February 16-19 | Ledger Recap

It is February 20, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market. In this episode of the Ledger Recap, we dive into the systemic mismatches between the CAVALIERS and NETS, exploring why alt spreads on Kalshi and Polymarket offered significant missed alpha.

We also review critical lessons in trade management for player prop odds, focusing on mid-game adjustments for Tyrese Maxey and the impact of small-ball lineups on Alperen Sengün’s rebound contracts. Learn how our updated 'Conviction Calibration' rule aims to refine our betting execution across prediction markets.

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Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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