Yesterday's Storm Was A Big Dud

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2:02So yesterday there was a lot of weather panic that didn't really pan out. Didn't materialize. There were a lot of warnings about, you know, there are going to be EF2 tornadoes touching down. And I think there was a tornado citing that I heard yesterday. Somebody tweeted us a picture. I know that around noon I was at lunch. Right. And Dylan and I were sitting at the bar and there were a bunch of TVs in front of us. And it looked like north of Frederick there was tornado action. I think there's been one or two sightings or whatever. Maybe more little ones and they did happen and they do happen occasionally. The problem is that it seems like with each sort of potential weather event, we are just typing them up so big. And what really threw me about yesterday is that of course I don't expect these people to predict the future. I get it. They're the normal human beings. They don't, you know, they can't predict the future. I get it.

3:02But there was some, I saw some reference where there was a 15% chance it could get to this N5 or whatever. And I just was always like, well hold on, it's a 50% chance. Okay, so that's like 85% chance probably not going to happen. And they say this kind of situation potentially happens in this area three times a year. Well, I've lived here 50 years. So that's been through this 150 times. It's never been this kind of panic. And it's just like we're ratcheting up the panic. And we were, it looked in effect my life that much. I did go out on the Valdese's recommendation. I stacked up my chairs, felt stupid doing that. Stacked up on my chairs. Hold on. I don't understand why I'm not blaming you. I just, I'm just saying I went out. I did a little proactive stuff. Right. I don't understand why that's over. That's so bad. Well, I just, because I've never done it before. I didn't think I needed it. Because without respect, it's a waste of time. Hold on. Are we that lazy? You can't take five minutes out of your day to stack chairs in case the wind blows everything over. I don't like it.

4:02It hasn't hit your car or your neighbor's house. I don't like it. That's never happened before in my 50 years. I've never had a chair blow into anybody. You've never had, oh no, you've never had like an umbrella get uprooted at the beach from, from a strong wind or anything. Okay. But I'm not the beach at my house. And my house, my deck furniture has never flown off or anything. I know, but I'm not saying it's the Wizard of Oz. I'm not trying to give you drill and shrapnel. I'm trying to give you credit. I did what you suggested. You were the responsible person. I'm not attacking you. I know. I just, I don't, I don't, it took five minutes out of your day. It did. I just saw you silly. I thought silly because I didn't think it would, whatever, but I know it's, you've prevented it. It's preventative. It's possible. It's something happened. So I did it. I stacked up the chairs. Now I got to unstack them. It's going to be another five minutes. It's way from all those putts. Well, it's just short. I don't like to do it yourself. I don't like to get gas on the left side of the road. I want everything to be convenient. I don't like to do anything out of the ordinary.

5:03But I kind of had this sense. I'd like to, all of us did it. I mean, it could be a disaster, I guess, but probably not. But because of it, you know, JP had to change his plans. He's one example, right? JP's fine. He's done a work at 10, but it changes your life. People that have full-time jobs had to figure out day care, right? Because the schools were off. And so it really affects all of us, sure, when, when they, when they go hard with these predictions, it would particularly hurt me. And thank God for this guy, Matthew Capucci, who apparently used to work at Fox five. He looks vaguely familiar to me. But he, he put out a video I retweeted yesterday at Metacolpa and he's like, I just wish all would do. He said, we screwed this up bad. And here's why. And the thing that really connected with me is he said, we could tell by about 8 p.m. yesterday that it probably wasn't going to develop. Yeah, I saw that. That's the part. I saw the same video. So just be transparent and say, okay, there's a 15% chance, okay, that's a serious. Okay, that could happen one in 10 or less, but they were they're all in with their

6:05scare tactics. But they were all in with everything else, everything canceled, everything all in on the, on the, you know, the 50%, but he said by 8 p.m. He knew we didn't have whatever it was. The humidity, whatever it was to develop a pressure. Right. There was a good chance it was going to be a dud. It was very likely it was going to be a proflation. And they already knew that at 8 p.m. the day before. And then, you know, just make us aware of that. You know what our, our problem is is that the word tornado is so scary, right? But, but in this area, they're so infrequent that we don't know like the difference between a tornado watch and a tornado warning. That's definitely a factor. We just hear, we just hear the word or the phrase tornado warning should know the difference between the two. I know, but we hear, we hear tornado warning and then all of a sudden we start freaking out when it's been cited in the area. The warning is worse than watch. The warning is, yeah. Watch it. Watch it. Watch it. It's possible. Nobody likes the tornado word. But to be fair, that wasn't what I was particularly, I was just concerned about these

7:05wind bursts that were going to come out of nowhere and God, I know what was going on. I'm going to mow down my trees. You know, who knows what's going to happen? And my deck chair is going to go fly into the neighbors or there's going to fly into my house. Like, I don't know. But because I've lived here for 50 some years, and I know that real tornadoes around here, they don't really happen at all. They're pretty rare. They're pretty rare for them. Yeah. Maybe one every five, 10 years or something. Right. If that were something like real, other than a little spirally thing, touching down for 10 seconds, it really didn't hurt anything. Like the college park one that traumatized us all, well, that was a real, that was a real one. That was a real shit tornado. Yeah. But very, very, very rare. I just wasted years ago. That's a legit tornado. I just wish they would be a little bit more transparent about the likelihood of it. And then as they see that, okay, this is probably not going to develop the way we thought. Tell us. But then why would they do that? Because they want us to check in and they want the numbers, they want to close, let

8:07the school systems in on that intel and information so that they, you know, the people that are making that decision can be like, you know what? Maybe we don't need to let school out early if it's not going to be, we can make it game time to see. Yeah. Right. Well, in their defense, I mean, I guess they kind of figured it out between eight and nine o'clock, but hadn't art everything already been, can't remember when they canceled because you got to give, you got to give parents the proper time to, to figure out the schedule right. But sometimes if you can remember when we were young, I can remember times where we would get let out of school early because let's say it started snowing at 10 a.m. and you're surprised and they say, oh, you know what? We're going to let you out early. Right. Now, that can cause chaos. And maybe it's better to wait. The video you mentioned, I think, exposed something which maybe we kind of suspected is that there are certain things which sell on TV, a blizzard is going to sell on TV, a tornado is going to sell on TV. People are going to check it out. It's going to get good ratings. And what he was saying is conditions changed, but they didn't really want to change the

9:09sales job because then that hurts them. And there was still a chance that the tornado could happen. And there's always a chance that the blizzard can happen. So they keep selling it even though it's not going to happen most likely. And then most likely, it doesn't happen, which most likely, it's not going to, you just keep chipping away your credibility. And of course, obviously, we all have the same thought. One of these times we're going to get bamboozled here. True, but we've got a pretty good weather wise where we live. If you think about it and it doesn't really exist, we don't have earthquakes. We don't have mudslides. We don't have hurricanes very often. I mean, I know every once in a while we get a glancing blow from one. Rarely do we have tornadoes. Okay, it's super hot and sticky during the summer. And it can get cold during the winter, but that's, that's fine. It's part of where we live. We actually have it pretty good. As far as natural disasters go, yeah. We're pretty good. I mean, okay, maybe a few isolated spots flood in the, in the DMV, but not a lot. Yeah, we actually have it pretty good weather wise here.

10:09Yeah, I think so. But I just wish they would just be a little bit more transparent, especially as it's progressing. And then also, I would also like to emphasize more that, okay, this could develop. And it's very rarely happened that we have a four out of five, whatever, but that it's a 15% chance. Right. Like, emphasize the 50%. It just gets so excited too. Because these people, the meteorologists, and they go to school for it, but they get so geeked up for the possibility, I know, that that's going to come out on TV. I don't have hostility towards whether people, they're all nice people. But you know, I think most of them are just reading the national forecast or the Euro model or whatever, you know, they're kind of reading what's fed to them. That's unfair criticism. But in reality, it was a break. We caught a break. Yeah, it's good. Right? Because, you know, you don't want people to get hurt. The trees weren't racked. Yeah, I don't want. I don't want a tornado hurt somebody or wind, whatever, to knock down people's trees and

11:13tear their houses up. Right? I mean, he got a little windy for a while. I didn't have it. Yeah. There was maybe a little rain. Yeah. But for the most part, it was not. And it appeared. So I went in my sauna, like right at three o'clock, right when it was about to happen. And I said to my wife, I said, I think I could play golf. I think it's not a problem. Yeah. I think about it. I think about it going to sauna. And she said, are you sure? I said, look at it. My eyes don't deceive me. And, you know, either this is the greatest calm before the greatest storm ever or anything's going to happen. I was reddened, hunkered out of my basement, then I was like, why is this happening? This is minor. Then I will say around eight o'clock, nine o'clock, whatever, I was invested in something that I was doing. Well, wife said, can you turn the sun on? I want to go use it now. And so I turned it on. And then she calls me, she goes, it's pretty windy down here. What's going on? But windy. Yeah, I know. And I was like, I don't know. I'm not paying any attention. And then I kind of turned my computer down or whatever. And I said, oh, yeah. It was howling a little bit.

12:14And I will say my trash cans were knocked over. I drove by this morning and I saw some of those renta bikes were knocked over. Well, that's every day. That by the way, that is, that's an ice over here in DC. The lime bikes that are always lying down on their sides in the middle of the sidewalk, like in the middle of the bridge, I mean, they're all over the place. People are just disrespectful or the wind just blows them over. I think people are just, they finish their ride and they just throw the bike down. I can't, I can't, I can't say that I've seen it. That happened. But would you ever do that? Would I ever do it? No, you wouldn't ever do it. Probably not. But I would probably also never rent a lime bike. Well, if you lived in the city, Mike, I might, but you would, I've rented the lime scooters before. But I don't just trash it on the, the curb, I think most people just, you don't think they hit the kickstand and the wind just blows them over. I don't know. I don't know. I think most normal people would, would put the kickstand. I think most people just don't care. They, they finish their ride and you just throw the bike down.

13:15It's not their bike. What do they care? The, the problem is though, there's really no solution. It's an age old dilemma, whether people, you know, they don't have any magic, uh, potion or they have no idea. They're doing the best they can based on the information that they have. And we're just always going to have times where they completely with and on times where they, you know, with by over selling and with by under selling. Yeah. There's really no way of getting around it, but not held accountable. And there's really no way to hold them accountable, except for I guess you would say, I don't want a person to necessarily be fired because he read the Euro model that the whole country read and it didn't develop. I'm not suggesting that person should be fired. Yeah, but just they got to understand what it is. You know, you hear, uh, boxers or pole punches, like if the fix is in. They kind of were pulling their punches when 85% was nothing's going to happen. And they emphasized the 15% that something is nothing, but the most severe case wasn't

14:16going to happen. I'm using extremes. Right. Right. And also when the condition changed at 8 p.m., but nobody wanted us to know really that it was a little less likely. Well, maybe a lot less likely did, did anyone watch the 11 o'clock news at 11 p.m. I was, no, well, did anyone, do we, anyone watch the word of spread though, right? When, when I've assumed the word was spread that, oh, don't worry today, the, they updated the forecast. I mean, I would assume I would have seen that. I'm just, I mean, I'm just going based on Capuchi. He's a Harvard grad. And he said, listen, we blew this and this was why I don't, I just, I didn't watch the 11 o'clock news or we were working at the six o'clock news. I don't know. I don't know if, maybe something, if Tucker, if Tucker, yeah, corrected himself in the particular weather person, maybe we just, we just attack them and said that we, you know, that they're using this for ratings when we didn't really know what they said at 11 o'clock. It's according to the, to the one guy, I watched it was like a four minute video that I got put out. It was a long video and he said, I mean, he was generalizing, but basically saying all

15:21the meteorologists should have known this at this point and could have presented it, but they chose not to present it. Right. And essentially was saying the reason why you don't present it is because the other thing is like the headline news and it's, it's going to grab everybody's attention. So let's play up the thing that maybe is less likely to happen. But one, the one example I've given before, I don't know if you guys remember, it was probably 10 years or so ago, probably even longer. We did one of those rooftop sundress silly party, okay? And literally by the, when I was leaving my house, it said 100% chance of rain. Now I know that there's some cute fusion about that. It doesn't mean 100% it's going to rain the whole time or it made 100% of the region might experience some rain, whatever the, whatever it means, I'm always confused by that. It's a, it's a little nebulous to me, but when I see 100% chance of rain, I generally think it's guaranteed to rain, probably in my vicinity.

16:24I'm telling you, we didn't get one drop, we got the whole party in, it was amazing night. And so it, I don't blame the weather people, it just shows you, you can't predict, it's something you can't predict. I mean, you can predict it, but you're not going to be 100% you're not going to be anywhere close to 100%. But in this case, if you believe Carpaccio or whatever's name is, yeah, it feels like there was not honesty. It feels like there were a little disingenuous, a little sheepish, that by the evening, they had reason to believe it was very much less likely to develop. That said, when I was at lunch and I'm watching the TV, I can't remember what network it was on. I think it was channel nine. I mean, there was a lady there and there was a map and they were saying they had towns I've never heard of, North of Frederick, little towns. I mean, those, those towns, I think were full blown sweat in it. Yeah, you got to run to your basement at that point. And I always want there to be no big event. Don't want anybody to ever be hurt by a natural disaster, right?

17:26By anything, really, but you definitely don't want someone to be hurt by a tornado or a tree falling on their car or anything of that nature. And it did look like there was some big flooding, significant flooding on, I think 495 and 270. I know this for me and Gafersburg, it was just a typical day. Well, it wasn't a typical day for us because we kind of waited for the event for the non-event. My, my daughter came home at noon, didn't really plan anything. She didn't go do what she normally does because we had the event, the weather event we were waiting for. I mean, my kid got home from school early, but other than that, business is usual in the playing household. My wife, you know, didn't go to the grocery which she was going to go. She's like, my daughter was like, yeah, I don't go. You never know. Because they scared my daughter. She said, don't go. You might, don't, she was a three-night fall on you. She was going to go to the post office and it was like right around 315 or whatever, right when I was getting out of the sauna or whatever. And she said, mom, don't go, she goes, well, it's nothing, just don't go. We don't know. The post office. I mean, I took the dog. I took the dog.

18:26I took the dog for three or four walks yesterday. Yeah. I mean, it rained at one point, right? I didn't think that it was pretty much business as usual. Drabby, were you affected or not affected at all by it? I was annoyed. Yeah. Just a big let down. Your perturbant burger. Yeah. I mean, I wanted to see how bad it is. I don't know if the answer is. I mean, I just kind of figured. I just kind of figured it was going to be a nothing. Something. No, I just kind of actually figured that all along. Yeah. I'm like, I don't know. Here's what you should have done when your kids were little. You should have taken her outside during the storms. Like when she was four and five. So it was raining because I know the pickles, they get wound up about everything. And so you guys, like, hyperventilated and it projected onto her and now you want to immersion there. Yeah. Immersion there. Get her ready for it. I don't think my son has an issue. I think my middle daughter had an issue. I think she's okay. And my youngest. I mean, maybe I don't know. She's a little skittish about some things. I mean, Jason's so crestfallen about the non-weather red. He didn't show up for work. That could be the thing. I mean, look.

19:27Look at him. He didn't want to have to defend those. He's so upset that there weren't big fun to bring. I was saying that he called out Jason weather today. Jason lives in, he goes by with Asa. He loves him some weather that he has faith. There's a lot of faith in the forecasted business. I mean, he's also done tornado chasing. So he's probably destroyed. He's like next to sit on his porch and look at the weather. Yeah. He likes weather events. So you might have called out depressed. Depressed that he didn't have tornadoes. That could be it. Did you know there's the thunderstorms? Greater than zero percent chance. That's the reason why he maybe doesn't feel well today. He didn't want to defend weather people. I'm one of those people who will happily eat steak at eggs any time of the day. Breakfast, dinner, it's technically midnight, but I'm still hungry. Doesn't matter. There's just something unbeatable about a good steak hitting a hot pan. That immediate sizzle, the smell filling the kitchen and then topping it with the fried egg where the yolk is deep yellow and just barely runny, unreal, pure protein heaven.

20:28That's also why I love having Omaha steaks on hand. The steaks are incredibly tender, super flavorful and cook evenly, whether I'm searing them on the stove top or throwing them on the grill. It's that steakhouse quality bite at home. Omaha steaks has everything from their fan favorite filet mignon. Yes, the USDA certified tender one to burgers, chicken, pork, seafood and even fully cook comfort meals like beef pot roast or meat lovers lasagna for nights when you still want high protein, but zero effort. Get 50% off the world's best everyday protein. Go to OmahaStakes.com for 50% off site wide during their semi-annual sale. And for an extra $35 off, use promo code T-bone to check out. That's 50% off at OmahaStakes.com and an extra $35 off with promo code T-bone to check out. Terms apply. See site for details. Get more out of every mile when you share the ride to work. With carpooling, you'll have time to relax, save money and pick up new friends. Commuter connections can help you find carpool partners who live and work near you. Even if you're commuting just a few days a week, it's a free service.

21:28Carpooling. All are saved. Every friend made. Register for free carpool partner ride matching at commuterconnections.org or call 800-745-RIDE. That's commuterconnections.org. You're a pro at running your life. At committing to your workout. At showing up every day. At bombas, we're pros too. Pro is at making socks. Our sport assorbent has specialized socks for whatever sport you're committed to. Running, hiking, golf, pilates and so much more. Babes sweat wicking yarns, blister fighting details and targeted art support. Bombas sport is pro level socks from the pros of socks. For another pro, you go to bombas.com slash audio and use code audio for 20% off your first purchase. That's bombas.com and use code audio. I don't know. It's possible. I didn't want to defend Doug Cameron's good name because he probably sat you know, he probably poured himself a drink around three o'clock. Oh, yeah. You're waiting for that store to hit. That's a big nothing for him. Left. Left. Yeah.

22:28Left to deflate it. Whatever. Would you call you? I know. He texted at 430 and said, I'm not coming in today. Yeah. I'm taking a sick day. Yeah. Yeah. Whatever Jason is, I'm the complete opposite. I think about the weather. Not a lot. I'm kind of like you. I don't know. I don't know if it's 80 or 32. Just tell me the temperature. Just tell me the temp so that I know whether to wear a beanie or not. I'm only a little more conscious now because I'm playing more golf now. Sometimes I got an older, but I'm kind of that way also like with St. Paddy's day. I don't really know the holidays. Not really that important. Do you think it's more likely Jason called out weather or is like celebrate in St. Patrick's Day with his buddies? Probably the first. What do you think? He did last night. Yeah, I don't know. It's a good question. It's a good question. I don't know. But I don't think he's doing on a Monday night. I don't think they're like tailgating now. But maybe that maybe last night, like a safe, a safe paddy's party. Did anybody have a safe paddy's party on the night before? I don't think it's the night. I usually think it's the day of day of sleeping and be rested for the party today.

23:32Yeah, for his pub crawl. All right, when we come back, we are going to get into the Washington Capitol's youth movement. You may see one of their building blocks of the future as early as tomorrow night against the SENS. We'll tell you who that is and who to look out for when we come back. I'm one of those people who will happily eat steak at eggs any time of the day. Breakfast, dinner. It's technically midnight, but I'm still hungry. It doesn't matter. There's just something unbeatable about a good steak hitting a hot pan. That immediate sizzle, the smell filling the kitchen, and then topping it with a fried egg, where the yolk is deep yellow and just barely runny, unreal, pure protein heaven. That's also why I love having Omaha steaks on hand. The steaks are incredibly tender, super flavorful, and cook evenly, whether I'm searing them on the stovetop or throwing them on the grill. It's that steakhouse quality bite at home. Omaha steaks has everything from their fan favorite filet mignon. Yes, the USDA certified tender one to burgers, chicken, pork, seafood, and even fully cook comfort meals, like beef pot roast, or meat lovers lasagna. For nights when you still want high protein, but zero effort, get 50% off the world's best

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