning and controlling this game, I would be shocked if we don't see the Rams get back to their two tight ends, run the ball, focus on that at the beginning of the game. Darnled, by the way, went 279 and 270. Yeah. So right in the middle, but consistent. So I don't know. I mean, I guess my question is, is there a bet here? Would you even take any of

these? There's not for me. Yeah, there's not for me here. I think by the numbers, I would say Donald jumps out the most, but I'm not betting that. Let's look at receiving yards. Most receiving yards in the conference championship games this weekend. By the way, the bonics, I keep meaning to bring this up. Last Friday, a week ago, we were doing the most passing yards for the divisional round. And I said, okay, people should take a flyer on the long shot. Bonics attend to one. And some people thought I was crazy. I was like, hey, besides Jared golf and Matt Stafford, who had six 300 yard games of all the quarterbacks playing last week, who had the most 300 yard games besides those two, it was bonics of four. So bonics. I don't know if you if anybody tracked this, but the first game of the weekend was the Bills and the Broncos. Four four games of division round. Pardon me, not six. Four games of division. First game was the Bills and the Broncos. Josh Allen throws for 283, I believe it was. And bonics with 279 matriculating the ball down the field. Then he breaks his ankle and they get the interference call down field. He never gets the five yards. He needs to be Josh Allen.

Guess what? Whole weekend. Josh Allen number one 283 bonics do 79. That's how we lost that 10 to one bed. Yeah, man, I don't I don't think that like I don't like stedoms out of this either. No, I don't like there's a world where there's a world where patrons pull away early and the Broncos are forced to play catch up, right? I'm just saying, well, that's the lesson and don't don't be shy of taking long shots in some of these categories. Most receiving yards. Having said that, having said that most receiving yards, having said that there's most receiving yards. Puka de Kua plus 180. JSN is plus 190 and there you go. Everybody else is double digits. I'm only laughing, Gil, because there's some names on here. I'd be interested in, but man, when you go to look at the top of the board, it's Puka. I mean, mainly Puka, but actually, you know what? Actually, I will give you a name that I will take that I would make a bet on. Any ideas? Any guesses? Besides, I like digs. I thought he would be longer odds. You're going to go mims on Marvin Mims Jr. You got it 28 to one because he's a home run hitter, right? Yeah. So Marvin Mims

Jr. would be the flyer I would take in this category this week at 28 to one, but just to give you do the same thing that I did with Stafford and Darnold with Puka and Jackson Smith and Jigba. Puka in those two games against the Seahawks 75 in game one two seven, excuse me, two 25 in game two. He had 225 of Stafford's 457. So Puka was 75 in 225. JSN was 105 in 96. So just like with Darnold, he was consistent. I mean, they're both those guys are going to, they're the two guys on this whole list. The two guys that you just, you know, are going to get an absurd amount of targets. Yeah. I would take a flyer on Marvin Mims Jr. I really would. I've got a bet in the rushing prop. Okay, let's go to rushing. Let me just do just to be thorough. Let's do the thing with the Rams and the Seahawks guys, right? Because there was the two leaders again. Just like Nakua and JSN were the two leaders for the respective teams in both games. So with the rushing were Kenneth Walker and Kyron Williams, Kenneth Walker, game one against the Rams 67, game two 100 on the button. Kyron 91 and 70.

So good production for both of them. Kenneth Walker's minus 130 to lead the championship weekend in rushing. Kyron Williams is plus 450. And then you see Patriots and Bronco, a kind of like, a kind of like Kyron Williams over over on his rushing prop this week. I really think the Rams are going to try to settle in early and run this ball. Run the ball. Get the more tight ends out there. Get back to what we've seen more out of them. The whole season. Then instead of the past couple weeks, Sean McVeigh getting mad at Sean McVeigh in other words for what he didn't do last week. Exactly. Exactly. And he did that in Carolina, but kind of needed to because of the defense, but then carried it over to Chicago. And it was a little weird. The bet I made it here, Gill, not list it on this one. Okay. Oh, wait. You're going with Jared Stittum. No. Oh, one, one another guess. No. Okay. Uh, I also bet his over a half rushing yard at minus 135, but it's the same sort of handicap that you had on Mims Rashid Shahi. Oh, it's good call. The Seahawks are down or running back. We talked about it yesterday with Mike Sommage. I jumped on that

prop to, well, I bet over half a rushing guy. Do I think he's going to end up leading the, leading the entire weekend in rushing guards? Yeah, it's 100 to one. I mean, maybe I feel like it should be a little shorter than that, but not much. It's 100 to one for a reason, right? When you only have two football games, though, it's worth taking a shot at that in your Mims breakdown, right? The same thing. She heed. We have not seen much of him in the receiving game or the Russian game recently. He obviously was a big factor in the special teams. Special teams play here down the stretch. Doesn't it just feel like they, they're down a running back in Sakshar, but hey, it sure feels like they've got some Shaheed plays. They've been sitting on for a while. And I think an end around or something like that, Tim, would be a very, very unsurprising thing to see this weekend. This game, though I like your call on, uh, Sean McVeigh. Remember, the Rams last week were 10 to 10 in their game against the Bears through three quarters and had only had 11 running play. Yeah. Next drive, they immediately did the first three plays.

They give it to Kyron, Kashamak, they woke up. They go 90 plus yards. Score a touchdown. They go up 17 to 10. We'll come back. We will discuss many things, including UFC. Two. What did I forgot the number already? 234. Next.

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