Probabilism, Part One

Probability theory seems an attractive foundation for rationalism—but it is not up to the job.

 

Leaving the casino - Probabilistic rationalism encourages you to view the whole world as a gigantic casino—but mostly it is not like that.

 

What probability can't do - If probability theory were an epistemology, we'd want it to tell us how confident to be in our beliefs. Unfortunately, it can't do that.

 

Mentioned in this episode:

 

Probability Theory Does Not Extend Logic

 

"Bayes: A Kinda-Sorta Masterpost" by Nostalgiabraist

 

The "Potential Problems" section of the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy article on "Bayesian Epistemology"

 

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Original music by Kevin MacLeod.

 

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