A Numbers Game | January 5, 2026 | Hour 2

0:00The numbers told the story and always do. Swandles, idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Kill I like Xander gone. Be sent. Our number two of a numbers game with Beast and Lee sports betting network, Beast and dot com game. Plus I hard radio YouTube TV and of course, Series X and Channel one, 58. Radio's Kill I like Xander. Television's Kelly Bidlin. Hell on one little radio program and TV program. We get sweets beating the book as we continue and wild car weekend here. Johnny Vegas. Amazing how the last half dozen people find a way to come up with half a million plus to hedge on survivor. One can some poker players, etc find out who doesn't have that kind of jack and stake them for a percentage of the end result. Yeah, or they do it a few weeks before anyway as well. It is wild though. It is wild. Every time we talk about it, it is like. Yeah, see coming up with that much cash is not that easy for everybody. That's for sure. So I asked what I asked the first thing. Colin Murphy, a good hedging strategy for that Miami ticket

1:02that the guy was talking about is to take Ole Miss to score first. You get a nice plus price. And if it hits, then you can just sit back and maybe scoop both. If not, you're getting a nice big number in play with the points and the money line. Yeah, but it's not a perfect hedge, right? Go what you're saying though. But I get what you're saying. Yeah. Because Miami goes up and then you're just betting back on Ole Miss. Brad Payton are betting exchanges subject to the new 90% lost deduction rule as sportsbooks given that they are regulated through the commodities market. Best tax law show on radio. Best to you Kelly and the crew. I may let you down here by saying I'm not really sure 100%. But I would assume they are. Maybe I shouldn't assume. I don't think so. Because it's because it's regulated and are different. Yeah. Yeah. Because on the commodities exchange. Right. The commodities. That's where like you and Bill are talking about talking last week. You can carry over the losses here too. Yeah. Yeah. The commodities board oversees the polymarket and calcium. Those prediction markets. Others are applying for licensing under the commodities exchange.

2:04So yeah, it could be very different. I don't know with 100% certainty though. So let me just be honest about that. Also, I don't know 100% what's going on with polymarket. Because they're not. I just got added to their waiting list like yesterday. I hopped on there. Like they're not fully operational in the US yet. That's been going back and forth for like months. So I don't really know. I don't really know how many we have up and running. Steve Cohen at the Steve Cohen 21 not to be confused with other Steve Cohen's. Gil Kelly won my Ravens won't make the playoffs bet. But it was a sweat was inspired to make the bet after your early December shows. Pre-Metcalf suspension London Steve Steve listening to us from London down. Nice Steve. How you doing Steve? What's happening man? Oh, Chris Foster is on polymarket. There we go. He got he got early access. Chris Foster deep thoughts. You got to have deep thoughts though. They get on their deep thoughts with Chris Foster three Jack H3131 have these NFL teams seen how the chiefs offense look this year. Why on earth would anyone go after Matt naggy? This is why franchise continue to suck bad decision making with you three Jack.

3:05Harold Irving where the establishments Bob Kraft and Dishon Watson frequented called parlors. That's true. Although did Dishon and fairness did Dishon actually. Oh, he did. I know where you're going with that. I think he had on I think yes parlors private massages. I think he was all over the place with those. Yeah. I oh yes. S six nine. I would have serious trepidations betting on any football game with any of the rest from the Bucks Panthers game. I'm not a conspiracy theorist theorist. However, you have to pause because can you trust this officiating crew. Like I said, dolphins jets this year on a Monday night and that game saturday between the Panthers and Bucks. Those were the only two games, right? Where I Kelly, I, I'm the first guy to be like, oh, stop with your conspiracy, right? Those are the only two games where I have to just sit there and be like, I can't even say where to you guys. Michael Burns. Didn't the Jags take out Trevor after he hit 4,000 yards? Oh, is that what happened?

4:05I did. I was not aware of that. I figured it was part of it. That's what they do. Okay. Brandon Webb for the question about who on post analysts NFL positions. He says West Reynolds head coach. Jason Weingarten GM. Oh, no. Really? Jason. Warren Sharpe offensive coordinate. Well, that would be Jason Weingarten. Yeah. GM would definitely be the most interesting. It would certainly be. I love Jason. I would love to see Jason speaks for you. Get for roster construction. Warren Sharpe O.C. It troubles me because Warren would never get the play in on time. Maybe like 12, 13, 11, but these team doesn't do it. It's like them like clock. You get air Rogers will start screaming at him. All right. Next. All right. Next up. We have Sunday afternoon for 30 Eastern 49ers at Eagles. Six seeded Niners, third seeded Eagles. So Niners remember went into the weekend. Could have had the number one seed if they beat the Seahawks.

5:06That would have pushed the Rams to a six seed. Seahawks would have been the fifth. But instead the Rams get the five Seahawks obviously get the one with the win and the Niners end up with the six and they travel. Pardon me. To number three Philly. In case you missed it on Saturday. Seahawks got all the way to first and goal the one after a PI in the Enzo from Diamondor, Illinois on JSN. This was the weirdest sequence. Darnell took a sack. He missed Charbonne wide open in the flat. Like didn't see him. Tatum Bethune sacks. Darnelled on first down. Two Charbonne rushes into timeout wasted in between. Fourth and Colt the four. Darnell throws way outside looking for Cooper cup. No chance. Turn over on downs. I got a text from Joe P to write in that moment. And like you can only read it in Vince Lombardi's voice. What the hell is going on? Oh no. That was weird. Anyway, San Francisco was pinned. The three announced. So Seattle got the ball back and San Francisco 35 after a face mask.

6:06Three plays. Charbonne from 27 on third and two. Seven and nothing. Seahawks. Next time Seattle got the ball. Myers 47 yard field go wide. Right. But then San Francisco fourth and one of the Seattle 39. Purdy and complete intended for you. Check. Seattle would turn that into a Myers 45 yard field. Well, 10 to nothing. Seahawks 519 left the second quarter. And then Pinero. We got a 10 to three. Niners would get on the board in the first half. That would be the score of the half. Second time Seattle got the ball in the second half. Third and 17. After Darnell fell and Charbonne recovered the botched handoff. Seven yards behind the line of scrimmage. Kenneth Walker for 19 yards on third and 17. That might have been the play of the game right there. Then to Jackson Smith and Jigba for 19 to Charbonne for 12. At this point, by the way, through three quarters. Totally yards in this game. 268 to 105. That led to a Myers 31 yard field with 13 to three Seahawks early fourth quarter. I mean, San Francisco pretty to kiddle for 20 to start.

7:06Then deflect. Excuse me. Then pretty for 11 and up second and goal the six. Pretty slightly behind McCaffrey on a deflection by boy. A mafia bounces off McCaffrey to Drake Thomas of the Seahawks. And so the Niners had any chance. It was snuffed out with that in a goal to go situation. Seattle then from their own three got to the San Francisco three. They took a delay. And then Myers doinked a 26 yard field. We'll try off the right upright. It didn't matter. Seahawks win it 13 to three. They get the NFC West. They get the number one seed. Niners all the way down. Once again, two a two a six seed. And there's the Eagles. By the way, we won't go through it. But the Eagles lose to the Washington commanders yesterday 24 to 17. It was Tanner McKee as the starting quarterback for the Eagles yesterday. They still wanted to win it. And they still could have gotten to the two seed because the bears lost. But it wasn't to be as Washington beats Washington always. The Washington Eagle series always seemed to end the split feels that way anyway.

8:07But it will be the Eagles with everybody. And here's the deal with the Niners. So keep in mind. So everyone's going to say all the Niners look so bad on Saturday. There was no recap here. So more importantly, there was no Trent Williams. Both of those guys will be playing this week. And the Trent Williams factor cannot be underestimated. So I guessed on this, right? Because again, the Eagles are the Super World champions. And that was the last view that the whole nation got to see of the Niners was this terrible performance again. Seattle. I said Philly minus four and a half. At the time, Philly was only a three point favorite. It's coming my way. I'm told. Yeah, we're three and a half pretty much everywhere. I jumped on a Philly three. I like the nine. I jumped on a nine or three and a half. I don't know. This is one of those games. If you told me Philly blew them out, I wouldn't be surprised. Yeah. I really wouldn't be. But if you told me the Niners won it in a close game, I wouldn't be surprised. I mean, like, look, it's the Eagles, right?

9:08I mean, I've been bashing this team all season. You've got more talent and pretty much anybody in the NFC. We think you haven't been able to put it together. Like, it's been limited weeks and limited weeks in a row where you've put things together offensively and defensively. I think I, I completely understand what you're saying of a week of overreaction from what happened to see Hawks. But I think this Philadelphia defense, yes, it's worse than Seattle, but it's how much further worse. I don't think it's that much further down. So if you have that and then the Niners kind of gaps on defense, I think the Eagles might be able to attack better than Seattle. I can't deny any of that. I like it. Look, I've got bets this week. Gill, I'd be lying to you. If any, if I told you any of them were big though, like it, the most, the most heavily, I'm invested is on the Jacksonville side. And sorry, Jaguars, you've not done much in the history of me betting you to inspire too much money on that. Let's put it this way. The Jags Buffalo spread is the only one that surprised me. Right. That's what I wasn't. But it wasn't the only one that it wasn't the only one that induced a bet though.

10:11Right. So yeah, like I thought Philly would be three three and a half. I was prepared to bet him a three. Yeah, I bet so far I bet Chicago minus one. I took Jacksonville. Plus the points. I'll stick them on the money line. San Francisco plus three and a half. Like I like all three of them. I really do. You know, it's, you know, it's a little bizarre to me. Like, and I like one of them even more coming up. Like, okay, cool. We've got the, the Texans are out of their Saturday window, right? Yeah. What's the most important? Okay. What's to you? What's the most important game? Where do you put the biggest time matchup of Super Wild card weekend? What, what do I think is the most? What time marky matchup? What's the most marquee time slot? The late Sunday. Late Sunday night. Right. I haven't talked about this game. People would say late Monday. I mean, somebody would say the Monday game. I know you're right, but I think most people would say Sunday. Yeah. You surprised the Sunday night game.

11:12I am a little bit. I thought, I thought 49ers Eagles or Packers Bears. I'd be in that state. I am to your point, although I find that the Sunday night game, which we are about to get to, to me is the one I'm looking forward to my bet the most. I bet. And it's the most fascinating. We're talking about the Chargers and the Patriots. I haven't seen any of Gill's bets. I haven't seen any of his accounts. I will book any action out there. If you want to tell me what Gill's betting on and if you're wrong. I will bet every dollar in my pocket right now. I know what Gill's on. That's right. There's not much. I wonder what Gill's betting. A whole season doesn't tell us what he's betting on this. Coming back on a numbers game right here at Beeson. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools. The data and the discipline. And now so can you. Beeson Pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit.

12:14With Beeson Pro. A numbers game on Beeson. These sports betting network. Boomers sportsbook Nevada's newest sportsbook. Offering a first deposit match up to $250 in bonus bets. How about that? All you got to do is put in the offer code. Beeson 250. Scan the QR code. To learn more. Once again, Nevada's newest sportsbook. Boomers sportsbook. First deposit match up to $250 in bonus bets. As long as you use the offer code. Beeson 250. Check it out. Check it out. We get tweaked speed in the book. Y'all are the best. Seriously. Jason Stark. I don't understand why you guys are saying the bills are Josh Allen. Nothing else when James Cook led the league in rushing. Okay. Sorry. Sorry. Josh Allen. The offensive line in James Cook. And don't concaits back now. That's, that's everybody.

13:15Bills, bills, bills, bills fans do not like it when anything negative said about the bills. I mean, there is, you have worked with Bees for how many years now, Gil? I'm going to keep it real when it comes to the Buffalo bills. I love Josh Allen. And look, we are, we sent it from mid season, right? There's no Ravens. There's no chiefs. There is no Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson in your way, Josh. Go get it. Go get it. I don't trust any of these teams in the AFC. You could easily do it. I would not be shocked at all if it happened. Last name, Nash. Incentives betting is overblown nowadays. It's all about hitting milestones now. Josh Allen took one snap and left. Lawrence left after hitting the 4,000 yard mark. Devantesmith left after hitting the 1,000 receiving yards mark. What is the ins, because you people you think are betting. Oh, people are betting incentives. That's their narrative. You're saying? How long people play? I guess. Well, on this show, we don't, we don't talk about that much. Real quick. Can we go to some games? Can we, let's, before we continue with the, with the actual playoff games?

14:15I got one more coach out. Who would be the least, the least shocking one to be fired today? Gil Alexander. Least shocking? Yeah, the least shocking because he's gone. Aaron Glenn. That guy down the road. Pete Carroll. Pete Carroll's done. Pete Carroll's gone. Okay. Wrap sheet in. Wrap a poor. Raiders of fired coach. Pete Carroll officially won and done Tom Brady in the building today. And GM John Spide Tech will run the search for the new head coach. Rumored Brian Flores. First name in the rumor mill. That'd be a heck of a hire. Yeah. Pete Carroll. What was your favorite moment of the Pete Carroll era here in Las Vegas? I don't know, man. Him getting kind of excited yesterday. It was entertaining though. That's probably it. Do you think he still has, uh, it's okay. He's probably still got his office in Seattle. He can go back to you. Remember that weird story? Oh, yeah. What do you left there in the building? We're going to keep an office for him. He's going to hang out here. It's like really weird. Like I remember as a savior was him and Sabin, right? Sabin, they did the same thing with guess what?

15:15It makes a lot more sense for Nick Sabin. Yes. Still have an office in Alabama than Pete Carroll haven't won in Seattle. That did do. By the way, games that have no had no playoff significance yesterday, but just a brief note on all of them. So Dallas at the Giants, when the Giants beat Dallas, that clinched the number one pick for the Raiders. That was interesting. By the way, they took a tack out at halftime, which I thought was interesting. Joe Milton came in. Um, so the Raiders got the number one draft pick, which meant the Raiders got to actually try to win. Willie Nilly, right against the, uh, the chiefs, and they did with a pretty exciting finish. If you enjoy 14 to 12 games with field goals being traded, but Kerr to put the, uh, chiefs up 12 to 11 in the last, with one on one left and then Carlson, 60 yard field goal to win it for the Raiders. And Pete Carroll goes out with a win. Thanks Pete. See you later. Pete Carroll. We shouldn't, we shouldn't, uh, we shouldn't in any way belittle the man's coaching career. Yeah, right. Yeah.

16:15USC, say what you will, and Seattle. Didn't work out of here. Uh, and then the other, the other two games that had no consequence, but we probably should just touch on for a moment. Um, Atlanta, which did actually have consequence right against New Orleans. Atlanta's win created the three way tie, which had let, which allowed Carolina to get into the playoffs. Um, that was a game late 16 to 10 Atlanta, New Orleans from their own 25. Third and seventh, the Atlanta 20 shut got picked by D Alfred, returned in 59 yards. That up, that set up the Gonzalez 38 yard field goal, which made it a nine point game. And then when Shuck hit Ronnie Bell from 16 out with a one handed catch, somebody one handed catches yesterday to make it 19 to 17. That then came down to an onside kick, which the Saints of course didn't recover. And that was that in that one. That put the Panthers in the playoffs at eight and nine. So there was that Rahim Morris gets fired after that game. Tyler Shuck, though,

17:15in the offensive rookie, the year market Kelly, 15 to one. Now, so Teteroma McMillan is minus 1000 to win NFL offensive rookie, the year Travion and Jackson, darn it. Both nine to one. Shuck is then 15 to one. And a mecca, a book, it's like he didn't even exist. 120 to one. Do you think that this, these numbers reflect reality in any way? Should 10 to Teteroma McMillan be minus one? 1000. And by the way, let me just say Teteroma McMillan, we were talking about when he was in college, how great he was. So if you like went back to us, then we'd be like, of course, he should be minus 1000. Oh, my God. It was my biggest draft bet. Yeah. It was him going on top 10. But based on it, should he be that big of a favorite? Like if Jackson Dart won this, would you be shocked? Okay. So no. Is that who your next guy is though? It's Dart. Well, they ended up winning a couple games down the stretch. And now, right? So the whole Tyler Shuck thing about all while he won all these games. Well, you didn't win that many more than Jackson Dart would did.

18:15And Jackson Dart stats are way better. So forget Shuck. They're better. Shuck should not even exist in this. I'm sorry. I'm sorry. The way better is a little bit out the window now. He did catch up a little bit. I was just looking at those. Yeah. But not when you throw in running stats. No, no. The Russian stats. Yes. I don't know if you know this, but you're allowed to rush as a quarterback. And so I mean, I think Jackson Dart, the Tyler Shuck should be boxed out by Jackson Dart in my opinion. But does that mean that I'm not saying Ted, Ted Romic Millen isn't going to win this. He just shouldn't be minus one thousand. I agree. I just, man, I don't see a world. I don't know if I see a world or a Travian Henderson. Is it really that live in this? I don't think so either. I mean, like, I don't think so. I think it's the Romic Millen or Jackson Dart. Anybody watched the game yesterday? Yeah. Like the big players were coming from a different running back. Even like it's. Yeah. I don't. Which I don't know. I think it's Mick Millen. I think it's going to be Mick Millen. But I hear you. I would not be. I would not be listing them in minus one thousand. Real quick since we're on the subject awards.

19:15Can we show the offensive player of the year update as well? Offensive player of the year, which we did the blind resume last week. And then we threw out the stats of the top four folks in that market. Now this is updated. First of all, here's the market. Jackson Smith and Jigba is minus 3,000 to an offensive player of the year. Here is the, we won't make it blind anymore. Here are the final stats for the four top candidates for this award. As we just mentioned, Smith and Jigba is minus 3,000. Who could Nakuwa's stats are better? Buy a hair, but they are better than that of JSN. But JSN plays on the number one seed. Who ends up on the team that ends up with the number five seed? Maybe that matters. Maybe they don't. But Puka had ten more catches. Had what's that 78 fewer yards and ended up with one more touchdown. It's real like those stats are really even McCaffrey's not going to get this.

20:15He finished with a whimper. He's going to be the comeback player of the year. And Bijon and finished with a whimper. But Bijon in terms of totally arts from scrimmage crushes everybody, right? With over 2,300 yards from scrimmage. So I don't know. I think Puka right now at current odds might actually be a bet. I think it's bad. It's pretty much it was pretty much the same number a week ago. Well, Puka's 13 to one, but I just we just showed the stats. Right. They are the exact same stats. So like he was 14, 15 and one like last night. It's not better. And then he had how many great catches that he had yesterday to go out? He was a sick yesterday. This is going to be my point. He was around the same number last week. And he had he clearly had a better week than JSN. So I can't argue the number. I think JSN wins at Tony should win it. That's how I feel. He's been awesome. Yeah. He's their number one guy. He's their only wide out of any note. Right. So I wouldn't. I mean, what you're talking about replacing Metcalfe and lock it there this season. I know I've said it so many times.

21:16But like he was the only dude when we were going into the season where you're like, well, we got to cover him. Yeah. I don't know about anybody else on this roster. You knew that from game one. And he went out there every week and had a massive. Here's my counter dot, dot, dot, but comma. Puka. It's just incredible. He's incredible. A either one. Either one. You know, it's an unfair. Here's the reason I say either one can win it. And so therefore the value is on the 13 to one. That's all I'm saying. I hear. Yeah. The unfair pushback to Puka is this Matthew Stafford and Devonte Adams. Yeah. But Devonte was banged up and everything you're saying is correct. And I think it I think it's all true, right? Kill ask me what do I think is the best wide receiver in football? Puka to cool. Yeah. I think it is. That's what I'm saying. I also don't know though. Like are you. If someone tweeted us right now. Hey, McCaffrey was. What was he last last week of this market? Like two to one. Should one game change him from that to 75. No, no. But it's like we already said he wasn't going to get it because a comeback player of the year.

22:16And he had to do something else to. No, the odds are ridiculous. I don't know the comebacks locked in. And by the way, regular season MVP, Matthew Stafford, minus 180, Drake, May plus 150. I think Stafford is going to win it. I really do. Lifetime achievement award. I could be wrong. Yeah, this is. Look, we get a lot of these questions a lot. All the time, Gil. When this market readjusted, I did buy on some May last night at plus 150. Okay. 45 to one. I locked up money. I will. It will be a happy award season for me, regardless. Tell you what we're going to do. We're going to get Aaron shots in here this week. He's an award's voter. We'll try to glean some info from him. He's 150 and maybe we'll try to get him like Sando in here. He's 150. Get his thoughts. See how much they're willing to reveal. Tom Pellicero also reporting Tom Brady in the Raiders facility today. He prepares to take on a bigger role in the team's football operation along with his college teammate, GM John spy text of Tom Brady. While still doing Fox. This is getting weird. Still going to be on broadcast, but apparently bigger role with the Raiders.

23:17Covered back on a numbers game right here at Feeson. Numbers game on Feeson. These sports betting network. Hey, don't forget to check out the sharp plays on match transparency with records updated daily AI betting analysis, real-time global betting information and alerts directly from the pros. Scan the QR code on your screen for more. Sharp plays dot com. Check them out. We get tweets of beating the book. Gill Alexander Kelly Biddle in here on a numbers game. Live from circuit James at the James Lloyd. I'm behind today and just heard your rundown of the Panthers game. I was screaming at the TV so loud. I'm sure my neighbors heard me. So fire trucking bad officiating. So fire trucking. I know what you mean. Torch D. I want to put the satin on your panties. Here's why I suck at gambling. He says it's March 10th, 2025. And Aaron Rogers gets traded to the Steelers. I instantly bet the Steelers to win the Super Bowl of 50 to one.

24:17The odds today 60 to one. Hey, man. You're not the only one who does stuff like that. James Fessler. It's some of these awards odds were going over, right? You're like, it's like I'm a Christian McCaffrey was what? All of five days ago to be an offensive player that you're 75 to one. Yeah. These again awards numbers. We have no idea if they reflect reality with these voters. James Fessler, resume soldier charges at Patriots Sunday night slot as a pure media eyeball grab West Coast East Coast major markets going to be a huge ratings number. Oh, yes, it will be. And Brian Thomas points out Robert Kraft is chairman of the NFL's media committee. And you'll see over the years the Patriots have always had a very favorable time slot for their playoff. Well, I mean, that one's that that one I buy more than we're rushing to get the chargers involved in this game. Chrissy, so which team gets worst record, worst record win? Do books do a chop? Yes, they do. But always check the, always check the rules. In case there's some funky tiebreaker thing going, but usually it's a chop. Coach Harry Ellis. Pete Carol's a third best football coach this century when you combine college and pro and arguably the best when you consider

25:21Sabin's NFL failure and Bell checks UNC debacle. He deserves no shade. Coach Harry Ellis, you are correct. That is why I said what I said. I heart SEC podcast on the incentive note, Von Miller, Von Miller needed two sacks over the last two games for a $1 million bonus got a sack was 17 plus 350 sack. We gave 18 plus 250 par laid with Garrett to get a sack plus 375. There was too much numbers that I didn't understand right there, but yes. Kelly and I were talking about incentive this, this notion of we don't do it on this show, right? But we hear a lot of folks talking about all incentives like like they've discovered some thing that's never been discovered before. We rarely that it's, it's very narrativeish with that stuff. Not as much in reality do teams focus so much when they can actually. I tried to bring up a few last week to be aware of like I think they're definitely good to be aware of know what's in play. And some of them are easier to control, right? Like it took, you know, five control Trevor Lawrence.

26:22You can't control someone getting a sack. Can't control Miles Garrett, right? Five weeks ago, we were all thinking this was done and dusted. There was he was going to break the sack record. No problem. Man, it took till five minutes left in the final week of the season. Well, it took it. That's the only other game we didn't talk about, which had nothing to do with the playoffs. But it was 17 12 game. Cleveland is up. And since it had a first intent at the Cleveland 45 with five 16 left. Remember Miles Garrett was supposed to have cracked this record some time ago. Most sacks in a season. He was stuck on 22 22 and a half was the record, both Michael Strahan and TJ watch sharing it and Garrett sags burrow for the record. Now, a couple of things. One, by the way, Miles Garrett minus 20 bajillion to win the defense player of the year. Joe burrow, not quite Brett Farvesk, but a little bit of a, okay, I'll just fall down here a little bit of that. It's a good move by Miles Garrett. I'm not saying it was Farvesk, but I'm just saying there was a little of that. Danny and I disagree. I think during the break pro quarter back back there.

27:24He thought he should have stood in there and took the shot. Yeah. Miles Garrett works that offensive tackle. He was getting there. It's awesome. I'm glad for Miles Garrett. I'm glad he did it. Five minutes left in the season. He gets it in burrow. Save your life. I'm not going to blame burrow for that. But I'm with Zach Taylor, who by the way is retaining his job with this incident. I had bangles. In case you missed it. Zach Taylor and the bangles. Oh, like Jamar Chase was sort of living about this after I don't live. It might be strong. He was kind of annoyed by this afterwards. They were like, why did we stop the, why did we stop the game? We were like trying to like do tempo. No one told Zach Taylor said, no one told me this was the plan to stop the game. And I kind of agree. It's like. You know, I'm just trying to think like was the sack record, the season sack record, this like hallowed thing in the annals of NFL history that we stopped the game wasn't. I mean, yeah. And like, I guess we've seen this before. It's certain milestones. Wait a minute. Wait a minute. If someone got the interception record, would they have stopped the game? I don't know.

28:24I'm not saying they should have. I'm absolutely saying they should not have stopped the game. I thought it was ridiculous as well. But like, yes, it's a, it's a hallowed record. I would say that. Okay. I guess. And again, the guy who had Cincinnati survivor, I hope he made money because that survivor entry lasted. 19 quarter and quad weeks, 59 minutes and 57 seconds before. Yeah. Schmitz 49 yard field will to win it for the Browns. Okay. Hold on more tweets. Sorry about the cough. It's the last remnant of the cold guest. Taylor McKenzie. I found dark 20 to one offensive work of the year. That's a bet. He said. Yeah. I think it is. I don't hate it, man. Three Jack. I keep pounding the drums for Jackson. He says keep pounding the drum for Jackson. Dark. Please. I grabbed 20 to one and a half time yesterday for offensive work of the year, hoping that New York media bias kicks in. It might. Robert square Bob 2022. Circa has a no on Miami minus 380. And they'll take $76,000.

29:26What are we talking about there? No idea. No idea. Thompson tool. Did I miss the talk about you guys caching your preseason Steelers AFC North champions tickets? What? Which one? What was that? Steelers to win the AFC North. I didn't have that. I did. Kelly did. I did, but I also had the Ravens. I just took both and plus prices. Yeah, both. So it was a small winner for me. All right. Last thing about the awards before we get back into the games. They also, they also might just be ripping on us because we always, or we always bet against the Steelers. I don't really know. I don't always. I did one year. You. Oh, give me that. We got to get to that game. Oh, lastly, but the awards because I want to point this out. Kelly, you and I have had talk about coach of the year now. You and I have, you and I have Mike McDonald tickets to win coach of the year. I know. I'm emotional about it too, buddy. I have it at nine to one. You have it at. Better number. 10 and 20, I think. Okay. So in the end now, the regular season is over and these are still bettable. That's why we're still talking about it. Mike Vrable is minus 400 to win NFL coach of the year is a draft Kings.

30:29Our Mike McDonald, the Seattle Seahawks is plus 450. 10 and 23. Your odds. Okay. Sorry. Liam Cohen plus 950 of the Jaguars. Everybody else 50 to one or longer. Okay. And I agree Kyle Shanahan didn't get the number one seed. Probably not going to talk about him anymore. We have got a full season. We've had this Mike McDonald ticket. I would say that you and I have done a really good job. Of not stomping for this ticket, right? We always said we're all year long. We've said we have a really good bet that we don't think is going to get home. Yeah. Okay. There's a lot of good candidates. So I would like to take this moment to finally say why is our ticket not going to get home. Mike Vrable. Mike McDonald. Both teams preseason pre flop season win total was eight and a half. Both of them. Juiced to the under in both cases. Both of them ended up with a 14 and three record. The Seahawks got the number one seed in a tougher NFC. Vrable got the two seed with a simple schedule in the easier AFC with a MVP quarterback.

31:32And quote unquote, and Mike McDonald, a defensive coach, ended up coaching his team to have given up the fewest points in the NFL this season. Why is Mike McDonald not going to win coach of the year and Mike Vrable is? Someone please tell me why look the odds, the odds shortened up. It's gotten closer, Gil, but it's not that close. It's gotten closer. I'm with you. It should be it should be Mike McDonald. I think in reality, it's even closer. I grabbed some Liam Cohen at 20 to one on Saturday as well. I think he's in this conversation. Okay. Where are we? Because last week we were saying there was what five guys still left in this. We thought. Where are we down to now? Is it down? Is it down to three? I'm going to bring up his name again. Are we sure Ben Johnson's out of this conversation? Yes. Okay. Okay. I mean, I just, what is, what did Mike, what did Mike Vrable do? That was any better than what Mike McDonald is. In fact, I would argue the opposite.

32:32It just feels like Mike McDonald doesn't have the, uh, what's that, uh, social, uh, sociology, the Q rating, the Q score, Mike Vrable. He's just not talked about as much. Well, he took a team with fewer wins this season ago. Kelly, Kelly Bidlin, this guy next to me, if I'm not mistaken, you were convinced Seattle was going to finish and last in that division. Okay. I bet that you weren't alone. And so all of a sudden we do the way that our minds work, somehow the season has made people think, oh, the Patriots were supposed to win like four games. And the Seahawks were supposed to win like 10. It's not true. They both had an eight and a half season win tonal. They both went 14 and three, one ended up the number one seed. One gave up the fewest points in the NFL. The other guy had a simple schedule. So by the way, this one guy, one guy, Doug Tuttle on Twitter says, let's get into defensive rookie of the year, please. Doug, I don't have much to say about you. How much to say about defensive rookie of the year, please. Doug, I don't have much to say about, do you have much to say about defensive rookie

33:34of the year? Sure. I didn't throw up that graphic if you can. By the way, Doug didn't tell us what he has either. So Schwestinger has come down to minus 650. James Pierce, Jr. Who the Falcons traded a first round pick for next year. Plus 370. I thought you were about to say something else. All right. James Pierce, Jr. Where was he at? Like a week ago. I feel like this is being pretty heavily bad. I have no idea. What do you think I was going to say? No, nothing. Sure. Just another word that starts with F. We'll get back into the games starting with that Chargers Patriots game on the other side. It's a numbers game. Advice in these sports betting networks. Numbers game on Fiesen, these sports betting network.

34:36Numbers game live from Circle Resort Casino downtown Las Vegas, Kill Alexander Kelly, Bidlin alongside on this Monday morning. I'll say again when I said the beginning of the show. I just want to appreciate every minute of these two weeks. With all these football teams in college football playoff still going on. I just want to just enjoy every moment of this. We'll get back into the games here. I just want to read a few more tweets. Sean's Fox plays. The best incentive play was doubtful needing seven yards for a one million incentive. We all knew he was going to get it. But he only got 10 yards and didn't get the last one till the fourth quarter. Now if the books could only let me bet 10 yards rushing. Easiest under all year. Oh, meaning that it would take him out of the game once he got it. Kind of thing. Yeah. I was looking for that too. Jack all acquired. Gil had a great time with my brothers here at Circle yesterday watching the celebration. Survivors a challenge and event. Like no other. Even got me to meet Derek. What a true gentleman looking forward to next year already. Met Derek Stevens. The old acquires did. Three Jack H3131 times. And again, did I miss this already? Should Puka really be 19 to one of four offensive player of the year today?

35:39Is this a bet? Three Jack. I will state it even more forcefully than I did when we actually went over offensive player here. I think if you were to ask me, what is the best single bet that exists right now? Games. Sides, totals, awards, whatever. Puka Nakua right now offensive player at that number. I'm not saying he's going to win it because I think it's him versus JSN. But there's no chance that that reflects reality. That Smith and Jigba should be minus 3000 and Puka should be double digits. Are we serious? The stats are almost identical. If anything, Puka has an advantage. And Puka's making like one handed ridiculous catches left and right. It's incredible. Paul Stanley. Like, you know, I'm sorry. I think I think I'm adding an awards bet too. Which is wild, man. Like, I took. I mean, I mean, okay, I took. No, not that one. Which are you or are you? No. So I took it. I can't remember the last time I bet this video awards. Made this video awards bet. Well, this is late. Because they're going to go down. I'm sorry. I think I'm adding an awards bet too. Which is wild, man. Like, I took.

36:39Because they're going to go down after. They're going to go down. They're going to disappear. I wish I'm kind of surprised. They're still long. Me too. Well, the main one was a hedge. So I guess it doesn't really count. Liam Cohen though added him for coach the year at 20 to one. You added Pierce, you said. And then I played the no on McCaffrey for comeback. And then I think who do you think? Who do you think's winning comeback? I think I'm betting James Pierce Jr. for defensive rookie of the year. He's plus 370. He has 10 and a half sacks. That is good for 13th in the NFL. Like, we're going to give it to it. We're going to give it to a guy. A middle linebacker, a non-pass rushing linebacker in Cleveland, where they're already going to get a one award for that defense. Yes, they are. That's true. You know, past deep winners of the defensive rookie of the year are Gill, Jared verse, pass rusher, Willie Anderson, pass rusher, sauce gardener, interceptions, micaparsans, pass rusher, chase young pass rusher. I can go on and on and on. That point you just made, though, about. Are we really going to give the Browns two defensive awards? Right. I think that will stick in the crawl of many voters.

37:40I think it will, too. I think it's a good point. And you're obviously going care. And let me just say this about the, let me just say this about the, the Falcons too. Everyone's like, oh, the Rams have the Falcons first round pick. They didn't make the playoffs. Oh, my God. It's so great for the Rams. You know what? Just look at those top four spots in defensive rookie of the years. James Pierce Jr. Second and Xavier Watts is fourth. Those are the two guys, right, that they got for trading at number one pick, as Watts was used to make that third round. So they got a third round pick in the deal, too. And Watts ended up being that third round pick. Watts leads the Falcons and picks. And James Pierce leads them in, in sacks. So we didn't have being a great deal for the pack for the Falcons in the end. Yeah. Kind of reminds me of the, uh, go, not remember this one as well, but the, uh, they're much made during the NBA draft of the pelicans shipping off next year's first round pick to get Derek Queen. Everyone was at that worst trade ever. You're giving up another first round pick. Worked out beautifully. He's looking pretty good. He's been on the court so far. Oh, I think it's still bad. And Doug Tuttle tells us that Pierce was 25 to one or 30 to one about two weeks ago.

38:40Oh. Um, okay. Let's get back into it. Next Sunday night. Sunday night football. The chargers of Los Angeles. First, the patriots of New England. Wow. So dramatic. It's an anti-baller would be joining us in studio coming up. Yeah. All right. Next down. Now we got to get through the games then. Seven seed chargers, second seed patriots. Um, chargers. Yesterday. Lose to the Broncos, but it was trade lances. They're starting quarterback for the whole game. 19 to three Broncos. And I don't really. There's nothing really to get into in this game. Other than. Are the Broncos the worst number one seed you can remember in modern history? Do you? Just not worst. Do you feel in your opinion? Is that's. I don't want to miss that. They're not objectively the worst. But in subjectively, do you feel like they're the worst? All right. Exactly. And then look at that. I've never seen a ton of dogs in the head. And they look off of Kelly Bidlin's memory. And this is going to be completely unfair. His memory that I can't even tell you what I ate yesterday.

39:41I'm going to say absolutely. Yes, Gil. I'm going to say yes. And a lot of people would counter and say that Tennessee team from a few years ago, but that Tennessee team. No, that one. I'm going with that one. No, no, no, no. Well, remember that Tennessee team didn't have their best players. Remember, Derek Henry didn't play half the season. Bones are the Ryan Tano. They'll they also they still had Ryan Tano though, but that's the point though. That Tennessee didn't have Henry for half a year. Yeah, I think Tano Hill didn't even play for part of that, right? Yeah, he was coming back to the year again, right? I think he was at the year he wanted. And then they sack Joe bro nine times in the playoffs and still lost. It's this sprung goes to go quarterback game with me real quick. Bones are Ryan Tano at his prime. Tano I don't know what even what that means, but I don't know. I'm going. I think I'm going to get both of love. Anyway, they held them. The one note though, I do want to make on this. The chargers held the Broncos yesterday to 240 total yarn. And again, I am all about the Chargers defense. I think the Chargers defense is the most underrated defense in all football. It will be

40:44Justin Herbert back in the lineup at New England. New England yesterday absolutely destroyed the dolphins. First three plays of the game, Ramondra for nine, Ramondra for 56, Travion for five, seven and nothing Patriots, 53 seconds into the game. Next time they had the ball, nine plays, 92 yards, May to Efton Schism III or the second pardon me. The big play three plays later Ramondra in from two 14 and nothing. Dolphins, we get it to 14 to seven dolphins would actually get it to 14 to 10 at one point. But then New England from their own 32 with 24 seconds left in the half. No timeouts made a booty for 13 May for 14 or gollas 59 yarn field goal 17 to 10. By the way, field goal, we have to we do our annual breakdown of all the place kickers. That thing in the Jaguars, Bill's game, bills don't have a kicker. Prader got hurt yesterday and Cam Little's hit number 67 is another part of that. Massive advantage. It is. Didn't tell if you were doing

41:47certain. Like I wasn't. I wasn't. Okay. Third quarter. I say, I think it is. I think we underrate that. It is. How much is it reflected as a point spread? I'm not saying it, but I'm saying it should be. Okay. Second half, viewers picked by Jalen Hawkins, New England from their own 27 plays made to Ramondra from 15 out 24 to 10. Next time New England had the ball Ramondra in from 35, 31 to 10. Next time they had the ball. Five plays made a digs for 34 to start. Travelling out in from two to end at 38 to 10. That is the ball game. That would hit the only other note that I want to say is that New England to run out the clock. You know who they gave the ball to. To Ernest Johnson from our studio. Just wanted a point that we'd ever got to say it all year long. Oh, man. I got to say it. Anyway, you're best legend. Guess it glides all year. Thank you. Job. Thanks so much. Especially since I had no idea what the answer was. New England, my guess was New England minus four and a half. Or maybe I was hoping it was my, it was four and a half. What did it end up being three and a half, right? Yeah, three and a half.

42:48Yeah. I bet the chargers. No surprise. Yep. How much money in your pocket? Were you betting with people? I have eight dollars in my pocket. I was willing to lay every single one of those dollars down. If for you, not a good weekend. That's a very old of you. We did it for us. But this has settled in at three and a half. This is the most fascinating game of wild car weekend. Because it is the Patriots who played this wildly easy schedule, but crushed everybody, right? I don't think crushed three times. I get it. But really when they were winning, they were crushing. It's not their fault that that was their schedule. I get it. But I feel like the chargers are the most underrated team heading into the playoffs. I feel like I'm on an island with that. Maybe I'm not. But you've got this, if you, I'll give you Josh Allen. I think you've got the second best quarter. I think you have one B in terms of the best quarterback in the AFC playoffs. And I think you have the Justin Herbert. Yeah, you with the Justin Herbert eight. And I think you have the second or

43:52third best defense in the AFC playoffs behind the Texans. And who am I forgetting as the other one? Denver Denver. Right. I just, you give me more than a field goal. I'll happily take more than a field goal. And I did sprinkle on the money line with the chargers here too. Yeah. At plus one 61, I get them. I didn't get the best number there, but that's what I got. I would have bet anybody that those eight dollars you run that side. Nothing for me. This is, it's a fascinating matchup. Like you said, and I'm not, I think the chart, I agree with you. How you ranked the defense is, by the way, I do agree with you there. Um, so we'll see, man, this is going to be but Justin Herbert step up and do something, bro. You hate to time. You hate Justin Herbert. I do not hate Justin Herbert. He kicked. I just think every year he escapes criticism somehow. Well, others just get destroyed. Uh, one more game to get to, which is obviously the Monday night game and we get to review last night's game. Finally, um, and that is the game, by the way, the, the Houston Pittsburgh game where I want nothing to do with that line pre flop. I want nothing to do

44:57with the first one between the charge, June, the Rams and the Panthers. And I want nothing to do with the Texans Pittsburgh game, but I bet made a bet on all the four in between. We will get into the Texans and the Steelers after last night's thriller. One of the best games of the year in the NFL. Coming up on a numbers game at Visa and these sports betting that were