A Numbers Game | January 13, 2026 | Hour 3

0:00A number is called the story. I always do. It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gill. I like Xander. He said our number three of a numbers game. It's recently sports bending network. Visa.com game. Plus I hard radio YouTube TV. And of course, Series X and Channel 158. Gill. Alexander Kelly. Madeline. Here as well. I lost track of time. I thought it was the last evening. The second hour just now. I was pulled one of those. It shows flying by. Flying flies when you're having fun. I guess it does. Rick game is still to come from Rick Run Good. Going to talk golf. Golfers to look for in the 2026 season for betting purposes. And what I'm most excited to talk about. One and done and golf. It's not quite survivor in the NFL. Circus style. Greatest thing ever. One and done and golf's up there. There's also like the. Yeah. Just comparing the two. I love playing in a one and done. But if that's if you if you're locked into the season. The whole season like I am. It's for what may survive or so fun, right?

1:00It is. It is a few months sweat. It's not like you're going for eight months. Yeah. One and done. Coast to coast. Yeah. We'll get in all the details of that. And how you can sign up for it. We get to it. Spitting the book. Jack Olaquire. Our buddy says. Gill and Kelly matriculating down in the rain to the Florida keys. With Lori Jimmy and his wife Lynn. That's what they're doing. But got to listen to a numbers game. Hoping the bears magic carpet ride continues. Wondering if Kelly gets his hair cut before we see him again in a few weeks. Minus one 30 on the yes. Wow. Right. I'm going to fade that. I think he's going to think he's going to get a better effort than that. Jason H 11. Hawks. Did you just pick the hawks in basketball? Yes, it is. Okay. All right. Let's see. This is from Johnny Brock. My take. Brooks Keppka loves the competition. And proving he's the best. His image has never really been his top priority. Live his Disney on ice. While the PJs the Olympics. Keppka wants gold more than anything. Listen, I'm Johnny. I'm not saying he doesn't love the competition. And that he really cares about, you know, the competition of the PGA tour and all that

2:01stuff. Being seen as the greatest governor. But the point is that he took the money. And now I'm not giving him any credit for being this benevolent, unbelievable player. For wanting the good of golf and his legacy and all that stuff. James Festival, you have no chance getting Kelly to talk bad about Brooks Keppka. We have a shared garnet and gold blood. Both FSU. I don't. I see where you're going there. Yes. He is a Florida state guy. Man. Man. Kevin Norman. Gil enjoyed listening to you and Kelly debate. Keppka's return to the PGA and how his defection to live reflects on its legacy. But we all know his legacy is only tied to whether or not he took the jab. Yes. So funny. First of all, let me just say, you all think you know my politics. You have no idea. None. You'd be shocked. Some things. You're a big fan of Chase Keppka. If I were, when I brought bearer Roger, I was not referring to that for God's sakes. Like I said, Google him. Trust me. Far more wacky things.

3:03Okay. Let me just ask you about the number one pick in the draft real quick. Yeah. Fernando Mendoza, who could not have been more accurate the other day. Just insane. By the way, he was minus 425 to go number one in the draft before Friday semi final. Guess what he is now minus 1200. Whoo. Whereas Dante more of Oregon went from plus 330 to 9 to one. Trinidad Chamblis is an interesting one though, right? Because Trinidad Chamblis had a great performance even in defeat. He is his odds to go number one went from 55 to one to 22 to one. These are all at draft kings. Everybody else, Ruben Bain Jr. Arvel Restorant Tyson rounding up the top six. But anyway, if we just, if we just hold it to, I'd only think conversation between, to stick to between Mendoza and Chamblis. Because Dante more, you're never going to get me to believe that, right? But Trinidad Chamblis is interesting because he's trying to go back to Ole Miss.

4:05And so far, they're not letting him do that. So there's that, right? But if he enters the draft between the end of the college football season and the draft, will there be some change of heart at the rate? Are the Raiders are the one who hold the number one pick, right? They're the current draft order. They've got the number one pick. Tom Brady, the reason where I think Fernando Mendoza is justified making this jump, is because Tom Brady is reportedly going to become more involved in this pick. Right. And what does Tom, what was Tom Brady as a quarterback? He was a cerebral guy. He was a cerebral guy, right? I think, I think it's not a stretch to think that Tom Brady looks at Fernando Mendoza and says to himself, self, that guy knows what he's doing out on a football field. That's the kind of player we would want. Perhaps he even sees him as in his own image. So that's why I think it's justified to NFL teams have a way of talking themselves out of when they end up as a college football season in the draft.

5:06Sure they do. But right now, I kind of get why that jump was just I just wonder like the how many people were almost like me, right? Okay, casual college football fan, you're aware of this great story with Indiana and Fernando Mendoza, the quarterback. Like we talked all year. It's like, do we know for sure who's really clear cut number one guy is? And then you get into playoffs and these guys are on the biggest stage and Mendoza is just so good. My point is a couple games is worth the jump right from minus. He was like minus 200 entering the playoffs. And then we're up to this number now. I don't know. I interesting what you say about Dante more because I tend to agree with you that it give me chambles over him. I don't know that that's the consensus though. And what is this? I don't know what you how are you supposed to evaluate what a guy is going to do in the NFL when he's going to sue the NCAA now to try to get a sixth year of eligibility because they appeal already failed. Yeah. Wait, I don't know how to make what I'm supposed to make up with a guy like that. That's the thing. It's like, I guess I mean like these guys, we know these guys make money in college now, right?

6:08So I guess when I'm reading into that a little bit, are you so uncertain of what you're going to be in the NFL that that's how badly you want to get back to school to pick up a paycheck? I don't know, man. Was anything better than four years of college? No, or six years or six years. And then you get and then you get these guys and then you get to get seven figures on top of that just to hang around a college campus. It is. Wow. I mean, are you kidding me? What do we catch something? It was the $5 million deal rate. The Washington quarterback made more of the boat nicks is this year. Yeah. Without having the pressure of pro, I could totally understand why some of these guys want to stick out. No, I do too. But like it's like, I don't know the how that reflects it. It's NFL people might be different. Reflect, reflect. I couldn't care less. They'll, they'll, you can reflect on me next year when I come, when I go pro. Yeah. No, I, I, I just think it's justified. You know, will this change between now and the draft itself? Sure. Like, hey, something could happen Monday night, right? That will change people's thoughts on it. If Miami is able to stymie Mendoza in some way.

7:09But I do think Chandler's was the way that he's played is interesting, but he's trying to stick around. So I don't think you can bet him necessarily. I don't think you can bet him because of that. Yeah. Even though it doesn't look like it's going to happen, right? Right now, you can't bet that with that. I'll go with the Raiders talk themselves into Chambles over Mendoza when all of a sudden that is the question. And because Tom Brady is involved in it, I really do wonder if he would go away from Mendoza. I don't think he would. I don't think he would either. I, I, I wonder though how much of a, though, I don't think you bet minus 1200 because I think the Raiders need so much help that I'm a believer in them trading out of that pick if they can't. So it was 6% of calcium the other day. And I might have taken a little fun on it. On who? Chambles are in that. Yeah. Just in case. Okay. Yeah. What do you think about? I mean, you think there's for sure draft in a quarterback one. The Raiders? Yeah. Oh, hails. Yeah. Okay. Absolutely. That teams and Chambles. And I just feel like I say it every year, though. It's like whatever team has the first pick. I'm like, they're so bad.

8:09Just trade. If you could trade out of that and get scoop up some extra draft. That would do it. I'm laughing like the Dave Ross thing this morning where he does his commanders cowboys thing with Tim Murray. Oh, like it's never been done on this show before. Yeah. At least we did it in season Kelly. Not one after the season's done. They're both eliminated. Well, we were talking about. I'm trying to get to my point. I'm not even trying to talk about them. You're the one prolonging it now. I'm saying that that's even more. That's even less ridiculous than people who think the Raiders deserve. Talk is like an NFL brand. Well, that's kind of my point. Like they're stuck in that AFC West. Like where are they going any time soon? I haven't won a Super Bowl since 1984. You're not a thing. I mean, I mean, I trashed Justin Herbert yesterday still like using that team in that quarterback are still far better than whatever the Raiders are going to be the next couple years. NFL power rankings, divisional round edition. Let's go. Plug it in. All right. Birds. Feel the birds.

9:09All right. Last week we did the all 14 playoff teams. We power rank them. Now we do our eight teams as that's where we are. Now headed into divisional round. My top four Kelly remain the same. Rams won. Seahawks two. Niners three. Texans four. That was what my rankings were. Headed into the bow season. When we did the top 14 are all 14. That's what they remain now. Rams, I still believe are the number ones even football. Seahawks a close second. Niners remain my three and the Texans because that defense remain my four. Where it now slides up because of the eliminations of teams like the Jaguars, the Eagles, the Chargers and the Steelers, these other four just slide upwards for me. So the Patriots for me go from eight to five. The bills go from nine to six. The bears go from 11 to seven and the Broncos go from 13 to eight.

10:14I still have the Broncos at the bottom. The number one AFC seed. I think so I think the biggest takeaway for people at home is probably that both of us still have them number eight. Yeah. I struggled this week. I had to were getting down to teams right now. The past few weeks I've been moving these around a lot. I left Seahawks one Rams two. I left that and I am a little concerned about the Stafford hand thing. But there's still clear clear cut number top two to me. All right. I've moved this team back and forth violently a lot. I'm just I'm just settling Buffalo in at number three after last week. It's just Josh Almond. I didn't even just say the bills and could just say Josh Allen on there. Number three. Because I liked the Jags lot last week. He did it all by himself. He did. All by himself. Whatever. I'm going to slot them number three there for now. I went page. This was the toughest group for me was Patriots bears 49ers Texans. How to stack them. I ended up whether this is fair run fair. But there's only a few weeks left and maybe only one Blake left in these guys season.

11:15I think the injuries are huge for the Niners and the Texans. So I bumped them down. That's what I'm looking at. I think Nico Collins is going to be felt on the on that offense. The defense is amazing. We'll see how far they can take them. Niners. I think kiddo matters. Bears and Patriots man. I think they I think impressive wins in the opening wild card rounds for those two teams. Broncos beefed it tightens by eight. The jets by two. The giants by one. The cat. Let's see. But the Raiders by three and the Chiefs by three. And maybe when Washington by one and the Raiders again by seven. Coming back. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools. The data and the discipline. And now so can you. Veece and Pro gives you access to the same real time insights the sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious betters are turning knowledge into profit with Veece and Pro.

12:26Game on. Feast in these course. Betty Network numbers game live from. Circle resort. Casino downtown Las Vegas. Gill Alex there. That right. There is KLA by the long. We get sweet speed in book. Billy Charlotte. As usual, you guys are trying to make this about politics. Then calling Kyle Shanahan. Mike is clearly a lead into eventually turning it into Brendan who played left wing. It's all a political ploy. He adds. He said kidding. Of course, thanks for all that you guys do. He also adds. Remember when the live golfer said they were there to grow the game. Oh, yeah. That's why I said it's like, oh boy. Yeah, you're so awesome. Brooks kept good for really understanding what's what's important now. Merrill Betts. Morning, fellas. I enjoy thinking about NFL GM and owners finding relief interviewing Mendoza. When they reflect their experience last year with Sanders, the young man seems to have it together easy to cheer for. Well, regardless of how you feel about your door, I will say this about Fernando Mendoza. That has to be part of their thinking when they're making a number one pick. Right. Which is how great will this guy be as a face of a franchise, too?

13:28Oh my God. I'd be spectacular to have this dude. James James Juliano or Juliano always in action. He says finally catching up on yesterday's show. Eagles fans could take the jokes about the team in the play. But big dom is off limits. Sorry, James. I still can't get over. You see the little kid that was interviewed on local news. Yes. It is so great. It's just so great. That kid is so filling. He's like, I want to see him flipping burgers. I love it too low. I actually like the AJ Brown. He's like, AJ, you're great. You're a great player. Pack your bags and get out of town immediately. Kid is one 11 years older. That's awesome. Flipping burgers. Bill Marjoluski. Apparently Drew Dinsick, not familiar with the Rams history of playing outdoors. The fact that Puka hasn't even played a game and closed the Sunday's conditions. There's a vote for the Bears right there. I meant to bring this up earlier. There's this five day stretch. It's so glorious. And we consume so much football. I'm only now remembering how like Puka dropping that ball was maybe the most shocking part of the old entire one that was hit him right. Yeah. Hit him right in the chest.

14:28Yeah. Which affected the first half long. Yeah. Yeah. Let's talk some golf. Always a pleasure to have this guy on, especially a pleasure to have him on right before the golf season starts because we can talk about season long stuff. And specifically this awesome season long contest that he's running. Rick Gaiman joins us now. You can follow him on Twitter at Rick Rungood or at rickrungood.com. He joins us now from his throne, which I was joking with him earlier, because he sort of camouflages into it. It looks like he has flowy long hair as well. There you go. There you go. What's happening, Rick? No, but it's good to chat with you guys. We've waited long for this one. It felt like a real golf off season. But yeah, I'm stoked about it. And I'm stoked to talk to you, fellas. I want to get into like a group of golfers that I'm going to do. Like a group of golfers that you think better should be aware of heading into the full season. Next segment, or maybe we'll start at this moment. But I want to talk about this contest first. Kelly, Matt Brown and I, when we used to do a show here called Primetime Action, we had a weekly competition. We did a one and done and golf. Could you explain to us, first of all, what that is and the extent to which you have taken this now with your contest?

15:34It's crazy how far this has gone. I heard you guys in the last segment, you know, kind of alluding to or at least comparing it to NFL survivor. And I think that's a really good comparison to make it. So what you do is every week you pick one golfer, you can only use them once. So don't burn Scottie Sheffler at a small event. And then you get the number of points based on the amount of money that they win. So if the guy wins the golf tournament for $3.6 million, you get $3.6 million points. And at the end of the year, whoever's got the most points wins. And obviously now that gets put into a contest form like Circa Survivor or Circa Millions or anything else, where, you know, the way that we do is we pay the top 10% and their segments and all that stuff. But the concept is really simple. And we've seen this guys just go bonkers. So I've been running a one and done every year for the last six or seven years. We had like 80 people, then we had like 200 people. This year we're going to have 50, 500 people. It has 1.25 million dollar guaranteed, fully guaranteed, purses the largest in the history of the internet.

16:36Somebody's going to win $100,000 in the Rick Run Good one and done. That to me is a crazy statement. So yeah, we've come so far. It's been really popular. And I try to describe it as basically NFL survivor without the risk of elimination is the way that I think about it. And where do people go to a sign up? Because anybody can sign up, right? Anybody can sign up. It's over 40 states and most of Canada. It's splash sports dot com. If you go to splash sports, you'll see it right on. Like my face is right on the main page. You'll see it right there. It'll be it'll be the top contest. And it'll it'll close on Thursday with the first T shot of the Sony open. So that's it. You got to get it in before Thursday of this week because the Sony open. We didn't have the century. So the Sony open starts the golf season this week. And you can do multiple entries, Rick. Oh, yeah. You can do up to 25. So we see people who kind of spread out some some entries. And you know, as you start seeing what your positioning is, maybe you want to take a crack at trying to win one of the segments. If you win a segment, you get $7,500 box. There's there's a little prize going way like that.

17:37So for $250, you know, buy in. If you want to get in a couple of times, there's a lot of different ways to start getting your money back and eventually and eventually winning. So yeah, you can have up to 25 entries. I assume there's going to be a handful of people who max enter it. But it's it's a really great contest. And I just can't believe how far we've come in the last couple of years. I can't even match what the next five years looks like. Okay, so like with Circa's survivor, excuse me, with Circa millions, which has quarterlies, you have segments that one that goes to the TPC through the TPC, that the tournament players championship, pardon me, the players championship got to get the correct wording on that. One through the players championship. Then one through the masters, one through the PGA, one through the US open, one through the open championship. And then the last one is the Fakata events after the, the PGA championship. Okay. So usually four or five tournaments in each one. The first segment's a little bit longer. We're usually four or five tournaments in each segment. And we've split it up with, you know, so that you can have a major championship or a big event in each one of them.

18:37And I like this because, you know, if you're struggling in the season long, if you get hot for two or three weeks, now you have a really good chance of winning a segment. You don't have to have a great year to have a great segment. And I must admit, so I don't know if you guys like the payout structure or not. But splash let me, like it's completely my payout structure. Like I designs the whole thing with the top prize and the flatish payout structures and the segment. So if you like it, I'll take all the credit. If you don't like it, we'll give splash the break. I apologize, Kelly, because I'm hogging this. And I know you're, you're golfing. I just want more question on this. So you, you alluded to, just want to talk a little strategy. Are you alluded to earlier? So don't take Scotty Sheffler in a small tournament. And again, for those who missed it, what Rick means by that is, in the long run, it doesn't do you any good to get the winner if Scotty Sheffler wins, you know, the John Deere Classic just going to throw it out. I don't even know if he's playing the John Deere Classic. But you get the idea. The points correspond with the payout, the money payout. So the bigger tournaments have the bigger purses.

19:37You want to save the greatest golfers. In theory, doesn't always work out that way, right? But in theory, for the bigger tournaments with the bigger purses, can you give us a sense of some other, you know, ways of strategy that we might not think of in these kinds of tournaments, in these kinds of contests. Yeah, you nailed it, Gil. The way the PGA tour schedule is set up now, there's these signature events. There's about 12 of them plus the major championships that have these massive purses compared to a regular PGA tour event. They can be two and a half or three times as large. So it would make sense to use your Scotty Sheffler's, your Rory McElroy's, your big time players at these events with big purses. So that's kind of part one. The other wrinkle in this whole thing is, and you guys were talking about it earlier, so you've got these live golfers who are eligible for major championships but not for any other PGA tour event. So what we saw last year and last couple of years is that Bryson D. Chambo, John Rom, Terrell Hat and they become incredibly popular

20:37during the major championship weeks, almost in my opinion, too far. I think the pendulum has swung too far. Scotty Sheffler and the major championships last year was 9% owned, 5% owned, 5% owned, and 1% owned, and he won two of those. So like the pendulum has swung a little bit too far. You've got to kind of find that balance between using those live golfers that made your championships, which is the only opportunity that you're going to get and then making sure you're still getting the best options. And then Rick, for the first splash, just to wrap up with that, because you see at 40 plus states for in this land, I know this applies to Nevada. You just get out of Nevada or get to a splash state. You can sign up and then you can put your entry in from anywhere after that, right? Indeed. I travel a lot for the golf season. I met a lot of different places. I go out of the country. I've always been able to put my picks in. You just have to sign up, put your entry in in one of those states where it's available. And then after that, you can make your, you can make your weekly picks from anywhere. Wait a minute. We can't do this in Nevada.

21:37We can't do it. We have to sign up out of Nevada. We've decided. Then you can put your picks in. You don't need like a pro. So if I take a trip to California, this weekend, I get signed up there. They better get there before Thursday. Oh, no. I think there's a lot of those for on Wednesday night, right there on the border and then, and then come back. That's right. You can do all that. All right. Everybody did have at it. I mean, it's so much fun. You, me and Matt Kelly and Kelly Matt and I had so much fun doing this. Who won that? You won that? Yeah. Hell yeah, I did. Remember we had like, it was like a three week run where the lead kept changing. Down the stretch is just to bring Rick in. This was the year that Cameron Smith won the, the open championship. That was the one where it finally went my way. But I think you guys each had winner outright winners like the two weeks before. We did. Yeah. It was fun. It was a fun one to do on that finish third. I think Matt finished third. Yeah, let's go with that. He's right here. He's right here inside himself. Defend himself. That's right. Okay. So have at that with that splash sports for the one and done. Real quick.

22:37We're going to out on the other side of the break. We're going to talk Sony open. We're going to talk about the golfers that everybody should be looking out for for the entire season. Can I just assume here in the last 20 seconds that Scotty Sheffler is the top of that list still? Yes. Yes. Yeah. In 20 seconds, the short answer is yes. You have to figure out where you're going to deploy him. But I am expecting a massive 2026 from Scotty Sheffler. No doubt about it. Okay. We'll talk about whether the prices are going to be even more ridiculous this year. But he's obviously at the top of that list. We'll get to it. The golfers that people should be aware of for the entire golf season. And a little shot at this week's tournament as well. Rick Gaiman on a numbers game right here at Visa. These sports betting network. The numbers game on Visa. These sports betting network. Back on the numbers game. We get tweets. Be the Bokaya. Oh yeah. S69 on Twitter. I'm going to play devil's advocate. He says PJ golfers are independent contractors. When you're offered generational money.

23:37Can you really turn that down over legacy? I get Tiger Woods declining. We'd love to hear Rory's opinion on this subject. Listen, they took it. It's 100, you know, in some cases nine figures, right? So listen, mere mortals cannot decline that kind of money. But I'm not going to then give you this credit afterwards after you take it by saying, oh my god, you find out you realize what is important. You're so much better than everybody else. Christian Marge. I'm still trying to figure out if you said Mike Shanahan took the jab or not. Be clear, please. This all every one of these shows takes on a life of its own. Yeah, really does. Cave flow. Cave Lorenz are a survivor. He says just some quick present value math here. Brooks Keppga gets to keep a hundred million dollars plus and live money. Needs to write a check for five million and for if it's a potential 50 to 80 million based on future play a financial home run for the Keppga family. Exactly what I'm saying. No, there's no penalty here. Stop it. The numbers guys. Hi, Gil. Great show. Googling, Gil Alexander politics mostly results in a lot of shake.

24:37Gil, just wifey gossip. You have regained you have regained some anonymity since SGA came on the scene. You can tell Signeti and that coach from Sacramento State don't bother Googling me. Wow. I don't know about. I didn't know about that. Jason H 11 sounds like Gilles taking a trip to Kelly's Arizona border taco truck to enter the one and done and golf and then DQ Mike from Buffalo. I saw DQ Mike from Buffalo last night. He says nice. See you again. My son said only think better than car bones last night was your tennis plays. Thank you so much. There we go. Hey, my pleasure. For no last night tennis. See we keep it going. Six in a row now. See if we can keep it going tonight. Rick Raymond good enough to hang out with us once again for another segment. Rick run good is where you can follow him on Twitter. We should all be so lucky to run good for a lifetime like Rick. Again, the splash sports contest we talked about. Let's talk real quick about the Sony open Rick. If you can this week, what are your thoughts on golf's debut tournament this week? This year. Yeah, we're back, baby. So I will say this. This is generally a pretty volatile event.

25:39You get a bunch of newcomers from the corn fairy tour who have graduated. You get the guys who got their PGA tour cards from the DP world tour. They're over here. And then you have a bunch of guys who we haven't seen play in two months, three months, four months. In some cases, so pretty volatile. The good news is we get wildlife country club, which is a place we've seen for my god, like 70 years in a row. And it's we know what we're going to get, right? There's a there's a penalty for missing the fairway, but these are large greens. It tends to be a place where the potters can kind of separate themselves on the surfaces. And then the real X factor would be if mother nature throws some wind around that place. The scoring averages can go or the winning scores can go anywhere from 13 under to 27 under. So it's a pretty interesting place to start off, but I will admit a definitely skews on the more difficult side of handicapping things. Okay. Rick, I'll ask you one on this. This is always, I think, an interesting process at the beginning of every season where do you look to seize on guys?

26:39And I know you do a lot with DFS embedding everything. Do you look for guys that maybe, and I'll be used to that I bet this week. Colin Morecala, who still had some great ball striking numbers last year, but the punting was awful. He's had plenty of time to work on it. Do you look for guys like that or do you look like you look to guys that finish the year strong, like Chris Kirk who had a lot of good finishes at the end of last season? Yeah, I generally start to reset everybody back to what I say is like their 100 round baseline. That's like their DNA. That's usually what a golfer is. I skew more towards the Colin Morecala who you're right, Kelly. Like don't listen to a word that Colin Morecala says throughout the year. He is the most unreliable narrator of his own game. He will tell you he is, he is awful. The ball is not flying in the, in the way that he wants it to. He's completely lost with this swing and he's still one of the best approach players in the world. He struggles with the putter, which is completely on par with what we've seen from him in his entire career. The more he's still that guy, still had just had a lot of win luck early in his career.

27:42So not worried about that. So to answer the question, I generally start to reset everybody back. I'll take into account the fall. I like to see you play in the fall. I like to see you play well, but I'm not going to penalize those guys who did it. Where do people go for your weekly plays, Rick? Yeah, Rick Rungood.com is everything. It's a lot of modeling. It's a lot of data. It's a lot of information. Hopefully just to make the research process a little bit quicker for you. It is a must use site for any golf, betters and DFS players must use it. Use it every single week. All right. Okay. I started with Scotty Sheffler as clearly right, even the casual knows that Scotty Sheffler is going to be in any list of, hey, you're a golfer's look at that you might have thought of. Yeah, but you probably already thought of Scotty Sheffler, but you need to still consider him. Are I mean, how do you play him? Because prices week to week are just going to stink even more, right? At this point. Yeah, he's coming off the two best non-tiger seasons since 1997, which is what we call the tiger era. I think there's actually a little bit more room for improvement. He's bad with the potter from like five to 10 feet.

28:43He's bad from that rate. He misses way more than his peers. If he just gets that back to like normal to average, he could have one of the top three seasons, you know, since, since Tiger started his era. So, so here's what I do Kelly and I ran the numbers on this. I ran the numbers on this. Gil, you either, if you're talking strictly outright on Scotty Sheffler, you either bet him every single week or you never bet him. I think there's only two options. If you have bet Scotty Sheffler every week last year, even with the horrible odds, his slow start with the hands, had the hand injury, you would have made 14% ROI. It's not, it's not crazy. It's like what the S&P 500 did last year, right? Scotty Sheffler's S&P. He has never in the last four years not been profitable. If you bet him every single start. So I'm almost at the point where it's always Scotty or never Scotty trying to pick and choose at three and a half to one or two point eight to one. I feel like it's a very, very dangerous game. I skew and lean towards always Scotty. Always Scotty.

29:43Oh, there it is. Okay. Give us some other names for 2026 that perhaps we haven't thought of. Let's start with Sahith Tagala. He injured himself in March playing in the simulator in TGL. And he tried to play through it and it never got better. His stats were horrendous. His play was horrific. He ended up shutting it down finally at the end of the year and got healthy, got right. So I throw out basically everything I saw in 2025 for Sahith. He is not going to model very well because of those numbers. We saw him play in the fall, started to play well in the fall, looked like his old form again. I think he's probably like the 30th best player in the world being priced as like the 100th best player in the world. Okay. Let me go ahead and go. Some guys that are going to regress this year. Rick, I think we saw some guys that were awesome. I think Tagala is a great one to point to that we could see him get better. I would get your thought. I want to hear your thoughts on a Max Homa, I guess too. But then I think some high end guys that you think regress this year.

30:44Yeah. So quickly on Max Homa optimistic, but he's going through swing changes. It's not like an injury thing where he's going to be healthy and he's going to be fine. That takes a lot longer to stick. So I'm going to have to see it from Max Homa first. The biggest regression candidate would be Ben Griffin, who was probably the fifth or sixth best player in the world last year. One three times, you know, he's, I think he's going to be great. I think he's going to be a very good player. He's not going to be the fifth best player in the world. So especially at the beginning of the year, where he's being priced as such. I'll probably take some stances away from Ben Griffin. And then on the other side of things, I think JJ spawns being talked about as a regression cat. And it because he had such a phenomenal 2025. I don't agree with that. You know, he's a couple of swings away from having a generational season with a playoff loss to Rory McElroy at the players and a playoff loss to Justin Rose in Memphis. There is really no sign that he's going to get any worse. So kind of an opportunity to pick on two guys who had really great 2025. So I think we're going in opposite directions. Wait, let's go.

31:44Let's go back to players to look for though. Who is this? Who's this kid? Because I think the average go the average sports fan who's not like locked in the golf has not heard of this guy. Marco Pengey is it? Marco Penge. Yeah. He's fantastic. Okay. He is. I'll give you the full the quick full story here. Marco Penge is like the only golfer has ever been suspended for betting on golf. I like him already. I know. I know. Um, he bet like $40 on tournaments. He wasn't playing on and served a six month suspension on the DP World Tour. He has come back and he is one of the fastest players in the world in terms of ball speed. 185 miles an hour. He absolutely nukes it. Um, he won three times on the DP World Tour. He's got this, this, I don't know, call it an aura about him. But he's got this vibe about him. And now he earns his tour card. He's going to come over here and try to get that going. His short game needs a little bit of work. There will be some moments where he's got to figure out and get his feet underneath him

32:45on a new circuit and get used to everything. He just signed with PXG. They announced that this morning. So he's got new clubs in the bag. Could be good. Could be bad. But in general, Marco Penge is an absolute stud. I cannot wait to see what he does this year. He gets a little something like that gets me excited. I don't know. I didn't know Gil was going to go there. I thought I thought he was going John Keifer route. I thought that's where we were going to go. John Keifer. Oh, okay. I'm very stud. And then I noticed on the regression. When Kelly asked about Russia, you did not mention Tommy Fleetwood. So you think Tommy Fleetwood continues the Ascent? Oh, boy. I don't buy like when a guy wins. Now the floodgates are going to open and all of a sudden he's like the most confident player in the world. If that happens, great. Tommy's going to be in a lot of of competitions this year. He's just the most well-rounded player on tour. He's fantastic. He's getting better. He's got this really just ability to hit. A ton of approach shots that are always pin high. It's almost Scotty Sheffler-esque. I think Tommy wins or not. He's going to contend constantly in 2026.

33:47He's not going anywhere. He's probably going to be the third best player in the world behind Scotty and Roy. Wow. Rick, we can talk golf for hours. We got to get your back soon. Let's do it regularly. Okay. Let's do it. Yes. I appreciate you so much. Thank you so much. I'm making him commit on air. Yes. He's like, okay. Rick Gaming everybody at Rick Run Good. RickRunGood.com sign up for that contest. The one and done at SplashSports.com. Coming back on a numbers game of visa. These sports betting network. A numbers game on Vsend. These sports betting network. We're getting ready for big games 60 with a big deal to match. Save $60 off a Vsend pro annual subscription when you sign up using promo code ANG. Become a Vsend. I'm sorry. I'm sorry. Sorry. So ANG is in the numbers game. There's another opportunity. Okay. Become a Vsend pro annual subscriber. Bet smarter all year long with full access to our daily best bets from Vsend hosts and guests.

34:48Real time draft Kings and circuit betting splits. AI powered prop tools and match analysis. 24-7 video and full show replays on the Vsend watch app. Plus all our betting guides and expert picks for the Super Bowl and upcoming March madness. Why don't we get to say Super Bowl there? We're not the beginning. Don't miss out on this big game deal. Visit Vsend.com slash subscribe and use promo code ANG. ANG as in a nimble gnome. G as in gnome. To save $60 off a Vsend pro annual subscription today. That's Vsion.com slash subscribe. Well done. Did you hear my pause there? Where I'm like, that is very spelled no brain. G as in gnome. P as in pneumonia. That kind of thing. Oh, man. Well done on that. Thank you. I really loaded up. And I was immediately unsure once I said it. The commanders, according to Ian Rappaport, the Washington Commodore's. Hoping. This is the language Ian Rappaport used. I don't even know if this is a report. Hoping to interview Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores for their vacant defensive coordinator

35:48jobs. Sources said, Flores is a contract is up in Minnesota, so he's able to look at other similar jobs. Get him. Pay him. The most you can. Hoping. Steel him. For a lot of things that like to make it happen. I don't know. He's not under contract. What's more telling is that Brian Flores has gotten one head coaching interview so far with the Baltimore Ravens. One. Stop it, people. He should be the top of your list. What are we doing? I just don't know what I don't know that much has changed from years past with what the collective feeling is around the league and ownership with a guy who's suing the league. Do you want to win football games or not? Dude, he's an amazing coach. I'm completely on board with you. It's just wild. How like this one was talking about last week when it was kind of last week, two weeks ago when it was first kind of brought up with the Raiders report, right? Where it was like everybody was suddenly having this idea all of a sudden. It's like, oh, Brian Flores, we should talk to him. It's like he's been great. He's been great. There have been a sort of for years now, but like they're like we barely heard about

36:51his name off season, last off season, because he's so in the league. None of these owners want to touch the guy. Chad Lasso, you guys should try and get Adam Levitan on the show sometime this week. Talks him to vision around player prop bets and his virginity. He adds would be awesome. His hat was that a thing? I don't even know. I have no idea. Levitan is awesome. He's been on the show before. It's a little personal, isn't it? See, talk about it. I mean, I guess it was something that he was just, yeah, I discussed one of his solo pods recently. So that he got, he just answers really off the whole way if he is good for him. Here's, here's what I would like to say. How, we saw this with Drew earlier, because I mentioned the Australian open pod is coming up Thursday, right? Megapod tomorrow, Australian open pod on Thursday. And you could see with Drew, right? And this is exactly a reflection of those of us who hate to cap tennis. How excited we get about handicapping tennis in a way that we quite frankly don't necessarily about other sports, though Drew has others, right? We can talk about wine just as passionately, obviously the Olympics are up on the list,

37:55but there's something about tennis. I feel that way when a guy like Rick Gaiman comes on and we talk about golf, I get that kind of feeling to, even though I'm like, oh, it's a guy, but I sense it in the room also. Yeah. Like when he, oh, get Marco, which is last time we got pinch, like when someone like that come, I'm just like, oh, this is, this could be fun, right? Like if somebody just comes out and quote unquote, nowhere for the average man, he is a, I mean, I think he finished top, I'm definitely top five. I'm pretty sure it was top two top three, though one driving distance last year. It's also so fun. Like I know there, if you're kind of a golf fan, you've probably like, there's, there's half of me that split when we talk about a guy like this because he is, it's, it obviously is easy to get excited about high end talent, right? No matter what the sport is, but you know, these days on the PGA tour, it's kind of like the, you know, it's kind of like the jump shooter who can shoot from anywhere, like the quarterback who can throw it two miles, right? It's, there's a lot of raw greatness there, but does it evolve in anything?

38:56I feel like every golf season we do get, and I'm sure it's like that with tennis, too. You get a couple people. A lot of people like, well, watch out for the high end upside here, but then they can and I. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. It just, it happens a lot with golf. Not everybody's going to be eager. You know what I'm saying, Kelly? Mm-hmm. Uh, here are the best. And look, it's tough to like, this is part of what Rick's point was with the one and done. And Matt says this all the time on low shots, it is hard as hell to win a golf tournament. Yeah. Right. It just plain and simple. You're going up to, you know, well, now we're going to be down to about 120 people every week. You're going up against 155 other people out there. It had a really, really good at what you do, too. And you got to rely on the gust of wind happening at the right time, wrong time, a break in the green and whatever not being in the end. It's like a one stroke. Exactly. Yeah. Like it is very tough. It's really great. If you think about it that way, when you put it that way, right? And then it's Schaeffler, right? Schaeffler is just at least that good. And then he works. Yeah. Oh, this guy, I didn't even want to bring it up to Rick, but it's like that brought it up on the show the other day about the report about his club speed getting higher

39:57off the tee. That's what he needs. Rick brings up the greatest point though, imagine if he could put it's wild, man, it's wild. I have made two bets for a divisional round. Nine years yesterday plus seven and a half at the Seahawks still at that number right now. Been bouncing back and forth, right between the seven and a half. I did buy some of the seven and a half earlier because I started to see multiple shops drop. Okay. Boyd Fiend will down to seven, but we're getting a lot of seven and a half light, light juice minus 105. So so leaning towards a seven. I got the plus seven and a half yesterday minus one oh nine and Texans plus three minus one 19 at the Patriots, um, CJ Straub could not have been any worse as we discussed earlier on the show could not have been any worse yesterday. It's absolutely brutal. That stage looked like, I mean, he looked spooked out there, uh, fumbled twice through a awful pick, just such a bad decision, uh, in, uh, inside the red zone.

40:59And in the end, it still didn't matter, right? Houston got by the Pittsburgh Steelers and why I say got by, I mean, crushed him in the end on the scoreboard as well, even though they were crushing him in the box score before that. I think, look, Drake may against that Houston Texans defense. Drake may, if you can beat that defense tip of the cat, baby, tip of the cap. I'm taking the plus three, uh, NBA for me tonight, two sons on the money line, Hawks on the money line, Hawks number has moved a bit. You can wait for possible Lakers injury report though, see if Luca goes or not, that's going to be a big swing there, uh, NFL for me this weekend, then see Hawks bet them on open. And I did just add that 49 or seven and a half told you kind of bet that big. So wanted to wanted to kind of lay it out how I did it three X three units kind of on the sea hawks just bought one back with the 49ers at seven and a half, uh, I laid it with two and a half with the patriots. I just thought I thought that was going to be three. I think it's going to be a really fascinating game and a true day, your point with the Texans defense. This is the big time test for Drake May, right?

41:59And if somehow this offense gets by Houston, no problem, uh, yeah, Drake May patriots looking very for real. And then this is just the phoma. I wanted to make sure I added it in there just to be transparent. But the phobo bet I'm putting out there, just the bills to win the ASC because I could not sit by and watch this playoffs happen and somehow Josh Allen get there. All right. You could never live with yourself. Well, it's like after last week, like I, I really had a lot of respect, you know, kind of new founder respect for this Jags team entering the playoffs and to be able to get by them. As we've said for weeks, man, these AFC's wide open. Jake Han was here earlier to talk hockey with us on the lightning tonight and the money liners, the penguins. Uh, and then a whole bunch of always also on a total. The conucks and the senators Vancouver and Ottawa over six goals. Then it props, Nikita Kutcherov of the lightning two plus points at even money. He says he doesn't every game almost with Kutcherov. Conor McDavid two plus points for the oilers tonight. Nick Eilers over two and a half sogs shots on goals plus one twenty for Carolina, Curry Keynes and then Boo Jenner over two and a half shots on goal for the Columbus Blue Jackets

43:03tonight at plus one thirty five. You really got the easy deal with the names today. I only had to keep up with the bottom two. Yeah. That's right. Not even that difficult. Really. Uh, then we had, uh, Maddie Cox on from three, man, we've he's on the Wahoo's Virginia Cavaliers plus three and a half and a little sprinkle on the money line for Virginia tonight and he's taken Oklahoma plus the six against Flora, Oklahoma, a home dog in that one in college. Then Drew Dinsick was here and Drew was on a, uh, a favorite fest here. He's on the thunder tonight. He's laying the points again with the thunder against the spurs. He's doing it again minus seven and a half is the number. He got on the thunder. I can't in their fourth game against the spurs, current record against the spurs this year. Oh and three. Let me check on that. Yes. Correct. Oh and three. He got the Broncos plus one, even though the Broncos are a tick of a favorite now. He's on the Broncos in the first of the four games this weekend. Then it's a, uh, the favorites flow in Seahawks minus seven against the nine or Saturday night. Patriots Sunday morning minus the three plus one of two versus the Texans.

44:06And then he is on the Rams at minus three and a half as a road favorite at the Chicago Bears, where weather is expected to be a fact. I wonder and we'll talk about more of this tomorrow. There is definitely a chance. There's a lot of people like me that are that have all of a sudden turned into two bigger believers on the Bears and that this Rams line is cheap as hell. I'm surprised at you. I was really surprised at your reaction that, but you're not alone because I was the one saying this is the last week of their magic carpet ride and surprise by me to say that I wasn't expected that. But like how many times can you see it happen before you get right? It's kind of that. And I'm kind of like that with the Patriots now to real quick on one other Olympics note from Drew. Uh, we had this conversation off air. I'll bring it up because I asked him about the gold medal market. Norway is a big favorite. His kind of suggestion was maybe wait for the first week and you can get in live on a Germany or US at a better price. Norway right now. The favorite. Yeah. Athletes. Yes. Minus 155. We've done all we can do prop points with John Hansen's next followed by money moves with Stormy and John.