A Numbers Game | January 20, 2026 | Hour 3

0:00A number is called the story of those 80s and believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Kill I like Xander. Go on V-Send. Hour number three of a numbers game at V-Send. He sports betting Network V-Send.com Game Plus. I heart radio YouTube TV. Of course, Series X of Channel 158. Kill I like Xander. Television's Kelly Bidlin, everybody. Hello. I'm radio's Kill I like Xander. He brings the pretty every day. I heard yesterday that our YouTube TV numbers are big time. Big time. That's what happens when you drop a honey. I think there's a reason and it's and it's not you, Gil. It's me still the gun still to come this hour. Super Bowl. I'd like Super Bowl MVP. We haven't talked Super Bowl MVP this all time. I know. Just because it's that kind of year, right? Which we'll get into. I will do tennis. A stage of eliminations as well. For those interested in doing some internament, Aussie open bets. You could bet on stuff like that Paul car is kind enough to join us midweek. It's not often that we get a midweek, but when the champions league is going on, we get

1:01a midweek. Usually it's just on Fridays for the Prem, but it's a fitting morning to have him on the morning after Indiana wins the national championship of college football because we were talking earlier about historical, historical numbers. By the way, Paul, good morning courtesy of the progressive guest line. There's Paul right there at Paul car. C a R on Twitter. We were talking earlier than in North American sports, Indiana 101 pre flop this year. By far, the longest odds since 2001, according to our buddy Blake over at sports odds history, to win the college football national championship. But from a North American sports perspective, only the greatest show on turf rams of 1999 were longer at 150 to one. When again, Trent Green went down in a arena league grocery store, grocery store stock, stock room guy, Kurt Warner ends up being their quarterback. They end up winning the championship at 150 to one. Would you, sir, getting to the point where at ESPN, when Lester city made their run to the Prem title, can you walk us through that?

2:02Yeah, this is one of those sports stories. It's so absurd that it was hard to put in context and this was, you know, this is 10 years ago this year. So sports betting was not as pervasive in the US or ESPN as it is now. So, you know, Lester was 5,000 to one to win the Premier League before the season. At the time, like the comps I was pulling out was like a 15 seed to win the NCAA tournament. Cal State Bakersfield had 5,000 to one odds to win that year. And then there's all kinds of absurd things like Elvis is alive that you can find at the British books. Elvis's alive was 5,000 to one. Right. Yeah, that's what we're talking about. Not stuff like that. That's the extreme sort of thing that we're talking about here because, you know, your closest, I guess MLB comp because he got to have the financial disparity would be like, you know, the A's or something winning the World Series now, not 20 years ago, but now, but even those odds aren't what they used to be. You don't find 5,000 to one on even the worst teams before the season because it really changed how, especially the British sportsbooks put the numbers up there.

3:02Yeah. Well, we'll never see 5,000 to one again because of the story that was Lester City. By the way, in addition, you had sent this. So I'm just going to, I'm taking your shine, but in addition to, in addition to Elvis Presley being found alive, also being 5,000 to one, some other 5,000 to one odds at William Hill back then, the British William Hill, the Yeti or the Loch Ness monster proven to exist. It was 5,000 to one after leaving office Barack Obama plays cricket for England 5,000 to one and Kim Kardashian elected US president in 2020 was 5,000 to one. So that's what we were talking about with Lester City and you're right, not only British, but like, you know, even the notion of a bad NFL team being anything longer than 500 to one would never, ever happen again because of Lester City. But that, so, so I guess the whole point of that is what I'm saying is Indiana winning this title. If it were 10 years ago, let's say, and there was no transfer portal would have been the

4:03closest to a Lester City that we had ever seen in this country is basically what it comes to. That's crazy. And you throw in what you've said about, there's the history behind it too. You know, if, whatever, Auburn was what, 50 to one 10, 15 years ago, that's still Auburn. You know, it's a little bit different. They've had success, you know, I think of maybe if Kansas State had done it in the 90s when they had a chance to, when National Title didn't quite make it, we're talking that kind of an aptitude historically on top of, they just weren't expected to do it before the season, which makes the Indiana story even that much better. And then you said Lester City the year before had just been called up to the Premier League. That was part of it. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, they'd been, they're in the Premier League 15 years before or so, but two years ago, they were in the championship. Seven years before that, they were in the third division. So they had finished 14th in the Premier League. It wasn't like, ooh, they're on the rise. Like this wasn't even a sleeper or one of those sexy picks that someone might make to kind of be weird before the season. The Premier League is so top heavy that it wasn't even a thought that anyone outside those

5:05top four so teams could win it, let alone this team that just got back up to the Premier League. It's incredible. That last thing on this, because you touched on earlier, but I'm curious. So this was, again, 10 years ago, this was pre-past, but bring a rule on constitutional. This was right before Vison started, right? Vison started in 2017, this was, this happened in 2016. You explaining to your ESPN colleagues, like, what did that conversation look like? Yeah. I'm first had to explain like, what's a Lester, you know, or really, how do you pronounce this? Lester, Lester, Lester. Right. That was step one. Let's pronounce the club name right. And then it was, you know, where they finished, they were in the second division, but the odds were really helpful then, because I could say, you know, the Rams were 150 to one, you know, who's the worst team, you know, it was like week eight of the NFL season. And this three, eight team was 5,000 to one to win a title. So like, putting it in perspective with the odds really helped a lot, because you got to just the most absurd things that no one would ever think of betting on this, you know,

6:07I think it was like the 14 win Timberwolves in March with 5,000 to one win maybe a title. That kind of thing. That people, that really just opened their eyes like, oh, like, this is not just another soccer team. I've never heard of winning a title. This really is absurd. Well, Paul, I don't know if you know this. It's a numbers game. It's what people have said before. It is. It is. Let's go to the present day, Champions League. That's why you're here today. So explain. We do this whenever this comes up. And to the casual American sports fan who might not know what this is, what this is, and where we are in terms of the arc of this this year. Yeah, from a big picture perspective, this is the best teams in Europe all come together to play a tournament. It's basically the incidentally tournament for college basketball, but they play it concurrently with the regular season instead of, you know, broken out at the end of the season. So before that does, yeah, it, it, it, it, I remember when I started getting to soccer like when I was in college and I had a couple of friends who had lived in England, they're playing it all as to me. Like it, it just takes a while to your brain to adjust and then you play a lot of FIFA

7:07and it becomes like a nature. So, um, right. And the, and the format, the NBA equivalent is not the equivalent because it's the very same teams playing in a mid season tournament and the NBA cup. Right. So it's not like. Right. Yeah. Different. Quite the same. Right. Right. If they invited, you know, teams from Spain or whatever to come play in this other tournament at the same time would be kind of like that. But the format's worth pointing out here again because it's changed a couple years ago. This is the second year I believe in this new format. Where instead of these, you know, four groups of four like you're kind of used to in tournament soccer in the group stage, then I have one giant table of 36 teams. And so you're not playing everybody obviously, but they try to balance the schedule as much as possible from a quality component. And the top 24 of those 36 advanced to the round of 32, there's some incentives to finish in the top eight because you get a buy to the round of 16. So it's a weird thing where like kind of the first six match days, I think, matterless. But now we're in the last couple and there's find this in clarity on who might advance to trying to get the buy and things like that. So we're, so how many teams are left now?

8:07They're all still there, but we have two games left in this group stage. Gotcha. So, you know, I don't think anybody's clenched advancement because you play so few games. It's just going to be tight. But we're at the point where some teams are going to start clenching certain spots today and tomorrow and we'll have a lot more clarity heading into the final group match day. I know we could do. I see the seventh of eight group games. Gotcha. Okay. And you landed on three of these. What do you have for us? Yeah. We're going to start with Copenhagen and Napoli over two and a half. I got a terrible number at this at plus 105. It's moved to like plus 120 plus 125 this morning. So obviously that's better. Copenhagen scores a lot in the day and a super league and they've scored in all three Champions League home games and they've also conceded at least two in all six of their Champions League games so far this season. So five there's six of that four plus goals. That includes some home games against teams in Napoli's class, Adortman, Elevacucin. Napoli's had been playing well but they kind of slowed down the Serie A the last few weeks down to third place but they have been attacking better lately.

9:08That'll open them up a little bit more of the back and obviously lead to goals. I think on both ways. Copenhagen really needs a result here. A win would be great because they're on the bubble to advance. So I think we're going to this one will be a little more open than the numbers. I suggest over two and a half. I got a plus 105. You should be able to get at least plus one 20 out there this morning. All right. That's today Copenhagen and Napoli over two and a half goals. Paul said he got a better numbers out there than he got it plus 105. Then tomorrow a couple. Yeah. This one feels a little chalky but I'll lay a goal on a half with Barcelona. Barcelona as Slavia Prague. Slavia Prague, one of the worst teams in the group right now they're 33rd out of 36 teams. They lost a top known. They lost to Arsmole. They lost to Inter all by three goals. Barcelona is good or better than all those teams. So winning by a couple is pretty reasonable. Barcelona is motivated because they're in 15th but only four points clear of elimination. So you win here, you walk up the spot, having the last match day. Barcelona's first in La Liga but it doesn't feel like they are.

10:11They had one nine straight La Liga games by two plus goals till this last weekend when they kind of got sockered by Ralsosia Dodd lost despite out playing them. So they should have Rafini back. So I got sockered, I got sockered, I shot him 25 to 7, 3.7 expected goals less than one and lost two to one. So they got sockered. Yeah. I like that too. And then what's this? And over three and a half goals between Bayern Munich from the Bundesliga. And what is this? Union San Gilles was from Belgium. That's pretty good. I was going to make Kelly pronounce that. Oh, absolutely. Yeah. Union San Gilles. Yeah. This is over a team total for Bayern. Over three and a half plus one 15, but I mean, like, Bayerns at home, they need a big win here to wrap up a top eight spot, scoring three goals a game in Champions League, but put up four or more against the kind of bottom beaters like Paphos and club Brewers that they played. So Harry Kane probably going to get one or two. He's scoring more than a goal per game. San Gilles is, they give up four to enter, four to new castle, both at home.

11:14So this kind of, it feels a little chalky, but I can get plus money. I'm Bayern scoring four at home against a bad team. I'll take that here. Paul Carr, everybody, triple, triple pack of Champions League picks against Copenhagen in the Napoli today, over two and a half goals tomorrow, Barcelona, laying the goal in the half against lobby of Prague, or if you're Bouchie, Barcelona, the Castellano pronunciation. And Bayern Munich over three and a half goals against San Gilles was. It's clearly Saint Gilles, guys, come on. Thank you, Paul. Paul Carr is pronounced Paul Carr, by the way. Thank you, Paul. Appreciate it. Coming back, NFL MVP and more next.

12:17So, now that football has been winding down, right, the NFL, do you have a YouTube TV by the way? No. So YouTube TV suggests to you, like it doesn't suggest you, it basically knows what you've watched. And so at the top of your screen, it gives you, like, sort of the networks you've most watched or the shows that you've most watched it, whatever time slot you happen to be watching. So at night, you know, like I'll get caching out, decent, right? The great Dustin Svetlson will show up as one of my, hey, you know, here's something you watch. Oh, here it is again. But because football is winding down, this was pre-Australian open last week, apparently one of these nights murder, she wrote, came up as one of my things. Now, because apparently one night I must have like flicked on murder, she wrote because John Madden used to, you know, joke with each other.

13:21That was their thing when they were drunk in the booth doing CBS games in the 80s and the early 90s. How long can the distance go between the word murder and she, when they did the promo, when putt and so Pat Someral would crack up John Madden doing this and would get longer and would be like, murder, she wrote, right? So I started watching just as a late night thing to fall asleep on. This is last week. I just started watching the catching murder, she wrote episodes. Let me just say this. Nothing gets by Angela Lansbury. She don't, if you're going to commit a crime, don't go up to her bumble, whatever town up in the Northeast and commit a crime. She will figure out. But then the same, the same channel, the same channel now is producing, which I've never seen. When I say I've not watched five seconds of these two shows in my life, I'm probably over shooting it by three seconds. Little house on the prairie and the walls. These are shows that when I was a little boy, even I was like, God bless, these shows are old. I'm never watching these, right?

14:22So I actually started doing like a deep dive on these old shows because now I'm like, okay, it's off season. I get to like actually like return to humanity after the Australian open, of course. But the, some of these things are, I like, I started doing a deep dive. So apparently in the 70s and early 80s, American audience, these shows were wildly popular. American audience, murder, she wrote was like late 80s murder, uh, to your point, I think I've forced myself to watch eight minutes of the little house on a prairie. I'm fascinated by this because apparently the Walten's was a show set in the like 19 teens. And it was like the number one show on TV about like some farm Virginia town, Virginia family. And then the, and then based on the success of the Walten's, apparently NBC decided, because I guess the Walten's was on CBS or something like that, or ABC. And then the, uh, I think CBS and then the NBC decided we need something equivalent. And they come up with a show little house on the prairies, which was set in the 1880s in like Minnesota. And I'm like, these shows were wildly popular in the 70s, 80s.

15:24How? I'm fascinated by the sociology of that. It's pretty crazy. It's pretty great. I haven't thought that far back on stuff. There's only three networks. Right. Yeah. It's amazing to me. Anyway. I have not seen, I remember making myself like, I remember flipping on little house of the prairie. And it was like, all right, you know what? I should take five minutes and watch this. This is a piece of American history that I am not, like, I don't know anything about. Right. I couldn't get holdings. I've never seen a minute. I couldn't get past, I couldn't get past two and a half, two minutes of a little house on the prairie. It's pretty bad. I got through a little more of the walls. Yeah. I've never seen a second of the world's murder. She wrote. I'll binge episodes that Angela Lansbury is so amazing. Didn't they redo that? Probably like four times. We get tweets being in the book, JC562, zero, seven, six, tell that previous listener talking about coming to sign up for contest to ask Kelly for some late night doctor appointment tips. What was that a reference to again? Oh, yeah. Oh, this wasn't you. I have no idea. No, we had no idea what we were talking about.

16:25We had that listener who had this late night doctor appointments. Where was that? I don't know. Corbett, I think Jim out, Al Torio. Thank you for posting the Franz Klammer epic in 1976 downhill run at Innsbruck. It was kid enough. That was the answer. Everything together. We were like, yeah, sure. You're going to the doctor at nine o'clock at night. Yeah. Okay. Jim Al Torio working overtime at JD. The old father is also showing a Bella, a Bella danger to crying after the Miami loss yesterday. Poor girl. And then Kevin Downs, my brother from another, you have to watch a soccer walking with that outfit. And then the locker room looked like runway with water on slides, runway with water on sides. Maybe there was a typo there at the end, like a fashion room. I got to see it. I saw those still shot of it, but I got to see the actual footage of it. All right. Superbowl MVP is a market that typically Kelly, you and I will talk about pre postseason, like when the playoff field is set, we'll often talk about Superbowl MVP market as a way to bet the Superbowl by proxy.

17:27So in other words, let's say the Kansas City chiefs, Superbowl years, right? Maybe they have more. I don't mean to put it in the past, but you know what I mean. So we would often say, Hey, listen, if the chiefs are going to win the Superbowl, this is before the playoff start, it's very likely that Patrick Mahomes will be their MVP. Why not get a take a better price? If you think the chiefs are going to win it all, why not take a better price on Patrick Mahomes to win MVP, then you would the chiefs to win the actual Superbowl. And there was many instances like this over the years. I'm just using the most obvious one where betting the Superbowl MVP market by proxy was a strategic way to bet this year, we have not talked about it. Why I will just sort of we've not Kelly and I have even talked about it off air. I will just suggest that because it is the most free for all of all seasons that you hardly know who's going to win the Superbowl, let alone who's going to be the MVP of those teams winning the Superbowl. So this is not something that we have discussed until this moment when we're down to the final four, if you will, Sam Darnold is your Superbowl MVP short shot because the Seahawks

18:28are the Superbowl short shot. And because he is the quarterback of set Seattle Super Seattle Seahawks, it was at Super Sonics. Sam Darnold is a short shot at plus 260. It also follows that Drake may have the Patriots, right? The AFC championship favorite is plus to 90. He's the quarterback of the Patriots Matthew Stafford, the short NFC quarter back under dog is three to one. So we're pictured on this screen, except until you get to 20 to one, would be Jared Stidham of the AFC underdog Broncos in between Stafford and Stidham. Then you have a couple Seahawks and a Ram, which is Kenneth Walker, Jackson Smith and Jigba and Pukka Nakua. So all this makes sense, by the way, 13 to one, 15 to one and 15 to one, all of that makes mathematical sense, but again, it is one of those years where it has not been a market that we have touched on because of just this wacko nature of the NFL this year. A great breakdown because I'm actually, I'm actually think of more excited to talk Super Bowl MVP. That's your cause. It's different because we've really, as you just put very well, we've been kind of

19:29using as a substitute to bed, you know, Super Bowl futures for the past few years. It feels like, and like I'm just staring at that odds board right now, like, okay, who's the, the guy who's the most obvious quarterback that you'd attached to a team is Matthew Stafford, but like, I don't like, there's other big names on that. They're big names, right? Like, Pugat and Kua has a huge game. He is very live to steal that from Stafford and Sam Darnold has Jackson, Smith and Jigman, Ken of the Walker. Yeah. And Rashid Shaheed, right? Who is, by the way, can we just state again, what a trade deadline pick up? He ended up being from a special team standpoint. So in the fall of Jeff Erickson segment, one of the ones that I went to go look for was with any Shaheed Russian props posted. Like I think Shaheed, if the Seahawks make it, will be one of those longer shots that we hear brought up a ton as far as people betting because he's involved in special teams, right? And they might involve in multiple ways on the offensive side of it. Is there a bet here? Like, I mean, that's the thing. It's again, not everybody has conviction on one team like they would on a Mahomes lead

20:31Chiefs team. Yeah. And then on top of that, as we just mentioned, it's not like the quarterback is singular like Mahomes. So here, I guess here's the way I think about it. For me, there's not something that's jumping out to bet right now, right? But I think if you are, if you're someone who is very strong on the Rams or the Seahawks, right? You know, Rams over the Seahawks or Seahawks over the Rams, then sure, getting in front of you, you know, if you really want to bet Stafford to win Super Bowl MVP or something, that number will be shorter. I don't think it's worth it right now, though. I'd probably just wait. And I guess the same could be said for the Patriots, right? If you think the Patriots is such a slam dunk this weekend and you like them against one of these NFC teams, then you could start finding longer odds on some of their players right now. Puka feels like, but that feels built into it doesn't get like a Drake May plus two 90. Like that's all you're getting on Drake May, right? Puka at 15 to one, which by the way is also not as long as it should be, right? But that's where that one's a great example. I just wait till we go up and bet him at nine to one or whatever. Yeah.

21:31I just, yeah, I think you're right. But he can put a non quarterback that much shorter. No, he's the one non quarterback on there where you can sort of. If you, if you think the Rams are reading the Seahawks, you can sort of absolutely go into your brain and think, could I see Puka May making like three amazing Super Bowl plays, including one ridiculous catch that gives in the MVP, sure you could, but I think you're right. I think you're right. Like why bet it now, you're not going to get that much worse next week if they advance. Well, there's, there's, you know, is it worth the risk to just get a few more points on the, on the odds? I don't think it is. I don't think for us. Again, I think for us for two weeks with this, this, like I think there are some wild cards here. I think we're going to hear some good arguments on it in the two weeks between a conference championship and the Super Bowl for some Super Bowl MVP bets. Can you look forward to it? Can you repeat what you said yesterday about the look ahead lines you are, you are betting one of these? I did bet one of them yesterday. Real quick. I wanted to go look at what the Broncos odds are to win the Super Bowl 11 to 1, which I

22:33was surprised because Stidem was 20 to 1. And I guess let's do the reverse of what we said, would you bet Stidem in this market instead of the Broncos? Oh, I, I would say no. Yeah, me either because they'll look for a reason not to give it to them. They will look for a reason to get to the defense or something like that. Yes. Which then calls into mind a whole not another bunch of players that aren't even listed here. I think he's the one guild that I have everybody pictured if you're watching it. He's the one guy where I'd be like, do not bet this for multiple reasons. All things being equal, it will not go to Stidem. Let's put it that way as opposed to the other quarterback coming back with some tennis stage of elimination bets on a numbers game right here at Beeson. Be sports betting network. Hey, we're getting ready for big game 60 with a big deal to match. Save $60 on a decent pro annual subscription when you sign up using promo code, A N G man

23:36A N G is a numbers game was prepared. Become a decent pro annual subscriber bet smarter all year long with full access to our daily best bets from decent hosting guests real time draft Kings and circuit betting splits. AI powered prop tools and match up analysis 24 seven video and full show replays on the decent watch app plus all our betting guides and expert picks for the Super Bowl and upcoming March madness. Don't miss out on this big game deal. Visit Beeson.com slash subscribe and use promo code A N G. A N G is in a nimble gnome to save 60 save $60 off a decent pro annual subscription today. That's V S I N dot com slash subscribe. The silent G always gets me. Yeah. Never not funny. It's a good one. Let's go to the regular rotation category. Get tweets. Beat in the book. Jason H 11. Good night, Kelly. Good night, Kelly. Good night, John Boy. Apparently, that's how they ended every Walms episode. Oh, yeah. Rich cop row as an old man. I remember little house as well, a contributing factor to its popularity may have been that Michael Landon was very popular with the ladies. Oh, really, was he good for you, Mike?

24:36Yeah, there you go. Brian M says I wouldn't bet it 20 to one, but symptoms two starts in 2022 for Las Vegas versus the Niners and chiefs 365 yards passing against the Niners 219 with 50 yards rushing versus the chiefs. If he does something in the middle and scores a rushing touchdown, he's the MVP. Says Brian Morianne. All right. And Rick Oley, a just woke up and let me preface this by saying that growing up in Indiana fan and IU fan, these last two seasons, it felt like an absolute dream. I've been so emotional since last night that when friends and family called, I, uh, wait, was that a Bella danger? Oh, what was I saying? That was his tweet, nicely done, Rick Oley, I, yeah, what's, sorry, Bobby Getty's. I just watched Marco Otomot's Alpine ski run based on Drew suggestion, despite knowing he finished it. I was literally scared for the guy, nonetheless, ever trying to do something. Nonetheless, never trying to do something like that myself, my God, downhill skiing. And this applies to the Franz Klaumer run in 1976 as well, hurling your body down the

25:42side of a mountain on slippery items that you attach to your feet is just insane. Just when you try to wrap your brain around what you are doing. And these guys and girls are fearless in doing this. It's, it's pure insanity. There's a lot of things, unfortunately, in life, I guess as you get older, like, like, have you done much skiing a ski when I was a kid? Yeah, but it was East Coast skiing. It was like, you know, you grew up in DC. My dad was just not from this country. So he wanted to expose his kids to skiing. So we would go to like, these coasters will love this ski round top and liberty and pencil and the worst, the worst together. So like, my point is, like, have you, like, I have some desire, I guess, to do it again, but it's expensive as hell. And it's kind of like, it's kind of like my golf game, right? Like Drew's talking about, like, how he's going to go with a mammoth this weekend to get ready. It's like, who is the time for that? That's exactly my take on skiing. If I knew that you could shopper me onto the top of the mountain, and I'd be great,

26:47then I would do it over and over and over. Yes, me too. But you mean to tell me, I got to drive hours to wherever the ski is. You get a travel. And then I get the opportunity to pay thousands of dollars to let snow tires, right? Then you get, yeah, then you pay a lot for the lift, for the lift ticket. Then you don't let me on the mountain. Then you got to get up and it takes me up the mountain. The hassle involved in it has never interested me. Yeah, me either. God bless my dad who tried to. Yes, yeah, mine too, and everybody out there. And then God bless true, but yeah, put me on a beach somewhere. Well, and also that's the difference between East Coast and West Coast, right? Like, and then you, after growing up on East Coast's powder skiing, we're like, you're more likely to be skiing on ice than anything. Then you go experience like veil or aspen or anything. Yes. You're just like, this is, this is heaven. Yes, it is incredible. Tahoe, amazing ski, and all that stuff is just incredible. I always envisioned like, we had mammoth once or twice when I was in Canada, we were, I was growing up in LA for a few years. It was one of the pit stops in the young Bidlin journey. But the, like, whatever I hear, mammoth brought up these days,

27:50I'm like, is everybody wishes everybody from LA goes up there? Like, it's the weekend. It's like, yeah, let's go ski. Mammoth must be a zoo. No, I think it's true. It's true in nobody else. That's why he has the old mountain to himself. Corbin, good morning, fellas. Mr. Late night here. I'm just so enthralled, but I'm going to, I'm going to go down in numbers game history as the late night appointment guy couldn't be more proud. And hey, Kelly, it was 1130 at night. Don't shortchange me, all right? Really? Yeah. The butler did it. Carson Beck told reporters he hasn't been attending classes and graduating college in 2023. How is this possible? How is he eligible? You know, it's funny. I don't know about the eligibility and all that stuff, but I would have liked for Carson Beck to at least act like he was going to school. Like he was being asked by a reporter and he was like, I graduated two years ago, I don't care. Yeah, no, I caught that too. I actually, I appreciate the transparency, but yeah, I'm kind of still asking out too. Real quick before we get to 10, it used to be a college basketball thing. Remember, it was like the all I got to do is go to school for the first semester because like it doesn't matter because I'm going to be graduating or I'm going in the first round of the draft.

28:50I don't need to go to class. Maybe if you had attended classes, still, you wouldn't have under thrown that pass. I think I can draw a line. It goes like, Carson Beck said like, what? Like eight years of schooling. That's enough. It's enough. Okay, before we get to the tennis stage of eliminations, Super Bowl look ahead line yesterday. You said you did bet with it. You bet the ramp stations having these up. I laid through the ramps against the Patriots. Now, I was thinking about, we did get that question tweeted us about like the stage of elimination for the Patriots, right? No, not a better bet than this, right? Because Ram's Patriots doesn't occur. This is a, this is a get your money back situation, right? If the Patriots lose, if you bet them stage of elimination to lose in Super Bowl, you still got to get by this week. So yeah, I think better if you've got conviction on one of the NFC teams better to bet into this market, which I did, but really only because the number, right? It's Ram's three versus Seahawks three and a half. I think if the Seahawks were three, I'd be interested in that as well. All right. And then you yesterday, you touched on this, but I don't think we like lingered on enough. You took the blazers season, win total over in the NBA bet that killed him a little

29:54surprise. This hasn't, this hasn't moved more. We got Denny back in the lineup. I really like this. Right. The market respected your bet so much. They stayed right. That's right. Yeah. Exactly. The other night where they were in the middle of a game still and they really hasn't moved since they picked up a win. But yeah, blazers right now are 22 and no, 2022, 22 and 22 cheese. They got to finish 18 and 20 to get this home. So you don't have a finished 500. They got the third easiest remaining strength of schedule. Denny off the back of the lineup drew holiday back line lineup, Jeremy Grant back in the lineup, scoot Henderson possibly still to come, although that's been a little concerning out quiet. So that's been looking all your NBA bets. Look at that. A lot of it not looking good right now. Um, trouble is 13 to six or past 19 games, 13th best net rating in that time, 18th best offense. But the defenses which really come along top 10 defense right now is what we were kind of expecting. Headed into this season. If they were going to play good, uh, play well this season, I really like it with

30:55Klingon kind of anchoring things down there in the back end and what they're able to do on the perimeter. I think this is a team that's headed straight for the plan and they might be a fight for the playoff. So yeah, over 39 and a half, I love that season's got a minus one 15 right now. Here's your Charlotte Hornets win oh meter kelp another one the other day. Kelly's race to 30 for his alt season win total over. That's right. At 16. Appreciate JVT for building it all the way out to 30. It's a beautiful thing. We just got a clear 26 and a half for the win total, but I want that alt money. All right, all right. Let's go country club. Let's do it. Yeah. Oh, we got two close things back there. Poor effort by the group. People drink fake mocktails in the open. Oh, yeah, just called Ben Wilson asked the legit asking what his family drinks. Well, no. All right. Let me do the men's here. We'll get to the ladies on the other side of the men's. These are just stage of elimination at what point matchups will these players be knocked out of the Australian open and is there a bet to be made? Let's start on the on the men's side.

31:56Alexander Bublick who will advance further at the Australian open is the wording on this. Alexander Bublick minus 340 versus our guy Lorenzo Musetti, one Z, by the way, not to at plus 220. Now, despite having Musetti at plus 650 to win his quarter, I don't think there's a bet here. And the reason I don't is because Bublick is appropriately favored. Bublick faces Alex Dima nor the demon in the round of 16 and then would have alchoraz in the quarter. So he's that's probably where he ends. There's Musetti in the round of in the round of six, excuse me, the third round would have Thomas Mahatch and then would have Taylor Fritz in the round of 16 before he meets Joe Kovic in the quarter. So I just think Musetti's climb is that much more difficulty. So I think that one's appropriately priced. I do think there's a bet here, Joe Kovic's minus 155 Medvedev plus one 10 in that matchup. Daniel. I think there's a bet on Medvedev here because Joe Kovic gets Fritz and or Musetti in the quarters and he would have sinner in the semis. He's not beaten sinner.

32:57Whereas Medvedev gets Carlitos in the quarter, excuse me, gets Sasha's verov in the quarters and Carlitos in the semis. I think it's more likely Medvedev advances or you get a tie here. So I would take Medvedev at plus one 10, men sick versus Fonseca. I actually would take a shot at men sick because guess what Fonseca's done. So you can't even bet this anymore. That's out. Taylor. Taylor Fritz minus 250 versus Ben Shelton. I would take Ben Shel. The best one here on the board is Ben Shelton plus 175. This is the best bet of these four because Taylor Fritz is going to have either Musetti or Mahatch in the round of 16 and then Joker in the quarters, not to mention sinner in the semis. Whereas Shelton's first real test is going to be sinner in the quarters who he's not going to be. But I just think there's a pot. There's a world where Fritz doesn't even get to the quarters. So I think you're looking at a tie or a win. That's why I would bet Ben Shelton that plus 175 in that matchup. At the worst, I think you're going to get refunded. Like it. So Ben Shelton plus 175 is the best bet there. Daniel Medvedev against Joker Vitch at plus 110, the second best.

33:58We'll do a few of these for the lady side on the other side. We'll recap all the best as well. On a numbers game at Visa and these sports betting network. Back on a numbers game, we get sweet speed of the book, Brian M. What I'm hearing about skiing from this last segment is Kelly's going water skiing and a hurricane next trip to Florida. Okay. Let's see. That's another one. Even that's less reps, but there's no way it would take me two weeks to try and get up water skiing. You ever done that one? No. I, water skiing never interested me. I tried it like one time. My grandma used to live in a lake, a little lake in the coconut. You got to get the hang of it. Right. Yeah.

34:59You got to get the hang of it. Yeah. Thomas O'Toole. A lot of people go to college for seven years. Like Carson Beck. Yeah. They're called doctors. Mm-hmm. Yeah. Okay, Carson. I did five. Before we recap the bets and before we go into the the women's side of this, can we show that who will advance further at the Australian open men's graphic once again that we were dealing with the last segment because I would like to put this forward as Kelly Bidlin's finest word. Let's just go through this Lorenzo Musetti's misspelled with two Zs. Yeah. Novak Jokovic missing the minus in front of his 155. Yeah. Yeah. He's the favorite there. I'm sorry about that. And Yaku Mensik, not only missing the minus in front of the 200, but also against the player who's already been knocked out of the tournament already. Yeah. Well, that one's unfilled because didn't fun Seika happen during the show this morning? No, it happened last night. Yeah. Yep. Just that then. Yeah. All right. Let's recap the bets before. It's good having daddy's help. That's right. Yeah. At some point he's just going to tell me to not help anymore. It's not very helpful when you're to make those mistakes.

36:00How about a fresco? Well, I know the wins. I know why it will laugh his ass off at this. The Lorenzo Musetti, it's, it's, it's, there's one, there's one city name that I struggle with a lot spelling was Cincinnati with the ends in the T's. And then two ends one T. Yeah. And the Musetti's kind of throwing that at me with the S's in the T's. So clearly I was focused in on that. I screwed up Lorenzo real quick on the, on the lady side of this five, five different matchups. Again, best bets on that men's side. Ben Shelton plus 175 in my opinion filed by Medvedev and plus 110 in their respective matchups on the lady side. Um, not as much here. I don't think there's a bet in the anisimova undraval one. I think that's properly priced. Anisimova's mind is 200 to advance further than Mira undrava. Um, why because an isimova has Pagula in the quarter. She has no scova in the round of 16. Oh, I think they'll, I think she'll beat, although Zach and Drew like no scova, um, just

37:01in general. But you got an isimova has Pagula in the quarters, whereas and Drava has to play either Schneider or Svitalin in the round of 16 and then Cocoa or Mohova in the quarters. I just think it's more likely that and Drava gets knocked out before that. So I don't think there's a bet there. Sabelaga's minus 250 over Ega, the great Ega Shfion tech at plus 175. I think that's correctly priced because Ega got the worst of the draw, right? She's got a Soca in the round of 16, Benchutra, Rybacca in the quarters, not to mention that an isimova or Pagula in the semis, whereas Sabelaga, I mean, her road to the semis is kind of clear. So that has to be priced that way. So I don't think there's a bet there, uh, Cocoa's minus 125 versus Elena, Rebacca, who's minus 110, I think that's kind of properly priced because I think both of these ladies are susceptible to an upset in the round of 16 Cocoa to Mohova. Perhaps Rebacca in a to Benchutra, not to mention in the quarters where Cocoa would have to play on Drava, Rebacca would have to play Osaka or Svitalin tech. So I don't think I think that's properly priced.

38:01It's kind of a coin flip. Here's where I do think there are two bets, these two last ones. I think Jesse Pagula at minus 125 is a play over Jasmine Paulini, because Paulini, as we just alluded to, she's going to have to play Sabelaga in the quarters. Jesse Pagula, most likely quarterfinal opponent is Amanda Nisimova. Pagula, much more likely to beat an isimova than Paulini is to beat Sabelaga. So I think the bet is Pagula minus 125. And again, at worst, you get a refund at worst, you get a tie. Maddie keys minus 155 versus Victoria and Boko. I know it's a lot to lay on Maddie keys, the defending champion here. But Maboko has Sabelaga in the round of 16. So like that's her, that's her wall. She'd have to pull off a major upset to get past that, whereas keys has Pagula in the round of 16. She probably loses to Jesse Pagula, quite frankly, in my opinion, but at the very least, you get a tie. So I do think in the case of both Pagula is wildly different for those matches. Right. And that's the thing.

39:03And so I think the, because you're dealing with a refund is a possibility here, right? It's to advance further. I think Pagula and keys in those last two respective matchups are plays because I think the worst that will happen is you will get your money. Yeah, I like it. I like those. I like these markets. Yeah, it's cool. Thanks for putting it all. It only took us like eight years or seven years or whatever, of reading trafficking's markets like this for us not to start off everyone staring at the odds and being like one 25 and 110. Yeah. No, very true. Remember how you think we couldn't get past that point before having a conversation about these. Oh, talking of money lines. Yeah, we're just like, there's minus one 25, oh, minus what. God. Yeah, still think that'll be the numbers guys on Twitter. Hi, Gaili. Great show. Thank you. Approximately what time do your picks get updated on the site for tennis tonight? I got them in last night. And Kelly is the golf podcast going this time of year. Yep, started back up last week, long shots, it's called long shots. It will be resuming tomorrow for the MX as we await West Reynolds triumphant return.

40:07Is it triumphant return? Kids, kids been on tour with a grateful desk last month. So when's days to start? We'll be back on Tuesday's next week. Uh, the tennis picks to answer your question will come up. I mean, this show ends at 10. I got some stuff to do, but I will have it out by at the latest. One, two PM Pacific, so four, five PM Eastern, uh, at least a couple of hours before the matches begin and, um, yeah, that's, and again, if they're in Australia, this is going to be the routine because I haven't handicapped them quite yet. But by the way, Zach and I were texting last night, where's the schedule? You know, because they didn't even put the schedule for the second round yet, right? The first round they have the schedule for the first three days. But then once these matchups are made, you would think that they would produce the second round schedule quicker. But like I was, I couldn't, I wanted to handicapped some of these last night, but I just didn't know which matches were going to be, you know, at what time. So anyway, long story short, they should be up within three, four hours for now. Here are the plays again.

41:07Once again, I'll just a recap of the bedroom yesterday. There you go. Miami plus eight and a half hits Indiana win the college football playoff at 10 to one hits. Miami to make the college football playoff before that at plus 451 hits. It was a college football scoop fest for young Gilly. We done good. The only NFL play I have for this week. So for Broncos, plus five and a half years of the Patriots, I like many believe that that line, the pendulum on that line swung a bit too far from bone next to Jarrett's dinner, not saying it should move a lot. It should, but not quite that much. I, I guessed four on guessing lines the other day. Kelly. Yeah. NBA tonight rockets laying three and a half spurs rockets under two twenty three and a half still like it at two twenty one and a half. Timberwolves laying ten and a half still like it at 12 Kings plus two and a half in the money line. You can get better number of the me right now, three and a half out there. And then the trailblazers over 39 and a half wins NFL for me this week. So far, I played the under in Ramsey, Hawks.

42:10I have the sea ox six to one to win the NFC. I don't know what I'm doing with the thing. I'm just going to let it ride at this point. And then I did bet that hypothetical look ahead. Graham's laying three against the Patriots. I like it. By the way, I should mention about the tennis picks. We feel like where where are you putting up the tennis picks, uh, Vsyn.com slash picks for Vsyn pro subscribers. Vsyn pro subscribers. Again, we always talk about how you can subscribe. Go to the website, um, but that's how you will get my tennis picks, Zach's tennis picks. Everybody's pick every host, every guest, every sport. All there at Vsyn.com slash picks, Jake Han, NHL tonight, Blue Jack. It's money line versus the senators lightening on the puck line, minus one and a half goals versus the sharks stars. The Dallas stars in regulation bet minus 105 versus the Bruins. And then the props get an interest you in a proposition. It's never a prop Jake. Uh, Tampa Bay, Nikita Kutcher off two plus points, minus 120. Edminton's Connor McDavid two plus points of minus one 30. Those two players, he pretty much bets every game out.

43:12It seems like, uh, Blue Jack, it's Kent Johnson one plus point and over one and a half shots on goal. Minnesota wild two plays Ryan Hartman over two and a half shots on goal at plus one 10 and then Vladimir Tarrasenko over two and a half shots on goal at plus one 65. Big juice on that one. And then the Boston Bruins Victor Arvid sin over two and a half shots on goal at plus 105. And then your guy Jimmy Snuggler road of the blues over two and a half shots on goal at plus 126. All of that from Jake Khan in the national hockey league tonight. Jim Root, college hoops, seat and all three road teams, seat and all plus nine and a half at St. John's Texas tech minus two at Baylor tonight and Michigan state minus 10 and a half at Oregon from one of the three three man. We've guys drew Dinsick T. Wolves minus 12 and a half of the jazz in the NBA tonight warriors without Jimmy Butler. Now who blew out his knee warriors minus three and a half versus the Raptors and the Kings plus three and a half versus the heat. He's got the heat rated way low in his NBA rankings. And then Jeff Erickson Evan Ingram over two and a half receptions and Ramanter Stevenson over 48 and a half rushing yards in the AFC championship.

44:18And then the NFC championship Kenneth Walker under 86 and a half rushing yards, Kyron Williams over 53 and a half rushing yards from Jeff Erickson for Roto wire. And then Paul cars champions league bets today, Copenhagen and Napoli over two and a half goals at plus 105. You can get a better bit of juice, better bang for your buck currently. And then tomorrow, Barcelona, give it up the goal and a half at Slavya Praga and buy our Munich over three and a half goals against San Gila's from Belgium. You always go. Loy see. Say galoyzy. Saint Galo union. Saint Galoisie. There you go. Three from Paul car. We've done all we can do. Enjoy prop points is next with John Hansen from Visa. These sports betting network.