CSU: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast - Below Average

0:00Colorado State University just dropped its first forecast for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane season, calling it somewhat below average. They're expecting 13 name storms, six hurricanes and two major ones, category three or higher. That's a bit less than the usual 14 name storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. The big reason? A strong El Nino pattern expected to crank up wind shear in the Atlantic, tearing apart potential storms before they build. El Nino means warmer Pacific waters messing with trade winds, which cools things down for hurricanes. Last year, 2025, we saw 13 name storms, five hurricanes and four majors, but none hit Florida directly. Forecasts have been higher, yet reality was milder. Now, landfall odds look lower too. 32% for the whole US coast versus the average 43% and 15% for the East Coast, including Florida. CSU crunched this using stats, global models, historical

1:03data and even a new AI tool for sea temps. They'll update on June 10th, July 8th and August 5th as the season nears. With the season kicking off June 1st through November 30th, first names up are Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal. Time to check those plans and stay ready, folks. From your city, powered by AI, this is Tampa Bay News today. I'm Cory with the story.