A Numbers Game | March 26, 2026 | Hour 1

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1:02The numbers told the story always. One of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander. Good Thursday morning to you is a numbers game of beast and these sports betting that were decent.com game plus I hard radio, YouTube TV, and of course, series six of general 158. Gil Alexander, Kelly Midland in the house. How you doing, sir? I'm doing great. It's opening day. What a sweet 16 a lot going on. Oh, survivor, baby. I'm in three. I looked finally. The over 3000 entries. I'm in three hundred and forty third place, not good enough. So that means I'm below you. I gotta have you submitted. No, but I will. I mean, I know what I'm saying. I already know what I'm saying. I'm not sure. I've gone back and back and forth over the past 24 hours. I'm looking forward to. I said to myself, I'm going to have a conversation with Gil Alexander about this on the show first. And then I'm going to figure out what I'm going to do. All right. We'll do that later. We'll do that later. Zach and crack. Of course, Zach Cohen on not only the NBA at tennis, but he's got thoughts on the sweet 16 as well. Maybe he's got some plays in Miami today. We'll get to that momentarily.

2:08Dr. Bob joining us. Is that true? Allegedly, allegedly. We have an alleged accusation. He'll be here. He'll be here. Dr. Bob on the sweet 16. I'm going to ask him about the games. Obviously tonight, tomorrow night, who he's got simulated a win and a whole thing percentages now. And because the major league baseball season, well, did begin yesterday, of course, with the giants getting beat by a touchdown against the Yankees. In earnest begins today. 22 other teams in action. Joe Shion for the Joe Shion newsletter joining us today. He's also got a Joe Shion gaming thing happening this year. Yeah, new, uh, new, a new newsletter, a gaming newsletter. So let him explain that. But I actually just forwarded you as one from this morning. So yeah, he's got. He's got some thoughts. Gracias. And then Bill Crackerberger unscripted with the crack man. Mm hmm. And I was getting brought to you by Profit X. All of that coming down. I will also talk about to hear before opening pitch here with Paul skiing's first game this morning. Isn't just over three hours. Paul schemes and the pirates going up against the Metropolitan's. I am going to make a major league baseball play to down. I'm just going on. I'm just playing schemes.

3:13Skins first five. Skins full game. I like it. Hey, you give me plus money on the full game. You give me short minus money on the first five. Thank you very much. I'll take it. I might join you too. I felt I felt a little bit of FOMO last night of the like I was getting. I got close to playing the Yankees team total over. Yeah, just kind of first game. And yeah, that was that was easy. Wait a minute. You're the perfect person. How do you love your boy? James with all his well, well, Danny alerted me via text message. I don't know about you. I watched a lot. I watched a lot of watched a lot early. And then I was back and forth on TVs with all the NBA going. So I think I missed the main James appearance. But then I caught him at the end of the game. I thought he was glorious. Dude's going to make so much money when he's when he's done with football Yankees beat the giant seven and nothing Logan Webb got beat up in the second inning. Five spot. Yeah, was it a five spot in the second? I believe it was. I think it was. I think it was. And then yeah, even if he had pitched well, guess what? Got no run support at all. That's kind of his thing. I don't know what it is about this man's career. They can I give him runs seven and nothing Yankees. That's the opener.

4:20Um Aaron judge though. Oh for five with a golden sunbarrow. Well, he's a strikeouts. So he's terrible. So there's that. But I'm on skeens today. The other stuff that was going to the best two parts about that game last night. Other than the if you're Yankees back or Yankees fan. The puff cloud American flag before the game. You see that. That was unbelievable. Into the San Francisco clear skies. The beautiful red, white and blue cloud American flag was unbelievable. Well, I wasn't like fire. Yeah, they shot out. Well, whatever they whatever smoke a factor. So that's a cloud. Clouds. Yeah, exactly. Pardon me. And then Barry Lamar bonds was was on the broadcast. Yeah, both before and during. And he told a story that I believe here to four Kelly has never been told before here to four. Where he said that back in 1993, what he eventually signed with his hometown giants. He got an offer from the Yankees and was prepared to take it. They were going to make him the highest paid player at the time. Majorly baseball. But he said boss George Steinbrenner on the phone said to him. Yet you have to have it signed by 2 p.m. today though. And Barry said.

5:34What did you say and hung up on him? And he said, I'm going home, going to play for the giants. Never told that story before. That was the biggest news of the game yesterday. Well, bonds could have perhaps should have been a Yankees. Yeah, we're not for the arrogance of George Steinbrenner. Yeah, you got to love when a player of that level and an owner like that get on the phone with each other. Yeah, when demand start getting dropped things, I always go, I 100% believe that story to be 100%. Okay, as much as we love Mary bonds, I can also see him in 1993 being like, you're not going to tell me what to do. I'll go side anywhere else. I would think in any walk of life, if the boss is basically telegraphing the past at that point as to, I'm a horrible human. And this is going to be a nightmare for you if you come here. That's all you need to know. Yesterday, let's get to yesterday. Yesterday, a tennis run comes to a skid. By the way, we're still 16 and eight with over 10 units, 10 and a half units positive over the last run, even with the O and three yesterday, Kelly, ever have an O and three.

6:38And you'd make the same bets again. Oh, yeah, that was yesterday. And by the way, this is the beauty of the numbers game audience. They kind of get that right. It's only the outliers. It's like, okay, yesterday, so we had Jesse Pagula was a plus 180 play against Elena, Rebecca, and a Pagula won the first set, lost the second, and then got broken early by Rebecca and in the third and just could not get over the rest of the way. Tip of the cap to Rebecca. Pagula is a plus 180 dog goes down. Then Martin, Landa, Lucy, a plus to 12 dog loses two yeary, LeHechka, 7675. In a match that I would, I would, if I'm being honest, LeHechka deserved because I'm not sure Landa, Lucy would, it could have really dug into his serve at any point. So we lose that one. And then the kick in the, you know what, the pants. Tommy Paul. Tommy Paul is a short dog against our tour fees. It was a short dog or short of everything short dog short dog.

7:38Short dog short, no short dogs in the house. Um, shout out to short. Tommy Paul, oh for six on break points. That's not the worst of it. Worst of it. He gets to the third set. By the way, it was 766767. Six to, he's up six to in the third set tiebreaker. Six to, you know what that means? That means four match points. Yeah, guess what? Gackety, gack, gack, gack, gack, gack, gack. Mm-hmm. Lost to the next six points. Six to, uh, tiebreaker for Gil. That means there's like a coin flip chance of them getting home. Brew. That's right. That's exactly right. Brutality. Anyway. And by the way, if he wins that, then it's, you know, you lose less than a unit on the day and it's just a footnote. Now, Gil, that's how it goes. That's how it goes. It's interesting. Interesting betting psychology question. You, uh, you, uh, asking there in a, that probably I was kind of laughing after you said it. Cause not only have I had oh and three days that I would make the same exact place. Again, my problem might be I swing too far that way where I'm so sure of it. We're like, I'd probably say that too often. You know what I mean? Like I should probably do more reflecting on whether I actually should have made those.

8:39There is that parallel. Yeah. Yes. Well, uh, the only play today and in Miami for me, we'll find out of Zach has anything else later. Uh, and I mentioned this play yesterday. Carly to Mojoba minus 111 versus Coco today in the women's semis right now. Look at that price. Mojoba is actually can actually get Mojoba to better price. Uh, then I got her yesterday minus 111. I saw Mojoba got all the way to minus 120. Now she's down to about minus 105. So you can get her a better price against Coco, but I'm on Mojoba today against Coco. That's the only tennis play. Uh, the take up a loser play hit yesterday. Yes, it did. Barely. Oh, yeah. For crying out loud. Yeah. When I say barely, I'm talking about you gold and stay warriors. Good. Yeah. Who Ben Saroff was Tomahawk jamming against him yesterday. I was like, look at this kid.

9:39Leaflet. Uh, he was, he was phenomenal. But, uh, warriors just hold it. It was the, the refs almost were part of the tank yesterday. Yeah. That was like held their whistle at the end. They're like, okay, we'll just let the warriors win this. Anyway, that gets home a four leg parlay. The other legs were pretty, uh, fairly easier than that. And so our little tankapalooza brain dead parlay background background singer kind of thing. Yeah. Sorry. Lakers ended up looking tighter than it really was. Yeah. It was, it was, it was, it was, it was way easier than what the final score says. I guess Denver was nip and tuck for about a half or so. That's fair to you. Yeah. Yeah. That one may be a little tighter than the final score indicates. Anyway, it gets home. Sixty, uh, 65 cents on the dollar. So we are what? Seven and four on these for plus 1.69 units. If you take the individual legs, we are 40 and five. Think about that. You go 40 and five. You're only up 1.69 units. Uh, nothing today because it's a short NBA slate, but we will resume this tomorrow.

10:41And I think it's, it's, it's, it's just, it's a minefield, but nice to have in the background. You know, just like add a few checkers here and there. Yeah, absolutely. I was hoping in my head. I'll be honest with you. In my head, when we were up, when we were 4 and 0 and we were, what was that at that time? It was, you know, we were up four units or units, no, three plus units. At that point, I was like, you think we can squeeze 10 units out of this by the end of the day? That would have been amazing. We again, there. But, yeah. But as long as you're in the positive, like he says, lower in the black, we'll still do this. Totally. Totally. Yep. Look, there's, you know, other people have come with other ideas. There's, there's other ways you could try to do it. I think that Gill was just put in in practice, right? The identifying these tanking teams and just money line are laying them every time. This is the results. Todd was telling me on his discord. He goes, Gill, you should see these discord people. Like you started this thing and they're telling you how to do it. So Gill doesn't know what he's doing with this stuff. This is the, you know, Danny has had to go, go to the smaller type graphic. Yeah.

11:41Yeah. We have a lot of these. Yeah. Anyway, just keep track. Just of mentioning that game, Mavericks nuggets coming, coming around to your side on this. I think the past few, like past week and a half games. I think Cooper flags going to win the rookie of the year, man. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Well, I was watching the last couple Mavericks games. They are running everything through him. He's putting up a million shots of game down the stretch. And meanwhiles. What? Whilst concudibles playing like 19 minutes of game for some reason, the past like five games. So the whole like argument I was making about its Cooper flag and the Mavericks tanking away is rookie of the year. Certain to happen in Charlotte. Why would the MVP market is also getting tighter and tighter now? You see this? Yeah. This shows down to minus 700. It's still a big favor. But now it's down to minus 700. We were talking on the other side about it. I made a lot of notes. Yeah, like the other guys are creeping up. Interesting. Interesting. I mean, MVP every year in the NBA, these guys are incredible.

12:43Coming back with that. And per division in baseball. Who's gonna have the most wins in April. Will do that next. Nambers Game Visa, these sportsmen in that. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. Let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools the data and the discipline And now so can you visa programs you access to the same real time insights the sharps use no secrets No fluff just actionable info that moves markets tap the link and see why serious betters are turning knowledge into profit with visa in pro The Toyota tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by Toyota's time Tested legacy of dependability step into a tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available I force max engine Tundra puts out impressive power torque and towing performance and the roomy high-tech cabin keeps you connected on the go or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path agile tough and relentless with available features like crawl control

13:48A portable JBL speaker a power lift gate so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving the Tacoma and Tundra are Engineered to endure season after season mile after mile so drive one home today visit Toyota dot com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to find out more Toyota Let's go places United health group is simplifying health care by investing in tools to help patients know more and pay less These tools help patients find providers and compare costs and save hundreds of dollars annually learn more at united health group dot com slash commitment A number's game proudly brought to you by profit x if you're not on profit x yet now it's time son of April six purchase at least $25 and get a free $25 then jump into their king of March contest you can win free trips worth up to $5,000 or even $10,000 just use the code Vson mm as in March Madness make your first purchase then learn about the contest on their whole page and start playing no entry for

14:53You're required hit $1,000 in volume you're entered for a $5,000 trip $10,000 you're in for the $10,000 trip Wind 10 picks hit the volume and every additional 10 wins gets you another entry download profit x use code Vson mm make your first purchase and take your shot and become in the king of March We get sweets and beating the book Jesse Welch go back to yesterday I have a few more name choices for the Vegas NBA team Ready for this kind of goes the Las Vegas overchargers The Las Vegas remember when this people here getting nostalgic about days gone by when the mob ran the place And the Las Vegas when we get legal sports betting here I like the last one Jared still young gilly curious why you're taking Iowa over Nebraska and survivors It's solely seating versus other available teams. Why not Nebraska? Well, first of all, I like Iowa to begin with But yes Uh, to answer your question Jared, but yes Yes, that is exactly why because again, the over 3,000 entries in our thing and I'm in 343rd place I might as well be in 3,000th place

15:54Because The object is to win the thing So my only chance and by the way, even if I get these, I don't know if I can get high enough But I'm going with the long seat Texas by the way I've already used So I cannot use them. So Iowa is the play and I like the Iowa playing by the way by the betting lines It's kind of the correct play which we'll get into. Yeah We'll talk we'll talk about it. You the big difference between me and you we both have Iowa available I have Texas. Yeah, do not have Tennessee and you're the exact opposite right correct Yeah, that's I've been going back and forth on whether I should be playing Texas or not here It is amazing that once survived, you know, once the games resume and survivor creeps back into your mind It's all you can think about This is from let's see. Oh, Jeffrey divorce. He says he's Jeffrey divorce says he's why we lost the tennis matches He says I need he said I want to personally apologize for deciding today was the day to start telling your tennis Oh, any any also played the Logan Webb most wins play

16:54He says the Tommy Paul match finish icing on the cake my fault Jeffrey, I think that's science like it was you. Yeah, actually we're gonna even save that tweet Yeah, the end of the season when Logan Webb just gets there but doesn't win then he added two more things He says or was it Jonathan Davis who made the play that's a good point Jonathan Davis's shaky tennis handicap and yep should just all of a sudden out of the blue make it tennis place And then he adds and I didn't tell the take a blues a pick crap. It was me Uh, Steven brosek 1870 let me get this straight yesterday was opening night today is opening day Does that mean tomorrow's Canadian opening day happy opening day gentleman you two that's a fantastic tweet I was thinking a lot about a lot of that same stuff last night and Mikey drama good morrow gentleman happy opening day Yes, today you ended the show saying I think we've worn out our welcome This was a departure from the usual we've done all we could do. I'm hoping this can be the new side off Oh, that's because we were we were floundering at the end of the show yesterday We were messing up something and I was like okay, I think we've worn out our welcome I thought we were great yesterday

17:54Kelly said we were great, so we were great I don't really remember the the we were racing through some things at the end of the show I remember that much I was fine. Whatever we did. I felt the need is anyway Here's here's what I just wanted to point out this is It's not close But it's kind of getting closer shays minus 700 Lucas tend to one when banyama now down 11 to one So and then we have our first qualified player jalen brown has played a 65th game muzzle Ain't winning it, but I just want to point that out. Yeah, I think interesting interesting movement that there was a resistance point with the yoke right of like He saw 75 Yeah, somebody was like, okay, like he might be a long shot. He's not this much of a long shot Guess what? He still leads the NBA and rebounds into cis crazy, which has never been done before like what are we talking about? How is he 61? That's making sense Anyway, it's well, those top four guys have been incredible. I would not have lucodonchich

18:56I do not think he is the second most likely guy to win this award I do think it is victor winbanyama I think our winby tickets are live kill now. I do too. I think 11 to one is probably a fair representation But I mean if the spurs overtake the thunder I think we're talking about probably closer to a coin flip situation thunder loss last night spurs one two games back to back So the thunder in the end are gonna end up remember we're talking 74 and then 70 and all that There's season win total was 62 and a half. They're gonna end up with like 65 or something like that in the end You know what's crazy. I did hear a great breakdown yesterday of how of their Starting lineup for what they've won it their their preferred starting lineup over the past two seasons How many games these guys have missed they've played like 28 regular season games together And you still just go and add up their records for the last two years It's insane. Yeah, what they've been able to do with actually guys injured it out I mean jalen Williams barely played that's right Barely on the court. All right, so we love the most wins March April

20:00We've talked about that extensively. We've done those the monthlies for the last two years We've also added remember last year we did the race to 10 with the Mets I of course had the Mets winning March April not the race to 10 Oh no, I had them doing race to 10 and they ended up winning March April right correct So I had it wrong that way And then yesterday I talked about I made a bit on the blue jays last Undefeated last team without a loss. So we're just looking for more markets now That where I can get gill to pick the the opposite team for the run the wrong record. Yeah, it's exactly right So what does that all that mean that means the reds are going to be the last to feed in the blue jays are going to win March That's what we've got so far. There's a lot of two teams But the opposite I got the reds to win March April and the blue jays last undefeated how about most wins by end of april per division Yeah, I did love this. This is great. Love this now ALE standing was not on last night because the Yankees were playing did they ever put it back up I don't think I saw this ALE's that don't think had numbers. We had it from earlier yesterday I don't I don't have a play in the ALE but let me just say this is just for April alone. This does not include March now

21:04This is just oh no, it is by end of April. Yeah, yes, you start of season through the end of April. Oh, okay most most wins by end of April I don't have a play in the I don't have a play in the ALE so of course the Yankees are now out to a A won-win lead if you will there at plus 255 blue jays plus 275 or else plus 350 Socks raise no play for me there. I do have a play though in the ALE central Detroit Tigers plus 180 the Detroit Tigers are the play for me because the Detroit Tigers their average that their opponents collective Average a win total for their games in March and April is 75.09 That's the average season win total of their opponents March April 75.09 the Detroit Tigers who are they do play 20 away in 12 at home. I recognize that but that opponent Average season win total too much for me to ignore

22:07I would play the Tigers here plus 180 and the ALE central category to the ALE West in the ALE West I Fall these teams by the way um ALE West I had no play Mariners plus 170 Astros plus 280 Rangers plus 450 athletics plus 475 angels 11 to 1 Not enough separation here for me to make a bet in this market But I do have one and all three NL divisions okay addition to the ALE central and at least The New York metropolitan's are the play Remember they were the team that I almost took for March April But I decided to go with the Reds so it is the Mets for me in the NL East just like with the Tigers talked about how Their average opponent season win total 75.09 with the Mets Their opponents Average season win total is 74.23 in March April

23:08Give me the metropolitan's who by the way I am fading today though against schemes So many so many what's it what is it uh Moving parts with all these bets. Yeah. Well today. I don't want them to win But if I was betting April March April I would I would bet the Mets in the NL East but I wouldn't bet the Mets for the whole You know 30 teams right The other one so ALE is back up So I guess there is if you wanted to do that approach with the Mets theory you could bet it maybe tomorrow I don't know if it's going to be up tomorrow. Yeah, that's the thing NL central no surprise them on the Reds. I was on the Reds to win March April The plus 425 would be my play in the NL central the Reds of all of these teams Their opponents Average season win total March April is 73.84 I mean you really have a favorable schedule. They're hardest Series is the first one Against the Reds ox and then the NL West you want a lack of sexiness. You've come to the right shot

24:11The Los Angeles Dodgers who by the way if you if you took them March April for the whole 30 teams I wouldn't I like I wouldn't think you're wrong. They're absolutely the team to play Most wins by end of April at minus 200 because Dodgers and you just look at their schedule Schedules not that difficult It really isn't I mean they got Washington in there. They got Cleveland in there. They got Colorado in there They got Miami in there. They got San Francisco in there. I mean there's just a bunch of really Bad opponents that they're playing as well So and by the way this series against Arizona is one of their hardest to start out with so it's Tigers in the sent AL central for me and then NL divisions. I'm going Metz Reds Dodgers in the monthlies. No play in the AL East. No play in the AL West. Was there anybody that you were that maybe you very lightly considered for the full monthly monthly that this market you found much more attractive to Metz Metz. Metz. Metz was the obvious one for me

25:12Yeah, Metz for sure and Tigers. Metz and Tigers in their respective divisions and at least an AL central Zach Cohen joins us tennis basketball next I Numbers game on Vs and these sports betting network if you're betting the sweet 16 or jumping into MLB as the season gets underway Now's the time to do it smarter with Vs and pro with Vs and pro you'll get daily best bets real time betting splits from draft kings and circa AI powered prop tools and match analysis plus 24 seven video and show replays on the Vs and watch app Every tournament game is covered on Vs and dot com with expert previews best bets betting trends plus our all new MLB betting guide with team previews and expert insights And that's not all you also get coverage of the NBA and NHL playoff races plus our upcoming PGA Masters betting guide with best bets From Vs and golf experts start your day for just $9.99 or save 50% with an annual subscription visit vc.com slash subscribe. That's vs.in dot com slash subscribe. We get to eat speed and look General Connor Jake Paul Logan Paul Tommy Paul

26:14Crap list if he didn't say crap Kelly Ryan Hyatt great take a blusa hits and I forgot to put the cat in the box Sorry Say uh shout out to Schrodinger's uh Brodinger's cat chance copper pot. I'm one of the guys in the discord poo pooing some of the take a blusa place I'm just playing these slightly differently Waiting to see who's starting not as brain dead Kelly hasn't been playing all them the same too So don't get mad at me. Well chance. Yeah, if I if I was doing my show right up until tip off I could do that as well, you know what I mean? I hear what you say. I don't blame you for that shoot him a gambling The only reason I'm not playing Iowa is because I'm in first place. Yeah, kind of a square pool that I'm in Everyone behind me jute 100% play Iowa. That's the correct way shooter. I believe uh spence I miss when first pitch was always in Cincinnati. Yeah, remember that Cincinnati was was the other one Baltimore Was it since any Baltimore without remember Cincinnati that afternoon game would always start the season This is a get off my lawn tape But I always thought that was super cool nod to the red legs They did this because they were the first fully professional baseball team. Yeah

27:18I remember that as a kid. They would start in Cincinnati in the day and then we evolved to like ESPN Sunday nights Uh, what's this? Okay, we'll read more tweets coming up. I just want to point this out before we get to Zach There was some news in the NFL that you uh texted us about before the game before the show I said before the game. It's a game. It's what we do in here. Yeah um Michael parts my cup. What do you say? We're eyes full hearts. It's right Michael Parsons expected to miss the first three to four games of the season So that's the uh The drift of his injury will drift into the first three to four games of the upcoming NFL season. So Note that accordingly season longer's Or note that as a good time to bet the Packers note maybe I should wait till after week three or week four Kind of thing with an adjusted season win total That off the NFL presses morning. It's so difficult today now with with injury reports like this Because there's a Jackson Churio thing going around and you can't confirm is this true or not? Did he

28:21Is he on the aisle? Did he break his hand on so I don't know like there's If there's other stuff going around that we haven't just figure out if it's even true in this day and age of AI and misinformation and all that Zach Cohen joins us now courtesy the progressive guest line you follow him on twitter It's skating tripods. Is that correct? No, that's betting on x skating tripods is Adam Burke I do this all the time betting on x is zack skating tripods is Adam betting on x zack Of course uh writes about NBA writes about tennis. He's also writing about the sweet 16 today. He's a good morning sir Good morning. How you doing? Do it very well betting on x great great handle. Well done on that Let's start with the tennis. I had Tommy Paul last night. Did you I had feasts, but I only had them to win a set So I would have been fine with Paul winning. We would have both won that was an insane match Ins maybe I mean honestly if I took my bed out of it one of the great matches of 2026 Maybe it'll go down as one of the top 10 when all said and done it was just fantastic Theater last night. What did you land on today? We have the women's semi's we have the

29:26Men's quarters right second half of the men's quarters women's semi's or was this the second half of the women's quarters I can never keep track now because they do this Yeah women's semi's today. What do you got? Yeah? I do have a laner abacuna plus 120 against arena saveline guy. I did just see it in saying savelineka stat that she is only I think she's 40 and oh in sets against everybody not named rebacuna this year So this is the only player that she's had trouble with but I do think that it's legitimate I mean you look at some of the most recent matches Rebacuna had to won two straight before they met at indian wells How to championship point in that match I just don't think that she should be available at plus money against anyone at the moment I think that since the wta finals towards the end of last season She's been the best player in the world and I think that in these quicker conditions She can kind of trouble savelineka even more than she normally does because I think that when she does So well against savelineka that nobody else really can is rush her with her power It's only going to be easier for her to do that in quicker conditions

30:27So if she serves well, I think this is a match. She's going to win Yeah, for those who are like not hip to the tennis game I'm like why would rebacuna and savelineka meet in the semis These draws are the reason that draws are done differently and randomly from from event to event is because if you always did it by ranking The same players would meet each other in the same rounds every single tournament So they have to have some randomization to it I think ego was the number two seed before this I think they use a system where the the drift of her number two Seating was still involved so she ended up being on the other side of the ranking of the the bracket not that it mattered So that's why we're blocking and savelineka just happened to be on the semis as opposed to the finals here same side same half of this tournament muhova and cocoa which way did you go there? I took muhova I think that golf is getting really close to playing some of her best tennis league the forehand looks about as good as it's been In like months now the serve is just still problematic enough that I think muhova Should be able to find a way to win this match. It's been a really lapsided head to head in favor a golf five and oh

31:31Against muhova, but I do think that muhova with her steadier serve her ability to come up and win points at the net I think that's going to make the difference and get her through you know to beating this player for the first time in her career She did make a stride at the australian open. She want to set off of her for the first time So I do think that that next step is winning and I think there's no better time Then right now with golf, you know dealing with some mechanical issues We are together on muhova sir on the men's side It is the second half of the quarter finals if you will so two matches on the quarter side We throw center to the side Serundalo and Sasha's Vera of how do you play this? Yeah, this is kind of like a perfect storm for me because I think that Serundalo has been a really tough matchup Forza Vera in the past and then you're talking about Serundalo at potentially his very best tournament and venue He has been so good in Miami. I always call him mr. 305 and I just kind of think that you know what's Vera being A player with a weak forehand this matchup is top for him because Serundalo has

32:31One of the best forehands in the sport probably a top five forehand in the men's game and you know playing in the quicker conditions Which I mentioned Serundalo served becomes a little bit more dangerous So I do think that we are with the confidence that he already has having beaten Vera in three of the five full matches. They played adding to that the fact that he plays so well in this building I do think this is a really good spot for him to you know win a set and potentially even win the match Serundalo mr. 305 Kelly as opposed to pit bull mr. Worldwide. That's how I know the two that's true. Yeah, always Francisco All right sweet 16 resume or sweet 16 the tournament resumes tonight with sweet 16 Arizona An arc and saw and then you have Purdue and Texas. What do you do with these two games? Yeah, I parlayed Purdue and Arizona Purdue is also my survivor pick So have a lot riding on bullet maker's money line saved them specifically for this matchup You know a couple days ago, but with the first game Purdue and Texas

33:32I just kind of am trusting in what we've seen over the course of the entire season rather than what we've seen Throughout the tournament and this Texas team is better offensively than they are defensively But Purdue is the best offense in all college basketball number one in adjusted offensive efficiency They are also much better than the long horns when you're looking at adjusted defensive efficiency And I do think that with braiding Smith, you know being one of the best point guards of the nation one of the best decision-makers in the nation You're going to see Purdue's three point shooting Kind of light up a Texas team that is just 249th in college basketball in three point percentage defense And I said this on hardwood handicap was this morning because I did talk about it a little bit Texas does a good job of running opponents off the line But I just don't think they're going to be able to do it consistently against Purdue really does Get whatever shots they want because of how good Smith is you know as of all handler So in Arizona Purdue Money line parlay which you lay about minus 142 ishon that's that that's the play there Yep, and with the Arizona side of it. I've talked about this a little bit

34:35You know with Kelly and JVT in terms of the draft stuff But you know as good as Darius a cup is offensively He's bit of a nightmare defensively and the same kind of goes for Malik Thomas So I get that Arkansas team is very good offensively when you look at the guards But I defensively they're gonna have a lot of problems defending like especially braiding buries for our zone on Arizona Is potentially the best defense in all college basketball? So I think they're going to have some answers for the hogs I think this is a game that Arizona really should win Potentially would just their toughness alone. They're just a much better rebounding team Also will add that I just kind of think that you know This is an Arizona team that if you're gonna beat them You're gonna shoot them off the floor from three Arizona just has a very low three point rate This Arkansas team is really not much better when it comes to firing away from deep So if you're not winning the math battle against the wild cats I don't know how you're beating them and I'm not sure the razorbacks are going to do that What's the line about a cup defense that you heard yesterday? No, I saw it was a tweet from over the weekend and it was a it was a source from inside a NBA front office

35:41I said he could possibly be the worst defender in the NBA next season It's someone's gonna say it's something about NBA defense. Someone's gonna draft him first really really we're all excited about this He might be my favorite player already though That's awesome. You got 30 points per game and you're at terrible defender. You're my kind of guy I don't know if I drafted one though is the issue All right, Zach has a play on Illinois Houston, which of course is the marquee matchup of the four games tonight and of course NBA plays On a short slate, but plays nonetheless coming back was that Cohen on a numbers game at Vista these sports betting that were The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by Toyota's time tested legacy of Dependability step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce max engine Tundra puts out impressive power torque and towing performance and the roomy high-tech cabin keeps you connected on the go or take a look at Tacoma

36:44Made for drivers who push past the path agile tough and relentless with available features like crawl control Portable JBL speaker a power lift gate so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving the Tacoma and Tundra are engineered to endure Season after season mile after mile so drive one home today visit toyota dot com or stop by your local toyota dealer to find out more toyota Let's go places united health group is bringing in-home treatment directly to patients closing caregabs Identifying risks earlier and improving patient outcomes in 2025 patients received over 19 million home visits learn more united health group dot com slash commitment A numbers game on fee sent these sports betting network numbers game brought to you by profit x if you're not on profit x yet now's the time I'm signing by April 6th purchase at least $25 and get a free $25 then jump into their king of March contest You can win free trips worth up to $5,000 or even $10,000 just use the code vson mms in March badness make your first purchase

37:52Then learn about the contest on their whole page start playing no entry free required that's no entry fee required Hit $1,000 in volume you're entered for the $5,000 trip $10,000 in volume you're under for the $10,000 trip Win 10 picks hit the volume every additional 10 wins gets you another entry download profit x use code vson mms Make your first purchase and take your shot at becoming the king of March Tweets smell read a couple more teddy rack people are trying to name this Las Vegas basketball team. Oh, yeah It's it's been all over Twitter for like 48 hours now you have one resort fees to the six to five's we like that one Yeah, like that one bad blackjack odds like that one uh three George's What does that mean double zero or the triple zero? I like to That four building cranes five implosions six check and kiosk seven long haulers I tell you right. I think we can do better than Y'all cobellis Gil have you uh ever experienced a giants game from a kayak and McCovie cove If no any desire to

38:53I would bet every dollar and I think he'll has never done that Can you think of anything more non-me than that? No, no When Barry Lamar bonds was was uh was splash you know getting home runs that was splashing in McCovie cove Maybe because there might have been some value to those balls. Maybe I would have considered it then I certainly would never even consider it even I didn't then and I wouldn't now Well, how do you imagine sitting out there like a little ball gets out here? I know I'd always blow my mind those guys do that stuff. Yeah, I'm just like picture now picture He's like whitewater rafting like in a kayak all intense like that's where he goes every weekend and then what a bite Yeah, that's where I do He's really going to like Colorado He's just looking for some gnarly white whitewater rafting I'm not hanging out. I'm just going to McCovie cove It's all I'm doing is that going kind enough to join us for a second segment here We talked tennis we talked sweet 16. We haven't finished the sweet 16 talk though Markey match-up tonight Zach by the way, Zach betting on x all his stuff at Vecin.com

39:56Hardwood handycappers first of all how many days a week now Zach Uh, five days a week Monday to Friday Monday through Friday. Okay, and did you drop some breaking news last segment? It's a college basketball betting podcast now too It is not but I'm doing some college basketball especially on a night like tonight. There's only three NBA games. Okay Um, I caught that. I was I didn't know if I was going to be allowed back on kill, you know Well, it's nice of you to accept the invite first Just start there before we get to the NBA. Let's put a let's put a pin in that Illinois and Houston tonight the marquee match-up tonight Houston favored by two and a half Where did you end up going with this? I took Houston on the money line at minus 144 if you have to take the two and a half I wouldn't hate that either. I do think the Houston's defense is just going to be a lot For Illinois to have to handle. I think that the back court defense especially for this coogers team is going to be a problem for Keaton Wagler who Is a tremendous player and an NBA lottery prospect in his own right But somebody that is definitely a bit slow and has had trouble against some bigger and quicker defensive guards

41:01And even if Houston does not have, you know, the success that I expect them to in the defensive back court I think that they can throw Tugler on Wagler because Tugler is one of the best wing defenders in the entire nation and Wagler is slower than your average wing So I think this is just going to be a good defensive matchup for Houston I also think it's you know, it's an Illinois team that does not, you know, cause turnovers whatsoever and Houston is fifth in the entire NCAA in turnover rate So I don't see the coogers cough in the ball at much and I think that that could make a difference in what should be a close gaming The talent is very similar between these two But I just kind of prefer the toughness of Houston and you know, maybe even the experience So them having made that deep run last year and I do think that you know kelp and saps is going to win one It's some point the very near future. I think that he's just had such good teams Yeah, ever since arriving at Houston, especially over the last three, four years Houston playing the game at the Toyota Center tonight So there's a little one will advantage their built-in as well for the coogers tonight All right to the National Basketball Association as you said not a big slate tonight

42:04As is the case typically on Thursdays you have a parlay. You got some props. What's the parlay? The parlay is with alternate spreads because I wanted to take the pelicans Didn't love it at four and a half I was hoping to get you know six and a half or seven and a half here But I took the hornets on an alternate spread of plus eight and a half first the nicks with the pelicans alternate plus ten and a half First the pistons this is minus 130 I have found with these alternate spread parlay's you get way better prices than you do which is kind of standard teasers I found the same for the NFL So that's kind of a tip for you. Hopefully they don't change it But that has been something that I've gone to across all sports But in the NBA. Yeah, I do like hornets plus eight and a half Pelicans plus ten and a half with the first game Charlotte taking on New York I do just kind of think that the hornets have been every bit as good as the nicks You know since the start of the new year and even especially looking since the all-star break both of these teams Have you know about 13 and five records 13 and five from New York 12 and five for Charlotte But the hornets have a better net rating. I think that this hornets team is very creative offensively

43:08And I do think they're going to be able to take advantage of jalen brunson and carl entity towns being two weak links defensively For New York and also New York has been a weak team when it comes to playing as a road underdog this season Just three and seven straight up hornets are 14 and six straight up as home favorites under Charles Lee So I do like the hornets tonight took some extra points there But with the pistons and the pelicans Man, it's just a brutal spot for this Detroit team having played an overtime game against Atlanta last night They lost that one in OT at home. You had jalen dern playing 42 minutes dannis Jenkins played 45 So our Thompson played 37 the best players at the pistons have played huge minutes last night So I just think they're going to come out here a little bit tired and we've talked about this a little bit over the last couple weeks The pelicans have been a little bit better than I think you would think over the last couple weeks I mean since the all star break They're 10 and seven with a net rating of plus 3.1 So I ended they're going to be able to keep this game close Yeah, no reason for the pelicans to tank because their pick is gone right the Atlanta hawks have their pick

44:11So they can play trying to win I don't see one bet I'm considering tonight in the NBA too. Jack I haven't bet anything But pelicans side would be the one I'm looking at as well I just I don't know if I can bet the pelicans twice in one week and expect to be two and oh You have a prop in the king's magic game Yeah, I would have liked to have avoided this game all together, but I saw Maxime right now Down at 15 and a half points where he's usually been at 16 and a half and 17 and a half so took the over there He's had 16 plus in four straight games and over the last 13 games Average in 19.2 points per game with seven of those 13 being games where he sport 22 plus and this Orlando team is very good defensively But they are below average when it comes to defending at the rim Defending pick and roll rollers, which is what reino is and I just kind of think that even if you look at some Areno's matchups against good defenses He had 23 against the clippers two weeks ago had 32 against the spurs on March 17th and 16 against the Hornets on Tuesday

45:12I think he could score 16 again as long as this game doesn't get out of hand very very quickly All right, Zach. Let's play NBA awards. Who would you bet? Who do you think is going to win? All right ready for this MVP who would you vote for? I would vote for SGA. I'm usually a yogic sky But I do think that SGA has just had one of the most efficient scoring seasons We've ever seen and I ain't the thunder being you know that much better than the nuggets definitely needs to factor into him Verse the Joker and you know the availability has been there a little bit more for SGA Although it is a bit of a mess with the 65 game women I didn't mind at all when the kind of lobbying for himself because I do think that just in terms of impact There's a pretty good argument to be made that he is now the most impactful player in the NBA But I just think it's really hard to go away from SGA I think that when he's going to win it next year though. Who do you think wins? Do you think she also wins it in addition to you Yeah, I think that I think that she is going to win all right I'm so glad victor stumped for himself

46:12Do I get to play this game too? I love this game. Okay. I would vote for SGA I think SGA wins if I had to make a bet on the board right now would still be victor rambonyama Oh, you added a should win though. Okay, you said wait what I would vote for I think we'll win but should win No, no, the bet the bet the third one was if I had to make a bet right now got you. Okay Rookie of the year who you vote for who do you think's going to win? I think Knapple is going to win. I would still bet Knapple at the numbers you're seeing right now Which is short of minus 200 I think that I don't know It's tough because I know that the Mavericks are still trying to push For flag to win and Kelly noted it last night In our hardwood handicapers group text that you know flag is just getting the ball every possession for Dallas But I do think the Knapple being such an impactful player for a good Charlotte team Will be the difference especially with their traditional stats being similar and Knapple having in a major edge when it looks When you're looking at a dad stats. I think it's going to end up being a complete coin flip guilt

47:13So if you're going to make a bet right now you got to go plus 145 on Cooper for that's why I said I'm not holding you to a bet You could add the bet if you want. I'm just holding you a vote at this point Vote would be Knapple okay Coach of the year Zach vote and will win I've heard you guys talk about this and I feel like maybe I encephed it Kelly a little bit I really think Jordan ought should win I just feel like that is the most overperforming Team when looking at preseason expectations by a pretty wide margin Maybe I'm a little bit biased. I am a son's fan But the job that he's done has been insane so I find it hard to believe that he's not a bigger part of this conversation Think Charles Lee is a very similar case So those are the two you know numbers that really stand out to me if you're looking to just throw a little bit something On this late, but I do just kind of look at it and think that Missoula is going to win Yeah 70 to one on hot I vote on I think was a little wins. Thank you Zach. Appreciate it. Zach Cohen everybody. No problem coming back Survivor the Toyota tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by Toyota's time tested legacy of dependability

48:22Step into a tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce max engine tundra puts out impressive power torque and towing performance And the roomy high tech cabin keeps you connected on the go or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path agile tough and relentless with available features like crawl control portable JBL speaker a power lift gate so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving the Tacoma and tundra are engineered to endure season after season mile after mile So drive one home today visit toyota.com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to find out more Toyota. Let's go places Freight rail does more than move goods. It drives America's economy every dollar invested generates another two dollars and 50 cents in economic activity spurring growth from farms to factories and here's the best part Freight railroads fund their own infrastructure saving taxpayers billions while powering the economy forward From reducing highway congestion to delivering goods safely and efficiently

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