Quantifying Deception & The Rays’ Fast Start

Eno, Trevor, and DVR unveil Trevor’s new deception model, digging into how it works, what it’s designed to measure, and the challenges of quantifying deception. They also break down the current leaders in deception among starters and relievers, and reveal where listeners can access the model (Hint: coming soon to Discord!). Later, they bring back How I’d Pitch This Guy with a look at Junior Caminero before shifting to the Rays’ rotation, focusing on Shane McClanahan and Griffin Jax.

Rundown:

1:15 Quantifying Deception: From 2016 to 2026

8:39 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Starting Pitchers for 2026

9:30 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Relief Pitchers for 2026

15:10 Looking to the Future: More Precision From Impact of Hitter's Vision?

23:15 Deception Model Coming Soon to Discord!

23:51 The Rays' 24-12 Start: What's Working Thus Far?

26:04 Is the League Pitching the Rays Wrong?

36:44 How I'd Pitch This Guy: Junior Caminero

42:33 Starkville Sneak Peek

44:38 Knocking the Rust Off: Shane McClanahan

49:46 Getting Out of Rehab Mode

54:37 Expectations for Griffin Jax as a Starter

Eno's FanGraphs Blog Post: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/an-attempt-to-quantify-pitcher-deception/

Follow DVR on Bluesky: @DVR.bsky.social

Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social

Follow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.social

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Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris

With: Jed Lowrie

Editor: Jason Potere

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