2448: $500K Bitcoin Breakout Setup - On-Chain Data Mirrors The Historic 2023 Rally

Bitcoin's on-chain data is flashing a setup that looks remarkably familiar. Unchained Capital says current Bitcoin holder behavior is similar to the 2023 breakout that preceded BTC's historic move from roughly $20,000 to $125,000, while short-term holders are now meaningfully back in profit.

At the same time, Bitcoin ETFs absorbed approximately $1 billion this week, Russia's largest bank has launched cross-border crypto settlements for corporate clients, Square is expanding Bitcoin payments across millions of businesses, and Fidelity International is describing Bitcoin as an "insurance policy" against escalating macro risks. We break down the numbers behind the setup and why $500,000 Bitcoin requires a smaller percentage expansion than the historic rally Bitcoin has already delivered.

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