Normalcy Bias

Tomorrow is not guaranteed. Much less so is tomorrow guaranteed to be the same as yesterday. And yet we, as human beings, have a tendency to think of the world as a sort of constant or given — we do not by nature adequately assess the likelihood of catastrophic or even merely significant change.

This is not to say that we should be pessimists, alarmists, or paranoiacs; it is, however, to say that we should spend more time thinking about the information we encounter in our lives and what it means for us, for those entrusted to our care, and for our collective future. As men — specifically men, not just the generic sense — it is our duty to protect those whom God has entrusted to our care, and part of this is having an appropriate and accurate view of the world.

In today’s episode, we discuss normalcy bias — what it is, why it matters, and how to counteract it. Everything, ultimately, is in God’s hands, but much work remains for us while it is still day.

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Show Notes

• James Stockdale (including his paradox) [Wikipedia]

See Also

• Black Starting the Power Grid
  • Practical Engineering [YouTube]
  • Wikipedia
  • NREL

Further Reading

• I, Pencil by Leonard E. Read

Parental Warnings

None.

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