Should the Bills trade back in this years draft?

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podcasts. I believe, and it's not going on a limb, Ty Simpson will be a first round

draping. That's all I'm comfortable saying right now. We will revisit this topic many times

as the draft marches closer. We're one month out exactly and again I think that'll probably be

one of the central focal storylines of the first round of the draft where does Ty Simpson go.

Adam Schefter, Ty Simpson, the Alabama quarterback. It's kind of strange. Are we talking to

Christopher Paso tomorrow? I think we are. We should be. Yep. He remembers this from last year,

or no, from the fall. When I was watching an Alabama game, probably because I had a bet on it.

And wow, this guy, I like him. And I might have reached out to Chris for his opinion on Ty Simpson.

And he brought that back a month or so ago on with us. I remember you liked Ty Simpson.

And I'm not sure I really want to be the guy that likes quote likes Ty Simpson on your name on

that from September or whatever it was. He sounds like this year's version of, are we really

serious with this idea? There was a video making the rounds yesterday of Dan Rolowski, also ESPN,

the first one of those, one of those penalties at a desk. Not just some podcast or something.

It was on ESPN. And he said, I think he's QB1.

Dan Rolowski said Ty Simpson. He believes it's QB1. I did not watch the entire, all the content

to know if how many different ways it was couched. If it was, this is what I think,

but I don't think that it's going to play out that way. Blah blah blah. Or whatever.

Just like, I think looking at the two guys, this guy's the better guy. Well, now I'm really excited

for the same. So like that's happening. Like that's, and it was funny. The place I came across it

was Matt Vertoram's feed. Because he had a tweet from, I don't know, a week or a month or

some time frame ago saying like, just wait, we're getting to the part of the cycle where

the crazy stuff starts happening. And like he quoted that. I'm like, here we go. Here comes.

It's Ty Simpson is better than Fernando Mendoza's season. Well, I guess I don't want to represent

that you couldn't possibly think that. I'm not an expert on these guys anyway. So I can't really

say that. But this makes me to the earlier conversation. You know, glad to have the hockey playoffs

because that's the kind of stuff that's just such an eye roll. Having to decide whether that's

actually someone's take or they're just trying to get attention. You know, how that gets accused

of people all the time. Here's Brian with us. Hello, Brian. Hey guys, how are you? Good. Thank you.

Good. Just I was in Buffalo, Thursday for the NCAA. It was a great, great time. Good

little stadium. They're good food at your stadium. Really enjoyed my time there on the afternoon session.

Good time. Yeah, man. Good quick question. Now I'm just trying to say what they're not saying.

So is it possible that Mr. Bean might be looking at? Look, I trade my second round pick.

Would he dare trade his first round pick and go a little lower and try and get two value second

round picks high in the second round? Just a life can feel overwhelming. But on my podcast,

from the heart with Rachel Brayton, we're in it together. Every Friday brings you a new story.

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What do you think about that? I don't think he's going to do it. But me, my boys are just talking like,

maybe you never know with them. He does like to trade down thoughts on that or maybe this is not

the year to be doing that. I think anything is possible and I think that makes a lot of sense.

They have a lot of holes. This is not in any way, shape, or form me saying, I think he will do

that. But could he is your question? Yeah. Yeah, they have they have holes and you make the case,

you know, the main highlight of your point here is that he traded away a second round pick.

Sure, he'd like to recoup that. I think it really depends on, you know, obviously, how much do

they like or does he like the what's available? Like, you know, what's in the pool at 26?

Is there a guy that we've had targeted that we think can step in and help us right away?

If there's not, then that's where you start seeing if there is that for somebody else that wants

to come up and take that pick from you and you do the dance. But yeah, I mean, I think

it's absolutely possible, but I would stop way shorter saying it's likely or something,

because I mean, I have no idea. But they could be looking to recoup a pick. They do need

they need guys there, you know, that they don't need another safety anymore. They they've

addressed that, right? But they're still really they're really nowhere at linebacker.

It is really, they sign two guys that have started games in the league last year.

Well, I still see it mocked to them a lot. Yeah. So it's supposed to be a good year for it. And

Gardner Johnson is a one year deal. Like that could just work out or blow up. I don't know. Yeah,

I just I'm not okay. I guess I just mean they don't need to fill a hole immediately with a starter.

They've got guys. So that lowers the temperature on that one position for me a little bit urgently wise,

but they don't I don't know what they're doing at linebacker. They still need an edge guy.

You know, the question really starts to get into how much do you think an edge guy drafted 26

overall is going to do for you right away and in the immediate future versus KC Concepts.

He's there. Like what's the what's the value to the team and the impact short-term and long-term?

You're going to take a lot of things into account there, but I wouldn't rule out them trading down

just because they still have needs. I mean, you really never should rule it out, I think. And

I don't know. It's my favorite thing about the draft every year is the campaign for that.

Interesting that the caller used the word would he dare to do it? What's the dare? I mean,

it's probably smart. No matter what your roster looks like. I don't have to give you the whole

speech every time, but this is how you win at the draft. And the bills are not picking tenth.

They're picking 26th, which is very different. I mean, not for them. It's been they've been in

that range for a few years now. But once you get to the back end of the first round, I mean, there's

a lot that's kind of done already. Top talent. And I think you're looking at, you know, it's like a

what a chart where as you naturally, like just like in hockey, when you get lower in the draft,

the difference in talent is minimized. What I've got the chart out, right? So 26 draft tech

is my go-to for this draft chart. They're all different, but they all seem to have about the same

amount of credibility teams might have their preferences. I'm sure they do. Pick 26 is 700 points.

That's equivalent to picks 50 and 60. Now different teams hold 50 and 60. So you can't just do

that, right? But mid second, late second or 40 and 78 are also the same number of points as 26.

Like it's a free day to pick if you're willing to bite the bullet on the first round. What has to

happen there is you have to, and look, they might even have a decent idea about this themselves

because they're stacking these players up. And they'll know if they think this is the bills now,

right? If they're looking at, you know, how many first rounders are there really? 15, 20, whatever

there are, there certainly aren't 26. I'll bet on the bills board and maybe every team in the leagues

board. So how much of a plateau is there from wherever that drops off, right? Where does the first

round, you know, figuratively end like as far as talent goes? And if that's 20, how far does that

step down extend? Like in other words, if I'm drafting all guy at 26 and his athletic score, his

traits, how much we like him, whatever, it's comparable to guys in the range that you just said,

somewhere in the second round, well then you should absolutely get out of there and get two of those

guys instead of just the one. Like that's just the sensible thing to do if there's a team out there

that can facilitate that for you. But it really depends on where that shelf is, you know, if it

and how steep a drop and then how long it lasts before another drop. But if you've got players

from 20 to say 60, comparably graded, then the sensible thing to do is to get two for one if you can.

I think easy game. I mean, yes, I'm here for that every single year, almost no matter what,

Kansas City has 40 and 74. You want to do that? You want to trade with the chiefs? 40, would you

do it? Well, you would not just just no, no matter what the offer is, you just not trading with the

chiefs, a higher second higher to mid third equals pick 26. Look, you know, it's one thing to

just consider this on like a philosophical level. All the points about improving your odds of

good players and filling holes. Sure. The bills did this when they picked Coleman.

Forget it was when it was Kansas City. Like, leave that out. I mean, worthy hasn't been that good

himself for the chiefs. So that's not the point. But they did not really take advantage of

the move or moves because there was a second move that same night with Carolina. They did a little

better as I recall by the points with Carolina. What they got for Kansas City was what? A fourth

was negligible. Yeah, they really did not do well in that trade like value wise to move down

eight spots or whatever that was. Remember, Kansas City was 32. Right. Bill's might have been 25

that year. He was 28. 28. Pretty late. Yeah. So it shouldn't have been that big, but it's still,

I remember just reading that they did not get the value they should have got. Yeah, that was my

feeling about it is that that's an exciting look. When it pops up on the screen, you know,

a trade and the bills are moving down. I'm for it. I'm ready. Like that to me should be a good

opportunity. Teams might want the first round pick for the fifth year option or have a favorite

quarterback or something. Like, maybe you can really pounce there and the bills did okay in that

trade. And then were maybe they weren't, but a lot of us were haunted by worthy versus Coleman.

Then the second trade with Carolina was the one spot, but it gave them, as I've said many times,

all of Friday to do something else with that pick. When the whole day, teams can come to you with

offers and ideas and the bills ended up just using that pick, which, you know, is not uncommon.

But yeah, I'm all for it. I mean, trading up is for what? Oh, trading like a future first probably.

The second is a really valuable piece in draft trade stuff because it rates high enough where you

could move up and around one, but after the second round, it gets pretty cheap. The bills second

pick is 91. And using this chart again, if they were to offer their third with their first,

they could maybe move up five spots in the first round. And that's another player gone. So I would

definitely not be for that. If you want to trade up higher than five spots in the first round,

we're talking next year's one probably. Right. I think looking back at how we feel, how I feel

about that draft trade from 2024 with the chiefs, as much as I hated doing it and was really

mad at their tone, I just hang up. It hasn't mattered at all, really. Right. I mean,

were they had a good game in the AFC title game, eventually, but like did against Buffalo? Right.

But did they, how much of a difference did that make? The bills still had their opportunities to

win that game, despite Xavier worthy being over there and getting really nothing from Coleman.

I think I would still, I think I would do it again. I don't think I would prohibit that. In my

mind, the chiefs call, they want to make a trade. I want to make a good trade. I don't want to

get three quarters value or whatever they got in this worthy trade or less than that. So I want

full, full value, but I don't, I think I would do it. I think I would do business with them. I'd

let them come up and get their guy and I would take two picks for it. And that's because of what?

All my complaining and handering about it, it hasn't really mattered. Okay. Like the trade's a wash.

Pretty much like I only Coleman's that much worse. I mean, Coleman's worse off than worthy,

but worthy is not popping in some undeniable way that I feel like I've missed out on some. We'll

see how that plays out. I mean, after, you're kind of saying it, right? That after the first year,

it was a little more of a downer, right? And now after two years, it didn't really pop for worthy.

Were they 685 and a score against the bills in that AFC championship? He had a big,

the game was probably over by them. They had a big touchdown in the Super Bowl too against Philadelphia,

but kind of a down year last year. I would give worthy, I think, a better chance of establishing

himself in the league than I would give Coleman at this point. I mean, I don't disagree with that.

Coleman is, it's the B word so far. It's a bust so far. Even if it is pick 33, it's high enough,

I would say, to qualify or kind of non first round pick ever be a bust. I don't know. To me,

it was a big moment for the bills, trading down twice, getting him and getting only what they've

gotten so far. What we don't get to know is if that was the guy that they were sold on at 20,

like that was their favorite idea at 28. And if they're if they're intel, like whatever they thought

was going to happen was, and again, we don't get to know this, but we can go back. We can keep going

back. That's the guy we want, right? It's a miss if that's their thought process. But if it was,

then you know, at least they got paid for getting the guy they were going to pick anyway,

and not just sitting there and doing it at 28. Well, of course, the most recent version of

that is that the coaches wanted Coleman. Right. Sure. Whatever you say.

So I'm not sure what we do with that. But yeah, NFL draft is a month from yesterday, April 23rd.

Mike show up in the bulldog here at 8030550. This is WGR.

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