
About this episode
In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon hit some hypotheticals in their "Are We Sure?" segment. Also, they look ahead to some NFL draft odds and predictions. Later, Jordan Sherwood joins the show to preview UFC 326. Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. Grab your first month for only $9.99 or take 17% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD26. Click Here to get started.
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VSiN Best Bets — A Numbers Game | March 6, 2026 | Hour 2. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
We've been the trusted experts since 1960, because nobody knows tires better than we do. And with over 90 tire brands, we have an abundance of options in stock for your vehicle. Buy and drive today at discounttire.com. Let's get you taking care of. Right now, new fan dual customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token, and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same game parlays for a shot at a bigger payout. Fan dual. It's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select seats. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER. The numbers told the story of the hell is down. Swandals, idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game, with Gil Abixander gone decent. One number two. I'm a numbers game. Advice in these sports betting that were decent.com game plus I hard radio YouTube TV.
Series X of channel 158, Gil Abixander, Kelly Bidlin. It's a numbers game, y'all. Wouldn't bother to deal with other numerals for those listening in Spanish. Steve physics still to come later today. Right. Uh, he's got some stuff to talk about. I may have feeling I'm going to get angry at Steve. No. Yeah, because one of the things he wants to talk about, right? Crack is unscripted. Steve is slightly scripted because he lets us know kind of what he where he wants to go sometimes. Sometimes not. He's scripted and then he gets off scripted. Yeah. But he has some stuff that he wants to hit on and one of the things he wants to hit on. Well, I kind of feel like he's responsible for one of the things he wants to complain about. So I'm already a little hot about it. We'll see what happens there. I didn't read through his text that closely. I don't know exactly what you're talking about, but sounds right. Sounds about right. I'm like, really steep. Are we outraged about this? Hmm. Larry Fresh on Twitter. His listeners have stones, quote unquote, the stones in my pants when I bet he just gave us a list of lucky gemstones that he has eight, eight different kinds of stones. Do you like complaining about like part of a card's not being offered more places or something?
Oh, I don't know. Oh, no, no, no. Because that would be another good example. No, he's complaining. Can I just tell him just me and you talk to him? I know he's listening. He's complaining about people lifting other people's picks and putting them out there and I'm like, dude, I didn't catch that. This is my seat. This is my son and you and I can hear him. I put on this voice when I go, oh, it's only complaining. Two drinks in on Twitter. Since numbers game is, since the numbers game is turned into the visa and website supports last suggestion line today. Can someone please look into getting the watch live video link to try to work, rather? Uh-huh. You guys are the best. Is that upset you? It does because we've gotten, no, we've gotten too many of those tweets in the past month or so. We're working on it. We've got a suggestion box. Bees bets. People, people love your, your kiosk to Kelly. It's just fascinating. He goes, what if you lost your phone? It is Vegas and usually some drunken debauchery is going on. Another reason could be that you get people, oh, the other reason, the other reason could would be to get the people to the right pickup spot.
Some of the ride chair locations are insane and hidden in the bowels of the casino. Well, that part is true. What? Bees bets. One of the best points made so far. Of course, the M's, kiosk, nowhere near the actual perfect spot. Oh. That's a great point though. That one's a great point because that combines the other tweet we got about like the after the festival and my phone's not running out right. If you know where the pickup location is and you had one there, I'm, I'm, I'd be okay. By the way, the reason historically for that at casinos and by the way, also at the airport itself, right? That we're the picking up ubers and lifts as opposed to taxi is much more, how can we put this laborious, right? Yeah. Yeah. Is because when to the airport cap from first of all, taxi is obviously existed before ride chair. But when ride chair came in, the cabs, they wanted there like the fighting hard did not have these things. So at the airport at McCarran now read, it's, you got to, you got to travel. You got to walk a little longer to get to the Uber lift. You have to know which terminal where it is.
Yeah. You got to cross a bridge. That kind of thing. I don't know how you do it. It's very easy for me. Uber to the airport. I hop in that cab line as soon as I'm when I'm flying into Vegas. Oh, no, I still do. I'm, I'm never forget those cab people. They're the, are you kidding me? The way that they used to try to live close and also the way that they try to use to rip you off back in the day now, they have competition, screw them. Seriously. Sorry. Get also upset about it. But the, the, the hotels, same sort of thing, right? Where it's like, first of all, the hotels were already built. They already had their spots in the cas, but then the ubers and lifts, wherever they could kind of manage it. Yeah. I mean, yeah, most of the problems is this stuff was just built before a ride share became such a huge thing. And then yes, the airport's a different story because it's the cab still just trying to box out ride share companies. Lou Ford says, love the tennis talk. If you get a chance, check out 18 years, Lily Taggart. Yes, she played last night. She looks like the real deal. He says, I have a ego nine to one seem way too big, but I have concerns about a ego, especially her serve. People talk about cocoa services, but ego struggling to not like cocoa, not even in
the same category. He goes, what's going on with he goes between the, between the years for sure as well. No, I will give you that talked about that on the podcast the other day. Money gun guns. What's this? Gill is going to get angry at the, uh, at that peach physics saying so pre preemptively. We're worried about it. That maybe, well, maybe I won't, maybe I won't even come up breaking new skill. Yes. The Raiders this from Adam Shepard, the Raiders are releasing Geno Smith, barring a trade before the start of the new league here. Yeah, I'm sure they're lining up for that. I feel, it doesn't feel like we've read four of those already. It's like they're going to release them, you know, unless they can trade them. You know how well, you know what's a really smart way to induce a trade? Yes. Saying, hey, unless anybody wants trade, we're going to release them. This is good. It's a great negotiating strategy. Yeah. He'll be available for anyone to pick up it in eight days. But if you want to give it someone, Geno, you know, these other teams are just going to get them on the cheap here free. If you want a trade form, that was your chance.
There it is. There's the tweet there from Adam Shepard. He says, uh, by releasing Smith, the Raiders will open up eight million dollars in salary cap space while taking on 18.5 million in dead money. Yeah. Well, there you go. There's the latest on that time for are we sure? Let's do it. Let's do it. You think you know what's going on in the sports betting world? Are you sure? I'm positive. Gill and Kelly tackle the hard-hitting questions on another exciting edition of Are We Sure? Is double siguros? I think we should do the upside down question mark before are we sure as well? That's a good call. Yeah, it's a big call. Thanks. No one ever asked me. Rob's not here on Friday, so he can't fix it. Who'd be, um, although he does have a nice tank of pollution open. He does. He should be right. Should be ready on Monday. Oh, a new one. Yes. New one. New one. Thank you, Rob. Uh, I'm going to call it audible here real quick.
Are we sure? Fernando Mendoza will be the number one overall pick. Yes. If there was any question before that Gido Smith news, uh, definitely just made it very clear. Was that a trick question? I mean, no, it's just like, well, I'll, I'll say I'm still in the camp of, I don't exactly know how good Fernando Mendoza is. And I kind of believe that there's about four or five teams in the top 10 of the NFL draft that they should all just trade, trade down the, if they can and acquire more picks. Oh, I think that's for sure. And I'm like, my point is I don't really know if the Raiders like are in that group. What is Fernando Mendoza have to show you still to, to, to convince you that he's good at football. I don't know. It's, what, what we always say with football, it's a small sample size, man. Of course, you know, you're, you're absolutely right about that. It is that we're living off like 10 games last year. In a magical season, how they went 16 and open, you know, 16, 10, same difference. But not all six of those opponents were probably six, roughly 60% more than you guessed. But yeah, no, it's still, still, I understand your point.
There is no more in exact science. Let me establish this just to back there. There is no more in exact science than talent evaluation from college football to profile. I mean, it's, I really don't mean that it's a knock to mid does because it is like the draft period. I'm always like, I probably just trained down. If, if someone's actually going to offer you all the, like some of these moves that we see in the drafts of like, here's two more first round picks for us to move up like five spots. You're like, okay, yeah. That's a no brainer. People get crazy. They get crazy. Okay, Gal, we sure it is down to win the national championship at college basketball to the following teams Michigan, Duke, Arizona, Florida, Houston, Iowa State, or Yukon, those eight elitate. I think you just named seven, didn't you? I don't know. My fingers count to eight. Seven. There you go. By eight, you meant seven. Those are the seven that qualified in the formula. And I think, yes, 100% I'm a, am I 100% know what I'm 99.99% I really am. Like I just don't fit. And by the way, you might even throw out Houston and Iowa State.
I'll say it's down to the other five. So I just feel like the most interesting thing about, so yes, I am sure, but the most interesting thing about this tournament, Will Hill has talked about this is, while we can now sort of crystallize that five to seven teams are where the champion's going to come from, you still have a year in college basketball, I believe where there are more very goods than normal. And I really wonder again for your, for your upset rewarded brackets, if you're an upset rewarded bracket where you're incentivized to pick 13s and 12s and 11s and so forth. And in survivor, your ability to pinpoint what I think is going to be the very few upsets this year. I could be wrong. But remember last year, there were no 13 through 16s that upset anybody. I feel like we're, we're headed in that direction again with maybe like an exception. I just feel like generally speaking, we're going to have very few upsets in the NCAA tournament because beyond the five to seven to win it, there's a really strong underbelly
right below that down to like four and five seats. Okay. That's interesting. So I thought, I thought JVT and Mitch had a great conversation out part of the futures a couple of days ago about some of the one-seed props and they were, they, like they, they were basically satisfied once they need to see Florida as a one-seed first, but they thought there were some value once again on a one-seed winning the tournament. So you might, you might not fully agree with that because you think some of those that next to your downs a little bit strong. No, no, no, no, I agree with them completely because I think the champion can only come from the five to seven teams that you identified. I'm just saying, I'm just talking about upsets beyond that that I think it's strong two, three, four seating after that, but the champion that, that little prop that you just talked about. I kind of agree with them. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. There's some interesting numbers out there on that. Am I, am I getting involved? I think so. I think so. Seizures like minus minus one 60 or something. One-seed wins it. It's interesting. Are we sure the USA will win the World Baseball Classic? Dominican Republic will have something to say about it, but I think the USA will win.
I do. I believe they should be the favorite they are. Although, once again, my WBC play Korea to win pool C at plus 850. Did you see Japan yesterday? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Ten runs second against Chidee's type, I believe it was. Show Hey was one hit shy of the cycle. The triple short of the cycle at the end of the second inning. They won on a mercy rule. I got South Korea plus 850. They played Japan tomorrow. Okay. So how the game ended? Ended on a mercy rule? Yeah, mercy rule. I didn't catch that. That's how it ended. Wow. Seven innings. That's it. Okay. Are we sure I'm going to get my con? Can it take its home? No. I'm not. Sorry. Like I said, Gover Flag back in line up. It looked good yesterday. If he puts out one more, if he gets one great performance scoring wise, this is going to flip. You know what I'm saying? He's plus 140 right now. So I kind of agreed with you on that earlier in the week. I am shocked. This didn't move really at all. After he made his return yesterday. Yeah, I'm a little surprised.
Usually the market reacts to just news of guys returning. Well, overreacts. Let's talk some UFC on the other side. It's a NFL draft. We'll get more are we sure? Steve Fesick. It's a numbers game. Advice in the sports betting network. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pro's win because they've got the tools, the data and the discipline. And now so can you. Visa Pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit. With Visa and Pro. We've been the trusted experts since 1960 because nobody knows tires better than we do. And with over 90 tire brands. We have an abundance of options and stock for your vehicle. Buy and drive today at discount tire.com. Let's get you taking care of. Right now, new Fandoo customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days.
Place a tournament bet using the token. And if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same game parles for a shot at a bigger payout. Fandoo. It's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select seats. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandoo.com. Gamling Problem Call 1-800-Gambleer. A numbers game on fee set. These sports betting network. College hoop season's heating up at the best betting stretch of the years right around the corner. Right now, Vecin is offering her hoops. Mania is special. Get Vecin Pro access from now through May 1st for just $29.99 with Vecin Pro. You'll get daily best bets from Vecin hosts and guests. Real-time draftings and circuit betting splits. AI-powered prop tools and matchup analysis. 24-7 video and full show replays on the Vecin Watch app. Plus our March Mania betting guide. Adam Burke. Shout out.
Including team profiles for every tournament team. Keep trends for each round. Expert bracket and future strategies and best bets from Vecin's top analysts. If you're betting the tournament. This is a must. It's not at today. Vecin.com. Slash Subscribe. That's VSIN.com. Slash Subscribe. Steve Fezick. Angry Tweeting the show. He'll be here in 45 minutes. He says, so what is it? Okay. What was your line off here? You're like, God forbid we're hyperbolic. A little hyperbolic at a three hour. Steve, your math brain is just getting the best of you. He says he's mad at me. He said. He said, there's no way it's a 99%. Okay, it's not a 99% chance, Steve. Relax. Just we're talking off the cuff. He says, what is he want now? He says he'll take the three through 16 seeds at 99 to one. It's a win at all. I'm not going to give you 99 one, but I'll give you a number. I'll take one. I'll take all the ones in juice. Let's get that to go. I'll take all the ones to two, Steve. I'm in there with you. In 1985, when I was a wee lad, I took Georgetown. I gave everybody everybody else. By the way, Villanova beat Georgetown in the final.
I just want to point that out. But I was doing that then. I'll happily do with you now. Trust me. I love it. All right. Let's get a big bet going on the show between you and Fezza. I'm going to be fun. I don't be fun. But Steve's actuarial brain cannot process the fact that on the fly, we're like, I'm 99% in other case, Steve. What's next? Are we sure? Are we sure? Yeah. The Boston Celtics should be the favorites to win the Eastern Conference. I'm not 100% sure. I'm pretty sure to answer your question. I'll be a little ambivalent on this one. Yeah. Plus 240 on the Celtics is what they are. I think they are correctly the short shot because we just don't know, right? Will Jason, will Jason Tatum seamlessly fit? Will they just keep, you know, will they just pick up where they left off? No reason why systematically they couldn't, right, the way that Celtics play. The only question is, is he going to ramp up? I mean, part of the beauty of having him play,
and he is scheduled to play tonight, we believe? Yes. The part of the beauty of having him now get into the line up here is that the Celtics can ramp him up for the postseason, right? It's different from, okay, it's the playoffs put in Jason Tatum. No one ever comes back from a Kelly surgery during the playoffs, right? So this is a good thing for the Celtics to get him out there now. Again, just shy of 10 months from when he popped it in the Eastern Conference semis against the next last year. So yes, because I have muscle memory on the Celtics. But, you know, catch me two weeks from now, I might say some different. No, not totally. I think the Eastern Conference has been wild all season long. I mean, even before the season we knew it was going to kind of be up for grabs. I like this question because oftentimes we, you know, I'll throw some in here, right? You'll be like, I don't, I can't set a number, right? This is, we're talking basketball versus odds making here, right? If I was an odds maker, absolutely, I would, absolutely, I would make the Celtics a favor in the Eastern Conference because of the fear of what they could look like with a fully healthy Jason Tatum
getting in front of it. I'm going to shorten this line now, right? Not get hammered at the book because of it. Now, if we're just talking basketball, great point by you. It's huge that they get him back for a month. So they can actually work him in here before the playoffs start. Absolutely massive in my opinion. But like, it's for, I have no idea how good he's going to be. I think there are, I think the Celtics still have very much out of their flaws. I think every one of these teams at the top of the board has their flaws. And I wouldn't be shocked by any of them winning. I think it's probably one of the top four, but I don't think the ordinance should be discounted either. So I'll say there's five. Okay. Speaking of the ordinance, are we sure they're a real threat in the Eastern Conference playoffs? I am guilty. Yeah, I mean, I asked this a few in Zach yesterday, NBA Harnos, you both are. So I'll just, I'll just go with you guys on this. I don't think there's any dominant team with apologies to the pistons. So yeah, I feel so bad legit. They're legit contenders in the Eastern Conference. I don't think that's as monumental a statement as it sounds like it is.
No, correct. Right. That's why I wanted to do the Celtics conversation first because it isn't a monumental statement. I do feel bad because this is, it's already turning into this guilt. And I think we're going to get even further further into this as we get closer to the playoffs. The pistons have a very, very good team and have had an incredible regular season. And just think when we're talking to playoffs, they're not the most set, best set up roster for success. Once we get into that style of play, which is very different from NBA regular season. The fact that you can, the pistons very well coached in an incredible amount of effort from start to finish the season. Guess what has showed up in the standings and wins and losses for them. Gets tougher in the playoffs when everybody else starts to care and rotation shorten. And some of your flaws get from more exposed. So I just, I feel like the pistons are just going to be crapped on a ton here in the next month or so. And it's just want to give them their flowers now because they were one of the stories of this year's regular season. Yep.
Are we sure DJ, DJ Moore is the solution. We'll solve all the problems for the Buffalo bills and they are cruised into the Super Bowl. Well, of course, because you phrased it that way. No, I'm not sure. No, but I actually, look, it's just a question. We're getting in this with was to see the proxy. Yeah. See the bills fan. You know, likes the pick up doesn't like the compensation. I do like the pick up just from your question, right? The context of your question, regardless of the compensation is in this point. I do like the pick up. I think DJ, DJ Moore is a solid wide receiver to this league. Does it solve all their problems? No, of course not. Does he play defense? Nope. Okay. Just curious. Yeah. Yeah. I agree. But I like it. The instant, not not really call out, but just instant add on that Steve had that. If we were on the air yesterday talking about this coming down. Yeah. If you had been like Kelly, how old is DJ, DJ Moore? Maybe like, ah, 30, 29, 30.
Like, he's 28 years old. A couple of years younger than I would have guessed, honestly. Feels like he has played, feels like he has played forever. 28's about where I would have thought for DJ Moore. All right. Are we sure the Patriots offense is just going to fall apart with no Stefan digs anymore? Love how you're phrasing the telegraphing the past. Listen, I don't think they were, I mean, all year as the Patriots were winning football games. I think we, I think I even said many times. Man, if you could surround Drake May with players, right? I don't like they were operating with Whiteouts galore to begin with. No, they were not. So, no, I mean, I don't think it's, I don't think you topple anywhere from this. And look, good season by digs, but like, I don't, he's not what he once was. And I don't really, you can really lean on that going forward. I was just trying to pull up. Man, it sure sounds like AJ Brown is on his way to New England. Sounds like that list is getting shorter and shorter. Which, that's an upgrade for sure.
That all the, are we sure? Alright, let's just look at these real quick. You can bet these at Draft Kings where specific players will go in the NFL Draft towards the end of April. April 23rd, I believe, is the first round of the NFL Draft. So, next month, we can, we can say at this point, late next month, of course, though, which team will Jeremiah Love be drafted by? Let's start with Jeremiah Love. Titans are the short shot at two to one. The Comma doors at plus 275 are second interesting. The one that we, the team that we see him most mocked to mocked is a verb. Yeah. In this case, in NFL Draft parlance, the chiefs at plus 350, we've seen like multiple mocks have him going to the chiefs at nine. Is it nine? Yeah, nine. So nine. Yeah. The chiefs remember, this is the, yeah, this is the pick. So the chiefs now draft nine and 29 after that trade with the Rams the other day.
But the ninth pick, we have a mocked getting Jeremiah Love multiple times here plus 350. So, I don't know if you believe in mocks, the chiefs are the play. But, you know, who knows? Right? A lot of this. I don't think the commanders would, I don't think the commanders would love to have. Because I don't think a crosskey merit is necessarily the answer. You know, I think they like him. I don't think he's the, the end all be all. But I don't think the commanders will go Jeremiah Love. I really don't. Yeah, I think I was going to ask you how you would feel about that. I don't think I would love that. I was a commander's fan. And they, you know, speaking of news, I got a little surprise working that you didn't move. Much, much at all yesterday with Cooper flag getting back in. I really thought that would probably be about even money on both sides. Just with him playing a game. This markets that move on news, right? He met with the Titans yesterday. There you go. So they are your favorite. Air go. The main two to one. Yeah. I mean, I don't want to call it a disaster. Because like, I think, I think Love's great.
Look, I think Ashton Gentis probably created. We're really talking about the Titans considering. He said last year with the Raiders, you can't, can you really afford a luxury pick with a running guy? Well, and then it's wild to think about how you just saw a team do that the year before. And you might, and you might do it. This one, I have no idea about Ty Simpson from Banna. Which team will draft him? Jets are plus 225. Remember Jets at two right now. Steelers plus 280. Rams plus 350. Hey, Rams. That's interesting. Dolphins plus 425. Cardinals plus 475. Brown six to one. I have no idea. Much. Much side. It's not going to be an answer in here. Kill. But I'm going to side bet JVT. And I will go over the over the one and a half quarterbacks we drafted in the first round. I think he goes in the first round. Right. I don't know. I'll have to check in with him. Oh, that's his annual thing. But that's his running every year. He bets the under. And his credit. And his quarterbacks to be drafted. It's hit a fair about a time. And he kind of just let he kind of laughs. You know, he hit it on the Kenny picket year for sure.
Yeah. All right. Socks of UFC on the other side. Got to do that. UFC 326. Oh boy. Arm bar. Jordan. Jordan Sherwood's got thoughts. He got bets. Let's do it. Next on a numbers game. It's visa. These sports betting network. Trump. A numbers game on FISA. These sports betting network. Back on our numbers game. A life of a circle resort. Casino. That's how Las Vegas. Kill Alexander. Kill A by the line. Long side. G 18. It's still shouting out. UFC moves. Triangle. Kelly's ready to join the circuit. They called a circuit. I don't know what they call it. I believe Ben to get me brushed up on my play my play skills for UFC. James Fessler on Twitter says. You can and I will stay currently sitting outside the Ken Palm top offensive rating as a March 5th ratings. Hmm. Leaving just the big five on the formula.
Michigan Duke Florida air is only Houston. Yeah. Not only by Houston. I'll get Fessick three seeds three through 16 happily. We'll just have to negotiate a price. Roads. Roads knows. Quote. Roughly 60% more. What I said to you. Like what is he playing? Ten games. I'm like actually 16 with a Mendoza and things I say to my wife. He says when she doubts my betting accomplishments and also bedroom time. Yeah. There you go. Well, first of all, the answer of how did you do with the casino is always the same. No matter whether you win or lose, man. It's okay. Up and down. Roger Jones has an answer to. Your question of why would there be uber kiosks? He says the uber kiosk might come in handy for foreigners who have data off when roaming. Oh, take that Kelly Bidlin. And your kiosk, your uber kiosk slander. You know what? I should probably say the part that we talked about off air on air. It's really just the idea in my mind of whatever, whatever try hard at the uber corporation that I had the stones.
Yeah. To go into his boss's office and be like, look, I know we've got this hit at. But what we need are physical stands that people could go to. I mean, that is the fact that that guy somehow got that past the fence. And what did I respond? I said there was probably an employee who suggested it first or they didn't value. And they were like, that's the dumbest idea I've ever heard. And then Bill from account, it was like, hey, I got this idea and they're like, ah, that's a great idea. Bill, I used to do that during the show and all the time. We'd sit in sales meetings. He'd say something real smart. And then I'd be like, you know what? I'm just going to regurgitate the same thing. They're going to do it. Speaking of Jordan Sherwood. Oh, wow. Kelly's old buddy from South Florida. Jordan joins us now courtesy of the progressive guest line to talk UFC with us. Jordan can be found, of course, at fat jack sports now. He's an MMA advisor for fat jack sports cohost of the unnamed MMA podcast through all these years. Jordan joins us now courtesy of the aggressive guest line wood on ESPN 1600. Is that wood on ESPN 1000 pardon me? I don't know where that's 1600 from. Jordan, sorry about the off air stuff. Jordan is all excited about the Chicago Bears. And the first thing I'm like, yeah, what about that Drew Dahlman retirement?
What about DJ Moore trying to like ruin his day for God's sakes? Nothing's going to ruin your bears excitement. I would imagine at this point, huh? No, I mean, like I said, you guys off air. It's they finally have a head coach and they finally have a quarterback together. And I think everything else will fall in the place. And I think you guys have been talking about it. This is what happens with good teams. They lose good players to shed money and restructure contracts. And that's the expectation here in Chicago. Is we could set for the soft season. Let's talk some UFC 326. Of course, the the pay per view days are behind us. But most folks in the know would say, yeah, this would actually be a pay per view. I would pay for here. The main event max Halloween. Charles Olivera max. Hollowways about a minus 215 favorite. Olivera plus 185 or so on the comeback lightweight. BMF title. We always like the BMF title. Right title bats here. So correct me if I'm wrong here, Jordan. So they they fought like 11 years ago in 2015. And Olivera only went like 96 seconds.
They don't really know what the injury was. I guess they were like, do they were like shoulder or neck injury. Some said it was a suffigil issue, by the way. But it kind of a haunted. Olivera just from a reputational standpoint for a long time since, huh? Yeah, it did. Like he was he was plagued with kind of being a quitter. A guy that couldn't go through the rough times. And you know, that was the first time I think he wasn't a main event slot. And a big opportunity in the featherweight division. And he just crumbled without actually being hit. He's proven the doubters wrong since then. It has gone on a first ball at Hall of Fame career. You're talking about the most prolific finisher in UFC history in Olivera. And the most prolific submission finisher in UFC history. The guy is awesome. The guy is awesome. And that's why there's so much excitement for him to perform. And then also the be going against Max Holloway. Maybe the greatest featherweight of all time.
A guy that is the most prolific striker. If you're talking about volume and strikes and in the acting on in UFC history. And you can always make the argument they've never met. But even though they have, as you alluded to, they fought several years ago. Perfect timing for this fight. Neither one of them really in title consideration for any weight class. So why not have them compete in this fight against the BMF title. And when you look at the ways to win this fight, I mentioned Olivera. He's a finisher mostly with submissions. Max Holloway has only been submitted one time in his mixed martial arts career very early on in his career. And you know, Olivera does get stopped. But he gets stopped by, you know, powerful strikers or powerful wrestlers. And then like a TKO ground and pop. I don't see that scenario happening. So that's why I love this fight. And I love it going into the championship rounds. And I like the over at three to half. Even though we're talking about two prolific finishers.
I don't think either one of the guys, the way they finish people is a way to do that. Against the either opponent. So grab it. Two and a half. It's like $1.75. I like it to plus three and a half, over three and a half. So that's plus money. But should be a fantastic fight as the main event for OC 326. Holloway, Olivera, over three and a half rounds from Jordan at plus 105. Always shop around for the price on this. And by the way, as of course, as Jordan said, Olivera sends that fight with Holloway 17 and six. But beat legends. Porie, Gachi, Chandler, on and on. Okay. Jordan, what would odds be on this? I guess I'm a little surprised to see Olivera this big of a dog in this fight. What do you think the odds would be on this fight if it was fought a year ago? It would be similar. It would be, it would be, it would be quite closer for two reasons. One, you're, you're, you're dead now talking about the fact that Olivera's not coming off the, the knockout loss that he had against Elliott DePoria. And you're also talking about Matt's Holloway fighting into the vision where a year ago he was,
Owen won. But since that point, you went up to lightweight beat Dustin Porie. So he looked good the second time around fighting at 155. He can't make 145 anymore. That's not really the weight class for him. He's a natural male 155 or so. I think it would have been a little bit tighter had they fought a year ago. But you know, recently bias, obviously in all the case with MMA. But what's for remember too, Olivera's coming off a very impressive victory in October against Matisse Gamrod, a very good grapple in the lightweight division. And he finished him. That was in Rio now. So Olivera's never going to lose in Brazil. And that's why it obviously invades. Which of your moves would you use against Olivera Kelly? Which do you think you'd use? Chocolt. Chocolt. Okay. Curious. That was an easy one. Nothing on the co-main from you, Jordan. But right before that on the main card. Rob Font from Puerto Rico. Role Roses Jr. from Mexico. A banemweight fight where Font is the big dog plus 195 versus junior minus 238 favor. What do you got here?
Yeah. And I do like this match up for Rob Font. I mean, you know, he's a veteran. He's been at the top of his division for quite some time and outstanding boxer. One of the best that we have not just in his division, but in the sport. And a guy who recently is two and one against these young up and coming fighters. That is Raul Roses Jr. Roses Jr. Roses Jr. Roses Jr. made his debut at, I think, is the youngest combat member in 18 years of all. He's a good grappler, good submissions, but evolving striking. And that's where I think the path to victory is going to be for Rob Font. Being able to outbox Raul Roses Jr. Keep the fight standing. He's got good take down the fence. Does Font. Matt the greatest. So I could see a scenario where Roses Jr. gets his fight that are going to control them. But the one thing that I'm also looking at is this is the longest layoff in Roses Jr's career. Over a year since we've seen him. What's he going to be like? Has he evolved? And certainly he's coming to his age at 21 years of age.
He certainly showed he's had a great camp, the MMA lab. But I think Rob Font is proven. This is a dramatic step up in competition. He beats these younger guys as two and one, as I mentioned, his last three fights against these young up and comers. And I think he does it again, especially at that place point. You see there it's flashed plus 195. I released it plus 175. So if you can grab it even further, I think Rob Font is a dog quite a look at it. USA 326. Yeah, do we wait to bet that? Do we wait for it to go higher and higher? You think or just get it now? I think so. I think there's public buddies going to come in on Roses Jr. He's a tick tock star. You know, he's a guy that's, you know, cater to the younger audience. A guy that, you know, people are seen to evolve. Rob Font's kind of the old veteran, the old guard. Um, but I, I think Rob Font's a favorable matchup for him that I like him at that plus month. Danny, tell me in my ear, you can get fonted about plus 220 now, even. So there you go. Big doggy font right before that fight in the most easy to pronounce names in any fight in UFC history. Drew Dober and Michael Johnson lightweight bow.
What do you got? Yeah. Love this fight. Fantastic. Lightly matchup. Two guys that have been in the UFC forever and shockingly they haven't fought each other. Dober is has the history for most amount of knock downs and knockouts and lightweight history. He's just a compact diet. It likes to go in there either kill or be killed. Doesn't rely on his wrestling. And Michael Johnson's been the UFC forever. We got to know him on the reality show back in the day and still at his age, the speed. He's got unbelievable speed and unbelievable power. Dober's a guy that gets hit. I think Michael Johnson's, you know, got a second or third coming of his career. I love him because of the speed advantage. Not only win the fight, but likely win it via knockout. Dober gets in the fire fights and it's improving to hurt him time and time again. So at Michael Johnson, Dauer 25, I think he gets his hand raised and likely inside the distance. Jordan, appreciate it. Good luck with the bets. Enjoy the fights. All right. Thanks for having me on, fellas. Jordan sure would everybody always a pleasure. Hammer lock. Golf and tennis. Physic coming up on visa.
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Television's Kelly Biddle. Right. That's what we do. It's up YouTube TV. And here are those numbers. Just keep going up, man. Kelly brings the pretty every day. Losing weight before our eyes. When will it be? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. When will it stop? Nobody knows. Master of puppets on Twitter! Hey, Gillie Kelly. Have a great day of weekend. Win some money. FY After a week. I finally got Metallica tickets. There you go. Nice. Metallica at the Spahir. I believe it's pronounced. Rob Graham. I will be there for sure. I don't know. Tallica didn't do it for me. I'm not the biggest Metallica guy, but like that's. I don't know. Anything remotely interesting to me and at the sphere? I'll be there. The sphere is awesome. Either way. Friday and G from Rob Graham. Thank you, Rob. Besides Julio for AL MVP, what are your choices for any other MLB awards? I haven't, I don't really love anything. Obviously, psi young
skeens, the scoobal crochet monster in the AL. There's not much to talk about there. Obviously NL MVP. There's not much to talk about with show. Hey, this is why our buddy Steve the proxies like let's do markets without these guys. His baseball has been super top heavy. So that's why I landed where I landed. Rookie of the year, God, who does, right? Nothing, but as far as stats, I do like Logan Webb most wins. So not an award, but that's what I like long term in that department. Chance Copperpod, who's ready for Stevie master of muting a discord channel, Fesick Fridays. And then this one for Vegas regular, I love Fridays on Angie when it seems like Kelly had cocktails before the show. This is this is great. We were talking about this. You know what it is. Kelly knows, Fesick is coming and he's going to get evicted. So he tries to get it all in in two hours. Yeah, it's I don't say it's something for us. If you're on the air, messes with your mind because I would like to feel I would like to come across the same all five days of the week. But if we're, you know, peal back to curtain Mondays and Tuesdays, there's a lot more going on.
I got a lot of golf prep and I podcast to do in Thursday and Friday. Yeah, I'm kind of cruising in the weekend. I got cracking here. Fezin here. I got I got to get it all out Friday's out Friday's always has a different feel. And it should, by the way, growing up listen to radio Fridays, their favorite shows had a different feel. Um, calf slicer. What's actually Google to list calf slicer? Like some of these I've never heard watching UFC for years. Well, you know, Kelly, while I'm busy being bougie today, go into a Palm Springs, the Indian Wells. I'm being bougie. I'm going to play golf. Kelly Bidley is going to be playing golf today. It's Matt Brown organized event. Yep. Kelly's Kelly's part of that group who's who Rob, excuse me, Danny Higgins is going to be in there. And I say a wrinkle and I say a wrinkle. That's the for some and the crew starting with Danny because this was this gain some traction yesterday. It's put together some Kelly Bidley and golf props that we just want they want to throw out. This is because I have not played Gil in this at this point. I've come to excuses. I'm just I'm just saying reality. No,
I'm a got there. I have some fun, man. But I've played like two rounds of golf in the past like seven years. That's me. Same thing. So I have no idea what these props are going to be. I don't either. They're going to just throw it up on the screen for us. That way. That's your glove and intro for it. Was that your idea? Darnell Larry was trying to sing them. So it was pretty good to get you. Oh my God. They put together like twit like 11 of these. Wow. These guys have never worked hard on anything in their lives. I told them like do three or four. Look at look at the graphic. The K Michael Bidley and invitation on the left of the screen. All right. Here they are, Kelly. Over under four and a half holes before Kelly throws. Smash as a club over plus one forty under. Hey, under the favorite. They think you're going to go ballistic quick under seasy money there. Come on. Okay. This is this is Matt Brown's club. Like I'm not going to get him in trouble there. Oh, he belongs to a club now. I think so. Wow. Interesting. Over under 18 and a half total f bombs drop by Kelly over under very it's going flippy. I think this
one's easy too. Over. Over. Yeah. Yeah. I'm going to have a front nine. That'll probably cover over under one and a half bars under minus 200. Oh, that's an under. You're not getting two parts. No, no, no chance. No chance. Yeah. I mean, we'll Kelly at some point blame the clubs. Yes. Minus three fifty. Surprise. They even offer a no. I'm surprised they posted a no at this sports. Great one. What? What golfer doesn't blame their clubs at some point. These sticks don't work. Exactly. Longest drive of the day, 200 and a half yards. Oh, I'll beat that on the driving range before we go over for sure. Over, but on the course. I don't know. I'm over under seven and a half lost balls. You actually will not be able to find these golf balls over minus one forty five. Oh, no, over plus one twenty. Is that an under minus one forty five? They actually say under under slightly juice there. I will. Well, I'll tell you, kill. I made sure there was more than eight in my bag. What I packed up today as you should. There's only 18 holes, but seven and a half
a lot. Oh, because there is also I made the claim yesterday that I was going to play every shot no matter where it lied. Good pushback on Twitter. Also, if I don't want Matt to get in trouble, like, you know, I can't be doing that because there will be groups behind us. I was going to say, are you a, I will take all the time in the world to find my ball or you a, okay, I got one minute. That's it that I'm moving on. Usually that ladder, the ladder, but I did make that claim yesterday. I was going to try to keep track every shot. I, there's going to be people behind us. I'm not going to be able to do that. We'll Kelly hit a green on a par three. That's a good one. Yes, plus one fifty no minus one eighty. You can get lucky on one of these great numbers. So that was the one where I was going to say, you know what? Oh, the over one and a half par is the only way that happens is if I hit, if I hit greens on two par threes, over under five and a half drinks consumed during golf play. Yes, minus one thirty no plus one ten asterisk. Mark and highly dependent on cart girl availability and weather conditions. These people know me too well. Wow, they really, they really went the distance on this. First of all, the five and a half is a really good number. And I would have said too. I would have said depends on where the car girl is. We'll Kelly hit a ball in the water. Yes, minus 300. Yes, for the max. How much water do we
have? We have that much water. Well, Kelly hit a house during play. Yes, minus 700. That is just massive. Why is the house more of a favorite than the water? How many houses are around here? And the same game, Parley, the Kelly meltdown, same game, Barley boost at plus 240 club throw slash smash. Parleyed with F bombs, Parleyed with hit the ball in the water plus 240. You shouldn't get that those those kind of odds because that is so highly correlated way to go. Crews, this is Danny and Rob primarily. I asked Rob and Isaiah. I asked Rob to come up with just a few. I thought we could have fun for a second. About 11. Yeah, about 11. Well done gentlemen. Well, like you said, more work that was put in on this barely yesterday, the best best country club in segment ever. Speaking of which, I don't even know the drinks one concerns me. These people know me too well, girl. Repeating the tennis plays that I have today, three of them at Indian Wells. These are actually real available at sports folks. And I think you can actually bet at a stage is Zach,
Zach Aurova today plus 179 versus Emma Raducano. I'll check on the current price right now to see if that has drifted in either direction. This as I mentioned earlier, it's really a fate of Raducano. I do not buy into her game at this point. Still chasing is Raducano that unbelievable run as a quality to win the US Open. It's like I can't believe that happened. Good player, but I think Zach Aurova's numbers and that price, that's the play. Zach Aurova today is a afternoon match fading Emma Raducano. Then Alexandra Iola, a little later today, minus 122 versus Diana Yastremska. Iola right now. Let me see where she is. We find her minus 128. She's only about six cents higher than that. Zach Aurova, by the way, is at plus 175. So almost exactly the same price, four cents worse. And then on the men's side, Zachary Sfajda, the American plus 170 versus Alejandro David Vich Fakina, or David Dovich Fakina, I hope you pronounce that. Sfajda right now on the
men's side, is he around plus 179? Is it long oh there? Some go in David Vich Fakina. I go David Vich, but everybody is David Dovich. I'm like, okay, if you say so. Sfajda right now is at plus 141. That was the other thing with a pick, yes, David, and though we split, I was like 30 cents ahead of it on Bundar, who ended up winning in about 20 cents ahead of it on on Royay, who did not win. So once again, I hear on the Sfajda one. Again, it pays to be a subscriber, you get the better number last night at plus 170. So Zach Aurova and Iola on the lady side, Sfajda on the men's side. Any golf update? Yeah, update from the Arnold Palmer. And this is going to be turned into a good tournament. I can't wait to see what we get today, because yesterday we did see more of a wave advantage than I thought we were really going to get with some of the wind picking up in the afternoon, morning scores were definitely better. Update from the tournament right now, Daniel Berger still has the lead. He went nine under yesterday, Gil, post round,
calling it the greatest round of my life. That's right. Yeah, that he could remember. I thought it was kind of funny. He was like, yeah, you know, you know, like the the golfers will even even other sports, right? Blues, my mind were like, hey, what club do you use on the third shot on a whole three? And they're like, oh, yeah, yeah, around the eight iron. It was like 128 yards. And we're like, well, how do you remember all that? So Berger was like, I'd have to think about it for a while. He's like, that's probably the best round. They're like NBA players who can take you through the shot in the game. That's the one that always amazing. You're right. That's the, that's the craziest one. Berger, amazing putting around you. Look, his two degree numbers were great, kind of expect that from him, gained over three strokes, putting yesterday, though, Dan, you're going to have to keep that up. Gil and I will be rooting for you though. Ludwig Oberg, seven under part. He isn't solo second place. I know Dave Ross is celebrating cooking eggs and bacon at home right now. He's got Oberg tickets. Call him or a cow with six under west and matter both on him. So they will be rooting Dan. He's on more a cow at two, I believe. Cameron Young, five under part. We got a bunch of guys at four under. And Rory is on the course
has birdied one. So he is back to one under par for the tournament. That's who I will be looking at most closely. All right, arm bar. I think it's time you take a break for a little while. Look at the logo. I didn't see the logo. That's what I was pointing out at the very beginning. That's fantastic. Michael Bidlin. Look at that. Fezick. Next. He's mad at me. This should be fun. On a numbers gave it visa. These sports betting network history is yours to make. What would you like the power to do? Bank of America champions, US women soccer legend Michelle Acres and everyone who dares to ask what's possible. Bank of America, proud to be the official bank of US soccer, Bank of America and a member of DSE. You're having a good time. You're out drinking with the boys. Now it's time to pay the tab. 11,352.47 cents. Wait, what? Well, there are court costs, attorney fees, higher insurance costs, damage to your car, do you why fines? Not to mention the damage to your social life. Plan a sober ride or pay the price. Drinking and driving costs more than your drinks. It could cost a life. Learn more at what's
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