A Numbers Game | March 6, 2026 | Hour 2

0:00Soccer fans get ready. TNT sports features the U.S. men's national team squaring off against top global competition with high stakes and high drama. What a moment! What a strike! See who makes their case to join the roster to represent the stars and stripes. USA is taken on Belgium on Saturday March 28th at 2.30 p.m. Eastern. USA versus Portugal Tuesday March 31st at 6 p.m. Eastern. Live on TNT and HBO Max. Finding ways to be financially savvy is a smart move, and knowing you could be saving money for the things you really want, like that dream home or new ride, is a great feeling. That's why the State Farm personal price plan can help you save when you choose to bundle home an auto. Bundling. Just another way to save with the personal price plan. Prices are based on rating plans that vary by state. Covered options are selected by the customer. Availability, amount of discounts and savings, and eligibility vary by state.

1:01The numbers told the story to always do. Swandles, idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Abix-Hunter, Gone V-Syn. Hour number two of a numbers game with V-Synese Sports betting network V-Syn.com game plus I-Harm Radio YouTube TV. Series X of Channel 158, Gil Abix-Hunter, Kelly Bidlin. It's a numbers game y'all. Un barrio de numeros. Those listening in Spanish. Steve Fesex still to come later today. He's got some stuff to talk about. I have a feeling I'm going to get angry at Steve. Because one of the things he wants to talk about, crack is unscripted. Steve is slightly scripted because he lets us know kind of what he where he wants to go sometimes. Sometimes not. He's scripted and then he gets off scripted actually. But he has some stuff that he wants to hit on and one of the things he wants to hit on. I kind of feel like he's responsible for one of the things he wants to complain about. So I'm already a little hot about it. We'll see what happens there. I didn't read through his text that closely. I don't know exactly what you're talking about, but sounds right. Sounds about right. I'm like really Steve, are we outraged about this?

2:04Larry Fresh on Twitter. Our listeners have stones. Quote unquote. The stones in my pants when I bet he just gave us a list of lucky gem stones that he has eight different kinds of stones. Do you like complaining about like parlay cards not being offered more places or something? Oh I don't know. Oh no no no. Because that would be another good example. No he's complaining. Can I just tell just me a new talk? He's complaining about people lifting other people's picks and putting them out there and I'm like dude. I didn't catch that. This is my only you and I can hear it. I put on this voice when I go oh there's only complaining. Two drinks in on Twitter. Since numbers game is since the numbers game is turned into the recent website supports last suggestion line today. Can someone please look into getting the watch live video link to try to work, Robert? Uh-huh you guys are the best. Is that upset you? It does because we've gotten... No we've gotten too many of those tweets in the past month or so. We're working on it. Suggestion box. These bets. People, people love your, your kiosk to Kelly. It's just fascinating. He goes what if you lost your

3:06phone? It is Vegas and usually some drunken debauchery is going on. Another reason could be that you get people, oh the other reason other reason could would be to get the people to the right pick-up spot. Some of the rideshare locations are insane and hidden in the bowels of the casino. Well that part is true. What bees bets? One of the best points made so far. Of course the M's, kiosk, nowhere near the actual perfect spot. That's a great point though. That one's a great point because that combines the other tweet we got about like the after the festival and my phones running out right. If you know where the pickup location is and you had one there, I'm, I'm, I'd be okay. By the way, the reason historically for that at casinos and by the way, also at the airport itself, right? That we're the picking up ubers and lifts as opposed to taxi is much more how can we put this laborious? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Is because we're to the airport cap from the first of all, taxi's obviously existed before rideshare, but when rideshare came in, oh the cabs, they wanted they're like the fighting hard to not have these things. So at the airport

4:08at McCaring now read it's, you got to, you got to travel. You got to walk a little longer to get to the Uber lift. You have to know which terminal where it is. Yeah, you got to cross a bridge, that kind of thing. I don't know how you do it. It's very easy for me. I will Uber to the airport. I hop in that cab line as soon as I'm when I'm flying into Vegas. Oh no, I still do do. I'm, I'm never forget those cat people. Are you kidding me? The way that they used to try to live close in the way that they try to use to rip you off back in the day. Now they have competition, screw them. Seriously, sorry, get also upset about it. But the, uh, the hotel same sort of thing, right, where it's like, first of all, the hotels were already built, they already had their spots of the cabs, but then the Uber's and lifts, wherever they could kind of manage it. I mean, yeah, most of the problems is this stuff was just built before rideshare became such a huge thing. And then yes, the airport's a different story because it's the cabs still just trying to box out ride share companies. Uh, Lou Ford says love the tennis talk. If you get a chance, check out, uh,

5:0818 years, Lily Tagger. Yes, she played last night. She looks like the real deal. He says, I have a ego nine to one seem way too big, but I have concerns about it, especially her serve. People talk about cocoa services, but he gets struggling to not like cocoa, not even in the same category. He goes, he what's going on with the against between the between the years for sure as well. Well, I will give you that talked about, uh, that on the podcast the other day, money gun guns. What's this? Gill is going to get angry at the, uh, at that peach physics saying so. I'm worried pre preemptively. We're worried about it. That I might maybe, well, maybe I won't, maybe I won't even come up breaking new skill. Yes. The Raiders, this from Adam Shaftner, the Raiders are releasing Geno Smith, barring a trade before the start of the new league here. Yeah, I'm sure they're lining up for that. I feel it doesn't feel like we've read four of those. All right. It's like they're going to release them, you know, unless they can trade them. You know how well, you know, it's a really smart way to induce a trade. Yes. Saying, hey, unless anybody wants trade, we're going to release them. This is good. It's a great negotiating strategy. Yeah. He'll be available for anyone to pick up

6:13it in eight days. I know. But if you want to give it something, you want Geno, you know, these other teams are just going to get them on the cheap here free. If you want a trade form, that was your chance. There it is. There's the tweet there from Adam Shaftner. Uh, he says, by releasing Smith, the Raiders will open up eight million dollars in salary cap space while taking on 18.5 million in dead money. Yeah. Well, there you go. There's the latest on that. Time for are we sure? Let's do it. Let's do it. You think you know what's going on in the sports betting world? Are you sure? I'm positive. Gillen Kelly tackle the hard-hitting questions on another exciting edition of Are We Sure? Estamos siguros? I think we should do the upside down question mark before Are We Sure as well. That's a good call. Yeah. It's a big call. Thanks. No one ever asked me. Rob's not here on Friday, so he can't fix it. He'll be, um, although he does have a nice tank of

7:14pollution open. He does. He should be, uh, should be ready on Monday. Oh, a new one. Yes. A new one. A new one. Thank you, Rob. Uh, I'm going to call it audible here real quick. Are we sure Fernando Mendoza will be the number one overall pick? Yes. If there was any question before, Ed Gido Smith news, uh, definitely just made it very close. Was that a trick question? No, it's just like, well, I'll, I'll, I'll say I'm still in the camp of, I don't exactly know how good Fernando Mendoza is. And I kind of believe that there's about four or five teams in the top 10 of the NFL draft that they should all just trade, trade down if they can and acquire more picks. Oh, I think that's for sure. And I'm like, my point is, I don't really know if the Raiders like are in that group. What is Fernando Mendoza? I have to show you still to, to, to convince you that he's good at football. I don't know. We always say with football. It's a small sample size. Of course, you're, no, you're absolutely right about that. It is that we're living off like 10 games last year in a magical season. How they went 16 and open, you know, 16, 10 same difference.

8:15I don't know. Six of those opponents were probably easy. Six roughly 60% more than you guessed, but yeah, no, it's still still. I understand your point. There is no more in exact science. Let me establish this just to back. There is no more in exact science than talent evaluation from college football to profile. I mean, it's no, it's really, I really don't mean it as a doctor. Mendoza, because it is like the draft period. I'm always like, I probably just trade down. If if someone's actually going to offer you all the, like some of these moves we see in the drafts of like, here's two more first round picks for us to move up like five spots. You're like, okay, yeah, no brainer people get crazy. They get crazy. Okay, Gal, we sure it is down to win the national championship college basketball to the following teams Michigan, Duke, Arizona, Florida. Houston, Iowa State, or Yukon, those eight elitate. I think you just named seven, didn't you? I don't know. My fingers counted eight. Seven. There you go. By eight, you meant seven. Those are the seven that qualified in the formula. And I think, yes, 100% I'm a, am I 100% know what I'm 99.999

9:23percent. I really am. Like I just don't fit. And by the way, you might even throw out Houston and Iowa State. I'll say it's down to the other five. So I just feel like that the most interesting thing about. So yes, I am sure. But the most interesting thing about this tournament will Hill has talked about this is while we can now sort of crystallize that five to seven teams are where the champions going to come from. You still have a year in college basketball. I believe where there are more very goods than normal. And I really wonder again for your, for your upset rewarded brackets, if you're an upset rewarded bracket where you're incentivized to pick 13s and 12s and 11s and so forth. And in survivor, your ability to pinpoint what I think is going to be the very few upsets this year. Like I could be wrong. But remember last year, there were no 13 through 16s that upset anybody. I feel like we're we're headed in that direction again with maybe like an exception. I just feel like generally speaking, we're going to have very few upsets in the NCAA

10:26tournament because beyond the five to seven to win it, there's a really strong underbelly right below that down to like four and five seats. Okay, that's interesting. So I thought JVT and Mitch had a great conversation out part of the futures a couple days ago about some of the one seed props. And they were like, they were basically satisfied once they need to see Florida as a one seed first, but they thought there were some value once again on a one seed winning the tournament. So you might you might not fully agree with that because you think some of those that next tier downs a little bit strong. No, no, no, no, I agree with them completely because I think the champion can only come from the five to seven teams that you identified. I'm just saying I'm just talking about upsets beyond that. That I think it's strong two, three, four seeding after that, but the champion that that little prop that you talked about, I kind of agree with them. Yeah, okay. Yeah, there's some interesting numbers out there on that. Am I getting involved? I think it's like minus minus one 60 or something. One seed wins it. It's interesting. Are we sure the USA will win the World Baseball Classic? It's been a Kim Republic will have something to say

11:31about it, but I think the USA will win. I do. I believe they should be the favorite they are. Although once again, my WBC play Korea to win pool C at plus 850. Did you see Japan yesterday? Yeah, yeah, 10 runs second against JD's type. I believe it was. Show Hey was one hit shy of the cycle. The triple short of the cycle at the end of the second inning. They won on a mercy rule, but I got South Korea plus 850. They played Japan tomorrow. So how the game ended ended on a mercy rule? Yeah, mercy. I didn't catch that. Seven innings. Seven innings. That's it. Okay, you know, are we sure I'm going to get my con. Can it take its own? No, I'm not. Sorry. All right, like I said, Gooberflag back in line up was good yesterday. If he puts out one more, if you guess one great performance scoring wise, this is going to flip. You know what I'm saying? He's plus 140 right now. So I kind of agreed with you on that earlier in the week. Where's I am shocked. This didn't move really at all after he made his return. Yes,

12:33I'm a little, yeah, I'm a little surprised. We usually market reacts to just news of guys returning. Overreacts. Let's talk to the UFC on the other side. It's a NFL draft. We'll get more are we sure? Steve Fesick. It's a numbers game at Visa in the sports betting network. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real mindset alone doesn't get Bet's home pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline. And now so can you be some programs you access to the same real time insights the sharps use, no secrets, no fluff, just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with Visa and Pro. Right now new fan dual customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token. And if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same-game

13:34parlays for a shot at a bigger payout. Fan dual, it's time to dance. 21 plus and president selects states. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive tokens are received in increments of one per day restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com gambling problem called 1-800 gambler. Having the right people in your corner for life's biggest milestones makes all the difference. Like a friend who's there when you're house hunting or checking out a new ride. State Farm is there too, helping you choose the coverage you need. With a State Farm agent, you know someone is there to help you along the way. And with so many coverage options, it's nice knowing you have help choosing a plan that fits your needs. So you can continue celebrating all of life's milestones. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. This is heating up at the best betting stretch of the year is right around the corner.

14:35Right now, Vecin is offering her hoops. Mania is special. Get Vecin Pro access from now through May 1st for just $29.99 with Vecin Pro. You'll get daily best bets from Vecin Hosting guests, real-time draftings, the circuit betting splits, AI powered prop tools and matchup analysis. 24-7 video and full show replays on the Vecin Watch app plus our March Mania betting guide. Adam Burke, shout out, including team profiles for every tournament team. Keep trends for each round. Expert bracket and future strategies and best bets from Vecin's top analysts. If you're betting the tournament is a must. It's not at today. Vecin.com. Slash subscribe. That's Vsion.com. Slash subscribe. Steve Fesik, angry tweeting the show. He'll be here in 45 minutes. He says, okay, what was your line off here? You're like, God forbid we're hyperbolic. A little hyperbolic at a three hour. Steve, your math brain is just getting the best of you. He says he's mad at me. He said, he said there's no way it's a 99%. Okay, it's not a 99% chance, Steve. Relax. Just we're talking off the cuff. He says, what is he, what does he want now?

15:36He says he'll take the three through 16 seeds at 99 to one. It's a win at all. I'm not gonna give you 99 one, but I'll give you a number. I'll take one. I'll take all the ones of juice. Let's get that to go. I'll take all the ones to two, Steve. I'm in there with you. In 1985, when I was a wee lad, I took Georgetown. I gave everybody everybody else. By the way, Villanova beat Georgetown in the final. Just want to point that out. But I was doing that then. I'll happily do with you now. Trust me. I love it. All right, let's get it. Let's get a big bet going on the show between you and Fezza. I'm going to be fun. I don't be fun. But Steve's actuarial brain cannot process the fact that on the fly, we're like, I'm 99% in other case, Steve. What's next? Are we sure? Are we sure? Yeah. The Boston Celtics should be the favorites to win the Eastern Conference. I'm not 100% sure. I'm pretty sure to answer your question. I'll be a little ambivalent on this one. Plus 240 on the Celtics is what they are. I think they are correctly the short shot because we just don't know. Will Jason Tatum seamlessly? Will they just pick up where they left

16:46off? No reason why systematically they couldn't. The way that the Celtics play. The only question is, is he going to ramp up? Part of the beauty of having him play and he is scheduled to play tonight, we believe. Yes. The part of the beauty of having him now get into the line up here is that the Celtics can ramp him up for the postseason. It's different from, okay, it's the playoffs put in Jason Tatum. No one ever comes back from Achilles surgeries during the playoffs. Right. This is a good thing for the Celtics to get him out there. Now, again, just shy of 10 months from when he popped it in the Eastern Conference semis against the next last year. So yes, because I have muscle memory on the Celtics, but catch me two weeks from now, I might say some different. No, totally. I think this Eastern Conference has been wild all season long. I mean, even before the season, we knew it was going to kind of be up for grabs. I like this question because oftentimes we, you know, I'll throw some in here, right? You'll be like, I don't, I can't set a number, right? We're talking basketball versus

17:49odds-making here, right? If I was an odds-maker, absolutely, I would, absolutely, I would make the Celtics a favor in the Eastern Conference because of the fear of what they could look like with a fully healthy Jason Tatum getting in front of it. I'm going to shorten this line now, right? Not get hammered at the book because of it. Now, if we're just talking basketball, great point by you. It's huge that they get him back for a month. So they can actually work him in here before the playoffs start. Absolutely massive, in my opinion. But like, it's for, I have no idea how good he's going to be. I think there are, I think the Celtics still have very much of their flaws. I think every one of these teams at the top of the board has their flaws, and I wouldn't be shocked by any of them winning. I think it's probably one of the top four, but I don't think the Hornets should be discounted either. So I'll say there's five. Okay. Speaking of the Hornets, are we sure they're a real threat in the Eastern Conference playoffs? I am guilty. Yeah, I mean, I asked this a few in Zach yesterday, NBA Harnos, you both are. So I'll just, I'll just go with you guys on this. I don't think there's any dominant team with apologies to the pistons. So yeah, I feel so bad legit. They're legit contenders in the

18:54Eastern Conference. I don't think that's as monumental a statement as it sounds like it is. No, correct. Right. That's why I wanted to do the Celtics conversation first because it isn't a monumental statement. Yeah, I do feel bad because this is, it's already turning into this guild. And I think we're going to get even further into this as we get closer to the playoffs. The pistons have a very, very good team and have had an incredible regular season. I just think when we're talking to playoffs, they're not the most set, best set up roster for success once we get into that style of play, which is very different from NBA regular season. The fact that you can, the pistons very well coached in an incredible amount of effort from start to finish the season. Guess what has showed up in the standings and wins and losses for them. Gets tougher in the playoffs when everybody else starts to care and rotation shorten and some of your flaws get more exposed. So I just, I feel like the pistons are just going to be crapped on a ton here that in the next month or so. And it's just want to give them their flowers

19:54now because they were one of the stories of this year's regular season. Yep. Are we sure? DJ DJ Moore is the solution. We'll solve all the problems for the Buffalo bills and they are cruised into the Super Bowl. Well, of course, because you phrased it that way. No, I'm not sure. No, but I actually, and look, it's just a question. We were getting in this with was to see the proxy. I was talking about this. See as a bills fan, you know, likes the pick up, doesn't like the compensation. I do like the pick up just from your question right to the context of your question, regardless of what the compensation is at this point. I do like the pick up. I think DJ DJ Moore is a solid wide receiver to this league. Does it solve all their problems? No, of course not. Does he play defense? Nope. Okay. Just curious. Still, I don't think it solves all their problems in the receiver. I agree. The one I like it, the instant, not not really call out, but just instant add on that Steve had that if when we were on the area yesterday, talking about this coming down. Yeah. If you had been like Kelly, how old is DJ Moore? I'd be like,

20:57I'm 30, 29, 30, like he's 28 years old. So a couple years younger than I would have guessed honestly, feels like he has played, feels like he has played forever. 28's about where I would have thought for DJ Moore. All right. Are we sure? The Patriots offense is just going to fall apart with no Stefan digs anymore. Love how you're phrasing. You're telegraphing the past. No, listen, I don't think they were, I mean, all the year as the Patriots are winning football games, I think we, I think I even said many times, man, if you could surround Drake May with players, right? So it wasn't like they were operating with white outs galore to begin with. No, they were not. So no, I mean, I don't think it's, I don't think you topple anywhere from this. And look good season by digs, but like, I don't, he's not what he once was. And I don't know that you can really lean on that going forward. I was just trying to pull up. Man, sure sounds like AJ Brown is on his way to New England. Sounds like that list is getting shorter and shorter.

21:59Which that's an upgrade for sure. That all the are we sure? Yep. All right. Let's just look at these real quick. You can bet these at draft Kings, where specific players will go in the NFL draft towards the end of April, April 23rd, I believe is the first round of the NFL draft. So next month, we can say at this point, late next month, of course, though, which team will Jeremiah love be drafted by? Let's start with Jeremiah love. Titans are the short shot at two to one, the Comma doors at plus two 75 or second. Interesting. The one that we, the team that we see him most mocked to mocked is a verb. Yeah. In this case, in NFL draft parlance, the chiefs at plus 350, we've seen like multiple mocks have him going to the chiefs at nine. Is it nine? Yeah, nine. So nine. Yeah. The chiefs remember this is the, yeah, this is the pick. So the chiefs now draft nine and 29 after that trade with the Rams the other day. But the ninth pick, we have a mocked getting Jeremiah

23:05love multiple times here plus 350. So I don't know if you believe in mocks, the chiefs are the play, but you know, who knows, right? A lot of this. I don't think the commanders would, I don't think the commanders would love to have because I don't think a crosskey merit is necessarily the answer. You know, I think they like him. I don't think he's the, the end all be all, but I don't think the commanders will go Jeremiah love. I really don't. Yeah, I think I was going to ask you how you would feel about that. I don't think I would love that. I was a commander's fan and they, you know, speaking of news, I got a little surprise for you that you didn't move much much at all yesterday with Cooper flag getting back in. I really thought that would probably be about even money on both sides. Just with him playing a game, this markets that move on news, right? He met with the tightens yesterday. There you go. So they are your favorite air go. They mean two to one. Yeah. But I mean, I don't want to call it a disaster because like, I think, I think love's great. Look, I think Ashton Gentie's probably great. We're really talking about the tightens considering said last

24:06year with the Raiders, you can't get really afford a luxury pick with a running. It's wild to think about how you just saw a team do that the year before. And you might, and you might do it. This one, I have no idea about Ty Simpson from Banna. Which team will draft him Jets or plus two 25. Remember Jets at two right now. Steelers plus 280 Rams plus 350. Hey, Rams. That's interesting. Dolphins plus four 25 Cardinals plus four 75 Brown six to one. I have no idea. I might say it's not going to be an answer in here. Kill. But I'm going to side bet JVT. And I will go over the over the one and a half quarterbacks to be drafted in the first round. I think he goes in the first round, right? JVT's on the under. Oh, I don't know. I'll have to check in with him. Oh, that's his running every year. He bets the under into his quarterbacks to be drafted. It's had it. It's hit a fair bout of time. Said he'd kind of just let he kind of last. You know, he hit it on the Kenny Pickett year, for sure. Yeah. All right. Socks of UFC on the other side. Got to do that. UFC

25:10326. Oh boy. Arm bar. George. George Sherwood's got thoughts. He got bets. Let's do it next on a numbers game. It's visa. These sports betting network. A numbers game on FESET. These sports betting network. Back in our numbers game. Live from Cirqueurs, Cirqueurs, Cirqueurs, Sino, Datsal, Las Vegas. Kill Alexander. Kill A by the line. It's still shouting out UFC moves triangle. Kelly's ready to join the circuit. They called a circuit. I don't know what they call it. But I need to bend to get me brushed up on my play by play skills for UFC. James Fessler on Twitter says, uh, you can't and I will stay currently sitting outside the Ken Palm top offensive rating as a March 5th ratings. Hmm, leaving just the big five on the formula. Michigan Duke Florida air is only Houston. Yeah, not only by Houston, I'll get FESET 3 seeds 3 through 16 happily. We'll just have to

26:13negotiate a price. Roads, roads, nose, quote, unquote, roughly 60% more. When I said to you, like, what does he play 10 games? I'm like actually 16 with a Mendoza and things I say to my wife. He says when she doubts my betting accomplishments and also bedroom time. Yeah, there you go. Well, first of all, the answer of how did you do with the casino is always the same no matter whether you win or lose. Man, it's okay. Up and down, up and down. Roger Jones has an answer to your question of why would there be uber kiosks? He says the uber kiosk might come in handy for foreigners who have data off when roaming. Oh, take that Kelly Bidlin and your kiosk, your uber kiosk slander. You know what? I should probably say the part that we talked about off air on air. It's really just the idea in my mind of whatever, whatever try hard at the uber corporation that I had the stones to go into his boss's office and be like, look, I know we've got this hit at, but what we need are physical stands that people could go to. I mean, that is the

27:16fact that that guy somehow got that past the fence. What did I respond? I said, there was probably an employee who suggested first who they didn't value and they were like, that's the dumbest idea I've ever heard. And then Bill from account, it was like, hey, I got this idea and they're like, oh, that's a great idea. Bill, I used to do that during the show and all the time. We'd sit in sales meetings. He'd say, some real smart and then I'd be like, you know what? I'm just going to regurgitate the same thing. They didn't do it. Speaking of Jordan Sherwood. Oh, wow. Kelly's old buddy from South Florida. Jordan joins us now courtesy of progressive guest line to talk UFC with us. Jordan can be found, of course, at fat jack sports now. He's an MMA advisor for fat jack sports cohost of the unnamed MMA podcast through all these years. Jordan joins us now courtesy of the aggressive guest line wood on ESPN 1600 is that wood on ESPN 1000 pardon me? I don't know where 16 hundred from. Jordan, sorry about the off air stuff. Jordan is all excited about the Chicago Bears and the first thing. I'm like, yeah, what about that Drew Dahlman retirement? What about CJ Moore trying to like ruin his day for God's sakes? Nothing's going to ruin your bears excitement. I would imagine at this point, huh? No, I mean, like I said, you guys off air. They finally have a

28:18head coach and they finally have a quarterback together. And I think everything else will fall in the place. And I think you guys have been talking about it. This is what happens with good teams. They lose good players to shed money and restructure contracts. And that's the expectation here in Chicago as we could set for the sausage. Let's talk some UFC 326. Of course, the the pay-per-view days are behind us. But most folks in the know would say, yeah, this would actually be a pay-per-view I would pay for here. The main event Max Holloway and Charles Oliver Max Holloway is about a minus 215 favorite. Oliver plus 185 or so on the comeback lightweight BMF title. We always like the BMF title, right title bats here. So correct me if I'm wrong here, Jordan. So they they fought like 11 years ago in 2015. And Olivera only went like 96 seconds. They don't really know what the injury was. I guess they were like, do they were like shoulder or neck injury. Some said it

29:18was a suffigial issue, by the way. But it kind of haunted Olivera just from a reputational standpoint for a long time since, huh? Yeah, it did. Like he was he was plagued with kind of being a quitter, a guy that couldn't go through the rough times. And you know, that was the first time I think he was in a main event slot and a big opportunity in the featherweight division. And he just crumbled without actually being hit. He's proven doubters wrong since that it has gone on a first ball at Hall of Fame career. You're talking about the most prolific finisher in UFC history in Olivera and the most prolific submission finisher in UFC history. The guy is awesome. The guy is awesome and that's why there's so much excitement for him to perform and then also to be going against Max Holloway. Maybe the greatest featherweight of all time. A guy that is the most prolific striker. If you're talking about volume and and strikes and in the acting on in UFC history.

30:21And you can always make the argument they've never met. But even though they have, as you alluded to, they fought several years ago. Perfect timing for this fight. Neither one of them really in title consideration for any weight class. So why not have them compete in this fight against the BMF title. And when you look at the ways to win this fight, I mentioned Olivera. He's a finisher mostly with submissions. Max Holloway has only been submitted one time in his mixed martial arts career very early on in his career. And you know, Olivera does get stopped. But he gets stopped by, you know, powerful strikers or powerful wrestlers and then like a TKO ground in power. I don't see that scenario happening. So that's why I love this fight and I love it going into the championship rounds. And I like the over at three to half. Even though we're talking about two prolific finisher's, I don't think either one of the guys, the way they finish people is a way to do that against the either opponent. So grab it at two and a half. It's like a $1.75. I like it to plus

31:28three and a half, three and an over three and a half to that's plus money. But should be a fantastic fight as the main event 3 OC 326. Holloway, Olivera over three and a half rounds from Jordan at plus 105 always shop around for the price on this. And by the way, as of course, as Jordan said, Olivera sends that fight with Holloway 17 and six, but beat legends, poorie, Gachi, Chandler on and on. Okay, Jordan, what would odds be on this? I guess I'm a little surprised to see Olivera. There's big of a dog in this fight. What do you think the odds would be on this fight? If it was fought a year ago, it would similar or would it be? Yeah, it would be it would be quite closer for two reasons. One, you're you're, you're dead now talking about the fact that Olivera is not coming off the knockout loss that he had against Ilya Teporia. And you're also talking about Matt Holloway fighting in a division where a year ago he was 0 and 1. But since that point, you went up to lightweight beat Dustin, poorie. So he looked good the second time around fighting at 155. He can't make 145 anymore. That's not really the weight class for him. He's a

32:32natural now 155 or so. I think it would have been a little bit tighter had they fought a year ago, but you know, recency bias, obviously, in all the cases that we made. But what's remembered too, Olivera is coming off a very impressive victory in October against Mattiche Gamrod, a very good grapple in the lightweight division. And he finished him. That was in Rio, though. So Olivera is never going to lose in Brazil. And this fight obviously invades. Which are your moves? Would you use against Olivera Kelly? Which you think you'd use? Chocolt. Chocolt. Okay. Curious. That's an easy one. Nothing on the co-main from you, Jordan. But right before that on the main card, Rob Font from Puerto Rico, Role, Roses, Jr. from Mexico, a banemweight fight where Font is the big dog plus 195 versus Jr. minus 238 favor. What do you got here? Yeah. And I do like this match up for Rob Font. I mean, he's a veteran. He's been at the top of his division for quite some time and outstanding boxer. One of the best that we have not just in his division, but in the sport. And a guy who recently

33:33is two in one against these young up and coming fighters. That is Raul Roses Jr. Roses Jr. Roses Jr. Made his debut at I think is the youngest combat in ever 18 years of all. It's good grapple or good submissions, but evolving striking. And that's where I think the path to victory is going to be for Rob Font being able to outbox Raul Roses Jr. Keep the fight standing. He's got good take down the fence does fought, not the greatest. So I could see a scenario where Roses Jr. gets his fight that got to control them. But the one thing that I'm also looking at is this is the longest layoff in Roses Jr's career over a year since we've seen him. What's he going to be like? Has he evolved? And certainly he's coming to his age at 21 years of age. He certainly showed he's had a great camp, the MMA lab. But I think Rob Font is proven. This is a dramatic step up in competition. He beats these younger guys as two in one. As I mentioned, his last three fights against these young up and comers. And I think he does it again, especially at that place point. You see there it's flashed plus 195. I released it plus 175.

34:39So if you can grab it even further, I think Rob Font is a dog play to look at at USA 326. Yeah. Do we wait to bet that? Do we wait for it to go higher and higher? You think or just get it now. Don't you think? I think so. I think there's public bodies going to come in on Roses Jr. He's a tick tock star. He's a guy that's, you know, cater to the younger audience. A guy that people are seeing to evolve. Rob Font is kind of the old veteran, the old guard. But I think Rob Font is a favorable matchup for him that I like him at that plus month. Danny telling me in my ear, you can get fonted about plus 220 now, even. So there you go. Big doggy. Right before that fight in the most easy to pronounce names in any fight in UFC history, Drew Dober and Michael Johnson lightweight bow. What do you got? Yeah. Love this fight. Fantastic, lightweight matchup. Two guys that have been in the UFC forever and shockingly, they haven't fought each other. Dober has the history for most amount of knock downs and knockouts and lightweight history. He's just a compact guy that likes to go in there either kill or be killed. Doesn't rely on his wrestling. And Michael Johnson's been the UFC forever. We got the

35:41known on the reality show back in the day. And still at his age, the speed. He's got unbelievable speed and unbelievable power. Dober's a guy that gets hit. I think Michael Johnson's got a second or third coming of his career. I love him because of the speed advantage. Not only win the fight, but likely win it via knockout. Dober gets in the fire fights and it's improving the hurt him time and time again. So at Michael Johnson, Dauer 25, I think he gets his hand raised and likely inside the distance. Jordan, appreciate it. Good luck with the bets and join the fights. Alright, thanks for having me on, fellas. Jordan, sure would everybody. Always a pleasure. Hammer lock. Golf and tennis. Fesick coming up on Visa. These sports betting network.

36:46Now with the Home Depot, receive 12 months special financing and free basic installation on carpet projects with life proof, life proof with petproof technology, home decorators collection, and traffic master carpets. Bring a new look to your floors or give them a durable surface that stands up to life's top messes. Get 12 months special financing on installed carpet projects right now at the Home Depot. Offer valid March 12th through March 29th, 2026. Exclusions and additional charges may apply for licenses. See Home Depot.com slash license numbers. A numbers game on Fesick. These sports betting network. A numbers game live from certain resort, seen a downtown Las Vegas radios, Gill Alexander televisions Kelly Bidley. Right. That's what we do. It's up YouTube TV. I hear those numbers just keep going up, man.

37:49Kelly brings the pretty every day, losing weight before our eyes. When will it stop? Nobody knows. Master of puppets on Twitter. Hey, Gillie Kelly, have a great day of weekend. Win some money FY after a week. I finally got Metallica tickets. There you go. Nice. Metallica at the Spahier, I believe it's pronounced Rob Graham. I will be there for sure. I'm not the biggest Metallica guy, but like that's I don't know anything, anything remotely interesting to me and at the sphere. I'll be there. Sphere is awesome. Either way, happy Friday and G from Rob Graham. Thank you, Rob. Besides Julio for AL MVP. What are your choices for any any other MLB awards? I haven't I don't really love anything. Obviously, Sy Young, Skins, the Scoobal crochet monster in the AL. There's not much to talk about there. Obviously NL MVP. There's not much to talk about with show. Hey, this is why our buddy Steve the proxies like let's do markets without these guys. His baseball has been super top heavy.

38:51So that's why I landed where I landed. Rookie of the year. God, who knows? Right. Um, nothing, but as far as stats, I do like Logan Webb most wins. So not an award, but that's what I like long term in that department. Chance Copperpod, who's ready for Stevie master of muting a discord channel. Physic Fridays. And then this one for Vegas regular. I love Fridays on Angie when it seems like Kelly had cocktails before the show. This is this is great. We were talking about this. You know what it is. Kelly knows. Physic is coming and he's going to get evicted. So he tries to get it all in in two hours. Yeah, it's, I don't think it's something for us. If you're on the air, that's with your mind, because I would like to feel I would like to come across the same all five days of the week. But if we're, you know, peel them back to Curtin Mondays and Tuesdays. There's a lot more going on. I got a lot of golf prep and like podcast to do in Thursday and Friday. Yeah, I'm kind of cruising in the weekend. I got cracking here, Fez in here. I got I got to get it all out Friday is always has a different feel. And it should, by the way, growing up, listen to radio Fridays, do favorite shows had a different feel.

39:55calf slicer. What's actually Google to list calf slicer? Like some of these I've never heard, watching UFC for years. Well, you know, Kelly, while I'm busy being bougie today, go into a Palm Springs, the Indian Wells. I'm being bougie. I'm going to play golf. Kelly Bidley is going to be playing golf today. It's Matt Brown organized event. Yep. Kelly's part of that group who's who Rob, excuse me, Danny Higgins is going to be in there. And I say a wrinkle and I say a bunch of wrinkle. That's the for some and the crew starting with Danny, because this was this gain some traction yesterday. It's put together some Kelly Bidley and golf props that we use to what they want to throw out. This is because I have not played Gill in this at this point. I've come the excuses. I'm just saying reality. No, I'm a got there. I have some fun, man. But I've played like two rounds of golf in the past like seven years. That's me. Same thing. So I have no idea what these props are going to be. I don't either. They're going to just throw it up on the screen for us. That's your glove and intro for it. Was that your idea? Darn it. Larry was trying to sing them. So it was pretty good.

40:58Let's get you. Oh my god. They put together like twit like a leaven of these. Wow. These guys have never worked hard on anything in their lives. I told them like do three or four. Look at look at the graphic. The K Michael Bidley and invitational on the left of the screen. All right. Here they are, Kelly. Over under four and a half oles before Kelly throws, smashes a club over plus one forty under. Hey, under the favorite. They think you're going to go ballistic quick under. Easy money there. Come on. Okay. This is this is Matt Brown's club. Like, am I going to get him in trouble there? Oh, he belongs to a club now. I think so. Wow. Interesting. Over under 18 and a half total f-bombs dropped by Kelly over under very, it's going flippy. I think this one's easy too. Over. Over. Yeah. Yeah. I'm going to have front nine. That'll probably cover over under one and a half bars under minus 200. Oh, that's an under. You're not getting two parts. No, no, no, no chance. No chance. Yeah. I mean. We'll Kelly at some point blame the clubs. Yes. Minus three fifty. Surprise. They even offer a no.

42:02I'm surprised they posted a no at this sports. Great one. What golfer doesn't blame their clubs at some point. These sticks don't work. Exactly. Longest drive of the day. Two hundred and a half yards. I'll beat that on the driving range before we go over for sure. Over. But on the court, you'll be the two. I don't know. I'm over under seven and a half lost balls. You actually will not be able to find these golf balls over minus one forty five. Oh no. Over plus one twenty. Is that an under minus one forty five? They actually say under, under slightly juice there. I will, well, I'll tell you, kill. I'd made sure there was more than eight in my back when I packed up today as you should. There's only 18 holes, but seven and a half's a lot. Oh, because there is also I made the claim yesterday that I was going to play every shot no matter where it lied. Good pushback on Twitter. Also, if I don't want Matt to get in trouble, like, you know, I can't be doing that because there will be groups behind us. I was going to say, are you a I will take all the time in the world to find my ball? Are you a okay? I got one minute. That's it that I'm

43:03moving on. Usually that ladder, but I did make that claim yesterday. I was going to try to keep track every shot. I there's going to be people behind us. I'm not going to be able to do that. Well, Kelly hit a green on a par three. That's a good one. Yes. Plus one fifty no minus one eighty. You can get lucky on one of these great numbers. So that was the one where I was going to say, you know what? The over one and a half par is the only way that happens is if I hit, if I hit greens on two par threes over under five and a half drinks consumed during golf play. Yes, minus one thirty no plus one ten asterisk. Market highly dependent on cart girl availability and weather conditions. These people know me too. Well, they really they really went the distance on this. First of all, the five and a half is a really good number. And I would have said too. I would have said depends on where the car girl is. Will Kelly hit a ball in the water? Yes, minus 300. Yes for the max. How much water do we have? Do we have that much water? We'll Kelly hit a house during yes, minus 700. That is just massive. Why is the house more of a favorite than the water? How many houses are around here? And the same game, Parley, the Kelly meltdown, same game, Barley boost at plus 240 club throw slash smash. Parleyed with f bombs, Parleyed with hit the

44:08ball in the water plus 240. You shouldn't get that those those kinds of odds because that is so highly correlated way to go. Crews. This is Danny and Rob primarily. I asked Rob and Isaiah. Ask Rob to come up with just a few. I thought we could have fun for a second. About 11. Yeah, about 11. Well done gentlemen. Well, like you said, more work that was put in on this. Barely yesterday, the best best country club in segment ever. Speaking of which, I don't even know the drinks one concerns me. These people know me too well, Gil. Repeating the tennis plays that I have today, three of them at Indian Wells. These are actually real available at Portfolks. And I think you can actually bet at a stage is Zach, Zach, uh, Zakorova today plus 179 versus Emma Raducano. I'll check on the current price right now to see if that has, uh, drifted in either direction. This as I mentioned earlier is really a fate of Raducano. I do not buy into her game at this point. Still chasing is Raducano that unbelievable run as a quality to win the US open. It's like I can't believe that happened. Uh, good player, but I think Zakorova's numbers and

45:13that price, that's the play. Zakorova today is a afternoon match fading Emma Raducano. Then Alexandra Iola, a little later today, minus 122 versus Diana Yastremska. Um, Iola right now, let me see where she is. We find her minus 128. She's only about six cents higher than that. Zakorova, by the way, is at plus 175. So almost exactly the same price, four cents worse. And then on the men's side, Zachary Svajda, the American plus 170 versus Alejandro David Vich Vakina, or David Dovich Vakina, I'll read your pronounce that. Uh, Svajda right now on the men's side, is he around plus 170. Dovich, is it long oh there? Some go in David Vich. I have to go David Vich, but everybody is David Dovich. I'm like, okay, if you say so. Um, Svajda right now is at plus 141. That was the other thing with a pick yesterday, even though we split. I was like 30 cents of head of it on Bundar, who ended up winning in about 20 cents ahead of it on, on, uh,

46:14Royay, who did not win. So once again, I hear on the Svajda ones, uh, again, it pays to be a subscriber, you get the better number last night at plus 170. So Zakorova and Yala on the lady side, Svajda on the men's side. Any golf, uh, update. Yeah, update from the, uh, Arnold Palmer, and this is, it's going to be turned into a good tournament. I can't wait to see what we get today, because yesterday we did see more of a wave advantage that I thought we were really going to get with some of the wind picking up in the afternoon morning scores were definitely better. Uh, update from the tournament right now, Daniel Berger still has the lead. He went nine under yesterday, Gil post round calling it the greatest round of my life. That's right. Yeah, that he could remember. I thought it was kind of funny. He was like, yeah, I, you know, you know, like the, the golfers even even other sports, right, blows my mind. We're like, hey, what, uh, what club do you use on the third shot? Oh, it's amazing. They're like, oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, around the eight iron, it was like 128 yards. I mean, like, how do you remember all that? So Berger was like, I'd have to think about it for a while. He's like, that's probably the best round. They're like NBA players who

47:17can take you through the shot in the game. That's the one that always amazing. You're right. That's the, yeah, that's the craziest one. Berger amazing putting around. Yeah, look, his two-degree numbers were great. Kind of expect that from him, gained over three strokes, putting yesterday, though, and you're going to have to keep that up. Gill and I will be rooting for you, though. Ludwig Oberg, seven under part. He isn't solo second place. I know Dave Ross is celebrating cooking eggs and bacon at home right now. He's got Oberg tickets. Call him or a cow with six under Wes and Matt are both on him. So they will be rooting Danny's on more a cow at two, I believe. Cameron Young, five under part. We got a bunch of guys at four under and Rory is on the course has birdied one. So he is back to one under par for the tournament. That's who I will be looking at most closely. All right, arm bar. I think it's time you take a break for a little while. Look at the logo. I didn't see the logo. That's what I was pointing out at the very beginning. That's fantastic. Michael Bidlin. Look at that. Physic. Next. He's mad at me. This should be fun. On a numbers gave it visa. These sports betting network. When you invest with Fidelity Go,

48:19it does all the work for you. So while Fidelity Go monitors the markets, rebalances your portfolio and tracks your progress to keep your investments aligned with your goal. You can invest your time however you want. All while paying no advisory fees under 25K. Invest your money. Not your time with Fidelity Go. Get started at Fidelity.com slash Go. Advisory Services offered by strategic advisors LLC, a registered investment advisor. Brokage Services provided by Fidelity Brokage Services LLC member NYSE and SIPC. Now at the Home Depot, receive 12 months special financing and free basic installation on carpet projects with life proof, life proof with pet proof technology, home decorators collection, and traffic master carpets. Bring a new look to your floors, or give them a durable surface that stands up to life's top messes. Get 12 months special financing on installed carpet projects right now at the Home Depot. Offer valid March 12th or March 29th, 2026. Exclusions and additional charges may apply for licenses at Home Depot.com slash license numbers.