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A Numbers Game | January 22, 2026 | Hour 2

A Numbers Game

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In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon preview the PGA Tour's The American Express tournament before VSiN's Mike Somich joins with some NFL and horse racing bets. Also on the show, Are We Sure and a recap of bets in pocket.

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A Numbers Game | January 22, 2026 | Hour 2

A Numbers Game

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A Numbers GameA Numbers Game | January 22, 2026 | Hour 2. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

This is Vincent, the sports betting network. The numbers told the story, now he's down. So on those idiots who believe in analytics, this is a numbers game. With Gil Ava Exander, gone Vincent. Our number two of a numbers game at Vincent, these sports betting network, Vincent.com, Game Plus, iHeart, Radio, YouTube, TV, and of course, Series XM Channel 158, Gil Ava Exander, Kelly Biddle, and everybody. 100 pounds less sub. Man, it's hard, it's still hard to believe. As much as we made of it, I don't think we win enough of it. 100 pounds less. 105. If you wanna be up to date. 105, ladies and gentlemen. Stop losing weight, Gilly. Seriously enough. I did pack on a couple of pounds though after what I told you last week. Oh, so 105. We'll go with 105. 105. Dude, don't disappear. Still to come. Mike Sommage. Sommel bombing. He didn't just a bit. He's got, he does have horses.

He's got horses to talk about. No hockey to talk about. We'll talk horses in football with a Sommel bomb little later on. And then Bill Crackenberger, of course, unscripted. Still looming large here. Kelly will talk golf here more materially as well. I'm still waiting for the first horse from Sommage or Felica that, you know, I gotta go put in like a 300 to one bet at Caesars for. Okay. That's right. We've all had this experience. But how about 25? How about $19? No. How about $8? No, no, no, not that either. How about $4? I do love the idea though. Like we're like, okay, you get guys that know their horses like that. Sure. Like why would I wait till race day when it's going to be seven to one or no three to one? If these guys can tell me, I can bet it now to 100. How about we agree on $2.25? No. Still two. Nope. All right. Well, we're going to send it to the trading team. What's that? Send it to the trading team. We'll have to figure it out. Does it join JVT's texting me yesterday? Me and you've run into this? You're just trying to get money out of MGM and having all sorts of problems?

It's a nightmare, man. Are you? They, this town figures everything out. It's just going to be incredible. There's the email you have to get, right? There's the whole thing. Well, like they started doing this thing. I guess I'm going to assume it's Monday money laundering related. Yes. Right? Whatever way that you deposit on mobile e. That's how you have to take it. you have to take it all. Yes. Now, hopefully, JVT doesn't mind me saying this, but he ran into a problem where his, I guess, however, he, he had deposited that, guess what? That, uh, that card had expired. And they were like, well, we got to put it back on that card. He's like, it's, it's expired. It doesn't work anymore. Oh my God. It sounded like it was a whole ordeal yesterday. He was texting me while we were on there. I was just chuckle, chuckle it. Oh, we get sweet to be the book. Todd Bupa Horowitz, our buddy at Bubba Trady, he says, oh, he's adding on to my, uh, my explanation, uh, Kalshi falls under trading markets. Like I said, similar. He says to binary options markets. Oh, this is the adult. They are yes, no markets versus gambling markets. Yes. So what he means by

yes, no, also is the other way to put it is they, uh, they call them contracts, uh, because you can buy sell that sort of thing. Right. That makes sense. Part of the, yeah, part of the whole deal. He says, thanks for the great tennis picks. Always listening. Thank you, Todd. Scuba Scott, listen to this. We were talking about the electromagnetic field by, uh, Levi's and the, uh, Niners practice facility. He says, Scuba Scott says, uh, 32 years ago, my ex and I were house shopping here in Kenosha, Wisconsin. I found this great property once, uh, I found, I found this great property. Once my ex realized it was within 200 yards of a substation with high tension overhead wires, she would not even get out of the car. She's a 40 year employee of the local power company. Wow. There you go. Thank you, Scuba Scott. Wow. I mean, I get it. Scuba Scott's wife is like, why are you talking about your ex? That tweet's coming, I'm sure. Uh, should we go country club? Should we do it? Yeah, let's do it. Yeah. Wow, slacking. It's not normal. Way stick to the crew. Not us.

Oh, it's so dark. Now it's apparently the only, the only fan really happy. Well, I think Darnell is the holder of the glow sticks. I think that's probably because I, because I, because I, because I predicted properly a couple of weeks ago that it was Darnell out one night and just brought the happen to half a month when he came in, Darnell, Darnell, Glenn in his glow sticks just party it up at Subway from before he came in to work at, you know, mid night, walk at any club in town. You see glow sticks. You're like, Oh, Darnell's here. Yeah. That's right. The only place to the Las Vegas. Darnell has every one of them, but apparently he's in the bathroom. I got some things to promote first real quick. You know, please. First of all, Zach Cohen, harder to handicapers. I think JVT was on there this morning. Go check it out. As always, I'm down there every Tuesday. Just got a note handed to me as well. Stick around for prop points today where Brian Hoyer will be on at 130 p.m. Eastern. Guess what? One time teammate of Jared Stidom's. That's right. New England. Yeah. So we'll have a lot of things to say there. They were the depth chart behind Tom Brady for spell. Yeah. Mm-hmm. Groplo fit on there somewhere. I guess that was before. Groplo was

earlier, right? Yeah. Groplo has predated them. Yeah. I saw some clip of those, those two from like 15 years ago at this point, which too. Brady and Groplo. Yeah. Like man, Groplo is still in the league. Like Grop has, by the way, I'm glad you brought this up. Was the O's Perlman thing with the Rams? They cut to a shot of Groplo at one point. And am I the only one who was like, oh my God, I forgot. Like Jimmy Groplo's profile from San Francisco to Los Angeles. No one ever mentions him anymore. No, I was just going to look how much money he's made in his career too. And it's, uh, whatever it is, it's a ton for a guy that's been talked about as much as he has. And not really asked to perform much at all, right? At any significant level. Well, no, he played in a Super Bowl. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. Good point. What am I talking about? Yeah. Okay, outside of that, we talked about how many years though of his side of that, him being a starter for teams for so many years, right? They just kind of went by the way side. Um, good on you, Jimmy. Good career. Good career if you can get it. Uh, I think he'll be all right. I think he'll be

all right. Yes. Uh, and then last thing to, uh, promote long shots, as always, check it out at is, uh, up on its new own YouTube channel now. Stop it. Yeah. Own YouTube channel. Wow. Big deal. You could be like the 22nd subscriber if you go right now. So go check it out. Uh, uh, we got to build up those numbers. By the way, I apologize to Zach too, because he brought up hardwood handicapers. It was my job to seize on to be like, hey, when is already, and I failed to do it? It's cool. You know, you know, me always taking opportunity to promote, promote myself. All right. American Express Kelly building. Yeah. This tease off here in about 10 minutes. So if you are going to get bets and get them in now, uh, for me this week, just scattered some outrights. I have five outright plays, uh, played some top five and they do have one first-round leader bet. I will start there. So this tournament, if you are planning on betting it and looking for first round leaders, because we tee off here in about 10 minutes, three different courses these first couple days. So you are going to see, uh, one of a couple things, I guess, because draft games pulled something out yesterday. I had not seen before their lowest, lowest round of the tournament. So that kind of helps cover up all the courses for them. So

they're not posting first round leader for each course. You will most places. If you see first round leader listed this week, it will be by course that they start at. Um, so important to note that I know if you are some of the books can use to be a little confusing with that. So if you were just seeing one overall first round leader market, um, double check it, it is probably, uh, a course, uh, a course dependent first round leader. Lakinta, it's stadium course. What's the third? The Nicholas course. Yes. Okay. It's the third one. Um, I did bet Alex Noren at the, would have been helpful if I wrote down which course he was at. Um, I'll check on that. I think he's at the Nicholas course, uh, starting this week. That was the only one I bet. I kind of went through all three first round leader markets, uh, to try to see where I thought the better group of guys was playing in. It's not, it's just different first round leader mark, uh, betting a, you have 156 guys. So the, you know, one third of that group is going to be on each course. So it's just kind of a little bit different. It's a different way to attack first round leader. Not that I

like it more like it less, but you just get a different, different group of guys. You got a handicap, uh, it again. So Noren, I did play at 20 to one. Also played him in the outright market at 65 to one. He had a great fall, uh, one twice, finished second at the hero, um, really playing well, especially on approach with the putter. So hoping that continues this week. Uh, other outrights from me, Russell Henley, it's just a big price play for me. Henley really for the past of years rated out pretty highly for me. I played him a lot last summer. If you were tracking along listening to the show, uh, 27 to one, this big price play, though, I bend Griffin. You got some other guys that are shorter than him, Gil, that I'm just not fully on board with the pricing for. So if you can find Henley 25 to one or up is 25 to one of draft Kings, I think it's a good bet. I don't understand Sam Burns being his same price. Ludwig being shorter than him. I don't understand. Um, Robert McIntyre is the same price. So a little bit with a price play here for me on Henley, but I do like him this week, 27 to one. He played last week. There's heavy trends about guys having success here that did play in Hawaii the week before. I think you got to be a

little careful of those going forward now that we only have one Hawaii event and they're doing stuff like the TGL as well. I think you got to keep in mind, but he finished your T 14 here last year too. So you got that to draw off of Matt Fitzpatrick. He's usually a guy I approach like Scotty Schaeffer, Gil, where I kind of like to play him at tougher courses. But man, this is a big number on a guy who did really well in the fall. One twice on the DP World Tour in the fall, including the DP World Tour Championship in November. One of the better putters on tour. And at one, at some point, this will turn into a putting contest at this resort style course, where it is a pro am for the first three rounds. So there's only, they can only make this course so tough, because you got to let the average Joe go out and play on it. So Fitzpatrick, one of the better putters ice at 45 to one. I thought that was too long on him. I thought he belonged kind of in the group at the thirties. So played fits at 45 burger played this week at 62 to one. He's a guy you will see wildly different numbers on or at least you did a couple days ago. He was in the 60s, I believe 50s, 60s last week at the Sony Open weaker, weaker competition last week, but he goes out

and finishes T six sputtered down the stretch last year, Gil, but he was awesome to start. The putters always the one thing kind of holding them back. He's been going through back issues the past couple of years. But man, I think if we're going to see a burger win, I think it comes earlier in the season. I think this course could make a lot of sense for him. So 60 in the 60s, I think burgers a great bet already brought up Norden and then Chris Kirk's another guy bet last week too. He missed the cut last week, adamant like 60 to one. He had some of the better ball striking numbers through the first two days of the event though, just kind of got caught in one of the bad waves. I'm okay writing it off. If you're given 175, I saw a 200 to one out there on him. I still think that's, that is a long number for again, a course that a lot of these guys can go out and win on. So Chris Kirk 175 to one. Emily Fitzburger Norden Kirk. A lot of people fascinated by this, uh, O's Pearlman prediction, Merle Betts, Good Morning Fells, if it's Rams, Broncos and the Super Bowl, will the exact score odds reflect prediction from O's? I know for

certain, I won't miss the opportunity to get down on the paranormal. Books would surely adjust if the handle was heavy on the prediction. Oh yeah, people are, first of all, if you find exact scores, right, for the Super Bowl. Yes, because there's going to be a lot of people behind you bedding the O's Pearlman exact score. If it is, in fact, the Rams and the Broncos, it will absolutely be reflected in the off. That's for sure. Coming back with Mike Sommatch horses and football next on a numberscape right here at Vison. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real mindset alone doesn't get Betts home pros win because they've got the tools, the data and the discipline. And now so can you Vison Pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use, no secrets, no fluff, just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious betters are turning knowledge into profit with Vison Pro.

A numbers game on Fysand. These sports betting network. We always are excited when this gentleman braces us with his presence. He is the host, the co host. It's not, it's not overstate co host of ready set bet, which he does with Matt Brown, co host of the Sharp Money Podcast, which he does with Patrick Maher. Ladies and gentlemen, you can follow him on Twitter at Somo Bomb 18. It's our friend Mike Somich joining the show at this early hour. How you doing, Mike? Doing good. Had my coffee got up early this morning, big weekend. We got a lot in horse racing. Obviously the NFL games hockey and full swing here. So excited to dive into it with you guys. Would you like to field a ground ball from a listener first or someone has a question for you? This is from. Yeah, bring it on. Bet a nickel spence. Can you ask Somo Bomb? What he thinks of is this tap in street or tap in state? I'm going to say tap in street this weekend. Only horse to beat sovereignty last year, but dealt with a long term injury. Great show is always guys. Thank you, Spence. Yeah, tap on street. Number seven.

She's getting number 13. Come on, Gil. How do you not know that? Race number 13, on Saturdays, the Pegasus World Cup championship here, $3 million race for older horses. Established about four or five, six years ago, been a fun race every single year. Always an interesting race because you have some of these three year olds who just turned four taking on older horses. Field of 12 with one also eligible. So full field in this one. And I just, I don't like the favorites here. I don't like this. Go time the one who is another four year old stepping up, taking on older, but he's a dead speed horse. He'll try and break from the rail. Go right to the lead. There's a lot of speed signed on. Other favorite is going to be White Abario, the 11 who just has not been able to reach the levels that he had earlier in his career. Now a seven year old. I actually am going to bet tap on street to win here. Sixth store on the morning line, the number seven horse in the Pegasus World Cup race 13 at Gulf Stream on Saturday. The reader mentioned it. Look, this is the only horse that beat Sovereign team was improving as a three year old was injured, came back for a single race to kind of prep

for this spot. Now, it's going to need to improve to be able to really get to the winner's winner's circle here, but is a very likely horse to take a step forward. And Brad Cox is the trainer to pond street. Brad Cox is also the trainer of disco time, who is your morning line favorite at nine to five. He has no reason to enter to pond street in this race. If this horse isn't ready to roll, the setup should be perfect. If you go back and watch the Florida Derby, which is a mile and eight race over this Gulf Stream Park turf, exactly the same conditions as we have on Saturday. He was able to sit right behind the speed and get first run on sovereignty and then hold them off. I think you're going to get a very similar street from to pond street on Saturday where he will sit fourth, fifth somewhere in that range behind these horses that are going fast early, get first run around that far turn. I think he's a very good chance to hang on against the closer. So I'll take to pond street on top here at six to one in the Pegasus World Cup on Saturday, race number 13 from Gulf Stream. I think I'm about to make me a horse bed. We got a tweet asking about that specific horse. So we got a tweet. So so so Mike tip this off, right? Yeah, Mike he's going to be on to pond street at six to one. And we happen to get a tweet coincidentally

from Spent Spent a nickel asking specifically about to Bond Street. Sometimes it works out that way. There you go. Spent Spent saw something. Yeah, saw something. He's on the right track. I'm making up the tweets right there. Speaking of which, I said, I said, Mike is the co-host of ready set bed and of the sharp money podcast. But I always forget to mention that you are of course all about Veson at the track as well. When is the next episode drop? We are recording at 930 this morning, Pacific time. So we are going to have an episode drop today for Veson at the track. We're going to cover four of these seven graded stakes races at Gulf Stream Park on Saturday as well as two best bets from myself and Aaron Halterman of racing, dude. So you'll have four best bets on the card, plus four graded stakes races. Make sure you check out Veson at the track wherever you get your podcasts are over at YouTube at Veson at the track on its own YouTube channel as well. Okay. Now usually you also come on here and you have a hockey picker too for us. But I think it's worth even when you don't have one to just sort of tell people, hey, I just didn't see anything. And today is one of those days. Yeah, it's a tough day. I mean, a lot of games. So you would think

I'd be able to pull something out here. But from a numbers perspective, I'm within a couple cents of almost every single line as it currently sits. And so it's hard for me to try and force something. And one of the beauties of the NHL, one of the beauties of MBAs, I'm sure Kelly could tell you there's games tomorrow. There's games that they have through that. There are always more opportunities to be able to bet on these things. And I wanted to come on here and take the senators. They're minus 118. I have them at minus 125. But they're going to miss their starting goal in this spot. And to me, the edge is not quite big enough to be able to fire at it. So if anything today, I would be playing the senators, but no official NHL bets for me today. I used to say that when I exclusively bet baseball and was a baseball handicap or there was 2,430 baseball games. And they used to open on a Sunday night. And I was used to be like, you know, you don't have to bet everything tonight. There are there are 2,439 more of these coming up. So I just think that's a worthwhile thing to tell people that just because they're there. That mean you have to fire on them. If you don't see value, okay, to the national football league. Patriots and Broncos, are we avoiding the side here? What are we doing with this? We're not avoiding the side.

We're waiting to get the number I want on whatever team ends up getting to that number first. And it's been frustrating for me. This was a look ahead of one and a half for Denver. Line open to Patriots minus four. I would have played Patriots minus four. I missed that number. I was looking for Denver plus six. Kind of ticked there in one book for like 10 minutes. I didn't get the plus six. So I still don't have a bet on the side here. I do think there's a little overreaction with this Jared Stitum thing. Look, if Jared Stitum had played quarterback for the Houston Texans last week, they would have advanced past New England. And I do think there is a world here where this Denver defense is able to do something very similar that Houston was able to do up front. And that is just make Will Campbell's life miserable. You've got an offensive line that now has to go on the road after struggling at home in two playoff games. That makes a big difference. We're talking silent counts. We're not going to have the same continuity on the offensive side that you had when you were at home. I think Denver may be able to win the turnover battle here. Just purely on strip sacks. Nothing let alone anything else. And Stitum, yes, he hasn't thrown

a pass in a long time. Sean Payton's going to come out here with a game plan that's a lot of short passes and a lot of shots. You're not going to get those intermediate 15 20 yard passes down the field that result in a lot of intercept. So I don't think this is a game where you see Stitum turn the ball over three, four times, which is what some people are talking about. I think this is a pretty clean game from Denver. And that means that the Patriots have to have a clean game as well. I do think it points toward the under because Denver is going to struggle to run the football. This is a very good run defense from the Pats. And this is a Broncos team that is going to try and stop the run as well. We saw New England be conservative from a play calling perspective, especially early in that game against Houston. I would be surprised if New England just opens it up early in this game as well, because they believe that they have the advantage, especially with Stitum at quarterback. So I think this tends toward the under. So I played under 42 and a half in this game, but no bet on the side yet. If we get a Patriots for it's a small bet for me. If we get back to Broncos 6, it's a small bet for me. If you told me I had to take a side right now, it would be Broncos Moneyline plus two 15. I'd rather just take a shot at the bigger number there on the money line. You are

not required to take a side. I do want to let two things just two reactions. One, you brought up what we quoted Andy Molotor from the deep dive podcast is saying that the Jared Stitum comparison is really not to bonix. It's to CJ Stroud last week, right? I think that's like an important little handicapping point. And the other thing is you were talking about Sean Payton here. I've told the story before about my dad who was mechanical engineer in the DC area. And whenever he'd see like a really strangely designed building because that was kind of his thing, he'd be like the architect built this as a monument to himself, right? Because it was so ugly. That was his line. I think Sean Payton is going to build this game as a monument to himself, game plan wise. Like this is going to be the Sean Payton playbook explosion, right? And to what extent now that that results in win or loss or cover or not, we shall see. But I definitely think that this is going to be an interesting game from a game planning perspective. You do have a couple props in this game. I do. Yeah. So I like Kishan Bude to go over his longest reception. You get that at 19 and a

half. He's going to get a lot of Riley Moss. And we've seen teams pick on Riley Moss consistently when he is wind up across, especially from a deep ball receiver. We've seen booty make plays, time in and time out down the field. Drake May throw is a great deep ball. I think he gets three or four shots in this game down the field. So I'll take booty over 19 and a half longest reception. And we don't have a number yet for Harvey. I checked fan dual check draft Kings. I like his reception prop. You mentioned this is basically going to be Sean Payton's Mona Lisa. This is going to be his ugly building. He loves to run screens. And I was screaming at the television to run screens last week for Houston. I think you're going to see a similar game plan with the Patriots trying heat up system. If that's the case, Payton's going to go to the screen game. And Harvey is the running back that is going to be the beneficiary there out of the backfield. So I do like Harvey overs. I'm hoping he's going to be listed in the low 20s high teens. If he is, that's definitely a bet for me. Wouldn't play it over like the 25 and a half number. But do like do like Harvey out of the backfield getting receiving yards. Okay. To the Rams and the Seahawks and the NFC championship. How did you decide to play this? You know, I haven't played a side yet. And it's because I don't

know what the deal is with Matthew Stafford's finger. I don't think enough is being made of this. He started out eight for eight in that first playoff game and then went through a stretch after hitting his finger where he wasn't good. I watched that Bears game a couple times. You cannot convince me that he is 100% with that hand right now. He looked, he missed throws that he never misses. Yeah. So I'm going to, I want to bet the Rams, but I'm worried about the finger. And that's why I'm not on them right now. I am going to play a prop here and lean into it. Give me Sam Darnelt and Matthew Stafford each to throw an interception. You can get that at two to one. Darnelt's thrown six against this Rams team already this year. I think he gets one. The question is does Stafford if this Seattle defense gets the Stafford from last week, they're going to pick him off at least one. So give me both of them to record an INT at plus 200 and Rashid Jahid you're doing something with him as well. Love this one. I am. Yeah. Give me over his rushing prop here three and a half yards. Since coming to Seattle, he has had at least one run in seven of the 10 games. He's gotten at least one run in both games against the Rams this year gone over this prop in five of those 10 games. I think she he gets involved on the ground. They have to get the ball to him more. He's one of their

best playmakers. All right. And you and Patrick doing a full sharp money episode on both of these games. Yes. We we are. That records at 12 30 today. So we'll have a new decent at the track. New sharp money. Make sure you check out the YouTube page at sharp money. Make sure you check out your podcast wherever you get him. Apple Spotify will be covering everything we like on both of these games and go deep dive into both of them. So much full day of recording. Thanks for showing up. And for this one for slumming with us. We appreciate it, man. Thank you. You got it. Mike Sommage, everybody. Coming back. Are we sure next? A numbers game on FISA. These sports betting network back on the numbers game live from Circa Resort Casino downtown Las Vegas. Get ready to win a larger than life world soccer championship experience. Only at Circa Resort Casino in Las Vegas. One lucky winner scores at two nights at Circa of VIP Cabana for the games and stadium swim of $500 in credit. Plus $250 in food and beverage. Arriving style as well with limo transportation.

Celebrate with cocktails at Legacy Club. Enter now and kick off the world soccer championship. At Circa Resort Casino for giveaway details visit Circa Las Vegas dot com. That's a heck of a package right there. That's right. Heck of a package deal. 750 bucks were the booze. Derek Stevens pocket directly to you. That's right. Paul M. Question for Kelly. If you split up OKC at a two NBA team, so I love these kinds of questions. Yes, they'd still be really good. How many games you think they'd both win and would they have more wins than the nets? Depends how you split them up. Whatever, uh, well, depends how you split about. I'm going to guess for the purpose of this exercise. We're going pretty evenly. I'm going to guess. So SGA on one side, J, J dub and shed on the other kind of thing. Yep. Man, who's the fourth pick on OKC? I mean, SGA. That's a good question. This year, it's probably hard. It's time. I'm going to go hard. It's time. I don't know that everybody would say that, but I'll say that. He's that important. He goes with SGA. And then you get a mix up on all the wings. It's Wiggins and they had

Joe and all those guys. Man, you want to say SGA is good enough to beat the net on his own. I frankly, I think both of those teams could still beat the Dets. Yeah, probably. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Oh, you trying to tell me that. Danny Wolfe is not your guy. If we, if we got to split up the team in half, then I think they should only have to play a half against the net that's and then the depth doesn't really matter anyway. So you're good. There you go. All right. Um, shall we do a little are we sure? Let's do it. Let's do it. You think you know what's going on in the sports betting world? Are you sure? I'm positive. Gill and Kelly tackle the hard-hitting questions on another exciting edition of Are We Sure? This double siguros. Hello. We'll find out. Love a little beat at the end. Oh, balloon. All right, Mr. Alexander. Are we sure? The NFC should be a minus 230 favorite to win

the Super Bowl. Uh, yeah, we are because I guess if you do those look ahead lines, right? Rams and or Seahawks against the Broncos are like a minus 400 money line-ish kind of thing, because it's like a nine or a eight and a half, nine and a half eight and a half boy favorite. And if they play the Patriots, they're around a, what is it? A three and a half or a three point favorite, depending on those Seahawks or the Rams, which is, you know, more like a minus one fifty-ish minus one fifty-five. So, so the minus, what was the, what was your question? Minus two thirty wasn't that you said? Yep. Yeah. It sort of splits the difference ish. So yeah, they, they should be, if you, I mean, that sort of splits the difference between the Patriots and Broncos. So mathematically, it's kind of where it ought to be. And by the way, let me just shout out Will Hill, who was the first person to come on here weeks and weeks ago. Yep. Who, who made the point? Hey, the NFC is kind of even money-ish at that point, or at least a coin flip against the AFC. You may want to think about betting the NFC in a market that we rarely talk about, right? NFC versus AFC. Well, we started last year for, we started

last year, all of a sudden. Yeah. But this, this was a year where the NFC teams were that much better. And so it's minus two thirty now, but yes, it's appropriate. I wish I would have bet. Though, remember, I brought up the one a couple weeks ago about these division is the NFC West, specifically. Yeah. Wish I would have bet that one. Yeah, a little behind the scenes here. So we have these little packs that we, we plug something into in the zelgill and I hear things. That's right. I was wondering why you were yelling at me at the beginning of it. I was, I was sitting on it and turning up the volume. Oh, yeah. That's cool. So it's very loud. The R. We sure hope it was very loud. Okay. Are we sure Sam Donald should be the favorite in the Super Bowl MVP market? Well, only in the sense that he's the quarterback of the team. That is the favorite in the NFC championship game. So in that respect, yes. But I don't think all quarterbacks are built equally. And Sam, Donald is still Sam, Donald, you know what that means. And the fact is that these are not, this is not Patrick Mahomes in the Kansas City Chiefs, right? There are other candidates

that you can see happening in a game ending up with the MVP trophy. As we look at the Super Bowl MVP odds, Donald is plus 265 Drake May 3 to 1 Matthew Stavra 3 to 1 Jared Stidem not built like the other quarterbacks either at 19 to one. The Jared Stidem thing is an interesting bed, right? But as to the question of should Sam Donald be the short shot? Yeah. It makes sense for me just a logic standpoint. But would I bet it hails now? Yeah. Sam, Donald, I'm going to think I'm going to be a big fan this week, but a Super Bowl Super Bowl could be fun. And Sam, Donald could win the Super Bowl MVP, right? That wouldn't make it absolutely good. That's not let's not misinterpret what I'm saying. I just wouldn't bet it. But could I absolutely see it? What a what a story that would be, right? Sam, Donald, who is often the the subject of division. And certainly last year, even after the Vikings, great season ended up with those two horrible performances at the end. They haven't really needed Sam, Donald here since the regular

season. So it certainly didn't against the Niners. So I don't know. I mean, it could it could happen. I just feel like it's not a slam dunk. But yes, he should be the short shot. We think of Sam, Donald, and we think of mistakes. But he's also won a lot of football games recently. He's got an arm, right? Like there's a reason why he keeps getting jobs. Uh, okay. Are we sure? I love to never forget that USC Penn State game. Man was a good neck. Yeah. Um, I loved diving into the Jared Stidem props yesterday. Are we sure, Gil? Jared Stidem will throw over over 190 yards in this game for passing props at one ninety two. I'm not sure about anything with Jared Stidem. I don't know. Not sure about anything. I mean, I'm so with you. If that with that game, like I have a little bit of money line on the Patriots built in with Indiana, um, we should mention by when we didn't get it, we got to all of Mike Sommitch's picks except for one. Oh, yeah, he has. He has exact number. Yes, he had Stidem on this exact number. He goes, he went over on Stidem. Do you think you've brought up a good point though? If there's any other bets that I

would add to this game and I'm, look, I might have more tomorrow by the time we're sitting here, it's going to be attacking some just outlier performances, right? Like I think you're right, Sean Payton's going to be it's going to be dig deep into the playbook, run whatever the heck I want. I think if the Broncos Broncos stay in this, like they might win. I think there's a world where they win a little bit by margin that people aren't thinking about. Like with the defense being this as good as it is, although it hasn't played as well recently, I think you could also talk to me, talk me into laying all sorts with the Patriots. If you feel that strongly about the Patriots, you know, the Stidem is going to show up at all. I think there's other ways, um, you know, whether it's same game part of ways, whether it's all lines, stuff like that, you could attack this week and be good. Good on magic. Have you taken like a moment to think about, imagine being Jared Stidem? Oh, no, it's crazy. There's also like part of like part of like what you're talking about. This is your life. Yeah, this is life. Part of the other part that you're talking about, Sean Payton is also the nothing to lose fact. Right? He is going to get zero criticism.

That's right. If they get, if they lose 38 to three, he's got to built an excuse. It's a Sean Payton dream scenario. Yes. He really is going to build a monument to himself on Sunday. I mean, frankly, like I hope Stidem is thinking about it that way too, right? Like you've gone long enough in your career. Nobody's thinking about you as like the future potential starter for us down the road. What a funny place to be as a fan as a Broncos fan. Like if you lose, you do have to sort of have that thought of, well, what were we supposed to do? What could we have done? What could you have done? Yeah. Um, but I mean, really disheartening after a win over the Buffalo. Yeah. That's right. I mean, it's such a funny. It's just not funny. It's just a ridiculous position to be in. All right. Are we sure Jared Stidem will throw an interception because he's minus 176 to do so. I mean, I figured it would be a pretty big favorite. I'm not sure. No, you know, because I think Sean Payton will try to game plan against the other fallup real quick. Cause actually the next name down, I wanted to, I was purposely seeking out what his interception odds are. I'm not shocking minus 176. We haven't seen him playing a while. Man,

not far behind him. Sam Dartle that minus 152. Are we sure he's going to throw a pick? Yeah. Well, that was one that might bet on as well. Okay. Are we sure? It's Keon Coleman's fault that Josh Allen doesn't have a Super Bowl. No, we really aren't. That's not what I was supposed to take away from that pressure conference yesterday. That's what you're supposed to do. But I'm not sure you're asking me. Yes, Terry, but Gula would like you to believe that or at least he would like you to believe that the reason that he was drafted is because the coaches made the front office drafted. But no, that's not the reason. I don't know about you because that was all happening while we were on the area yesterday. Didn't Keon Coleman also lunge into the end zone after that? Was that not him? He dropped a ball. Then did he, didn't he dive into the end zone later? Yeah, we can also bring up the fair. I actually meant to bring this up when we were doing the recap. Keon Coleman with the lunge into the end zone that 99.7% of the time gets called a touchdown on the field and then gets overturned because something hit early. But he got no, he actually, yeah, actually got there. So good on you, Keon after a terrible drop. Are we sure? Elena Rabakina should have shorter odds

to win the Australian open than the great igas fiat tech. Thank you for phrasing it that way, sir, because you are correct. That is the correct adjective. How dare they? Yes, by the way, we are sure and the reason goes down to the fact that Belinda Benchich was upset last night. So or Elena Rabakina, Naomi Osaka and Ega Shrutek, along with Belinda Benchich, we're all in Q4 together. There's no shot at anybody besides those four players winning that quarter. But the Rabakina half of that quarter has Benchich in it, whereas Osaka is on Ega's side. So just by virtue of that, Rabakina is correct as a tick of a shorter shot than either Ega or by the way, a man in this MOBA is also good for a different quarter. Yeah. All right, go one last one. Are we sure? Yannis should stay with the Milwaukee. No, yeah, get him out of time. Get him out of there, but enough already. So we got to come in and listen to this drama every few days. I'm going to keep it rolling. I know you are. Well, if Yannis doesn't stop, I'm not going to stop. We'll recap all the bets. Crack coming up. It's a numbers game. It's Vista, these sports betting

network. Numbers game on FESIN, these sports betting network. We're getting ready for big game 60 with a big deal to match, save $60 off at Vison. Or I should say off a Vison Pro annual subscription. That's $60 off a Vison Pro annual subscription when you sign up using promo code ANJ. A N G as in a nimble gnome. Become a Vista Pro annual subscriber bet smarter all year long with full access to our daily best bets from Vison hosts. I guess real time draft kings and circuit betting splits, AI powered prop tools and matchup analysis 24 seven video and full show replays on the Vista watch app, plus all our betting guides and expert picks for the super bullet up coming March. Madness. Don't miss out on this big game deal. Visit Vista.com. Subscribe and use promo code ANG to save $60 off a Vison Pro annual subscription today. That's V S I N dot com slash subscribe. I didn't give you another opportunity because I thought you botched

the first one. So I'm not creative. Yeah, I was trying to. An annual nocturnal. I need to work on my options. My list. Nocturnal is a good word. Brian, Brian Schaefer 31. Gil, one stays in your fandom. One has to go ego or Steph. Well, you know, since you ask, I'm going to give a very detailed breakdown on this. One, if you're talking about betting, Steph has to go because while Steph has made a me tons of money in the past, particularly on that first warriors playoff run to the championship. He hasn't really the the warriors are not a thing anymore. So he's really not a betting vehicle, whereas ego is the gift that keeps on giving a will in the future as well. So from that perspective, Steph has to go, but if you're just asking me about a a life in, okay, well, not literal enrichment, because that would be eager to, but I'm just talking about the the affirmation of life like who has provided more joy over time. The answer is Steph Curry has an ego would have to go if that's the nature of the question. People were people love the first

exchange we had on the show today. Buddhist man is pointing you to a non alphabetical listing of the names for the NFL awards finalists. And Chuck is them one. LOL. He says Kelly about to dive into the conspiracy of the order of the MVP candidates. Kill quote Kelly. It's alphabetical order, unquote, LOL. Yes. You know, sometimes you have just break the news gently. Did you, you didn't even look over all of them though, right? No, I just saw them on the screen. You just saw the one single MVP one. I'm still kind of impressed by a kill. It's not like you like I had all of them that I looked at you just saw what you mean the fact that I could see Josh Allen was the first one and I could sus it out just like that. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. I'm a wildly talented man. I want to do these props first before we get the best you want to do the best first. Let's do the bets. That's yesterday we didn't even get them all in. Oh, yeah, we did. We sure changed Nick Whalen. Broncos plus five and a half again is my only NFL bet. I am on three tennis plays today.

I already tipped off what two of them are on the show earlier. If you missed it, if you missed it, I am on Andre Rubellev on the men's side. I am also on the Eva Yovic on the women's side. I have one more women's bet that I will allow for us. We will save for subscribers at vison.com slash picks. But again, we're the third round now. So instead of 128 player field, men's and women's it's down to 32 and I got a podcast to do so I had to get ahead of it last night. So there you go. Three picks, but those are the two that Zach and I are both on. We'll get to that momentarily, Kelly. For me, nothing tonight in the NBA, however, the trailblazers are back in action after a four four days off, I believe it is. Blazers over 39 and a half wins. I've talked about this. I think every day this week, that's how long they've been off. So a number is still available. Over 39 and a half and I'm actually leaning towards them in their game tonight. I'm just waiting to see some injury information. They are one and a half point home favorites against the Miami heat. Yes, I continue to pick on the heat with mixed results. So we'll see how that goes

through all day, through all day questionable club wear questionable for that game tonight. Nothing else for me. NBA though NFL this weekend got that Seahawks six to one to win the NFC ticket. I think I'll just be riding with the only shop other notable thing that I noticed today with these lines, man, we've kind of just been sitting on the same numbers for a week with Patriots Broncos, Ramsey Hawks, little movement on the totals. I have 47, 46 and a half out there for that Ramsey Hawks total. There was one shop we had here in town, though, kill that was hope that was hanging a juiced three out there on the Seahawks. That that has come down stations was on three for a little bit, but now they are down to two and a half. So yeah, all two and a half on the board. That was the only one I was really considering might be buying off some of my Seahawks position was a Rams plus three. For right now, though, I'm just going to let the six to one ride Ramsey Hawks under 47 and half. I do like the under in that game. And then I have the hypothetical look at Rams laying three over the Patriots. Yeah, not listed for me also on the heels of the 10 to one Hoosiers bet cashing

to win the nadi. Also have the two few all of our Australian open futures still alive through two rounds. Again, Ega, Naomi Osaka to win the and Jesse Pagula to win it all on the lady side. Lorenzo was set to win quarter three and Jesse Pagula to win quarter number three on the lady side. Those are all still alive. As are the season longs, obviously, Yonic center to win three slams exactly. Ega to win two slams exactly on the lady side at plus four 50 and plus three 50 respectively. And then basketball, by the way, we don't list because it's a it's a futures. So we don't list it every day. But again, I have the spurs to win the title in the NBA this year. And I have the spurs to meet to the Celtics at 125 to one. I checked to see what that price was today. 40 to one. I was going to guess 50. Yeah, that's great. That's a great spurs at 19 to one to win at all. But spurs Celtics at 125 to one. So let's go, baby. Let's make that happen. I mean, these Celtics are second shot on the board at this point when the East

yeah, yeah, Zach Cohen, as I mentioned, he was on earlier rockets tonight in the NBA for Zach versus the sixers on the money line. And the Mavericks plus the points versus the Warriors plus five and a half on Dallas NFL this weekend. He's on the Rams money line in the NFC championship. He's laying the points with the Patriots in the AFC championship preceding that lady laying the four and a half on the Patriots. And by the way, his tennis plays. He is as well. He's on Andre Rubelev in tennis on the men's side versus Francisco Cerundolo. Rubelev at minus 141. He's on Eva Yovic as well plus 122 versus Jasmine Paulini. And then he also has himself a a bet Noreans Veriv scam. Nory Sasha's Veriv over three and a half sets minus 137. Zach's tennis plays as well. So a three pack from him there. Michael Sommage, Somal bombing, Pegasus World Cup Kelly, race 13, the number seven horse to to pond street. Is that what you called it? Yeah,

to Ponsor. We we spelled it wrong there. It should be TAPP AN to pond street at six to one. Coincidentally, we got a tweet about it right beforehand. So that was that that worked out well. Once again, Pegasus World Cup, race 13, number seven horse to pond street six to one. Football, Patriots Broncos under 42 and a half from Mike. He's also got a couple props in that Patriots Broncos game, Keishan Booty, over 19 and a half, longest reception, 19 and a half yards. And Jarrett's did him over 196 and a half passing yards of that game. And then in the NFC championship, Sam Darnell and Matt Stafford both to throw a pick each two to one and Rashid Shaheed over three and a half rushing yards. All that takes is one play call. Make it happen. See Hawks Rashid Shaheed over three and a half. I will be betting that too. I brought that up earlier in the week. I hadn't seen anybody post it yet. I looked at draftings. Yes, I didn't see it up. But props get becoming more widely available. I will be on that one as well. I want to squeeze in some props before we get out of here. I got trivia for you first. Oh, trivia. Oh, I like trivia. All right. Four quarterbacks all time. Yeah. Have appeared in the conference championship round

seven times or more. Whoa. Can you name those four quarterbacks? Tom Brady, ding, ding, ding, Patrick Mahomes, ding, ding, ding, ding, seven times or more. And Patrick Mahomes seven times. He's exactly seven. Joe Montana, ding, ding, ding, ding, and the fourth and toughest one. Perhaps the reason Kelly would have asked this question. Oh, that's interesting. I just discussed earlier in the show. He was discussed earlier in the show. Yeah. James Garoppolo. James Garoppolo. Wow. Isn't that crazy? Three different teams from Jimmy Garoppolo. Now seventh championship round appearance. He was just in the roster. He was like, yeah, you're like the wording. I said, yeah, yeah, yeah. And then say play. I didn't say play in seven games. Here's the thing about Garoppolo. He's just not going to get enough attention off the field either. It's really not tough life. Tough life. It's tough life. I hear just a few props here. Well, I don't get to do these in here for the championship games. Highest scoring team.

This makes sense again, just from a team total perspective. Again, do the conflation of the the spread and the total right now, which you're looking at. Seahawks is plus 145 Rams, plus 225 Patriots, plus 250 Broncos, plus 550. That jibes with the fact that Seahawks are supposed to score around 25 Patriots are supposed to score around 24 Rams around 22. And then the Broncos at around 19, if you do that. So not exactly a line that can be drawn, but kind of what it should be drawn. I don't have a this to be comes down to your handicaps of the games. Obviously, as it should always, but I don't know that I have a bet. Lowest scoring team is just going to be the inverse of this. Yeah, right. Yeah. I guess real quick. I was going to say kind of bet in some of those. I think the tails right there is some of the wild outcomes. I think if you're on the Broncos this week, I don't think it's a bad look at five to one of them to be the highest scoring team. You know, that that Rams Seahawks game, I think we're getting two good defenses playing each other. I lower scoring game definitely in the realm of possibility. I don't hate that one.

Let's do these real quick weekly passing leaders. I was going to say them for tomorrow. Oh, you're going to say those for tomorrow. Yeah. Yeah. The lowest the lowest scoring team. That's another one where I think there's some I think there's some potential value on the Rams now. I want to feel if you like the Seahawks or vice versa. Again, I think that's I think that's more of a defensive battle. I'm on the under. I think the points are going to be tough to come by in that game. We'll do passing. We'll do receiving. We'll do rushing. Yeah, we're going to do those tomorrow, boys and girls. Carolyn, we're going to do that. Oh, she want to do McCrack. Yeah, that's okay. We'll save him for tomorrow. Crack is next on scripted with Bill Crackenberger. All the numbers came. It beats in these sports betting network.

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