A Numbers Game | February 18, 2026 | Hour 2

0:00A number of stories. There's eighties of believe in Alex this is a numbers game with the LAX and are gone. A numbers game here on piece of the sports betting network mad brown in for Gil for another few days. All the people coming in and sitting there going like, dude, I tuned in and it's not guilty on them. Like don't worry man. Three more days. Yeah, three more days. Don't worry about it. Don't worry about it. I don't know where Gill's at, man, but he's somewhere somewhere somewhere warmer than us right now. I don't know if he's still down in South Beach. So I played golf. You didn't get back to me. I asked him if he had another room available in the suite. I put golf on Friday with one Isaiah von Verenkel. Mm hmm. You didn't you didn't give him enough shots. And in in short sleeves and there was snow all over the place this morning. Yeah. I saw that tweet come down. This is you got some you got some snow up in the mountains. There was that was snow everywhere.

1:01It's snowing at your house a little bit to the west, a little bit to the west, but snow covered mountains everywhere. It gets. They were beautiful. It gets really bad when you move out to Las Vegas because you know, really stop checking the weather very often and I knew it was supposed to get colder this week, but then I woke up and saw tweets about snow and I was not prepared for that. Look at it. Look at that. It's gorgeous though. It is, it's very nice to be able to drive around this city and see snow surrounding it in the background. That was me very, very, I preach all the time like, hey, don't do anything stupid while you're driving. And that was me trying to drive and turn a corner while also taking a picture of a medal. And they're at the same time. And like, there's like a barrier on this side and there's cones on this side and I'm still trying to like take the picture out the window. You know what really scares me is, yes, the people that a do it. But somehow have gotten good at it, which means they've done it that many times because like the, I think the one or two times, I've even attempted something like that, Matt,

2:02it's so bad. I immediately quit. I'm like, this is not a good picture, like just just stop and focus other. Well, I had it. I zoomed in very closely right there for you to get whatever, because the rest of it's just like construction equipment. You know, it's just like, yeah, it's not, it's not, the picture's not living anywhere other than my phone until it is deleted. Like it's not, it's not going on the gram or whatever. Yeah, I got a lot of that. No, not outside my place right now. Not gram quality. I'm giving, I'm giving it over under 11 and a half days before I find a nail in my tire. Oh, that is the brutal part about all of that. Like, how, how are there so many nails on the road? I never understand that because of the, because of all the construction, like every person you know has dealt with like three nails in their tires over their lifetime, like that's good. That's a crazy about nails. One to one. Yeah. We are so live. Who's laughing now, Han? Yeah. Yeah. Han is trying to find a motivational speech from Mighty Ducks too, where they are in the representing USA and the junior Olympics. But you know what I, what you forget there, no, what you forget about that movie is it's

3:04really, it's really not a patriotic movie because you know, do you remember it? They shed the USA. They're losing against Iceland in the, in the championship game. And they're like, no, we're returning to the Mighty Ducks, which just, I don't even know how that flew with the rules and everything, but they just ripped off the stars and stripe the uniform. We had Uncle Patriotic. We had Uncle Buck over here on the Twitter machine that says, right movie, getting a, getting a day off due to a snow day, so tuning into the show. So what better way to spend a snow day? So he caught us twice, president's day in the snow day today. Look at that. I mean, be safe out there, but that's a, uh, it sounds like a cozy week. Definitely. One day, one day work week. So far, ain't bad. Yeah. I'll tell you where it is not snowing though. It might not be the greatest of weather. And that is over there at Riviera, and we're going to talk a little bit of golf. Let's go country club. There it is, Kelly. What are they? What are they? What are you going to reference them from now on? Uh, uh, right flashing sticks, lightsabers, flash sticks, light sticks, lightsabers.

4:07I like the little guy here, little DJs, hot stuff. Rob Marano's a fine horse. Colbert, though Marano. Where's he panicked? Why? He's been. Yeah. Oh, he's like actually on vacation. Oh, really is. We were about to talk trash about him, but he's like, actually, he really is on vacation. And I texted him. You know what? I enjoy yourself, then. Roberto. Enjoy yourself. I felt that he would appreciate that when you broke the UFC news that I connected them both back to the fast and the furious as quickly as I did. We had a full conversation about it. I had no idea. It was in Peru. Oh, dang. You were like, I was ruining this guy's vacation. Yeah. Yeah. I was ruining it for a solid day of minutes. Well, and he's too nice of a guy. And he's too nice to be like, hey, man, I'm on vacation. He's too nice. Yeah. The first one. You know what you do right there? Is you respond to your first text and be like, hey, man, yeah, that's so funny, blah, blah, blah. We were just talking about it on vacation and whatever. I said, like, can I give you the hint? Don't, don't, don't come back to me. Exactly. Yeah. But it's like, yeah, no. He just, he just let you talk to him. Yeah. It's like sitting there, drinking a my tie or whatever.

5:07Or get a little bad. All right. So we are at the Genesis here. This is an invitational since Tiger took over. It is no longer an open event. 72 players. We're going to get 50 and ties in anyone within 10 that is going to move on. So yes, in theory, this could be a no cut event. There will likely be a few people cut. But if my models correct, there will be at least 10 people in the middle of the 10 people cut. Is it kind of crazy to you when we, like what this first started? We definitely said, well, this is going to be interesting. We'll see how often it comes into play. It's a little wild to be. It hasn't come into play yet. Yeah. I know. They cut people every time this is one of the deals. Here, we're looking at a little over 7,300 yards. We're looking at a par 71, which means one, one less par five, one additional par four. Get kukuya grass. This is a grass. We do not see very often on tour. It's very interesting grass. If you were, if you follow title list on the Instagram, they were out there yesterday

6:09with their head of product. What's that? It's funny. They were, they were out there with their head of product. And he, you know, so many of these dudes play title list wedges, right on tour. And apparently there was just a ton of decisions being made as to what type of wedges they wanted to bring out there with them because of the wetness and the grass itself and how the grass was reacting to the ball and all of that. And so he said he had been working with a ton of the guys on which type of wedge they wanted to bring out there and play with them this week. Okay. So make a decision based off of the rough itself. Yeah. I mean, look, these guys, you're, you hear quotes almost every year about the kukuya. It's just, you don't play on it very often. It's interesting. We, you know, in long shots yesterday, I thought, West did a great job to about talking about the greens. And it's, hey, it's Poa. This is not going to be the same Poa that you saw a week ago, even though it is the same Poa, it's just very different. It's going to be super short, super hard and super fast. Exactly. This is not, you know, it's just not like you're being right on the water at Pebble where

7:12they kind of have to grow it out, make it slower, just in case winds get involved. This is, yes, very closely shaved down Poa that you're going to get on these greens. So everything, just a little bit different than what these guys are used to. Yeah. I, I didn't really, I know you did, and this is why we, why it's fun to do the podcasts and stuff like that, which by the way, long shots available wherever you get your podcasts going in. You can go to our very own YouTube channel as well. And it's right. So you, I think both of y'all put in Poa putting into your model. I didn't because these greens, everything that I read, it's like, as wild as Poa. I mean, if you're running at 12 and a half and they're super hard and like super, like super fast, it's not like the same type of Poa putting that we get on some of these other courses and stuff, which does get super bumpy and things and all of that. Like these are probably not going to be like we saw these last couple of weeks. And when we saw a few puts last week and of course, there was precipitation in play there where you could see right off the putter, the ball would jump left or right or whatever

8:14and, and you know, it got so the greens got so soft that you could, they were having to go fix, just where people were walking, like guys are just walking, but the greens have gotten so soft because you, you step down, your footprint was making an, an, an intention like a mark. They do have the sub air system here at Riviera Country Club. I imagine that comes with the $300,000 initiation fee that it costs to be a member there. Yeah. So you do get the, you are going to get no, it could rain today to what, like they'll be able to vacuum and suck all the moisture out of that. So they'll, the greens, now the fairways, they don't have the fairways will still be soft and we might not get a bunch of roll out there, but the greens are going to be, greens are going to be hard and fast. No matter what. Yeah, yeah, some poor to keep up my, yeah, greens would be the same. You might see if it gets, I mean, it's been raining there and it's been, this will lead me right into weather because I do think it's important to keep, keep on top of that this week. But yes, if it, you know, rains a lot, fairways might be a little bit of a mess, but you're right. Well, greens shouldn't be too much of a concern. I've been tracking this and I think that if you are, like Matt, Matt and I got to do podcast

9:15to chose, we got to get some bets in my recommendation would be wait on this to bet until later tonight, until you can really see what tomorrow's looking like now. Matt, we did the podcast yesterday, brought this up on the pod as well, doesn't look like it's going to be as bad as when we talked about it yesterday. So this is, look, it's weather. No matter we're talking about football golf, the, the stuff's constantly changing. You want to have the bet, most up to date information as late as possible before you make a bet. If you think there's anything that could be involved here and you're seeing kind of, it right now 10 a.m., at 10 a.m. through the, through the evening, Gus could get up into the 20s. Now, the sustained winds do it, the projections have come down. So that's a good thing, but it is a little bit more spread out. So it's also a little bit more spread out throughout the day. So maybe we don't get as much of a possible wave advantage here. It looked like it was maybe those last five, six groups out to tomorrow. We're going to have to be dealing with it the most. It might be a little bit more spread out through the entire field now.

10:16So I think that's settles me down a little bit with some of the bets that I made. But again, this change from just 20 less than 24 hours ago. So I think if you are going to bet this, I, there's no reason for you to not just wait till tonight before you get bets in. Yeah. And I mean, West Coast best coast when it comes to sports. So if you're over there in the East Coast, the first T time isn't until 10 15 Eastern your time. Okay. If you're on the East Coast. So you can actually just make these bets in the morning. And if you're an early riser over here on the, on the West Coast, yeah. I mean, the first, first T times are not until 7 15 a.m. Pacific over here. So you can even, you can even take in information right up until the last minute. If you want to wake up early and get those bets in, but certainly people over there on the East Coast, I mean, you got until 10 15 Eastern. So I would for sure kind of see what things look like tomorrow morning. If you have the time before I put in the last of all of the bets for me, probably will have something this evening, probably will have something for us to talk about in the first segment when we come in here tomorrow as we gather additional information as to how these conditions are going to be because this is, oh, I'm going to be firing on some

11:18first rounds tomorrow. Yeah. I've already got a couple circled in that. This is, yeah. I mean, I probably should have continued this Friday. Doesn't look nearly as bad. You're going to get more consistent weather through the weekend. It looks like the really Thursday is the only day where we can see a spike. Cool, guys. Who did you bet? Well, let you know whenever we come back here on a numbers game. Beasts in the sports betting network. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools, the data and the discipline. And now so can you. Visa Pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets to have the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with visa and pro.

12:42The things that go on. Where we somehow in the span of 20 seconds went from cheese toward a lean to golf simulators. And then the conversation ended immediately. I think as we come back on you know if any of our bosses are listening, I think I need to borrow one of someone from the management team when Isaiah wrinkle to go scout out a potential new broadcast location here this afternoon. There it is. My need to borrow him for a couple of hours. He's going to need to be off at about 1030. Right. And you come back about one. About one. Yeah. Right. Come back about one. That's kind of what we're going to do with the old but we're up now. We're up now and you learn something on the break as well. Um. Check here. Good save by the ducks. Goaltender. Check here. Not Chechia. Chechia. Well, I heard the broadcasters saying that that that checks out, you know, I did not put him boom. See that for the sound effects. Yep. I know. Rimshot. So anyway, that's what I was given. I've asked Isaiah for a illustrator on this desk for two years now.

13:43That's that's how that count that V some plus plus conversation got started. I figured I think I did a great job with the weather. I need a green screen next to me, right? There's a front coming in from the West. I think I'd be really good. So I said on the podcast yesterday that this might be a little bit better of a DFS tournament then a betting tournament for me. I really wanted to come in here with some additional plays that I did not have on the podcast. So if you've already listened to the podcast, I. We'll talk the effect. I will. I do have like a DFS and stuff and that so we can at least go that way with it. But I couldn't quite get to anybody else that I would feel comfortable about, you know, recommending to you guys. And I know we kill. We talk at this after the pod and like we didn't get this on air. So we can at least get it on air now. There are people are going to come in with six, seven, eight plays every single week. That is just not my style, not really your style. I'm not going to give plays for the sake of giving plays and I'm not really a scattershot better. You know, that's not again, not my strategy either. And so unless there's a specific tournament that calls for that like method earlier this

14:47year with what? Well, it's the, well, the ones that are completely crap, yeah, the ones that are completely crap. Sure. Then you just shop. Your strategy based on the event. But that has not happened very often and certainly that's never going to be a tournament that when Scotty Sheffler is involved either, right? I mean, like so Scotty Sheffler is sitting at a little over three to one right now for good reason. And he has been the best player in both of the last two tournaments over the last three rounds and had he not played himself into a deficit in the first round. He would not only would have won the tournament, he'd won him by multiple strokes. And so it's tough to get some, some of these guys in this tournament like, you know, even if you want to make the greatest of case for them, what is the actual win equity? And I think it's just super incredibly low. So for me, just a, just two real kind of outright that I feel good about. And then one that is kind of just based off, of course, history and the fact that he's still out there, kind of bombing it around and whatever. But I'll start out with Zander. I kind of want to be in front of Zander. I saw some stuff that I liked last week from him.

15:50By the way, he's longer off the tee this season so far than he has been in his entire career. You hear about these dudes doing the work in the off season, about the club head speed stuff, everything, everybody really and truly trying to get the ball speed up. And you got to chase some of these guys and everybody understands now as well that accuracy is great. Don't get me wrong. And you would love to be long and straight. But if you could be long or straight, I think a lot of these guys would rather be long and straight at this point because you've realized that hitting out of the rough and we, we've talked about this last couple of years on the pod, hitting out of the rough with a pitching wedge or a nine iron is better than hitting out of the rough with an eight iron or seven iron to be a real a further, the further you are down, the better it is hitting out of the rough. Matt, this is one of these courses. I think that Matt, that matters. It does. It does. And so I, that's why I emphasized driving this as much as I did and I really liked what I saw from Zander here are the first couple of tournaments of the season. So Zander comes in there on, and what I think is kind of form rounding into what we think

16:52more about Zander, right? If Zander was playing like Zander of two years ago, Zander would not be 22 to one. Zander would be 12, 13, 14, something like that. He was priced very similar to Roy. Remember? Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It easily could work his way back up. But this is his third start of the season, right? It's been mixed results so far. There were concerns. I had concerns that first tournament back with, you know, you had the rib injury here ago. How was that? Was that still affecting him? Because he actually had a, I think it was a pretty wild off the tee opening tournament where there was some concern about that. But, you know, to your overall point about the distance, I've said this a lot about management nearly the past few weeks, he, he and Shoffley were guys the past couple years, but especially last year, I was really tracking that stuff where it was noticeable at different increments through the season, you know, a couple, a couple months, every couple months. Those guys were just getting a little bit longer and more consistent off the tee and get something that I kind of expected with these guys heading into this year. And then my second place, gotten on the complete opposite side of that. I wanted to kind of, because I don't think I, I don't think you have to be a bomber here

17:56to win. I'd prefer you to be a bomber here to win Tommy Fleetwood is definitely not a bomber. He's not short, but he's not long. So real quick, when we run our numbers, this is because this is going to show up on my place, too. We run our numbers. Like that's what Matt's saying. How much we're building in and weighing distance and ball speed and stuff like that off the tee. And then you have someone like Tommy Fleetwood that is still rating out so high. What does that mean? Everything else. Everything else in he is excelling it to a degree that he's putting him up above some of the guys who are low. Yeah. So I'm sitting here looking at this. There is fifth, fourth, third, fourth in the four different models that I ran here for this one for Tommy Fleetwood. And again, as much as I put in for driving distance and things like that, like that's that let you know, right? I mean, he fills out every single other bucket. I think you looked great in his first American start this past week. He had a good. He had a good winter fall season, whatever you want to call it as well. And so obviously one of the class players, one of the few, one of the few in the field

18:58that if Scotty is doing Scotty things can still hang and play with and compete with Scotty Schaeffler. So those are the two. And then Adam Scott's just more the horse for the course type guy. Tons of experience here has tons of really good finishes here. Still hits it long. Even those that kind of advanced age, if you will, for Adam Scott, honestly, he just can't put it if he could put, he probably would actually be way, way, way higher in most everybody's models each and every week. But we're talking about a guy that, I mean, Kelly, he is not that he can't put like he is a full on bad putter. Like, I mean, like he has not gained in putting in nine straight tournaments. He's lost in putting in nine straight tournaments. That just let you, I mean, if you don't have a spike week here and there, it just means you're bad. Like a flurry of decent finishes though last summer right now, I was betting him a even again, last summer, it felt so just one of those, maybe he can try and figure something out. Maybe we can get some sort of spike week out of him. No, I'm not, again, I'm not like jumping up and down thinking that this is going to be

20:01a play that's a slam dunk because trust me, when you, when you lose as many in a row as he has on putting is going to be tough to win tournaments. But those are three outrights. More Calla riding the heater here on the top 10. I don't know if he's going to go back to back, but guys hitting the irons better than anybody in the world right now. Max Homa, this is another horse for the course. If you go in and look at Max Homa, nobody has played Riviera better than Max Homa. This guy is an absolute beast here while his game is maybe not in the greatest. We're talking about a top 20 nearly three to one. I mean, like that's all we need out of Max Homa. I can't hit on that. It's the top 20. We don't need to win. And how many guys are in the field? We don't even need to compete. We need to top 20. Top 20. You're a card, my friend. Okay. Yes. I, this is a rarity for me. But you know, one thing I wanted to bring up real quick. You'll hear it on the podcast. I thought it was the most interesting. I thought it was the most interesting part of the podcast actually, but the conversation we had of just initial takeaways from the odds board and the fact that kind of me, Matt West all saw it the same of just when we run our numbers and I go and look at the odds, usually there's one or two or three guys that are kind of jumping out right away,

21:02depending on maybe a different market that I want to play him in, the outright prices. I thought we're so on with the guys I was looking at it. I didn't think I was getting much value kind of in the mid range where I was looking. I thought where there was a little bit of value was on the Sheffler and Rory numbers a little bit. I know West ended up on Rory. I ended up on Sheffler this week. So it is a solo outright play for me on Scotty Sheffler says plus 375 there. I got a three to one. I used to boost to get it up there. I think anything over three to one, though, is a playable number on Scotty Sheffler just to go. It matches documented very well. This isn't, of course, he's done amazing at his career. But still T 10 T 12 T 7, they're just comparing it to other Scotty Sheffler finishes. It's not that great. But still remove two rounds. You said it. This guy's probably got three wins. Couple notes I caught from other guys that do golf in the industries. This from Ryan Newton, Scotty's gained more strokes T to green than anyone else has at Riviera over the past four stops there. Okay. That's good.

22:02This from Rick Gaming. I saw that this morning through three starts, Sheffler is gaining 2.99 strokes per round. There have only been four seasons of three plus plus strokes gained. And those are all Tiger Woods 99 2000, 2006, 2007. So Scotty, I know he's only got one win playing amazing right now. I will back him this week. One of the other guys I really liked and this is kind of the same conversation as Tommy Fleetwood. I'm going to Deke Matsuyama, the winner without Sheffler market. Yes, because I'm greedy. And I would love to cash both of those Sheffler and Deke backed up with the top 10 as well. This is another one might have some concerns off the team might have some concerns on the green. Everywhere else that I consider important long iron play around the green scrambling hit Deke is very, very rates out extremely high if not the best in the field at so played him there. And then top 20's Matt Fitzpatrick Jake nap Ricky Fowler, Shane Lowry and two tournament matchups for you Fleetwood over can't lay Russell Henley over Colin work out more in depth. Obviously over on the podcast. If you want to go check that out, West is right up over at visa.com as well.

23:05So can't wait for this one, certainly an interesting one with another stacked and absolutely loaded build when we come back. Look at some NBA regular season wins head to heads. Numbers getting here on recently sports betting network, we are at the end of the first period, chequia up to the one and still massive dogs do this massive dogs in the state. It's been crazy and I just got a tweet about this too. I'll do some tweets here, but yeah, two one live numbers right now Canada down a goal minus three seventy five. We put in third of the game. Yeah, we were going through golf. I almost cut you off because I saw this open up and it was like minus three fifty. And then you were probably like halfway through your place. It was bet all the way down to minus two sixty. And now it's back to minus three seventy five on the Canada side on the Canada side.

24:08So yeah, that's pretty wild live total set at seven and a half under one twenty. And then you can lay a goal and a half at one twenty with Canada. And yeah, we actually got a tweet from Jeff and Jeff in Vancouver, guessing he's rooting on Canada. He goes, I don't know. Books can take bets on Olympic sports after watching a bunch of curling, for example, would be so easy to fix to the books, just restrict amounts. I'd be paranoid. Can't really fully answer this, Jeff, I think there's probably more restricting going on with the Olympic ones. I would guess then some normal sports. The only thing I would say about the fixing any one of these athletes, I don't think you train your whole life to get to this point to then fix something like this, right? Yeah. Um, so yes, the betting limits are not super high too. They don't allow any of the judged events anyway, in some states, because that would be for sure, rigable. That part. Yes. So there has to be an out like an, uh, an, a, a fixed outcome, right?

25:11There's the way to put it, uh, fixed outcome in those, they do have some states where they offer that though, right? You can make bets on some of the judged events, right? No. Like none of the figures skating, no, wow, okay, I thought it was just more of a Nevada thing. All right. You might could make a deal, I mean, you might make a bet at the beginning or something like that, who will be like metal, metal or something or whatever, some like any of those, but like, yeah, you can't like do like get to the, get to the final round and be like, okay, this person's going to win or this person's not or whatever, you know, all that stuff. Because again, then then you bring shenanigans into play and we don't want shenanigans. Yeah. We don't like that. Because the, uh, I can, I'm pretty sure no athletes have worked this hard. Do then, uh, go, uh, go do something like that. Have you seen a judge me, have you seen some of the play? Have you seen some of the pay for some of these countries? What? Like Singapore, like Singapore, if you want a gold at $750,000, oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, see. But for us, it's like 40, like why are, why are we paying, why are we not giving these

26:13dudes more than more than 40k for a gold? Um, my guess would be that they have other ways to make money, sponsorship, sponsorship opportunities, right? Stuff like that. I, I don't know. It's fair. I don't know. And then, uh, D Jen Southern gent tweeting and lived in fourth worth for three years. Now let's lead us into our NBA con. Right. Yeah, made friends with a number of Mavericks fans in that time, including co-worker, who has seasoned tickets, general fan base consensus after what happened with Luka, they're fine with tanking, whatever it takes to keep to Cooper here. Yeah. You know what, you know, it would help another star player alongside him. Yeah. And so if you can get into that lottery, and if you can somehow buck the system again, wow. Why is that? Can you imagine, can you imagine how the sentiment around a franchise flipping so quickly over? I mean, like, we were crushing this team, crushing this team, you know, but, but, but, but then if you landed Cooper flag and then one of these top three players in two years,

27:14and you just go, oh, well, okay. I mean, like, you know, still dumb, but like, hey, man, that's, uh, it's a pretty good. Yes. If you roll it out, Darren Peterson Cooper flag next year, somehow, yeah, you'll be okay with it, Mavericks fans. He'll be okay with that. It's just unbelievable. So we'll, we'll see how it all plays out. Okay, let's rattle through some of these. These are available for everybody to go bet right now. These, uh, wins, win total head to heads, right? So calves versus nicks, calves versus nuggets, nuggets versus rockets, nicks versus rockets, and then calves versus rockets. Um, so you can go in the odds are according. So obviously the calves are going to be a little bit, you know, favorite over the next to minus one, 91, 50 calves over the nuggets, 125 to even money. Nuggets are favorite over the rockets, 150 plus 120. Then you get one ten on both sides there, nicks and rockets. And then the calves are big favorites of the rockets as well. Minus 180 to plus one 45. Yeah, schedule being baked in here for sure. Like this is the calves being that much more of a favorite from the, uh, of the nicks. I thought was a little aggressive. I don't know.

28:15Well, we were going to spend too much time on this. Actually, there's a couple of good bets here, but we've talked, we've talked a lot. And we're going to talk some division stuff here, which, uh, which rolls into this. But we talked about the calves and the light schedule that they, that they do have coming down the stretch and what we've also talked about is the Denver Nuggets and them having a very difficult schedule down the, down the stretch nuggets and thunder with the two toughest remaining strengths and schedules, uh, in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers coming in with the 26 toughest remaining. So yeah, I think the calves up against the nuggets and that's probably a pretty good bet. I mean, nuggets still very injured, right? This is a team there in Gordon out missing pieces. We've talked about Yokech kind of slowly rolling back in. So yeah, that one jumped out to me. Um, I would be, yeah, that one jumped out to me for sure. And then we have a couple other on the other graphic. But I think was there anyone's, uh, here, Matt that you really liked? No, I mean, I think some of these other ones are just like, you know, again, I don't know if they like to parlay these or something or whatever, but like, you know, you get into warriors against the hawks, you get Lakers versus the magic Celtics versus the Lakers.

29:17These are like heavy, heavy, heavy favorites. But again, it's like, I don't know if you can parlay them together. Then these are, these are ones that you feel good about. Caves are only minus one 90 over the Celtics. And then the nuggets are minus one 55 against the next. But it's huge on the Warriors hawks. That's minus three 40. It's a minus minus a thousand on the Lakers. And then it's minus four 25 on the Celtics in a couple of those matchups. I, the ones that I wrote down that I'd kind of pick, uh, they just kind of end up picking on the nuggets. It's, it's calves laying 125. I thought the nicks getting plus money against it. It's interesting. Yeah. Plus one 25 against the nuggets. The very least is interesting. I thought that one was a little, and then I, I mean, the Lakers tape that I have not said too many positive things about it. Yeah. The Celtics might get chasing Tatum back. Man, there's only like 26, 27, 28 games left. You're getting three to one on the Lakers. I'm not rushing to make that bet. But that is what if I had to, and that it would, it would definitely be taking the plus three 10 with the Lakers. So let's get into some of these divisions. And I know you started to look into them a little bit further.

30:18I talked about having the, the calves division bet that was in my count. By the way, better number now than what I got into the accounts. If you wanted to go put that one in there, what are some of the other ones that you're looking at? Well, I want to start there because that was, we, we started talking about that kind of best record after the All Star break. And we were discussing kind of the different ways we would approach it and where you should maybe start. And, uh, yeah, I ended up firing on those yesterday. It was the best record after the All Star break. And as we discussed, you know, I think, you know, I think, you know, I think, you know, it makes sense then looking at the division too. So yeah, I grabbed a little bit of the 10 to one for them in the central look. It is going to be tough for them, uh, to catch up to the pistons. This is a short runway. You're talking about 40 and 13 is where the piston sit at best record in the NBA 34 and 21 is where Cleveland's at. You're going to have to make up some serious ground. Seven toughest schedule remaining for Detroit 26 toughest remaining for Cleveland. What really, we talked about this yesterday and what really jumped out to me was, the pistons just scheduled right after the break here.

31:19Drew brought this up and I think this is what really pushed me over finally to the division bet to join you because here's the thing. I like the best, the best record at post All Star break bet from just the schedules that ran out there. I think that's a good bet bet. I bet that heavier wasn't fully planned on joining on the division. Drew brought up this piston schedule though. I'll find, I'm got in at 10 to one yesterday on the division. There's always, you can always bet on no price or something later on. If you want to flip over to the pistons, you can. This is a two team race, but the piston schedule out of the break here. They face the next tomorrow night already laid the points with the nicks in that one. Get mine reminder, they have guys that are suspended coming out of the break too. Okay, then it's against the bulls at the bulls on Saturday Monday. They host the spurs went next Wednesday, host the thunder that next Friday, host the calves. It's at the magic. It's at home against the calves. It's home against the spurs. That is a brutal schedule out of the break. So you were talking eight games there where I think Cleveland can immediately make up

32:19some ground here and you could revisit these odds in two and a half weeks and see where things are happening. I think 10 to one is a good number to grab. Well, and it's like we said, so the calves actually get the pistons twice head to head. So that's an easy way to shave into the lead right there, right? Like so right off the bat, you get them twice. And then the fact that the pistons have one of the more difficult schedules down the stretch as well. I think again, it's just, we play, we play numbers a lot of times. And at one in 10 times, did the calves run them down? I absolutely think so. Yeah, I do. Absolutely. I'll tell you about the only, the only thing left because we talked through all these markets, right? Yes. Do they cut past couple of days? Should we be considering what was it, 500 to what or something, the add on the best record? It's like if you're playing these, I mean, if they're going to run down the pistons, right? It's, okay. Then they're going to be probably a top three top four. Then why not bet the tail outcome too, which is them just like, which is them basically like only losing three games or two or three games together. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, the other team that's obviously in that conversation, it's the well, but is okay, it's also the thunder, but like we've been documenting some thunder struggles like I

33:24and they have one of the toughest schedules remaining. I don't, I don't think it's out of the possible. They don't look, they don't look absolutely bulletproof like they did at the beginning. Correct. Yeah. It's basically what it comes down to. They don't. And the other one that's like, I've brought up a couple of times, Southeast divisions, going to be fun or I don't know what the right word is to do is to describe the Southeast division as anymore. Like, I want to say fun because it's like, I love betting the NBA, but it's just a mess as usual. We've got four crappy teams that all four of them could possibly win the division. It's going to likely be your entire play in field. Still think Hornets four to one is the only bet you could make right now. The only team you have any trusted. Guys, if you want to come watch the World Soccer Championship here at Circle, you can tonight stay VIP Cabana with $500 plus 250 to walk around with here at Circle, you said it's Circle Las Vegas dot com. The pick you up in a limo and celebrate with you at the legacy club, circle Las Vegas dot com.

34:33Bees in these sports betting network as we watch Chequia continue to hold their lead here. Got me. 7%. No, no, this is exciting. They were, I mean, Kelly, they were, they were three and a half on the, on the puck line. Five were leading five minutes into the second period, Canada, still a minus 298 live favorite. I mean, I, we obviously can't watch this closely. There might be tons of, of danger opportunities that are happening here that we don't know about. But I mean, I saw the scoreboards, the scoreboards, the scoreboard, I saw one near Canada goal, uh, before we were coming back here from break, but yeah, you're right. We are now watching. We there. Let's go check. Yeah. There's 13 shots of peace right now. And I know the quality of every shot is not the same, but there's 13 shots of peace right. Chequia just got to keep it within four, baby. If I just start going with Chequia Republic, you think I'm causing more problems or less problems. Probably more probably more probably not a white's listed that way at multiple, multiple

35:36sports. I don't have any clue. It's different. Guys, we haven't checked out short plays been around since 2011, free daily reports, real time alerts, public logs and transparent receipts. So go in, sharp action key numbers and market chips before the public catches up, sharp plays dot com, trusted by the pros monitored by the books, visit sharp plays dot com. So Kelly Bidlin, this is a, a division that is going to have a lot of debate over the offseason, the NFC North, in which the lions are your favorite as we sit today here on February, the 18th at plus 160 to win the division. The Packers are plus 185 plus 350 on the bears. And then the seven to one there attached to the Vikings. Now the Vikings, I think are the rightful fourth place team here in this division, given the fact that we don't really know what's going on at the quarterback position, JJ McCarthy is still in town.

36:36It's not like they've released him or traded him or anything, but you know, the body of work we have gotten has been spotty at best. And if you wanted to really just kind of call spade a spade, it's been, it's been more bad than good. And so I get them being where they are. The number obviously, we'll talk about the top two teams to say the number that jumps off the pages, the bears at plus 350. I cannot believe that they are that big of a dog to the lions and Packers, both of whom still have question marks, I might add, whereas the bears in my opinion, don't have a ton of question marks. Now you're going to scream right now at me if you hate Caleb Williams, the question mark is Caleb Williams. Okay. Well, that's your opinion. In my opinion, from what I saw and certainly from the statistics that we have coming out of the season, Caleb Williams made a giant leap last year. And this will be the first full season under Ben Johnson, who hasn't whole off season to look at what worked, what didn't, what do we need to try? What do we need to abandon? All these different things like that, Kelly, like the 350 to me, I don't usually lock money

37:37up for as long as I bet the bears in this division, I do not lock money. I think that this is the most likely number to look drastically different by the time we kick next year. I think that they are going to be way closer to these other two teams. Yeah. This is, I have a feeling this is one I will be joining you one. I will take my time though here. I want to see some of the moves that we get made during the off season. I think the Caleb Williams part though of that conversation, right? It's the pushback on that is you can think whatever you want to think about Caleb Williams. But when you add Ben Johnson, you add to the offensive line like they did a year ago and you just get fast improvement out of play out of the line. And then the play calling, oh, that's going to help Caleb. And I thought, man, I thought he looks very special at times last year. So yeah, this is one I will probably be joining you on. I'm very interested though to see what schedules look like to see what some of the moves that happen. Like you said, there are some weaknesses on these teams.

38:39I'm not scared. Not scared about going up against the Packers. To me, Packers, one of the more disappointing teams last year, right? They are, like their stats say they have a high floor, right? They're a high floor team and they better be because there's enough talent on that team. There's enough town on that team that they were one of the biggest Thunder performers kind of to me all season last year. I just expected them to be more dominant, especially at times when it felt like the NFC and the division and things were opening up for them to kind of make it take a stranglehold and just couldn't do it really at any point. I know they dealt with some injuries throughout the years. Obviously, we're a different team after Michael went out, um, they are, they're, I'm not concerned about. I want to see what this lion's schedule looks like, Matt, like, is it going to be so, so light, you know, that it's maybe it, maybe it keeps me off the bears in the division. And I'm just looking at them over on their wind total having said all that though, yes, I think bears, you whether it's overwind total division play probably one that I will be joining you on and the Vikings, man, this is another one, the other one, two days in

39:42a row, I'm just surprised their number is as short as it is, right? Just we talked about the Titans yesterday, I was still surprised that one was as short as it is. And it's not so much they've got a quarterback problem. I got a lot of respect for that Vikings coaching staff and I think there's still some quality pieces on this team, but these are three really good teams ahead of them in the division. So I'm a little surprised that number is not longer than seven. So the reason I'm not scared about the bears and then the bears having a first place schedule is their division is the NFC South and the AFC East. And so while you'll get it. So while you'll get a Patriots bills, you also get dolphins jets and then you get the whole NFC South. So I mean, I'm not worried about the first place, I'm not worried about the first place schedule there from from this team. And honestly, you look around offensive line, super solid between more burden and Odunse, your wide receiver room is set.

40:43You drafted Colston Lovelin who had a great rookie season. Really you just you just get to focus on the defense a little bit more in the off season is what you get to do. You get to they need a pass rusher badly. And so that is that was where they really, really where they really, really struggled was generating consistent pressure. If they can go out and get a pass rusher and then maybe add one more guy in the secondary. Again, from that point on, everything else is luxury, I think for in depth for this bears team. And so again, I am, I'm definitely definitely in on them. I couldn't agree more about everything you said about the Packers, like it's just we, you want to have questions about Caleb, what you like, who who is Jordan love, tell me who Jordan love is. Right. Yeah. Totally 100%. 100%. Like yeah, do we see flashes of greatness? Do we also see time for your shaking your head going? What are you doing? Absolutely. I mean, this was the team this year of what it was what the Ravens two years ago, where it just, I got it. I got it because the talent was there, but whether it was odds makers or I mean, guys

41:45that we know that make that are making their own power ratings, it was just, I mean, how long, how many times did you hear through we were going to be like week nine into the season Packers top two, top three team, my power rating. That was a pretty consensus from a lot of the respected NFL better side. No. Okay. If you're telling me it's that, that high, the outcomes got to be better. I'm with you. I'm with love. Love can look awesome. And he can look like a very shaky mediocre quarterback at times. Yeah. And that's to me. I'm just like, that doesn't, that is not what makes, that is not what makes a team great to me. And certainly not a team that is plus 185 over a team is plus 350, which I don't have a very big difference in the two teams at all. I'm not, I'm not going to say this with a ton of confidence, but I have a feel like that Caleb Williams is the best quarterback in this division. At this point, because golf is now old, and golf can't move. That's another thing that we are just seeing more and more and more in the NFL is just, you know, Drake may, is a system quarter as good as Drake may, systems can be good.

42:46Like, like Drake may definitely, like Drake may definitely through throws a great deep ball. They have the advanced statistics that show us that. But Drake may picked up so many third down conversions with his legs, it was able to go. And on plays that broke down, make a first and 10, a second and six instead of a sack and maybe it's not second and 14 anymore and all of that. Having mobility is just becomes such a massive thing when every single defensive end now runs a 4 4 5 and all these things like being able to do anything to keep the play alive or to make it towards not a complete and utter disaster. And so yeah, I mean, golf is, golf is certainly limited from that aspect. There's no doubt about it. And then honestly, you look on the defensive side of the ball for, for the Lions as well. I do not think that this is a team that you sit there and you look and just no matter what you go like, oh, yeah, that defense is definitely going to be like a lockdown defense. I mean, there are question marks at every level.

43:49There's question marks on the defensive line. There's question marks at corner. There's question marks at linebackers. Yeah, as you noted, though, I think I think bears are, those defenses are comparable. Where they both got, they got both got issues to figure out this off season. So yeah, I will like, I will be problem. I will be on pro bears bets. I don't know how yet though, I'm going to wait, give it a little bit of time. This is just the teams that you walk away from the season, most impressed by. I mean, okay, Seattle's one, they're number one, obviously, obviously for winning a Super Bowl. What I thought of that were they were going to be at preseason in a very tough division and where they finished incredibly impressive. I number two, I mean, it's probably the bears to me coming out of last season of weight. What I took away positives and heading into next season, Jags are up there on that list. Kind of we hit on them yesterday, right? I've got a completely different view of what the Jacksonville Jaguars are now than I were did a year ago. So yeah, I just think interesting things to talk about here is we had out of one season

44:50into the other. Trying to find the exact, you can just name the finalists, you know, like what's a, what's a Jags bears? How about 160 to one just for them to meet in the Super Bowl? 161 just for the Jags and the bears to meet in the Super Bowl, I'm adding another bet.