A Numbers Game | January 2, 2026 | Hour 2

0:00The numbers told the story now is now swandles idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gill I like Xander gone. V sent our number two of a numbers game at V sent these sportsmen and we're facing calm game plus I hard radio YouTube TV. Of course, here's XM channel 158 is Gill Alexander Kelly behind the glass. Because Frederick Fridays is about to happen. We get tweets of being a book though. What I get through some of these y'all are the best. This is from Gizzy. Is it Gizzy or 1344 says Gill good luck with the head chest cold. I've had three different meds then just gave up finally getting better since November 7th though. I feel great. I'm just three day thing in and out, but I appreciate it. By the way shout out Jay Sullivan in Boston who heard me struggling with my cold a couple days ago and he he Amazon's me four boxes of puffs with VIX Vaporub inside the tissue. You know that brand that they have. Thank you Jay. It's like that nicest thing ever just sends me tissues from Boston max. Right. Signati definitely chat from weird science. That's his comparison. John Massey. How does the NFL not know their own

1:02tie breakers and isolates the quote unquote NFC South title game on Saturday. When if Tampa wins, the division is still dependent on a Sunday game. They did not anticipate that at all. But I guess I guess you're right. They knew that before they put that game on Saturday. You're right. I mean, it doesn't really make sense at this point. But I guess they had to come up with two on Saturday. So that one had more relevance than the others, I suppose. He says with a question mark. Colin Murphy. You're on point with Gatorade takes today. Cool blue will forever takes like a hangover and or illness and glacier cherry is the top dog Kelly. I saw third. I blinded a couple years ago. They were awesome. Paulie looks like Brent Venables. He says Jeffrey S. DeVore Kyle Trass now with Atlanta. One play away from being the quarterback that don't that can also keep Tampa from making the playoffs. Thank you for that, Jeffrey. Jett O'Connor. Last year, Big Game Sam had to play top 10 defenses on the road. He may have fell flat on his face. But this year, he gets a porous 9ers D. They should be able to get what they want on offense as long as Kubiac doesn't suffer from major

2:04shrinkage. Johnny Ringo, holding onto a plus four 50 on Steve Fezak being the first dumb button of the new year, please bring Starbucks food up. Thanks in advance. Happy new year. Old that thought, Johnny Ringo and JC as a Bay Dessery. And I'm going to need you to be a little more pro-9ers, Gil. Happy New Year's, fellas. Okay. I'll work on it in Bluehead and Bell. A Bluehead bill. When I've got a cold and I can't stand the I can't stand that my ears are clogged on stage. And I can't tell if I'm low talking or screaming because I can't hear what I'm saying. Oh, yeah, that's a thing. I get that with the airplane too. Ladies and gentlemen, based on that tweet from Johnny Ringo, where he, uh, he says, please bring Starbucks food up. Seems like a good time to bring Fezak in for Fezak Fridays. Let's do it. Whether it's at the sportsbook or anywhere else in the casino, he's always helping us find an edge. It's time for Fezak Fridays. As if on cue, proud sponsor of the show Starbucks. You got yourself a big old Starbucks today. Right here, Todd, go get one vanilla sweet cream cold brew from Starbucks. I like it with the

3:10vanilla foam, which adds 150 calories and a little hack. I also will go ahead after I drink a little bit of it. I've got with the little espresso that I buy from the store and I'll pour in an espresso on top of it. Todd is legitimately mad at you for it's shocker for introducing this to him because he will tell you that he has an eating disorder and now he can't stop having these. Great. It's 130 calories. You can have like 14 of them. Just don't eat. He might have 14 of them as the problem. Great. Don't eat anything else. Hey, shout out, Stormy made a big case for Starbucks and even their food. She was not happy with your original take on Starbucks food. Well, I pretty much agree. Whenever Stormy argues with JVT, yeah. I consider myself to be the most unbiased person in the world, but let's just say there Stormy's crush on JVT last year in these debates. Steve Fesik, everybody right here on the numbers game at Fesik Sports. Follow at your

4:11own peril. Hey, can we talk about your let's let's be serious for a second here. You are in what place in circa millions tied for 17th tied for 17th. If you were to finish seven trouble, if you were to finish 17th, what's the money on that? I don't know. 30,000. A pittance as you would say. You know, and I lost. I don't want to complain because I've run good. Yeah. I lost the bills as you know, and then I lost the bears. Now the bears was a coin flip, but the bills was right there. Yeah. That was rough. Okay. So what's the how many points behind the leader are you five? So I'm okay. I'm done. You're not going to win it. But if I if I could roll a five and oh, I could certainly still finish top five. I'm still, you know, it's cluttered. The board's very, very congested. So is there a strategy for you here or like do you so in a normal week of this or week seven, you would play the five that you would normally play based on however you're normally playing stuff. What's the strategy here in the final week knowing that you're in this position?

5:11You're spot on. And there is a lot of reasons to do different strategies. But you know, last time I did this, it's like Westman Stratton came on and the visa invitationally, he's like, oh, based upon what physics I think it was taking, I'm going to do this. Right. So I'm not going to disclose. So you're not going to disclose it, which is the proper answer because the other 16 probably aren't on and shout out to Weston for maybe he's he's absolutely correct. Yeah, advantage of that. Yes. But there's a you have a general take on this, which I think is pretty interesting, which you're saying. So as the years have gone, I went gone on, whether it's survivor, but in these millions contest, whether it's a here at Circo or Westgate, who of course, did their super contest for many, many years before, the more people that are in this, what's been the impact? You say the major impact on you here. Oh, well, it depends what place you're in, of course, right. But but they're hits a point where see back in 2008, when I was competing against three people and my mom's attic, you know, there's so few people in these contests, it was

6:11so easy to win and no one cared about CLV and like see boys and girls, that's Steve mocking the people who mock him. Just wanted to translate. Right, but the truth is that everyone just picked who they liked. So if they like the Packers, they didn't care what the point spread is they just pulled Packers and just submitted on Friday. And so now what's happened is that there's so many and this is happening with survivor also that the level of play has risen so much that, you know, when when everyone is chasing the CLV, let's say you're a little bit out of the money, you should take the five best players and go Oppo because, you know, if you if you if you go five, I know you're going to move up to like 80th place, it's not going to mean anything. You're better off just throwing a Hail Mary and you can move up severely if there's a lot of upsets versus, you know, the consensus place. Yeah, or as you put it another at another time, I was trying to find your exact quote, um, contests with with more and more entries makes sense, but the problem is it forces you to play less and less optimally. Is which yeah, so that pursuant to survivor, why not have a 500 entries

7:16in survivor. It's plus EV. Well, the problem is if you tie with yourself, it hurts you. So you have to take different navigation paths and each path becomes progressively slightly less optimal and difficult to keep track of and the like, it's fascinating. We're obviously six people left shout out to to Jeff Benson and Derek Stevens and what a tremendous survivor. It's the greatest contest, the greatest contest ever. So there's six guys left. I already know who they're all going to take. So we broke it down the other day. Oh, interesting. We have that graphic you can show FES also because it's it's it's pretty clear. Jacksonville, the guy who has Jacksonville has Jacksonville, the guy who has New England has Cincinnati and then the other four have different there's only there's there's there's four dudes that are all going to like they're going to have islands and then two guys are going to wind up taking Minnesota because I believe because they're going to say, well, one guy has to take Atlanta out. But one guy does have to take it away. But two guys are going to have to choose between Atlanta and Philly and one guy can be on an island in

8:17Washington, but he'll correctly. I'm sure he'll do the work and it'll be like, you know what, having an island when there's three people left and I can scoop the whole thing is great, you're not going to scoop. Jacksonville's probably not going to lose. You know, New England's probably not going to lose the point is here you go. Steve, here's here's here's these are the this from our earlier survivor segment from earlier in the week. You'll see these are the six. These are now we went full. This is from from K flow K florens one on Twitter. These are all the teams that are available to the remaining six entrants in circuit survivor. As you'll see the bottom person real bro three Jacksonville is their play. They're the only one with Jacksonville left and then the where's the then number two there Gary A 10 they're the only one with New England left. So those are the green check marks for those two and then you're going to get a Cincinnati and you're going to get an Atlanta you got Atlanta up top. That's his only play right Dylan W 10 but the three there the juicy juicy kooch seven kick your knees up one in parts one nine. I guess it's a choice Atlanta versus Minnesota. I guess well, Minnesota is an eight point

9:17favorite. Of course they're going to take Minnesota. They're not going to go all the way to the end and take a three point five favorite when they got an eight. Well, see now you're putting on your Stevie Fesick braid and what's clear to you is not necessarily clear to others. I'll bet you even money that that's going to be the distribution right now. I don't know these people. I'm not betting you. I'm just telling you that I don't know your way too sure about other people's behavior. Right, but so so what I would bet is I would bet it's going to be New England Jacksonville Cincinnati Atlanta and two Minnesota's right now I would bet even money against anyone by the way obviously if you if you have one of these entries you're going to go not take Minnesota the only question is the two people will they both take Minnesota will one of them go rogue and it's possible they go rogue used to you still play in Max Prozmer right. I mean I didn't miss that part the I don't know is is nine possibly going to play as McCarthy possibly maybe I don't know what the lady I think McCarthy might play me may play I think you I think you I think you actually 60 percent. Let me just ask you the last thing about Contas because I don't want to talk about the college football quarters next segment but you're right someone could go rogue someone could absolutely go rogue these I mean come on people like islands they like to be on an island but the island

10:20isn't going to help you're not going to be able to win you're not going to be able to scoop there's too many other islands some islands are prettier than others yes you know three hour tour St. Bartz is more beautiful than Montserrat pardon me to the folks in Montserrat who are listening real quick circus survivor you in past years have jumped in late to invest in some and advise invest and advise in some folks who are down late you know who are alive late I was with you for a lot of that you were a mess going through this to go you know telling the advising frustrated by what what what your opinion was that was taken that was adopted and some that weren't maybe not frustrated but just as a whole lot of where a whole lot of stress and that's what I mean I guess stress question is are you thrilled that you weren't involved in that oh absolutely because I was already sick the past week and you know what everything crashes and birds burns the gathering the clouds and then the clouds burst you've got the holidays you've got the commitments then you've got your other contest and you've got survivor and it's like multi millions of dollars

11:22and it's like and you're doing your normal work and it's like they're equinox of December and it's just so hard yeah apologies to Montserrat by the way I've been there uh through them under the bus yeah I know they had a volcano excursion you robbed I shouldn't for ourselves and not very pretty either what's that for a cell oh really yeah yeah you took down somebody else come on steve more of a phesic on the other side it's a numbers game of feast in these sports betting network you're here because you want an edge that's what separates listeners from winners but let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools the data and the discipline and now so can you visa programs you access to the same real time insights the sharps use no secrets no fluff just actionable info that moves markets tap the link and see why serious betters are turning knowledge into profit with visa in pro

12:26a numbers game on phesan these sports betting network start the new year off as a better better that's EROR with the visa pro subscriptions final week say 50% off the regular monthly price with our holiday special sign them now get visa pro access through May 1st for just 79 dollars including daily best bets real time betting slits from draft kings and circa a i-powered prop tools and 24 seven video on the visa watch app covering everything from the college football playoffs and NFL playoffs to march madness and the masters plus you'll receive our college football playoff betting guide complete with expert brackets the mechanics power ratings cfb and bold best bets and previews for every bowl game start the new year with an edge go to visa.com slash subscribe that's vsin.com slash subscribe pardon me that's you that out by the way we have deep thoughts with Chris Foster back there behind the glass not happy with your curious south slander let me just split that out interesting i mean it's it's a beautiful the ocean's beautiful the ocean and there's actually like a little fort restaurant that was spectacular hey it's been

13:30you know what it's been 30 years since i've been there so it's been a long time since i've been in a rubah to when i was in a rubah a rubah had to well there's other things but a rubah had there's two problems with the rubah the wind to write the the tree is the bone beanie tree right they have so much wind on the on the beach that it's tough to deal with and at that time they had the second largest like desalination plant in the world so if you got so much as a drop of water in your eye from the ocean you spent like five minutes rubbing out your yes you know i just remember the culture being such so relaxed like i would go to dinner and dinner was supposed to be like an hour and a half and i want to eat like in 20 minutes so like i would i would literally they'd bring my entree and it's like can you bring the check because i knew i wouldn't get it for another 40 minutes enjoy the enjoy it looked at me like who is this gringo american crazy guy we get we get tweets at beat in the book i'm not sure they would say gringo there but that's another yeah billy charlie boss spot on jvt staffer it has beaten seattle san francisco jacks of ill and houston drake may lost to the raiders and is maybe one quality win mvp to staffered this from a seahawks fan that's billy

14:35charlie boss chiming in once again uh this is from let's see here oh sorry uh this from joe c714 oh let me let me save that one for you here's one more before then jason kine tr h golfer says i'd like to make the following motion to amend the bylaws of the beating the book contests the megapod the guest chair can be deemed the champion if their winning percentage is the highest the regular host can only be identified as the vision winner if their winning percentage is not higher than the guest chair jason it's adopted i know i tell i tell Todd it's his podcast but it's a dictatorship Todd is the to lane champion you know hey that's right congratulations to lane you made it all right i got two questions on twitter for you sir uh money gun guzz who's ahead of you and billy love the money gun guzz he's been kicking button millions he was like i think he and everyone else was like 14 games ahead of me i was below 500 in this thing he's in the top 10 right now i believe i think i think yeah he's right there yeah uh he says can you ask fez bankroll no problem for me sitting in ninth place ninth place what would he say is a good bet per game if i'm going

15:38opposite of my millions plays thank you right so he's a like like i just said the my my like as 17th place i'm like at 30,000 i think he's at a hundred thousand okay yeah so that's a one only one game difference so you could make a case you know each game is probably worth um you know up or down the money scale maybe 50,000 so you could make a case about 25,000 would be where you'd be about think about that if if you were in money gun guns guns position you said all right i'm i'm gonna hedge and i bet 25,000 on the first game do you want to lose or win that first game i think you still want to win it i think 25,000 would be a slightly inadequate hedge slightly inadequate hedge yeah but it depends on what everyone else plays if you play what everyone else is playing then you don't even need the hedge you know if if if in a bizarre world where everyone would play a game yes it's tough with five games though right yes i like to figure out that but but off the top of my head at least 25,000 if you're wanted to just be totally indifferent to whether you

16:39win and not and you know what's the abrum sort of that great book um but how much did you lose is the name of the book and he talks about this but you don't have to hedge the whole way you can just throw 10,000 on the opposite of the games you know if you want to go ahead and monetize some of your standing here's a great question i'd like to know the answer to this as well joe c714 southern california says with all the changes starting in 2026 is Caesar's diamond still worth it yes because well i haven't reviewed all the changes but as long as you can go to the Bahamas for free is that still a thing that's that was still a thing this year that like like but boom if you're a platinum you can go and stay at the Bahamas um not at the at at the exclusive tower but but like just getting a free vacation especially if you're on the east coast how nice is that just go down the Bahamas and um you know sleep there and take take a take an uber over to Bahar mar and hang out there for the day and in the water parks very nice there uh the other the other one was a fake

17:41phesic question was can you ask phesic if you could do the evie math for us regarding the upside app that's a commercial for uh that's uh that's for another day for the gas uh yeah no it's i just a joke question all right here's so i want to ask you about the college football playoff yesterday um first about just the number of teams in it 12 teams your thoughts on expansion so i remember when we had two teams people like oh it's gonna ruin it to go to four you know people love the status quo we used to have no teams right people love the status quo they always argue against change they're like old man get off the lawn like and i get it the NBA has a couple too many teams in the playoffs because they have more than half the teams making the playoffs but in general it's almost always correct when you have when you're expanding and the vast majority of teams are still missing the playoffs it's almost always correct in baseball or the NCAA tournament to do the expansion and this year really illustrated it if b-y-u beats texas tech i am a florida don't get in well not only vamp and Notre Dame doesn't get in an old miss might like if there was a scenario where a lot of right

18:45yeah right so because of that like this is the year you could say you know what obviously we should have minimum standards no one wants to see poor little james madison getting getting pounded like i do against taught on the tennis court you know leaf stevy out of the tennis playoffs but but like take your top 16 teams and you want to put the little guys in say look you gotta be in the top 20 it's really true and again let's make a distinction between basketball and and football what we love about basketball what we love about march madness is in the first weekend the first two rounds we love the Cinderella ups Loyola right we love and see it and in basketball the nature of basketball is such that a fundamentally sound team that can shoot the threes right can beat a far more talented team if you want a fundamentally unsound team can make their threes like that and see state teams or the or the better team can miss their it just it can happen right the university of dating with Roosevelt Chapman who couldn't play a lick made the the elite eight he could play but he was a you know he was a good college player nothing football is a different

19:49animal right we acknowledge that you can't go 64 deep on this i mean you could but it'd be stupid right right but to your point there is a sweet spot that i don't think we've got to and i think the sweet spot is 16 because and i made this point when we were when i was you know i bet Miami on Cal sheet to make the playoffs that hit it plus 450 and part of my reasoning was the games have to matter right it was all thing and finally it did and that was awesome for those who bet that however none of them should have like Notre Dame should have been in there right all these teams BYU probably should have been in there and as long as you only and i get it people are going to say yeah but you know you're going to debate then who the 17th team is okay but my point was at the time in college basketball how long do we actually spend debating the 69th team we spent maybe a bit and a half doing it right but an eight seed can win the tournament and and and this year like Notre Dame could have won the tournament that's right the number 17 team in the country cannot win the tournament so i guess what i'm saying is the more the difference between 12 and 16 is

20:51that debate will minimize right obviously 69 and basketball i'm just using it as an example as an extreme the debate the length of that debate will minimize to an extent there's still be some debate over which you know 17 versus 16 like who is the team that got snubbed but it won't be nearly as ferocious as it is now by the way why can't we have more than one of these games at the Rose Bowl it's clearly the best venue it is glorious it's just so stupid that we would like like like like how games and New Orleans and Atlanta instead of having multiple games week after week at the Rose about West Reynolds Indiana fan right this is and i said this earlier with Kelly this story about Indiana football cannot be stressed enough how unbelievable this is you know it's funny as i've got this longstanding disagreement with a Scott Seinberg who brings up some great points of like way down the Heisman all these guys sucked this year versus prior years and the like no one's going to remember who won the Heisman auction trail will remember if indiano wins

21:52the national championship oh yeah i said Larry bird 1979 and he only made the finals so it's right indiana makes the finals everyone will remember mendoza because this this little tiny big ten sweet program indiana basketball school this is this is crazy i can see to see Alan Boston's head exploding because he always says you know the indiana like like in basketball he would say like the University of Dayton can never be a top 10 team they're not a good enough program and i'm sure he would do that with indiana who'd say they can't win the national championship i mean because they're indiana they're no good yeah it's just an amazing story it's literally the most losses in college football history hadn't one that hadn't won the big 10 since 1945 the big games were two big games to beat per two again they were they they were a participation team in the big 10 that's what they were until dignity arrived this isn't great and they now they are two games away from being the not only the national champion a 16 and oh national nice people you go to Michigan

22:53the throwing car batteries on you as you're coming out on the field versus an indiana like do well play well today you know yeah nice people uh steve he's going to join us for one more he wants to talk about curvy smart from yesterday's Georgia game he's got thoughts on that and uh some other vagacy thoughts as well steve phesic in studio on a numbers game in visa he sports betting network back on the numbers game live from circle resort casino downtown Las Vegas kill Alexander with uh phesic Fridays a little early today from steve phesic at phesic sports on twitter can we agree on something before we move on here the best commercial on tv is that state farm commercial with that uh with that dude who's uh he says behold my majestic stride sorcery i love that guy

23:54go are you okay i am not you'll text me last week are you okay to come on the show i need you i'm like i am not i am not all right um can you uh can you give us some picks for god sakes all this other stuff we're talking about can you give us some action let's let's do one best but let's just give a winner all right okay so first time ever on a ng 10.3 team NFL teaser first time i like ties lose but you know what ain't gonna tie because we are only gonna play these when we have half points spread so uh used in my 10 half down to my side half uh they're gonna win kill uh new wingwood my 10 half down to my side half they'll win also uh-huh and Denver my 12 and half down to my two and half they'll win as well interesting you didn't go to Jacksonville i did not go to Jacksonville because Jacksonville has inflated because they're friend the good doctor yeah uh-oh am i getting trouble i think he likes Jacksonville and that spread went from 12 and after 13 and half and we're not gonna lay my three and a half with the 10 point teaser so Jacksonville qualified

24:59earlier in the week in fact i gave it to my clients before the good doctor released them by the way the good doctor he's referring to is doctor bob not an actual physician um the doctor bob or our buddy bob pretty much universally by the people that i know consider doctor bob they consider Billy Walters to be like like number one amount right rush more sports betting hall fame yeah slam dog all right and then number two the people that i know yeah would put man they put doctor bob like on the top it's certainly top eight he should be in the hall of fame he should be in the hall yeah i mean roxy yeah it's past but but i mean how many people like literally bring all these hall of fame bookmakers to their knees like what's going on why are we losing so much money because doctor bob quietly is is picking 60 percent in college football for an uh-for a two year period by the way there are four bowl games the last four bowl games you know besides the semi-finals are today bob does not have any bets on them he does not have any strong opinions on them he has two

26:00leans do you like me to give you the leans sure he leans navy and he leans the under in the rice game which is the first of the four games today leans or we start time don't get don't get shut out so so let me address navy and army i am so stupid every year i realize at the end of your house stupid i am all right and so for years i was stupid because i didn't bet the army navy game to go under 51 now it's like 37 right because they they run the stupid option which is a terrible off it's like a bad chess opening like anyone who knows the opening can stop it but when you don't know the opening you get checkmated because you haven't seen it before all right so like you play army navy under but now the words that well the armed forces for whatever reason i didn't get the memo you bet on there there are no opt-outs so with all this n-i-l and people leaving and and the portal you bet army you bet navy you bet air force you bet the coast guard i don't care you know you bet on the on the service academy in the bowl game and look at what happened army steams from a dog to minus eight navy steams from a dog to minus seven and like like like

27:05the good doctor still likes leans the navy leans yeah but but my point is like like like what's that movie die hard the greatest Christmas movie ever it's like i'm over here knocking told me and they're turning this point spread into swiss jeez and he back up now bet army now okay enough by the way sorry someone is murdering rick olie is murdering you on twitter he says feds repping the cubs city connect jerseys day it's gonna be a great year it's such a great call what you're wearing that is the cubs city cubs go hey chicago what do you say cubs gonna lose today okay Kirby smart yes today i talked about this in the first segment third and goal at the six with let me get this right with 56 seconds left third and goal when oh hold on let me get this right no no no no no no no no no no no yeah third and goal the six with 104 left oh dear all miss has no timeouts left a feel goal ties it a touchdown wins it third and goal the six is

28:05remember the previous play they lost three yards so six yards is a little so again it obviously optimally you score touchdown you go ahead the other way to do this is though you if you're going to get a feel a little to tie this and force over time you want to take as much time off the clock as possible six yards is a little dicey though right gotta gotta throw a screen to a wide receiver that's what i said or quarterback draw one or the other that's right because you need tick tick tick and and again you know what's interesting so we have we have a secret chat you me pod will hill and the bear felica and what's interesting is we disagree on everything non sports related right whether it be South American naval policies or midwestern health health care and daycare but we agree yes we do everything yeah everything and like people are like i hear this all the time like oh if you were actually on the sideline you would just freeze up it would be everything would to have ball crap it's obvious no why because we watch every game every one of us in that situation

29:10we're like yeah you gotta keep the clock running it's like it's just it's just like like it like sharp fifth grader knows this is such a brutal mistake but but Kirby smart who's a really good coach in his great compared to his peers he missed it all right and and for the life of me i can't understand billion dollar billions of dollars are at stake here why can't they just higher will hill they're not paying them enough at visa and get him to tell them what that to do on these plays by the way there is i i may be wrong about this but i didn't hear one person at bay stream media questioning that decision and not and and and and the announcers never get everything the announcers have no clue you know in terms of what they're doing not to be fair to Kirby if he hadn't been successful on his fake pont he would have gotten thrown under the bus it's amazing how he did get thrown under the bus for incorrectly going for it on the fourth down and two from his 28 but if that fake pont had failed they'd be calling for his head but because it succeeded yeah no one says

30:11anything and people are make fun of that lateral yet at the end of the game which caused me money because I had a live plus three not will me oh you me you had me the last time by the way that the horrible thing about that is the ball like the laws of physics like the my cousin Vinnie the laws of physics cease to exist the ball is heading for the two yard line and then like makes a left hand turn and just nicks the pilot are they would have said it's out at the point when you're like um but the um what point is what is this euth the euths yeah they were the what's the euths um the um are you sure uh but but the bottom line is the fact that he tried this very clever old music city miracle type of lateral yeah like like every other coach is too dumb to have a he's he had that play in his back pocket it's the perfect like on of course it went horribly wrong but at least he at least he tried uh one more thing here I want to talk about because otherwise if if I leave you more time you're gonna like talk about cheap trick the 70s rock band because I know you love them so much um is all right daddy is all right it's just a little weird so sorry everybody

31:16the vagus vice says this mgm let's go back to casinos mgm is introducing a highly exclusive invite only side tier known as the fountain club this will be for high uh spending guests who may not be traditional high roller gamblers but instead spend significant money on dining hotel sweets and entertainment um Las Vegas locally adds mgm resorts figuring out how to reward and keep a growing demographic of Las Vegas visitors who spend a lot on money on you know luxury hotel sweets restaurants special events like formula one but don't gamble enough to be considered a quote unquote high rollers so I don't want anyone to get mad at me because I'm wrong in about a lot of things what and I'm a dumbo and I played a terrible in survivor can we rack that by the way as Roe would say by by the way quick aside um so George I love George is part of the hammer network of that I don't like but he did like a 22 minute video on survivor it's phenomenal it's the best

32:16video you'll ever see did it with club who I don't like but he's got a survivor or cbs the survivor it's on it's on survivor in general but circus survivor they focused on and club I think finished 10th which got him zero money that was on that was unfortunate for him but he played optimally imperfectly um but um so that so that's fantastic so do check that out on hammer network um see the guy that took the commanders gets down yes which is clearly the like was the correct way the highest equity agree and he did just quite great the guy he should beautifully he's wanted before he sees these agree he's got 60 entries though so um but going back to this this was my idea I can show you the documentation I've been saying this for like the last year that what the problem with Vegas is if you're not a VIP gambler with your diamond card or your win black card you're nothing so when you go and you check in a hotel you gotta wait an hour to get to get your room if you're not a gambler well what they need to do is they need to recognize that the person that goes to the clubs and gets the ace of spades for four hundred dollars and goes to all the concerts and the Celine Dion when she was performing and it's spending

33:20all and the Bruno Mars and it's spending all this money and going to all the restaurants and no boo they need to have a separate fountain club tier for a person like that because they get treated like a second-class citizen but yet they're making the casino so much money so I know that some the the vice presence of operations don't agree with a lot of what I might say but they're wrong they should every casino should have been doing this for years like you have a person spending all that money they should never be waiting in line to check in there should be they should go I would imagine the VIP check-in I would imagine it's massively offensive to those people that they don't have these kind of privileges exactly these slot these these slot-playing grannies are like cutting in line going to the VIP check-ins while they have to wait an hour to get to the rooms terrible Steve moved by MGM Steve Fezig everybody thank you Steve appreciate it all was a pleasure an hour earlier to stay on Fezig Fridays can we be back in the chair on the other side we'll continue the whip around and more little tennis too it's a numbers game at the sports betting network

34:31a numbers game on Fezig the sports betting network back on numbers game live from circle resort casino downtown Las Vegas Nevada Gill Alexander and back in his chair now that Fez is gone it's Kelly hello Kalei by the lawn those who don't know the spell's name Kalei by the lawn we get tweets me to the book James fraction says hello hello James how you doing at action and action subtraction Tronsky hey Gill glad to hear you're on the men and turning the corner worst take this morning Fezig saying that all college football playoff games should be played in the Rose Bowl why hold on to tradition in horrible places like Miami New Orleans Atlanta Dallas giant i-roll did he say every game or just more games at the Rose Bowl i thought he said catch that yeah i think he said just more games i don't think he said every game he said every game that you're right bluehead bill oh i did ask him this he's asked the heavy how he felt about the third and goal play at the end of the game before the snap i thought it should be a run and if they didn't score run the clock down and likely a shirt tie the past left the past left too much time on the clock it's a verb on one of the very first things i said on the show this morning

35:34you can blast Kirby smart for for the going for it fourth and two in their own territory which according to Kirby wasn't really in design to do that but to me the third and goal at the six i said top of the show you got to throw a wide-out screen at that point or something like that so that if you get tackled it's in bounds easy pass that you won't drop it right if you get tackled it's still in bounds in the clock rolls that was a horrific miss on the part of the play call there pat montaforte oh you're right about this pat i hadn't thought about this exactly fifty years since bobby night and at nineteen seventy six indiana hoosier team ran the table and went thirty two and oh for the national championship huh now turn it fifty years well it's actually forty nine isn't it forty nine i guess it's fifty because we turned the calendar anyway years later we could have our first sixteen and oh team double perfection for the hoosier for the hoosiers that would be amazing that would absolutely be amazing and uh let's see Chris Barton

36:37gill kind of reminds me of the guy in the third base with the square haircut let's have a great twenty twenty six mc search is that who you're talking about or Pete nice i think you're talking about search well Kelly you know this stuff mc search yeah you look like mc search with the mc search stole your glasses oh look at search today i mean really does look there you go these stole your glass yeah back in the day though we had a high top texting great side by side pictures back back in the day that's amazing oh man yeah okay we'll have to put those up all right ladies and gentlemen uh Kelly and i have done this for years we used to do it on prime time actually with map around when we did the night show uh in addition to to my doing a numbers game when we did prime time action the greatest show to ever be canceled uh we did our new years betting resolutions and you've kept that traditional live here on a numbers game and so we thought we would take a moment to do this and of course you've prepared a very nice intro haven't you of course you know man uh we'll just go right to it okay try and go first yeah yeah we're

37:40gonna review last year's first see how we did oh okay yeah but let's see the similarities also last year i said bet even more tennis continued to trust my numbers maybe take grass season off no but this comes up in my new new years resolutions for twenty twenty six where i amend the grass season because like i i didn't take the whole thing off but i you went lighter i went lighter yeah that's right uh whatever something you yeah you said on january one that's right and hold it into the summer and i kept to it uh continue to exploit information based markets like drafts and lightly bet markets like the college world series yeah although i didn't have much success doing it though but that's what i did that um exploit i don't know exploit was the previous year not that year right yeah uh bet mlb judiciously this is another thing that didn't work out last year but not rampantly especially monthly mlb best record markets yeah that was a great thing in 2024 not so much in 2025 but that's what i did remain true to the a and g brand of betting education while keeping it light continue to interact with the best listeners of any show ever yes and yes

38:45you want to do yours or do i go to mind now how does this work uh why i throw up gills now i don't see this 2026 there my 2026 new years because i think you and i both resolution both carried some over is that fair this is a bit of care yeah a bit of care the first one is yeah that first tennis one bet even more tennis continue to trust my numbers pair back grass season until wimbledon is a happy medium that i struck and remember my uh on fire stretch began at the end of wimbledon last year into the hard court seasons okay here's one incorporate more segments from prediction markets into the show or pod hey you didn't see that one coming did you bidly incorporate more segments from the prediction markets into the show or pod i mean we've been doing that we have but what i'm talking about is a broader broader incorporation of not only hate college football team to make the playoffs not only which will be the next coach i'm talking about maybe even like hey uh it's Kanye's girlfriend gonna be the most googled girl in all of 2026

39:46that kind of thing hey anytime anyone jumps out to you let me know i throw it in if someone here's number three if someone say i don't know Todd wish never for example displays a skill betting another sport be open to tailing now this is pretty big this is pretty big leap for me because i'm not a tailing guy but listen there is no shame in recognizing somebody else's skill and being like oh i like what this kid is doing i'm gonna jump on there and so if you can find an equivalent to that in whatever sport someone you respect someone you trust yeah hell yeah i'll tell and wish that has gotten me to do that with this college hoops for sure Carl sack and basketball is another one i consider as well um here's one that the nc double a formula folks will appreciate consider the inclusions last a slash exclusion of the previous sweet 16 coaching experience stipulation from the college basketball formula why does this come

40:47up because remember it used to be the only exception that used to be Kevin Oli back to 2014 Yukon Huskies now Dan Hurley and Todd golden have done this as well so i don't know do i over react and get rid of it or did i just say hey well there's still got three exceptions that's it maybe it's just a lighter footnote or so it's gonna be a monitor the situation i think yeah okay I think it was worth putting in the resolutions right to keep it keep it in i on that and the other ones are very similar to what i had before that we just went over those are carryovers from the previous one talking about it you know low lightly uh lightly bent markets like college world series information based markets like the drafts mlb monthlies oh here's one to the mlb monthlies and continue to exploit the working theory that's showing up for the NBA playoffs may in fact be a positive for me i've always contended that for the not NBA hardos sometimes showing up for the NBA playoffs is a positive because you are not colored by 82 games of something that will not

41:52actually play out that way come playoff time because coaches handle it differently so there's that and then of course the bottom two Kelly remain true to the a and g brand interact continue continue to interact with the best listeners of any show ever you sir for shizzle um let's see 2025 first thank you why it was scrambling to find mine hey look at this first one every day workout check out NBA meal that one kill i totally forgot about this did you know about uh the old shot ski uh at the beginning of last year what's that with a workout the workout part in the loss of the weight loss i'd already started okay yeah i would say i was a few months into heavy like hitting the gym heavy again but that was i did a good job with that in 2025 so uh yeah good on me okay NBA this was just more getting more specific on things that i'm doing stick the process with size and total block out noise a lot of that was stick to what i do best i don't there's a lot of attractive markets that we hear thrown out and things that you want to look at more start with

42:55what i would do best and then kind of carry it on from there now the third one don't be a coward bet more alts this is what i heard any baller bring this up like a month ago i think i brought it up on the show uh with you and will i think when will was on such an easy thing to say by the way such an easy thing to say how much do we actually do you really have to be deliberate you really do so i'm going to kind of say i you know i first of all i did not stick to that bedding resolution and now that i look back at it i'm more okay with it i guess than i was um NBA player props this one's this one is going to be a carryover for me this is inexcusable i don't dig deeper on these more and do more with player props i get too wrapped up sides and totals on what i do live in the NBA um so it absolutely more that can be accomplished there and should be and golf more around by round betting too much that i do before the tournament and a friday or saturday rolls around it's i could look into these third round matchups or something ab too busy with something else i don't want to do it those ones absolute carryovers to 2026 um we did you do that in fact

44:00did you do that in fact no that's what i said i'm going to carry over okay i would say the golf more so than the NBA player props but um but absolutely be even more of that needs to be a focus in 2026 so those are if we go over to 2026 now look every day workout NBA just need to keep doing that through the NBA season that's all i'm trying to do make sure hit the gym and then get preffer NBA that night uh player props and golf as i mentioned those remain from 2025 carryovers to 2026 areas i can continue to do better in for sure pick up wmba betting you and i've talked about this a lot really just because of lack of some stat sites that i lean on heavily for NBA is not why is why i don't do much with wmba it's kind of a weak cop out it's something i can do more on start the NFL draft prep what are we waiting for get we've been sitting here for three months and like capital letters and capital letters man i'm a little upset with myself and then the biggest one i'm running out of time ain't gonna let me play blackjack just get out of the casino i had a great year of video poker but also gave a lot back we're gonna get more taxed here in 2026

45:06just not worth the time and tell me billin betting resolution coming back with more NFL next