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Bears Offense Soars in 2025, Model Predicts 2026 Success

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Python-powered Predictions: Chicago Bears Offense Soars in 2025, with Caleb Williams Leading the Charge

The podcast episode delves into the impressive performance of the Chicago Bears offense in the 2025 season, as predicted by a fan-built Python model. The model accurately forecasted boosts in yards per attempt, completion, and rush, along with a balanced run-pass split. Caleb Williams expected growth was also spot-on, with the offense exploding as hoped.

While the model nailed some aspects, like nearly doubling play-action usage, it slightly underestimated completion percentage and passer rating due to Johnsons shift towards deep shots. However, sacks were significantly reduced, and passing yards and touchdowns were close to predictions.

Williams evolution into a top-five QB in yards per completion late in the season was a highlight, fueled by Johnsons tailored scheme. The offense remained top-ten, keeping the Bears in the NFC North race.

Recalibrated with 2025 data, the model predicts Williams to hit 4,000 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, and a 63.6% completion rate in 2026. Play-action increases, rushing yards top 400 with 4 scores, and sacks average out at 34. With another year in the system, the offense stays elite, primed for contention.

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Bears Offense Soars in 2025, Model Predicts 2026 Success

NFL News Today | 2 Min News | The Daily News Now!

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NFL News Today | 2 Min News | The Daily News Now!Bears Offense Soars in 2025, Model Predicts 2026 Success. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

On April 5th, back before the 2025 season, a fan-built model, using Python simulations, nailed a preview of the Chicago Bears' offense, under new coordinator Ben Johnson. A projected boosts in yards per attempt, yards per completion, and rushes, plus a spot-on run-pass split. Paired with Caleb Williams' expected second-year jump, it forecasted solid growth, and overall, the Bears' offense exploded just like hoped. The model crushed some marks, like nearly doubling play-action usage, to over 32%, but missed a bit on completion percentage and passer. Rating since Johnson shifted to explosive deep shots over short, high percentage throws from his Detroit days. Sacks? Williams slashed them by almost two-thirds to just 44 total, way better than predicted, while passing yards and touchdowns landed super close. Bears fans lit up watching Williams evolve, turning a raw rookie into a top five guy, and yards per completion late in the year.

That growth, fueled by Johnson's tailored scheme, kept Chicago's offense top 10, and them hunting the NFC North. It's the kind of progression that builds franchise QBs and has everyone hyped for more. Now recalibrated with real 2025 data, the model runs fresh simulations for 2026. Expect Williams to hit 4,000 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, and a career-high 63.6% completion rate. Play-action climbs to 35.2%. Rushing yards top 400 with four scores, and sacks that are around league average at. 34. With another year in the system, this offense stays elite, prime to contend. Williams keeps balling out, and bears nation stays locked in for the ride. NFL News today, powered by AI bringing you what matters on Game Day.

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