Monday - April 6, 2026

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/41gK4Pa

Markets rose for a fourth straight day despite rising Iran tensions and higher oil, with modest gains across the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq. David Bahnsen underscores ongoing market rotation: all Mag 7 names are in bear‑market or double‑digit declines while the S&P is down just 9%, showing strength elsewhere. Oil spikes offer no predictive value after ~10% pullbacks. Private‑credit defaults remain low at 1.27%. AI/tech sentiment has cooled, though valuations remain a risk. Policy uncertainty includes potential NATO withdrawal. Economic data shows 178,000 March jobs (boosted by a strike reversal), delayed data‑center projects, a $57.3B trade deficit, softer ISM services, mortgage rates near 6.5%, and steep oil backwardation amid sharply reduced Strait of Hormuz shipping.

00:00 Welcome and Setup

00:46 Markets and War Headlines

02:45 Rotation Beyond Mag Seven

04:46 Oil Spike History and Sectors

06:02 Private Credit Defaults

06:53 AI Sentiment Reset

08:13 Politics and Big News

09:22 NATO Exit Threat

10:49 Jobs and Data Centers

12:54 Trade ISM Housing Fed

15:03 Energy Futures and Shipping

17:36 Wrap Up and Next Reports

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com