Monday - March 2, 2026

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3NdZ2Sm

In a Monday Dividend Cafe recorded before the market close, David Bahnsen discusses the market and energy implications of weekend U.S. military actions involving Iran, emphasizing the show is not for strategic or editorial war analysis. He notes futures opened down about 500 points but equities recovered to roughly flat, while oil rose about 6–9% to around $70 and U.S. LNG-related names moved on the prospect of greater export demand if Middle Eastern supply is disrupted. He highlights the absence of a traditional “flight to safety,” with Treasury yields higher across the curve (10-year up about 9 bps, 2-year up about 11 bps) and defensives lagging while energy and technology led. Bahnsen argues outcomes hinge on conflict duration, but elevated valuations and broader uncertainties (AI, private credit, tariffs, courts) raise risk and volatility.

00:00 Monday Market Setup

00:51 What This Show Covers

02:21 Futures Drop Then Recover

03:26 Oil Moves And LNG Angle

04:50 Conflict Duration Scenarios

06:47 Why Markets Stay Calm

08:16 Bonds And Sector Signals

10:09 Valuations And Uncertainty

11:59 Closing Thoughts And Prayer

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com