QB Fantasy Ceiling Shrinking Fast | NFL News

Josh Allen still dominates fantasy QB production, fueled by his rushing prowess—41 TDs in three seasons—but the game’s evolving defenses and rising competition mean even elite QBs are facing tougher odds. With nine QBs hitting 300+ fantasy points last year (up from just a few in 2023), depth is exploding, yet top-tier ceilings are shrinking as age and smarter schemes chip away at dominance. While stars like Allen and Jackson remain elite early picks, especially in superflex formats, the drop-off after the top few is steep—with massive gaps between mid-to-late rounders. Still, hidden gems lurk later in drafts, ready to surprise if you’re willing to take a calculated risk.

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