Prop Points | March 30, 2026

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1:00This is prop point, Ton. V-Sin, these sports betting networks. Welcome into a Monday edition of prop points here on V-Sin. These sports betting network, I'm Nick Whalen. He's Jeff Erickson. And yet again, Jeff, we got a monster show coming your way over the next hour. The final four is set. We'll of course take a look back at what we saw in the elite eight on Saturday and Sunday. Believe we are contractually obligated, Jeff, to talk about the Yukon Duke game. Plenty of takeaways there. We'll get a look at the initial matchups, the initial lines for the final four on Saturday. Full NBA card tonight. Eight games in the association. I'll hand out all of my favorite sides, my favorite totals, my favorite player props for the night. Then we'll have our friend Brandon Cravitz stop by the show. That's coming up at 130 Eastern. Talk final four with Brandon. We'll get some of his plays in the NBA. And we'll finish out with a big Monday in Major League Baseball 15 games on the Slates. All of Jeff Erickson's favorite plays in baseball.

2:02Before we talk, elite eight Jeff, just a reminder, if you miss any of our shows, if you want to read, listen to any of our shows, either prop points or any program on V-Sin. You could do that in podcast form wherever you get your podcast. Apple Spotify, I don't know, any other apps that are out there. Just search prop points, search fees in. You'll find all of our programming. All right, let's start out with Yukon Duke. Jeff, we're probably the game of the tournament so far. One of those moments that we're not only going to be talking about for the next few years, but maybe the next few decades. You know, every year, it feels like there's something that will be put in the future montage for an NCAA tournament in like 2047. That Braille and Mullins shot is absolutely one of those moments, completing just a ridiculous comeback for Yukon. You know, this game looked like it was going to go the way of Michigan Tennessee in the early window, which turned into a blowout. Obviously, Tennessee never able to work its way back in. Duke led by as much as 19. They were up 15 at the half. Yukon could not hit a shot. They were one of 18 to start this game from beyond the arc. Obviously, the biggest three of the night ended up going down, but what was almost more impressive to me, Jeff, was the fact that Yukon was able to eat

3:05into that deficit and, you know, do so without hitting three. It's not like they just got hot and all of a sudden, you know, a 15-point game became a three-point game. It was death by a thousand cuts as far as Yukon finally being able to work its way back into the game and, of course, some huge mistakes on the Duke side on that final possession. Yeah, entirely. It was one of those smash and grab wins. Like, how did this possibly happen? You know, it just had to be a perfect confluence of events for it to get that way there. All I have to do, let yourself get fouled. You know, just roll the ball down the court. You know, a lot of different ways this could have gone. This is the one way it couldn't have, basically. You know, Dr. Strange had like a million different scenarios there. This is the one scenario where Yukon wins. I know this is, that's a movie reference you don't get. So that's okay, but it's fine. Yeah, I know. It's okay. But it was a, it was a, you know, just fantastic game. Weird game, though, because you're right. Yukon wasn't hitting shots. The thing is, they didn't force it. They, you know, they could have taken,

4:06I've seen teams take 35-3s before, you know, and just keep chucking away. Think Utah jazz, you know, and they just teams that just keep on chucking when they're losing like that, they didn't do that. They, they worked the, they, they worked the system. They got a lot of good possessions where they found some good cuts in the middle. They made some free throws. They, you know, little by little dribs and drabs. Like you said, they just kept on chipping away and chipping away. They did hit a couple of big threes late, including obviously the game winner. But, you know, they, for the most part, they just played, they tightened up their defense. They, they got a couple of runouts. They otherwise had good possessions. And they, they stopped Duke from getting easy scores, which they were getting constantly in the first half. That was the thing, like Duke had the easy button in the first half and all of a sudden the game tightened up in the second half. Kudos to Hurley for just adjusting at halftime there. Yeah, I got some huge stops down the stretch. Also, I thought, you know, Duke made some really tough buckets toward the end. You know, when Yukon was making that run, all the momentum had shifted toward the Huskies. There were a couple of late shot clock possessions

5:07where you felt like Duke was going to have to, you know, get up a desperation look. You know, there was that possession late where Cam Booser was able to just plow his way to the rim and throw something up. And it ended up being a really impressive game for him, by the way. It's statistically 27 and 8 with four assists and a couple big blocks. So I think Cam Booser still comes out of this game, you know, without damaging anything as far as this NBA draft stock goes. A tougher night for Kaden Booser, of course, who had to turn over at the end of the game, props to him for owning that in the post game. But as you alluded to, Jeff, just it was so avoidable to me, you know, get fouled. Yukon is trying to foul at that point. You know, there's out 20 seconds on the clock where you have enough time conceivably to, you know, to throw three or four traps out there and be really aggressive for a steal. Obviously it worked out for Yukon. But if that passes two inches higher and it sales over the defender's hands, this game is over. There were two guys for Duke down there who either run out the clock or dunk the ball and all of a sudden it's a four point game and Yukon has no chance. I don't know if it was, if it was a freshman, just kind of losing, losing consciousness of the time on the clock. I don't know if it was subconsciously. I don't want to get fouled.

6:07I don't want to have to make two free throws to put this game away. But just giving Yukon that opportunity, let alone, you know, then stepping up and hitting a 35 foot three. I also could not believe, I say, Evan, so I'm sure you saw this on on Twitter last night, Jeff. His Instagram handle is at get a hand up. Did not get a hand up. There's two seconds on the clock. There's nothing wrong with it. If Mullins passes that ball, the game is over. You're not getting a shot up. I again, I know it's a high pressure moment. How do you not contest it? I think he was just shocked at the sequence of events. The fact that Yukon had the poise to throw two passes after the steal, that to me is, I mean, that's underrated in this whole sequence as well there too. Instead of just like dribbling down, forcing a quick shot, you know, you know, taking that shot on the wing with their, you know, they know they took two passes, got the open shot. I really think it was just a shock factor for Evan's. You're dropping knowledge there, by the way, about the Instagram handle. That's something I did not know. That's amazing. Just really surreal to see that all happen all the way through. Just this is a game we'll be talking about for a very long time.

7:11Really sets up a fun weekend. I think all four teams are really fun. I think I'm looking forward to both of these games. I could see any one of these matchups happening, but my goodness. I mean, Arizona versus Michigan. This is a clash of the Titans. Really can't wait for this game. I'm so glad this is the late game on Saturday. I'll say that gives us a little more time to build toward this game. If you know what I mean, so we get Illinois Yukon in the early window, Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, currently a two and a half point favorite Michigan, opening up as a one and a half point favorite against Arizona. Yeah, I think you're right. You can see both of these games go in either way. Michigan, Arizona to me is just an all-time impossible game to predict. I think the the strengths for each team, you know, matchup really well. You know, both teams have a ton of depth. Both teams have a ton of size. It's like Michigan is the only team that could counter Arizona with that size. You can say the same thing about Arizona with Michigan. Like the this idea that Michigan has been able to kind of bully teams. Throughout the season and throughout the tournament. I just don't think you could do that against Arizona. I think it's going to be a fascinating defensive matchup. And then, you know, Illinois, I don't think anybody's shocked

8:13or nobody should be shocked that the align I have made this run. We know what this team is capable of offensively. But what they've done on the defensive side in this tournament, Jeff, just holding everybody under 55 points, you know, doing so against some elite opponents on the way here. That's what's been most surprising to me. Seeing Illinois play its best two-way basketball at the right time. Yeah, absolutely. Just we talked about this last week in anticipation of the Illinois Houston matchup. The link of Illinois causes a lot of problems for teams. Probably won't. And that was actually an issue for Yukon last night against Duke, too. So I'm curious about that. However, we saw that, you know, there's another different angle on this game, too, from two years ago. Remember that Yukon eliminated Illinois on the way to its national title. And they went on an epic run in the first, second, like the second 10 minutes of the first half on that one, where they think they want basically had like a 30 to nothing run against Illinois there. Now, is this a little bit of a revenge factor there? Or is this a repeat? I will see about that. I'm curious about that angle a little bit, too.

9:15Yeah, Illinois versus Terrace Reed, to me, is what I'm going to be focused in on. Illinois has the size. Do they have the physicality to match Reed? It's just been a bull in a china shop throughout this tournament. We'll talk to baseball in a moment, but we are, of course, down to the final stretch in college. It's a great time to stay on top of every bet. And with Veecent Pro, you'll get daily best bets, real-time betting splits from draft Kings and Circa, AI-powered prop tools and matchup analysis, plus 24-7 video and full show replays on the Veecent watch app. The final four matchups are covered on Veecent.com with expert previews, best bets and betting trends. You can stay ahead of the market. And beyond college hoops, you'll get our major league baseball betting guide, coverage of both the NBA and NHL playoff races, as well as our upcoming PGA Masters betting guide. Start today for just $9.99 or better yet, stay 50% with an annual subscription. Go check it out over at Veecent.com slash subscribe, bsin.com slash subscribe. A monster opening weekend in major league baseball. Jeff had a ton of games Thursday, Friday, Saturday,

10:17and Sunday. Want to get some of your your high-level takeaways, including a group of rookie hitters, who I think really could not have had better debuts over the weekend talking Kevin McGonagall, JJ Weatherhold, of course, chase the lottery, maybe at the top of that list with the Guardians. Yeah, four homers in the first three games from De Lauderdin and Homer yesterday, because, of course, he's going against the great Emerson Hancock. But still, you really, really fun weekend for De Lauderdre, who we first saw in the playoffs last year, did not play in a regular season game last season. But those of you who are in the fantasy baseball, especially in a dynasty and keeper leagues, you know who chased De Lauderdre was. You knew how what a great prospect he was, but at the same time got hurt constantly in the minors. Fun to see him healthy off to a good start. You know, hitting some good pitchers too along the way. That's the thing, you know, getting Andrews Munoz the other night was an interesting thing to see you out of him. Fun to see that from a Cleveland team that spent very little money this off season. So they need their rookies to step up and in the case of De Lauderdre, he did. We'll see him now in the bright lights of LA

11:17playing the Dodgers this week, this start off the week as well. So fun with that one there. Kevin McGonagall, an opening day for hits. Love seeing that, especially because we've been banging the drum for McGonagall for a while there. Getting him in a number of fantasy leagues talking about his rookie-the-year prospects. Fun to see him hit the ground running. You know, one other big takeaway from opening weekend in the fantasy world, Jeff Madness in the closer world. And not any good way. Yeah, yeah, absolutely. Saturday in particular, so many blown saves, so many ugly outings. So Emilio Pagano Blow saved the worst one was Carlos Estevez for the Kansas City Royals. Spent some time talking about Estevez's velocity problems all throughout spring training and the WBC. He actually threw a little harder in that blown save against the Braves and he did in spring training, but still three to four miles well below his average fastball velocity. The game winning Grand Slam up to Dominic Smith, who lost his mother just recently due a cancer, so it was kind of a very emotional moment for Smith.

12:17But anyway, on that fastball, he was 92.3 miles an hour. His average fastball was like 96 last year. So some big warning signs there. Top reliever Lucas Erseg got the save on Sunday instead of Estevez, so could be some turnover there. Well, the full preview will have all your best bets for a big Monday and Major League Baseball later in the show. But we're switching gears over to the NBA when we come back. Best bets. Best player props tonight for an eight games late. In the association, you're watching pro points. We'll be right back. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline. And now so can you. Visa Pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets, no fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with Visa and Pro. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports.

13:18And nothing brings us together quite like team USA at the Olympic Winter Games. From NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and Peacock, Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team. Comcast, proud partner of Team USA. Right now, new fan dual customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token. And if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same-game parles for a shot at a bigger payout. Fan dual, it's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select seats. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com. Gamling Problem Call 1-800-Gamler. You're watching Rob Points on V-SIM,

14:20V-SIM, V-S-Sports betting network. Welcome back to Rob Points, Chef Ericsson here with Nick Whalen. We are with RotoWire.com. Let's talk a little MBA today. A big MBA slate, big stretch run here coming up in the ABA, trying to figure out the wild card spots. I should say the playoffs spots in the exact ordering here. Starting off with a gaming against the sixers in the heat. A sixers team that might be a little resurgence getting some of their players back. A heat team coming off a devastating loss to the Pacers yesterday. Yeah, major wild card slash play-in implications here in the Eastern Conference. My Miami Heat plus 2.45 to win the Southeast Division bet is probably sunk if the Heat do not win this game. It might be sunk anyway, Jeff, because it feels like nobody's playing with the game. It might be sunk anyway, Jeff, because it feels like nobody's playing worse right now among actual competitive teams. Then the Miami Heat, who have now lost seven of their last eight games.

15:20They got crushed by the calves the other night, then they turn around and get blown out by the Indiana Pacers yesterday. That's a team that's not interested in winning games. They allowed 130 plus to Indiana. The defense has completely fallen off a cliff for the Miami Heat to have been playing this break deck pace. They've completely changed their style this season. And really for for the bulk of the year, they've been able to maintain and elite defense. That has totally fallen off a cliff. They're 23rd and defense over the last 10 games. That number looks even worse if you just isolate these last eight where where everything is falling apart. So for the Sixers here, a win plus a Hawks loss to the Boston Celtics tonight would put the Sixers out of the play in zone. They're currently the Seven Seed in the East. They're a half game behind Atlanta for the Six Spot. And look, the play in in the East is going to be a battle, right? As of right now, it would be Philly or Lando, Miami and Charlotte. You could still sell me on on any of those teams. I probably feel the worst about the Orlando Magic to, by the way, it gave up a 31-0 run to the Toronto Raptors yesterday and what turned into a blowout loss. But it's going to be really, really competitive, regardless of which four teams end up in there.

16:22I think based on recent form, you have to look at this as a Sixers Spot. Even on the road, you expect the heat to bounce back at some point. But this has been going on for two plus weeks now. Joe Allen Beade should be out there. Tyrese Maxi made his return over the weekend. Immediately played 43 minutes and looked like Tyrese Maxi, by the way. So that was a great sign for the Sixers. Paul George, his suspension is up. So he's back. The total in this game, Jeff, is up to 246 and a half, which is reaching uncomfortable territory for me. I can't play it at that number. But I think you can read into the forecasting here, which is that this should be a back and forth game. It should be a high scoring game. If I'm looking at a prop here, it'd be Tyrese Maxi over 26 and a half points, minus 115 over at that MGM. When you see an extreme total, both high or low, do you just, is this like automatic stay away for you? Or do you think there's some, you know, sometimes we look at like, I pick at this, because sometimes we see like a tank off there, and we have an actual immediate sort of reaction. Like, oh, I can find an angle here. With extreme totals, do you feel that way ever?

17:24I would say in general, it tends to be more of a stay away for me. You know, I think this total is crept up a bit just because, you know, it's second night of a back-to-back for Miami. They gave up 135 to Indiana, you know, the Sixers. Within the last week scored 157 on the Chicago Bulls. So you have some like eye-popping data points that maybe inform this number. So, you know, for me, it's a stay away just because, you know, both of these teams, specifically Miami, has just been so unpredictable of late, but it's not always the case. Like in Pistons Thunder, for example, tonight, we have by far the lowest total on the board, two very good defensive teams, but you also have OKC on the second night of a back-to-back. It's possible they could rest some starters, and you already have Detroit without Kate Cunningham, and likely to be resting at least three starters tonight. So in a spot like that, where there's an obvious reason for it, you know, then I'm a little bit more willing, and a little bit more inclined to play it, but when it just feels like, all right, the market is capitalizing on, you know, two recent of a sample, then I tip a good back away. Yeah, that makes sense. I got burned a little bit on an extreme college total

18:24out over the weekend there, because one team decided they weren't going to make any free throws. But anyways, not bitter. I'm not holding onto that. We're going to move on. Celtics Hawks, let's talk about this one. Jason Tatum, going to be out because it's the first time they've had a back-to-back since he's returned. Second game of that back-to-back. We get Jalen Brown back in, however. That's what it looks like. Yeah, we've had a lot of movements on the injury report for the Celtics. It is second night of a back-to-back, like you said, for Boston. So no Jason Tatum, which we figured would be the case, but it is the first back-to-back since he returned. And it's worth noting that Boston is coming off of a really impressive win on the road in Charlotte. You know, Hornets have been so good at home. They've been so good in general for the last two months. Boston goes in, holds the Hornets under 100 points, puts up 114 without Jalen Brown, and without Derek White. Jason Tatum, 32 points, 8 assists, five rebounds at a block. Pretty easily his best game since he returned. So I think Boston is feeling good about where Tatum is trending as we get closer to the playoffs. Does look like Jalen Brown will play. It does look like Derek White will be back tonight. Looks like they're going to rest,

19:25near me is Cata. So you have to dip in a little bit to the depth up front. That does worry me because they're still without Nicole LaVoucevich, they're all the sudden you're down to your third and fourth centers if you're the Celtics. I still think this is a spot though where I'm not just automatically fading. Boston, even without Tatum, even on the back to back, they did beat the Hawks in a lower scoring game less than a week ago. That was one where Atlanta came in red hot. They've been beating all these bad teams and were forced to play a Celtic style. Like this Atlanta team wants to get up and down. That game was played on like a sub 90 pace. I mean, Boston just has a way of instituting its style on opponents. So there is a reason that we have a lower total here at 225 or 222 and a half, excuse me. I think the Hawks will end up being a popular play tonight. If I had to play this one, I think I would just take the two and a half though with Boston. This is a team that's still making a charge right now in the Easter conference. They're four back of Detroit. They're probably not going to get the one seed, but with brown and whites back in the lineup. I don't think this is a fade spot for me on the Celtics. All right. You mentioned Piston Sutter. You talked about Cunningham probably resting

20:26on a Detroit sitting guys. Well, OK, CB sitting guys because they played last night and a bit of a war against the next last night. Yeah, that's what worries me here. And so Detroit, obviously, they're without Kate Cunningham with the collapse long. Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Jalen Durin, all currently listed as doubtful. Asar Thompson is questionable. They're still without Isaiah Stewart, who's injured. But like you said, back to back for OKC after a hard fought game last night against the New York Knicks. The question is, can OKC afford to rest players because of how well San Antonio is playing? The Spurs just do not lose basketball games anymore, Jeff. They're two and a half back of OKC. We're getting down to that point now where you can start doing the math. And OKC is in good shape to hang onto the one. But in a spot like this, where Detroit is basically showing you that they're going to hand you the game, you don't want to play around. You still want to make sure you get the win here if that one seat is something you care about. So maybe we'll see one or two players rested for OKC. But for what it's worth, we haven't seen any indication on that quite yet. So this is one as of right now. I wouldn't play anything on the side. I do think there is some opportunity, though, for Detroit in the prompt market,

21:28given how many guys are going to be out. I think Paul Reed, over 12 and a half points, makes some sense. You should start. You should see big minutes. Maybe even look at Keraslavert. The first time, and probably the only time we will mention Keraslavert on this show all year, Jeff, nine and a half on the points prop. Somebody has to score for Detroit. And the pistons are one of those teams, much like OKC, even when they're down guys, they still fight. Like they're not going to completely lay down. Yeah, yeah, Pacers former great Keraslavert there. Let's let's put some respect on that name there. Before we talk about Nick's favorite pro player prop in Timberwolves Mavericks, a quick note from us at Rotawire, are you still using your buddy's gut instinct as a betting strategy? Come on, you deserve better. Rotawire gives you the real tools the pros use, rankings, projections, breaking updates and data that never sleeps. Whether you're setting fancy linups, making picks, or placing bets, Rotawire's award winning insights give you a real edge. Get started today at rotawire.com. Use promo code Vison for 15% off any rotawire product, including our brand new betting tool,

22:28rotawire smart money. Invite you to check that out. All right, let's talk a little Timberwolves magic. You do have a favorite player prop in this one. Yeah, so Wolves are on the road at the Mavs tonight. Dallas a seven and a half point home dog. Still some things to be settled on the injury report. The no Jane McDaniels tonight for the wolves does seem like it. The Edwards probably makes his return tonight. He's still listed as questionable. This Dallas team bottom 10 defensively top five in pace. So that this should be a spot where I think we can have some success looking at some Timberwolves player props. I'm looking at Julius Randall 26 and a half is the number on his points plus assist minus 117 at draft kings and we're kind of buying low here. He's coming off a disaster game against Detroit the other night, just two of 13 from the field. Minnesota though has played a very difficult schedule of late Detroit, Houston, Boston, Portland, Phoenix, OKC are six of their last seven opponents. So a bit of a reprieve getting this Dallas team that is so bad on defense also allowing the second most assists per game in the NBA this season.

23:28And if you use our on off tool over at rotawire.com, you take Jayden McDaniels out. You put Julius Randall on averages about four more points per 36 without McDaniels on the court. And with this game lined at seven and a half, maybe we see some movement if Edwards is ruled in. Dallas is still a competitive team. They are tanking, but they're playing their guys. You know, they're keeping games relatively close. I wouldn't see this as a spot where I'd be concerned about Julius Randall playing like 24 minutes because Minnesota is up 25 at the half. So I think we're getting a reasonable number here on that 26 and a half points plus this is. All right, we'll finish with spurs. Bulls, as you mentioned the spurs. They just don't lose eight wins in a row now. The Bulls defensively challenge to say the least. Yeah, it's funny. The defensive numbers like don't look that bad for Chicago, but you look at the point totals. If you watch the bulls, they're terrible defensively. You know, this is one that I talked about as an overspot on caching out last night. And the total is up two points from when we talked about that at about, you know, 10 30 PM Eastern now 244 and a half still with lean over here. But you do worry about San Antonio just clamping down defensively.

24:31Either way, last four Bulls games have landed 249 244 295 and 256. And they played a variety of opponents in that span. San Antonio just does not take its foot off the gas in the spot. I don't know if I lay the 18 and a half with the spurs. That's a little bit rich. But one prop I will give you here that I like quite a bit. That's a picture women Yama over four and a half blocks plus steals minus 124 at draft King Chicago. The most blocked team in the NBA. They're also top five in steals giving up. Friend of the show braiding Kravitz joins us next on the progressive guest line. This is prop points. You're watching prop points on V7, these sports betting network. Pickweyla Jeff Erickson back with you. It's the Monday edition of prop points here on these sports betting network.

25:32We're heading out to the progressive guest line to bring on our good pal, Brandon Kravitz, friend of the show, friend of the network. Occasionally moon lights as a co-host here on prop points. Get also find his work as a prop analyst for us over at roadwire. Check about on Twitter at Brandon Kravitz. Brandon, welcome in. And first of all, congratulations are in order. You were on the show a couple of weeks ago. You gave out Illinois to make the final four at three to one. Congratulations on cashing that. But the question is, what is your level of confidence now in this Illinois team making it past Yukon on Saturday? Well, thank you guys very much. When you have even though there are three seed, a team that was not picked by the masses to make it to the championship, I do have Illinois in my variety of brackets winning the championship. I find myself at a very high percentile as far as those that are still alive and running things in terms of those bracket challenges. So this is one of those where I wish I had put more on those

26:33endeavors, but I did cash the Illinois final four ticket. I do have them also 22 to one to win the championship. My confidence is high. I think they're going to beat Yukon. I would lay the points with them in that matchup in the final four minus two and a half. The concern is that you kind of need the other two teams to beat up on each other because Arizona and Michigan are as well as Illinois is playing. Those two teams are playing better than anybody to get to this point. They've bludgeoned their opponents. So a lot of people are looking at that game as the de facto national championship, but this Illinois team, there's a reason why I put my harder and American dollars on them entering the tournament. They checked a lot of those metric boxes that I look for to go deep into into the NCAA tournament with the one question being their defense. And they've used their length to their advantage. They're a great rebounding team as well. And we see how well when you use your size properly, how far they can take you in this tournament.

27:34They're facing a Yukon team that obviously had the miraculous bonkers come back against Duke last night. Yeah, speaking of bonkers, Dan Hurley. I think got away with headbutting a ref yesterday somehow, but what do you see in this matchup, Yukon versus Illinois? How does this break down? So fading the public is perhaps one of the more overused phrases in our industry, but there are times when it is extremely applicable in what we do. And I mean, I only have the science of years of trial and error behind me, so you'll just have to take my word for it on this. You have big NFL games, championship games in college football, NCAA tournament games. I've got my sister and my nephew who just graduated high school, who know nothing about basketball texting me and asking me for NCAA tournament betting advice. We call that fish money in the industry. And I love my family, so this is not a knock against them. But the fact that they're betting on the tournament

28:34tells you everything you need to know. And when you have fish money entering the market, the whales come in and eat it up. And with that said, who do you think the betting public will be on after watching Yukon win in one of the most thrilling come back near buzzer beaters in tournament history? Of course, it's the huskies run for the hills. This Illinois team is one that, as you guys mentioned, I've had pegs since the start of the tournament. They fit every metric I look for in a champion. And frankly, they've been even better than I anticipated. Already cast that final four ticket, but I'm going to get greedy here. And I'm going to lay the points with them going up against the Yukon team that is due for a let down here. And I think the books are going to mop up as we fade the huskies. 66% of the bets, 68% of the handle coming in early at draft kings on the Yukon huskies. Our friend Brandon Kravitz joins us on the progressive gas line. Brandon, you and I are in lockstep when we broke down the tournament

29:36a couple of weeks ago on the show on Arizona as our favorite to win it all. Wildcats plus one and a half right now against Michigan. I said earlier in the show, I'm pretty much throwing my hands up here. I just want to watch this game independently. I have some rooting interests, of course, in Arizona winning. But can you find an edge early on in what feels like a matchup of two extremely, extremely evenly matched teams? Yeah, I've gotten that you said that. I think we're going to be in lockstep again. I've got two futures bets that are still sitting out there. One is a much better one. I really want for my own finances, Illinois to win the championship. The second best thing that could happen for me is for Arizona to win at all. And a lot of people are looking at this saying this is the de facto championship game. I'm not quite buying that. But obviously you see where people are getting that from. Even these two teams, I mean, they go up against one another in this matchup. They're still the co-biting favorites to win the NCAA tournament. That tells you all you need to know about the confidence from the odds makers

30:36and those that are betting into this that one of these two teams is obviously going to win this game. But then go on to beat the opponent that comes from the fighting a line-eye in the Huskies. Michigan won its first four tournament games by an average of 22 and a half points. Arizona's margin was 20 and a half. Neither of these teams face the second half challenge. Basically, they're out the entirety of the tournament. They both have incredible size and athleticism. Very well coached. I mean, there's really nothing that you can point to and say, well, this team clearly has an edge here. So the only reason why I like Arizona, if I had to bet it now, is that that's the team that I'm getting a point and a half with. In a game that should be close, you would think. Yeah, I don't think that either of these teams are going to run away with a 20 point victory again. So I'm with you though. That's just if I had to bet it right now. If I was in a contest or something like that, I've got the Arizona ticket to win the championship. And I'll probably just sit back, make a bucket of popcorn and enjoy it like the rest of us.

31:38You want to get that your ideal setup would be a matchup of that classic. I think a lead eight game between Arizona and Illinois, about from 10 years ago. If one of the best is a tournament games ever, I would love to see that. That would be super fun. Yes, please. So that is just know that if Arizona wins against Michigan and Illinois beats Yukon, Brandon Kravitz is a very happy man in Orlando, Florida. That was that was the sleeve. It's not a buyer game. If I remember correctly. Yes, it was my favorite college basketball player. My goodness. I mean, I think that's a feasible matchup, Brandon. And that's the matchup that I'll be hoping for. All right, not only are you a great college hoops expert, Brandon, but you have plenty of expertise in the NBA as well. You covered the Orlando magic down in that area. To tomorrow, a turn of phrase, Brandon, from my high school defensive coordinator in football. One God's pocket is going out with the Orlando magic right now. How do you give up a 31-0 run when you're in the middle of a playoff chase? Yeah, when you figure it out, please send me a message.

32:45A nice, well-worded email will do. I'm trying to figure that out myself. I had the good fortune of hosting the Orlando magic post-game show last night on the radio side. That was a treat. You should go back and listen to that. Hopefully we've burned the audio from that. That would take many pauses as I collected myself as to not curse on NBA radio airwaves. A 31-0 run, a 53-point loss, the biggest loss in magic history. Bigger than any that they faced in their inaugural season in 1989 when they were playing with an expansion roster. How in the world does this happen other than you either have gone out the night before or you've given up on your coach or both? That's the only way that something like this happens. It's one thing to get blown out. We consider a blow out, well, like 15, 20 points. That's a bad loss on any given night in the NBA. That stuff happens to everybody. There's not a team in the league that has an experience that this year. 53 points is a much larger problem,

33:47and either your players are not taking their preparation seriously, or they are quitting actively on their coach. And either way, something clearly needs to change. Here's the thing, the teams that are below them, below that play-in line in the Eastern Conference, they're already out of it. So the magic are going to make some version of a postseason. They've got eight games left, and probably a game or two in the play-in. Just try not to get embarrassed the rest of the way out. This is the only bit of advice that I could give them. I mean, at this point, that to me was a season-ender. I don't know how you come back from that, but they just have to play with the sense of pride down the stretch, because to this point, they've not been doing that. Brandon got about a minute left. You kind of wanted to talk a little bit about a futures bet here. Any play-in team to make the second round of minus 175? Which side of you are you on that and why? So any play-in team to make, yeah, well, I mean,

34:48I would be a, I'm a believer in the Charlotte Hornets. So to me, yeah, that would be the play, but here's the thing. They have to make it as the eight seed, because I think a team that makes it out of the play-in, whether it be Philadelphia and Charlotte, or the two teams that I believe in the most, that are sitting within that southeast invitational, I think that those teams could push Detroit. Boston is a clear favorite to make it out of the Eastern Conference. Now that they've Jason Tatum back, and that how they look good with him, not on the floor. So you kind of need one of those teams to either have to play their way in and finish as the eight or lose the seven eight, and then win the remaining play-in game if that happens. And I think that they could advance, and we're assuming in this scenario that Kate Cunningham is not healthy. Yeah, the minus 175 price is what drew my attention there, because I don't think it's happening in the West. And you know, even if Kate is not at 100% in the postseason,

35:49still put that at minus 175 to me. I'm not sure that really matches up with the true probability. Brandy Kravitz, everybody, free quick guest here on Rob Boyd, check him out on Twitter at Brandy Kravitz. All the best plays at Major League Baseball coming your way next, with the Rob Boyd's on decent. You have to be sure that your TurboTax expert will be in charge of everything. Now the employees are doing this. Intuit TurboTax. Visit TurboTax.com for more information. Only available with TurboTax experts. Actualization is in real time, only in mobile application for iOS. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports. And nothing brings us together quite like Team USA at the Olympic Winter Games. From NBC Universal's iconic storytelling

36:50to the innovative technology across Exfinity and Peacock, Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When Team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team. Comcast, proud partner of Team USA. Welcome back into prop points here on these sports betting network. Take away on Jeff Erickson taking you up to the top of the hour. Money moves coming your way next with JVT. Jensen Lewis going to make a stop by the show with some MLB plays. We'll finish out our show, Jeff, with all of your favorite props and plays in Major League Baseball today. We've got a full slate coming our way. Let's start it off in the NL Central. Jeff, your Cincinnati Reds home for the pirates

37:51to begin the week, Braxton Ashcraft going up against chase burns. I know you're excited to see the debut of burns. We're looking at a strikeout prop for him. I am. And I'm excited, yet I want to exercise a little bit of caution here with this one here with chase burns. Going to go unders a lot on strikeout props early in the season because often these pictures aren't asked to go deep into games. Sometimes, especially younger pictures, and we saw this with chase burns in spring training that his workload was limited. I know his exhibition started against the brewers last week caused some excitement there. But at seven and a half strikeouts, that's a pretty high number to hit there. And the pirates are middle of the pack strikeout team about 23% over the weekend against the meds. So not like a huge strikeout team. I'm going to take the under on the strikeout prop with chase burns at seven and a half. The best price I've found so far is minus 152 over at Fandall. Shop around, as always, in your jurisdiction, you might find a better price. You can use Rotawar Smart Money tool to help you find that as well. If in your particular state, look for that best price there because you want to,

38:53you know, price matters, obviously, with all of these player props. Let's take a look at Meds Cardinals. Jeff Clay Holmes going up against Kyle Leahy. Is this another spot where you would look under on a strikeout prop? Yeah, absolutely. It's a low number. This is one, you know, I asked you about extremes earlier. This is one of the lowest strikeout props out on the board here at Clay Holmes at three and a half strikeouts. The, the Cardinals were an extreme low strikeout team over the weekend, only 13% of the time. Holmes is a bit of a pitch to a contact pitcher, too. This is why you're going to see such a low number. If you look at, you know, his strikeouts last year, it was only 18%. That's a very low number. Average is about 20. So he's a below average strikeout pitcher against a below average strikeout team. Let's take the under at three and a half. We're getting a pretty decent price on that one. There are plus 112 over at Bet Rivers. So I think that's it. Those confluence of events should work out in our favor. Folks, baseball season is officially here at Veecent Pro. Just made it a whole lot more profitable with MLB AI player prop projections

39:56powered by Opta AI. We're giving you data driven projections for both hitters and pitchers compared directly to Draft King's lines. So you know exactly where the value is. And every single day we break it all down into the top value plays and the strong plays. You don't have to do any of the heavy lifting. Get access now with a Veecent Pro subscription. You could do that at Veecent.com slash MLB props. V S I N dot com slash MLB props. Jeff Erickson helping us break down a 15 game major league baseball slate on a Monday. Jeff, let's head out to a later game tonight. 810 PM Eastern start down in Houston. We got the red socks going out it with the Astros. Ranger Suarez on the hill going up against Lance McCullors. And to peel back the curtain a little bit, Jeff, we were we were batting around a Ranger Suarez strikeout prop earlier this morning. Numbers four and a half prices minus one 14 at Draft King's. Are we playing anything with Suarez? Yeah, producer extraordinaire Michael Cohen directed this this one here. We're playing a little rake that prop in this section here. I'd rate it about a three and a half out of five.

40:58It's it's I think I'm going to go ahead and play it. Suarez is a decent strikeout rate last season. Used to be known as a pitch to contact pitcher. But the last two seasons, he's been up over 23% in the strikeout percentage. Astros are in the middle of the pack and strikeouts over the weekend at home. Against the angels and not really a huge strikeout team. So for them to be in the middle of the pack as a strikeout team, themselves offensively, I think it's a decent spot. The red socks, I think they'd like Suarez to have a little bit of depth into this game. So let's go ahead and play it over four and a half strikeouts. We're getting that price at minus one 14 over at Draft King's. Fun series starting up in LA tonight. Guardians on the road facing the Dodgers. We will see Parker Messick. Jeff going up against Rocky Sasaki. I know you have a money line and a total play on this one. Yeah, this is a kind of a bet against Rocky Sasaki, who is really awful in spring training. Really awful in terms of the walk rate in particular there. So that that's something that I kind of want to bet against Sasaki.

42:02So I thought there's a couple of ways we could approach this. One is the money line. And if you use a roto wire smart bet, you can see there's a lot of action down on the money line for the guardians here. It is a little minor endorsement of Parker Messick, who's had a really good spring. I think there's some good things happening with him. But it's more an indictment of Rocky Sasaki. So I will take the guardians money line at plus 164 over at Bet MGM. I know at some places you can find even a better price on that. So shop around as always use that roto wire smart money tool. I also like the over eight and a half in this one here. If we're going to bet against Sasaki, let's expect some runs to be scored. That way, even if their money line doesn't come through at least, you get a little bit of the team scoring a lot of runs. Maybe we get another chase to a lot of our home or in the action, in the action there as well. I'd be happy to see that. Another game in the late window tonight. Tigers on the road in Arizona, Justin Verlander taking on Michael Soroka. Diamondback's slight favorite on the money line at draft Kings minus 118, minus 102. If you like Detroit total coming in at nine.

43:04Jeff, I'm checking my notes here. It is a Monday. It's not digger Friday. And yet we have a long shot digger prop. Yeah, let's have some fun with this one here. We have a tool over at roto wire. It's a better versus pitcher when it kind of highlights some of the extreme results. First of all, Carlos Santana in his career against Justin Verlander is 86 at bats. Everybody else is like at 20, 30, 40 is considered a lot goldsmith versus Castillo. For instance, there Carlos Santana in an old school, AL Central Showdown. It used to be there. Santana with the Cleveland Verlander with Detroit. They face each other 86 times in that. Santana hasn't always gotten the better of Verlander. In fact, he's only hitting 220 against him. So I expect him to strike out once or twice, but he's also had nine homers in his career against Verlander. So let's have a little bit of fun with this one here. The payout is high enough there. Plus 950 is a home run prop at bed MGM for Santana. So let's have some fun with that one there. So that's going to be that.

44:05I really have an opinion on the line and the game itself. This is just a fun digger prop. Let's head over to A's Braves. Jeff Braves took two or three from the Royals over the weekend. At least made it through the top part of that rotation. But when you get a little bit deeper, Jeff talking about Bryce Elder who's going to be on the hill tonight. All these injuries starting to stack up on the pitching side for Atlanta. This is where it could get a little bit dicey, but going up against Jacob Lopez and an athletics team that was swept out of Toronto, was striking out left and right over the weekend. So how do we play this? Yeah, this is an interesting contrast between a pitcher. We don't trust in Bryce Elder and a team that all they do is strike out. A struck out at whopping 50 times in three games against the Jays. That equates to like a 45% K percentage, which is obviously it's not sustainable, but it does illustrate some of their issues. And it hurts to strike out a ton, for instance, so far this season. You know, worried a little bit about them getting to Elder and maybe preventing him from staying in the game long enough to get those strikeouts.

45:08But if he goes five, which I think he can do, I think he'll get those strikeouts. So it's a small number, only four and a half to hit here. At minus 135 over Hard Rock was the best price I could find on the over four and a half strikeouts for Bryce Elder. Angels at the Cubs tonight, Jeff. Ryan Johnson going up against Edwin Cabrera. And I think the total is what we want to be monitoring here. Currently nine and a half at Trap Kings has been bouncing back and forth. Touch 10 earlier today. We got wind blowing out in Riggly. Are we reading into that storylines? Does this have to be an overspot? Yeah, it is. And it's a weather play a little bit there. It's also against the pitcher, Ryan Johnson. Who is intriguing? But I think pretty volatile strikeout upside. It was in Abel last year. So we'll see how deep he goes in in this game. The other takeaway is the Angels bullpen has thrown a ton of innings in the last couple of days. The Astros had a massive comeback on Saturday where they were down six, nothing turned around and won that game 11-9. That another wild game yesterday against the Astros versus the Angels there.

46:09Pitched four days in a row. So the bullpen I think will give some up as well. That's why I like the overnight and a half runs. Let's close things out with our best bets of the night. Jeff, you just gave us some great plays and major league baseball. What do we like most? I'm just going to, I think that Angels cubs over. I really like. But also the Guardians money line at plus 164. Hey, plus money with the better pitcher. I think that's a rare combo. Let's go ahead and take it. Plus 164 over at Bet MGM on the Guardians. I'm going to lock in that Wemen Yamba prop that we touched on earlier. Okay. So Jeff over four and a half blocks plus steals minus 124 over at draft Kings. Again, Chicago, the most block team in the NBA. There are also top five in steals allowed to opponents. Wemen Yamba is going over this number of blocks alone in three of his last four games. He's making a concerted charge for the MVP award. The Spurs are a team that just do not take their foot off the gas. I don't care who they're playing every single night. They want to run teams into the ground. I think we could see that tonight. I just, if Chicago wants to challenge him at the rim, they could try.

47:12It's not going to go well. One previous matchup this season five blocks at a steal in limited action for Victor Wemen Yamba. So we will lock in the over four and a half blocks and steals. That's going to bring us to the end of the Monday edition of Prop Points. We'll of course be back with you each day. The rest of the week Monday through Friday at 1 p.m. Eastern coming up next. It's money moves with Jonathan Vontoba. He's going to have Jensen Lewis join a name on the show with his best bets in the MLB. Coming up at four Eastern, follow the money with Mitch Boss and Paulie Howard. And at seven, bring in your home. Tim Murray and Matt Humans on the bike. Have a great rest of your day. Enjoy this Monster Vagely Baseball Slate. We'll talk to you tomorrow afternoon.

48:14You can be sure that your TurboTax expert will be in charge of everything. Now the bets are done like this. Intuit TurboTax. Visit TurboTax.com for more information. Only available with TurboTax experts. Actualization is in real time. Only in the mobile application for iOS. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports. And nothing brings us together quite like team USA at the Olympic Winter Games. From NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and Peacock. Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team. Comcast, proud partner of Team USA.