A Numbers Game | February 2, 2026 | Hour 1

0:00a number's told the story. Now it's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Kill I like Xander gone. V said good Monday morning to this and numbers game at V said these sports betting ever V said dot com game plus I hard radio YouTube TV and of course, serious exit channel 158. Kill I like Xander Kelly Bidlin. New microphones Kelly. That's right, man. So we're going to hear V said. Kelly I convinced these are new microphones everywhere behind the glasses. Like y'all are idiots. Yeah. They're not new. They're the same mics. They're really messing with my head actually now. I'm good. I'm determined to approve them wrong. But these are new brand new microphones everybody. Hey, how's everybody doing? Super Bowl 60 week is here. Yeah. Six days away. Seahawks Patriots. Seahawks still favored by four and a half. Still. As a lot of Richie once said with the Commodores. Still. Man. Have we. Okay. So we. Yeah. Four and a half to five and a half out there. There are multiple numbers available.

1:00This has seen more painted than that at times, right? So it consists of four and a half. The total 45, 45 and a half that hasn't moved in a few days now. Yeah. What do you think? I mean, you have any sense of what this happened? Again. I mean, 90. 90% of Super Bowl bets happen Super Bowl weekend. So we can prattle on for these two weeks. Oh, and by the way, we will. But I'm just saying like most of the most of it happens in terms of handle then. So the final story has not been written obviously on this. Uh, whatever this movement's going to be, but who knows? Yeah. We'll see. You're in it. Uh, you're in it for four for right? Yeah. Bought to four. I sold to five and a half last night. So I'm laying five and a half and and minus one oh two. Um, and then I also laid an ult nine and a half and plus one 90. Uh, with the Seahawks and I played them first quarter as well. Oh, look at you. Yeah. Played a little. Yeah. Well, on the show today, West Reynolds will join us. Beasts and writer. Go host a long shot. It's called long shots. Great.

2:00It's golf podcast. There was we'll talk college hoops with West. We got to talk Grammy Awards last night. I got to get West's reaction to the Grammy's last night. I don't know if you saw a share at the end. I didn't watch a single minute of it. Oh, she's botched everything. Will Hill texted yesterday. The group chat. She goes, I'm. Share may have had work done. That was his text. Everybody. It's so great. I know she was supposed to read the nominees and she forgot to do it. That was a whole thing. And then when she announced the winner, she's like a Luther Grandos or something. We were like, what? That was a whole thing. We'll talk to West about that. But we'll get his college basketball thoughts on the college basketball weekend. That was a pretty important games as well. So we'll get West's plays today as well. I am doing, by the way, Adam Berkel, join us a little later on to college hoops as well. I'm giving out my first season win total today in Major League Baseball. This is always fun. Let's go. Let's go. This show and the podcast was undefeated all time till last year in terms of what my favorite season win total was season long given pre-flop season win total Major League Baseball until

3:02the Cleveland Guardians last year decided to go 14 games over 500 with a negative run differential. And I had the under. So the undefeated life is done there. I got my favorite play coming up more importantly, perhaps. Jensen Lewis is going to join us here. Jensen is super kind because he just did these and buy the books with Captain America, Dave Ross, who apparently he's very open about his political leanings now. He just heard the last run up of that show. No, he's very open about it. We love it. We love it. It's the greatest guy ever. Jensen Lewis, of course, his co-host will come on here. Jensen has multiple season win totals, multiple awards bets. I'm not sure how we're going to fit it in one segment where we're going to try. I should be fair. Every one of those that I sent you, he has not bet yet. He has circled though that he's going to pull the trigger on at least most of those. So we'll get to it. Come after the Super Bowl. We'll get to as many as we can. Yeah. That's kind of his short list, if you will. All right. Get ready for MLB futures. And then Kelly doesn't come in unless we talk Yannis next team. So we got to do that as well.

4:03Yep. That's right. That's the rule. I'm not coming to work unless we talk about it. By the way, I was in San Francisco this weekend. I tried. I texted Bill AD. I'm like, hey, should I stay here for a radio? I was trying to figure out a way to stay in San Francisco. He was like, hey, why are you bringing in? Well, I thought a couple guys out there. I thought about it. Right. Dustin Sweetle sent us there. Dustin and JVT. JVT is there as well. JVT was asking me for a restaurant recommendation. Yeah. We'll hopefully get him on here one morning. I thought about it. And then I was like, oh, thank God. I'm not saying here because I actually actually live in San Francisco. The Super Bowl is nowhere close. Yeah. How far away drive is that? I would have had to driven the 101 45 minutes each way every morning. So I was like, yeah, I'm good. Yeah, you're good. I'm good. Okay, we have a, by the way, before we start anything, I do have a tennis. So I don't know if it started yet. Let me check my internet. It's not working on my laptops. I'll be check over here. I had three plays in tennis last night. The first two splits. So you missed nothing. The one that remains in Abu Dhabi is Alexander Eyalah. It has not started yet. I'm on a Alexandra. Alexandra Eyalah.

5:03The Filipina going up against. Going up against Sanmes. Zainab Sanmes. Zainab Sanmes, who's the Turkish phenom. Eyalah is the play on the lady side. If you want some morning tennis action. So Alexandra Eyalah, who I got. And I think you can even get a better number than I got on her. I'm seeing play no two at draft. Oh, yeah. I was minus 107. So your number is better. Nine cents better than I had. But Alexandra Eyalah is the play this morning in tennis. The last of the three plays. Which again, tennis won't have going on the background out of the Australian open is done. But I suppose we should put a post script on that tournament. Yeah, for sure. Before we move on. In case you missed it. Over the weekend Atlanta, Rabakina wins the lady side. Her second major. Her second slam. In her career. She won Wimbledon a few years back. Now she wins the Australian open good on her. She was the best player in the tournament. Without question. She deserves it. And she wins her second. So she beats her. Reena Sabilega. By the way, Sabilega was up in the final set.

6:04The third and deciding set. Three love. And before you could say. What's this? That's Steve as he would say. It was five three the other way. And Rabakina was on her way. And then Carlos Alcora asking. Congratulations to anybody about Rabakina. Congratulations to anybody. Had Carlos Alcora has to win. Carlitos wins his seventh major. At the age of 22. And he completes the career. Slam Kelly. Beating Novak joke of it. And four sets. Novak by the way. The first set. Novak was like vintage. Novak. I cannot believe this is happening. I laid the money line. Like I laid it with Alcora. And like after that first set, I was like, oh, great. No, after the first set, I hit Alcora. It was beautiful. It was the best lie betting tournament. I can never remember. I couldn't go back to it. Like I got in before the match. I had nothing. I had nothing pre-flop. He was down to set. It's like, okay, bang, bang. On Alcora. Now to your point. Like Joker look good too. He looks good. He looks fantastic. And then you know what happens. We often say this in betting. But we can't really. There's no science in this. Obviously. But if you like win a bet, you get butt lucky on a bet that you're not supposed to win.

7:05For me, it usually, oh god, it's two weeks of like really good betting coming up. It's the opposite too. If you lose a bet in a bad beat, you've got like three weeks of horror in front of you. It's just this weird thing with betting. Well, Carlitos won a net cord point at one point. And it was just like everything turned at that point. And he was just, he's incredible. Just give me a sense though. He just won the career slam at the age of 22. That's incredible. He's like the very few people that have won career slams. Did it when they were like 29 years old. Yeah. Yeah. The roughened the dolls and the Andre Agassis of the world. And the Federer is the world. So and the Novak's. But just for him to do it at 22 is insane. And he breaks. So as long as we're talking about Novak trying to get to 25 breaking the tie with Margaret court across gender. Carlos breaks the tie. For the most current slams among active players gets the seven first. Oh, yeah. Okay. Nice. He was six now still. So there you go. And those are the two players that we've talked about for years and years and years made much more money on the ego. But Carlos, we used to bet Clay Court tournaments late night in Latin America, man.

8:07When he was a little kid. It's just incredible. What a player. Do you think. I mean, that accomplishment. Right. Like the career grand slam at age 22. Insane. Like these guys. This generation just never going to get enough love because of what the Fedors and the dolls did before. Yeah. It's the same thing with that generation. Like the John Isner's of the world. John Isner, who won, like, I don't know, like 10 tournaments, I guess in his career, whatever. Never stood a chance. It was like he goes. They're greedy. I hate them. He's being sarcastic. But he's like, you know, your career is colored by. It's like the Marvin Hagler, Tommy Hurne's Sugar Ray Leonard thing. Tommy Hurne's happened to live. At the same time that those guys did. If he lived in any other era, we speak about him differently. Yep. But that's just how it is sometimes. So congratulations to all who, uh, who cashed on both of those. Now, uh, Dennis will be there for, uh, largely for visa subscribers now. Visa.com slash picks until we get to Indian Wells. And we'll start talking more about that. We do know now where every NFL coach we do is going to be. Or at least we know that every team has its guy.

9:09As the final two, I guess, uh, technically speaking, we don't have yet. The Raiders, uh, vacancy field. But it will be Clint Kubiak. That's the, you know, worst kept secret going. Once the Seahawks complete the Super Bowl, Clint Kubiak, their offensive coordinator will become the Raiders head coach by all accounts. And of course, uh, the one that closed it out before that. Michael Flore now, the Rams offensive coordinator formally becomes the Arizona Cardinals head coach. In a bit of an upset, I guess based on calcium markets. Michael Flore is your Arizona Cardinals head coach. So there it is. There are the 10 vacancies all filled. If you will allow Kubiak to be included in that. And so I ask you Kelly Bidlin from a completely subjective standpoint. As you head into next year, thinking about bets. Do you like one more than the others? Do you hate one more than the others? Uh, I like Jesse Mitter to, to Baltimore. I, I do. I like that they grabbed the OC from Chicago.

10:09I'm interested to see how that works out. Obviously you're bringing in a non-play caller in an offensive coordinator. Um, be interested to see his transition to taking over play calling. I like Mitter. Is it really going to influence bets for me? They're going forward. I don't know about that because we haven't seen a track record with him, right? Like if I really thought there was a great head coach coming in that called plays or something like that on the offensive side, yeah, that might influence things for me. Um, it's kind of why you and I don't linger on this as much as I do. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, like, look, I think, like if Joe Brady is the guy for Josh Allen, then like that's an upgrade, right? If Josh Allen fuels more confident and he gets more out of that offense with Joe Brady, then I think that's a good move too. But I don't know that I'm running to factor that in. Is there any doubt that Josh Allen made that pick? Or did he definitely involved? Yeah. He was in the room. Mike McCarty did the Steelers remains for me. The only just kind of noteworthy one because the other nine, I'm not going to pretend that I know how it's going to go. I agree. I'm not going to pretend I know how it's going to go with Mike McCarty. I'm just the most surprised by that one. Me too. The fact that the Steelers have only had three coaches in their history.

11:10They were all young defensive guys, Noel, Kauer, Tomlin. They all lasted there more than 15 years as young men. This is kind of not that, right? This is the, this is the opposite of all of that. You have an offensive guy. He's older. Um, he's established. At least in other places. So that was the most surprising to me. We made him grab a suit out of his closet from like the 90s, by the way. To throw on for that press call. Um, Mrs. McCarty. She did. She was like, you, you wear that one, Michael. I believe it's how that was. We'll come back. Yannis. Next team. Jensen Lewis. All of his baseball. I don't know. All of them. Get to it. Menace. We can't baseball season longs. It's a numbers game at Visa. These sportsmen he never. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools. The data and the discipline. And now so can you. Visa programs you access to the same real time insights. The sharps use. No secrets. No fluff. Just actionable info that moves markets.

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13:31You can see it. You can see it. You can see it. He's going to win. That's the word. Come on, Phil. Sorry, East ghosters. Get it together. Northerner's. How often is there a new full? Oh and I don't know. Like every five years. Of course on Twitter. You know, it happens with anything like this. Of course, somebody comes on is like, Hey, just an annual reminder. There's no bigger from the world that books. Tony Phil 35% lifetime correct prediction rate. I did the sunrise yet merchant. Oh, I think they've been doing this. It's 1887 Geez. Oh, I remember it like it was yesterday. That's first time The legend claims he gained seven years of life by drinking a magical elixir of life every summer at the Groundhog pick Nick You know that part of it. They did not know that part of it. Wow 139 years then they've been doing this Groundhog's lifespan is normally six to eight years. Oh, there you go. You do the math Mm-hmm. Oh, there you go. It's the uh

14:31We've had about uh, well 18 or 19 of them. I guess is what we're saying. Oh, just right back from my friend Matt Brown. Oh, excuse me. Yeah. I'm sorry Yeah, who does does text me. They got new mic stands. Oh, he did. Oh, okay. So does new mic stands at least all right So we were right. Yep. He's bad. These people by these people. I mean the people behind the glass She's all right. Uh, Yannis We have any updates of this. So here's so we talked about Yannis. We talked about Yannis What are the bucks gonna do? Are they gonna trade him before the trade deadline? Are they gonna wait till the off season to do so There's a case we made that they wait till the off season bring some other teams into the mix in terms of being able to offer first round draft pick That kind of thing or at least you have you have a better sense of what's going on Um The biggest move is by the way stays with Milwaukee therefore remains the favorite at minus 123 biggest move on the teams This has come my way so I made a bet on the warriors at plus 488

15:34Um as the yes You're you're laughing back to 334 just amazing with these it moves right this is via calcium prediction markets y'all Get with it warriors plus 270 is what we're showing we Kelly just updated it so it's Just north of three dollars now for the warriors though the The one that they're the short shot among teams not named the Milwaukee bucks then it's the heat And nicks both long shots by the way 111 13 to 1-ish Bulls T-wolves on and on and on to the break and don't now the warriors are As I pointed out last week and the reason I bet them It's really the package that makes sense Pre-trade deadline trade deadline by the way this Thursday 3 p.m. Eastern should be noted So if something goes down it goes down before Thursday 3 p.m. Eastern But the warriors can give the Box a package of draft picks that none of these other teams can Quite frankly pre-trade deadline. So that's the reason

16:34That's the reason I bet the warriors and it makes all too much sense again the point being with those draft picks The warriors can convince themselves hey as long as Steph is still a top 10 NBA player And what's that window another year or two? I mean at some point the man becomes too old right as 38 Or about to be 38 They say well, Yannis. Well, let's make it worth Steph's while here. He's been the greatest player You know, we could ever have imagined him to be four championships change the game greatest shooter all time Let's get Yannis in here. What a combo will there be a better combo a better two-player combo than Yannis and Steph in a pose season I think he convinced themselves of that whether you believe it or not The Bucks on the other hand can say to themselves hey we get all these picks from the warriors And by all these picks. I mean a bevy of them. I'm talking about like 2026 2027 2029 2031 first rounders There's also a way to give them 26 28 3032 along with the 2031 swap. There's all kinds of deals

17:36The warriors have multiple first rounders to give the Bucks the Bucks can convince themselves Hey, if we get all these picks Steph's going to retire at some point and despite having Yannis the warriors are going to suck Even though the warriors then also get to say well, we'll have Yannis So when Steph finally does retire will still be relevant with Yannis Yannis contract It should be pointed out expires after next year. So That's the other thing Yannis could put his finger on the scale or the or took the scale here by saying hey The only two I'm going to resign with is I don't know the next or something like that. He could he could alter this But so far he hasn't done that in terms of resigning. So anyway, that's where it is right now I played a little actually played a little nicks. No this morning. So Brian Winhorse did jump on I saw him on ESPN this morning talking about it Um and kind of and just said the nicks nicks are not really in this conversation right now from what he's hearing and really haven't been involved I think if you saw that game last night against the Lakers I and this goes back to what James Dolan said um in the offseason I think he's going to hold this this starting group

18:39Their feet to the fire a little bit and make them make them play and said, you know Hey, they should be able to win a championship with this group And the other the other part of this weird about it kill is you know We talk about making this move before the trade deadline Okay, the nicks what do the what can the nicks trade right we went over this last week And it's going to involve some of their star players So the nicks willing to take a back seat right now to the rest of the eastern conference And move players out and not have a Yannis ready to go right away remember Yannis coming off a calf injury We he says he's going to play again this year that came out yesterday Um, but we don't we don't know how when he's going to be back for any team that he plays for so what the nicks are going to go without Like two three four significant pieces out of their lineup for weeks And that's a good point, but again, even before remember what I said with all those first round picks from the Warriors By comparison the nicks the most the nicks can offer in terms of future because really the what are the bucks looking for the look for young talent Yeah, which the Warriors don't have by the way, but they're looking for young talent mainly they're looking for future Capital right with draft picks. I you know aka draft picks

19:39The nicks can at the most like offer a 20 30 and 20 32 first round swap By comparison to what the Warriors can give them in warriors largely controlled first round picks right So the bucks don't even have to worry about any any shenanigans with Conditional picks where it's protected non-protected that kind of thing The nicks don't even compare to what the Warriors can offer by the way the heat can offer more than the nicks Can't do the nicks make no sense what so I mean both those teams I think it I think the heat nicks are still in it I think it makes more sense though if it was the heater nicks that this happens after the season Yes, and then right and the nicks can still look at the standings right now and say to themselves You know the only team in this conference that is better record than we do is the distance So we're still the number was tied for number two seed and why do we really want to mess with this and like you talked about with Steph Like the nicks could also sit there in the locker room and say there's no team better than us in the eastern conference Yes, absolutely I don't really get like the bull the bulls odds on here Gil. I don't know like this this is not been a

20:40A very wide open conversation about the Chicago bulls going after yana. So I'm I those numbers that number keeps coming down. It's like 17 to one now And we had also mentioned last week for those who missed it that the teams like It seems like the rockets Okay, see that we're previously mentioned once upon a time She's not okay, but like the spurs it land Toronto. Yeah, it's like the spurs are having such a great season Why would they mess with it only? Okay, see has a better record than them and the rockets, right? Also having a really fine season number four seed right now in the west Why do you mess with that? So there's a bit of that going on So anyway, the good thing about all this Kelly is we will know by Thursday Right pre the it's either before that to the warriors I think or it's just after that we're waiting to the end of the season and that's that. Yep. I think so too Then I have no idea why Kelly will come into work after that because we'll have to talk about it I don't know what your new conditional thing will be. That's right So you did make you made a bet on the no this is a nice thing about prediction markets, right?

21:40You can bet knows and even though the no is a minus 15 hundred you know 1567 We call it bankroll building. I was just gonna say it's not like it's a big bet for me But I just took a piece of that here in some of this news this morning And yeah, like we talked about it all last week. I just I don't think the nicks are out of it I just think if they this is a market specifically if you're betting into that that closes this week after the trade deadline So um if it's heater nicks, I think it's probably more likely after the season thunder beat the nuggets last night 121 to 111 nugget. Excuse me thunder look good in that game against the oh catch of the nuggets SGA look good Caves got a career higher 40 from Jared Allen they beat the blazers last night nicks beat the Lakers by 12 LeBron 22 all-star game That yeah The a record that will never be broken by the way you would think 22 all-star games And then the pistons beat the nets by 53 just in case you thought the NBA didn't break out last night The NBA did break out pistons beat the nets by 53 Gill i believe the second game in as many weeks and nets have lost by over 50

22:42Yeah, so you know something to keep in mind out there for a better game be a down the stretch the association Ladies and gentlemen all right jensen Lewis is coming. He's got four season windtotal swimmers and major league baseball A man who actually played the game Four season windtotal then we'll see if we can uh get some more out of him as well in terms of some awards Or leaders that he wants to bet as well jensen Lewis on the other side baseball on a numbers game at visa these sports betting outward Back on the numbers game alive from a certain resort casino downtown Las Vegas Gill ilex and they're Kelly Midland producer number nine so much more than a producer big day producing on Friday by you I got a couple more here Danny's Montana wow Yeah next couple days. Hey, what's he doing Montana? Oh, don't don't don't answer that. I know that's right Don't answer that Ladies and gentlemen. He's kind enough to stay a half hour and beyond

23:44The three hours that he just it on by the books which precedes us each and every Monday through Friday morning here He does it with captain america daviros jensen Lewis now joining us courtesy progressive guest line. Hey, do a jensen Thanks for being here good to be with you happy new year boys. Uh you guys are the first show I've done a hit on so far on visa in 2026 Always to be with you wow wow Well, they banned you in January apparently. Yeah, that's fine. Yeah, it's spring training for everybody. All right Well, let's get into this and no no time for small talk because you got a bunch of stuff to get into Let's start with some your favorite season win totals and let's begin with sort of the bottom of the barrel The Rockies are set at 52 and a half you think this is too low I do a couple of ways to go about it guys and and one where you're you're looking at historic lows from a couple of franchises The last handful of years But I also when I look at win totals will factor in Where the last two months of a season were and as you mentioned with the Rockies A bit more improvement. It may not feel that way in the win lost column

24:47But the way that lineup really started produced with hunter goodman having such a great season the pitching You're just going to kind of have to live with what you have there But I think the lineup will be better and I think that gets them into a few more situations Where they can close out some gains victor vodnic nice little closing edition for them is going to be good for the back end of their bullpen So I do like the Rockies over the white socks feel like the most active team in the american league central They were added again. They got Jordan Hicks Last night day before that in a trade with Boston They've really augmented their lineup a mutitaki maracami I think it's going to be a very viable candidate in the american league rookie of the year race Wouldn't mind one to get him at double digits to win the award I think you can also look at where they're pitching staff You may not be able to walk down michigan av here gill but And and ask any of any you know just common Chicago fan hey can you list the starting five for the Chicago white socks But people are going to know their name. I think once you get to the midway point of this season

25:48I think Chicago very viable. I like them over 66 and a half the tigers on under play is purely on how long does terrick scuba Stay in a Detroit uniform and I think at some point you really have to ask the question If you're the tiger front office Are you willing to to stay all the way through to the trade deadline or do you have to seriously entertain What you're looking at just a little theater and a little color for you guys His arbitration hearing is Wednesday this week in Arizona and you are going to see fireworks Because they are so far so far in extension talks. I cannot imagine what record set It will will end up coming out of that arbitration Proceeding so I think it's the tigers under and guys the second half hangover offensively. Oh, yeah, yeah The thank god they matched up against my guardians who can't hit to save themselves In any stretch the last team is the red socks I'm going to air on the side of being a former pitcher when you line up that kind of a rotation

26:50The red socks feel like the Seattle of the east They did so much in getting ranger suarez and sunny gray I think Brian Bayo has pressured lifted from him Farther down in the rotation gear crochet going to be right in there for the ALSI young again this year I don't think we have as much of a falloff without Alex Breggman If you guys go back and do a statistical comparison between Alex Breggman the last three years and Wilson contraris Who's now going to be their full-time DH It's pretty startling how similar the numbers are between Breggman and contraris What I'm worried about is Breggman was such a veteran influence and so many guys played so much better with him around Do you lose? Some of that even with Roman Anthony coming back I think Anthony's going to be an MVP candidate But I absolutely kill love not only the rotation But man a robust chap and just continues to defy father time with what he does in the back end of the bullpen Couple things there one I love the contraris versus Breggman thing because people you know people are going to be wowed by one name the bigger name over the other

27:55And I we always try to stress here It's like what you are doing is replacing the actual production right you can't be correct You can't be mesmerized by by names the other thing going back to the white talks I love that one because you know you always and I'll do my my season when segment coming up later But you always have to really think okay What were they last year they they won 60 games, but what what should they have been right they should have been a 70 win team right they were a 70 win team disguised as a 60 win team So even starting at that baseline before you even get into all the stuff you were talking about You would think big things coming up or bigger things let's say big things but bigger things coming up Uh for the white socks this year all right nl psi young I'm smiling as I look at these because a couple names that we're all familiar with Jacob Mizierowski who remember after five starts was in an all-star game Wasn't quite as great after that necessarily, but still Was certainly everything the brewers could have wanted from him and then Kade Horton who folks you know

28:56We're absolutely betting on to win Rookie of the year last year and that didn't really uh didn't really manifest. So you got them both for sion I do Let's start with Mizierowski and he'll play that number two starter role in my estimation with Brandon Woodruff coming back and healthy If you want a super long shot and I don't know it don't have it on the full screen But one to verbally give you guys Brandon Woodruff to have the most wins As a starting pitcher in Major League Baseball for pizza money just because With the way that the brewers defy logic especially the last couple of years if he stays healthy then he's going to be in a lot of those games With his return and hopefully he can I think Miz is viable just because you're going to get the narrative you you mentioned it if he's going to make an all-star team after five starts Then what does he like getting the shackles taken off him for a full season in a rotation And he's going to have to be a guy that they lean on if they're going to get back to a postseason birth without Freddie Peralta in that rotation

29:56Kade Horton guys if you look at the numbers Before he got hurt in September Not only Gil were we talking about rookie the year You are seriously looking at a helium alert with him in the NLSI young race now Was he going to run down schemes and and Christopher Sanchez probably not but you have to respect Where that market really moved positively in that manner if he kind of has a PCA a p cro Armstrong start To last to this year that PCA had last year remember that MVP number for PCA came cast skating down I think Kate Horton could be very viable. He's going to have the narrative the cubs are going to be a very publicly talked about team So at 150 to one I can think of worse numbers to be able to get behind in that in that award market And if folks listen to buy the books with you and Dave on a weekly basis during baseball season They know you're very high on Roman Anthony of the Red Sox you have taken it to the hill this year I think that they you have to get at least a voter fatigue factor with you know judges one the MVP three the last four years

30:58Can he three Pete absolutely he can But will he get to a point where the narrative ends up being okay if the Red Sox win the east over the Yankees Don't you have to look at you know who's a big reason why Obviously health last year derailed Roman Anthony second half of his season was a big loss for them I am hearing reports Before they get to camp that Alex Cora does not want him to hit lead off Wants to slide him to the two spot and that would be phenomenal in my mind for production and not only the RBI Opportunities, but I just think you get a lot more bang for your buck seeing him what north of 20 25 to one in some markets and obviously respect there to what judge has done But I think it's worth before you know the season starts to have a little bit of that in your portfolio One I'm very intrigued of and just younger guys is that ale rookie of the year market If you have not read up on Colt Emerson top organizational prospect right now on the position player side for the Seattle Mariners

32:00They may have a need for the left side of the infield if JP Crawford doesn't get off to a good start And they technically don't really have a third baseman at this point could he play either of those positions I think so if you want him up the middle you could probably do it as well So I think at 25 to one you're going to hear a lot about kev McGonigal with the Detroit Tigers 8 to 1 Carter Jensen great namesake so he should already be a favorite In that market with the Kansas City Royals probably does a bit more deaching for them But I'm anxious to see where that ale rookie of the market really plays out. All right So Colt Emerson to win ale rookie of the year at 25 to 1 Jensen also has Connor Griffin of the pirates to win et al rookie of the year at 8 to 1 in Charlie Condon of the Rockies at 16 to 1. I want to skip ahead Joe in the end Though Jensen in the interest of time because I want to get to some of these other ones most home runs Joe Cagliannoni 75 to 1 in Giancarlo stand at 200 to 1 Quickly on Jack Caglione. They move the fences in at Kaufman Stadium by about 10 feet Down the lines and if there's anyone that has more light tower power than Jack Caglione

33:04It's Giancarlo stand. I mean watch exit velos for both these guys is absolute insanity And so I think kegs with an opportunity if he if he really corrects the swing decisions and limits more swing and miss You know, I think he's a shoe and for at least 30 if not 35 or more home runs Most RBI Pasquintino of the Royals Vinnie Pasquintino at 35 to 1 Nick Kurtz the upstar for the A's man. I love him 60 to 1 wow What a line up the athletics are going to have Um, I not only Kurtz for most RBI, but look at him in a potential ale MVP market too I know his numbers way down, but my god That line up is going to be really good and I'll throw Logan Gilbert and Jacob Isoroski in that most strikeouts season long prop comment as well Jensen, thank you so much. We got it all in there most of it anyway. Yeah, appreciate it. Beautiful. Get some sleep I got a buddy. Thank you, Jensen. Appreciate it. Try Jensen can be found by the way on twitter at jlux 50. That's jlew 50 coming back country club and next on a numbers game

34:10I Numbers game on fee set these sports betting network. It is Super Bowl week at profit x from same game parlays and player props the Super Bowl props and more Profit x has you covered including 0% commission on the coins us get your bankroll ready for Super Bowl props college basketball And all the action this weekend with competitive pricing across the board and don't forget to take advantage of profit x is 20% purchase match Before the big game download profit x now experience the future of winning use promo code v sin To get started our Super Bowl betting guide is coming out. You get your uh you get your picks in there Kelly for the deadline this morning did I sure did thanks for letting me know the deadline was this one. Yeah, no problem. Appreciate it Um, I think I kept pushing back those burka emails last week when I was out like started sending when I was out I'll get to this again. Yeah, man, so we're all in there everybody on the network God, I don't know about everybody, but most people on the network with their uh They're they're Super Bowl play their MVP play and their favorite prop play will be in the Super Bowl betting guide

35:15Guide coming out here this week. So we look forward to that we get tweets of beating the book. I was appreciate the feedback from everybody This is Chris Heath Uh, the pepper mill in Reno still has five and a half on the board. I took the Patriots just to look sharp That's right you do you think you show everybody how sharp you are JB Uncle Bush With so many first year coaches. So this is an interesting point. So with so many first year coaches in the NFL Does that shorten the market slash options for coach of the year next season as there have only been four first year coach of the year winners all time and two were from the 50s Yeah, um and that's I think you're probably right right take take ten off the board Not all first time coaches though. That's the thing. Yeah I know the only thing that's interesting about that is don't you feel like this award market is moving more towards like that first or new coach Is like we saw like I mean if if you know if rabble gets it right yeah new coach at least well

36:19Right new coach with new England. Yes, that that's why I mean to that's why I distinguish I'm like not first time coaches, but like okay Donald in the mix. He's a second year guy Ben Johnson's name was up there this year and I think deservedly So I that's a very very interesting stat right great question. I don't know that now I don't know that I'm gonna gravitate towards coaches that have been in the league longer. That's I don't know. I understand the point though because it's like would you I don't know do you think Michael a floor if they had a good season in Arizona Would be a coach of their candidate. I mean, I don't know Mm-hmm. I mean sure if anybody does maybe if anybody does with the Patriots or Seahawks did this year. You're right in that you're right in that conversation Brian Schaefer sleeper team for Yannis is the sixers. He says Their package would be the best VJ edge coming two ones next year They have a Clippers one that package would be better than the Warriors But I hope it doesn't happen because I love VJ I you think the sixers would give a VJ for in a Yannis deal. I don't think so. I don't think they're like currently kind of saving face right now With how this team is playing. Well, you know, you know how this works. Kill of course I go on here Friday

37:19And I take 20 seconds to speak positive is about the Philadelphia 76ers I swear this has happened before I meant to text you on Saturday Wake up the next day and bad sixers news. Yeah Paul George out 25 games Well A little Maybe he violated the drug policy. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, I like the hesitance of your question because the I had to I don't word it pro Yeah, no, no, no, no, the hardwood handicapers chat did you immediately go to 25 games, huh? Yeah, what are we talking about here? Are we talking about Steve the proxy? Listen to the megapod last week heard Tim Lawson casually mentioned going to the slaughterhouse concert at the hard rock in 2012 Was amazing you have to be a huge hip hop head to casually mention that 14 years later. I know I was there I still think about it. You know what's interesting Steve is I basically lived at the hard rock in 2012 And I did not attend the slaughterhouse concert 2012 at the hard rock hard rock in 2012 was babes still there or babes was even 10 years before that Um But that was a heck of a venue in 2012 people used to hang out there all the time like the blink 182 guys were in there all the time

38:21Just hanging out really hard rock was just an amazing place. Danny Berman. What hour was the Ross political rank got to hear that no no rant He never rant. He's casually throwing it goes. I like this game plan like I like my politics because that's what he said It wasn't a rant Yeah, Ross is Dave Ross is very open about stuff. I was very impressed Good for him. Uh, you want to go a little country club in here? Yeah sure Oh We're watching off air here a second ago Katelyn Clark with Caitlin Clark present so funny with Caitlin Clark on desk Maria Taylor asking Reggie Miller Among others Carmelo just Carmelo. Yeah, she's those too. Uh, and Carmelo. Who does who does Caitlin Clark remind you of And Reggie Miller first name out of his mouth goes Peyton Pritchard

39:21Caleb Clark visibly distressed by I heard I heard about this last night. I didn't go watch the video. No, it's all right I didn't realize that she was on desk with him like right next to him. It's like Peyton Bridges really She's doing like the she's doing the nice like media smile too as he starts talking She's like yeah, and then just a media layer face goes Losing the smile completely. Well, I'm glad you bring them media. I think this is very inside baseball But this is interesting to me. Yeah, so that's it in other words is Caitlin Clark is good as Peyton Pritchard No, nobody's saying that but of all the NBA players you would compare her to with her presence, right? Maybe you could be a little more Complementary. What's great is you can't have this conversation without insulting sub. That's right You must be a little more gracious than that at least at least I would think you be yeah Yeah, in terms of your answer. We barely read you Miller. It cares not It's the like it might be a fair cop, right? It's just the like yeah like like Reggie Don't be so serious about this right which starred as this star reminds the reason I'm interested in this because if you watch The Australian open coverage keenly, right? So Malika milli handers first time Australian first time tennis coverage. How was it?

40:26Her coverage? Yeah, so I watched a lot but it was on mute. You know, she was she was fun Okay, she was fun Katie George was great first way she was fun the second way But you know that that's the graciousness of responses, right? Sometimes she's asking Chris U-Bank's questions that are open ended Nothing most deep dive tennis questions and even if they stray into the oh, I don't know what she's going over there It's incumbent upon the person answering the question to be gracious in the response to not make the interviewer look bad right Chrissy ever it is the Reggie Miller She couldn't care less Malika would ask like a leading question that was kind of could be could have been construed one way or the other word She would ask something like what does he have to do on you know on second serves, right? And Chrissy ever will be like well The reason you have second serves is because you missed your first like she would ask it She would answer that way and I'd be like oh no Just beat nicer guy the thing all right country club, but how'd you do this weekend? Oh, it was pretty good. It was a win-and-week. So that's good. I always take that Pearson kudia had a nice top 20 bed on him

41:28He finished t2 that was good. I got some Jake nap home Maverick making nearly a little bit of top 10 although he finished exactly 10th and I didn't even look at that till right now Just morose though wired a wire winner um Someone that I wish I would have considered morgue, but I don't know that I would have gotten to it. How right bet? I he his name did jump out to me when I was kind of run at Delber He was one of those outlier names were my Justin Rose and I'm like, I don't really have any desire to play him at this golf course Not really a golf course that you think of Justin Rose's game at But wire to wire winner sets scoring records at Tory Pines Hello event for Justin Rose Um, I think there's a couple names that I just wrote down through the weekend go for it We're getting started early season You're looking for some of these guys that are playing and then are they showing you any kind of consistency out of the game, right? Like that's those are the guys you want to jump on I don't know if you do the same thing with tennis like at the Australian open But it's okay. I think this guy's going to play well always playing well And he's doing it week after week get in now while you know while he is playing well Because you know this game isn't going to last that long There's a couple of these guys who Pearson Coody who Matt less had bet the past couple events

42:29But I didn't jump on till this week We make fun of the name country club a name Pearson Coody, but man he is he is having a great season so far another top Five finish for him top 20 finish on the season see who came another great tournament out of him T2 finish as well For him Jake nap another great event for him so all these names I'm kind of listening God are up. I bet this week he ends up finishing top 2018 And then Gerard to these guys just keep doing it week after week so far to start On the PJ tour and then a couple others that played well this week that that kind of gave me notice Rio Satsune he is someone that the past couple years been waiting to see if he's going to come on really really do something strong young Japanese player Jake nap was it was great to see him starting to put some things together last year a little bit of a funky years guy This guy is long off the tee He struggled with some accuracy issues last year and his approach game really came on on the back end back into the year So some to watch out for this season and then Andrew no vacancy hit the golf the golf finally having a good finish

43:30He'd been struggling at the back end of last year coming into this year gets a T7 and Andrew no vac He was one of these names that like he had one last year played some great great golf around this time of the year Man, I saw him listed as some long odds these past couple tournaments So something just a I'll be keeping on my radar going forward If you want some tennis action again I am on Alexandra Iola this morning that match has not started in Abu Dhabi Yet and by the way people are betting son mess like they know the final scores is up to plus one 12 on a yala So your your number is now almost 20 cents better than the one I had overnight, which doesn't usually go that way But here we are I'm still on a yala in that one this morning and then tonight in Abu Dhabi I have not even submitted this at visa.com slash picks But I have better already. I'm going to be on Lila Fernandez Lila Fernandez against McCartney McCartney Kessler Lila Fernandez right now about minus 127 Against the American McCartney Kessler love Lila's long term numbers Kessler's been playing great by the way as well

44:30But it's the yala this morning for me. It's Lila tonight In Abu Dhabi because they're playing multiple tournaments men and women right now But a lot of them are indoor hards And those are all 250's this is an outdoor hardcore and it's a 500 like it. That's what we're betting here In both cases yala this morning Fernandez tonight coming back West Reynolds will join us College hoops and I've got to talk about the Grammys with them It's a numbers game at Visan these sports betting network Besides the management of this college hoops and I got to talk about the Grammys with them. It's a numbers game at Visan these sports betting network. Are?