A Numbers Game | January 16, 2026 | Hour 3

0:00The number's told the story to Alex now. Swandals, idiots who believe in athletics. This is a numbers game with Kill I by Xander. Gone V-Syn. Our number three of a numbers game at V-Syn, these sports betting network V-Syn.com, Game Plus, I-Hard Radio, YouTube TV, and of course, Series Second Channel 158. It's Kill I by Xander. Kelly is behind the glass because, ladies and gentlemen, it is time for Fesick Fridays. Let's do it. Whether it's at the sports book, or anywhere else in the casino, he's always helping us find an edge. It's time for Fesick Fridays. From the only back-to-back winner of the Hilton Super Contest back in the day. And I know when I say that, he's like, oh, I have one more contestant. Then I know Stevie Fesick. I know. I can just sit here and have a whole conversation with myself. I don't have to involve him. Just me and him arguing. Hey, congratulations. First of all, hello. You got your check the other day? Oh, what a great job. The awards ceremony. You know what? These guys at Circa do it right. So, you know, Derek Stevens, Mike Palm, fantastic on the awards ceremony. They got the drummers.

1:00Well, they did. We go through the casino. How brilliant is it? Everyone's holding up their checks. We got potato commission. We got all the survivors. We got their big checks. Money gun guzz called you a peach earlier. He said you were a peach with a pretty much. Oh, money gun guzz. I met him in his lovely gal. And we had a great conversation from the East Coast. Have you ever been called a peach before? That's pretty good. Is it? Yeah. You know, he was just, he was just a great, great gentleman. And how smart is this? We parade through the casino. And all these casino gamblers are like, oh, 70,000, 150,000, 3.3 million. Oh, yeah. These checks. It's like, hey, people, actually, we win here at the Circa. That's awesome. And you just declared right. You were tied for ninth. Yes. Tied for ninth. Yes. And you pulled in. 70,000. 70,000. And I got. Okay. And I got 57, 5. And the Westgate because I won the second half. Contest. Steve Fezig, everybody doing it. We have so much to talk about. One, you didn't come in here with the Starbucks today,

2:00which I was very shocked by, because you have been in full extoling the virtues of Starbucks. Let's go there. So the little history for those who don't know, the rents really high in the strip. So Starbucks is everywhere in the strip, but they have to pass that cost over to the consumer. And so, and the food is not there. They're. It's insane. Starbucks. Starbucks in San Francisco is a, is like 25 to 40% of what it costs here. Right. So I have been somewhat critical about the value not being there with Starbucks. And you know what? But I've been the vanilla sweet cream cold brew. 110 calories. I'm like creamer on the sign felt episode. 100 calories. Really? Yeah. So creamer was very critical of Kenny Rogers' roaster's chicken. And he put out like this billboard bad chicken outside of his window. Bad chicken. And then he gets Newman is picking up this chicken order, right? With broccoli. Newman doesn't eat broccoli. So Jerry discovers, no, it's actually for cramers.

3:00Like, what the heck is going on? And he's like, I'm hooked on the coffee, Jerry. I need my vanilla sweet cream cold brew. I'm hooked on the Starbucks. Just want to apologize to all our affiliates who were not prepared for that day. Explosion that just happened. Um. It's so good. Let's talk about college. I'm surprised by the calorie count. That's amazing to me. Only 110. Don't get the foam. The foam's like 180. Todd. No foam. Todd says. Well, all right. Let's talk. Well, let's talk about the national championship. Miami and Indiana. First of all, speaking of the Bayer, Christopher Lee, he was just on here. You objected to his strategy of the hedge. I don't know what you guys are doing. Why are you guys? Why are you? You're going in there. So why am I in there? So we got the bear. Oh, explain. Okay. So we got the bear. And he needs Miami to win because he's got a big future's bet. So he needs Miami to win like blood. So he's got to monetize it so much.

4:01So he's going to bet Indiana on the money line. Now, Gilly is in the driver's seat. A cappered seat. A cappered seat because he's got the West Reynolds Hoosers to win it all. But I'm taking the points on Miami. I'll do it. Fair enough. Fair enough. So it's the only responsible thing to do. So the bear puts... He's like, I got to monetize this somewhat. So he goes ahead and he plays Indiana. Good with that. He puts it in a parlay. And I'm like, you don't think... If you ask Gilly or I... Yeah. He's like, so he's laying my S330. I'm that leg of the parlay. I know he's getting plus 130. I don't care. He's laying my S330. You don't think he just took his little finger and texted Gilly or I, hey. Would you like some Miami plus 380 and... I'll take some... I'll take... West Reynolds and I can hang out in Miami. I'll root and I'm sure you would like... Hey, okay. You know, that monetized in my position nicely with a better than market, a better than no big number.

5:01So the lesson I have is... Always in a situation like this, ask around because usually you've got a future on one side and other dude has a future on the other. Hey, fiddle in the middle. You know, play against each other at no big or better. By the way, I ran the numbers of Miami. This is amazing. We talk about the mechanical parlay. So they've been basically a 3-1 dog in two other games. Close to a pickup if you had the other two games where they were a small favorite, small dog. It would have paid like 63-1. If you bet Miami the whole way after the playoffs got announced. But if you bet them, if you included, I'm going to go ahead and bet them 3-1 or a little bit better just to get into the playoffs. We're talking 250-1. That you could have gotten. So when you hear all these people, oh, I played Miami 150-1 before, you know, they announced whether they're going to be internet. It sounds like, oh, what the greatest bet ever. And mathematically it is not. It turns out, well, it's just the power of being able to roll it over again and again. But even though the mechanical parlay is superior to the future,

6:02it's still horribly flawed. And here's why. No probates like this. This is exactly what I wanted to ask you. Yeah. Who do you know that actually does this? Well, they don't because they're not Dumbo's. OK. So we bet one to two percent, one for one to two units, right? Yeah. So let's say you love Miami. You think they're massively undervalued. So you start out bang, first round, the point A and M. You bet a unit. You win 1.5 years. Now you got two and a half units. OK. Fine. You bet against Ohio State plus 3-10 or whatever it is. Well, now you're now you're sitting on, you know, 13 units. All right. Are you going to bet 13 units? That's the thing. Against Ole Miss. Because like you read Dan Abrams book on why didn't you come up with a better book title? Poorly titled. But how much did you lose? Well, pros don't bet 13 units. And they certainly after that game wins. They don't bet 25 units on the last game. I'm so glad you said this because no person that I know bets that way. Right? They all though. Well, if you just want to learn poorly, do this. But nobody does that because of exactly what you're talking about.

7:04People can say, well, you only risked one unit. No. I can't cost it. Be careful. It's a bull crap. You, I mean, that money's already won. It's already into your bankroll. You don't suddenly like, oh, every other game I'm betting. I'm betting the University of Dayton Flyers for one and a half units. Put up good to bet 25 units on Miami because I've been betting them all along. No, sir. That's not how pros bet. There is one thing about the national championship that we haven't brought up enough. I think I brought it up once, but not enough. Which is, because I always do it super bowl week when I talk about the Super Bowl or two weeks of the run up to the Super Bowl, that for whatever reason, right? The public behaves differently on underdogs in the final game of the season. We don't really know why, but instead of taking the underdog plus the point says, as folks do usually during the regular season, when it comes to the Super Bowl, they take the dog on the money line. And so the favorite money line price gets muted in a way that it doesn't the rest of the year. This also applies to the national championship. Yeah, and it used to be even more powerful.

8:05So, by example, like New England was playing Caroline, and New England was a seven point favorite. But you could bet New England like minus, I think, 240 that year in the Super Bowl. And the same thing's going to happen where normally you have an eight and a half point favorite, and you're going to be laying like minus, you know, 350, right? But I would expect that that number is going to drift downward. It's like Star Trek. It's Mr. Scott. I kept them. She's bound to drift lower. And so, if you are going to play the money line on Miami, I would bet it now. If you're going to play the money line on Indiana, I would wait until post for a bargain. Yeah. Makes sense. And you were, you spent in your days running around betting from book to book? You know, I had so much fun the other day. So I, I like, what's this? I'm looking at the screen. What's this? And I see there's still, there's a 10 on the first quarter on the national championship game. And the first half has a 24 in town. And I can bet on the apps, but the apps are lower limits for a reason. Books don't want to get hit all ones. So I hop in the car, boom, boom, boom.

9:06And I'm going to different books. And I like play the first half under 24. And I play the first quarter under 10. And then I'm playing like the San Francisco Seattle. I play first half under 23. And I play the other game that day. The Buffalo first half under 23 even money. And I'm just like getting all these old school tickets. Because so much of her betting now is on apps. And it's fun to be out in the ball. It's the joy of it, right? And feeling the pulse of everyone and getting to see the people. And I got to tell you, and one thing about driving around you really realize. How stupid these casinos are that charge for parking. Because the joy of the joy of being everyone in and out. You go in and out of the wind, bingo, a bongo, get down. Sound point if I could bet there. You know, the M you go to all these different places. But then what's this? I've got to like scan my phone to like to even if even if the parking's free for two hours. It's just such a hassle. 100%. It's best part of doing the podcast of the win. I just roll in there. It's free parking. It's easy. Easy peasy. Three hours free parking. And not just free parking. But the parking garage is laid out that I don't have to be like a world class marathon runner.

10:11That's right. A resorts world to somehow find a way to get from the parking lot to the kiss. Everyone should be fired. If you work for resorts world, you should have been fired. Second you saw that parking garage a quarter of a mile from the casino. You should say I refuse to work for a company this incompetent before we go to the break. Because we got a bunch of NFL from Steve because he's got bets to talk about on the other side. And he has a life hack, by the way, which is what we'll get to at the end, which is his big. His big crowd pleaser at the end of his segments here. But before we get to the break here, speaking of, you know, stuff like that. Great parking. Reno. You were talking about this. What's your Reno thing? So I used to fly up to Reno. And I'd play parley cards for like 12 hours. Okay. Go Friday night. And then I'd be out Saturday at noon. And so the hack at Reno is all the casinos are within four blocks of each other. So when I would arrive at the airport, forget the cab. Forget like this was before Uber. They all had shuttle buses. So and they're all close. So like, like, I'd just go over there.

11:12There'd always be like, here, here, here. Here's the silver legacy shuttle bus. Bang! Are you staying at the legacy? Oh, absolutely. You know, going to meet with my host. And boom. I just get on whatever the Harris bus was leaving. I'm staying at Harris. You know, who cares where I was staying? I could walk. And like you, I wouldn't have, you know, I have a light bag. I was carrying. So travel light. Boom. In and out. On the other side, Steve Fessik is NFL Betts for divisional round. He's going to chime in on the college basketball betting scandal. And we have a move in baseball. New York Mets. At least you got somebody. Next, on a numbers game at Visa. These sports betting are working. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get Betts home. Pro's win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline. And now so can you. Visa programs you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit.

12:14With Visa and Pro. You You numbers game on fee. Shin these sports betting network. Don't forget to check out the sharp plays dot com. You can scan the QR code on your screen. For more. Unmatch transparency. With records updated daily, AI betting analysis in real time. Global betting information. Alerts directly from the pros. Check them out. today's dot com skill Alexander, we have about a million tweets here. I'm going to try to get some of these. I owe you a six nine on Twitter hypothetical question. If Gray Pupon comes knocking on Kelly's door, wanting him to be their spokesman, the caveat is Kelly William commercials, which required that Kelly eats sandwiches slathered in Gray Pupon. Would he do it? I think he'll do it. He's got a line. He Kelly said, no, I'm being told Kelly said, no, he won't do it. Yeah, it depends how much they give him string fellow hawk. Last time I flew out to Vegas, the pre-check line was longer than the regular security.

13:15Yes. And you know what's going next? TSA pre-check plus. Yeah, man, for those of us who got TSA, by the way, it was super affordable, right? Five years for like a hundred bucks in change. But now you're right, though, the regular line is is is shorter sometimes. Martel J Kelly, subbing mustard for Mayo on Acuban is an absolute crime against humanity. Same with Mayo on an Italian. Still love you guys, but come on, man, I'm with you, Martel J. What an affront from Kelly this morning. Chance Copperpot. There was discussion about naming the finalists bets around the beginning of December. I made one bet Broncos versus the Bears at 80 to one while it's still alive. Why do I feel like these odds don't reflect the expected outcome? Man, if you hear, you're as close as anybody, Bosch and Chicago. Catch up on a hotdog is also culturally aggressive toward Chicago in skill. Mayo in general is disgusting. I know I'm in the minority on this one, but I said, well, I'm with you on the mail, not with the catchable, a lot of those zipper merge professional. I'm sure Kelly likes to ranch on his wings. Also, James Veslo, the Dodgers may have signed Kyle Tucker, but the Padres are still just three games back. By the way, infield or boba shit, formally

14:21of the blue jays and the New York Mets are in agreement on three year, one hundred twenty six million dollar contracts, or still he has been after losing the Kyle Tucker sweepstakes. The Mets pivot quickly get one of the best players left on the market. Will Sam and first on the deal according to Jeff pass. And so there you go, Mets, there you go, Mets, boba shit, make you happy. No, no, doesn't because the Lonzo and Diaz, yeah, no, I get it. This is for my dog wedge. Hey, Doug was happening, man. My wife has an irrational hatred of ketchup. Haven't had a bottle in my house in 16 years. Also, Felica's a hundred percent right, Mayo on Italian sub is just wrong. I'm with you. Oil, vinegar and hot pepper relishes the way to go. Yeah, Mayo, Mayo is disgusting. I heart SEC podcast, sitting on two match-up tickets, Texans versus Rams, 18 to one, Texans versus nine or 65 to one, hedged by taking Shaheed MVP at 165 to one. Tell us what you feel about that hedge. I don't think that completely hedges your your overall exposure. Hey, the great Pupon great story in the mid seventies, Heinz, Katzips mustard selling for 29 cents. Very Pupon 39 cents goes to market. No one buys

15:25it. It's a disaster. Then they jacked the price to a dollar gourmet mustard. Everyone buys it when they raise the price because it's much better. They also had that great ad campaign. Yeah, excuse me, but you haven't have any great Pupon. I do declare. Yeah. This is the best of the guys hand out the limo. That's right. Jeff Patson also adding on the boba shed deal with the meds contain his deal with the meds contains no deferrals and opt-outs. After the first and second seasons, as Ken Rosenthal said, this is a second huge dollar short term deal given out in the last 24 hours, boba shed gets a huge guarantee and flexibility to do it again. It's a good on bow. Marco Romanelli, did you ever hear the bit by Lewis black in his standup about why he claims he's from DC instead of silver spring? Oh, no, I'd love to hear that. Everybody for silver spray says from DC James for action. Hey, Gil, I just heard the Mayo debate on the Italian subs with Felica. Tell Kelly can take will levices spot on the Mayo commercials, holding an Italian sub with Mayo on it. I'm with you in Felica. James, that's because you're a smart man that you're with me in Felica on that one. Norman Vegas, I agree with your sports center comment earlier,

16:26Gil on NBA basketball last night. ESPN had just shown one of the most exciting hockey games of the year. I assume you're talking about the Golden Knights and the Leafs last night. Instead of following up on it, they just left. They just left. They reminded me of when ESPN didn't carry hockey at all. They pretty much ignored it. Leafs beat the, excuse me, the, the night speed the Leafs and overtime yesterday, six to five here. Don't can't see the ball at T-bow. Still looking on the ice. I can't see the ball. You can't see the ball. That's right. Doug Tuddle saying about my complaints about the TSA line says you got to get clear, but not all airports have it. Well, Vegas does. Colin Murphy, almost no Mayo on a grinder. Oh, A and G, he says you stand for always no Mayo on a grinder and limited everywhere. Said that phasic moment from the first thing. It was just a huge oil. You doing the or a Kramer impression? Was that it? Yeah, I don't think that's negative. Hey, secret sauce. Two parts catch up. Two parts barbecue sauce. One part Mayo. I hate Mayo, but you do that concoction. That secret sauce. You get some McDonald's

17:27fries. You'll be hooked. Pro tip, everybody from Steve Fezing. Kevin Ryan says, Gil, was that phasor Bob's big boy that was on show this morning? Do you know the Bob's big boy reference? Very East Coast. I just know the restaurant. It's right. He's a big boy. He was holding stuck about your hair being so prominent, I think that was like the heatmeister and the in that Christmas special. Yeah, ride a code 99. I travel weekly. I don't think it's that big of a deal for you to make it to the airport. Gil, but I advise order your Uber in advance and get clear. Las Vegas uses that and it's great. Okay. Two votes for clear. So LAX back when I was in LA, I would ride a I'd leave my executive job and I would fly Southwest Airlines. It's the only terminal terminal one that you could park and walk. You didn't have to take the shuttle bus. So I love that. And I would I was in my suit and I would just change into normal clothes in the parking lot. And one time someone drove past me and this gal yells, what's the matter Superman? Couldn't find a phone booth. All right. Let's let's get your thoughts on the college basketball bedding scandal. All right. So I've been the guy that has said for years and years and years,

18:31there's way more of this going on than anyone would ever believe. And this kind of supports that, I think in that the facts are allegedly 17 programs fixed this spread on 29 games. Now right off the bat, that math does not math. No, because think about all the time and effort and risk you're taking infiltrating a program in certain kids. Like once you got in, oh, and let's fix one or two games with that team. No, all year long, you would be like bedding on or against that team. What amazes me is how bad it's almost like it must be completely widespread because everyone that gets caught is like doing stuff that's so egregious. You look at the show hey interpreter and they're like, oh, let me just go to the results world and like bet millions and millions of dollars. And where is this coming from? It's like these, these people who get caught, oh, let me bet $500,000 on a first half, you know, Southern Miss game. I mean, like this is the like four out of the top five in terms of the money alleged to have been bet were on first

19:37halves of random college basketball games. The number one was, I think it was a full game, but it was also a rando game wasn't like big schools. It almost it reminds me like in the Lord of the Rings and the Fellowship of the Rings that going through the minds of Moria and there's all kinds of dangers and Gandalf says it's a three day journey to the other side. Let's hope our presence goes undetected. And the first thing a hop it does is take a rock and drop it into like a boneless well. And there's a like a rattling of noise and like, I think you're going to get detected if you make too much noise, right? And the ballrogs going to come out and like and there's going to be trouble and the ballrog is here. Exactly what it reminded me of. Yes, you nailed it once again. But you also you've whenever you talk about this, you also talk about how easy this would be to do. I don't want to lay this all out, but I'm sure that this is happening. You look at the whole Donahee where again, dumb and dumb are like like clear cut problematic and it takes forever for him to be discovered. Imagine you're just a ref on a minor conference. And you got no skin in the game. You're not going to help either team. You're just going to say,

20:38hey, you know what? I'm going to make sure that we control the game and it's not going to get out. We're not going to let the players get out of control. And I'm going to call a whole lot of files today. So if you if you tug if you grab, I'm I'm just going to blow the whistle. You're going to be in the bonus after five minutes. Your opponent's going to be in the double bonus after eight minutes. It's going to be a parade to the free throw line. And it's going to probably make the game be like 10, 12 points higher scoring. That was the most interesting detail of the whole Donahee thing is that he fixed it by calling the game by the book. He was he would call paulming. Yes. And no other refs would. Exactly. So so you could just call like people travel all the time. And and the point is if it's unbiased, neither team can complain that they're being cheated. But but the implication on the total is severe. And guess what? You're not going to win all these bets. Stop panicking. Stop saying, oh my god. And and and and and and and dig a ditch where you're like, it's so obvious you're doing something bizarre. All right. That bet loses. And you have one confederate who makes the bets and you win 75% and you could do it for 20 years. And if you weren't doing it

21:40for like hundreds of thousands of dollars, you literally could do it your entire life. No one would ever know. And isn't this just a large game or whack a mole? You could never put an end to this. You just can't. Yeah. And but but it is obviously it's in front and center with with the legalization. Okay. This is my point. I've been making this. You agree with this, which is and it's like because legalized sports betting wants all this credit for being able to detect it. Okay. Yep. You do. But you're also the reason why it's happening so rampantly in the first place. It's people are so much more aware. Kids who are 13 and 15 like my son doesn't even gamble. And he's like, oh boy, I'll call him the city was you know, a shane company where only lay in seven the other night. And he doesn't even bet. You know, I mean, it's he doesn't you know, care for it. So it's just so front and center in front of everyone and to draw an analogy. Like anyone who thinks used to be in the US, you could only gamble in Nevada and in New Jersey then. All right. Back in the 70s when they legalized. And if you don't think that this legalization throughout the country, it hasn't produced so many more problem gamblers. And then you've got like

22:42the people that Pinocchio's with their with their nose growing that's like, oh no, we've got all these programs to combat that. And it really isn't any bigger problem. And people were always gambling. No, that dentist in Oklahoma City was never gambling. And you know, the one the movie about the guy and the Canadian banker, Mahoney. Mahoney. Only Mahoney. It's almost by accident that he just got like like all of a sudden you like you go to casino night, something happens and all of a sudden you just, you have to start gambling to become a problem game. Steve Vezic has NFL plays for the digital round. We will get to those next on a numbers game at Visa. These sports betting network. A numbers game on FISA. These sports betting network. Back on a numbers game, live from Circle Resort Casino downtown Las Vegas, Gill Alexander. Steve Vezic on this football Friday, as we headed to the divisional round of the National Football League playoffs. And of course, the national championship game on Monday night. We get Tweets at Beatty the Book.

23:46Couple of these are for you, Steve. Let me just read one before we get to those. Obrosec 1870, just piling on Kelly for his comments about Mayo and the Cuban. He says middle of the night, many on Oce, because that's the only time you're allowed to put Mayo on a Cuban talking. And then he says talking coaching has has convinced him to lay it with Indiana now. He likes the Signeti versus Crystal ball angle. He's laying the points with Indiana. All right. These are a couple questions for you. Bear doesn't like it. Bear doesn't like it. These are a couple questions for you. One is less serious. I'll do the less serious one first. Joseph Frida, have a question for FISA today. Which NFL team left in the playoffs is this year's honky-tongued man? Cool, cocky, bad, good enough to win the title, conference title, but not good enough to win the Superbowl? I don't care who I got to wrestle. You get somebody out here right now. And then the ultimate warrior music comes up and he just destroys them in two minutes in summer's lamb. I think you're having too much Starbucks man. You got to cut back. I'm hooked on this vanilla sweet cream. I do. That's a Chicago Bears. Chicago Bears are the honky-tongued man. They're cool. They're cocky.

24:46They're good. They're bad, but they're not good enough to win the Superbowl. Okay. And then the numbers guys with a more serious question. He says, hey, stupid question. It's not a stupid question. The first guy says considering I'm an accountant. Oh, an accountant is checking in. He says, but can you ask Fezick when he wins a contest? Do they give him a W2 G as gambling winnings or a 1099 miscellaneous as other income seems like minutia, but could have a major effect on how you're taxed? So it's at Fezick Sports. Please DM me because I need some advice. So it's just a 1099. So you're not taxed on it. All right. You're reported on it. And then on my schedule, see I file as a professional gambler and I saw I hadn't put it down. Yes. It is your obligation to report it as a player. It is not the casino that was with the big beautiful bill. And oh, I, Dana Titus. I don't know what you're doing the other day. Where Dana Titus was she lunch? They couldn't she couldn't show up for that thing. I hope. It's like fast times that it reached my high. I hope you had a good, you know, break Arnold while we were all getting thrown

25:46under the bus. Remember when he gets fired? Arnold's missing an action. Can you all be on the glass? You do something about Fezick and calm him down a little bit. Let's get a little faster times for it to my high. Yeah. You quote that movie more than any of it. Dana was like my, my, my Congresswoman of the year until she didn't show up when in my hour of need. She was the one who was talking about fighting this, fighting this, and then she just launched. Really? Okay. Let's get to the games here. National Football League. First of all, there was the news, yes, I don't know how big of a news it was. We'll find out, I suppose, by tomorrow. Sam Darnell just shows up on the injury report with an oblique. What's this? I'm doing a podcast explaining why Seattle is the stone cold greatest teaser ever. And then again, like a text, how much of a downgrade to true lock? I like what's this? So all of a sudden, yeah, so it goes from 7.5 down to 7. It goes from the total from 45 down to 44.8. And all of a sudden, like I liked the Seattle running backs a lot. I bet I already bet Walker over and

26:48Charbonne over. And now I'm like, boy, if I get true lock, that's going to put a little, that's going to make the ground game a little less proficient, right? You also came up with a Brock Purdy prop in this. I do think so. Purdy is a gunslinger. He has no problem, you know, throwing the ball into coverage, throwing the ball down the field. I know it's a little juicy, both my plays today, but, but Purdy, yes, to throw an interception. I like minus 155. Okay. Buffalo Denver, the perfect teaser opportunity for both. This is the classic example of the Lions Pickham, and it's been swinging. Yeah, swinging, just a just a swaying. And right now, it's Denver Lane 1.5. Frankly, I tease either one of these guys, you know, I'll let the odds makers decide. You want to make Buffalo 2.2? Well, tease them up to plus 8. If you want to swing it back on some other news, I would love nothing better than to play Denver in a teaser up to plus 7.5. But I feel like every time we talk about teasers, it is incumbent upon us to mention price sensitivity on it. Yeah, so you need six points, NFL minus 120, and don't get too cool for school,

27:55and suddenly start doing things like teasing college football. Right. You know, I know, Indiana should win, and you're tempted to, you're tempted to lay the 8.5 down to minus 2.5, which probably is as good as teasers you'll see in college, but it's still the problem with putting a college with an NFL teaser. College teasers are even money, all right. Two college teams, but when you put a college with an NFL, you get hit with the minus 120 pricing. So you're really laying what minus 280 per leg. So it's just too much. So you can't tease. What's the best teaser price in all of Vegas? I don't think there is one. I don't think there's any, I haven't placed a teaser. I didn't say what's a good one. I said, what's the best one? I think it's minus 125 at Caesar's minus 125. Is that right? That's right. I believe so. But it's funny. Better than Nevada, because there's better rules on ties. You get your money back at ties in Nevada. But if you play Caesar's North Carolina or IOR or wherever is legal, it loses. They have different teaser rules in different states. Offshore, you can still find a minus 110 and a minus 120 here and there. Really hard to find minus 110, but it's out there. It's a lot of times the old time mom and pop

28:58places and minus 120. Pretty wide, widely available still at many books. All right, let's go to Sunday's games. Well, I did those in Saturday and reverse order chronological. I'll do these in reverse order chronologically. Rams and bears. This is the, this is the weather game right in Chicago. Rematch of the 1985 NFC playoffs. Deeter Brock. Teeter Brock. Wow. CFL star. He was least like 54. And he played. He was the Rams quarterback. Rams got rolled against the second best football team of all time. Third, the redskins are one. Yeah. Patriots do. Patriots. Since the Patriots lost the Super Bowl, I make them make them three out of the pairs. But I was at that game. And I'm never at any NFL games. Joel Chopslowski, my roommate from college greatest. Joel MacGray, the sky. Joel Chopslowski. We went down there and we got in for free. We just like we're like these two like starving college kids. And someone took pity on us. They had two extra tickets. A Rams person. And like they were affiliated with like one of the Ram lineman. And so we waved

29:58at him. We were like, Hey, you know, and yelled out his name to the Rams score in that game. It was 24 and nothing. Yeah. So yeah. And it was close for a while. But the weather was cold. You know what? I hear all this. I got to tell you. So I love all the visa and hosts. But some of them disagree. And they're talking about how, hey, both running backs are from the Midwest. You know, and you've got your quarterback, you know, played in Detroit. I don't care. You live in LA. It's 82 degrees. Good luck. Sometimes one factor completely dominates every other aspect of the handicapping. You cannot bet the Rams in this game. You'll have to look bears because your blood thins out. I lived in Ohio. I lived in Chicago. I lived in LA. I'd go back to Chicago. Oh my god. I always say I became California soft. Living in Cali. All this year. I'd go jogging on the lake, fill in Evanston. It was 30 degrees. I'd have shorts t-shirt sweatshirt. No problem. Then I'm like bundled up in thermals. I'm like freezing. I can't breathe. You ended up with a prop in the Rams Bears game. Yeah. Loveland. So the Bears tight end. And what you, you can ladder him and play an over four and a half and an over five and a half. I put on our graphic over four.

30:59And that's great. Me over five. Very good. So so called over five. He has become the man. So Adunzay is injured. So he's not getting any targets. Look at the targets for Loveland. The last three games, 10, 13 and 15. So he's catching like seven eight balls per game. He has become the go-to guy. Don't get too concerned. If he doesn't get any in the first quarter, they throw more and more to him later in the game. And I keep hearing, oh, the Rams will shut him down. You don't think the packers were noticing like on social media. Loveland. Loveland for 10. Loveland for 20. My one is, my one to cover that guy. Well, he's really good. He's hard to cover him. Okay. And by the way, when they drafted him, there was a little controversy because people thought they should have drafted Ty Warren instead. They won't love it. Well, Warren had had a fine year also. And with one thing, it seemed like they they draft a tie-down every in the first round every year. Like I call comment does does feel like. Yeah. Okay. So now we have one of these years in the NFL. I don't remember there being three of these games in a divisional round. I could be wrong. But we have the bills on short rest at Denver. We have the Niners on short rest at Seattle. But no one is

32:04really mentioning that the Texans are also on super short rest here against the Patriots. 100% by the way, the NFL didn't do these other teams any favors both the buy teams to talk about the rust. Let the let those teams play on Saturday against, you know, a team with with less rest. But really some Houston. You'll see the weather theme. I know it's been cold in Houston. So it's been in the 50s. All right. So they go to Pittsburgh and Pittsburgh sucked. They're terrible. And so now short week. Houston goes home and now they got to go to Boston where it's not going to be zero windshield. But it's going to be cold. Major advantage Patriots. One less day for Nico Collins to get out of concussion protocol. That ain't going to happen because it's a second against Alice. The likely going to play for New England. There's stud cornerback. New England's going to win this game. I like New England minus three. You do like. So many sides you have you have New England minus three. That's the only one. You put me down for you put me down for two. You can put me down for the bear's also the bear's also. Okay. We have a minute left Steve. So that was all fun. All fun and games. But you have a life hack that you claim that you can share with us that will help us all live

33:09five years longer. I got two of them. Okay. But the first one primarily walk very briskly everywhere you go. It will so many health benefits from it. Life benefits because you get from point A to point B faster. So you can get and accomplish more to gift that my parents passed on to me that I just really think has helped me with my health. I always walk very briskly and fast as an advantage player going through a casino oftentimes like back when they were putting up lines. I want to get to the line before someone else might get to it. That was a rogue line. So just get in the habit of walking very fast and my other life hack. I don't know if there's going to make you live longer but be more comfortable. Everyone. This sounds ridiculous. Everyone wears clothing. That's too tight because everyone's like like games a little bit of weight. So if you have a 36 inch ways than you and you wear 38 inch pants, you're going to be so much happier. You're going to be so comfortable. Another problem is you might be you might get fatter you know quicker and then you have to buy elastic pants like a coy fish. You would just grow into it exactly and then when you buy elastic pants you you give up. I know these are kind of in contrast but where loose fitting pants

34:14you'll be happier. Steve has like three emotional outbursts and two live hacks. Thank you Steve. Appreciate it. Coming back with Kelly. A number is game on. Fee said these sports betting network football meets flavor with Vee said in Omaha Stakes the official sponsor of till getting it right now when you spend $129 you can score two pounds of fully cooked chicken wings plus 50% off site wide at OmahaStakes.com slash V S I N. Don't wait. Spend $129 get two pounds of wings and say 50% site wide on steaks and more at OmahaStakes.com slash V S I N. That's OmahaStakes.com slash V S N minimum purchase required sea site full detail. That looks good. Kelly's back everybody. After just taking it all that chin on Twitter for his Mayo comments. Oh I you know what actually this this this works out well someone brought up rancher earlier. I like ranch with wings. Where's you doing? I'm not like

35:14blue cheese too. I could go either way there. He's lived in so many places and you'd think he'd be more cultured but doesn't really have a refined palate. I'm just getting murdered on Twitter. Yeah. It's great when Twitter was working. Yeah. Yeah. Thank good for you that had stopped working again. Okay. Pretty good odd. So recap all the bets once again from the show. I am on the Niners plus seven and a half of the Seahawks made that bet on Monday Texans plus three at the Patriots. Those are my two plays in the NFL's divisional round. No bets pre-flop on the other two might get an in game but no no bets pre-flop in the first and last. Australia is open once again to win on the lady side. Jessica Gula 31 31 to one actually plus 3 1 1 2 so a little more than that. Naomi Osaka to win at 19 to one. Ega the great Ega to win Australia. Ega's Ega's I'll take looking for the career slam. If she wins this plus five 25 looking for her seventh major title and then on the quarters on the ATP side on the men's side. Lorenzo Musetti to win the third quarter.

36:17It's plus 650. Jesse Pagula to win the third quarter on the lady side at four to one. I have a whole bunch of first round matches to handicap as my Friday homework today after the show. Yes, you did. There are some great ones on the men's side. By the way, my season long tennis futures. Yannick center to win three grand slams exactly at plus four 50 in the year where Carlos has broken off with his coach, Juan Carlos Ferriero and then Ega Shfiontech to win two grand slams at plus three 50. Sorry, sorry. I was going through things I had to do back there with Danny. I was making bets. Yeah, because I was shopping for physics too. We landed on the purdy bet together. I forgot to make tennis bets. Oh, I'm going to tell you on a couple. This is my imitation of Kelly while I was doing Ega. Yeah. Yeah. Come on. All right. You got some bets. I got a bunch actually 76ers tonight. Money line minus 130. Zach Cohen. This was the this was just like our friend Carl Sack yesterday. I was heavy lean Boston Celtics. He released it. I was like, I'm going to play and I'm a luck luck. That luck. Touching. Go for it. Oh my god. Oh boy. Oh boy.

37:20They're turning the whole way and 76ers today. This is a very light one for me as well. Same thing. I go to go to do a hardwood handicap or stay. I'm like, wow, I'm the worst podcast in the history of podcasts because I have zero bets. Like just nothing I liked on the card. A couple of things I lean towards 76ers was one of them. They're doing that whole baseball serious thing. I don't know. They call it baseball series. And though, no, it's not three games. Sorry. It's like the game at game at at Philly than another game at Philly with the calves and sixers. I don't really like playing those. I get in my head about it too much. And I know it's too much, but it's the I can't help but think of playoff situations and what if what did you learn and what did you just see in one game that you can take to another? I usually just like to stay away from those. But I mean, was that today? I do did lean to the 76ers NFL this weekend. Have added a few. All right. Bill Broncos under 46 and a half brought this up on the show earlier. I played that yesterday. Josh out over eight and a half rushing attempts. Tale. Yeah. Tale.

38:20Tale Wilhill and Chris Flick. I guess independently got there. Sharp minds, man. Seahawks laying six bet that on open big and then bought a little back with the 49ers at seven and a half. So let's go Seahawks by seven. Kyle, you check over one and a half receptions minus one 36 added Brock Purdy over a half interception at minus one 55 added Patriots lay in two and a half with them and Drake may over 35 and a half rushing yards. And my FOMO bet of the week bills plus 250 to win the AFC can miss out on that. Can I miss out on that? Oh, you'll hate yourself. Also on the show today, we had Paul Carr premier league bets at three pack man city win even money over man. You leads full of over two and a half goals at plus one 15 and Sunderland and Crystal Palace over two and a half goals at plus one 20. Don't usually see a plus one 20 on the over in a prem match. Chris Velika, Afcon final Sunday, Morocco versus Senegal draw plus one 90. I like a good

39:21soccer draw bet. Oh, yeah, me too. He's calling it there with Morocco and Senegal plus one 90. And then Yonic center win the Australian open can't argue with that at minus one 20. That's just how good center is. Did Drew use the same line on the pod? He did the last couple right at the top. Okay, we got to it at the start to two weeks. He's a men's side starts. He goes, let me see when the final is again, that on whatever data. I think it's like the first day of February. I can't even take Drew's laugh otherwise. He always that was that little sticker after. It's right. We had two weeks. Chris has a future on Miami, but he's also on Miami plus the points versus Indiana and the national championship on Monday night. And he's sprinkling on the money line with the canes at plus 280 versus the Hoosier sprinkle me main NFL. Couple props. Josh Allen over eight and a half rushing attempts. Boy, that's popular here. And Kyle use check over one and a half receptions in the Niners game. I think that one hits. I hope the show does well in the NFL this weekend. Yeah, because it could be a lot of similarities. A lot of feast and famine. Steve Fezick just on moment ago. He's on Brock Pertie over a half a pick against the Seahawks on Saturday.

40:25He's on Colston, Lovland over five receptions. Let's call it five at minus 162. He had some over four and a half, but just to make it clear he's at over five as well in the Bears game. And then he is the two sides he played are in the Patriots game. Patriots minus three versus the Texans. We're up on that. He took the Bears plus the points versus the Rams. Wow, I missed that. Stevie on the Bears. Okay. Stevie's on the Bears. I added. I said to him. I was not your only side of the Patriots. He goes, nah, put me in for the Bears too. Okay. Okay. If you say so, man, you know, I brought it up on Monday. I don't know. I'm getting those Bears vibes too. I think it's just the big sign for me to stay away. I really hope a three doesn't pop in that game. If it drops to three Rams all the way that my headverse heart are going to have quite a battle this weekend. Boy, could you bottle whiskey's we're going to probably have to figure it out. I guess we haven't really talked about this all year. And I guess we should do it in our final three and a half minutes of the week. But as we look forward to NFC championship week, right? Is just imagine imagine if the Bears magic carpet ride

41:27last another week and they take out the Rams. At that point, we can officially say this is the most bananas NFL season there's ever been in just in terms of anyone can win it. There was never a good team or never an unflawed team who's to say anyone can't win it at that point. What is the what are the two championship matchups that would qualify as the most bizarre? Well bears Niners bears Niners, but like so like first of all in the NFC, I love this conversation. The NFC we can't lose. I think it's going to be Seahawks Rams and that's going to be awesome. But I think any combination of these teams is going to be a lot of fun for an NFC championship game. I don't want to hear about NFC championship game that doesn't have Josh Allen. You don't want to hear about it. I just it's it's get ready. I know. I know. It might be coming. Like if this is Denver, like Denver Houston, me. I really want Buffalo, New England. Your combinations of the AFC are

42:29Buffalo, New England, Buffalo, Houston, Denver, Houston, Denver, New England. None of those would surprise me. Well, none of them surprised me. I'm rooting for a Buffalo, New England rematch. I want the divisional rematches in the in the championship games. Oh, if you want to talk a want to see. Yeah, I think a lot of people would say that. Let's just talk wants to see. I have no interest in a Rams Seahawks again. No, if I want to see, I'd love to see the Niners and the bears. That's right. Niners bears would be beyond fascinated game. And in the AFC to be honest with you, I'd like to see Houston and Josh Allen because I'd love to see that Houston defense go up against this one man wrecking crew and see if Josh Allen has finally met his kryptonite. Oh, man, you're right. Kryptonite. That's like, it's like one man for it's like Sparta. What was that? What was that movie? It's like the, you know, you got like the 300. Thank you. It's like 300. We like Josh Allen versus these 90 dude elite dudes on Houston, man. To be clear, the Kansas City chiefs were always this kryptonite, but now that they've been removed, can he find a kryptonite

43:30this year? Can he avoid all kryptonite? I mean, if it's Denver and Houston, who all the top two defenses we all said in preseason, right? These teams are going to be elite on the defensive side of the ball. Maybe Denver hasn't lived completely up to that, but they're still very, very, very good. Good for everybody who tweeted in or as a couple of people who tweeted in, I won't exaggerate, but a couple of people who tweeted in about their Super Bowl matchups that they've made before the playoffs. Yeah, I got her still live. It's like, man, I got a big one out there still. Which one? Buffalo over Seattle. Exactly. Oh, exactly. 90. One. The exact is just scare me though, because you could get the matchup and then lose on that, you know, yeah, but I can do something. You can do something with it at that point. But Seattle will be a big favorite. Buffalo over Seattle was what price? 90 to one. Oh, man. Yeah. Okay. You're like, let's go. Josh. I really do think though that earlier when we're talking about, you know, most passing yards, I do think you have to take a flyer on Botanics at 10 to 1 against that Buffalo defense. He's the longest shot on the board. I think you'd have to again, Matthew Stafford and he the only two of the remaining quarterbacks that had had as many as

44:33four 300 yard passing games this year. Josh Allen had three. Great nugget. Josh Allen had three. Everybody else had two or fewer Brock Birdie. I think at two. He doesn't have any receivers. Yeah, full rugby this week. And I really hope they just lined up six offensive linemen tight ends, push Josh Allen every play. I think Darnell had zero if I'm not mistaken. It's probably right. Yeah. Could be wrong. Lean on that defense, Sammy. Everybody have a great weekend. Division around games. We'll be back before the nadi on Monday. Australia in open. Let's do it. In the meantime, prop points with John Hansett is next. Enjoy from Beeson. They sports betting network.