The war with Iran

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What's going on guys? Welcome to another episode of Bro History at Henry Zimota and Danny

of Delgebar. What's up my friend? How are you? Tell them in, that's per usual. How about yourself?

I'm doing pretty good. I just didn't realize our last episode didn't go up because it was if

there was an error in it. Failure? Yeah. All right. It's been a while for a variety of reasons.

One being the technical issue of our last episode. Also not to bring my personal life up, but

I had my mother was sick. She's better now. She's back to normal now. That was a reason why I had

to take some time off. But man, we today is March 10th. It is 9.26 p.m. Tuesday. And I almost

hesitate to really talk about what's going on because things are changing too much. So much.

But obviously, if you're listening to this, we, United States is at war with Iran. Yeah.

And it feels very surreal to say this. We've been, I'm not surprised. How about you?

No. I mean, we saw the buildup. We literally called it. I mean, I think it was like a few weeks after

you had said on one of our last episodes, like, oh, next thing is going to be after the

Venezuela bit, you called it immediately. It was like Iran's next. And it happened. That's why I was

against it. We talked about Venezuela. And I understand the Monroe doctrine argument for the

intervention in Venezuela. However, my biggest fear came true. Maybe it's not related, but I

think that it is. I thought that after that victory, it went, it just went perfectly from a

military point of view. There were no issues too easy. Yeah. There were no issues. They just

basically found another person in the state. So there was no like civil unrest.

The country didn't explode. And I was like, man, that went, there was really nothing bad. There

was no consequence of that. And the media might back. We don't know what's going to happen

long-term. Yeah. Maybe there will be. But there was no immediate blowback where like the country,

there was a civil war afterwards and were a military disaster. Thank God. And my biggest fear

after that was like, oh, man, this administration is going to be high off this. They are going to take

this as, yeah. Yeah. They're going to take this as, oh, we can do that so easily. We can do that

to Venezuela. Why can't we do that to Iran? Yeah. And not to say that was like the total

cause of it. But I just, I saw that. That was definitely, it definitely contributed to,

to I think, I think so too, to the decision. But it's crazy, man. We've been talking about this

for many years now. So it seems, it seems surreal. I'm talking about this. I don't, I had never

predicted, I never predicted like a fool what's going on now. I don't think you really could. No,

neither could I. But I did predict. I did think that there was going to be some sort of conflict.

I still don't think there's going to be ground troops. However, that could change. I think the

military is against it. However, the administration is saying that it could happen. It does be prepared

for it. Like it shouldn't come out. It's not going to come out of nowhere. Yeah. What are your

thoughts? Like, how are you feeling about everything right now? I know it's a pretty broad question,

but I have to talk to you about this at all. No, yeah. We're doing this like super fresh,

super live. Yeah, man. I like you. I wasn't surprised. Also, it's just the buildup of all the forces

and the carriers and this and that made it pretty obvious when I heard that we were doing talks

with Iran again, diplomatic talks for a nuclear deal. I was like, oh, they're just going to do the

same thing that they did for the 12-day war just a couple of months ago and just use that as a

cover and then just hit them while they're having the conversations, which privately to myself,

I was I confirmed that suspicion. It's exactly what they did. But I think the thing that I've

been thinking about the most lately or a little bit technical, a little bit strategic,

a little bit macabre, honestly, thinking about like, how does this relate to the millennium challenge,

which we've done an episode on and was very interesting for those that don't know. The millennium

challenge was a military exercise like a war game that the US put on between itself, the blue team

versus a red team that was like some non-descript Middle Eastern country on the Gulf and a lot of

people obviously picked up what they're putting down. There was like a quasi simulation of a conflict

with Iran, but that was in 2002. That was 25 odd years ago. The stakes were different, but what that

particular exercise showed when they weren't rigging it for a specific outcome was that Iran

might not be able to beat us in a conflict, but they can certainly exact a whole lot of pain for

us. And I've been thinking a lot about the millennium challenge and how this particular war has been

playing out and seeing how it compares and contrasts. Wondering to myself like how Iran is playing

by that playbook, how they've learned from it, how we're playing by the playbook, how we've learned

from it. I think that's a lot of interesting stuff that we can chat about from there, but also

thinking a little bit about Operation Praying Mantis, which was an operation in 1988 that happened

when the US got hit. One of our vessels got hit with a mine in the straits, and we got super

pissed off, and then we just blew up a bunch of oil rigs that were used as military installations

and a couple of Iranian boats. But we did it all in one day, and just wiped them clean. It was a

pretty epic operation, but it was a targeted and very specific retaliation for a very specific means

rather than this kind of broad amorphous war, maybe not a war, maybe special military operation.

I don't know what you want to call it because the administration isn't being super clear on that

fact by themselves. Yeah, I've been thinking about those kinds of things, and I've also been

thinking about some of the darker objects of what if it escalates? What are the primary things that

can go wrong? How is this going to affect me? How is this going to affect the geopolitics

generally? Just all sorts of stuff. I have so many things to talk about, and some things that I find

ironic, some things that I find interesting, some things that I find fucked up. A lot of things that

I find fucked up, actually. But I'm pulled over to the place right now. I don't have any like one

central place that I've been focused on. Do you feel similarly? Yeah, it's a lot. It's hard to

part of me think this will not be a major moment. This will just be another footnote in the history

between the US and Iran. I would like it to be. Unfortunately, it probably won't. It probably

will change things. It may be the most significant event between the US and Iran since the hostage

crisis. It might be the biggest collision of all time. But we'll really see, you know, what's

interesting is we've talked so much about this trade of harmus over the years. Yeah. And what would

happen if the straight closed? Well, as of now, the street is actually closed. I think that

there's a handful of ships that are going through it. As of now, who knows what changes tomorrow?

So this could be completely wrong by tomorrow. But the last I've read was that the CNN got some

bleed. And I don't think CNN would lie about this. More than just CNN is reporting this. I

think this is corroborated. Yeah. That the Iranians are starting to mind a straight-of-harmus.

And the number that they threw out was 6,000 mines. And for instance, during the Iraq war,

I believe the Iraqis put in 1,000 mines in the Gulf. So take that 6,000 mines. And it took forever

to clear those out. So just think about how difficult that will be to, I know, what is

demine the street after that is all done. But I think the bigger risk is just how are you going to be,

how are you going to go, how are you going to sail through it? Like with the impending threat of a

missile or a rocket or anything happening, even if it's like a 5% chance, it's a 5% chance that

I think most people certainly wouldn't want to take. It's that much of a risk.

And just like the vessel itself, the oil that it's carrying or other products that it's

carrying, it's just depends on how much we want it or how much the recipients have said oil

and products want it. People like China might risk it because they need it. I was reading some

stuff about how if the straits were main clothes for any number of time, it's three or four weeks.

And China is going to lose like 50% of their of their energy grid because they're getting it from

Iranian oil. Other people that would suffer allies like Japan, Japan actually buys Iranian oil,

believe it or not, or buys oil from the Gulf out there as well. Regardless of which the Iran can

get, can't send out. Well, regardless, like oil sold on the, on the open market. So any disruption

and they're not, it's not just Iranian oil, obviously, like the reason why oil, UAE, oil, oil, oil, oil.

So the reason why I'm born in the world's oil and LNG shipments move through this

straits Burmose. So Saudi Arabia's oil refineries are all on its east coast north of they're all

on the east coast and they all the deep water ports that can, because you can just say like why

don't they use the Red Sea? The reason why they can't use the Red Sea is because the Red Sea

doesn't have, you can't construct deep water ports in a Red Sea. So the deep water ports are in the

east coast of Saudi Arabia and the UAE in Oman. That's where the majority of the volume comes from.

And you have to go through the strait of our moose to get out into the Arabian sea,

into the Gulf of Oman and then into the Arabian Sea. That was one of the reasons where some

analyst thought for the war in Yemen, because Saudi Arabia's interest in Yemen was being able to

construct a port in the Gulf of Aden outside because then they would just have more diversity of

where they could ship out oil and they couldn't have Yemen being a complete basket case.

They were never able to do that to create that port and now I know we're going to see what happens.

And that's like after a half million or more people dying. How many millions of people died in the

Yemen war over the years, the Yemen civil war, Yemen conflict. I think the official, I think the

number is around like 600,000, but who knows, it could be a lot more. It's hard to nail down.

Most of the people died of cholera and diseases and things like that. But that's they weren't

talking about. That's directly a result of the destabilization because of the combat.

So yeah, there you have it. And I don't know. I don't know what the US can really do right now,

because unless they just declare victory, unless Trump declares victory, which we thought he was

going to do yesterday, he said something along the lines that or he did say this for Adam, the war

is very close to being over. And who knows if that's what he's actually thinking or that was just

to the full of the markets and to thinking that there was going to be some sort of resolution

because at that time, the a barrel oil was but 106 or 109, it's shot up. It's been crazy.

The pricelings could hit 120. It hit 120 for a second. It came back down to 106. People are like,

okay, maybe this is maybe this spooked him into trying to resolve this, but I don't know if he

seems pretty committed. However, it's just it's really impossible to really get to judge him by

based off what he says because everything he says is just all over the place. You really can't

take anything. You have to take everything he says with a grain of salt. It's not their right word

with a just not you can't even listen to him really. You have to be judged by what he does.

Yeah, don't pay attention to what he says. Yeah, because he's there's I don't even know if he's

living in reality right now. But he seems like a little not a little he seems completely out of it.

Yeah, like he looks like he's melting. He really does. He's melting. Yeah, yeah.

And I said in mind, he seems like one of those Roman emperors who get syphilis and just

starts to go mad. Yep, literally the mad king now. Yeah, bar in the mall. Yeah, he's crazy.

He's crazy. There's no other way to say it. We very clearly something something's wrong there.

It's what it's just the it's the combination of just like pure fox news and

mark Levine and and people like, you know, having Jared Kushner as your son-in-law and having

Niden Yahoo visit you every three weeks. Yeah, it just eventually you're going to start to think

exactly like him. If he didn't think exactly like him the entire time that we he was a politician,

which you probably listen to the question that that's on my mind a lot and I keep thinking coming

back to what is the causes belly like what's the reason why we go after this and I think you hit

the nail on the head by saying you can't listen to what the administration says because it will

frequently and as rapid within the same breath as what they're saying one thing they'll say a

completely different thing or do a completely different thing. So it becomes really hard to figure

out like why was this necessary. So I started thinking about that a lot and I'm going to try

and word vomit as much as I can, you know, what I'm figuring out. If you think about the 12-day

war in 2025, right? On the US, you know, and Israel did their joint operation against Iran and

we sent over those B2 bombers and hit Natans and Fordo and all the other nuclear sites and

at least the stated aim on that one was a little bit clearer even if I thought it was bullshit

in the first place. It was to hit their nuclear facilities and stunt their capability for producing

enriched uranium. As it was reported and as many people have stated, I ran because they were out

of the JCPOA had been enriching uranium to higher and higher levels and they had gotten I think

was 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium which is a lot and it's very high but just as a side note

there, you need to get well above 90% for it to be like weapons grade. Notwithstanding though,

it's a dangerous sign and I think we can think about it in a number of ways my personal take is that

they're probably just using it as a bargaining chip to say, hey, look, there's nothing stopping us

from doing this because y'all killed the deal. So we're going to continue to enrich this uranium

to higher and higher levels until you start getting scared and then decide to do a deal with

us so that we can go back to normal like we were back in the JCPOA. That's my personal take.

Maybe they were building fissile materials to make a bomb because they're fucking crazy.

That's also equally possible but I just I think the earlier is probably more likely. But then when

we look at this war though, right, this conflict isn't as clear because when we got out of the

last one, Trump said that the nuclear capabilities of Iran were completely and totally obliterated,

which again, just got to eat my own words here and say, you can't listen to what he says because

bullshit 99% of the time. It clearly wasn't and then later we find out through reporting after

the fog of war that dust settled that it was probably delayed, we probably delayed Iran by a

year or two, right. But the big point was that there was 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium that

is just missing and it wasn't clear if we destroyed it or not. So we were scared about that. But

coming into this one, the first the first reason why they said that they were going to do this was

because they were like, oh, there are two weeks away from making the bomb, which is a joke like a

running joke of ours. And in general, that BB will always say that we're soon that Iran was super

close to making a bomb for the last 30 years. So that was the stated reason, the initial reason.

It's really treacherous that we were in the middle of diplomatic negotiations and just literally

couldn't sit and play that out to its extent before we decided upon the shit out of them.

As a side note there, you can probably say that Israel forced our hand there and went rogue and

decided to just do it. So we had to go along with it in support. But that's a different story,

different conversation have. But then that reason shifted from that one to the next reason and the

next reason was what? Oh, we don't we want to hit their their missiles capability and their ability

to build drones and shit and also blow up their Navy, which is probably closer to the truth because

they actually went and did that. I think something like 75% of their launchers have been destroyed.

Twenty ten of their like surface vessels ships have been destroyed, which is pretty

basically all of them, all of the large ones at least. So there was that reason. But then

it's increasingly becoming clear that this is a regime change war because when they got Ali

Khamenei, everybody was all happy about it on this side of the pond and they're already talking

about Trump was already saying they better pick somebody good and they better not pick that

Mojtaba guy and of course they wouldn't pick Mojtaba this the son of the former Iatola.

So it's like increasingly unclear. Why did we start this war? Yeah, like the real reason why

because as you said, they've given a million different reasons. I think I think the objective was

was to change the regime and the first objective. I like to think there was some level of rationality

behind this. I don't even think it came from the US. I think it was really purely Israeli planners

who were doing this and Marco Rubio said when being pressed about when being pressed about it, he said

the Israelis were going to attack them and they were going to retaliate against us

if the Israelis attacked them. That's why we had to preemptively attack them. I think that's

probably true. I think that's what it's got to fucked up when you think about it. It's oh,

we couldn't control Israel enough to sit still while we do diplomacy and because they were

definitely going to attack them, we had to first attack them before Israel attack them because

otherwise they were going to attack us and catch us off. This is so fucking, it's like war

math. Have you ever heard of girl math or boy math where they do strange math that makes no sense?

This is a calculus that just is just like self-serving. It's weird. Yeah. Yeah. And there is no,

there seem to be no objections from what we've heard. They weren't like, hey, don't do this,

you need a way, just cool it, let us negotiate, like we understand. There's no reports of that.

No, unless maybe I missed one, but I haven't heard anything like that. From all the mainstream

paper, and the mainstream papers are doing a pretty good job covering this in my opinion.

It's honestly, it's like the Twitter journalist who have been putting most of the information out,

so I guess there really is some truth behind like needing strong institutions because the mainstream

reporting I feel has been generally been correct, unless we find out it isn't of course.

The question is why the Israelis decided to do it, because we know why the Americans did it,

because they were being told to do it by Netanyahu. Let's just be real. We all know that

this administration is particularly attached to the hip with not just Israel, but specifically the

Lecude party. And they said that, come on man, like his son-in-law is basically a Lecude neck,

you know what I mean? And it's so strong that they're willing to compromise their own,

their other like stated intentions or ideals or even goals to serve that initial. I think,

for example, Trump very strongly campaigned on no knee wars, right? And really beat Biden to

shit somewhat rightfully so for the Afghan pull out, which he started. And like a lot of people

bought that, right? Especially people in his party, right? And they were like, yeah, he's going

to stop, he's going to stop the wars. I think quite noteworthy people bought it. Yeah, indeed.

I never bought that. I never bought that, but I know I knew a lot of people.

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In the libertarian space who bought that. Are you kidding me, man? This is not. This is

the second administration is going to be way worse. He's going to be. He's going to go in there

a lot more high on his own supply. The Democrats are going to give them a lot. They're going to let him run

free reign more so that they did last time. He's going to have a lot more autonomy to do things.

He's going to feel like he has a much larger mandate. This is going to be his act. He's going to be

a much more aggressive president this year. I think a lot of it is also ego because you can't

just say it's all Israel because obviously it takes to the tango. And I think Trump's conception

of himself is also a big thing. I think this guy wants to be a wartime president. He wants to

kill people. He wants to blow shit up and say, look what I did. I'm the top president. I don't

want to be dedicated to his valor. Jimmy Carter president. You know what I mean? Obviously he

seems to be 100% completely on board. I doubt there's any pushback from him personally.

Nor I think there's any pushback from his circle. His circle. People are like, JD, like no,

JD Vance is not pushing back on him. No. JD Vance was not someone who was truly against

these interventions. No matter how hard he tried to pretend he was, he's a weird,

really weird Silicon Valley guy who's changed his positions like a million times. He was like a

neo-conserv, like an actual, and I hate when people use the word neo-conservative so flippantly

because a race is the meaning of it, like the actual definition of who those people are.

Because in reality, there's only a, there's only a couple dozen. There's a 50 of them. Yeah.

Real neo-conservatives. Like when we say neo-conservatives, we're talking about the left, the

Trotskyites who moved to the right who were followers of urban crystal who were highly intelligent,

highly competent people who believed in this new wave of American exceptionalism and it was

like a philosophical school. Not everyone who's hawkish is a neo-conservative. And I say Jato,

who knows if his name's Jato, he's changed his name a bunch of times. His name has even changed.

But he comes from the tutelage of David From, who was a neo-conservative. He really,

I don't think he believes in anything. But going back to the, the real question is,

these railies, why did they decide to do this now? Great question. If they're the ones who are

driving in the driver, in the driving seat right here, in terms of US foreign policy, like, why

do they decide to do this? And I think what they were thinking is obviously they have this window.

October 7th has given them October 6th or 7th. Shit, I even forgot to date. It's

October 7th. October 6th or 7th. It's my birthday. It's starting to fade in the neverry now.

Yeah, a little bit. So it really is. It's been two years. It's the window is closing because

it's horrible as it was. There were a lot of people. They took it as an opportunity to expand,

to achieve these geopolitical goals. And I, they probably see this window is closing soon.

In addition, I ran's protests that they had in January. They were pretty bad. They were pretty

big. And I think that probably the Iranian regime is probably at its floor in terms of approval.

So they were probably thinking they would do something. 10% of people approved the regime.

So I think they thought that this would be the perfect time to kill the isola and to actually get

like some organized group that could take over. Like who? And that's the question that I've

been asking myself lately. I believe, I honestly believe what Trump said is that they had some

people in mind who would take over after the isola and they died in the negotiation. They killed

them. I think the Israelis thought that this this was the time to do a decapitation strike and

actually find a transition leader because apparently they had some people in mind. However,

they killed them in the strike. Yeah. I think I read somewhere a quote from Trump that said,

at some point we might not have anybody over there to even say we surrender. This is fucking bleak

and macabre. It's like assuming that you're going to kill every single Iranian.

But I know what he meant. He meant there's not going to be any leaders left for them to choose from

to say that they surrender to the US and to Israel. But I did read that. And it was pretty hilarious

that one one side of this offensive conflict is folks trying to figure out who's the next puppet

state dictator that they're going to put in and install. And then the other side just decides to

destroy them. And that's like a little bit of a pattern that I'm seeing with this particular

conflict. Did you read about the three F15 fighters that got shot out of the sky in Kuwait?

Did you hear about that? Yeah. I think I said you the article. Yeah. So that was like insane.

You know, like at the time that you had sent it, it wasn't like clear what happened. But

apparently Kuwaiti air defenses. This was on day three March 2nd. The Kuwaiti air defenses

like accidentally shot down three F15 fighter jets that were going out to go do an operation.

Well, it's they all ejected safely. And no, I'm died. But it's just messy. Like everything's a

little bit messy. Yeah. Everything is a little bit messy. But going back to like why they did it.

It's the why these rallies thought the time was right to do something like this. So

you have Trump before the midterms. I don't think they give a fuck, you know, about

what results in the midterms anyway. However, he has more political capital right now

before he probably loses most of it. Because he'll one after the midterms. And I guess most people

are assuming that there's going to be a blue wave. There's going to be all these trials and

subpoenas and impeachment proceedings like the entire administration is going to be shut down.

So there's that. There's Iran's level, the regime's level of popularity during the protest.

And then also it is true. Like obviously we see it right here. Obviously,

Iran has capabilities. They have a lot of capabilities. They have advanced missile technology.

And they have a big ton of drones. We don't know the number of drones that they have. But

just saved a shit ton. They've been preparing for this for so long.

I don't think I guess what they didn't expect to happen or maybe they did plan this out.

Was that what they would do? They would get rid of the itola. They would get rid of all the

senior leadership. And what the Iranians did, I guess two things happened. Basically the

the Iranian military decentralized. So you have all these units almost operating as like

individual kind of guerrilla groups in essence. So you can't just kill off

some general or some or senior leadership. And then the whole army is going to fold because

everyone is all these units are operating autonomously. And they probably have instructions

and guidelines of what to do. In these cases, I think they're I mean they there's obviously

clear strategy that they're following there. They have an enormous amount of autonomy and target

taken probably hit and when did launch things. And maybe that's why you're seeing you're almost

seen strikes at random. It seems I was thinking about that too. And I did a little bit of research

into that. So like one one of the things that I kept thinking in myself. And there's a bit

macabre to think about. Reading about the millennium challenge we thought of we saw that part of

that exercise. One of the things that that the red team did was just do an absolute swarm on

a carrier group. And they actually ended up sinking a carrier, which was like the big oh shit,

right? And I was thinking to myself why haven't they done that? Like why haven't they launched

2000 drones at one of the carriers in the region? You certainly could and they're certainly

within range. Then I started looking into it a bit deeper and gets a little bit complicated. So

first there's the claim that the between the US and Israel that they've destroyed 75% of their

launchers. That may or may not be true. I don't know. It seems likely that it is. You know,

they caught them by surprise. They did hit quite a bit of their infrastructure. And it's possible

that they're down to like a bare minimum on their launchers. So they might have several ballistic

missiles like hundreds or even thousands of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones. But

without the requisite launchers for said munitions like it that's like having a shitton of bullets

with fewer guns. And that's the one problem. The second problem is that when they do launch

it becomes very obvious where they launched from. They can launch a barrage right now. And then

when they do you can probably guarantee that within a few minutes that site is going to get

decimated by US and Israeli counterattacks. So every launch that they do also waste not only

just their munitions, but also their launchers themselves, which as I just described is necessary

for them. And then finally, there is this bit of like when and where to strike, right? Apparently

Russia has been giving them sat data on where to hit. So in terms of like how to hit and where to

hit, they know where it is. And they've been getting increasingly more bold. I think it was just

today. I ran sent a pair of jets out. I think it was either Kuwait or Bahrain, one of those two

scored their first aerial kill on jets ever. So like they're flying bombers out. And they're

testing their limits. And I think they might be trying to do a war of attrition rather than one

big old explosion, if you will, to make it more costly and more annoying. Because right now

interceptors are down. So the US and Israel and all of our partners are we're losing these

interceptors and these things very costly. We're talking to $50,000 drone. It might take two or

three interceptors to hit them. The cost on that is like $3 million or something like that to

take down one drone. So they might think and be intentionally using a strategy of just

wear us down. Make us spend a shit ton of money and don't blow their load all in one go.

So I'm not entirely certain. I'm not entirely certain. Yeah, that seems to be the case that they're

that the feels like they're holding back, right? Yeah. People are like we must have destroyed all

their launchers. And I'm sure that they destroyed a bunch of their launchers. Yeah. However,

they're opening barrage. Obviously, they're obviously going to use more firepower in their

opening barrage more than so. They're like additional days or the days after makes sense why

the volume has decreased. But going back to again, like the reason why now the the I think why

the regime was able to survive because maybe if the Israelis did this in January, maybe it would

have worked out differently because you have these huge protests and allegedly they killed 30,000

people. Yeah, or GC allegedly. We don't know the true number. It could very well be 30,000 people.

I'm not trying to like it could be more it could be less scrutinize it. Yeah, we have that's the

number. We don't know for sure. And it could be true. I think they did the Iranians basically swept

the country and found all the collaborators like all the Mossad collaborators and they killed them.

Yeah. Clearly, we don't have the same level as of penetration as we did last year during June,

during the summer, because it really felt like during was the June or July, man, my timing is

off. The summer war blast. Yeah. Yeah. It's 12. It seemed like we we had tabs on everyone June 13th

to 2020 to 24th. The Israelis had tabs on everyone. They sent a message to a bunch of IRGC

commanders saying that hey, if you don't surrender, we're going to kill your family. Yeah.

Yeah, I remember that. It's fucked up. We haven't heard anything like that now. And I think the only

way you get that is if you're deeply penetrated in the country, I don't think they have the same

level of penetration at all. So they swept the country of all the Mossad CIA assets. And a lot of

the Mossad and CIA assets, a lot of them aren't necessarily on the top level. Yeah. A lot of them

are just kind of like four refugees where because Iran doesn't have any safety nets, they don't have

they're not the super poor like Afghan refugees that come there. There's no they're basically

as homeless and they're living in the slums. So you can go to that guy and say, hey, here's 100 bucks

a week. Go and watch general so and so every single day. Oh, yeah. Yeah. And just write this down

to the pad. I think they just stayed basically just swept the country of all those people.

It's possible. And that's just again, I don't know for sure, but I'm just sneaking out loud here.

Like it's possible, but there's level penetrations. There's like, there's like contradictory

shit coming out to because I was hearing right when the common A was killed that there was like

video evidence or something. I didn't actually see it myself, but I was reading about it that

there were people out in the streets celebrating. And then I see like yesterday or today,

they when they're going to announce mushtaba comedy, the son of the former Iatola, as the new Iatola,

there's like thousands of people that are coming out in support of it. So I'm not sure

where the public opinion is on this. And it's interesting how it's playing out, given that just

a couple weeks ago back in January, there was like these massive protests in Iran that just

basically died literally and metaphorically died. So is it that all of the dissent in Iran was

killed and is no longer are the people of Iran just too afraid to go against the IRTC even after

they killed the Iatola? Or are we being fed some distortion of what the reality on the ground in

Iran looks like? And indeed, more people seem to support the IRGC than we then we can see from

the outside looking in. Yeah, I don't know. It's kind of the crazy. Yeah, we don't know. Neither of us

has our finger on the pulse of what Iranian public opinion is. I feel like we get lies from both

sides. Both states are issuing out their own propaganda. Maybe it's a plurality that does support

the regime. The dissenters are fragmented against between different groups because there are

different groups. You have your liberal dissenters, you want to be part of the West, but then you

have your separatists in those types of things. There's also dissenters who think that who thought

that the Iatola wasn't extreme enough. It's hard to get it grasped. So maybe the supporters of

the IRGC are the plurality like it. It could be that. There's also the rally around the flag

effects because neither of us are obviously fans of Trump. However, if we were bombed by China,

we would rally around the person who was resisting them. So it could just be that. That's true.

A lot of Iranians are like, okay, let's let bygones be bygones. Let's figure this out after

this war, but right now we need to survive and do everything that we can and they're the ones

who are fighting back. Also, it doesn't really, I don't think that Iranians are too keen to

take on, to become a vassal of a state. The first thing that we did, or one of the first things

that on the first day, the US bombed a school and killed 160 girls, girls. Fucked up.

So just all of that could not be called a massive distaste. If you look at pictures of

Tehran the other day, we blew up an oil refinery and it was basically raining a lot. Do you see

those black clouds over Tehran? And then the fires across the country. So they could have just

saw that and they're like, okay, like maybe the Iatola was right. They are the great Satan.

At the very same time, I've seen video. I think it was through Reuters. They had they embedded

some reporters in Iran and they're traveling through Iran right now. And they were just had

some random ass gas station in somewhere in Iran and like, nothing is happening. And we forget

that how big the country is. Ron's massive. And not all of not all of it is Tehran, not all of it

is Fordo, not all of it is Natan. It could have been out of them might not even be affected.

Yeah, that's true. A lot of them might just be like, oh shit. Thank God we're not in that city.

Like if exactly like if they were bombing, I don't know, San Francisco, China bomb San Francisco,

fucking tragedy, right? But how much would that impact your immediate day? Like in the immediate

term. Yeah, we would just be saying, holy shit man, they're bombing San Francisco. Yeah,

and that should help him out. Yeah, that would pretty much be the end of it for us specifically.

So like maybe in terms of yeah, Israel and the US were hoping to do this regime change thing

and they killed the the Ayatollah and it looks really bad in Tehran and they probably fucked up

a lot of specific areas and even bomb a school or two. But for the overwhelming majority of people

in Iran, there's not really like as widespread as say the the protests were just a few weeks

before that. So maybe it's not even really enough of a catalyst to to instill a revolution that

would be like the requisite evolution in order to do a regime change. Maybe this is a bit of a

miscalculation on the part of Israel and the United States. Yeah, we'll see. We'll see what happens

to this government. Who knows how long this new Ayatollah lives. You know, he might be dead tomorrow,

right? You know, he might be dead now as far as I know. Like I could pick up my phone,

look at the news and see that he's dead. Yeah. So who knows? Because I understand like,

all right, your deal, your dear leader is killed and he becomes a martyr. Some people are saying

that he he chose to be a martyr and he intentionally let himself get killed. Obi-Wan Kenobi. So he

can become a force ghost. Yeah. So yeah. So he's a force ghost now. Oh man. I don't

necessarily buy into that, but maybe there could be. It could be the case. But you have to think

if they just keep on killing their leaders, their heads of state, don't you just say, all right,

I guess there is really zero chance that we're going to get a leader here. There's none chose

handpick by the US. Yeah. Something's got to give eventually. Like that's pretty as a pretty

demoralizing thing. Yeah. It's within the realm of capability capabilities for the US and Israel

right now too. Yeah. Yeah. I'm surprised he's still alive, honestly. I thought that he was going to,

I thought there was going to the following day. It would be like new. We got him. Yeah. Oh, I

thought you were being serious. We got him. No. No, I'm not. I was going to ask those somewhat

related. Have you heard anything about M.E.K lately? Because they've been awfully quiet. And M.E.K,

they're like in their 60s and 70s now, right? Aren't they old? Yeah. But they're totally propped up.

They're just like these. Isn't that like an Israeli propped up organization? Yeah. A lot of

them are Israeli propped up organizations. But I don't even, I don't even really think they have a

handle on the, they're just use fairly assassinations in those types of things. They don't have a

popular support to hang over the government. Like they would be lynched if they're walking around

to Ron. You know, the real is going to be the son of the Shah, the Prince of Persia, who's going to

be the real transition leader. That guy is shameless. Yeah. He recently said, Oh, the Iranians

people called on me to take over after this regime has fallen. And I'm like, Oh, how did they vote?

Did they recently vote? And I just missed this special secret vote that nobody who told you

that they're giving you, they want you to take over the government after we kick out the IRGC.

Who told you that? Is this like, I mean, it's bullshit. I literally watched a video of him

saying it. And I'm like, who told you that? How do you know that? You're not even in Iran. Like

nonsense. Like you could be in favor of polyv being the transitional leader after IRGC is like

out of the picture. But to just so fragrant, fragrantly make some shit up. It's makes the story

up about how the Iranian people chose me. The fuck are you talking about, bro? He's not like an

actual government in exile anyway. It's just some guy that they throw in front of the camera. Or

I think he forces himself in front of the camera most of the time. I don't even know how eager

we are to use him as a figurehead. I think he just positioned himself as an opportunist. But it is

shameless. He said that he would bring a trillion dollars to the country. Okay, bro.

Dude, shut the fuck up. Yeah. Just go away. Just go. This is such just bullshit. Just so full of shit.

Like your father was actually pretty cool. He was an really interesting guy. The shot,

the shot I ran had a lot of obviously he was he lost everything and he was thrown out of the

country in exile and died shortly after cancer. But I don't know. I've reading about the old shot.

There's a level of respect. He seemed like a smart guy who was in an incredibly difficult

situation and he didn't he ended up being a loser in it. But that guy's not you're not the

shot. You're the shot's son. Yeah. And you're just declaring yourself the new prince without any

type of actual ground support besides your your diaspora support. It's a source is trust me, bro.

Yeah, man. That is funny. Like how long would it last if they sent a royalist to the country that

would be a transition like that? I would imagine it wouldn't last very long. Like there would be

riots and there would be I don't even think there would be a civil war. I think there would just be

an immediate coup. Yeah. But yeah. But all right. So going back, he was a point I've been trying to

make and I keep on getting distracted. So the ultimate. So back to the Israeli policy guiding it.

So they went for regime change. Since regime change didn't happen, I think they're pursuing a

new policy with the United States. And it's really just like a mowing the grass type policy,

where they are going to just pick times to bomb a shit out of Iran, destroy whatever they can,

and then completely isolate them. So they're isolated from aid. They're completely sanctioned.

Their economy continues to suffer. On rest continues to grow. And then a year, even two years,

maybe even three years later, they do the same thing over and over again, where they destroy the

bunch of shit. They cause a lot of damage. They kill a bunch of senior leaders. And then they do it

over and over again. I think that is the new policy with Iran. Like the literally the mowing the

lawn policy in Gaza, where every couple of years, they would just go and bomb. They would find a

reason to bomb Hamas in the bomb Gaza. I think they're going to do that with Iran. Yeah. That's

why they have to weaken its substantially. They have to weaken its substantially to get it to

that point. Yeah. And I think I think the Iranians know that. So we don't know really what the

communication is between Iran and the US. If there's actually like diplomatic maneuvering going

down behind the scenes, it's hard for me to imagine that they wouldn't want to find a diplomatic

solution out of here. But then again, like they did that before and that got them nowhere. So

they really can't trust the US because they can't do. They're just guaranteeing maybe they buy

theirself a year of time. But they don't even buy themselves enough time to get through the diplomatic

talks now. The last two have literally not even concluded before they got struck. I don't see why.

I mean, I think their foreign minister was on TV recently saying having diplomatic talks with

the US is a table at this point. There's no reasonable reason why we should ever engage

and any diplomatic talks with the US. It seems like they're always

promised when we do it. It seems like their only choice now is to get to really pursue a nuclear

weapon. Yeah. Because now Kamini's dead. And he's the one who had the Fatwa on it. And the new

Kamini does not have he was against the Fatwa. Yeah. So I would imagine that they're going to do

everything they can to develop a nuclear weapon. And then what happens when that happens,

what's the next thing we had sometime ago. We probably nuke them, right? Like that. Yeah, maybe.

But but here let's think through that for a second. Because last summer before the 12th of

the war, we had Joseph Solis mulling on and he made an interesting argument for in favor of

Iran getting the bomb. And I'm not going to I'm not going to go through his entire argument.

You can watch that episode if you're interested. But he makes an interesting case and and you're

echoing to it. Is there no other thing that's going to stop conflict outside of Iran just having

a bomb? And one place to look at that is is North Korea, right? So like North Korea came to

Jong Un and all of his infinite wisdom correctly understood that giving up a nuclear program,

you know, would not ensure their continuation, a continuation of their sovereignty. Not for food,

not for other economic aid, not for sanctions relief. Like he, they him and his father both looked

at people like Gaddafi and I guess you could probably at this point argue that Ukraine giving up

their nuclear weapons and they're looking at all these historical moments where nations were

giving away their nuclear weapons and then suddenly, yeah, they become subjugated or it doesn't

really work out quite as well for them. And with the exception of North Korea's like ongoing war

with Atlantis and firing a bunch of rockets into the sea, they're not particularly aggressive to

anyone. They talk a lot of shit, but then it's not they're not striking anyone. They're not like

actively expanding their borders into South Korea because they have a bomb. Technically,

they're just using it as an insurance policy. Like seriously, think about it. Are

is North Korea actually belligerent with anyone right now? I'm not sticking up for North Korea.

I think they're fucked up nation, but like almost last time they attacked somebody besides like

scuffles on the DMZ. There's been some minor cases with Japan, but those have been just like

girmishes. Most of them have been misunderstandings. Yeah, most of them misunderstandings,

but no, they've never had a policy of we're going to invade

Seoul and unite Korea. That's more on the other side, whereas it is not even like an aggressive

over church. More okay, your brothers eventually we do want a unite, but yeah, you're right.

Like they are they are they are not a belligerent country. They're only really

only belligerent to their own people, which is fucked up in its own respect. But you can

imagine you can foresee a situation where Iran gets the bomb and they continue to be

a shitty Islamist country that suppresses their people and does other fucked up things that we

find morally reprehensible. However, like almost last time Iran is directly attacked anybody.

Yeah, they got their proxies and shit, but they're really attacking anybody.

Every all the last complex that happened, they've been the one that has been attacked.

Yeah, I mean moral high ground for at least the last two of these, right? Like they have the right

to defend themselves, don't they? Yes, they've been attacked. What you can say they're they're

proxy forces because you know what they are guilty of is funding proxies around the Middle East.

So yeah, however, that's an act of self defense as well. Yeah, we're also like we fund proxies.

Yeah, it's not another ordinary fund, the fund proxies. So yeah, I mean,

it probably would be a good thing for global stability if they had a nuke and I actually do agree

with that point. It's just that then getting a nuke would most likely result in these railies

or the United States, a nuke and a nuke. Yeah, yeah. I couldn't see the I can't see the future of them

saying, hey, we just got a nuclear weapon and they're not getting nuked like the minute after

or even as soon as that's like an expectation. Yeah. But then these railies would actually be able to

say, okay, like they got a nuke. They were about the new Gus, like we had zero choice and obviously

people would be mad at them, but that probably would be correct. So it's this double standard is

crazy. And again, not sticking up for the IRGC here. They are 100% a fucked up dictatorial

government, but when you think about this, like there was, I was reading about the cluster munitions

that Iran was using against against Israel. I don't know if you've seen the videos, but this is

now all confirmed. Like back in last summer for the 12-day war, they were saying, oh, Iran was

using cluster bombs on us, which is like against international standards, although ironically,

Israel and Iran are not signatories to the treaty that regulates cluster munitions. So that's

pretty interesting. But anyway, they use these cluster munitions because it is really effective at

getting through their layered air defenses. They Israeli, Iron Dome and David's archer,

sling, whatever, all the fucking, all the things that they have to shoot the drones and the missiles

out of the skies. Because it'll just break up into a bunch of little pieces and then they become

really hard to get all the little pieces. But the thing, the thing, the reason why cluster munitions

are like banned and immoral is because they spread out over a broad area and they create an

area of effect, right? So it's not just one pinpoint building with a bunch of military people in it.

It's the whole fucking block might get peppered with these cluster munitions and these sub munitions.

And more specifically, some of them just don't even explode. So now we have unexploded ordinance

that is just hanging out on the ground that becomes a danger to the people on the ground that

try to clean it up. That's bad using cluster munitions is morally bad and we can all agree

that. But nuclear devices like using a nuclear weapon is literally the most area of effect,

like use case like the most indiscriminate use of warfare that there is. It has the widest possible

area of explosion. Like there's no other bomb that's going to make a bigger dent in the in a city

than a nuclear bomb. So many people will die. We've already said, we've done it twice.

Did you pan? We know what happens. So we would be cool if Israel said, oh, look, they got the

bomb. So we had to bomb them first. We'd be cool with that somehow. Strangely or not, maybe

not. I mean, I personally would be cool with it. Yeah. Well, the world or whatever. I don't know.

The politics, the calculus of it would index seem to indicate that they'd have a reason a more

of a justification and use one. It's not. It's insane. People theorize in what would happen if

the Israelis used a nuke somewhere at some point, it's possible. It's very possible that they do

at some point at the way that they're the way they're going. And people are like, every Jew in the

world would be at risk. Antisemitism would rise. That's like the worst thing. The fact that

isn't using to nuke the worst thing. Yeah. How about the millions of people who die? How about the

nuclear fallout? Nuclear fallout? No, no, there's more anti-Semitic mebes on the internet now.

But yeah. So people theorize most likely the US, let's just say if it happens within Trump's

term, which could, man, if that happens so far, the liberals are vindicated, right? Like, yeah,

they have so much resentment towards the resistance lives. Tards who used to be like,

Bastion, resistance. Or they never, never. Maybe they were Russian. Maybe they were right.

Maybe it was like, it was actually patriotism that they framed him for being a Russian,

being owned by Vladimir Putin. But maybe that was like an act of patriotism to boggle him down so

you couldn't do crazy stuff. But yeah, it could happen. This administration would obviously have

their back. Most administrations would find a way to like them. I don't, I wouldn't see the US

completely cutting ties with them. But they're just, it's so hard to predict what would be the fall,

what would be the fallout actually did. It's like, we've seen them do so much

horrible in the world. They killed tens and tens of thousands of people, if not hundreds of

thousands of people in Gaza, and they got away with that. So if they kill a hundred or 200,

thousand people in a nuclear bomb, what's to say? They're not going to get away with that either.

Beams within the realm of possibility. They seem really good at framing these offensive

preemptive, what are they called it? Preemptive offensive strike or something like that. I don't

know. I don't know what they were saying. In so many words, it was like we hit you first,

but they were trying to word it, word smith it in such a way that it made it seem like they

were defending themselves ahead of time, like some minority report shit. And if it becomes like

existential for Israel's existence, like the media is going to be like, this was existential.

So it's tough. But yeah, obviously global, they're global public opinion towards Israel would

go lower than it is already, which is pretty low, but doesn't really matter what the public

thinks. People think around the world that like, oh yeah, like public opinions against this,

therefore, we're going to see real change, something I've realized over the years that public

opinion doesn't really matter that much. What matters is the opinion of people in the institutions.

Public opinion matters when it becomes, it becomes, it also such a threshold where it can't be

ignored. So like when public opinion is like over 90% on some issue, maybe it starts to matter.

But in the US, it's pretty much 50-50 between people who criticize Israel and people who don't.

And honestly, most people don't really care that much about them. Like they don't think about them

too bit, too bit. It's only us weirdos. Yeah. You do podcasts on fucking international affairs

that really think about this. That's a lot. And we don't reflect a large amount of the population.

You know, like most people don't give a fuck. Yeah. That's true. If you ask them what their opinion

on Israel is, they're like, oh yeah, I don't really know. And you can't blame them. I'm not saying

there's anything wrong with that. I'm just saying it like the sample size of people that you're

getting on Twitter who are politically engaged do not represent the country. Or even within the

mainstream's opinion polls that they released, they'll pull 2,000 people. And they'll be like,

oh, 72% of the US doesn't like what Israel is doing in Iran. We're talking about 2,000 people

that they pulled. Yeah. And it's funny because there was this narrative that Trump was like

anti-war. Yeah. Oh man, if you don't want to get into another war, then Trump, because Trump's

against all these things. He's a new version of the Republican Party where they ditched all the

neo-conservatives. Yeah. And then you look at the polling of Trump supporters and it's 90% of them

support the war in Iran. That was such a farce that A, he was going to be some like pat

you can in type figure or Ron Paul type figure and try to pull us out of all these conflicts.

That was the first, that was one farce. And the bigger farce was that the Republican Party

actually started to lean that way because wingers love killing shit. Like they love a good fight.

They get a heart on for that, especially when a strong man's doing it. If you just talk to any

kind of like your average Republican voter and not like someone who thinks that Tucker Carlson

reflects like the average Republican voter because he doesn't, I like Tucker Carlson, but he

doesn't reflect your average Republican voter. He or so speaks to younger people who are like

into Joe, the Joe Rogan podcast, which is not the majority of the country. Like we have a shit

ton of boomers, older people who don't, that stuff doesn't even fall on their radar. Like Tucker

Carlson, they like Tucker Carlson when he was on Fox News and saying stuff about Hillary Clinton.

And as far as their concern, Tucker Carlson doesn't exist anymore because he's not.

Yeah. Honestly, I forget that he exists sometimes because like I used to watch him on Fox News

purely as an activity of seeing what he could get away with on on a mainstream network.

Yeah. And since he, I haven't really watched too much of his stuff since he's gone independent.

And like I've seen some of his interviews and that and most of the stuff he says,

it's very pop, it's very populist and rhetoric. And I agree with a lot of it, but he's also

cool too. Like he will at what he'll go on this on his show. He'll be like the corruption is so

deep. And there's a duopoly and they'll say things that are true. And then he'll go and be like,

and then last night in my bed, I woke up with a scratch on my back. And I realized there

were demons in my bed trying to get me. You're like, oh, yeah, you just said something that makes

sense. And then you, and then on top of that, you just said that a demon attacked you in your bed.

Boom. You seem a little like people don't you realize that when you say something that is true

and then you follow it up with something that is nutty and people think the first thing that you

said was true is nutty as well. Kind of can't, do you ever follow Candace Owens?

Ironically, yes. She had this come to Jesus movement where she was like, wow, this is so

awful that what the Israelis are doing to the Palestinians. So she'll go on and be like, yeah,

this is horrible. What the Israelis are doing. And we should, we should be against the murder of

children. And then she'll follow it up with and Charlie Kirk was killed by Israel. And he was

actually a time traveler. And you're like, oh, my God, it's just shut up. They shut up. You could

but yeah. So yeah, there was a force that the Republican party was ever,

would ever gave a shit about the foreign policy stuff. They were, they honestly, they didn't dump

support for the Iraq war. Like they were fine with the Iraq War until Donald Trump came. The

strong man came and said it was stupid. Right. And then they were like, oh, yeah,

it was because this guy's this cool guy said it. Yeah. If he was for it, they probably

would have been for too. Like they wouldn't have cared. I mean, it shows you his power over the

people though. He's not necessarily think it's a worm tongue or the rings. Yeah, a little bit,

but I don't think he has power in particular. I just think most of the electorate is sheepish.

And I mean that on all sides, by the way, because it's very easy. He has a power on the other side.

He has to have some mesmerizing power over people more so than any politician I've seen over

like the people that support him. He has some like really mesmerizing power over them where he's

basically like he can no matter what he does, even though things that the things that are coming

out of his mouth make no sense. There's like a 20 for 20% 30% of our population just loves him.

Just fucking cannot get enough of him. They think he's just the man. I get it. It is what it is.

We live with we live in a country of over 300 million people. Yeah. You got to do your best to

get along with everyone. And some people are going to be a little cookie. Yeah. And some people are

going to be some people are going to love that guy. There's going to love that like rash. I don't

give a fuck. So based on this, I think 2026, the rest of this is going to shape out to be quite an

interesting year because winner lose the midterms. He's got at least this much time to do to use up

that blank check that he got on the last election. You know what I mean? Do you think why don't we

end up with this though because we're coming up to our time? Yeah. Do you think that there's going

to be ground forces? Yes. Who specifically is the question? I've heard a couple of rimblings

that they're going to trick the Kurdish the Kurds again and make them do some ground force stuff

which I think could be possible. They already said no. I think they would go to them with like one

of those deals that they can't refuse type deal. I know that they already said no, but it's still

on the table in my opinion. I don't think that we're going to go and occupy. But I certainly think

that there might be some use cases because we have air dominance now. So technically we could fly

in there right now. We have excuse me air superiority. We have air superiority. We could. But for

what purpose? It's got to be it's got to be a good reason. So far, we've been pretty good at using

standoff weapons to just blow up people. Right. So if we want to go kill Mojtaba, like we're just

probably going to use a bunker buster instead of landing some people down. It's that island and

in the goal that island where they put they they refine all their oil. There have been rumors

that the US is going to try to invade that island. It's a possibility. It's not on the mainland.

Campy's hard island. Yeah. It can't be it cannot be. Carg or Kesham.

Barg. What's that one? I'm going to look for it. Spell it. H-A-R-G. Got it. Okay. It's the one all

the way by Kuwait. Yeah. It's all the way in the N- It's closer to Iran. It is closer

to Iran, but it's in the northwest of the Persian Gulf, north east of the Persian Gulf. And just

right across the way is it's super close to Kuwait. The rumor is that and again rumor that that's

going to be our grounds of salt because that's where they were fine oil. Most of their oil.

They don't even battle. Yeah. Maybe. Unless they just exploded it, but like yeah, they could

explode it. Blow the shit up. Yeah. I think they're trying. I think they are trying to. They want

to keep it. The amount of damage you're doing to oil and for structure. Even Lizzie Graham set up

came out and said like, all right, our allies are doing a terrific job. But try not to get to oil.

I mean, all this smells a whole lot like when we went after Venezuela and we're like,

hey, we're going to take it over and we're going to say who gets the oil contracts and we're

going to get it cut out the oil contracts. What you're saying here makes a ton of sense to me

because Trump's a simple man. It's like these people can have oil and we're going to spend all

this money to blow them up. We might as well come take our cut. Carg, here we go. Imagine dying on

the island of Kharg. That would be the sucks. Yeah. I hope we don't. They also did some recent

thing where they made signing up for the Selective Service Act, the draft automatic now instead of

fuel. It was already compulsory from for men age 18 to 26 anyway. But apparently they just

automated that process. So it just happens as soon as you turn 18, you don't actually have to do it.

And some people got a little bit out of shape and we're thinking like, oh shit, the draft is going

to happen, which I'm no longer between the ages of 18 and 26. And I think we're both aged out

of military service in general, but which gives me a whole lot of a whole lot less anxiety. But

I do feel for the folks there, the men that are in that age group right now that are conscientious

objectors to go in a war that feel like it's right around the corner for them. Hey man, it's real.

We're making jokes and all this, but this is very serious. Yeah. I think you really can do is make

jokes, but we've had I think seven or eight cat like that, like KIA's seven confirms

hundred and there's an eighth. Yeah, you're right. There isn't any. Yeah, people or Americans are

dying. Obviously a shit ton of Iranians are dying. A lot of Israelis are dying too. They're

blacking out a lot of the coverage there. So we're not really getting complete picture. But

there's a rumor that I don't there's no one who's confirmed this. And I don't even really want

to say it because if the root because I think I do think it is a rumor that eat tomorrow,

bingavir was killed. Really? Yeah. It's just Scott Redder said it. So you went on R.T. and

he said it, eat him or bingavir was killed, a missile struck his house. And that guy's full

shit. A lot. It could just be some propaganda, but maybe it is true because they are the finance

minister of smoltritch. His son got very badly wounded, fighting Hezbollah. Yeah, that's another

angle we haven't even talked about at all. Like sudden the war, Israel's war against Hezbollah

popped off again. They've hit so many sites in Lebanon and in Beirut and shit. Lots of people

were dying in Lebanon. We're not even going to honestly. It seems like Lebanon's getting the worst

of it right now in terms of bombing in terms of like civilians casualties closer by proximity.

So it makes sense, but they also have to close. Yeah, they're closer together too. It's probably

hard to rack up a lot of civilian casualties. And I ran because of people are just the country's

way bigger. It's more way more people, but yeah, population density in Lebanon is crazy. Yeah.

Yeah. It's a horrible situation, but I do want to talk. I want to let's wrap this up soon because

let's definitely wrap this up now because we have critical technical time around this.

But yeah, I think going into the relationship between Israel and Iran would be very helpful

probably within the next week. So yeah, we were planning on doing an episode on the essentially

the 50 60 year history between Iran and Israel. It's just going to take a long time. I have 50 pages

of notes and it's deciding if we're going to do it in one episode or multiple ones. Let's wrap

this up. Thanks everyone for listening to another episode of Bro History. Stay safe out there.

And you can subscribe to the podcast on YouTube or podcast apps. Also join us in substack.

Danny, is there anything else? Nope. All right. See you guys.