2026 PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP Picks, Player by Player Preview | Stats, Trends and Data

0:00I'm going to regret saying this, and of most of these guys in this field, outside of like the Scotties and the Tommies and the Roris, Seawoo is probably your best bet to like wake up on Sunday and be like, oh, he's within three shots of the lead. Oof, that, hey, if that happens, I will not be a part of it. I'll say, I'll say that much. I will not be a part of it. I think that I am going to be a part of the Seawoo trade. We're going to get going here with some Seawoo. Maybe a two-time, two-time! Rick Flair is with the 38-time world champion. Seawoo can be the two-time players champion. At Mayo Experience. Welcome to the kickoff to Players Championship Week on the Pat Mayo Experience. Be a pal. Smash the like sub to the channel, additionally, the audio podcast. This is the big one. You ever want to help out the show? For free mind you? Cost you nothing besides 10 seconds. Subscribe, rate, and review five stars to the Pat Mayo Experience audio podcast on Apple

1:04and Spotify so we can continue to deliver all of the picks and everything, all of the shows, for a complete non-charge. Completely free. Go to that sub to the free newsletter as well. Matt Ganon's on the line with me from Ship at Nation.com. He's been walking the course with all of these guys because we're going player by player, breaking down the entire odds boards to get us prepped for the players championship. Matt, we don't need to make picks as of yet, but I do want to hear your insights of what you've been seeing from these guys so far this year. Yeah, I mean, what a time of the year. We have Bay Hill currently, as we're recording this, spoiler alert, and then sawgrass next week. Yeah, I've been out there since Phoenix. Week by week, I haven't missed a week since Phoenix. Get to know these guys a lot, get to see their mannerisms, get to hopefully have some leeway to predict how they perform in a given week. Yeah, I'm excited to jump in, player by player, and sawgrass as a golf course that I've seen the last two years. I'll be out there again Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, so I'm going to get into this. So you can give us some insights on it. Now, just in full disclosure that you and I met up this

2:07week. We both went to TGL and we got a chance to hit off the simulators. You got to sit in the King's chair on the Tom Kim Asole. You put it to two feet and I believe 11 inches on your try to get the hole in one. That was very impressive. Yeah, two feet nine inches. I was feeling great and I'll let you finish the story. Well, I don't even need to finish the story. Let's watch the clip. Sounded crisp. Oh, come back. Come back. I mean, look at these guys. So that is walking it off two feet one inch. Look at this. He didn't have very much time in that chair. No, I was I was feeling good. I put it the two feet nine inches and I was like, oh, who's going to beat this? Mr. Pat Mayo next swing two feet one inch, I believe it was. So shout out you for that great swing. I hope that led to some good golf in the rest of your Florida

3:09trip. It did. I played later on that day. I'll recap that. We played with a with a listener that was awesome and a macular course at Hunter's run. Jeff and I both played it. It took me about 14 holes to figure out how to swing a golf club for the first time being on a course in six months. And we'll leave it at that. But then I ended up going pretty well by the end of it. We're here to talk about the players and I have a special offer for all of you. Great people. If you've been rabbit hole curious, well, this is your time to do it. All the information I'm getting plus the research show that's coming out later on this weekend on Sunday is going to use the rabbit hole to build out some models, research stats, try to find some winners. And we've been fond of winners. Obviously last week in 90 to ones, 40 to ones and 110 to ones. That was great. In that. And then I get off the plane. I'm coming home from Florida. Oh, what happens? Chandler Blanchett 70 to one first round leader in Puerto Rico. All thanks to the rabbit hole. You can even check out the research show from last week in the Puerto Rico section when I went over why Chandler Blanchett was going to be a great play. Will he hold on to win? This I do not know.

4:10But I know that he catches 70 to one first round leader. That was awesome. That was in the free newsletter that comes out. So again, subscribe to that. But rabbit hole, if you go to BetsbridgeGolf.com right now and enter the code sawgrass under the weekly plan $1 for the week. Get all the players championship you want for $1 this week. Code sawgrass at BetsbridgeGolf.com. You can hit the description. The direct link is there. Highly recommend that you do it. And I'm using the rabbit hole to go through this. And we talk about our first player, Matt. It's Scotty Sheffler. He's a part of the favorite tier. He is three to one $14,200 on draft kings followed by Rory at 10 to one Tommy at 18 to one Zander at 25 then Hedecki is coming in in fifth place on the odds boards right now at 31 to one. If you're in Canada outside of Ontario, go to coolbet.com. Hit the description. Find that link. Get yourself the bonus and the quickest payouts in the biz. Here's the issue when you take a look at the Scotty Strokes game numbers per round versus the Rory Strokes game numbers per round.

5:14They're basically the same so far this year. Yeah, they definitely are very close to similar this year. And I I'm not sure if I talked to you about this earlier in the week or but I was mentioning it that I think this week at Bay Hill was the best chance that they finished one two. We get a Scotty word duel and whether that happens or not, I still think that's the case for the next few weeks or I'm forward. Like as you said, this that showed it up. They're playing as similar as they've ever played at this point of the season. They they're not quite in mid season form, but I think they're both as close to mid season form at the same time as we've ever seen. So I don't know if it's going to be Bay Hill. I don't know if it's going to be players, but I hope it's very, very soon that we'll see this one two Scotty word duel on Sunday because how have we not seen it yet? This became a big talking point coming into Bay Hill and I was on top of it. Alex and I talked about it Keith and I talked about I saw other people talking about it as well is what's going on with Scotty right now and the conversation gets unfairly framed. I think that

6:14it's like you're it's I'm not saying that Scotty's playing poorly. He's not. He's playing great. Right. It's just especially the approach numbers and all we have to work off of from Bay Hill is what the round one data is and the round one data match. Essentially what he's been doing most of the year. It's not a round one problem. It is an iron's problem where he's still good. He's still above average, but he's not Scotty Shetler right now. No, 100,000 percent. And if those round one scores were in on a Friday, one of them was on a Saturday, everyone would be like, oh, what's going on? What's Scotty Shetler's irons? They're not as hot as they were last year. He he's played 16 rounds so far this year, 17 including round one of Bay Hill. Three of them have been slow. Scotty Shetler is fine, but I will say like you like you said, the irons are not nearly as hot as they've been. That is much more of an issue than the round one scoring. Recessy buys is a hell of a drug in this industry. People are trying to make something out of nothing. I do think the iron play gets figured out sooner than later and I'm not hurt at all about any round specific scoring. He's the guy who's led round one scoring in 2025. That'll come back to

7:17fruition. The iron play will also come back to fruition. I'm not really worried about it. You're not worried that it comes back like it gets marginally better because part of his big superpower was that he was so much better and consistent on iron approaches over the past 24 months that if that's no longer a separator for him, it's hard to look at his three to one odds and be like, I'm going to bet that. Yeah, that that is fair for sure, but he's also became so good at everything else. It's not like he's just a great iron player and that's what makes Skydysheffler Skydysheffler. He's like a top x-butter now. He can hit the ball long and straight. He's the most underrated around the green player on tour as the broadcast loves to say. So he's got the complete game message. It's a Skydysheffler. The iron play doesn't need to be two strokes around better. No, it doesn't have to be. Is it going to get there come sawgrass, come what Miami? I don't know, but I do think it will improve enough where he gets back into the mix in a high rate.

8:18Okay, so like would he, if we just went into this week and this is all the information we had, would you be lining up to bet him three to one? Because I wouldn't. No, no. Because right now, like I said, the strokes game per round is on par with Rory, but Rory of all players has been the fourth best on approach so far this year. Obviously the defending champion second on the odds board. He's 10 to one. He's more than three times the odds of Scotty coming into this year's tournament. And I don't think this means I'm going to bet Rory to win, although maybe I should, but we do know that big and high end approach play is what separates everyone at sawgrass. You have to have the rest of the game, like you've said, and Scotty's rest of the game is there putting the short game, the driving, it's all there, but if that approach play isn't going to be top five in the field, it's going to be hard for him to win. Yeah, and at three to one, like I'm not running the better three to one Scotty in any week, I can't give it a go at Bay Hill. We'll see how that works out. But at sawgrass, I would need to see a lot of improvements when I'm out there on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, but I agree with

9:23you as of now, I would not be pulling that trigger on that three to one Scotty. It's such a volatile golf course. You could be screwed in two and a half swings and your tournament's done. So I'm not going to be beyond the Scotty train as of now. So, and listen, if he ends up winning at Bay Hill, maybe it's a different conversation. He figures it out all out. Then maybe you can start talking yourself into it, but I do think that the odds will start to drift a little bit. If it's not, and even if it's a win, but if it's an overwhelming win, then they won't change. If it's not an overwhelming win, this three to one probably goes to four to one five to one as we get there. And then it's a different discussion because now you're putting them at five to one, that would probably be right around what his actual implied odds are every single week. Like if you gave him a, help a 20% chance to win at Saga grass. If that's what a tournament simulation, which you can find actually on bestwords golf.com. And I believe that this week at Bay Hill, he was like 18%, which is what like four, four and a half to one, something like that. But that's also a limited field. It only has 72 players. This is going to be a big field by far the best field that the PGA

10:24has churned out so far that getting him at five to one, that would still give him right around like a 16% implied probability to win. That actually seems fair to me. Yeah, I do agree with that. I think if the numbers line up in a certain regard, would go towards Scotty. But I don't know, there's a lot going on with Scotty right now in terms of the media questioning him for all the scoring and his stats not lining up how we usually see them. I really would like to see how the rest of this week plays out because, hey, we could come, we could come back on Monday and he gains six strokes on approach in a week and we're like, Scotty's there. It was just one slow round on Thursday. So hopefully he's got a figure out. And we saw this last year too. Rory won the players and he had a pretty like middling week at Bay Hill the week before. He lost with his irons. He gained a bunch with his potting. He'd look, if you squint hard enough, you're like, man, this is the same week like Denny McCarthy could have had. If Denny McCarthy played like his peak is what Rory did coming T15. Then he goes on and beats J.J. Spawn on the Monday finish at the players. So it all ended up lining up for him.

11:27How do you feel about Rory this year? What have you seen from him when you've been walking around? Is it just normal typical Rory type stuff? Well, actually to second that with Rory last year, I think his win at the players was like such an anomaly and one of his most impressive wins of his career because you could even ask him. His driving was not good last year. He was playing from the pine straw at a unreal rate around TPC Stargrass last last year and he was like even himself was confused how he got out of jail so many times and you could watch the highlights and see that for sure. And for Rory this year, one thing I actually have noticed is he is not in love with these new tailor-made woods, the driver and the three wood. Maybe the five wood as well. But every single time I see him, he's complaining about toe balls. He's complaining about overhooking it and he's just looking at the face and like, damn, tailoring rate. I'm not saying he's like complaining about the head, but I've seen him all the time this year and it's been a consistent miss. It's been a consistent struggle in that regard and it's toe balls every time with Rory. So if he, and he's still, the stats are still fine. So once he gets it fully dialed, I think he's

12:32more prepared to this year than he's been in the last few years. So I think it's a scary thing. Yeah, there's no player in this field that's been better on approach per round than Rory. Seawoo is like inching up close to him and we'll get the Seawoo in a bit because players champion. Well, that's the last time I hit a winner at the players championship with Seawoo. So that tells you how long ago it's been a bad run for me at Sawgrass in making some wagers after hitting Kimer and Seawoo. I felt like I was, I was wearing a bulletproof vest walking around betting the players and I've won zero dollars there, maybe in the past eight years. So hopefully we can get back on track. But Rory Seawoo, smotherman now per round is third in overall stroke scheme on approach. Fitzpatrick, David Ford, Colin Moorakawa, Ryan Gerard, Sam Rider. These are all the names you're going to see up there. Along with Nikolai, Hadecki, Lowry and Marty Doe of all people that continues to impress with his irons and obviously we're not going to have the stroke scheme stats from Puerto Rico because they just don't give those out because they have no shot link. That's over there. When you're thinking about coming into the week, if you had to set the head to head between Scotty and Rory because that's what it's going to be

13:34in the head to head market, how do you think that you would price that? This is a good question. I would say Scotty minus 165. Okay, so easy. And I mean, and that I think makes sense to me, like this week when I went to go find it at Bay Hill, it was Scotty minus 220 over. Yeah, which seemed kind of crazy considering that they obviously Scotty's played Bay Hill really well in his career. But so it was Rory. So that that seemed like a really big number to me, but I was in Florida, so it couldn't bet it anyway. So they'd made no difference to me. But I think that you're going to see those odds shrink a little bit, almost regardless of how they finished this week. I agree. I do agree, especially Rory coming off of that win. Just the way the way they do, I think it's really 165 in terms of like implied value. No, I think it's a lot closer. But if you're asking me what the odds would be, that's what I would say 165. The next three, they're watching Tommy is next. Tommy's at 18 to one. He's firmly in this middle area. Now, Draft King's pricing gives him 10 three. He's 18 to one. We haven't seen a ton of Tommy. We've

14:35only seen him at least on the PGA tour at Pebble and at Riviera, both top 10s. I think he's finished inside the top 10 and every PGA tour start dating back to like the US open last year, although he did struggle through Dubai earlier on when he played back to back weeks on the DP World Tour. The player seems like the for years, I would say that a lot of guys, this would be their crowning achievement. Obviously, the fifth major quote, it's not. It's just a very high end tournament that you can win. But for a lot of guys that never end up winning a major, be it culture, be it stricker. There's a bunch of them that when you look at it was Sergio for years until he finally won the Masters. Ricky is another one to add to this list that this is almost the the major championship for the guys that are never going to win a major. Doesn't that sound like Tommy? Oh, 100% sounds like Tommy and do I think he's never going to win a major? I'm not saying that, but I do think what you're saying makes a ton of sense. And at the end of the season last year, he kind of became TPC Tommy. If you look at some of those, some of those end of season results

15:35before he, uh, before he won at East Lake. So I think this is a perfect golf course for Tommy. And I don't think that's a hot take at all. He's been first round leader here before. He's got a few good finishes before nothing absurd in terms of course, history. But I also think with Tommy Fleetwood this year, 2026, he's going to get into the mix at a historic rate. No more of that like backdoor top five Tommy Fleetwood action. Like truly be in the mix on the weekend at a historic rate Tommy Fleetwood. So I'm all the way in on Tommy. So so you're that this is like when we're thinking about how the bets are going to look and we're I'm not going to commit to any bets because I'm not going to put any in until the board resets on Monday because I don't think that in less Tommy goes out and dominates at Bay Hill that his number is going to get any worse than 18 to one. In fact, it's probably going to end up getting better. 100% and I think he got off to a slow start in around one at Bay Hill too. So, uh, hey, Tom, Mr. Cut for me. Why not? Mr. Cut and we can get a nice number on you going forward. I love how that that that's always the thing. It's like you're trying to you want the better number. So you want them to play poorly the the

16:39week before. But then if you just objectively look at it like you're going back with you hadn't really paid any attention. You're like, oh man, he missed the cut. I don't know if I can bet him. Yeah, it's it's such a stupid game we play with ourselves. And that's why we that's why we do it. But that's why we do it. Uh, so Tom, uh, if you listen to this, play, play better Bay Hill. So Tommy's there. Then you got Zander is the next one. He's the only one that's currently listed in the 20s. Obviously, I think a lot of people are going to make a move down there once the odds get reset. Like someone like more a cow if he continues to play strong golf. It only takes one from Ludwig like a really good performance to shoot him back up the board just because that's the type of player that he is that he can slip quickly, but he can rise easily at the same time. So a lot of this is going to be Bay Hill dependent. But Zander comes in at 25 to one, $9,600. He has the one runner-up finish in his life at the players championship. And I believe that was fueled by an albatross in the final round that he ended up getting there. And I think it may have been the Web Simpson year. He was non-competitive and actually winning, but he did end up coming T2. I have never really

17:41loved Zander in Florida. And that's kind of where I'm at with him is that just whenever whenever we get to Florida, I just don't really think about him all that much. And also in 24 he had that year when Scotty made the whole out when he was leading after 54 holes when he ended up finishing running out there as well. But I kind of agree with you. I'm not in on Zander this week. I'm a Zander truther. I like defend Zander a lot. I just don't think he's all the way there yet. I've been pretty solid with my Zander radar the past few years. And he's one of the guys. I'm not good with anyone. But Zander, I feel like I know. And he just doesn't feel like he's all the way there yet. He's just like close, but not there. Hopefully, I can see good things from him in the near future. But it's like not the energetic and happy and talkative Zander. It's like a little lethargic, a little bit of a belly, not nearly not playing with his best friend Patrick as much as he used to. So I just think someone's off in the Zander camp. And I feel bad for that injury

18:42after he came off those two majors because I think that could have really skyrocketed his career. And sadly, we have like a year and a half little blip. So hopefully he can get it back. That's why he's been very good across the board, just not excelling at any one thing. It's a lot. His numbers actually, when you line them up, look a lot like the current day cheflers. Yeah, I 100% agree. And a thing that we do at Vincerex about Zander is that we created a term called all green Zander. It's just when someone is playing average, playing a little bit above average in all categories, like for years. That is what Zander was. And he was just all green Zander. Nothing flashy. Just solid across the board. And he's slowly getting back to that all green Zander scenario. But when he was winning, he had one of those stats pop. And we haven't quite got got there yet. So all green Zander, I think we're his back like T7 at Genesis was that. If we can get one of those stats to pop, then we're then on business for Zander. The all green brigade right now. But it's most of the guys at the very top of the board. So here's

19:44the all green moment. I mean by that, like when you log on to the rabbit hole, you'll get red or green. You're either above or below what the average is for the PGA tours. Zander's on that list. Sheffler, Rory, Jake nap, who I guess we'll have to discuss here in a minute after his WD at Bay Hill. Nikolai Hoigard, Tommy Fleetwood. And that appears to be it. That's your green. Actually, no, Pearson Coody is the other one, but very marginally, along with Ryan Fox or the other two. Okay, make sense as we got to note for sure. And I think that after this week, when we take a look at the numbers, Coody might not be there anymore. Yeah, rough week from Old Pearson. Rough round one for Old Pearson. He did the latest that I saw. He did birdie one on Friday. So maybe you can get it back into gear. It doesn't take much to make the kind of Bay Hill. One good round might be able to wash away the sins of a plus six open, your first trip to the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The last guy on this list is Hideki. And he is the fifth in odds coming in. Obviously, he was the first round leader when the COVID year got called in 2020. This feels like

20:47it should be a really good course for him. And when I start to play it back in my mind, obviously, he's never won here. He does a lot of his damage, like masters and before. And we've seen this with a lot of players. I mean, do you ever talk to the players about this because Nick Taylor is another one? Obviously, as the one swing season win, but the majority of his PGA tour winds have come from January to March. Hideki's trending in that same boat as well. Yeah, that's a great point. I've never quite talked to the players about like, like seasonal golf. But with Hideki, I think it doesn't make sense for him. And he had his best driving accuracy week since the hold here, since the entire 2026. The last 25 stars is best driving accuracy week, which is massive around TV. He's our grass. Do I think it's sustainable? I guess we're going to see a little bit more about Bay Hill. But I don't really want to be touching Hideki with the three yard miss that saw grass could end your week. And him, he's got those three yard misses in the bag. I can promise you. So if he can have the driver in line, he could have a great week.

21:51But I do agree with what you said. He's becoming a seasonal golfer and we're in that season. But I don't know if I could trust the off the tee stuff with Hideki. It was better last week, but I don't know if I could trust it. It was better at the genesis. It was better in round one at Bay Hill, though. The approach numbers have start to slip. He was in the negative after like leading the tour. He was he and Seewoo above everyone else for the first five weeks of the year. Then all of a sudden, he takes a dip at genesis. He took a little bit of a dip at Bay Hill as well. Obviously, way different approach ranges coming at Sawgrass versus the two daunting lengthy courses at Bay Hill and Riviera. But you don't have to hit driver at Sawgrass. Maybe this is something you have been out there. Obviously, there's those long power fours that you do really to make them a little bit less daunting on yourself. You're going to have to use the big stick. But I'd say for most like at a major championship, you're going to have to hit driver everywhere unless it's the open championship, depending on the course. But the players, you can go one or two ways. You don't have to hit driver if you don't want to. Yeah. And that's a great segue into a point that we

22:57created at at at Sawgrass. And Adam and I shout out Adam Kirk, DG Bedding, Vincerex Golf. We have stupid nicknames that we just create from being there. And when we were at Sawgrass, we created this term called positional bombing. Contradicts itself doesn't make sense. But what it means is if you're able to hit fairways and gain a little bit in accuracy, you can give yourself a massive advantage to the field, getting short clubs into greens. And the birdie rate if you're if you're doing that is high. But the bogey rate if you're missing a little bit is also high. So the variant that's why the variance at Sawgrass is just so big. If you could positionally bomb and at a high rate, you will have success. So there actually was a little bit more drivers than I thought. Like I was like, oh, it's a positional course, shorter courses, hit through it all all the time. There was more spots, especially due to the wind where you had to just hit a great just hit a great shot into the fan, hit the fairway. And like there's no hiding at Sawgrass. Like it's it's narrow, it's claustrophobic. You need to be able to positionally bomb your way around the whole course.

24:01So and the numbers bear that out for me. You're a go as well. Taking a look at the course level stats inside the rabbit hole again. Code Sawgrass. Get it for a dollar this week. Highly encourage you to do that in 2002. That was here. The Cameron Smith one with all the weather guys hit driver 47% of the time off the tee. The year after that, when Scotty Sheffler won his first of back-to-backs, it was 59.5%. The last two years at Sawgrass, the Scotty win in 2024 had a 68% driver rate last year was around 68% as well. So guys are feeling more comfortable hitting driver here at least in the past two years, but the conditions have been much better the past two years as well. Yeah, I mean, shout out mountain technology for that, but in terms of driving, feeling more comfortable, but I agree. Like there's there's not really a world where you could just take the driver out of the bag. I just hit three with all over the golf course. Like it's still a PGA tour level length course that you still have to nuke it down there at times. And if you're doing it at the high rate

25:04down the middle, you're going to be in business. And you need to score on these power fives. And if you're not hitting driver well, you're not going to score on these power fives. And if Rory, I mean, Rory won at 12 under Scotty won at 20 under and 17 under. So it does feel like if you can get to mind it, you probably sign up for minus 15 right now is probably going to be the win unless something someone just plays out of their mind all week. Yeah, and we've seen the weather be really nice recently. I know for the Rory year, there was some some some troubles, but the Scotty years, it's been pretty pre open season where if you're hitting fairways, you can get low like any other golf course. So I do agree with that. And it makes sense that it was dipped down in 2023 because there was a big rain delay that year. So when guys came back onto the course, I think they actually played preferred lies for one of those rounds as well that obviously that there's a much bigger advantage of hitting fairways if there's preferred lies versus not who was the guy that you were going on about with we were talking about it. It was it was Nico etch of Ria who he's the king of preferred

26:08lies because you had watched him in all these practice rounds at any time that like you just see a ball next to the pin and sneeko, isn't it? Yeah, just you don't give him a clean lie. Everybody knows that do not give Nico etch of Ria a clean lie because it will be next to the hole. He proved that didn't he proved that for sure and we got shirts coming. So get to the Windsorx merch shop and they will they're nice. They are nice. If you're a Nico etch fan, you're going to laugh at these shirts. One other thing to look back at the past champion since this tournament move from May to March that we did have some like wonky winners. I would say like Web Simpson. Good play. He was top down in the world at the time, but Web Simpson, Seawoo, Jason Day, Fowler, Kymer, obviously Tiger at his win KJ Choi and Matt Kutra. KJ Choi is another one. That would I guess be on that list of like very high end players that made that made the players championship the big like notable win of their career. But since we have gotten to March with the players championship, Rory, Scotty, Scotty, Cam Smith, Justin Thomas, that's a pretty elite list of players. Are we crazy for thinking

27:13that someone from down the board wins? No, like we've seen golfers get into the mix down the board. We've seen golfers strokes away from winning. Tom Hogue almost backdoored it. Seawoo came, wasn't necessarily a staple name when he won it. This golf horse does not say no to anybody. You don't have to be the longest golf worker in the world. You don't have to worry about where a skill set. If you're minting fairways, getting hot with your irons, you can get into the mix. It comes down to having Stroke's game dog on the weekend to make it happen. This is a massive stadium setting, a massive golf setting. Not everybody has that dog in them to finish four rounds at Sawgrass with everyone looking with Scotty Shuffler in the mix, with the top names in the mix. So it comes down to getting yourself there, then having the will to finish it. The next five players, five to ten on the odds board. Seawoo was actually up next. He is 32 to one. So was Colin Morecala. I'm guessing by the time we get to Monday, Colin's going to be a head of Seawoo. But here we are. Ben Griffin and Russell Henley are both 33 to one. Justin Rose is 36 to

28:19one. And you can see the big discrepancy in some of the draft Kings odds for these guys as well. So 9300 for Seawoo 98 for Colin 83 for Ben Griffin, all despite being right around the same territory of players this year. Seawoo and Colin, even with Rose's win so far, Seawoo and Colin on a per round basis have been so much better than the rest of this group. In fact, they're more in line with Zander and Hadecki than they are of the guys behind them. Yeah, I do agree. And this is a lot of, this is an interesting range here because with Colin, he's going to be probably the most popular golfer. He's going to be one of the most bet golfers because this has been Colin's spot for so many years that people will like, oh, how could Colin not play well at Sawgrass? Now he's coming in with, I guess, the best form he's ever came to Sawgrass in with. I maybe, I don't know if that's a fact, but you might be able to tell me, but I think I'd be going to someone else in this range. I want to look at Russell Henley because I feel like he's forgotten. Like, yeah, he won Beheal last year, he hasn't played the most golf this year. And I know for a fact, as of last year or a year and a

29:25half ago, I spoke to someone in Russell Henley's camp and they're like, he's only got I think three to five more years out here. He wants to retire early, live on a farm and just be Russell Henley. So I think he's really going to go out. He's golf courses that he knows he can play well at as hard as he possibly can. And the stats aren't necessarily great for Russell Henley right now, but this is definitely a Russell Henley spot decent around one at Beheal decent number. We know he could win. So I want to look at him for Sawgrass one more go. So to take a look at his players results over there, they're not you think that even before Russell Henley leveled up and became a guy who people took seriously as a top 10 top 15 player in the world that the players championship would have been a really good spot for him. Another another guy who does all of his winning between January and March by the way that that's that that's Russell Henley season. And the past two goes for him out at Beheat at Pebble Beach. I believe he was okay at Pebble Beach. He's pretty bad at Riv, which is never really what you want to see coming into any sort of week. But the players in the years like he doesn't have a finish inside the top 10. He's been playing it since 2015. It worries

30:30me a little bit. Although last year was kind of his best ball striking that he ever ended up with here. He gained off the tee, gained on approach, gained 1.2 strokes with ball striking per round and ended up coming T 30 in 2022. It was 2.08 on ball striking and he came T 13. It just seems like it's never all lined up for him. And I'm kind of with you. I'm thinking about all the different courses where Russell Henley really can separate from people. And this really should be the one a place where you can rely on your wedges more than having to hit it close from 225 feet all of the time. You need to be accurate. We know that Russell's accurate. I'm kind of with you. I like him more than the Rose and Ben Griffin part of this tier. As you mentioned, like this course is Taylor built for more Akawa. Eventually he's going to win a players championship when no idea. But Russell Henley makes a lot of sense here. And if he does, he's at 33 to 1 right now. Unless he is sniffing contention at Bayhill, he opens at 40, 45, 50 in like three days time. 100% and I'm happy with everything that you just said in terms of the ball striking not being

31:33great. If it was great, he'd be 25 to 1 at the player. So it's not just like, oh, you're playing really good golf. You win. Guys dip down and pop. So I would be okay if he just plays fine at Bayhill. And we get that 40 or 50 to 1 because if it was perfect, he would be a number I wouldn't want to touch. Seawoo Kim is that number for a reason. He's been playing great golf to kick off the year. Obviously he's won at this course. He's a Pete Dye Maven, another guy who's won Sony, players, AMX, let loves an early season run for Seawoo Kim. I'm thinking about betting him, like even the past few weeks when the numbers have dipped at Pebble and the Genesis, it was mainly all putting related and this is what you're going to get with Seawoo. He's going to be a crappy putter until the week where he's not. And he's actually one of those few guys that you don't need him to gain eight strokes putting. You just need him to gain like two because the rest of his game is so far along and this course is the perfect fit for him. The irons are amazing and he hits every fairway. That's what you want. Just make some pots please. Yeah, I mean, irons are amazing,

32:36hit every fairway. It's not rocket science. Why can't I do it? Seawoo, like I hate going to a Seawoo at a number so short, but he's proven to be able to at least like give you a sweat around these numbers. I generally just like, I don't know why. I just don't like a not necessarily chalky, but chalky Seawoo is a golfer that just scares me because we know how volatile he is. Like he could so easily make it eight on a whole one and like still play well. And I just don't really want to be a part of that at 30 to one. Like I'll pass. I'll pass. See, you say that, but I feel like whatever happened towards the end of last year, since we saw the swing season, the overseas, and now in the new season, I'm going to eat my words when he absolutely implodes, but he's been basically the most consistent guy out there. No, he has been. He really has been like that. He hasn't missed a cut. He gains. You want to talk about like the greens driving irons, chipping always all green. It's just the putting that comes and goes. I'm going to regret saying this. Out of most of these guys in this field outside of like the Scottish and the Tommies and the

33:41Rorries, Seawoo is probably your best bet to like wake up on Sunday and be like, oh, he's within three shots of the lead. If that happens, I will not be a part of it. I'll say I'll say that much. I will not be a part of it. I think that I am going to be a part of the C train. We're going to get going here with some Seawoo. Maybe a two time. Two time. I mean, Rick Flairs will be 38 time world champion Seawoo can be the two time players champion. That would be very nice. So that's where my lean is right now, especially if guys of this range. And if Colin does suck up most of the oxygen, be it on draft Kings or even in this price range for the betting board, I could see Seawoo starting to slip a little bit because people will inevitably go back to that talking point that you made that I could just see him going in the water 800 times or putting himself out of the tournament. Definitely on the table, but this version of Seawoo does feel different than the other ones we've seen. Yeah, this is as consistent as Seawoo's. I think ever been coming into this

34:42area of the season, I would argue even more consistent than he won. So he's confident. He has a great caddy. And he's like even even recently, I've noticed he's practicing with Scotty Sheffler. Like he knows that he knows I'm Seawoo. I could do what I want now. And he's going to practice rounds with Scotty. Like he's the at Phoenix. He's like one, two in the odds board having practice rounds with Scotty and in the cool kids club. So Seawoo knows he's a smart guy and he's confident. It's showing. So will I get there? No, but the confidence is showing like you're saying. Who do tends to like play with each other? Are there like the secret friendships that we don't know about that you always see certain guys around other certain guys? I wouldn't say there's many secret ones, but like the ones that you know are so true, like Xander and Pat, Bridgman and and God are up Scotty and Burns don't really play that together because Burns is miserable. Burns is a miserable guy. He does not want to be with anyone. I think it's just because the golf game is not there. He knows I can't beat his best friend. I can't beat my best friend Scottie. So I'm not going to play with you. He's always played solo. And then the all the Georgia

35:47guys play together. Like the the C Island guys they always play together. The we call it the go dogs group. And I'll top my head. That's probably it. If anyone else pops up, I'll throw it out. All right. Yeah, you keep riffing in Novak. Gryffin in Novak. It wasn't. After you win the Zurich together, I guess Shane and Rory would be the other ones. Yeah, them too. Yeah, they play together for sure. Do all the Brits kind of play like Tommy Rose, all those guys Bobby Mac probably in that mix. I know all the Canadians tend to play together, but no one cares about that. The Canadian they you can't separate them like the Canadians are literally like wound together. But Tommy plays with more of like just like the overall Ryder Cup guys. You'll play with it or the Taylor made guys. Not necessarily just only the the Brits, but Tommy usually plays with like one round. It'll be the Taylor made and then one round it'll be like Ryder Cup. It's winter and it's cool. At least where I'm at. And I'm spending way more time indoors AKA. I'm sleeping more. If you're like me, it's time to upgrade your sleep and switch to Helix. You'll never go back.

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38:53sexual performance the same way you should support training and recovery naturally and intelligently, joy mode has got a deal for my listeners. Go to tryjoymod.com slash mayo or enter mayo at checkout for 20% off. Joy mode, the electrolyte packet for your dick. Tear number three, Cam Young leads this one off. He's 36 to one. Hovelin is 39. Bobby Mack, Robert McIntyre is 40 to one. Godorep is 41 to one. As is Patrick Cantley and their draft Kings numbers fluctuate all over the place. For example, Hovelin's 9,100 in the millionaire maker this week and Cameron Young is 8,100. So the best value on this board is going to be Cameron Young. One of the things that I extensively write about every single year is the connection between the window championship and the players championship. An ungodly amount of players that have won the window have won at the players. I'm guessing that's why the Cam Young has been up on the odds boards all year. This doesn't seem like a course where you'd be

39:57like this takes away all of the best skills that Cam Young has. But we've even seen some of these super bombers just dial it back here and it really places their strengths. Min Woo is the first one that comes to mind when I think about this where where would be a good course for Min Woo. The sawgrass might be last on the place. I totally agree. And like he's played well at the cognizant classic tour of the Haunted PGA national makes no sense in my opinion. Like. So maybe this is setting up for Cam Young. Everyone bet him before the season like always going to win the Masters. He's going to win the US Open. Everyone has essentially jump ship on Cam Young. This would make the most sense in the world. Oh yeah, he wins the players would no one bets him. Yeah, I mean, I could see Cam winning Cam Young winning four majors this year like you literally not even joking. But I'm so in on Cam Young at wedge courses. I remember it was 2022 2023. I was not doing any golf content or I was just a fan going there and I saw Cam Young hit 10 straight 100 yard wedges in a bucket on a range and I by no means a range reporter. I

40:59think watching golfers on the range like in terms of predictive is like useless. Obviously they're a professional golfer. They're going to hit good shots. So also when when you see those range reporters on Twitter, they don't know what that we're talking about. So Cam Young did this and I was just mesmerized by his wedge play. And then forever I was like Cam Young on wedge courses, Cam Young on wedge courses. That led me to Cam Young 70 to one at the Wyndham to save my season last year. So I am so in on CY at sawgrass around sawgrass. If he could just hit fairways, positional bomb. He's a great positional bomber. Give yourself all those wedges. I am 1,000 percent it could be a lock on my car. Now that we've started to parse over a lot of stats, the old opportunities gain metric, which is still on fantasy national. If you want to use it, we have now bigger buckets for those at the rabbit hole if you want to do it. So we have a we have what we call scoring sets from each range. So inside percentage of shots from certain ranges inside five feet inside 10 feet inside 15 feet. I'm guessing that the biggest scoring will be between that 100 to

42:00150 range because there is enough holes at sawgrass where you can run it up and really leave yourself with whatever range that you're comfortable with. But you could also go to the 150 to 175 bucket as well. So good news for you and Russell. Anyway, even so far this year through his struggles. He is number one on tour. He hits the ball inside five feet at an 11 percent clip from 100 to 150 yards and the other notables in this range are Greo, Nikolai Hoegard, Alex Noren, Tommy, Okshay, Billy Horschl, Wyndham Clark, Smotherman, Seawoo. They're all up there right now. But as we start to drift down the board a little bit and take a look at Cameron Young, his 100 to 150 hasn't been strong, but once you get to 150 to 175, 175 to 200, he's at the top of all these lists. But he also hits his wedges farther than a lot of the guys that we just talked about. Right. Yeah. And I love talking through this now because like that's just building a chord in my head. Like I feel like I could just start like Tommy Russ, Cam Young, guys that I liked in each range and I feel like I could easily fit on a

43:02chord. So Cam Young's talking to me, that Russ Stacks talking to me and I don't got to be sold on Tommy hard. So we're off to a good start. You're off to a good start, but you just name three guys who historically don't win tournaments. Oh, that is the nature of golf betting for all of us. That is what we do it for betting these losers. Like it's our job and it is our job. It truly is our job. So I'm in. Sign me up. Hav one Bobby Mac, God, Rapp and Cantlay are the other ones. I don't think anyone's going to go to Cantlay. So watch and be first round leader. That would just make the most sense here that he played so well here last year, too. And they're in the career. Yeah, he played so well. He made a double, I think, on whole six after having a nice start. So it's tough to backhand. Yeah, God, Rapp is very interesting. If conditions get really bad and super windy, I think God, Rapp has now elevated himself above everyone on tour that. If it's windy out, just Chris God, Rapp's got a chance to make a move here just with how low he hits the ball. 1000% and he's becoming so much more of a complete golfer as the weeks go on.

44:07He's had weeks where he's gotten into the mix, like losing strokes, putting. He's had weeks where he's gotten into the mix, losing strokes on approach. That doesn't happen. And if you're a special talent like that where you could, I guess, get by and he's clearly proving to be that guy. So I'm all the way in, all the way in on Chris God, or up a friend of the program for sure. So I want to see him succeed big time. I don't know if it's going to go for me here. And then Robert McIntyre is just kind of sitting there. He made a, I had him, I had him in this tournament last year. I think he came T nine had one bad round and it took him out of contention. But he's just been kind of hovering around the middle of all of these like great players so far this year. It hasn't really made a move outside of the opening event at Sony again in bad conditions. So again, another, another good bad conditions player along with Chris God, or if we see that the weather is going to be gusty and full of rain or something, maybe Bobby Mac ends up becoming a bit more of what you want. But this course on paper seems like it should be really good for him. Yeah, definitely like a medium enough for difficult conditions. If he gets that approach

45:11play going, I would be more inclined to to touch Bobby. But it's been, it's been a week. I don't want to go to someone who's losing strokes on approach in four straight starts. I'm not sure what they're going to do it. But he'll obviously, but it's been, it's been slow since Hawaii. Be one thing if it was, I think that's the context that you need to give some of the stats as well. Be one thing like, oh, he's losing on approach. Like we saw this with Straca at Riviera that he had one really bad day. But I believe he gained on approach in the other three rounds. It's like, yeah, he was negative for the week, but it was one really bad round. Let's call that outlier. It's going with Bobby like he minus five minus five minus two. It's been a real struggle. Yeah, yeah. I don't know how much I want to be a part of that right now. But I'm a Bobby Mac guy. I think he, if they, if they somehow make the TPC sawgrass or make the players a national open, which I think they could, they could find a way to make a national open, then he would have a much better chance. Yeah, you could call it the America open. Yeah, why not? Let's just do it. There's the US open. That's a major. The players is now the America open only so we can let this

46:15Scottish guy have a chance to win. The only reason I'm in on it. I'm in. Next tier of guys, next five. We got Mav McNeely at 43 to one. Ludwig is 45. Fitsy is 46 to one. JT is 48 to one. And JJ Spawn is 49 to one. Obviously, JJ Spawn lost in the playoff to Rory a year ago. And just a quick check in on what Justin Thomas is up to at Bay Hill. His around the green has been really good. Unfortunately, he's had a lot of chances around the green because he's not hitting greens right in fairways. Yeah, I was not really too impressed with what I saw from JT. And I don't think I expected to be too impressed with what I saw from JT, especially three weeks back. His or two weeks back his first week at TGL. He basically told us I have no expectations, especially around Bay Hill as literally one of the hardest golf courses in the world. I just want to get out there and get some reps. I'm not trying to win this golf tournament. So that's kind of what we're seeing. I'm not putting this seven over round against him like I'm happy he's back. And it's going to

47:17take some time for him to get back. And Bay Hill saw where it's not really a place I'd want to start. But I guess that's what he decided to do. It's where the timing lined up. So hopefully he figured out soon. He needs to I mean, he's he's playing these tournaments. We can get ready for the masters. Like I even have 48 like you would look at it. Me like if you saw anything from JT 48 to one for JT at a course where he won four years ago. We know talent wise probably still a top five to fringe top 10 player in the world when he's right. But he's not right. He just missed six months. Yeah, no. And I don't I don't blame him for playing poor golf like to shame that what happened to him. He told us he had his dad is obviously like double his age walks around with a cane. Never had a real back in problems. He had nerve problems in his back. And he said it was like a weird genetic thing that he's got unlucky with. So sucks that that happened to him. Hopefully I mean, we see stuff like this DRL people's careers big time. I pray that doesn't happen to JT. Yeah, it's happening to Zalatoris right now. Oh my god. That one really hurts. Like he's right

48:19above my shoulder. He's been my favorite golfer my entire. Since he's came out, he's been my favorite golfer. And I hurt it actually hurt me to see him like not play genuinely. The other guy is around here like fits as having the best year of these guys by far, but he can't put anymore, which is now a real problem as someone who watched him hack his way around Bay Hill, round one, but ball striking wise, no one has really been better. Like the stats that he's putting up are it's like he stole Scott. He's a monster. Scottie Sheffler and became the Scottie Sheffler ball striker, but he didn't do it at the right time. He like, if you're going to steal Scotty skills, steal Scotty skills from like a year ago, when he could putt, he just basically stole Scotty Sheffler skills from three years ago. Ball strikes the hell out of it and misses every eight foot putt. I don't know what is going on with him on the Greens, but if he has the bad week at Bayhill, listen, I don't really need to be talked into betting fits. This is something I've been doing all year to very little success, but I do think this is a really good course for him. 1000% I'm definitely in on fits. I think going forward, I am so impressed by this tee shot he has

49:24going and it's the same fits laid off quick over the top swing, but it is on an absolute string and it's so confident. It's a low fade. If it firms up a little bit in the Bayhill, I sorry, at the Sawgrass fairways, he's going to have a week and I am not worried about the putt. I mean, I'm worried about the putt. I can't say I'm not, but like he's matched with Patrick. He's one of the greatest putters like when he's going well as one of the greatest putt. I feel like it's going to come back and I know you've probably been saying this for so long, but what he's doing with the ball striking is just so tough to ignore. And I've got first where you don't have to get to 27. I would be inclined to give fits a real look this week. I just love what he's doing off the tee. Especially if he has, even if he makes the cut at Bayhill, squeaks through, comes like T30 or something you're going to end up with. It starts right now, 200 through four. Okay, well, unless he wants to come back and win, why don't you pump the brakes there, Maddie fits. We can get you at 65 next week instead of 45. That would be plan one on this. The other thing I did want

50:26to throw out too is that if you play in the race for the Mayo Cup one and done, you can always make your picks on the fan ball app. We have a new game that's launching over there. I've been tweeting out the screenshots of the five by five. You have $15 of salary. You just pick five guys. There's going to be an exclusive Pat Mayo contest on the fan ball app this week. So go check that out. I think I don't know how much it's going to be to play. I think it's like 20 bucks, like three max. It's not going to be a huge tournament, but it's something that we want to build Matt because we can use the same system to create master spools for everyone. That is interesting. Matcher spools are fun. Everyone loves a good master's pool. Yeah, definitely. I want to know more about that. So what did you find it on your on your page? Yeah, you find it on the fan ball. So go download the fan ball app and you'll find it. It's called the five by five. It's the same place where you can go to fantasy golf championships.com to make your picks for the one I've done. You can also do it on the fan ball app. You can play this game exclusively on the fan ball app as well. I mean, I was looking for more, more ways to black off. So that's good. Yeah. So I think those will be out on Monday if people are looking for it.

51:27Two guys in this range like McNeely's like whatever maybe McNeely can win. Maybe he won't. I don't take him seriously at these odds. Maybe I should, but it feels like he should be double these odds. Yeah, I mean, I'm a mav. I'm not, I wouldn't say I'm a mav guy, but I don't mind mav. The odds I feel like we could do better. Like I would weigh right. I would go fit 10 times out of 10 in this range over these guys. Ludwig, I feel like that's someone for you to talk about what's your thoughts on him. I love Ludwig as well, but um, uh, so this, this range is all, all fits for me and spawn. I think I don't, I don't know if I mentioned it to you in the app TGL, but I don't think he cares about golf anymore. He talked about his US, his US open win. Like he literally said, I don't, I don't care what happens to me and golf. I'm a US open champion. Like more power through you, I'd probably say the same thing after I wanted you as open like I'm a US open champion like whatever. He doesn't care. So it's, it's fits for me in this range. He's been actively bad this year. Like he doesn't care about, he's not, he might be cornferry now. Like if it wasn't for his exemptions, he doesn't care. So out on, out on spawn. Ludwig is interesting. I'm on Ludwig

52:32for Bay Hill and I don't bet Ludwig very often, but long hard courses is a, or where I want Ludwig. Hardcore sawgrass. Yes, but you have to score. It's not very long. Like the thing that he does the best, long irons and driving distance, doesn't super play a sawgrass versus where it really over indexes at some of these other courses. I do agree. And I, but I, I am also in on Ludwig at on shorter courses too. Like when at RSM, when at Cranes, Montana on DP World Tour, when he gets hot with those wedges, he gets hot. I mean, he's a special talent. He's like complete game. He's Ludwig. He's the robot. I don't think there's a bad golf course for him, but I do agree with you that the golf course like Bay Hill, like Torre Pines, do, he can really separate better. He could separate better, but there's no realm where he can't play well around sawgrass. Good week here, at Bay Hill so far. Hopefully it keeps going for you. And for me, I'm a Ludwig guy. I bet I'm often I would bet him like every week if I could. You can, you're a lot, you're allowed to do that.

53:37You can bet him anytime you want. Even when he's not playing, you can bet him. No, wow. I have to do that going forward. I do not know that I was. I will take your action. If you want Ludwig versus a field where he's not at, I will book that action for you. I'll note it. I will let you know. He's been, you mentioned with the wedges, you're right. It's like it's either awesome or poor. He is negative versus all the players in the field right now this year from 100 to 150, but he's over from 150 to 175. He gets even better versus the field from 175 to 200, even better from 200 plus. So the par five scoring should be there for him, but it's even in round one at Bay Hill. A lot of that was just him making a bunch of pots. Yeah, I mean, but look, you got to make the pots. You got to be in position to make the pots and he was in position. So when it goes well, it goes well. So happy Ludwig found something to hopefully carry on. Yeah, but he just won't be getting my money at least in the outright market here. He was eighth of the players championship in his debut. That was two years ago. He missed the cut a year ago. So just classic Ludwig stuff. It's going to be a high end performance or he's

54:40going to be actively bad. Agree. Agree. Anyway, I guess we'll have to see how this then this week plans out. Funny that you mentioned Seawoo as like the volatile guy. Ludwig's far more volatile than Seawoo right now. 1000%. And like, I would say like career wise Seawoo has been overall a volatile golfer. And I don't think you'd argue on that. But Ludwig is becoming that this year. And I feel like he's just been downright bad. Just not great. And he's found something this week, which is good, which is good. We found something round four or actually rounds two, three and four at rib. It's just round one was so terrible that it buried him for the entire week. So it kind of hid what he was up to. So hopefully this is the new park is everyone's going to love him at the Masters. He always tends to play really well at Augusta National that the lead up to that might be what we're looking for this next range of guys. This is a fun one. Lowry burns Jake nap Brooks and Minwoo 50 to 55 to one on each of them. Nap is way down on the draft Kings board

55:42for pricing 76 kept his 78 Minwoo is 75. Whereas Lowry and Burns are in the mid to upper 8,000. So a much different discussion about them in the outright betting market versus how they're going to play in the fantasy game. But of these two guys, nap and Lowry have been really, really good. Minwoo's been pretty solid as well. Burns and Kekeke had been way down. But I feel like and I'm not alone in this. What I saw out of Kekeke at cognizant is exactly kind of what I wanted to see at a Brooks that was starting to come back here. Yeah, I do agree with that. It's starting to come back and he showed some things on the Greens too, which is great. There's no reason he should be this poorly on the Greens, especially in Florida. He's grew up here. He lives here now. But I'm not a Brooks guy. I'm not a Brooks. I need to bet Brooks all the time. This range would be Lowry or nothing for me. I don't necessarily even love that. But it's just with Brooks. I feel like I will never get him right. And I feel like I never know where his head

56:45is at. I know it's the players championship. I know he wants to win. He never doesn't want to win. But it's like, how much is he going to get up for it? I can't, I can't be in the Brooks. Six starts at the players championship in his career. Brooks has never finished inside the top 10, coming off a T9 at the cognizant classic where he gained a stroke T-degree per round that was coming off the cut in Phoenix, where he was pretty bad, but still gained T-degree. And they gained two strokes T-degree at the farmer. So when his three starts back, his T-degree has been very solid, actually made a few pots at the cognizant, which was encouraging to see. And I think that when we get to the narratives around Monday, you'll get whatever happened at Bay Hill in Puerto Rico, Brooks isn't at either one of these tournaments that when people start talking about who's this mid-range, like 50 to 70 to one guy, I can see a lot of people gravitating to Keppga. Who's this Brooks Keppga guy? I feel like I've never heard of him on the odds board. I'm going to click him. It could happen. Good, Evan. NAP is there too. But NAP has not ingratiated himself well to the at least draft Kings community

57:46after his WD on Thursday. After the round had started, thus taking him out, I believe it was a stomach issue for him. He just couldn't go. Yeah, I'm on the jick nap on Sirius golf or train. I am not betting him either golf course like this. I bet him very rarely. I bet jick nap one time of my entire life. I do not believe in his ability to get it done on a golf course. That's Sirius. I do not think Mexico is Sirius. He literally was win-clarking 18 US Open every single hole and hitting the entries and getting insane kicks. It comes down to his golf swing. His golf swing is purely for Instagram. There's a reason why professional golfers don't swing at such slow tempo. And it goes under the gun. That doesn't work. Clearly, it does not work for Jake NAP. We see how poorly he performs in round fours and round threes when he's near the lead. So I am out on Jake NAP. I don't think he's Sirius. Minwoo gained an approach round one again at Payhill, too. Should we just bet Minwoo? Maybe this is just one of the courses he likes?

58:49Heights. If he could find fairways and he'd get hot with the wedges, that was a really solid approach round at Payhill. And that's not a course I would ever think Minwoo would gain 1.3 strokes on approach. That might be one of the best approach rounds of his career in terms of difficulty. Approach at Payhill is difficult. And that might be one of the best approach rounds like relative to how difficult the course is. Very impressive stuff for Minwoo, in my opinion. Very impressive. So three runs of the players. He's made the cut every time. Obviously, he was in the final group with Scotty when Scotty won three years ago. He ended up coming T6. He was T20 last year. The thing that really sticks out to me about Minwoo, looking at his sawgrass numbers is he's played it three times. He gained 7.7 strokes putting the first time. He gained 6.6 last year, lost with 0.06 the year in between, but gained a bunch off the tee. He actually had his approach as well last year. The chippings always going to be pretty good for Minwoo, but he seems to have these greens figured out. I know how volatile Pudding is. I want

59:52to get your take on this because no one can really give me a good answer. I just choose to think, you know, when it fits my narrative, I go with it when someone has gained a bunch of strokes somewhere over the years. I'm like, yeah, it's Pudding. You can lose tomorrow, which is true. But when you see two huge spikes from him in three starts at a tournament, it does lead me to believe that maybe he has something figured out here on the flat surfaces. Yeah, 100% and I don't think it's a really about surfaces. It's about like reading them. I feel like if you have a good eye for X-Green, you have a good eye for X-Green no matter where it is in the world. We see guys put well on Vermutera, bent grass. I think Poe is a little bit of a different thing, but if you go to a golf course and you put well there, you see the lines well, or your caddies, he's the line well. I think that's a real thing too. If you have a good caddy who knows, like we see, for example, Taylor Moore's caddy last week. He's a Florida guy. He was Alex Molle's old caddy. Look at the Pudding splits in this area of the country from when he's been on the bag. It's real. They're really

1:00:52good. I think just seeing it is more important than the surface in my opinion. So Min Wu had a bit of a tough go on the approaches, despite them getting better at the cognizant. But again, when you take a look at it, he lost 4.2 in one round. That was in round three at the genesis. He was actually positive in the final round, positive again at Bay Hill, very positive at a shorter course at Pebble Beach. Do you think Pebble Beach is a pretty decent corollary to this place based on the types of shots that you have to hit? Obviously, Pebble Beach is a little bit easier, and you have to go make as many birdies as possible, and there's less danger lurking around that course. But with the way that you have to score at Pebble Beach, do you think that makes a lot of sense to take a look at that versus Saagras? Yeah, driver wedge. I will say Pebble Beach is far less penal for for a misferrey or a small miss. I was in the narrative this year of, like, just send it off the tee as far as you can at Pebble because their rough was so meaningless, and you heard Rory say, I'd almost rather be in the rough, it takes all the spin off.

1:01:53So that's not the case this week, but I guess blueprint wise, you want to, I guess, driver wedge it. You have to be far more precise around Saagras, though, far far more precise. Well, I only say that too. You see this starts where he's played four times so far. This is minwoo. Genesis, you know, T12, a lot of that was chipping and putting very bad approach week, good driving, you know, because he can send it. Same as that Phoenix. He came T28. He just sent it off every tee, gained a bunch driving, lost on approach, lost on the greens, but at the two short courses that they've played, gained a bunch on his approach at Pebble, gained a bunch on approach at American Express and the two weighted rounds that we saw there that almost like you, you mentioned with Cam Young, I've been on the Taylor Pendruth good at short courses for years, type thing. Despite everyone, he is a bomber, but he plays the short courses better. Cam Davis is another one who tends to play better at short courses is minwoo secretly, unless it's a pure hit it wherever you want and drive it as far as you can course, like when he won in Houston last year, maybe these short courses like rain him in a little bit and allows him to use what he's

1:02:55actually good at on approach. 1,000%. Like I do, the answer is hate it wherever you want course, but if there's then there's a long course or a short course, I do not, he's average at absolute best mid-aligned player. Okay, wedge player and a poor long iron player in my opinion. So yeah, a shorter course will suit him better if he's hitting fairways. The one thing he does have, which is different than long irons, is he has that trad stinger off the tee. Like you're not hitting that into a green and it's a different swing than you're trying to hit a high long iron. So he has that fairway finder off the tee and he used that a ton around a sawgrass around like I guess short course where you have to find fairways, then lean into that wedge play. So I do agree with that statement. And his putting is good enough that he can make. He doesn't need to be the guy who's inside five feet every time. He can for whatever reason, he just kind of makes like 15 to 20 footers. He can make enough of those. We've seen it. The putters have been hot recently, real hot.

1:03:59So maybe I don't know if I'm going to get there at 55 to one on them, but I doubt that's where the number ends up. Yeah, we got plenty of time. We'll see how Bay Hill pans out and that number can drift. Alright, let's wrap it fire through the rest of the field now that we're 55 to one plus. The next here is Michael Thorvjornson here is English Ricky Keegan and Jason Day. This is 55 to 65 to one right now. Again, coolbet.com. If you're in Canada outside of Ontario, go hit the description, get that bonus, get the fastest payouts and the biz plus. Once I figure out who I'm betting, we'll get a boost on all of those players in the PME exclusives tab. It's English or Ricky from this range for me. Okay, for me, I think it's stored, I think it's stored perpetuity. I just like the talent in perpetuity, but Ricky, I also don't mind. I think if there's a golf course for Ricky to pop on to do it again, it's definitely, this is the spot. He's proven to do it for here. I didn't wear the orange for nothing. Actually, I kind of just put it on. But yeah, Rick is a

1:05:00golfer who I feel like he's getting more confident as the weeks go on. The stats aren't quite like 21 rocket mortgage, but they're not glaringly awful. So I don't hate that Ricky call. Ball striking wise, he's been awesome. It's the chipping that has sunk Ricky so far this season to not give him any really high end result, but T18, T18, T19, T28. The approach play is great. The driving's been really good. The putting's been good. Just dude can't chip, which is really strange for Ricky. Very strange for Ricky. And it's crazy how like just one small weakness and like even it was chipping, it just sank, sank you so much. And Ricky probably knows he's close. I can't wait to see him. I feel like I haven't seen him that much this year outside of TGL, but I want to see him next week for sure. It's a guy that I need, need eyes on early in the week. So the other one, like I mentioned, would be Harris English who he kind of hits your four quadrants type player. He's slightly above average at everything in golf.

1:06:01Yeah, Harris English. I saw this week at Bay Hill. He put in a new golf ball this week and he seems to be glaring over it. Like he really likes it. And I feel like we see that all the time where a golfer will win and like they'll be like, oh, what'd you do? I changed my golf ball like a two weeks ago. I changed my golf ball last week. I did one small thing and golf is crazy. You know how insane like golfers are. It's one small thing. You just make so much more confident. And he changes ball to I believe he went to an X from a left dash or the other way around. And whatever it is, he seemed really, really happy and likes what he's doing. So I want to see how those numbers line up after Bay Hill to see if it made any of a difference. But Harris English new golf ball looks looks solid. The other thing with Harris English is he's longer off the tee. The ball speed is up and his he's getting way more strokes off the tee than at any other point of his career right now is bad at Genesis. And that was the first course it was bad at. And he was gaining almost a stroke per round off the tee, which is crazy to think about. And like that's coming from a guy who's already like a good driver too. So he's just

1:07:04elevating that baseline tremendously. So I think that's I don't mind Harris. He can win on Bermuda. He's one of those go dogs guys. He loves, he loves these surfaces. Can play on a TPC course. Um, I like Harris. I don't mind that. Yeah. 56 to one right now. Again, probably so one you can get at deep or odd, $7,500 on draft Kings, probably a very good look. Next range, Seb Strakow. Well, there's going to be an auto bet that loses for me. He's at 66 to one, Rasmus Hoigard, Jordan Spieth, Taylor Pendrith, Jacob Bridgman. You talk about golfers in waves. Did Bridgman kind of peak and how it's all downhill for him until he gets back to his next peak? Um, I don't I don't know what the what the future holds for Jacob Bridgman. Shout out to him for pulling that out in Riviera because I didn't really see that coming at all. Um, he's so he's volatile with the ball striking. He's like, he's a camsmith type guy that he can gain 10 strokes putting in any week and just win no matter how he's hitting it. So we're sitting in good enough. Look out, he could just heat up on the greens. And we saw that from like a young age when he was on tour

1:08:07that he had that skill set, which is a rare skill set that not not a lot of guys have. Just the ability to get that hot on the greens. I can't wrap my head around it as like a human being, how you're just making that many pots, um, which he has. And like that never will take him out of a tournament. Strocca is here. 66. Again, watching him at Bay Hill in round one, he played great and then had one hole where he tripled bogie. How do you triple bogie a hole at Bay Hill and don't hit it in the water? It seems impossible. I could do it. Yeah, easily. But like Seb Strocca, I feel like he's been so popular in his last three starts. I don't know why he's being bet. Do you know why he's being bet so much? Yeah, I bet him every way. I bet him every week, because the odds don't seem to make sense. Like we just went through. Why is Keegan higher on the betting board than Seb Strocca? They just keep giving us these big numbers. And the ball striking is top notch. And you know with him, he's going to pop poorly, pop poorly, pop poorly, until the week that he doesn't. And the weeks that he doesn't, he ends up like top three on the leader board. Yeah. And then like you were right about that. When he won an amax, he was priced poorly. He was

1:09:09like 70 to one, like for no reason. So I guess ride the set wave ride the set wave until it doesn't work. Well, it hasn't been. It hasn't been towards. Yeah, we need to get, but doesn't this, doesn't this strike? He was a good strike. He can hit driver. He hits all the fairways. His approach point continues to be great. Can he chip and putt? Not really until he does. Oh, this is 100% of golf course. It's up to play well on like ThinkPGN national. Think any bermuda course. He's Strocca in Georgia. Like this is definitely a spot where we're stepping. I think it's a great number. So we're now into the range of guys that I really like. I can see that this sucking up a lot of my dollars this week. Oxey, Nikolai, Adam Scott, Pearson, Cudi, not so much Harry Hall. But I mean, I've been betting Nikolai for weeks now. I've been betting Cudi for weeks now, including their two terrible runs at Bay Hill. Oxey is the one who has all my attention here. Like this, he almost got it done last year, even when he hit the skids in around three at the players last year. He was able to play his way through it.

1:10:10Didn't get it done on Sunday. This is the closest he's been to winning one of these big, big tournaments. We just saw him falter down the stretch at Pebble Beach. I blame that on the cold. Anytime it gets cold, you probably don't want Oxey. I'm guessing. And I don't think it's going to be that cold at the players championship. No, I totally agree. I guess it's a weather thing with Oxey for me. Like if it's going to be windy, it's going to be windy, but it's going to be too windy. I'd probably be out on him. I always think this thing that we say with Oxey is hashtag too much slice. Like when he gets going off to see it's a slice. It's a nice little right to left shot, but sometimes it's too much to control in some wins and under the pressure. So, but good number. I'm not saying I'd be in at 25 to 1, 70 to 1. Sure. The dude is special talent. He almost won this event last year. Proud is playing fine enough golf this year. Like you said, almost one at Pebble, a similar skill set. Why not? 70 to 1. It seems like a good number. Till six. I mean, T3 at Phoenix too. Like, come on. Yeah. Well, I'm trying to think about the guys

1:11:14that have won this tournament. Now, it's all the higher end players again since the move to March that we've seen the very best in the world because it takes being the very best in the world and being good at everything in order to do it. But when you start like dialing back a little bit, and you think about the other guys that have had good showings or won the players championship over the past 20 years, the spike round approach numbers are kind of where you want to go with guy. Like the fact that Tom Hogi could play himself into a tournament. It's like, well, how the hell can Tom Hogi do that? He doesn't have fairways. He can't drive the ball. He can't really putt what's the one thing he does go nuclear with his approach play. Okshay's in that bucket. Okshay's for sure in that bucket. And there's no reason he can't do it again. He's only what, 23 Sky's. And again, this used to be a breakthrough tournament for some of the young guys. Like see, we won it when like 20 years old Ricky one super young Adam Scott one super one Sergio one super young. Okshay, you can just throw on to that list that, you know, when Cam Smith won.

1:12:15Obviously he won capital with that year. He won the players that he won the open championship. But we didn't think of him as a top five player in the world when he won. We felt that way about him at the end of the year, but going into the players, he was firmly in that like next tier of guys where who do I want to say like basically the same odds as like God are up is this week. The year that he ended up winning. I think he won at 33 to one. So he was right around that range of guys, not the truly elite. I don't know if Okshay will ever be a truly elite player. But I think he's in that conversation of the guys down in this range of who has the best chance to make that leap and become truly great. He's one of them. Yeah, 100%. You have to have those new things happen in golf. Like the best guys don't always just win. If that was the case, there'd never be new storylines. There'd never be a future. So like, for example, God are up. I had him 100 to one at the Scottish Open last year. And I remember talking with a friend earlier, they're like, oh, how could he beat? How could Chris God are a beat Roy and Skydy down the stretch over this

1:13:16overseas? Like it could happen. It hasn't happened. But it could like until it does, now he's got around like now he's the guy. And things have to happen like Okshay. He's not a truly elite until he wins the players until he mixes in a major like all those things could happen. Then we look back at it like, oh, I should have been in on 70 to one. So I have to get ahead of these things. And this is a great spot to potentially do that. So I'm going to go back and use the rabbit hole. Look at the past two years worth of data. And I'm in the floor ceiling under the view tab. If you've used code sawgrass, got it for a dollar. And you want to go do all this research yourself. I'm going to click over to Stroke's game to approach and find the players in the field who gain the most strokes. Three or more strokes on a round. Like that's a lot, right? Like to give some context to that mat of gaining three strokes in one round on approach. How good your approach play would have to be. Yeah, that's like truly joke stuff. That's like glowing onto the PGA tour app and seeing you're gaining 12 strokes in a tournament after the tournament's done. That does not happen. That is truly outlandish stuff. If you're gaining three strokes around on approach,

1:14:18you are so, so, so much better than the entire field in that regard. So that's something that like Skydish after we'll touch once in a while. A few other guys will touch very rarely. It's not something that you should be predicting or that will happen often. You're not trying to predict that it's going to happen often. But you can find out who does this the most. And when you start going through these names, you're like, oh, this starts to make a lot of sense of guys who can get tanned at this tournament. So Akshay on this list is number 19. He gains over three strokes on approach in a single round, six percent of the time. He and Keith Mitchell, actually, right at six percent of the time. The other guys in his range, Zander, Gerard, Hideki, Keegan, Rory and Rose. They're all right around that six percent margin. Now, Scotty gains over three strokes on approach in around 13 percent of the time. Way above everyone else. Next, Lowry, then Hovland, Moorakawa, Kidiama, JT, Hogi, Ludwig, Seawoo. Those are your leaders in this particular stat of who can spike with their irons as often as possible

1:15:23that are playing in this field. And if we increase that size to four and a half percent, Seawoo, Lowry, Sheffler, Moorakawa, I will give you a thousand guesses at who number five is on that list. Who can gain that many strokes on approach? It's a guy who loses strokes to the field on average and is weighed down in all these other metrics, except for gaining four. And he had like two rounds, I think, where he gained like 5.5 strokes on approach. Lucas Glover. Now, Glover is like pretty consistent. Brian Campbell. Oh my God. Brian Campbell. I would have never guessed that. Well, you win twice. If you win twice in a year, you got to do something well. Yeah. And I guess that, yeah. I mean, Brian Campbell. What a guy? What a guy? We're not against that. So I just found it interesting that like I think that spike approach play or spike putting would be the two things that you really want to hammer down on. Like that's usually a fixture of my first round leader model. But I think that it kind of like long term applies when

1:16:28you go back and take a look at who consistently can gain spike wrath, whether it's one in 10 times, one in 15 times, they have that ability in them. I think those are the types of players that I want to see, although it scares me that Lowry's sitting right there. Yeah. And I touched on Larry. He would be my guy in that range earlier like Schroeskin publics. He's high in that model. I'm in on Larry in these scenarios. I wouldn't say I'm going to bet on, but if I had to pick one of those guys, I would have picked Larry. So I bring that up because this next range features a few of those guys. Kitty, I'm a burger, Gerard Connors and Sam Stevens. I'm going to give it a big extracory Connors, big ex to Sam Stevens. Kitty, I'm a Gerard and burger. I don't know what happened with Daniel burger around one at Bay Hill. Where's this guy when I bet on no idea? Gerard, maybe Kitty, I'm a, just Kitty, I'm going to make sense here. I would probably be out on Kitty, I'm a here like I just bigger golf courses. He's one at what TPC Twin Cities and Bay Hill. This doesn't really seem like

1:17:28a kitty. I'm a spot in my opinion. I would go with Gerard here. Gerard would be my guy. People are going to pick burger. Reasonsy bias is a hell of a drug. He shot 900 at Bay Hill. Okay, he has to play well next week. That's not how it works. Gerard, still like he's hitting it fine enough. He hasn't popped yet. Rees popped early, but he hasn't like had that mega pop. And I think it could happen on a golf course like this. He needs Bermuda to put well and we're getting Bermuda. I think it's a great golf course for him. Ryan Gerard. Okay, so we'll keep Gerard in the mix, especially again, another guy that if it gets windier, the better he tends to play versus the field with that low apex height. He can kind of cut it through the wind unlike a lot of guys who hit super moon balls. Next range, Noren Keith Mitchell, Davis Thompson, Marco Benj and GT Poston. And I've been betting Noren for ages. It doesn't work, man. Yeah, I don't know. This is a tough range. I'm a Davis Thompson truth or two. I call him a stallion. I think he has gears that only top 10 players in the world have. Well, that may be true. I don't know how much he likes being a professional golfer. He looks absolutely miserable out there.

1:18:32Kind of looks like Cam Young before he started the win. Just a prodigy who plays because his dad made him play when he was younger and he's like, I'm really good at this. I'm just going to make money off of this. Davis Thompson kind of get that same sentiment from. Don't know how much he cares, but like the town is undeniable. I guess I'd pick him. He can't even compete in the Puerto Rico field right now. I know. It's tough. It's tough with Davis Thompson. Poston's an interesting one only because he has that wind and wind. I feel like he's been good here, but not great here over the years. Let me take a quick look at JT Poston. And he has not been good this year relative to even in years past. He doesn't have a finish inside the top 30 so far this season, which is very atypical for someone like JT Poston. But yeah, T22, T22, two cuts, T45, T35. And most of that was putting generated from JT Poston. Anyway, probably give him a pass. Have you seen much of Marco Penge when you've been walking around? Because obviously he popped a little bit

1:19:34at Genesis. That was the first time all year. It was new tour, new clubs. He was sick for a while. What do you see in from him? Yeah, I've seen some from Marco Penge. I will say no one's ever worn tighter shorts in a practice found in the history of the PGA. Hold on. You just saw me at TGL. Way tighter. Really? And it was impressively tight. Like those, he's squat and he lets us know that he squats. But no one wears short shorts mat unless they do a lot of squats. And yeah, more power to you. Like if I looked like that to you, I'd probably wear the same. He's been as advertised and he knows his game is full send, full power, full gear off the tee. Is that going to work everywhere? No, it's not. But he practices it like it will work everywhere. And I think that is the best possible strategy for Marco Penge. Commit to your bit. Commit to what you are good at. And he was hitting drivers and spots that no one should be hitting

1:20:34drivers in. But I want that. Like he needs to because in a week where it works, where he's just minting the fairways while hitting it, 700,000 yards off the tee, he'll get that top five week. And Rivera was a nice little, nice little course for him to do that and nice little preview of what could come. This is not the spot for him, but I've seen some great things from Penge. Just committing to what he's good at. That makes a ton of sense. So Houston, let's just fire him up into Houston. Let's do it. Yep. Pennsylvania now ball speed. That's all you need. The Houston open. Just sort by ball speed and bet those five guys and you'll probably find yourself a winner. Yeah, it's not rocket science at Morro Park. Yeah, just bomb and gouge. Unless you hit it into that, although minimum, I mean, he did put it in the water and he's still one. He almost hit that guy in the boat on 16 or 17 last year. That was offline. That candidate there. Impressive stuff. Truly, truly impressive stuff. So the Wyndham championship thing is interesting to me. So Cam Young was the winner last year. Aaron Rye was the winner before. Obviously not huge

1:21:36runs for them at the players championship. But just to go back over the years like Glover ended up inside. I think the top five here a year ago, he won in 2023. Tom Kim gained the most strokes on approach of any player in the field last year at the players championship. He was the 2022 winner. Kisner wins in 2021. He lost in a playoff to Ricky Fowler 2014. When we go back, Snettaker has made some runs here. Stenson has won both. Sioux has won both. Davis love has won both. Did Vijagas win the players or he win the Torch Championship? Now, I can't remember. I did not believe he won the players. I will double check why you go. He won the Torch Championship. Sergio has won both. Web Simpson has won both. So there's a lot of guys on this list. Not so much from the recent past, but Wyndham doesn't get quite the level of talent that it did since become the last stop before the FedEx Cup playoffs. But a few of these names are interesting to me. So I can handle as historically played there really well. So was Sioux. Adam Scott has come runner up at the Wyndham championship. He's another player's winner. Would you give any look to

1:22:36the Aaron Rye's of the world who's up next on this list? You know, just over 100 to 1 Wyndham Clark, Thoroughbjorn, Olison, Jayden Shaper. It's the first we're going to see of Jayden Shaper so far this year who's competing again down in South Africa this week. He's already won twice on the DP World Tour. So far this season, we're going to be seeing a lot of him next year on the PJ tour. He's in this field. And then you have Sungjae who's just 120 to 1 and back from injury with a lot less fanfare than Justin Thomas had. Yeah, this range I would definitely go with Rye. Jayden Shaper's pure driver putter. I do not want him at a golf course like Soggress. Definitely a fan of his game. He's like Bridgerton can heat it up. I don't know. Same clip on the greens. On Aaron Rye would be my guy here for sure. Fairways and green. Show skin, Wyndham for sure. So I'm not going to overthink that one. The next tier features to hit the gala. A bit of a bounce back here. Bez, Rico, Hoey, Brian Herman, Higo. Four guys who are like kind of down on their luck if the gala is trending back up. I don't like any of these. I don't like any of these either. Like unless the gala speaks it to success or

1:23:37Rory Macker or is it the success success from the prime draw. I that would be my only guy but I don't I wouldn't go down to these guys. Next tier we have Patrick Rogers, Mack Meisner, Christoph Riten. He's a tunne and Steven Yeager. Maybe he's a tunne. Maybe Mack Meisner. I'm such a slut for Mack Meisner. I don't know why. I Mack Meisner is all green zander. Rio is octane. I took at this event like 400 to one last year and he got off to a really good start. He's like 300 to 360. I'm like, are we off to the races with Rio? But Rio is a pure positional golfer. Like these are the golf courses where Rio needs like you don't they don't give out wins at the golf national and Rio conquered that place. And it's very very very similar skill set to TPC sawgrass. So all the way in on Rio, he doesn't know it's the player championship. He just thinks it's a golf course that fits his game. He doesn't know the magnitude of it. So I love that ignorance that he has. So I'm all the way in on Rio here. I think it's a great number. All right. Rio 150. We'll see if we can... I mean that's probably one of the ones that I want to

1:24:38play with the placements, whether it be the three and boost up his outright number or just try to grab like the eight places, even at a worse outright number because if he can just linger, that's a good situation for me. Sounds like he's a good first round leader bet though. For sure. Yeah. I mean, he's gotten off to some hot starts. Next range is Grazerman, Kevin Yu, our guy Michael Kim, Alex Smalley and Tony Finau. And the picture he used for Tony Finau, Jared. I don't think that's Tony Finau. I like Tony Jagger. I don't like this range though. That's for sure. There's actually no one that I would select here. Do you like anyone here? Smalley, maybe. Smalley, I don't like the new caddies got in his bag. I don't like. I just don't think Smalley can win. I mean, he can finish top 20. Sure. Smalley, top 20. Well, that's it. We're through all the players that we need to play. Is there anyone that we didn't bring up that you do think that we should give some special consideration to? Because there is one. And you and I talked about him. We were down in Florida. I've written about him all week.

1:25:41I have no idea how he's doing at the moment. But could Michael Brennan just hit driver off of all of these teas and hit every fairway? Yeah. Yeah. I wonder what his odds are probably like 300. Yeah, sure. There's a world to position a bomb. Position a bomb plus is also another term that just elevates the distance plus accuracy. And when he's going, he can get it going. And Michael Brennan is actually one of the guys. I had never seen him until PG National just a few weeks ago. And he was like, I was impressed. I kind of got the same feeling I get when I see like Ludovic. He doesn't look like a professional golfer. If you know what I mean, just builds athlete, modern. So I do like the future of Michael Brennan. He doesn't do anything else well. But is this a week where you could, I know he's never played this course before. Could you just luck into a really hot fire putting week the first time you come? And then the thing that I think about the most is that tournament in Detroit that

1:26:42Bryson won that year. We lost strokes on approach and he lost strokes around the green. It's going to be tough to do here against all the best in the world. But he gains so much with his driver and so much with his putter. It wasn't even close. It feels like Brennan can have weeks like that. Yeah. And especially since he's going to be if he's nuking fair, uh, nuking fairways like at a high rate, he doesn't have the ceiling to gain that much on a pro from where from on approach from where he's hitting it from. And if he's just hitting it to like 25 feet from 110 yards at high rate, he's not going to have scorched scorched scorched with approach numbers. But I'll have a scorched earth potting week. And that's the other putter build that you look for in these in these regards. So it could happen. I don't I don't think that's outlandish. I think he's over 250 to one. He'll he'll have my money. Fair. I do not think that is a bad take it all. And maybe he can just get it done for me in Puerto Rico this week too. And then I'll have unlimited money to bet on Michael. When you're hot and we're going, you're going right now. I would just prefer Christo Lamprech end up holding on to this win. If you if he wants to go wire to wire in Puerto Rico, I am here for

1:27:45that. I didn't even realize, oh, Christo Lamprech or. Oh, not Lamprech. Yeah, we're blanchett. I keep getting them. Okay. For sure, I bet on the right one. Right. Okay. Good. Because I was wondering, I was like, Oh, Christo had a good week. I'm sad. I'm not on that. But yeah. Blanchett. Blanchett. Is Christo one of the more fun guys to watch on the range? Mind blowing mind blowing. He looks like a circus clown there. It's insane to watch Christo just walk the course. You don't have to swing. When he does swing, he's a gears. I've never ashamed before. You if I would recommend you go into a PGA tour practice round and watching Christo Lamprech swing golf club. I wanted to bring up a few Wyndham championship stats before we get up here. I sort of by the past six years, average per round gained at the Wyndham championship again. You can do this at Betsford's golf.com code sawgrass. Get it for a buck this week. Highly recommend it. Cam Young. I mean, he just won. So no shocker. He's the best. He's getting over three strokes per round total on the field in his eight rounds at Sedgefield. Henley is next. That's in 16 rounds.

1:28:49Fitzpatrick, Matt McCarty, Mac Meisner, Billy Horschl, Jason Day, Tom Kim, Sam Burns, JT, Max Grazerman, Ludwig, Noren, and then Webb Simpson. So of those, anyone surprised you from that list? And of that list outside of Henley and Cam Young, who you said that you were in on, does that make you feel better or worse about anyone else? I mean, I like what you said about that list for the guys that I like, but also Matt McCarty was an interesting one. He's a guy who succeeds on golf courses where you need to hit fairways and driving accuracy at a premium. But at Boots this year, I've given him really bad driving accuracy reports. I'm like, he's not hitting fairways like we've seen Matt McCarty do that. So I don't know how quickly it could change. I want to see him find fairways again because if he does, this is a great golf course for him to play well on. So Matt McCarty is the one interesting name from from that list that I really need to like get eyes on and dial into more the next few days. I would guess he's likely chasing distance.

1:29:51That totally checks out. That totally checks out. I maybe I could ask him because that's a really interesting narrative that I could dive into in the Matt McCarty camp because his game his game is fairways, dude. You don't have to be the longest guy in the world. And we're even seeing that the pendulum swing a little bit back, like even the Bryson's of the world. Like Bryson knows, like I don't need to hit the driver 500 yards. I need to dial it back a little bit if I want to win on serious golf courses. So the pendulum is swinging back a little bit and I don't know if you need to be the longest. You don't, you don't necessarily need to be the longest, but you don't want to be as short as McCarty is if you want to have a legitimate chance at all courses. But when you see where he's done well so far this season, the result at Sony wasn't very good. That was because of an uncharacteristic bad putting week for him. He ended up coming T 55, but came like over two and a half strokes off the tee was gaining a bunch balls striking. So I wasn't too concerned about that. There's T two at AMX farmers T 20's been a worse sense, but even the approaches at Genesis

1:30:52were really good. I'm not talking about Matt McCarty as a chance to win this week, but you do need to round out a draft King's lineup or bet on first round leaders or a top 40 parlay or just even a top 40 single. He does and the courses I always like him at the most are ones where you can't, you get rewarded for firing at pins and sawgrass is a course where you do get rewarded for firing at pins. You just need to be able to get yourself into the position to fire at the pins. 100 100% and Matt McCarty generally hates those fairways and puts you in position. So if he could do that, if he could find the fairways, I think he could be that interesting first round leader, top 40 guy, 6K guy. So yeah, he's my guy from that list for sure. I don't think Doug Kim got himself in, but he was like Mr. Players Championship despite having no form. The one I will leave you with is Ricky Castilio as he likes to be called. Tricky Ricky's in the field here. We got the the shell necklace on the go. Like Ricky plays well in Florida. Yeah, they don't call him pukes for nothing and he is a Florida guy. Like he's national championship national champion at

1:31:56Florida as a gator. He's serious. I thought he was kind of like just a good putter, just like a guy who got around with a short game. But last year he proved to like put up some decent ball striking numbers and be a more serious golfer. I am 100% in on team Ricky Poox, team Ricky Castilio. I think he could be a could be a good target, not necessarily at fargrass, but just a guy to keep keep an eye on the next the next few weeks or so, the next few months or so. Like Ricky's going to be Ricky in this week like Ricky Fowler 74 Ricky Castilio is going to be $6,200 in the millionaire maker. Like if you're using Scotty who is $3,000 more almost than Rory, like if you want to build Scotty lineups like these are the type of guys that you might want to consider if you want to get other access to other good players because it usually like just looking at the early draft Kings build for Scotty throwing Scotty got $7,100 left and the rest of your team is going to be like the same as everyone else who uses Scotty. It's going to be Minwoo, Fowler,

1:32:58Burger, Keith Mitchell, Sam Stevens, something like that or Michael Kim or I mean we didn't bring up Nico Etch of Aria who in theory this should be a great course for. Yeah, I think he's going to be a really popular bet like just hit fairways and his week will go how the fairways go. If he has a clean lie he will play well if he doesn't then he won't. Like I literally at PG National practice round on Tuesday, Nico Etch of Aria drove it into the bunker on whatever whole. Went to the ball, picked it up, put it in the fairway. He knows like I know what I'm good at and I'm going to practice what I'm good at. I'm meaningless in the rough. I'm meaningless in the bunker. I'm probably going to miss the cut. Put the ball in the fairway, get really good at what you're good at and nicky nations don't give him a clean lie and that's his X factor all week. I went through those top end approach players again. He is on that list for the spike rounds, especially this year. You probably don't want him. We saw what happened to him at Bale. I think

1:33:59he was like six under on the front nine. Then he gave it all back in three holes. You can't ask him to win a US open, but the players does seem somewhat attainable for his again very specific skill set. He doesn't need to be super long off the tee that can help him at fairways, runs hot with the putter half the time and he usually runs pretty hot with his approaches. He can spike. I could see him winning this tournament the same way that see who won his tournament that year. And I would not be surprised. I don't think anyone would really be that surprised if a nation has gotten into the mix again. So I'm down for sure. The other one who would pop up on that list for me. I mean, we didn't really talk about Adam Scott all that much. I mean, he and Okshay are kind of right around the same range. You have your followers and handlies, but sandwich in between that very cheap on draft Kings and a player that we know has been good on the DP world tour. Has been pretty good since coming over this year, not so hot at Bay Hill after sneaking into the field when nap got out. But if how how Tom's hitting fairways again, if he's hitting fairways, he's another one that you just want him at pins stocking tournaments. Yeah, I think I know it early, but I think he's got the low round of the day so far around Bay Hill.

1:35:03He is currently three under. Yeah, he's got the low round of the day at 1031 Eastern time on Friday. So how Tom gets in the field and he's got the head down. So I agree with that. It hit fairways and then he can go go for all these flags. Is he someone that would have your interest here though? Like would you or is that or we now just beyond we're through the looking glass when it comes to this? Yeah, I'm not I wouldn't I wouldn't have any interest in how Tom, but like honestly, when I go out there all the weeks, like I think the massive separate and massive important thing for the people that subscribe to the site is like finding these guys that I give good reports to $6,400 in below. Like I'm not necessarily going to bet them or play them, but like if I see a guy that's like, oh, X guy looks really good with the ball shrinking. Sub three percent ownership. No one's even talking about him. Put him in your line up pairing with X guy. He finishes T7. You win $100,000. Like I've seen people I don't know how the people who retain the information on the ship in the ship at discord are so good at what they do. Way better than I I just like I'm good at writing the information down. The people who actually

1:36:06retain the information are so damn impressive. So shout out you guys into the ship at discord and ship at members. Like I you found these random bullets that I just give decent reports to and pair them in the right way and you you guys win. So I wish I could learn a little bit from you guys, but I guess I'll just continue to do my job, but that's a nice little separator that I like to find these bottom price guys like you were saying. So you can follow Matt on Twitter at Matt Gannon. You can check him out at ship at nation.com. Again, code sawgrass at BetspertSchoolF.com. Get your access to the rabbit hole for $1. Even just having the live leaderboard. Well, what's going on is going to make it well worth it if you want to do anything in tournament. And that goes beyond all of the tools that you have preparing for the tournament as well. I will return with the research show again this weekend. Then me and Jeff on Monday for the picks, the bets, the one and done and cuss might be in studio stopping by as well, to give his and her curse picks of the week in a mini cuss corner about golf too. So be prepared for that. Me and Blickel and Tambo on Tuesday for the draft Kings picks and I'll wrap it up with

1:37:08the final word with Keith in the live chat on Wednesday evening and then cut sweats live. As long as the baby doesn't come, I'll be doing cut sweats live on Friday as well a huge week for the players championship. So please sub to the channel, turn on those notifications, smash the like, additionally subscribe, rate and review the Pat Mayo experience audio podcast on Apple on Spotify. That goes so far into helping this show. All right, I'm Pat Mayo. Thanks for watching. I'll see you next time.