April 17-19 | Ledger Recap

It is April 20, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

In this episode of Ledger Recap, the team analyzes 17 positions that resulted in a razor-thin 0.2 unit gain. We dive into the 'Film Room' to dissect why a massive Angels victory over the Padres didn't yield maximum returns and why the betting market mispriced the return of Jacob deGrom. We discuss the importance of implied probability and how to use the unique architecture of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket to your advantage.

• Grading the 8-9 portfolio performance
• The missed alpha in Angels and Red Sox run-line odds
• Systemic failures in the Mariners vs. Rangers thesis
• The 'De La Cruz' effect on Twins infield execution and settlement

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Contact: [email protected]

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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