Fabio Scarano and modeling desirable futures

Fabio Scarano is full professor of Ecology at Rio de Janeiro University,  was director of Conservation International for Americas for several years and had an appointment at IPCC. He is also author of the awarded book 'Atlantic Forest, a story of the future'

In this episode we talk about climate modeling and the conclusions of IPCC reports, how we lost belief in desirable futures and priority actions to achieve sustainable development goals

I really enjoyed talking to Fabio and I hope you will enjoy the conversation too.

Key take aways

1. Three things didn’t get better over time: biodiversity loss, green house gas emissions and social inequality
2. We have 1 million species under threat and are currently under the 6th wave of mass extinction, driven by 1 species. It’s scary.
3. IPCC is more than 1000 scientists from 100 countries. It has a lengthy process with a lot of scrutiny. I'm pretty sure it is the best possible science.
4. The most pessimistic scenario in IPCC is not that pessimistic, because it is Withoht increasing emissions. But we know they are increasing.
5. Nevertheless, the question is not when we are all going to die. One way of modeling the future is to imagine this future and then walk back to the present to see what you have to do. That is a pretty good way of designing the future.
6. Brazil has 67 mi ha of high tech agrobusiness and 60 mi ha of unproductive pasture. We can double our agro business with cutting 1 tree just by fixing this.
7. One single action, agrariam reform, in Brazil, would reduce poverty, reduce inequality, conserve biodiversity, fight climate change, ensure food security and protect water, addressing 6 SDG.

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Researchgate: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Fabio-Scarano