A Numbers Game | February 4, 2026 | Hour 3

0:00The numbers told the story now is now swandles idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Kill Ivexander gone. Feeson our number three of a numbers game at feast in these sports betting network Feeson.com game plus I have radio YouTube TV series X of channel 158 Gill Alexander Kelly Billon on this Wednesday before the Super Bowl four days away from big game 60. Where's we like to say conventionally Super Bowl 60? Looking forward to it all by the way Twitter. I don't have any tennis going on right now, but Adalgos says don't look now, but Eala down four to one set three just tied it up five five. Yeah, I haven't I'm not involved in this match. Eala is great, but Sastavish has really good hard court number. So I did not get involved in that. We'll see how that finishes again. The only play that I had on cartel Benchich ill 15 minutes she had out she was ill 15 minutes before the match. So that was scuttled as a refund. So cartel advances by crushing a lucky loser, but had no bearing on our play from yesterday.

1:04I did get a tweet from Larry actually that you can answer better than me because it was just me. Basically he's asking where can you bet challenger tennis at most sports books post. Oh yeah, I'm most I mean certainly off shore pillars have it, but I'm sure most American sports books have challenger. I think I've seen it at MGM. Yeah, I just choose not to bet those because at that point that'll totally consume my life. I don't need I don't need that extra. Ladies and gentlemen to celebrate a great season on V sin Warren Sharp has decided to give everyone his in depth Super Bowl report for free. Don't cost you nothing. Look at that. Look at that photo of Warren right there. He's serious. His in depth Super Bowl report for free. It's a 53 page PGF ready for you to read and break it down every key match up to give you an edge betting the game, including sides totals, derivatives props. Just go to sharp special dot com that's sharp special dot com to claim your copy. Right now 53

2:05page Super Bowl report for free Warren Sharp joins us now courtesy of the progressive guest live Warren. You have it seems like every Twitter handle and every Duro URL with sharp and some variation of sharp in your whole portfolio, sharpspecial.com to claim this offer. Thank you, by the way. Yeah, that was from everybody, I would say, for this. Yeah, that was a new one that we came up with sharp special just to make it easy. You just go there, put your email address in and auto reply. It will auto email you a PDF link to this 53 page report where, you know, I'm not looking at like teams that do this go this and like all these trends. This is actual research on this specific matchup, Patriots versus Seahawks. What I think are going to be some of the biggest pivot points in this game that will ultimately decide the game based upon, you know, that's where I started with this one. It's like, what do I think are going to be the things that most decide the outcome of this game? Let me dig in, try to get some level of confidence there. Once I have that understanding, then you can sort of bet a lot of the

3:06props and the different markets. Once you have an understanding of like the way that this game is going to flow. And so this game is potentially lower scoring to really good defenses with defensive mind ahead coaches. Usually in the past, I focus a lot on what is this offensive coordinator going to do? What is that offensive coordinator going to do? Because offense dictates games so much. But here, I spent a lot of time as well discussing what is the defensive coach going to do? And what is that defensive coach going to do? What schemes are they going to run? What coverage is they're going to use? Because I think that's going to go a long way to determining the outcome of this game. In terms of how each of those quarterbacks end up performing. Without giving away the full 53 pages, give us an idea of some of those as you put it pivot points in this matchup as you see it. Yeah, one question is, will the Seattle Seahawks turn to the past earlier than normal? Clint Kubiak has shown a degree of willingness against top 15 run defenses to raise his past rate. And I think he's going to have to in this game. The question is, when do they start that?

4:09Obviously, will they come out and just run the ball the first play of the game like they frequently do? Will they have any success whatsoever against this ridiculously good run defense of the Patriots? I know we've discussed this before, so I won't belabor this specific point, but you know, I don't think Kenneth Walker is going to have a lot of success running the football. I did bet some of Kenneth Walker's rushing unders. I just, I don't see it. The Patriots have played 15, uh, seven teams with top 15 rushing offenses. Those seven running back ones, none of them even add 50 rushing yards. None of them even averaged over 3.8 yards per carry. I don't think Kenneth Walker as as special as he can be will have success doing that. So then the question becomes from Clint Kubiak. Are we just going to let them take away our run game and Kenneth Walker the weapon? Are we going to find other ways to utilize Kenneth Walker here? And that's where I have an assumption of rational coaching that yes, they're going to still try to go after JSN. Another pivot point is man versus zone. What are we going to see out of the Patriots defense? But will they try to

5:11utilize Kenneth Walker more as a receiver in this game? And I've got a lot of analysis in there as to why I think that is going to happen. One of the reasons I think it is going to happen is teams that go up against the Seattle Seahawks play zone coverage at a 9% higher rate than they do against any other team. They play man coverage at a 9% lower rate. The reason is because JSN and San Doran are elite against man coverage. The Patriots play a lot of man coverage by default. I think they're going to lower that rate of man coverage play a little bit more zone. And for the Seattle Seahawks, why that matters is Seattle targets their wide receivers on 78% of man coverage dropbacks is the highest rate of any team in the league. That drops by 22 percentage points when they are going up against zone coverage, which is the lowest largest drop off of any team in the league. That means more targets to running backs and tight ends, which is why a prop that I'll give you guys on the show that I actually haven't gotten down enough on yet, but I'm going to continue to hit it is I'm looking to fade JSN on the first reception of the game market. He is the massive heavy

6:16favorite for the Seattle Seahawks. Obviously because he's supposed to catch a lot of balls. His target rates very high. He's JSN is like plus 170 or something to catch the first pass for the Seattle Seahawks. I'm looking at attacking other guys there like Barner, like Kenneth Walker, plus 600 and plus 700. I went back and looked at the last like 11 games. JSN's caught the ball for the Seattle Seahawks first two times in those games. The guys who have had the same number of catches or more have been canines had four catches for the Seattle Seahawks. They're first catch of the game over the last 11 games and Barner's had two and so has Rashid Shaheed the same number as JSN. So I'm looking to fade JSN in that particular market. So by a Barner, you said was one of the names that you might look at the plus 600 plus 600. What was the other one? Who was the other one? Canine Kenneth Walker is plus 700. Okay. Yeah. Can I try to coax another prop out of you while you're here? Anything else? Yeah. Yeah. Absolutely. Absolutely. So those are just two that I haven't even

7:21gotten down on enough. One of my thoughts on this game and I have to do a little bit more research and see. Well, let me give you one that I've already bet that I think still has a good number. Kenneth Walker receiving yards. I know this is the most best prop in the Super Bowl. Which scares the hell on me because I was on this as like the second day after the Super Bowl matchup was announced. We took the over on Kenneth Walker receiving yards and the line is actually still there, which is all a second factor. It's like, okay, it's the most bet prop and the line isn't moving anywhere. Obviously, people massively disagree with me on this particular one. That's okay by me. I'm going out on a limb here, I guess, and saying, I still like it at over 20 and a half. You can find 21 and a half for receiving yards for Kenneth Walker. I just think the assumption of rational coaching prevails. We've moved the market on a couple of props so you can't get them. But another prop that I think could have a little bit of value is I'm looking at that second half and I'm trying to figure out, I think there's going to be more points in that second half than the first half because I think whatever team is in the lead will struggle to run

8:23the football and be frequently punting it back to the team that's losing and that team that's losing is suddenly going to be very desperate. A lot of past attempts than they normally have a high pace than they normally have going forward on fourth down and it's going to lead to either points for them or give up field position and lead to points to the team that is leading in the game. So I think we're going to see more points scored in that second half of the game then the first half. General sort of overview here. So are you thinking it sounds to me and I'm just reading between the lines. Maybe I'm wrong. Sounds to me like you think Seattle wins in a close-ish game. Is that correct? I honestly haven't bet anything side or total in the game and frankly, I'm not sure in this particular Super Bowl if I will. I still am wondering what we're going to get out of Drake May and his shoulder. I want to get a little bit more confidence in that. I think that's going to go a long way to determining the outcome. I have fears about Sam Darnold.

9:24His performance on third down, he's now going up against the number one best third down past defense of any team in the NFL. Sam Darnold struggled inside of the red zone. He struggled in some of the bigger high-leveraged moments this season and throughout his career. I'm wondering how he's going to perform on this big stage in that moment. I think expecting him to have a performance like he did last week against a very familiar Rams opponent is just very unlikely. He's not going to repeat that in this game against the Patriots. So I'm worried about that. I'm worried about the fact that I don't think they're going to be able to run the air out of the clock at the end of the game if they do have the lead. So maybe this is just me kind of, I'm sure the right term, but positively wishing that this game is going to be close and competitive and a challenge. But there's a big part of me that thinks that if the Seahawks do have a lead that the Patriots are going to be able to have opportunities to get back in the game with the way Seattle is ultimately going to play there in the fourth quarter. Kelly was asking this all fair. What happens to you

10:24Warren after the season ends? Do you just lay down for months on end? What happens to you? Well, the good news is I do get to take probably a day off. I'll work on Monday, I'll crack out a little bit more content and try to decompress from the Super Bowl and understand who won, why they won and those types of things, any new nuggets that we get from that. Tuesday might be a day of rest for me and then we're sort of back at it. We've got a little bit of draft work. We bring in our draft experts. We start talking about the prospects and doing some analysis. This schedule is so much nicer, so much easier. The schedule right now for me isn't bad. It's exciting. The hard part is all the expectations for this report, the 53-page report. Now that that is done, now the fun part is I can just place bets like plus EV bets hunt or chop around. That's the fun part. I will eventually start writing my book, the 500-plus-page book that previews the upcoming season. I'm not even going to think about that right now, but I just want to try to enjoy a couple of days after the Super Bowl. The 53-page PDF, again, all awards stuff on

11:28the Super Bowl Super Bowl report. Sharpspecial.com claim your copy right now. It is free. Won't cost you nothing. Warren, been a pleasure all season long, man. Thank you so much. Thanks, fellas. Good luck. Warren, sharp everybody. Right here on a numbers game at Visa, be sports betting, network, you'll make other appearances on the network between now and the big game on Sunday as well. Todd Wish, next. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline. And now, so can you. Visa programs you access to the same real-time insights the sharps use. No secrets, no fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with Visa and Pro. A numbers game on Visa, the sports betting network. Back on a numbers game live from Circa

12:33Resort, Casino, downtown Las Vegas, Kill Alexander Kelly, Benlin, sort of read this one tweet here. This is a, this is Wilmo Betts. Steve who says, I'm behind on the episode. So you may have already cleared this up, but I think you missed the bad bunny joke, where Buddhist man said he had been a fan since he was a kid, bad bunny, Donald Duck, Tweety Bird. No, I got it. I got the joke at the time. I just didn't think it was one of Buddhist man's best. Oh, man, stepping up Buddhist man. Buddhist man, Hall of Famer. But, you know, not his best. He's usually hilarious, hilarious. That was just hilarious. I don't know. You had to filter out Buddhist man tweets. Stepping up, man. Steve, Steve, Steve at Wilmo Betts is like, I don't think he caught it. Ladies and gentlemen, he catches every bit of humor. He also dispenses much of it. It's time for wish never Wednesdays with tiny wish never everybody from his, from his mom's cork addict somewhere in the Pittsburgh PA area. You can follow him on Twitter at T wish Dev. He's also the star of the Megapod, which will Todd and I will be doing with a roofless P body about or 45 minutes from now. Todd joins us now,

13:35courtesy of progressive guest line. Todd, how you doing, man? What's going on, Gilly? How are you? What's with the Drake Major? Let's start there. What are you doing? Well, I figured, you know, he deserves it. He's going to play in the Super Bowl. Might as well wear the Drake May one more time before the end of the year. I like it. It gets a little extra patriots love on the show. Today's Patriots day forever. We had Nick Whalen express a slight amount of love for the Patriots. I mean, how did Jersey show up? That's the most you've heard in two weeks. Our, our, our tempted equal time on this show. All right. Let's talk college hoops and there's a lot to talk about when it comes to Todd because he's always betting in game. By the way, can we just say this? You hit a high, which was like 129 units up. I'm not making this up. This number up, boys and girls. This is actually the number. Then you dropped back about 20, 25, and now you're back up to your high. I'm within one bed of the high right now, about 128 and change. This kid. All right. So we have to go back in our group text. Some of the things that are brought up the main thing that I remember you bringing up, but this happened a couple days ago. Was it

14:40the Illinois Nebraska game where this happened on it was Sunday. But anyway, and then you, and you talked about the party game against Michigan on Friday. I remember this, but I don't remember exactly which game it was when you brought this up, but it's this notion about fouling home teams, fouling essentially rampantly not wanting to admit they lost. Was that correct? Yeah, it wasn't Nebraska. It was some other game on Sunday that was a big game in a lesser conference, but between two top teams, I think it was a wafer. If I remember correctly, but I could be wrong. I think we should just specify a little more. You get a big game going. It's tight. It's tight. The whole game, right? And then all of a sudden at the end, one team spurts out a little bit and gets up, you know, say six within the last four minute time out. Maybe they're up 72, 66. For example, you may want to bet that game over if you have ability to bet still bet at that point in time, because if the game, you know, what happens often is these

15:42teams are all hyped up. This is the big game. It's tight. The whole game. Now they fell behind. And now if they're down 10 or 12 or even 13 sometimes in the last minute, they just don't want to admit that they lost the game. And so they'll start fouling. This team started fouling. I believe, like 127 or 137 left. I couldn't even believe it. I was like, this is unbelievable. And then they just fouled to the bitter end. You know, so it was great. Well, that used to be a way to identify those scenarios. That used to be college basketball, right? Like that used to be way more common where teams would do that. Yeah, they didn't do it anymore. Yeah, don't do it at all anymore. All right. What about this one? Again, this is just stuff from our group text and you'll have to sort of explain to me exactly. This is when low total sometimes go too far. Yeah. So everybody's got a, you know, database now on all these teams playing 20 games. You know, an example is like, for instance, Denver was 15 and 0 to the over for the first 15 games. They're now 17 and three because the number has kind of caught up to them, right?

16:44The sooner or later, they just keep juicing and inducing and inducing. So the same thing can happen on unders too, where you have these games that are lined like 126, 128. And it's for a reason. The reason is the two teams play slow. They've can't score. Maybe they have good defenses and poor offenses. However, in those type of games, if you get any type of deviation to what is supposed to happen, which is it's supposed to be slow, it's supposed to be a rock fest. And it's not the game's going to go over because there's no room for error in the numbers because the numbers have been pushed like a like a slinky so far down because of what has happened up until now. It's going to bounce back. If you, you know, if you see any kind of deviation from the norm, you know, and so that's why you see, okay, Denver went 15 and 0 to the over now. It's on their 17 and three. They're two and three. Why? Because they moved the line so far out that sooner or later has to

17:45catch up the same thing on the opposite side. But I find it especially on these unders on these low games because if you get any kind of, you know, a little too much speed in the game or you get too many fouls in the game, the game's going to go over just accidentally like a slinky. We see them football. We see them football too when you get these games like 33 and a half or something. Something accidentally happens. The game goes over because they just pushed it too far. They went too far. I guess that can apply the other direction too, right? Super high totals as well. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. You see it with like Arkansas and Alabama and teams like that where the line is just it. They're assuming so much. They're assuming 176. Everything has to go right to get the 176. Yeah. All right. Let me ask you about this. Half time bets against what happened in the first half. I think this, this came up when Marquette was playing seat and hall on Saturday. Yeah. This is a great, this is something I love to do where you have, okay, Marquette, just to set the stage and this is kind of like a look under the hood. Marquette was getting six and

18:48a half from seat and hall at seat and hall was 142 and a half was the pregame number. Okay, so in a 142 and a half game, you're supposed to get about 67 points in the first half and about 75 points in the second half. So the first half was about 67. They ended up 41 34 75 points in the first half. If you look at the box score, you see though, the game's super slow. It's like 29 30 possessions. It's really slow. But how did they get all these points? Well, they made all their threes. Everybody made 56% of the threes. And now oftentimes I like that regression to the mean angle that it's going to be under in the second half because there's going to be adjustments and stuff. But it's even stronger in my opinion when you have a team like seat and hall involved because seat and hall is such an under team, there's such a defense first, offense second kind of team. And now you have the added ingredient of the regression to the mean. So to me, those are like the best case scenarios where you have something really wacky happen in the first half, which means everybody made all the

19:51threes. It's going to bounce back. And of course, it went way under. I think it was 36 29 second half or it might have been only 59 points, I think in the whole second half. This is, you know, in that go I say that in in in difference to the game where it like friends that I made a mistake last night and it's always good to look back at your bets and find out what did I do wrong. It was 47 41 central Michigan over UMass at the half central Michigan was a dog considerable dog. They had 47 points. And if you look at their box score, they were seven for 10 from three at the half. So I thought, okay, it's going to regress. The mistake is, okay, it's UMass UMass is not a defensive team. So while, yeah, sure, it could have it could have regressed and I might have won, but I didn't and probably because they're not a defensive team. So the regression to the mean is even stronger when the team that when you've got teams involved where they're their flip back is even more pronounced. As opposed to where it's UMass, it's just like an average team. Maybe they won't get a regression to the mean.

20:54Maybe it's just because they're making threes because they're getting wide open looks. See, no, you're not going to get wide open looks in the second half. All of this is designed to look inside the mind of Todd Wichnet when he is betting his in game to great success. By the way, one tweet here from the numbers guys regarding Todd. There's a TikTok trend going on right now about people spending hours on the east coast, shoveling their cars out only for somebody to steal their spot. The minute they leave, Todd was the first to tell that story a week ago, hashtag trend setter. So apparently it's a big TikTok thing now. You were, you were victim. Oh, I got my chairs out now. All right, last one before you go here. Um, a get ahead of it, bet. What do you mean by that? Well, there's SMU NC State is a perfect example of this last night. I'm looking at the first half numbers at the 345 timeout. That's the last time out in the first half under four minutes, right? And it's a high scoring game. Not not super high. I think it's 32 29. So it's about 61 points. At that point, I'm thinking I'm going over in the second half because the game super fast. Maybe I should just jump ahead of it and do it now because they get

21:56another 20% of play in other four minutes because I'm going over in second half no matter what. And they have 61. So now I look at the numbers and it's 160 and a half. So that now the pre-game number was 160. So that means the second half is going to be at least 84. It's probably going to be adjusted up to maybe 85 or 86 because they played so fast. So I look, I have 61 right now. That means if I get to 76 or maybe even 75, I'm ahead of the game. Well, that's only 14 or 15 more points with both teams in the bonus. And I have four minutes left. I should be getting at least 16, maybe 16 and a half. So that could give me theoretically an extra one and a half points. You think, oh, that's nothing. It's a big deal getting that little extra bit. And maybe I'll get even more. And it turned out they got 76 exactly. But I still had a better number at half time because I had 160 and a half than the pervasive 161 and a half that was out there at the half. And that's just because I gave myself, no, that could backfire on you too, of course, if they have a low scoring. But in general, if I love something over, I'd want 24 minutes for it to happen, then 20 minutes for

23:00for that. That last bit, I don't want to gloss over that one thing you said, you may not think a point and a half is a lot. When you're making the bet, you might not think it's a lot. But boy, how many times would it get down to it? Is that point a half looming massively at the end of these. Todd, see you in 90 minutes for the Megapod, sir. Yay, Megapod. A numbers game on FESET, these sports betting network. We're heading into big games. 60 is your last chance to lock in the lowest price we've ever offered on a BESET Pro annual subscription. Right now, save $60 off the regular annual price when you sign up using promo code A&G. A&G as in a naughty grandma. Oh my god. BESET Pro gives you daily best bets, real-time drive games, the circuit betting splits, AI-powered prop tools, plus 24-step video and full show replays on the BESET Watch app. You also get a Super Bowl betting guide featuring in-depth, team breakdowns, the makin' and Super Bowl simulation with player projections and picks and

24:00best bets from BESET Hosted Experts. They offer expires after the big game. Don't miss out. Visit visa.com slash subscribe. Use promo code A&G. That's VSIN.com slash subscribe. Minky Monkeyman on Twitter has a doc recommendation. I saw this trailer. This looks great. He says, Gil, happy New Year. Is it too late to throw that out? He said that I wanted to get sole power on your radar. For those of us who grew up loving the ABA, it's going to be a must-watch trailer included. Yes. Oh yeah. Someone sent this to me the other day. Yeah. The American Basketball Association of the ABA played with a rainbow ball. The precursor, not precursor. It was simultaneous with the NBA. Wasn't a precursor, but it existed in the 70s. Then a few teams came over. The Pacers, the Spurs. Maybe there was another team that came over. But the big, the big, you know, they had a dunk contest came from the ABA. The three point line is the biggest thing that came from the ABA, right? Well, we take for granted in the NBA. That was a ABA innovation because they basically were we're going to do whatever the NBA doesn't do. And Dr. Jay, maybe the most

25:04famous player in the ABA. So a whole documentary on that sole power. Is it out yet? Movies I like more than most people, Gil, semi-profiles in that category. The alley you play the alley you have invented that movie. That's so good. So that's a documentary recommendation, which I will absolutely check out sole power, the legend of the American Basketball Association. We also learned during the break that there's a Michael Jackson movie coming out. That's where I was getting to the cruise argument about what's more anticipated that are the new screen movie. How about you, Gil? Which one are you going to see in the theaters first? Bro. I'm not going to see screens. What's the last time you've been? I have been to the movie. I've been to a movie theater one time since the pandemic. I think I've been and I fell asleep on that movie. Oh, God, I did do that once too. Since the pandemic, I'm going to save three or four times. I will go see the Michael Jackson movie. By the way, the new docu-series comes out of the sole power, legend of the American Basketball Association, comes out February 12th. So eight days from now. Is that what it is? Eight days from now.

26:09Michael Jackson is the answer to your question. I will absolutely return to a theater popcorn in hand to see Michael Jackson. I'll probably see both. I'll probably see either one in the theaters. You know how big of a Michael Jackson fan I was growing up. He's great. There is no way that people of your age can understand how huge Michael Jackson was. No, no, no, and I would say I'm right on that cutoff. Right. So like I'm, I think I'm old enough to agree with your statement right there because yeah, I was close enough to it that you didn't fully understand why people loved him as much as they did when he did the moonwalk on Motown 25, which I guess was 1983. I want to say everybody remembers it on network TV. Like a whole generation remembers that alone. And then of course Thriller came out on Friday night videos. Anyway, Michael Jackson movie. According to Chris, Chris could be, he could be messing with us. According to Chris Foster, this is a huge movie that's coming out a couple months from now. So I'm excited about that's a great point. As much as I respect

27:09Chris Foster, I should probably take two seconds to Google these things before I just regurgitate them. Chris could be making up everything. There's a movie about every president to a cup of all the ones that Greg just named Chris. Okay. So I was some content the other day though. So he's he's riding good. He's riding good. We started this yesterday, but we didn't finish it. So we need to finish it because we bet too. We actually promised we were going to finish yesterday and we we broke our promise because we were more concerned with where JVT was in the Bay Area. So we apologize for that was this segment yesterday. That's right. We were supposed to do it. We didn't and we apologize for it. But it's the NBA award heat check, which we got through most of them, but I think there's like three we didn't get to at the end. Beginning with it was coach of the year six man and clutch, which way do you want to go first on these? Let's go coach of the year. Go coach the year and we can recap thoughts on the others. Coach of the year JB Bicker staff minus 120. JB Bicker staff the the pistons headman. Yeah. Yeah. Minus 120 pistons out of nowhere.

28:12Anybody have the pistons the best team in the conference before the season started. I don't think anybody. Very few. Very few. JB Bicker staff the rightful favorite at minus 120. Jordan not plus 370. Joe was a lot of the Celtics at 5 to 1. Mitch Johnson at 7 to 1. Rounding out the single digits. Do you have a bet in this market? I do not have a single bet in coach of the year of state away from this all season. It was one of those very early on even when the pistons were playing well. You thought Bicker staff would probably be the guy and he's kind of just hung around here the whole time. I don't I'm not going to get to the window with a betgill. I don't know how Jordan not isn't getting more love. I mean, this was a complete like rebuild year for Phoenix. I talk about things. This is less surprising to me to see the success of Detroit this year than the Phoenix Suns. Jordan not with the Suns. Joe was a little with Celtics. Mitch Johnson with the spurs David Adelman at 20 to 1. Rich Adelman's son who is the the head coach of the Denver Nuggets who took over from Mark Malone, right? Mark Malone Mike Mike Malone. Parking me Mike Malone.

29:16I said, Mark Malone. Yeah. Mark Malone was the former quarterback in the Pittsburgh Steelers. Mike Malone who was at the time. Remember a huge shock late last season where Malone was relieved of his duties. And here are the Nuggets. Once again, having a fine season. He's a 20 to 1. So no bet from you. But I do think Bicker staff is the rightful favorite, right? Like how can you How can he not be, right? The one seat is probably going to push it over the edge, but I don't again. I'm less surprised by the business having this success than the Suns. I would actually go with Jordan. I'm just not going to be up bad for me. NBA sixth man. Again, not to be confused with most improved player or clutch or any of the other randos. But most, excuse me, sixth man. Got a nose read plus 225, Kelton Johnson, four to one, AJ Mitchell, plus six, 50, Jaime Hake, seven to one, Simon's 10 to one. I'm not sure you want to bet that right now and read Shepherd 15 to one. Remember with six man of the year, the sort of rub on this is one layer

30:19of this is you've got to figure out who is not going to start for a good period of time also. Right. So if you think any of these players is somehow going to be elevated based on injury, based on just performance, whatever, that kind of diminishes them in this market. But nose read of the maps, plus 225 over the Timberwolves, pardon me, plus 225, Kelton Johnson, the Spurs, four to one, AJ Mitchell, as you said, of OK, see it, plus six, 50, and there's Hakez at seven to one. Everybody else double did. I think this is likely another nose read year. The, the average Simon's one is interesting because we're kind of just hinting at with him, getting shipped to Chicago. He's kind of, he's kind of banked enough games already, Gil, that I don't know that this is going to affect him. Like he could end up starting for Chicago. It's actually playing hell. Right. Probably is there's rules and then there's how the voters interpret the rules, right? I was just going to say him actually getting some starts for Chicago. If that's what ends up happening, would help your statistical case for what he's doing, you know, points wise and everything like that. But even though he's banked to the games

31:22off the bench, are people going to view him as a true six man? Interesting. That would require the voters to parse those stats out and really doing it correctly. You get what I'm saying. Yeah. So there's, there's a little subjectivity here. I would probably, this is one I've stayed away from. Like I bet Bobby Portis before the season started and it was a bad bet. But I think nose read at the top of this market kind of shows why I made that bet was this was, it was a questionable six man of the year race even entering this year. It felt like there were very few candidates that were going to remain kind of throughout the year and not as read as former winners. He's done that all year long. Okay. Which brings us to everybody's favorite one. The NBA clutch player of the year and award given to an NBA player who quote, best comes through for his teammates in the clutch unquote. Is there a better definition for just that? It's hilarious. It's hilarious. Yeah. No, thanks. Thanks for telling me that the clutch player of the year is the person who comes best, you know, plays best in the clutch. Oh, it passed winners because this is only existed now. The NBA clutch player of the year award. So for your your more

32:26thorough definition. Okay. What clutch time defined as the final five minutes of the fourth quarter in any overtime period when the score differential between two teams is five points or less. Thank you. Jalen Brunson and the Knicks won this last year. Steph Curry of the Golden State Warriors the previous year and to Aaron Fox the year before that. That's it. It's only been around for three years. Brunson Curry and Fox in reverse chronological order. Ant Ant Man is your short shot plus one 50. Yeah. And see what you want to do here, Gills. You're going to go to NBA.com. You're going to go to their traditional stats and pull down the clutch windows. So we all go there to check out their clutch stats and they should be they should be completely reflective of the market. They are very almost every time. Yeah. Anthony Edwards plus one 50 Kate Cunningham of the pistons plus three 50 Shay is four to one. Tyrese Maxie of the six years is five to one. Everybody else distant. Starting with the Colioca. It's a 25 to one. So it's basically those four guys. Yeah. Now what you get now what you got to figure out is you got to take, you know,

33:27you go through the clutch times stats, right? And you go with what's going to matter more to voters? How many games and how many minutes they've played in there? How many wins you have in clutch time? How many points you've scored in clutch time? There's also an element of and this is where it really gets ridiculous. How many of these guys are going to be playing in close games moving forward? Yeah. Have more opportunities to be great in the clutch. But again, Edwards Cunningham, Shay Gilges, Alexander and Maxie. You're four guys buying for that. No bet from you. No, Kate is really only up there because of the record they have 18 and seven Detroit pistons are in clutch time minutes. Shay, I think I could make a pretty good case for Shay with this award. There's the other problem with this one though. They give Shay MVP, right? Probably not giving him clutch player of the year. That's why he's thrown on the odds board. We'll review all the bets on the other side. Numbers game, Veece and these sports betting network.

34:31Numbers game on Veece and these sports betting network. Numbers game, live from Circa Resurrosito, downtown Las Vegas, Gill Alex Handler, Kelly Midland on this Wednesday before Super Bowl 60. Let's go. Four days away. Come on. Tomorrow, great day NBA trade deadline, finally here. NFL awards tomorrow night. We will finally know how many of our bets are cash. Let's staffer. Let's go, Puka. Offense player of the year. Come on. Haven't met Kalshi. We get tweets reading book, Tony Cook, pre-COVID colonizer. Man, I'm still real in from this. This is the biggest news of the morning. It was five minutes before the show finding out about the Washington Post sports section. Now being defunct. Tony Cook says pre-COVID colonizer and a few partners purchased one of the Clydes locations and reopened it as chatter. Shortly have run, but it was fun to listen to Tony as a restaurant owner for a couple of years. I thought that was Chadwick's that then became Chad's and then became chatter. I could be wrong about that. Jason McKinney, if you like Michael Jackson,

35:31I hope you've seen the Cirque du Soleil Michael Jackson tribute. It's amazing. Yeah, it's pretty good. I've been in that one. Mandalay. Is that the Mandalay one? Oh, I've been in that one with the hologram. Is there a hologram? I don't know. I've got a few here. Is that the Cirque du Soleil one, though? I didn't think that was Cirque du Soleil. Yeah, right. I think it is. Oh, I thought that was a different one. Matthew, back when you could only rent movies VHS from the grocery store, remember when my family rented the tape of Thriller. Yeah, man. Yeah, Michael Jackson won. Oh, and then James Fessler. James Fessler was the one who gave you a naughty grandma. Yeah, I didn't want to cut you off, but thanks, James. He said gold star of the day, guilt is unflappable. I have read. I appreciate all the tweets. I have read Cowboys underscore Cubs one prime time sent one in. He had the unknown known. Oh, good for him. And then RGB sent in a nagging net. Oh, so none of these are yours. I try to I work in when people send them to me. No, every, every other one I've sent his mind. Yeah, I don't give credit, man. I give credit. Hey, look, Tarek Scoobles got his arbitration coming up, but that's going to go

36:32well for the Tigers. Not. Not. Okay, reviewing the bets. Guardians under 80 and a half wins, Rangers over 83 and a half wins. Those are my two baseball season win totals from this week. And I added a little McKenzie Gore, AL, Sy Young, 40 to one. Well, shout out to James. Faster. I give credit to everybody else. I just didn't want to cut you off in the middle of it. Oh, James. I didn't know you. Yeah, credit. Um, also adding to my C Hawks minus four at minus 128 versus the Pats. I also took all lines. C Hawks minus seven and a half plus 159. C Hawks minus 10 and a half plus 208. Again, part of the inspiration was so much coming on and doing yesterday, but also just listening back to the Super Bowl makeup pod from last year before the chiefs and the Eagles. I'll repeat what I said at the beginning of the show. One of the things I've mentioned last week and this sort of, this is what sort of made me do it. Finally, one of these I said last year was and I had the chiefs will have the chiefs Todd had the chiefs. But I asked the question as I think I did on numbers game two. I was like, yes, we did several times. Yeah. But if there's going

37:36to be a blowout, even those of us on the chiefs, who do you think's doing the blowing out? We all said the Eagles and that's what ended up happening. Now, I was not smart enough to actually then listen to that, right? The voice in my head because there's a reason I'm asking the question is because I thought that that it would be the Eagles, not smart enough to actually have then not bet the chiefs. Right. But this year, the answer to that question is, oh, it's absolutely the C Hawks do in the blowing out. So I'm waiting to go making the two all bets based on that. Yeah, you have a, oh, you look at you. You got a basketball bet and you have jumped in on the Wimbledon Yama defense player of the year. I have. Yep. Spurs taking points tonight with OKC coming to town on the second night of back to back. And then yes, we talked about this yesterday. It's gambling. It's capable to kill, right? Like if he tweaks an ankle or something like that, he is the games limit is going to surpass him. But yeah, defensive player of the year minus 105, when we can miss four more games, I think there's room. And I think there's room. He can get it home and look as long as he gets through the season, he is winning this thing. So with all due respect,

38:38to Chet Holger and Victor, Wimbledon Yama is winning this thing. They've been waiting for two years to give this order to this guy. OK, NFL Super Bowl C oxalate and five and a half and a half and nine and a half first quarter laying a half and Drake May over 33 and a half rushing yards. Rules for society says on Twitter. Remember when Michael Malone freaked out on a sideline reporter for calling him Mike Malone calling him Mike. Oh, God, I forgot about that. Well, Hill was here earlier. He's on seat and haul tonight. Biggie's basketball seat and haul plus seven and a half and in the Super Bowl. He's got Travion Henderson over three and a half receiving yards. So he's going Travion again, getting some intel that the Patriots practices are not necessarily focused on Travion, but include a lot of Travion. Nick Whalen. He's on the pills tonight. Pelicans minus four and a half in the NBA. I believe our buddy Carl Sack might be on that as well. I think I saw that as well. On the pills minus four and a half in the national basketball association as they run up towards the NBA all star break. Greg's fab five. Greg Peterson was here earlier.

39:40We found out maybe more importantly than anything else. He's wearing slacks while he's doing the hits with us. He's on his five plays Central Florida. Actually, it's more than five. It's about seven here. Central Florida plus 15 and a half plus the under in that ballgame. 149 and a half. He's on GW. George Washington. The revolutionaries Kelly. Lange a point and a half on GW. Well, you know, certain words, uh, not really acceptable anymore. Apparently Notre Dame plus the 17 and a half tonight and the under in that ballgame. 150 under 155 and a half. I was taking Marshall and laying the points with the thunder. He heard their Marshall versus Southern Miss and then Gonzaga Portland, the West Coast conference. He's going over 152 and a half. So Greg with his fab five and did Nick Whalen have anything? I believe. Did he? Yes, no. He had the, uh, he had the Pell's. Oh, we already did Nick Whalen. That's right. I was doing chronologically in my head. He had the Pell's. He also mentioned he was going to look at player props. Um, what do you say? D'Rose and Overs and then he

40:40was waiting to see kind of what that Memphis lineup looked like and was going to look for a big to play over rebounds. Yezzy. I always thought A and G stood for awesome nice guys. Oh, that's very nice. Say that. All right, Kelly Bill. They got to be good though. You know, like awesome nice guys. We can do better than that. Come on. I believe in you guys. Four days away from Super Bowl 60. Um, we were just talking about this off air about how many bets. Oh, we weren't not just now, but we were talking about at some point how, how many bets you usually have going into a Super Bowl? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Just the big three side total, right? Money line. Do you have anything there? And money line again for those who missed it with the Super Bowl. Typically, right? The public bets the underdog on the money line, which sometimes will mute the favorite on the money line. So do you end up having in a typical Super Bowl, both the big three versus all the props? Are you trending behind your normal amount of bets at this point? Great questions. Um, I would say on

41:44average, because I'm also going to guess that I, I fluctuate more than you, Super Bowl, the Super Bowl. Like there are Super Bowl's way more than I would normally have on a Super Bowl Sunday, regular NFL Sunday of just a regular game, right? Say a Sunday night football game, whatever. There are play like I was looking back to last year. So I had more bets that I thought I did last year. Uh, I would say I'm trending behind whatever is my average number of bets that I get in. But I also, like, it's been a long time since I've concerned myself with having enough bets or too little or too many bets, right? If you think there's value out there, you pull the trigger. I'm just curious. The reason I ask, I don't remember the last Super Bowl. I had a lot on, by the way. I don't remember like a last Super Bowl where I had like 10 bets ago. Probably had like five props last year. I was surprised I had that many. Yeah. Because you have two weeks and eventually you talk yourself into it. And that's right. Yeah. I'll add MVP. That's sort of the reason I ask about that. It's because and this is completely anecdotal. And I'm just curious if you found this in your day to day life. As I go back home, the valet guys, right? I always have something to say about, you know, sports props. What's that props? Is that what you're going with here? Well,

42:49no, what I'm generally going with is they are not inspired by this matchup, right? I've heard more than one or two casuals, right? Who also bet? Who dabble? Who are not inspired by the matchup? And they unsolicited to me. I am not starting the conversation. They know it's me, right? So they always bring up the conversation. But they say to a man, they're like, I just don't have that much yet in this Super Bowl because I just don't think it's all that fun of a game. And I'm just curious if you've run into that in your day to day life. Man, I, yes, yes, I have. I jumped to go and ask the props thing. So I can't, I can't believe how many, like we say it every year, how four of these have come, right? But like, I don't even, do you know, many times I've been, I've gotten in the past a week, just, hey, what props did you bet for the Super Bowl? Oh, yeah. Like, what have you bet? What props have you bet? Yes. Specifically. It's like, all right. You know, you don't want a side right? Oh, man, it's total. And we'll talk about this on the Megapod with a roof is coming up. But it's, you know, again, it started, we mentioned it early

43:49in the week, started Super Bowl 20, right? With a fridge, Art Man Terrace at Caesars was the guy who started this. And it has just blown up into something that has a, had a life of its own. People love this stuff. They do. They love it. I do want to answer your question, though, because the what percentage of the pie, right? I would say any typical NFL game, it'd be 95% is side in total. On average, I'm going to guess Super Bowl's more like 75% for me, side in total, of how much, you know, we're actually putting money yet. That was just, it was a good question. Am I? No, I will say the other question, though, goes the other way for me, which is while I, well, I understand what those guys are talking about. The question, the other question I usually ask, hey, if this game was in the middle of a Sunday morning slate in week nine with seven other games, would you bet this? The answer for me is actually, yes, I would. I'd have same bets. I'd, we've been transparent through. I, this would absolutely be a bet for me. It's not a huge bet. That's not a huge bet. I'm betting it exactly like I would on any other Sunday. Um, I hope that there's, I, I've noticed some of the lack of enthusiasm too. I have. I think that's people just sleeping on what the Seahawks have really done this season and not grasping how good of a football

44:52team this is. Also, are people going to say the matrix? There's a lot of question marks. Are people going to fill up Vegas? Because it seems awfully empty to me. I have to lay this is as slow as a few days here as I can. I understand we still got three more days. Maybe it'll crowd up. Prop points. John has the next right here at Veece and Lee Sports betting that we're good and you're good.