
Pape: War in Gulf Escalates, Not Cooling Off
About this episode
Military expert Robert Pape from the University of Chicago asserts that the recent ceasefire was merely a facade, as the conflict between Iran and the U.S. is zero-sum, leaving no room for compromise. Both sides view concessions as worse than conflict, with Iran fearing domestic unrest and the U.S. concerned about shifting the Middle East balance. Pape predicts escalation, not de-escalation, as the U.S.S. George H.W. Bush carrier and its troops approach the Gulf of Oman.
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US News Today | 2 Min News | The Daily News Now! — Pape: War in Gulf Escalates, Not Cooling Off. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
It's April 18th, from coast to coast. This is U.S. News Today, powered by AI. I'm Cory with the story. Military expert Robert Pate from the University of Chicago says that recent talk of a peace deal was just smoke and mirrors. He argues the whole conflict is zero sum, meaning no room for compromise on big issues like Iran's nuclear edge or control of the Strait of Hormuz. One side wins, the other loses big time. The short ceasefire last week and fell apart fast after the U.S. kept up naval pressure on Iran. Tehran hid back by tightening its grip on the Strait and ramping up military moves. Pate calls it a snap back to escalation, showing how locked in these tensions are. Both sides see giving ground as worse than fighting. For Iran, dropping nuclear ambitions could spark a revolt at home and leave them exposed. For the U.S., letting Iran keep that threshold power shifts the whole Middle East balance. Recent moves prove they're all in on escalation, not reacting, but choosing it.
Pate spots a pattern of step of fights, quick pauses, then right back at it. Seize fires just by time, not peace, with the USS George H.W. Bush carrier and its 6,000 troops heading to the Gulf of Amman soon. Pate warns this war is only getting tighter, not cooling off.
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